At last Rothman sighed, once. "What time is it now?"

From the door came a scratching sound. MacPherson turned to see Joe,

grinning at them through the steel lattice.

"How's things?" Joe wanted to know. "Thought I heard a commotion in

here. Doc Rothman's not acting up, I hope?"

"Everything's under control, Joe," MacPherson assured him. "Just having

a friendly game."

"Don't cheat while they're watching you," said Joe, and his face

disappeared.

"Well, the murder's out," said MacPherson.

"No use kidding you any longer," Neill said, fanning his cards.

"Eleven o'clock this morning. Six o'clock tomorrow morning, Waaku time.

But it's just another test. Nothing's going to happen."

Avery took off his glasses and began to polish the lenses. "Any idea

of a possible chain reaction is ridiculous. As a matter of fact, I

recently spent a full week checking the math again myself, so I know.

But we knew how you felt about it, Rothman, and we didn't want you to

be worrying here all alone, in case you'd found out. That's why we

came."

Rothman was looking out the window. He did not answer. Slowly

MacPherson went back to his chair and picked up his cards. "And now how

about playing some poker? Rothman, you opened for a blue. What about

you, Neill?"

"I'm staying," said Neill, shoving in a chip. "Always was a gambler.

I'm going to stay till the cows come home."

"What time is it?" Rothman asked. "I haven't got a wristwatch. They

think I might break the crystal and cut my throat."

MacPherson slammed down his cards and jerked his watch from his pocket.

"What does it matter what time it is? Why couldn't they give you a

watch with a plastic crystal? If you have to know, it's eleven-forty."

"And thirteen seconds," added Neill.

"Then it's already started," said Rothman.

* * * * *

He leaned his head against the back of his chair and closed his eyes.

"It's on its way now. There's somewhat more than a third of the

Earth between us and Waaku--the place where Waaku was, I mean. The

disintegration wave is moving slowly. The seismic wave of an earthquake

would get here in about fifty minutes, more or less. But the shock wave

from Waaku, traveling somewhere around five thousand miles an hour,

will need about an hour and seventeen minutes, plus or minus a minute

or so. That means it will reach us in about thirty-seven minutes from

now, and the disintegration wave is following close behind. Well, nice

to have known you, fellows. Anyone want to check my math?"

He waved toward the desk behind him, piled high with manuscript and a

sprawling heap of books on which rested a slide-rule.

"Calm down," said MacPherson. "Nothing is going to happen. Damn you,

Avery! Are you proud of what you accomplished?"

Avery glared. "It'll do him good! He's got to learn to face reality,

like the rest of us. In a little more than half an hour, the test will

be finished. The world will still be here. Rothman will have to admit

his equations were wrong--and then he'll be cured."

Rothman leaned forward. "Or contrariwise, Rothman will _not_ have to

admit he was wrong and Rothman will _not_ be cured! If I made a mistake

in my math, why couldn't anybody put his finger on it? I'm not so crazy

that I wouldn't be able to see an error in calculus when it was pointed

out to me. If you're sure my calculations are wrong, why do you look so

frightened?"

"Do we have to go over all that again?" said MacPherson. "The boys

at Columbia told you where the mistake was. It's where you inverted

that twelve-by-twelve matrix. Didn't you bother to check the inverted

matrix?"

"The same old tale." Rothman picked up his cards. "No mathematician

will ever admit that another mathematician could invent a method beyond

his comprehension. Still harping on an error in my inverted matrix.

What time is it now?"

"There's no doubt that your calculations are wrong," said Neill, "but

I still don't see why we have to insist on proving it the hard way.

With bombs, why do we need to fool around with the total disintegration

of matter? Sure, I know the new model releases a googol times the

energy you get out of uranium fission, but who cares? There's plenty of

uranium for our needs."

"The trouble with uranium is that it doesn't make a big enough bang,"

said MacPherson. "People aren't impressed by it any more. The same

goes for plutonium, even for lithium, at least for any size bomb we

can make. The idea is to show the world something so convincing that

they'll never even think of a war again. When they see every island in

the Waaku chain wiped off the map, they'll get the point."

* * * * *

Avery creased another card and cleared his throat. "_Did_ you check the

inverted twelve-by-twelve, Rothman?"

"I suppose you think I forgot to. Have _you_ checked it?"

"Yes, I have. I may not know much math, but I did check it."

"Even after the Columbia boys said it was nonsense? Well, does it come

out right?"

"No, it doesn't! You multiply the inverted matrix by the original and

you not only don't get zeros for all elements outside the diagonal,

you get a haphazard assortment of ones and twos. Worse still, every

element in the diagonal comes out equal to zero. The product of the two

matrices is about as different from the identity matrix as anything

could be. You're one of our most brilliant mathematicians--how could

you manage to make so many mistakes in one set of calculations?"

"Did I tell you that was an inverted matrix? Maybe, for this problem,

you need something a little more advanced than algebra. Anyhow, if my

math is all wrong, why did your first report okay it?"

"What do you mean, my first report?"

"The one you sent to Prexy. The one you later called in and burned.

Except Prexy showed it to me and I photostated it. Here." Rothman

reached into the pile of papers on his desk and drew out a little

envelope. It contained photographic prints. He held one before Avery's

glasses. "Does that look familiar?"

Avery drew his hand across his forehead, but did not reply.

"Is that true, Avery?" asked MacPherson. "Did you make a report okaying

Rothman's calculations and then withdraw it?"

"Well, what if I did? The report didn't seem to make me much more

popular than Rothman was. What if some very influential people in

Government explained to Prexy, and he explained to me, just how

unpopular that first report might make me? Or suppose they didn't.

Maybe I simply didn't find the mistakes in the math until later." Avery

kept looking at his cards as he spoke.

"Oh, great," said MacPherson. "Rothman gets put away here, Neill and

I lose our jobs, and there's hell to pay in Washington, all because

Avery says Rothman's math is full of holes. Now it turns out he wasn't

sure and maybe was pressured into it. Grand. Between a screwball and a

skunk, I'll choose the screwball. Maybe if Avery had stuck to his guns,

there wouldn't have been any test."

* * * * *

"It doesn't matter," said Rothman. "Avery was probably warned to mend

his ways. I was. Or maybe he couldn't face the truth. I'm sure he's

been much happier, the last few months, believing I'm crazy. Anyway,

I don't blame him any more. Maybe my math will soon speak for itself.

For your benefit--" he turned to Avery--"I may point out that the

errors you said you found affect only the _velocity_ of the wave of

disintegration. So what if that isn't quite right? The proof that the

reaction will be self-sustaining is independent of that."

Avery was white with rage. "The proof, as you called it, that the

reaction will be self-sustaining and will consume the entire substance

of the Earth doesn't make sense, either. You used D as an operator

where it should have been a constant. That's what finally made them

certain that you were insane."

There was a rap at the door and Joe poked his head in. "Lunch,

Professors! Twelve o'clock, high noon, like they say. How about some

turkey sandwiches?"

MacPherson began to sweat; the thought of food made him feel sick.

Was it possible, he wondered, that in spite of everything, he was not

quite sure? He looked at Neill and Avery, but they had turned their

heads away.

"We won't bother with lunch, Joe," said Rothman.

"Must be a pretty good game if you won't even knock off to eat," said

Joe. "Well, will you at least mark your menu for tomorrow?"

"For tomorrow? Tomorrow isn't going to come, you know."

"Nuts," muttered Joe as he closed and locked the door. "Pure nuts."

Avery cleared his throat, and his voice was thin. "Look here, Rothman!

If the Universe were composed of matter as unstable as you claim,

it would have ceased to exist long ago. Somewhere, somehow, in the

infinity of chance events since the creation of the Earth, something

would have occurred to start the self-sustaining chain reaction, and

all matter would have been annihilated."

"Are you trying to prove something to yourself?" asked Rothman. "Surely

you don't equate infinity with a mere four billion years. That's

a finite time--long enough for the more dangerous radioactives to

disappear completely, of course, but not long enough for all possible

chance events to have taken place. Anyway, I never have asserted that

the reaction would reach from Earth to the other planets, or even to

the Moon. The Universe, including the Solar System, will still go on.

But our old Earth is going up like a pile of magnesium powder mixed

with potassium chlorate when you drop a lighted match on it."

* * * * *

Avery wiped his forehead. "I don't know why I keep arguing with

a lunatic. But you know yourself that the value you give for the

integration constant in those equations is a pure guess, only you

spend ten pages of doubletalk trying to hide that fact. If the constant

is the one you give, why, sure, then you get a chain reaction. But

you made it up! Who ever heard of a constant of that magnitude in the

solution of an ordinary differential equation?"

"That's one criticism of my work the Harvard and Columbia boys never

mentioned."

"Okay, then I mention it. You're crazy!"

"Are you sure?"

"Positive!"

"Then why can't you forget the approach of zero hour? I'll tell you

why and you aren't even making a good show of hiding it. You know

that, compared to mine, your knowledge of mathematics is about on a

level with that of a college sophomore. Deep down, you know that my

calculations were correct. You are convinced--_convinced_--that the

bombing of Waaku has already started a chain reaction. And that about

seventeen minutes past twelve, around eight minutes from now, the shock

wave will reach us, and then the wave of disintegration. Look out of

the window! See that cactus in the sand, with its little yellow flower?

It will be annihilated. All that desert will go, too--every pebble,

every grain of sand. Everything you see, and you yourself, will be

disintegrated, transformed into energy!"

Suddenly he relaxed into a grin and softened his voice. "I thought we

were playing poker. We're waiting for you to bet. Why don't you at

least look at your cards?"

Avery opened his mouth, then closed it, and picked up his hand,

riffling the five cards.

"I'm staying," he said. "Here's your blue and I raise you a blue."

Slowly the others picked up their hands and stared at the cards.

MacPherson scarcely looked at his as he spoke.

"I'm staying." He picked up the deck. "Cards, gentlemen?"

Chain Reaction · 第 5 / 9 题