I.

If a slight impulse be imparted to a system in equilibrium one of two

consequences must ensue; either small oscillations of the system will

be started, or the disturbance will increase without limit and the

arrangement of the system will be completely changed. Thus a stick may

be in equilibrium either when it hangs from a peg or when it is balanced

on its point. If in the first case the stick is touched it will swing to

and fro, but in the second case it will topple over. The first position

is a stable one, the second is unstable. But this case is too simple to

illustrate all that is implied by stability, and we must consider cases

of stable and of unstable motion. Imagine a satellite and its planet,

and consider each of them to be of indefinitely small size, in fact

particles; then the satellite revolves round its planet in an ellipse. A

small disturbance imparted to the satellite will only change the ellipse

to a small amount, and so the motion is said to be stable. If, on the

other hand, the disturbance were to make the satellite depart from its

initial elliptic orbit in ever widening circuits, the motion would be

unstable. This case affords an example of stable motion, but I have

adduced it principally with the object of illustrating another point

not immediately connected with stability, but important to a proper

comprehension of the theory of stability.

The motion of a satellite about its planet is one of revolution or

rotation. When the satellite moves in an ellipse of any given degree

of eccentricity, there is a certain amount of rotation in the system,

technically called rotational momentum, and it is always the same at

every part of the orbit. (Moment of momentum or rotational momentum

is measured by the momentum of the satellite multiplied by the

perpendicular from the planet on to the direction of the path of the

satellite at any instant.)

Now if we consider all the possible elliptic orbits of a satellite about

its planet which have the same amount of "rotational momentum," we find

that the major axis of the ellipse described will be different according

to the amount of flattening (or the eccentricity) of the ellipse

described. A figure titled "A 'family' of elliptic orbits with constant

rotational momentum" (Fig. 1) illustrates for a given planet and

satellite all such orbits with constant rotational momentum, and with

all the major axes in the same direction. It will be observed that there

is a continuous transformation from one orbit to the next, and that the

whole forms a consecutive group, called by mathematicians "a family"

of orbits. In this case the rotational momentum is constant and the

position of any orbit in the family is determined by the length of the

major axis of the ellipse; the classification is according to the major

axis, but it might have been made according to anything else which would

cause the orbit to be exactly determinate.

I shall come later to the classification of all possible forms of ideal

liquid stars, which have the same amount of rotational momentum, and the

classification will then be made according to their densities, but the

idea of orderly arrangement in a "family" is just the same.

We thus arrive at the conception of a definite type of motion, with

a constant amount of rotational momentum, and a classification of all

members of the family, formed by all possible motions of that type,

according to the value of some measurable quantity (this will hereafter

be density) which determines the motion exactly. In the particular case

of the elliptic motion used for illustration the motion was stable,

but other cases of motion might be adduced in which the motion would

be unstable, and it would be found that classification in a family and

specification by some measurable quantity would be equally applicable.

A complex mechanical system may be capable of motion in several distinct

modes or types, and the motions corresponding to each such type may

be arranged as before in families. For the sake of simplicity I will

suppose that only two types are possible, so that there will only be two

families; and the rotational momentum is to be constant. The two types

of motion will have certain features in common which we denote in a sort

of shorthand by the letter A. Similarly the two types may be described

as A + a and A + b, so that a and b denote the specific differences

which discriminate the families from one another. Now following in

imagination the family of the type A + a, let us begin with the case

where the specific difference a is well marked. As we cast our eyes

along the series forming the family, we find the difference a becoming

less conspicuous. It gradually dwindles until it disappears; beyond this

point it either becomes reversed, or else the type has ceased to be

a possible one. In our shorthand we have started with A + a, and have

watched the characteristic a dwindling to zero. When it vanishes we have

reached a type which may be specified as A; beyond this point the type

would be A - a or would be impossible.

Following the A + b type in the same way, b is at first well marked, it

dwindles to zero, and finally may become negative. Hence in shorthand

this second family may be described as A + b,... A,... A - b.

In each family there is one single member which is indistinguishable

from a member of the other family; it is called by Poincare a form of

bifurcation. It is this conception of a form of bifurcation which forms

the important consideration in problems dealing with the forms of liquid

or gaseous bodies in rotation.

But to return to the general question,--thus far the stability of these

families has not been considered, and it is the stability which renders

this way of looking at the matter so valuable. It may be proved that if

before the point of bifurcation the type A + a was stable, then A + b

must have been unstable. Further as a and b each diminish A + a becomes

less pronouncedly stable, and A + b less unstable. On reaching the point

of bifurcation A + a has just ceased to be stable, or what amounts to

the same thing is just becoming unstable, and the converse is true

of the A + b family. After passing the point of bifurcation A + a has

become definitely unstable and A + b has become stable. Hence the point

of bifurcation is also a point of "exchange of stabilities between the

two types." (In order not to complicate unnecessarily this explanation

of a general principle I have not stated fully all the cases that may

occur. Thus: firstly, after bifurcation A + a may be an impossible type

and A + a will then stop at this point; or secondly, A + b may have been

an impossible type before bifurcation, and will only begin to be a real

one after it; or thirdly, both A + a and A + b may be impossible after

the point of bifurcation, in which case they coalesce and disappear.

This last case shows that types arise and disappear in pairs, and that

on appearance or before disappearance one must be stable and the other

unstable.)

In nature it is of course only the stable types of motion which can

persist for more than a short time. Thus the task of the physical

evolutionist is to determine the forms of bifurcation, at which he must,

as it were, change carriages in the evolutionary journey so as always

to follow the stable route. He must besides be able to indicate

some natural process which shall correspond in effect to the ideal

arrangement of the several types of motion in families with gradually

changing specific differences. Although, as we shall see hereafter, it

may frequently or even generally be impossible to specify with exactness

the forms of bifurcation in the process of evolution, yet the conception

is one of fundamental importance.

The ideas involved in this sketch are no doubt somewhat recondite, but I

hope to render them clearer to the non-mathematical reader by homologous

considerations in other fields of thought (I considered this subject in

my Presidential address to the British Association in 1905, "Report of

the 75th Meeting of the British Assoc." (S. Africa, 1905), London, 1906,

page 3. Some reviewers treated my speculations as fanciful, but as I

believe that this was due generally to misapprehension, and as I hold

that homologous considerations as to stability and instability are

really applicable to evolution of all sorts, I have thought it well to

return to the subject in the present paper.), and I shall pass on thence

to illustrations which will teach us something of the evolution of

stellar systems.

States or governments are organised schemes of action amongst groups of

men, and they belong to various types to which generic names, such as

autocracy, aristocracy or democracy, are somewhat loosely applied. A

definite type of government corresponds to one of our types of

motion, and while retaining its type it undergoes a slow change as the

civilisation and character of the people change, and as the relationship

of the nation to other nations changes. In the language used before, the

government belongs to a family, and as time advances we proceed through

the successive members of the family. A government possesses a certain

degree of stability--hardly measurable in numbers however--to resist

disintegrating influences such as may arise from wars, famines, and

internal dissensions. This stability gradually rises to a maximum and

gradually declines. The degree of stability at any epoch will depend on

the fitness of some leading feature of the government to suit the

slowly altering circumstances, and that feature corresponds to the

characteristic denoted by a in the physical problem. A time at length

arrives when the stability vanishes, and the slightest shock will

overturn the government. At this stage we have reached the crisis of

a point of bifurcation, and there will then be some circumstance,

apparently quite insignificant and almost unnoticed, which is such as

to prevent the occurrence of anarchy. This circumstance or condition

is what we typified as b. Insignificant although it may seem, it has

started the government on a new career of stability by imparting to it

a new type. It grows in importance, the form of government becomes

obviously different, and its stability increases. Then in its turn this

newly acquired stability declines, and we pass on to a new crisis or

revolution. There is thus a series of "points of bifurcation" in history

at which the continuity of political history is maintained by means of

changes in the type of government. These ideas seem, to me at least, to

give a true account of the history of states, and I contend that it is

no mere fanciful analogy but a true homology, when in both realms of

thought--the physical and the political--we perceive the existence of

forms of bifurcation and of exchanges of stability.

Further than this, I would ask whether the same train of ideas does not

also apply to the evolution of animals? A species is well adapted to its

environment when the individual can withstand the shocks of famine or

the attacks and competition of other animals; it then possesses a high

degree of stability. Most of the casual variations of individuals are

indifferent, for they do not tell much either for or against success

in life; they are small oscillations which leave the type unchanged. As

circumstances change, the stability of the species may gradually dwindle

through the insufficiency of some definite quality, on which in earlier

times no such insistent demands were made. The individual animals will

then tend to fail in the struggle for life, the numbers will dwindle and

extinction may ensue. But it may be that some new variation, at first of

insignificant importance, may just serve to turn the scale. A new

type may be formed in which the variation in question is preserved and

augmented; its stability may increase and in time a new species may be

produced.

At the risk of condemnation as a wanderer beyond my province into the

region of biological evolution, I would say that this view accords with

what I understand to be the views of some naturalists, who recognise the

existence of critical periods in biological history at which extinction

occurs or which form the starting-point for the formation of new

species. Ought we not then to expect that long periods will elapse

during which a type of animal will remain almost constant, followed by

other periods, enormously long no doubt as measured in the life of man,

of acute struggle for existence when the type will change more rapidly?

This at least is the view suggested by the theory of stability in

the physical universe. (I make no claim to extensive reading on this

subject, but refer the reader for example to a paper by Professor A.A.W.

Hubrecht on "De Vries's theory of Mutations", "Popular Science Monthly",

July 1904, especially to page 213.)

And now I propose to apply these ideas of stability to the theory of

stellar evolution, and finally to illustrate them by certain recent

observations of a very remarkable character.

Stars and planets are formed of materials which yield to the enormous

forces called into play by gravity and rotation. This is obviously true

if they are gaseous or fluid, and even solid matter becomes plastic

under sufficiently great stresses. Nothing approaching a complete study

of the equilibrium of a heterogeneous star has yet been found possible,

and we are driven to consider only bodies of simpler construction. I

shall begin therefore by explaining what is known about the shapes which

may be assumed by a mass of incompressible liquid of uniform density

under the influences of gravity and of rotation. Such a liquid mass may

be regarded as an ideal star, which resembles a real star in the fact

that it is formed of gravitating and rotating matter, and because its

shape results from the forces to which it is subject. It is unlike a

star in that it possesses the attributes of incompressibility and

of uniform density. The difference between the real and the ideal is

doubtless great, yet the similarity is great enough to allow us

to extend many of the conclusions as to ideal liquid stars to the

conditions which must hold good in reality. Thus with the object of

obtaining some insight into actuality, it is justifiable to discuss an

avowedly ideal problem at some length.

The attraction of gravity alone tends to make a mass of liquid assume

the shape of a sphere, and the effects of rotation, summarised under

the name of centrifugal force, are such that the liquid seeks to spread

itself outwards from the axis of rotation. It is a singular fact that

it is unnecessary to take any account of the size of the mass of liquid

under consideration, because the shape assumed is exactly the same

whether the mass be small or large, and this renders the statement of

results much easier than would otherwise be the case.

A mass of liquid at rest will obviously assume the shape of a sphere,

under the influence of gravitation, and it is a stable form, because

any oscillation of the liquid which might be started would gradually die

away under the influence of friction, however small. If now we impart

to the whole mass of liquid a small speed of rotation about some axis,

which may be called the polar axis, in such a way that there are no

internal currents and so that it spins in the same way as if it were

solid, the shape will become slightly flattened like an orange. Although

the earth and the other planets are not homogeneous they behave in the

same way, and are flattened at the poles and protuberant at the equator.

This shape may therefore conveniently be described as planetary.

If the planetary body be slightly deformed the forces of restitution

are slightly less than they were for the sphere; the shape is stable

but somewhat less so than the sphere. We have then a planetary spheroid,

rotating slowly, slightly flattened at the poles, with a high degree of

stability, and possessing a certain amount of rotational momentum. Let

us suppose this ideal liquid star to be somewhere in stellar space far

removed from all other bodies; then it is subject to no external forces,

and any change which ensues must come from inside. Now the amount

of rotational momentum existing in a system in motion can neither be

created nor destroyed by any internal causes, and therefore, whatever

happens, the amount of rotational momentum possessed by the star must

remain absolutely constant.

A real star radiates heat, and as it cools it shrinks. Let us suppose

then that our ideal star also radiates and shrinks, but let the process

proceed so slowly that any internal currents generated in the liquid

by the cooling are annulled so quickly by fluid friction as to be

insignificant; further let the liquid always remain at any instant

incompressible and homogeneous. All that we are concerned with is that,

as time passes, the liquid star shrinks, rotates in one piece as if it

were solid, and remains incompressible and homogeneous. The condition is

of course artificial, but it represents the actual processes of nature

as well as may be, consistently with the postulated incompressibility

and homogeneity. (Mathematicians are accustomed to regard the density

as constant and the rotational momentum as increasing. But the way of

looking at the matter, which I have adopted, is easier of comprehension,

and it comes to the same in the end.)

The shrinkage of a constant mass of matter involves an increase of its

density, and we have therefore to trace the changes which supervene as

the star shrinks, and as the liquid of which it is composed increases

in density. The shrinkage will, in ordinary parlance, bring the weights

nearer to the axis of rotation. Hence in order to keep up the rotational

momentum, which as we have seen must remain constant, the mass must

rotate quicker. The greater speed of rotation augments the importance of

centrifugal force compared with that of gravity, and as the flattening

of the planetary spheroid was due to centrifugal force, that flattening

is increased; in other words the ellipticity of the planetary spheroid

increases.

As the shrinkage and corresponding increase of density proceed, the

planetary spheroid becomes more and more elliptic, and the succession

of forms constitutes a family classified according to the density of

the liquid. The specific mark of this family is the flattening or

ellipticity.

Now consider the stability of the system, we have seen that the spheroid

with a slow rotation, which forms our starting-point, was slightly less

stable than the sphere, and as we proceed through the family of ever

flatter ellipsoids the stability continues to diminish. At length when

it has assumed the shape shown in a figure titled "Planetary spheroid

just becoming unstable" (Fig. 2.) where the equatorial and polar axes

are proportional to the numbers 1000 and 583, the stability has just

disappeared. According to the general principle explained above this

is a form of bifurcation, and corresponds to the form denoted A. The

specific difference a of this family must be regarded as the excess

of the ellipticity of this figure above that of all the earlier ones,

beginning with the slightly flattened planetary spheroid. Accordingly

the specific difference a of the family has gradually diminished from

the beginning and vanishes at this stage.

According to Poincare's principle the vanishing of the stability serves

us with notice that we have reached a figure of bifurcation, and

it becomes necessary to inquire what is the nature of the specific

difference of the new family of figures which must be coalescent with

the old one at this stage. This difference is found to reside in the

fact that the equator, which in the planetary family has hitherto been

circular in section, tends to become elliptic. Hitherto the rotational

momentum has been kept up to its constant value partly by greater speed

of rotation and partly by a symmetrical bulging of the equator. But now

while the speed of rotation still increases (The mathematician familiar

with Jacobi's ellipsoid will find that this is correct, although in

the usual mode of exposition, alluded to above in a footnote, the speed

diminishes.), the equator tends to bulge outwards at two diametrically

opposite points and to be flattened midway between these protuberances.

The specific difference in the new family, denoted in the general sketch

by b, is this ellipticity of the equator. If we had traced the planetary

figures with circular equators beyond this stage A, we should have found

them to have become unstable, and the stability has been shunted off

along the A + b family of forms with elliptic equators.

This new series of figures, generally named after the great

mathematician Jacobi, is at first only just stable, but as the density

increases the stability increases, reaches a maximum and then declines.

As this goes on the equator of these Jacobian figures becomes more

and more elliptic, so that the shape is considerably elongated in a

direction at right angles to the axis of rotation.

At length when the longest axis of the three has become about three

times as long as the shortest (The three axes of the ellipsoid are

then proportional to 1000, 432, 343.), the stability of this family of

figures vanishes, and we have reached a new form of bifurcation and must

look for a new type of figure along which the stable development will

presumably extend. Two sections of this critical Jacobian figure, which

is a figure of bifurcation, are shown by the dotted lines in a figure

titled "The 'pear-shaped figure' and the Jocobian figure from which it

is derived" (Fig. 3.) comprising two figures, one above the other: the

upper figure is the equatorial section at right angles to the axis of

rotation, the lower figure is a section through the axis.

Now Poincare has proved that the new type of figure is to be derived

from the figure of bifurcation by causing one of the ends to be

prolonged into a snout and by bluntening the other end. The snout forms

a sort of stalk, and between the stalk and the axis of rotation the

surface is somewhat flattened. These are the characteristics of a pear,

and the figure has therefore been called the "pear-shaped figure of

equilibrium." The firm line shows this new type of figure, whilst, as

already explained, the dotted line shows the form of bifurcation

from which it is derived. The specific mark of this new family is the

protrusion of the stalk together with the other corresponding smaller

differences. If we denote this difference by c, while A + b denotes the

Jacobian figure of bifurcation from which it is derived, the new family

may be called A + b + c, and c is zero initially. According to my

calculations this series of figures is stable (M. Liapounoff contends

that for constant density the new series of figures, which M. Poincare

discovered, has less rotational momentum than that of the figure of

bifurcation. If he is correct, the figure of bifurcation is a limit of

stable figures, and none can exist with stability for greater rotational

momentum. My own work seems to indicate that the opposite is true, and,

notwithstanding M. Liapounoff's deservedly great authority, I venture

to state the conclusions in accordance with my own work.), but I do not

know at what stage of its development it becomes unstable.

Professor Jeans has solved a problem which is of interest as throwing

light on the future development of the pear-shaped figure, although

it is of a still more ideal character than the one which has been

discussed. He imagines an INFINITELY long circular cylinder of liquid

to be in rotation about its central axis. The existence is virtually

postulated of a demon who is always occupied in keeping the axis of the

cylinder straight, so that Jeans has only to concern himself with the

stability of the form of the section of the cylinder, which as I have

said is a circle with the axis of rotation at the centre. He then

supposes the liquid forming the cylinder to shrink in diameter, just as

we have done, and finds that the speed of rotation must increase so as

to keep up the constancy of the rotational momentum. The circularity of

section is at first stable, but as the shrinkage proceeds the stability

diminishes and at length vanishes. This stage in the process is a form

of bifurcation, and the stability passes over to a new series consisting

of cylinders which are elliptic in section. The circular cylinders are

exactly analogous with our planetary spheroids, and the elliptic ones

with the Jacobian ellipsoids.

With further shrinkage the elliptic cylinders become unstable, a new

form of bifurcation is reached, and the stability passes over to a

series of cylinders whose section is pear-shaped. Thus far the analogy

is complete between our problem and Jeans's, and in consequence of

the greater simplicity of the conditions, he is able to carry his

investigation further. He finds that the stalk end of the pear-like

section continues to protrude more and more, and the flattening between

it and the axis of rotation becomes a constriction. Finally the neck

breaks and a satellite cylinder is born. Jeans's figure for an advanced

stage of development is shown in a figure titled "Section of a rotating

cylinder of liquid" (Fig. 4.), but his calculations do not enable him

actually to draw the state of affairs after the rupture of the neck.

There are certain difficulties in admitting the exact parallelism

between this problem and ours, and thus the final development of our

pear-shaped figure and the end of its stability in a form of bifurcation

remain hidden from our view, but the successive changes as far as they

have been definitely traced are very suggestive in the study of stellar

evolution.

Attempts have been made to attack this problem from the other end. If

we begin with a liquid satellite revolving about a liquid planet and

proceed backwards in time, we must make the two masses expand so that

their density will be diminished. Various figures have been drawn

exhibiting the shapes of two masses until their surfaces approach close

to one another and even until they just coalesce, but the discussion of

their stability is not easy. At present it would seem to be impossible

to reach coalescence by any series of stable transformations, and

if this is so Professor Jeans's investigation has ceased to be truly

analogous to our problem at some undetermined stage. However this may be

this line of research throws an instructive light on what we may expect

to find in the evolution of real stellar systems.

In the second part of this paper I shall point out the bearing which

this investigation of the evolution of an ideal liquid star may have on

the genesis of double stars.

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