I would also venture to suggest some reasons against the very nature of

the theory of Professor Forbes. Our knowledge of the organic world

during any geological epoch is necessarily very imperfect. Looking at

the vast numbers of species and groups that have been discovered by

geologists, this may be doubted; but we should compare their numbers not

merely with those that now exist upon the earth, but with a far larger

amount. We have no reason for believing that the number of species on

the earth at any former period was much less than at present; at all

events the aquatic portion, with which geologists have most

acquaintance, was probably often as great or greater. Now we know that

there have been many complete changes of species; new sets of organisms

have many times been introduced in place of old ones which have become

extinct, so that the total amount which have existed on the earth from

the earliest geological period must have borne about the same proportion

to those now living, as the whole human race who have lived and died

upon the earth, to the population at the present time. Again, at each

epoch, the whole earth was no doubt, as now, more or less the theatre of

life, and as the successive generations of each species died, their

exuviae and preservable parts would be deposited over every portion of

the then existing seas and oceans, which we have reason for supposing to

have been more, rather than less, extensive than at present. In order

then to understand our possible knowledge of the early world and its

inhabitants, we must compare, not the area of the whole field of our

geological researches with the earth's surface, but the area of the

examined portion of each formation separately with the whole earth. For

example, during the Silurian period all the earth was Silurian, and

animals were living and dying, and depositing their remains more or less

over the whole area of the globe, and they were probably (the species at

least) nearly as varied in different latitudes and longitudes as at

present. What proportion do the Silurian districts bear to the whole

surface of the globe, land and sea (for far more extensive Silurian

districts probably exist beneath the ocean than above it), and what

portion of the known Silurian districts has been actually examined for

fossils? Would the area of rock actually laid open to the eye be the

thousandth or the ten-thousandth part of the earth's surface? Ask the

same question with regard to the Oolite or the Chalk, or even to

particular beds of these when they differ considerably in their

fossils, and you may then get some notion of how small a portion of the

whole we know.

But yet more important is the probability, nay almost the certainty,

that whole formations containing the records of vast geological periods

are entirely buried beneath the ocean, and for ever beyond our reach.

Most of the gaps in the geological series may thus be filled up, and

vast numbers of unknown and unimaginable animals, which might help to

elucidate the affinities of the numerous isolated groups which are a

perpetual puzzle to the zoologist, may there be buried, till future

revolutions may raise them in their turn above the waters, to afford

materials for the study of whatever race of intelligent beings may then

have succeeded us. These considerations must lead us to the conclusion,

that our knowledge of the whole series of the former inhabitants of the

earth is necessarily most imperfect and fragmentary,--as much so as our

knowledge of the present organic world would be, were we forced to make

our collections and observations only in spots equally limited in area

and in number with those actually laid open for the collection of

fossils. Now, the hypothesis of Professor Forbes is essentially one that

assumes to a great extent the completeness of our knowledge of the whole

series of organic beings which have existed on the earth. This

appears to be a fatal objection to it, independently of all other

considerations. It may be said that the same objections exist against

every theory on such a subject, but this is not necessarily the case.

The hypothesis put forward in this paper depends in no degree upon the

completeness of our knowledge of the former condition of the organic

world, but takes what facts we have as fragments of a vast whole, and

deduces from them something of the nature and proportions of that whole

which we can never know in detail. It is founded upon isolated groups of

facts, recognizes their isolation, and endeavours to deduce from them

the nature of the intervening portions.

_Rudimentary Organs._

Another important series of facts, quite in accordance with, and even

necessary deductions from, the law now developed, are those of

rudimentary organs. That these really do exist, and in most cases have

no special function in the animal oeconomy, is admitted by the first

authorities in comparative anatomy. The minute limbs hidden beneath the

skin in many of the snake-like lizards, the anal hooks of the boa

constrictor, the complete series of jointed finger-bones in the paddle

of the Manatus and whale, are a few of the most familiar instances. In

botany a similar class of facts has been long recognised. Abortive

stamens, rudimentary floral envelopes and undeveloped carpels, are of

the most frequent occurrence. To every thoughtful naturalist the

question must arise, What are these for? What have they to do with the

great laws of creation? Do they not teach us something of the system of

Nature? If each species has been created independently, and without any

necessary relations with pre-existing species, what do these rudiments,

these apparent imperfections mean? There must be a cause for them; they

must be the necessary results of some great natural law. Now, if, as it

has been endeavoured to be shown, the great law which has regulated the

peopling of the earth with animal and vegetable life is, that every

change shall be gradual; that no new creature shall be formed widely

differing from anything before existing; that in this, as in everything

else in Nature, there shall be gradation and harmony,--then these

rudimentary organs are necessary, and are an essential part of the

system of Nature. Ere the higher Vertebrata were formed, for instance,

many steps were required, and many organs had to undergo modifications

from the rudimental condition in which only they had as yet existed. We

still see remaining an antitypal sketch of a wing adapted for flight in

the scaly flapper of the penguin, and limbs first concealed beneath the

skin, and then weakly protruding from it, were the necessary gradations

before others should be formed fully adapted for locomotion.[C] Many

more of these modifications should we behold, and more complete series

of them, had we a view of all the forms which have ceased to live. The

great gaps that exist between fishes, reptiles, birds, and mammals would

then, no doubt, be softened down by intermediate groups, and the whole

organic world would be seen to be an unbroken and harmonious system.

+--------------------------------------------------------------+

| [C] The theory of Natural Selection has now taught us that |

| these are not the steps by which limbs have been formed; and |

| that most rudimentary organs have been produced by abortion, |

| owing to disuse, as explained by Mr. Darwin. |

+--------------------------------------------------------------+

_Conclusion._

It has now been shown, though most briefly and imperfectly, how the law

that "_Every species has come into existence coincident both in time and

space with a pre-existing closely allied species_," connects together

and renders intelligible a vast number of independent and hitherto

unexplained facts. The natural system of arrangement of organic beings,

their geographical distribution, their geological sequence, the

phaenomena of representative and substituted groups in all their

modifications, and the most singular peculiarities of anatomical

structure, are all explained and illustrated by it, in perfect

accordance with the vast mass of facts which the researches of modern

naturalists have brought together, and, it is believed, not materially

opposed to any of them. It also claims a superiority over previous

hypotheses, on the ground that it not merely explains, but necessitates

what exists. Granted the law, and many of the most important facts in

Nature could not have been otherwise, but are almost as necessary

deductions from it, as are the elliptic orbits of the planets from the

law of gravitation.

II.

ON THE TENDENCY OF VARIETIES TO DEPART INDEFINITELY FROM THE ORIGINAL

TYPE.[D]

+--------------------------------------------------------------+

| [D] Written at Ternate, February, 1858; and published in the |

| Journal of the Proceedings of the Linnaean Society for |

| August, 1858. |

+--------------------------------------------------------------+

_Instability of Varieties supposed to prove the permanent distinctness

of Species._

One of the strongest arguments which have been adduced to prove the

original and permanent distinctness of species is, that _varieties_

produced in a state of domesticity are more or less unstable, and often

have a tendency, if left to themselves, to return to the normal form of

the parent species; and this instability is considered to be a

distinctive peculiarity of all varieties, even of those occurring among

wild animals in a state of nature, and to constitute a provision for

preserving unchanged the originally created distinct species.

In the absence or scarcity of facts and observations as to _varieties_

occurring among wild animals, this argument has had great weight with

naturalists, and has led to a very general and somewhat prejudiced

belief in the stability of species. Equally general, however, is the

belief in what are called "permanent or true varieties,"--races of

animals which continually propagate their like, but which differ so

slightly (although constantly) from some other race, that the one is

considered to be a _variety_ of the other. Which is the _variety_ and

which the original _species_, there is generally no means of

determining, except in those rare cases in which the one race has been

known to produce an offspring unlike itself and resembling the other.

This, however, would seem quite incompatible with the "permanent

invariability of species," but the difficulty is overcome by assuming

that such varieties have strict limits, and can never again vary further

from the original type, although they may return to it, which, from the

analogy of the domesticated animals, is considered to be highly

probable, if not certainly proved.

It will be observed that this argument rests entirely on the assumption,

that _varieties_ occurring in a state of nature are in all respects

analogous to or even identical with those of domestic animals, and are

governed by the same laws as regards their permanence or further

variation. But it is the object of the present paper to show that this

assumption is altogether false, that there is a general principle in

nature which will cause many _varieties_ to survive the parent species,

and to give rise to successive variations departing further and further

from the original type; and which also produces, in domesticated

animals, the tendency of varieties to return to the parent form.

_The Struggle for Existence._

The life of wild animals is a struggle for existence. The full exertion

of all their faculties and all their energies is required to preserve

their own existence and provide for that of their infant offspring. The

possibility of procuring food during the least favourable seasons, and

of escaping the attacks of their most dangerous enemies, are the primary

conditions which determine the existence both of individuals and of

entire species. These conditions will also determine the population of a

species; and by a careful consideration of all the circumstances we may

be enabled to comprehend, and in some degree to explain, what at first

sight appears so inexplicable--the excessive abundance of some species,

while others closely allied to them are very rare.

_The Law of Population of Species._

The general proportion that must obtain between certain groups of

animals is readily seen. Large animals cannot be so abundant as small

ones; the carnivora must be less numerous than the herbivora; eagles and

lions can never be so plentiful as pigeons and antelopes; and the wild

asses of the Tartarian deserts cannot equal in numbers the horses of the

more luxuriant prairies and pampas of America. The greater or less

fecundity of an animal is often considered to be one of the chief causes

of its abundance or scarcity; but a consideration of the facts will show

us that it really has little or nothing to do with the matter. Even the

least prolific of animals would increase rapidly if unchecked, whereas

it is evident that the animal population of the globe must be

stationary, or perhaps, through the influence of man, decreasing.

Fluctuations there may be; but permanent increase, except in restricted

localities, is almost impossible. For example, our own observation must

convince us that birds do not go on increasing every year in a

geometrical ratio, as they would do, were there not some powerful check

to their natural increase. Very few birds produce less than two young

ones each year, while many have six, eight, or ten; four will certainly

be below the average; and if we suppose that each pair produce young

only four times in their life, that will also be below the average,

supposing them not to die either by violence or want of food. Yet at

this rate how tremendous would be the increase in a few years from a

single pair! A simple calculation will show that in fifteen years each

pair of birds would have increased to nearly ten millions![E] whereas we

have no reason to believe that the number of the birds of any country

increases at all in fifteen or in one hundred and fifty years. With such

powers of increase the population must have reached its limits, and

have become stationary, in a very few years after the origin of each

species. It is evident, therefore, that each year an immense number of

birds must perish--as many in fact as are born; and as on the lowest

calculation the progeny are each year twice as numerous as their

parents, it follows that, whatever be the average number of individuals

existing in any given country, _twice that number must perish

annually_,--a striking result, but one which seems at least highly

probable, and is perhaps under rather than over the truth. It would

therefore appear that, as far as the continuance of the species and the

keeping up the average number of individuals are concerned, large broods

are superfluous. On the average all above _one_ become food for hawks

and kites, wild cats or weasels, or perish of cold and hunger as winter

comes on. This is strikingly proved by the case of particular species;

for we find that their abundance in individuals bears no relation

whatever to their fertility in producing offspring.

+--------------------------------------------------------------+

| [E] This is under estimated. The number would really amount |

| to more than two thousand millions! |

+--------------------------------------------------------------+

Perhaps the most remarkable instance of an immense bird population is

that of the passenger pigeon of the United States, which lays only one,

or at most two eggs, and is said to rear generally but one young one.

Why is this bird so extraordinarily abundant, while others producing two

or three times as many young are much less plentiful? The explanation is

not difficult. The food most congenial to this species, and on which it

thrives best, is abundantly distributed over a very extensive region,

offering such differences of soil and climate, that in one part or

another of the area the supply never fails. The bird is capable of a

very rapid and long-continued flight, so that it can pass without

fatigue over the whole of the district it inhabits, and as soon as the

supply of food begins to fail in one place is able to discover a fresh

feeding-ground. This example strikingly shows us that the procuring a

constant supply of wholesome food is almost the sole condition requisite

for ensuring the rapid increase of a given species, since neither the

limited fecundity, nor the unrestrained attacks of birds of prey and of

man are here sufficient to check it. In no other birds are these

peculiar circumstances so strikingly combined. Either their food is more

liable to failure, or they have not sufficient power of wing to search

for it over an extensive area, or during some season of the year it

becomes very scarce, and less wholesome substitutes have to be found;

and thus, though more fertile in offspring, they can never increase

beyond the supply of food in the least favourable seasons.

Many birds can only exist by migrating, when their food becomes scarce,

to regions possessing a milder, or at least a different climate, though,

as these migrating birds are seldom excessively abundant, it is evident

that the countries they visit are still deficient in a constant and

abundant supply of wholesome food. Those whose organization does not

permit them to migrate when their food becomes periodically scarce, can

never attain a large population. This is probably the reasons why

woodpeckers are scarce with us, while in the tropics they are among the

most abundant of solitary birds. Thus the house sparrow is more

abundant than the redbreast, because its food is more constant and

plentiful,--seeds of grasses being preserved during the winter, and our

farm-yards and stubble-fields furnishing an almost inexhaustible supply.

Why, as a general rule, are aquatic, and especially sea birds, very

numerous in individuals? Not because they are more prolific than others,

generally the contrary; but because their food never fails, the

sea-shores and river-banks daily swarming with a fresh supply of small

mollusca and crustacea. Exactly the same laws will apply to mammals.

Wild cats are prolific and have few enemies; why then are they never as

abundant as rabbits? The only intelligible answer is, that their supply

of food is more precarious. It appears evident, therefore, that so long

as a country remains physically unchanged, the numbers of its animal

population cannot materially increase. If one species does so, some

others requiring the same kind of food must diminish in proportion. The

numbers that die annually must be immense; and as the individual

existence of each animal depends upon itself, those that die must be

the weakest--the very young, the aged, and the diseased--while those

that prolong their existence can only be the most perfect in health and

vigour--those who are best able to obtain food regularly, and avoid

their numerous enemies. It is, as we commenced by remarking, "a struggle

for existence," in which the weakest and least perfectly organized must

always succumb.

_The Abundance or Rarity of a Species dependent upon its more or less

perfect Adaptation to the Conditions of Existence._

It seems evident that what takes place among the individuals of a

species must also occur among the several allied species of a

group,--viz., that those which are best adapted to obtain a regular

supply of food, and to defend themselves against the attacks of their

enemies and the vicissitudes of the seasons, must necessarily obtain and

preserve a superiority in population; while those species which from

some defect of power or organization are the least capable of

counteracting the vicissitudes of food-supply, &c., must diminish in

numbers, and, in extreme cases, become altogether extinct. Between these

extremes the species will present various degrees of capacity for

ensuring the means of preserving life; and it is thus we account for the

abundance or rarity of species. Our ignorance will generally prevent us

from accurately tracing the effects to their causes; but could we become

perfectly acquainted with the organization and habits of the various

species of animals, and could we measure the capacity of each for

performing the different acts necessary to its safety and existence

under all the varying circumstances by which it is surrounded, we might

be able even to calculate the proportionate abundance of individuals

which is the necessary result.

If now we have succeeded in establishing these two points--1st, _that

the animal population of a country is generally stationary, being kept

down by a periodical deficiency of food, and other checks_; and, 2nd,

_that the comparative abundance or scarcity of the individuals of the

several species is entirely due to their organization and resulting

habits, which, rendering it more difficult to procure a regular supply

of food and to provide for their personal safety in some cases than in

others, can only be balanced by a difference in the population which

have to exist in a given area_--we shall be in a condition to proceed to

the consideration of _varieties_, to which the preceding remarks have a

direct and very important application.

_Useful Variations will tend to Increase; useless or hurtful Variations

to Diminish._

Most or perhaps all the variations from the typical form of a species

must have some definite effect, however slight, on the habits or

capacities of the individuals. Even a change of colour might, by

rendering them more or less distinguishable, affect their safety; a

greater or less development of hair might modify their habits. More

important changes, such as an increase in the power or dimensions of the

limbs or any of the external organs, would more or less affect their

mode of procuring food or the range of country which they could inhabit.

It is also evident that most changes would affect, either favourably or

adversely, the powers of prolonging existence. An antelope with shorter

or weaker legs must necessarily suffer more from the attacks of the

feline carnivora; the passenger pigeon with less powerful wings would

sooner or later be affected in its powers of procuring a regular supply

of food; and in both cases the result must necessarily be a diminution

of the population of the modified species. If, on the other hand, any

species should produce a variety having slightly increased powers of

preserving existence, that variety must inevitably in time acquire a

superiority in numbers. These results must follow as surely as old age,

intemperance, or scarcity of food produce an increased mortality. In

both cases there may be many individual exceptions; but on the average

the rule will invariably be found to hold good. All varieties will

therefore fall into two classes--those which under the same conditions

would never reach the population of the parent species, and those which

would in time obtain and keep a numerical superiority. Now, let some

alteration of physical conditions occur in the district--a long period

of drought, a destruction of vegetation by locusts, the irruption of

some new carnivorous animal seeking "pastures new"--any change in fact

tending to render existence more difficult to the species in question,

and tasking its utmost powers to avoid complete extermination; it is

evident that, of all the individuals composing the species, those

forming the least numerous and most feebly organized variety would

suffer first, and, were the pressure severe, must soon become extinct.

The same causes continuing in action, the parent species would next

suffer, would gradually diminish in numbers, and with a recurrence of

similar unfavourable conditions might also become extinct. Tho superior

variety would then alone remain, and on a return to favourable

circumstances would rapidly increase in numbers and occupy the place of

the extinct species and variety.

_Superior Varieties will ultimately Extirpate the original Species._

Contributions to the Theory of Natural Selection A Series of Essays · 第 2 / 25 段