Relative Population Density

Censusing wolves in a 1.5-million-acre study area is a difficult task,

and we have no direct information on which to base a population

estimate. However, some deductions can be made about the relative

population densities in our study area between the period 1948 to 1953

and the period of the present study, 1967 to 1969.

R. A. Rausch (1967a) hypothesized that the frequency of large packs is

higher when population density is high, and presented evidence

supporting this idea. On this assumption, a comparison of pack-size

distributions between various periods can indicate relative population

densities between periods. The advantage of this method is that it

eliminates the usual type of year-to-year biases in wolf censuses such

as might result from differences in precise census route, type of

aircraft, skill of observers, and other conditions. Only a difference

that would cause a bias in the _size_ of the packs seen would be of

importance.

Therefore, we tested the difference in size distributions of population

units between the 1948-53 study period and the present period (table

1), using a Kolmogorov-Smirnov two-sample test (Siegel 1956). The

average "pack" size in the earlier years was 2.8, compared with 4.2 at

present; thus pack sizes are significantly larger at present (95

percent level). This indicates that the population density from 1967 to

1969 may have been higher than from 1948 to 1953. This apparent change

may be attributable to a reduction in snaring, trapping, and aerial

hunting that took place between the two periods as a result of changes

in State game regulations.

A similar comparison between our observations from 1967 and those from

1968-69 (table 1) shows no significant difference between these years,

so it appears that the density of wolves in our area has remained about

the same over the period of three winters. This agrees with the results

of several other studies summarized by Mech (1970) in which wolf

populations unaffected by man have been found to remain relatively

stable from year to year.

Ecological Studies of the Timber Wolf in Northeastern Minnesota · 第 29 / 69 题