CHAPTER XIX

THE BATTLE OF JUTLAND

I. NORTH SEA STRATEGIES

The battle off Jutland Bank, which took place on May 31, 1916, was the

first and, at the time of writing, has been the only meeting between

the main naval forces of Great Britain and Germany. It was from the

first inevitable that we should have to wait long for a sea fight. It

was inevitable, because the probability of a smaller force being not

only decisively defeated, but altogether destroyed in a sea fight,

is far greater than in a land battle, and the consciousness of this

naturally makes it chary of the risk. Sea war in this respect preserves

the characteristic of ancient land fighting, for--as is luminously

explained in Commandant Colin’s incomparable “Transformations of

War”--it was a common characteristic of the older campaigns that the

main armies would remain almost in touch with each other month after

month before the battle took place. He sums up his generalization thus:

“From the highest antiquity,” he says, “till the time of Frederick II,

operations present the same character; not only Fabius or Turenne, but

also Cæsar, Condé, and Frederick, lead their armies in the same way.

Far from the enemy they force the pace, but as soon as they draw near

they move hither and thither in every direction, take days, weeks,

months in deciding to accept or to force battle. Whether the armies are

made up of hoplites or legionaries, or pikemen or musketeers, they

move as one whole and deploy very slowly. They cannot hurl themselves

upon the enemy as soon as they perceive him, because while they are

making ready for battle he disappears in another direction.

“In order to change this state of affairs we must somehow or another

be able to put into the fight big divisions, each deploying on its own

account, leaving gaps and irregularities along the front.

“This, as we have seen, is what happened in the eighteenth century.

“Up to the time of Frederick II, armies remained indivisible during

operations; they are like mathematical points on the huge theatres of

operations in Central Europe. It is not possible to grasp, to squeeze,

or even to push back on some obstacle, an enemy who refuses battle, and

retires laterally as well as backwards. There is no end to the pursuit.

It is the war of Cæsar, as it was that of Condé, Turenne, Montecuculi,

Villars, Eugène, Maurice de Saxe, and Frederick. It is the sort of

war that all more or less regular armies have made from the remotest

antiquity down to the middle of the eighteenth century.

“Battle only takes place by mutual consent, when both adversaries, as

at Rocroi, are equally sure of victory, and throw themselves at one

another in open country as if for a duel; or when one of them, as at

Laufeld, cannot retreat without abandoning the struggle; or when one is

surprised, as at Rossbach.

“And certainly to-day, as heretofore, a general may refuse battle; but

he cannot prolong his retreat for long--it is the only means that he

has for escaping the grip of the enemy--if the depth of the theatre

of operations is limited. On the other hand, an enemy formerly could

retire laterally, and disappear for months by perpetually running to

and fro, always taking cover behind every obstacle in order to avoid

attack.”

But at sea a fleet has to-day precisely the same power of avoiding

action that an army had in former days. It cannot disappear for months

by “running to and fro,” but it can disappear for years by burying

itself in inaccessible harbours. It can, in other words, take itself

out of the theatre of war altogether while yet retaining liberty at any

moment to re-enter it. How, in view of these potentialities, did the

rival fleets dispose their forces?

On April 25, 1916, some German cruisers made an attack on Lowestoft,

similar in character but far less considerable in result to those

made in the autumn of 1914, on the same small town, on Scarborough,

Whitby, and the Hartlepools. As in 1914, there was considerable

perturbation on the East Coast, and the Admiralty, urged to take steps

for the protection of the seaboard towns, made a somewhat startling

announcement. While this was going forward in England, the German

Admiralty put out an inspired commentary on the raid, which dwelt with

great exultation over the picture of “the Island Empire, once so proud,

now quivering with rage at its own impotence.” These two documents, the

First Lord’s and the German apology, led to a good deal of discussion,

which I dealt with at the time in terms that I quote textually, as

showing the general conception of naval strategy underlying the

dispositions of the British Fleet.

“The directly military employment of the British Fleet has during

the last week been made the subject of discussion. Mr. Balfour has

written a strange letter to the Mayors of the East Coast towns, which

foreshadows important developments; an inspired German apology for

the recent raid on Yarmouth and Lowestoft has been published, and both

have aroused comment. Mr. Balfour’s letter was inspired by a desire to

reassure the battered victims of the German bombardment. He realized

that the usual commonplace that these visits had little military value

no longer met the case, and proceeded to threaten the Germans with new

and more effective methods of meeting them, should these murderous

experiments be repeated. The new measures were to take two forms. The

towns themselves would be locally defended by monitors and submarines,

and, without disturbing naval preponderance elsewhere, new units would

be brought farther south, so that the interception of raiders would be

made more easy. But for one consideration the publication of such a

statement as this would be inexplicable. If the effective destruction

of German raiders really had been prepared, the last thing the

Admiralty would be expected to do would be to acquaint the enemy with

the disconcerting character of its future reception. Count Reventlow

indeed explains the publication by the fact that no such preparations

have indeed been made. But the thing is susceptible of a more probable

explanation.

“When Mr. Churchill, in the high tide of his optimism, addressed the

House of Commons at the beginning of last year--he had the Falkland

Islands and the Dogger Bank battles, the obliteration of the German

ocean cruising force, the extinction of the enemy merchant marine, the

security of English communications to his credit--he explained the

accumulated phenomena of our sea triumph by the splendid perfection

of his pre-war preparedness. The submarine campaign, the failure of

the Dardanelles, the revelation of the defenceless state of the

northeastern harbours, these things have somewhat modified the picture

that the ex-First Lord drew. And, not least of our disillusions, we

have all come to realize that in our neglect of the airship we have

allowed the enemy to develop, for his sole benefit, a method of naval

scouting that is entirely denied to us. That the British Admiralty and

the British Fleet perfectly realize this disadvantage is the meaning

of Mr. Balfour’s letter. He would not have told the enemy of our new

North Sea arrangements had he not known that he could not be kept in

ignorance of them for longer than a week or two, once they were made.

The letter is, in fact, an admission that our sea power has to a great

extent lost what was at one time its supreme prerogative, _the capacity

of strategical surprise_.

“But this does not materially alter the dynamics of the North Sea

position, although it greatly affects tactics. The German official

apologist will have it, however, that another factor has altered these

dynamics. Admiral Jellicoe, he says, may be secure enough with his

vast fleet in his ‘great bay in the Orkneys,’ and, between that and

the Norwegian coast, hold a perfectly effective blockade line, but

all British calculations of North Sea strategy have been upset by

the establishment of new enemy naval bases at Zeebrügge, Ostend, and

Antwerp. He speaks glibly, as if the co-operation of the forces based

on the Bight with those in the stolen Belgian ports had altered the

position fundamentally. This, of course, is the veriest rubbish. So

far no captured Belgian port has been made the base for anything more

important than submarines that can cross the North Sea under water, and

for the few destroyers that have made a dash through in the darkness.

Such balderdash as this, and that the German battle-cruisers did not

take to flight, but simply ‘returned to their bases’ without waiting

for the advent of ‘superior forces,’ imposes on nobody. It remains,

of course, perfectly manifest that our surface control of the North

Sea is as absolute as the character of modern weapons and the present

understanding of their use make possible.

“The principles behind our North Sea Strategy are simple. One hundred

years ago, had our main naval enemy been based on Cuxhaven and Kiel,

we should have held him there by as close a blockade as the number of

ships at our disposal, the weather conditions, and the seamanship of

our captains made possible. The development of the steam-driven ship

modified the theory of close blockade and, even without the torpedo,

would have made, with the speed now attainable, an exact continuation

of the old practice impossible. The under-water torpedo has simply

emphasized and added to difficulties that would, without it, have been

insuperable. But it has undoubtedly extended the range at which the

blockading force must hold itself in readiness. To reproduce, then,

in modern conditions the effect brought about by close blockade in

our previous wars, it is necessary to have a naval base at a suitable

distance from the enemy’s base. It must be one that is proof against

under-water or surface torpedo vessel attack, and it must be so

constituted that the force that normally maintains itself there is

capable of prompt and rapid sortie, and of pouncing upon any enemy

fleet that attempts to break out of the harbour in which it is intended

to confine it.

“The great bay in the Orkneys’ may, for all I know to the contrary,

supply at the present moment the Grand Fleet’s main base for such

blockade as we enforce. But there are a great many other ports, inlets,

and estuaries on the East Coast of Scotland and England which are

hardly likely to be entirely neglected. Not all, nor many, of these

would be suitable for fleet units of the greatest size and speed, but

some undoubtedly are suitable, and all those that are could be made to

satisfy the conditions of complete protection against secret attack.

Assuming the main battle fleet to be at an extremely northerly point,

any more southerly base which is kept either by battle cruisers, light

cruisers, or submarines may be regarded as an advance base, if for no

other reason than that it is so many miles nearer to the German base.

The Orkneys are 200 miles farther from Lowestoft than Lowestoft is from

Heligoland. An Orkney concentration while making the escape of the

Germans to the northward impossible, would leave them comparatively

free to harry the East Coast of England. If, approaching during the

night, they could arrive off that coast before the northern forces

had news of their leaving their harbours, they would have many hours’

start in the race home. It is not, then, a close blockade that was

maintained. This freedom had to be left the enemy--because no risk

could be taken in the main theatre. It is assumed on the one side

and admitted on the other, that Germany could gain nothing and would

risk everything by attempting to pass down the Channel. The Channel

is closed to the German Fleet precisely as the Sound is closed to the

British. It is not that it is physically impossible for either fleet

to get through, but that to force a passage would involve an operation

employing almost every kind of craft. Minefields would have to be

cleared, and battleships would have to be in attendance to protect the

mine-sweepers. The battleships in turn would have to be protected from

submarine attack, and as the operation of securing either channel

would take some time, there would be a virtual certainty of the force

employed being attacked in the greatest possible strength. In narrow

waters the fleet trying to force a passage would be compelled to engage

in the most disadvantageous possible circumstances. The Channel is

closed, then, for the Germans, as the Sound is closed to the British,

not by the under-water defences, but by the fact that to clear these

would involve an action in which the attacking party would be at too

great a disadvantage. The concentration, then, in the north of a

force adequate to deal with the _whole_ German Fleet--again I have

to say in the light of the way in which the use of modern weapons is

understood--remains our fundamental strategical principle.”

I then went on to reply to the critics who had said that the use of

monitors for coast defence was the most disturbing feature of a very

unwise series of departures from true policy, and then passed on to

what seemed to me the more serious criticism, as follows:

“The attack on this part of Mr. Balfour’s policy is vastly more

damaging. For it asserts that the policy of defensive offence, Great

Britain’s traditional sea strategy, has now been reversed. The East

Coast towns may expect comparative immunity, but only because the

strategic use of our forces has been altered. It is a modification

imposed upon the Admiralty by the action of the enemy. Its weakness

lies in the ‘substitution of squadrons _in fixed positions_ for

periodical sweeps in force through the length and breadth of the North

Sea.’ Were this indeed the meaning of Mr. Balfour’s letter and the

intention of his policy, nothing more deplorable could be imagined.

“But what ground is there for thinking that this is Mr. Balfour’s

meaning? He says nothing of the kind. He makes it quite clear that a

new arrangement is made possible by _additional units_ of the first

importance now being ready to use. The old provision of adequate

naval preponderance at the right point has not been disturbed. It is

merely proposed to establish new and advanced bases from which the new

available squadrons can strike. It stands to reason that the nearer

this base is to the shortest line between Heligoland and the East

Coast, the greater the chance of the force within it being able to

fall upon Germany’s cruising or raiding units if they venture within

the radius of its action. To establish a new or more southerly base,

then, is a development of, and not a departure from, our previous

strategy--it shortens the radius of German freedom. If there is nothing

to show that the old distribution is changed, certainly there is no

suggestion that the squadron destined for the new base will be ‘fixed’

there. If squadrons now based on the north are there only to pounce

upon the emerging German ships, why should squadrons based farther

south not be employed for a similar purpose?”

The foregoing will make it clear that the general idea of British

strategy was to maintain, to the extreme north of these islands,

an overwhelming force of capital ships. It was adopted because it

economized strength and secured the main object--viz. the paralysis of

our enemy, outside certain narrow limits.

The southern half of the North Sea--say, roughly from Peterhead to

the Skagerack, 400 miles; from the Skagerack to Heligoland, 250; from

Heligoland to Lowestoft, 300; and from Lowestoft to Peterhead, 350

miles--was left as a kind of no man’s land. If the Germans chose to

cruise about in this area, they took the chance of being cut off and

engaged by the British forces, whose policy it was to leave their

bases from time to time for what Sir John Jellicoe in the Jutland

despatch describes as “periodic sweeps through the North Sea.” But

the German Fleet being supplied with Zeppelins, could, in weather

in which Zeppelins could scout, get information so far afield as to

be able to choose the times for their own cruises in the North Sea,

and so make the procedure a perfectly safe one, so long as chance

encounters with submarines and straying into British mine-fields could

be avoided. Thus for the old policy of close blockade was substituted

a new one, that of leaving the enemy a large field in which he might

be tempted to manœuvre; and it had this value, that should he yield to

the temptation, an opportunity must sooner or later be afforded to the

British Fleet of cutting him off and bringing him to action. Meantime

he was cut off from any large adventure far afield. He would have to

fight for freedom. It gave, so to speak, the Germans the chance of

playing a new sort of “Tom Tiddler’s ground.” The point to bear in mind

is, that it left the Germans precisely the same freedom to seek or

avoid action as the armies of antiquity possessed. Thus no naval battle

could be expected unless--as Colin says--the weaker wished to fight, or

was cornered or surprised.

Now, against surprise, the German Fleet was seemingly protected

by Zeppelins. It could hardly be cornered unless, in weather in

which aerial scouting was impossible, it was tempted to some great

adventure--such as the despatch of a raiding force to invade--which

would enable a fast British division to get between this force and

its base. So that the chance of a fleet action really turned upon the

Germans being willing to fight one. And they could not be expected to

be anxious for this. “A war,” says Colin, “is always slow in which we

know that the battle will be decisive, and it is so important as to be

only accepted voluntarily.”

The state of relative strength in May, 1916, was not such as to afford

the Germans the slightest hope of a decisive victory if it brought the

whole British Fleet to action. Nor was the naval situation such that

there was any stroke that Germany could execute if it could hold the

command of some sea passage for twenty-four hours or so. There was

nothing it could expect to achieve if, by defeating or at any rate

standing off one section of the British Fleet, it could enjoy a brief

local ascendancy.

The argument, indeed, was all the other way. The professed main

naval policy of Germany, viz., the blockade of England by submarine,

though for the moment in abeyance, was being held in reserve until

the military and political situation made the stake worth the candle.

Now, deliberately to risk the High Seas Fleet in an action on the

grand scale, when the chances of decisive victory were remote and the

probability of annihilation extremely high, was to jeopardize not the

fleet alone but also the blockade. For, with the High Seas Fleet once

out of the way, the one stroke against the submarine which could alone

be perfectly effective, viz., the close under-water blockade by mines,

immediately outside the German harbours, would at once become feasible.

So far, then, as military considerations went, the arguments against

seeking action were far stronger than those in its favour.

But in war it is not always reasons which are purely military that

operate; and as this war got into its second year there were many

forces, each of which contributed something towards driving the

German Navy into action. First, and in all probability by far the

most powerful, would be the impatience of a large body of brave and

skilful seamen--in control of an enormous sea force--with the _rôle_

of idleness and impotence that had been imposed upon them. The German

apologist, when uttering his pæans of triumph over the bombardments of

Lowestoft, said, on May 7:

“It must not be assumed that this adventure was a mere question of

bombarding some fortified coast places. It would also be a mistake to

think that it was only an expression of the spirit of enterprise in our

young Navy. The spirit is indeed just as fresh as ever, and is simply

thirsting for deeds, and when one sees or talks to officers and men one

reads on their lips the desire ‘If only we could get out.’ The sitting

still during the spring and winter may also play their part in this.

Only a well-considered leadership knows when it will use this thirst

for action, and employ it in undertakings which keep the great whole in

view. Our Navy, thank God, does not need to pursue prestige policy; the

services which it has already rendered us are too considerable and too

important for that.”

There is no occasion to quarrel with a word in this passage. The German

admirals and captains in command of twenty-three or twenty-four of the

most powerful ships in the world must certainly have been straining at

the leash. This, then, would be a predisposing cause to a battle of

some kind being voluntarily sought by the weaker force.

And in May, 1916, there were other causes as well. The German Higher

Command, while ignorant perhaps of the exact points at which the

Allies would attack, must have been very perfectly aware that attacks

of the most formidable character, and on all fronts, were impending.

It also knew that the resources of the Central Empires were to this

extent relatively exhausted, that all the Allied attacks, when they

came, must result in a series of successes, not of course immediately

decisive, but such as no counter-attacks could balance or neutralize.

Austria and Germany, in short, would be shown to be on the defensive.

They would have to yield ground. It may not have seemed a situation

bound to lead to military defeat. For the superiority of the Allies--at

least so it may have appeared to the German command--in men and

ammunition and _moral_, would have to be overwhelming to bring this

about.

But the Higher Command had made the mistake of carrying the civil

population with them in the declaration and prosecution of the war,

first by the promise and then by the assertion of overwhelming victory.

But the victory that was claimed did not materialize in the way that is

normal to great victories. There was no submission of the enemy, and no

sign of a wish for an honourable peace. What was worse, the defeated

enemy had shown an almost unlimited capacity to starve and hamper

their conquerors. It was bad enough that they should not acknowledge

themselves beaten. It was worse that the flail of hunger should fall on

those who should be fattening on the fruits of victory. What would the

state of mind of the German people be if, on the top of all this, the

conquered Allies were to evince a capacity for winning a few battles

themselves? It was manifestly a position in which, at any cost, the

_moral_ of the German people should be braced for a new trial. Given a

fleet impatient to get out and a higher command anxious for news of a

victory, these are surely elements enough to explain the events that

led to the action of May 31.

But the most powerful motive of all was this: Not only was German

_moral_ badly in need of refreshment, it was especially that Germany’s

belief in her naval power needed to be confirmed. For, in the last week

in April, the Emperor and his counsellors had been compelled to submit

to a peremptory ultimatum despatched by President Wilson with the

endorsement of both houses of Congress behind him. Towards the end of

the winter 1915-16 the German people had been led to expect a decisive

stroke against England by the new U-boats which the Tirpitz building

programme of the previous year was reputed to be producing in large

and punctual numbers. The Grand Admiral himself, amid the vociferous

applause of the Jingoes and Junkers, announced that the campaign would

begin on a certain day in March. The story how more cautious counsels

prevailed, how the Grand Admiral was dismissed, how an agitation was

thereupon organized throughout Germany, and how, finally, the campaign

was begun, though its author was out of office, are well known. The

point is that the sinking of the passenger ship _Sussex_ led America

to define the position and to inflict a public humiliation, not only

on the German Government but on the German Navy. On the top of all the

other predisposing causes, then, here was a special reason why the

sea forces of the Fatherland should vindicate their existence by some

signal act of daring.

We must then, I think, in considering the Battle of Jutland, start

with the assumption that the German Fleet came out in obedience both

to policy and to its own desire. But we should be wrong if we supposed

that they came out with any hopes of achieving final and decisive

victory. It has never been a characteristic of German military thought

to build on the possibilities of an inferior force defeating its

superior.

On the other hand, it was very confident that it could not be

decisively beaten. Being an inferior force, the German Navy has been

driven to giving the utmost consideration to all the methods of

fighting that can add to the defensive in battle. It was not slow to

realize, as we have seen, the enormous advantage that the dirigible

airship offered in scouting, and from the first it has devoted itself

with special energy and care to the practice and development of the

defensive tactics which the long-range torpedo made possible. Nor is

this all. For though the Germany Navy was the last of all the great

navies to cultivate long-range gunnery, it very quickly appreciated the

fact that its efficiency depended upon the visibility of the target,

that it should be launched at periods when the rate of change was

constant. It consequently made it a first step in its war preparations

to supply itself with the finest optical instruments regardless of

cost, so as to get the range and the rate with utmost accuracy and

rapidity and to master all the means by which the enemy’s gunfire

could be made nugatory both by devices that would hide its own ships

from his view, and by imposing sudden manœuvres by torpedo attack. We

have already seen, in the story of the Dogger Bank engagement, how

the pursuing British battle-cruisers were hampered in their chase and

indeed deflected from their course by submarines skilfully stationed

for attack, and by the employment in action of destroyer flotillas.

And, again, how when _Bluecher_ was disabled, and two out of three

battle-cruisers were on fire and their batteries useless, they were

shielded in their final flight by the destroyers interposing themselves

on the British line of fire and then raising huge volumes of smoke

impenetrable to the eye.

Lastly, as German writers since the battle have never ceased to remind

us, the German Fleet had never been built with the idea of its being

able to fight and defeat the British Fleet, but with the idea of

creating a force so formidable that the British Fleet would not face

the risk to itself that would be involved in its destruction. That

there was some justification for such a belief will become apparent

when we consider the statements of various British naval authorities

made after the action was over. I draw attention to it here because it

was undoubtedly reliance on some hesitation of this kind that gave the

Germans such confidence in the methods of evasion which they adopted

when the two fleets met.

In asking ourselves why the Germans came out we must bear this

extremely significant truth in mind. They believed that they could

almost certainly avoid contact with the Grand Fleet, but they also

believed that if contact were made, what with torpedo attacks and

smoke screens, they could hold off their enemies long enough to make

evasion possible. To the Germans, then, it was very far from being an

irrational risk to come into the North Sea to look for the enemy, with

a view to fight on the principle of limited liability.

The British Navy in Battle · 第 19 / 25 章