I started with a ticket for Berlin from London, and my first flight

was to Amsterdam. I started on a perfect day for flying. But as we

approached the Channel it became evident that we were not going to

cross the water, but that we were swerving round to Lympne. Something

had gone wrong. We landed at Lympne. The aviator apologised; he had an

oil leakage. Matters were patched up, and we got up again and flew to

Amsterdam. There the oil leakage was worse than ever, and we could not

have gone much farther. A head-wind or a sudden storm might have got us

into serious trouble. We had been flying in a machine that had not been

sedulously overhauled, an overworked machine.

Next day I should have flown on to Berlin. When I went to the Amsterdam

office to start, I learned that no aeroplane had come from Berlin

for two days--though it was admirable flying weather--and the office

could not tell me when a machine would be available. Apparently there

had been some financial dislocation of the German service. I had to

get round to various European towns I wanted to visit by means of the

shabby, disheartened railway services of Central Europe. Returning,

I did secure tickets for Paris from Prague by the Franco-Rumanian

Air Company, which professes to run a swift and regular service from

Bucharest to Paris. At the Prague aerodrome there is a vainglorious

monument, an obelisk, to commemorate the foundation of this company.

That and the office in Prague, where I got my money back, was as much

as I saw of the Franco-Rumanian Company. Thanks to certain fortunate

chances, which made me independent of private enterprise aeroplane

companies, I had had some beautiful flying in Czecho-Slovakia. I made

three delightful flights on three separate days, and on two of these

days the French machines were not going to Strassburg “on account of

the weather.”

The real trouble of that particular company, however, was not the

weather, but a shortage of machines. The company has no understanding

with the German Government, and its route lies over German territory

from Czecho-Slovakia to Strassburg. Badly overhauled machines are

never safe to get to their destination, and, I was told, eleven

Franco-Rumanian aeroplanes, forced to descend on German territory, had

been seized by the Germans.

’Planes were coming to Prague from Warsaw and Vienna and depositing

passengers there to get through to their destinations as well as

they could, but there was nothing going on to Strassburg. I got to

Paris from Prague by train via Amsterdam! That is the present route

between these two places, and I suppose it will remain so until our

great-grandchildren, if any, see what is left of the French removed

from what is left of the Ruhr Valley.

From Paris I started by an English service for London. We started

with an air of tremendous punctuality and efficiency from the Hôtel

Crillon at three in the afternoon. I reckoned we should be up by 3.30,

and that I should dine in London at half-past seven or eight. But

we muddled about at the aerodrome of Le Bourget until nearly five,

booking luggage, fooling with passports, packing the all too big and

clumsy omnibus machine. I sat in a seat with a lot of valises and hat

boxes, tied precariously with string, swaying in front of my nose.

The saloon had a worn and weary look; it was not nearly so pretty as

it is in the advertisement pictures. We made a fairly good flight to

the coast except that now and then the engine popped a little. We rose

over the water, as usual, to about five thousand feet. Then as we came

within distant sight of Dungeness, one engine began to miss badly. I

noticed that we were dropping rapidly. However, we escaped a ducking.

We crossed the coast-line while still at nearly two thousand feet and

landed at Lympne. Apologies. The defective engine, we were told, was

in a hopeless condition, and the company must send us passengers on

in cars to a rural railway station and so by slow train to London,

to arrive at heaven knows what hour. There was no attempt whatever

to bring up a reserve aeroplane from Croydon; I presume because the

company has no reserve aeroplanes available. I had the good luck to

find a friend at Lympne who took me to his house for the night and

turned my misfortune into pleasure, but my fellow-passengers were not

so fortunate.

Luckily I was not a passenger in the French Goliath which crashed

at West Malling in August last. I have flown successfully on one

occasion from Paris to London in a French Goliath, and on another have

started from London to Paris and had a forced landing at Lympne. These

Goliaths are quite good machines, but they seem to be unlucky ones.

That West Malling disaster was only another such story of “private

enterprise” flying as I have told, but carried to the pitch of tragedy.

The unfortunate machine must have been in a shocking condition of

maladjustment. It had already been down at Lympne for patching, and was

going on to Croydon. The radiator of the port engine had been leaking.

Then as it went on to Croydon the starboard engine failed completely.

But we have always been told, perhaps untruthfully, that even if

one engine of these double engine machines fails the other suffices

to carry on to a safe landing. The port engine was still going. The

aviator declared at first that there was a panic among the passengers,

and that is why he crashed in a nut plantation. I doubt about the

panic. But at any rate, here again was a machine in use in a condition

quite unfit for passenger traffic, so that it needed only a momentary

nervous failure to destroy it.

The moral I draw here to-day is to repeat exactly what I maintained

upon the British Civil Air Transport Commission in 1918. “Private

enterprise” cannot run successful European air services. Moreover, it

is impossible to control the air services of Europe on nationalist

lines. You cannot have nearly forty sovereign countries each trying to

wreck the air service of the other thirty-nine. Europe must be one

area for air transport under one control, or there can be nothing but a

few ferry services in operation. One comprehensive European air trust,

with hundreds and presently thousands of aeroplanes in daily flight

and two or three in reserve and under over-haul for every one in the

air, would have in the end an enormously profitable organisation. But

Europe to-day is as morally incapable of producing such an organisation

as Central Africa. These risky trips in dud machines and these flowery

prospectuses of defective services are as much organised public flying

as this generation is likely to see in Europe.

VII

WILL GERMANY BREAK INTO PIECES?

3.11.23

Will Germany break into pieces and become a group of divergent and

mutually hostile States?

To some readers this will seem to be an entirely useless question.

They will declare that the thing is happening. Germany is breaking up

visibly, they will say. Germany has attempted a democratic republic and

failed. The daily news is kaleidoscopic. It varies with the day and the

political bias of one’s paper. Sometimes Germany is breaking in this

way and sometimes in that. But few people seem to have much faith in

the final emergence of a united Germany from this sea of disaster and

misery in Central Europe.

Perhaps I believe too much in the things of the mind and imagination,

in language and writing and literature as a link and a sustaining power

in human affairs, but I do not share this belief in the break-up of

Germany. I believe she will keep together as Russian-speaking Russia

has kept together, and become again a great nation and a great people

playing a leading part in the world’s destinies.

It is true that her new democratic institutions have worked feebly and

disastrously. But just at present what we call democratic institutions,

our old clumsy system of voting and representative government that

is, are not working particularly well in any European country. One

cannot congratulate either Great Britain or France or Italy upon

its triumphant democracy just at the present time. The duly elected

British Government is unable to carry out its obvious foreign policy

effectively because it is shouted down by a millionaire newspaper-owner

suffering from Napoleonic mania, and in France the expression of

public opinion is not so much shouted down as battened down under

a centralised and all-powerful Press combine. France behaves with

the concentrated vigour of monomania, and Great Britain with the

self-regardful evasiveness of the feeble-minded, and the common citizen

of neither country is really justified in an attitude of superiority

towards the distraught and leaderless German.

Distraught and leaderless the Germans are, and--which is perhaps the

greatest misfortune that can happen to a people in the face of a

steadfast enemy--without a leading idea to hold them together. We have

to remember that this great people, the Germans, lost their way in

1848, and have still to recover it. At that time there was a reasonable

prospect of a Republican United States of Germany. It was wrecked by

the habitual particularism of Germany, and by the self-seeking treason

of the Hohenzollerns. Germany was unified later, but from above and

not from below, by a crown and dynasty and not by education and an

educated popular will, and Germany is still reaping the consequences of

that misfortune.

It is not the least among the endless inconveniences of monarchy that

it substitutes an unreal symbol for real ideas of unity. Instead of a

cult of brotherhood, instead of a pride in the achievements of one’s

own people in science and art and social progress and the service

of mankind, there is substituted, more or less completely, an idiot

adulation of the crowned head and his womankind and their offspring.

The school children of a monarchist country are trained up to a worship

of these glorified individuals; the flag becomes a carpet beneath the

feet of their deities, and their attention is diverted from their own

pride and honour as future members of a great community. Many people

never grow up out of the obsessions of a royalist training, and so it

is that the collapse of the Hohenzollern system has left great masses

of the German people imaginatively bankrupt and utterly confused. Any

people who had had the same training and the same experience would be

equally at a loss and helpless. The idea of a great German republic,

one and indivisible, has to be built up now in an atmosphere of

unparalleled storm, confusion, and disaster.

It cannot be built up all at once, and meanwhile anything superficial

in the way of separations may happen to Germany. I will not attempt to

discuss the bubblings of separatism and monarchist extremism that are

going on. But one probability is very present in my mind. It is one of

the paradoxes of the Russian situation that the Communist Government of

Moscow survives there very largely because under the stress of foreign

invasions and the foreign-subsidised devastations of White adventurers

it became a patriotic Government. In Germany now, neither the big

industrials, the old Junkers, nor the ruling classes generally seem to

have the wit and generosity to think of their civilisation as a whole.

The Communists do--after their fashion. At present the Communists are

showing no overwhelming strength in German affairs, but a time may come

when great numbers of the German people, trained in hardship, ruined

and desperate, may turn to this one party which tells the same story in

the Rhineland and Bavaria and Saxony and Prussia.

We have, I think, to count it among the possibilities of the present

situation that a Communist Government may presently be fighting for

German integrity against foreign domination in Berlin, and that great

masses of the German people, like the Russians, may prefer even

Communism to the certain shames and indignities of separatism. In which

case Monsieur Poincaré will, I suppose, beat up his armies of blacks

and whites and march on Berlin. With an “extension” trip to Moscow to

follow.

Yet even after that Germany will survive. Twice before in her history

Germany has arisen out of desolation and defeat. I believe she will

rise again out of her present darkness and end at last the central and

leading Power, the very keystone, it may be, of a reconstructed Europe.

I believe in the German schoolmaster, the German student, in German

persistency, and the patient strength of the German brain. I hated and

hate that bastard imitative Byzantine-German Imperialism and German

Junkerism, and I believe that our war to shatter these things was a

necessary war. But I have never faltered in my belief in the greatness

and soundness of the German people, and in my appreciation of all that

we owe in intellectual, social, and industrial stimulus to Germany.

Her present situation is unparalleled. Every attempt she makes to

get to her feet is thwarted by her pitiless, senseless foe. Our

English-speaking peoples, in our slow, oafish way, are looking on,

are assisting, at an attempt to waste and torment to death a great

community as civilised as our own. We never came into the war for any

such objective, and I do not believe that we shall stand by to the end

in the face of this iniquity.

But anyhow, I believe that Germany will come back. Her common language

and now her common miseries will keep her one. She has many enemies,

but on her side now is the long reach and the long memory of the

printed word. Bohemia, Czecho-Slovakia as we call it now, rose again

after an almost complete extinction of three hundred years. Dark years

are before Germany and a terrible winter, but in two years or ten years

Germany will have found her Masaryk and her Benes and be on her way to

recovery.

I would not like to be a German separatist in the days to come.

VIII

THE FUTURE OF THE BRITISH EMPIRE

_Empire Review. October 1923_

The _Empire Review_ has, I perceive, been born again and displays a

constellation of gifted contributors writing about subjects of which

their knowledge approaches saturation point. Commander Locker Lampson

is alive to the need of variety, and for an incidental change he asks

me to write upon a topic that he must feel is by no means my specialty.

He wants my views about the British Empire. I more than suspect he

counts upon my taking a Radical view of that great system. He selects

me, an obscure supporter of the Labour Party, as a sample of what men

are thinking on that side of the political arena. But I can write only

as a man in that street. The official attitude of the party is to

be found plainly and simply stated in the publications of the party

headquarters.

Yielding to the Editor’s persuasiveness, I will set down a few notes

and a few generalities that occur to me. They may offend some of those

peculiar people who are all out for the British Empire, any old British

Empire whatever it is and whatever it does, but I think that they may

be of interest to many--what shall I call them?--Imperialists, and

I take it most of the readers of the _Empire Review_ are such, who

are prepared for the idea that support of the British Empire may be a

conditional support and not a fanaticism.

Let me begin with something that is more than a mere verbal quibble.

I wish that this political system could have some other name than

Empire, because it is not properly an Empire at all. It is a complex

association of at least three different types of territory, and the

word “Empire” is endlessly misleading and mischievous in connection

with it.

In the last few years, for purposes that need not now concern us,

I have had to study a certain amount of history and a number of

historians. Many men of commanding intelligence have been historians,

and I offer no comparison between the intellectual quality of

historians and that of scientific men as such. But trained as I was in

the clear, subtle and beautiful disciplines of comparative anatomy, I

found myself amazed at the easy carelessness of the average historian’s

habitual terminology, his slovenly parallelisms and reckless

assumptions. A large part of his work is the study of human communities

and political associations. Yet I found him without any intelligible

classification of political combinations, any real sense of grades and

structural differences between one community and another. He slops the

word “Empire” over the whole face of history; Athenian Empire and Aztec

Empire, Shang Empire and Sung Empire, Empire of Alexander and Roman

Empire, Mongol Empire and Hittite Empire, British Empire and Brazilian

Empire; it’s all the same to him. “Cats is dogs,” as the porter said,

“rabbits is poultry, but a parrot is a passenger.” As a consequence,

the historian argues from the most atrocious analogies. And, though

there is a considerable and pretentious literature of political

science, there does not yet exist in all political and historical

literature any attempt at a clear analysis of the differences and

affinities of all these various human complexes. Yet to make such an

analysis would be a most attractive and fruitful task. Historical and

political science has still to find its Linnæus. History, until that

happens, remains a slough of terminological confusion, and the ideas of

the ordinary educated man drown in that mud.

The word “Empire” came into the world with the expansion of the Roman

Republic. The Roman Empire was a thing different in many fundamentals

from the so-called “Empires” that preceded it, the “Shah-doms,” if I

may create a sort of temporary word, of Asia and the “Pharaoh-doms” of

Egypt, for example. It differed from them at least as widely in its

possibilities, structure and range as a species of Tertiary mammals

differs from a species of Mesozoic reptiles. It was unprecedented

in arising out of an aristocratic republic instead of a conquering

monarchy, and in having a legal tradition of a strength and prestige

unknown to any previous community. It was unprecedented in its

disposition to extend its citizenship beyond its initial boundaries.

Its expansion was concurrent with an increasing use of coined money

and of credit based upon coined money; its economic and financial

system had a quite novel facility and instability. The Empire was held

together by a road-system that made the road-system of the Persians

seem a mere preliminary experiment. Its extent was far greater than

that of any preceding form of political administration. Reading and

writing, already raised to new levels of simplicity and convenience

by the Greeks and Hebrews, brought what we should think nowadays a

small proportion, but which was in those days a quite unprecedented

proportion, of the population into an intelligent participation in

public affairs. Iron had become widespread for tools and implements as

well as weapons, and the horse was now no longer a war-beast but, with

its bastard child the mule, a universally available means of transport.

All these things made the Roman Imperial System as new a thing in human

experience as the United States of America or the present British

“Empire,” both of which, I hold, are new species, fresh beginnings

without any true affinities in the past.

There is in all history only one rough parallel to the Roman Empire,

and that is its contemporary Chinese Empire. But I will restrain my

encyclopædic impulse and leave that out of our present discussion.

Now as Gibbon’s great history shows, the history of all Europe and

Western Asia since that time is really the story of this unique thing,

the Empire, the Roman Empire, and its struggle to exist, to remain

one, and to restore itself, when broken, to complete existence. It was

broken naturally by the Adriatic crack, running in towards that fatal

wedge out of the great plains of the nomads, Hungary; it was broken by

the general incapacity of the Italians for navigation, due perhaps to

characteristics of the Italian coast; it was broken by the intellectual

inadequacies of a plutocracy. But the Empires that sprang from it,

West and East, were only the results of a fission that left the idea

of reunion perpetually alive; the Holy Roman Empire, the Tzardom, the

Imperialism of Napoleon, even the Austrian Empire and the Hohenzollern

Empire, were all logically and legitimately the products of the

original Empire, legitimately Empires in origin and intention, attempts

to recover a universal sway; parts in a great dreary, futile European

drama on which at last in these days the curtain falls.

There has indeed only been one real Empire in the world, this that

centred upon Rome and the Mediterranean. Britain played a certain part

in this Empire; Henry VIII, for example, was Imperial candidate against

Charles V and the King of France; but the rôle of Britain therein has

generally been a marginal one. The importance of England to mankind

began only when it turned its face from the Empire and from thoughts of

the Empire to the ocean. What we call to-day the British Empire is a

new thing and a different thing from the Roman Empire, created by new

and greater forces, and deserving an entirely distinctive name.

The fifteenth and sixteenth centuries saw the opening phases of a great

process of change in human conditions that has been going on until the

present time. From the point of view of one who discusses political

or economic agglomerations, the most important thing in that great

revolution has been the development of new means of communication

between man and man. That revolution began with the appearance of

the ocean-going sailing ship and of printed paper; it reaches its

climax nowadays in wireless telegraphy and the aeroplane. It is now

a commonplace, though for many historians and scholars it is quite

a recent discovery, that any change in communications involves new

economic, strategic and political adjustments. For a score of centuries

the horse, the horse-drawn vehicle, the hand-made high-road, the

parchment document, the public speaker and vocal teacher and a feeble

coastal shipping had been the limiting conditions of all statecraft.

Under these conditions the idea of the Empire had been the highest

political idea in men’s minds. Now, however, in that age of Renascence,

the ocean which had been an ultimate barrier became almost suddenly

a highway; and the printed book, and, presently, the newspaper

quickened masses in the community, hitherto politically ineffective,

into informed activity. The politics and statecraft of Europe,

obsessed--still to this day obsessed--by the doomed Imperial tradition,

began nevertheless a clumsy slow adaptation to this process of material

change, unable to ignore its pressures and compulsions, but evidently

indisposed to recognise its nature.

I use this word “indisposed” deliberately. The political mind, like the

legal mind to which it is so closely akin, looks backward habitually,

prefers precedents to Utopias, clings to the old and is pushed along by

the new. Europe clings still to the Imperial tradition four centuries

after it became impracticable; its kindred peoples are divided and they

destroy one another in the feuds of a dead issue. Frenchman and German

waste Europe, as Asia Minor was wasted by Byzantine and Persian, in a

futile search for a kind of supremacy that can never return to this

world. They are like rivals who fight for a woman already dead and

decayed.

Continental Europe is being desolated and destroyed by imaginative

incapacity, by the failure to recognise the obsolescence of its

political ideas and traditions. But Europe is not the world, nor will

its decline and fall be the end of the human story. In the United

States of America, in this so-called British Empire, and now in the

United States of Russia, we must recognise a breaking away from

tradition as complete as when the Roman Empire broke away from the

forms and traditions of any previous political synthesis. These new

systems arise not to inherit, but to supersede.

A year of prophesying · 第 2 / 19 段