CHAPTER XIII.

THE VOLUME OF MONEY AND THE VOLUME OF TRADE--TRADE AND SPECULATION

Quantity theory doctrine that volume of trade, and volume

of money (and credit), are independent; trade governed

by physical and technical conditions, not money 216-219

View that quantity of money vitally affects production and

trade 219

Walker, Sombart, Withers, Price, Holt 219-222

Increase of money increases trade, even on static theory:

increase of money increase of capital; lowered margin

in exchanges; money-rates and interest; money tool of

exchange; elasticity of demand for money-service; in

Arizona and New York City 222-225

_Trade_ distinguished from _production_ and from _stock_ 225-226

Trade chiefly speculation; Fisher's $387,000,000,000 of

trade in U. S. in 1909 analyzed; index of variation in

trade; figure based on Kinley's returns from 12,000

banks; double-counting 227-230

Figure largely represents speculation; statistics of total

wealth of U. S.; small role of wholesale and retail

deposits; "all other deposits" bunched in speculative

centers, especially New York; trifling "deposits" in

country banks; evidence of bank-clearings: clearings

and stock speculation; clearings and ordinary business 230-241

Measurement of "ordinary trade" 241-248

Volume of stock speculation 248-251

Commodity speculation 251-252

Unorganized speculation 252-254

Bill and note speculation 255

Fisher's and Kemmerer's indicia of trade variation wholly

misleading 255-257

Production waits on trade; selling costs _vs._ "cost of

production"; "good will"; are banks useless? 257-262

"Normal _vs._ transitional": statics _vs._ dynamics; money

and credit make static assumptions possible; very little

trade in "normal equilibrium" or static state; volume

of trade depends on transitions and dynamic changes;

functional theory of money and credit must be dynamic

theory; abstraction from money by static theory; no

static theory of money and credit possible; quantity

theory misses whole point of money-functions 262-266

APPENDIX TO CHAPTER XIII

THE RELATION OF FOREIGN TO DOMESTIC TRADE IN THE UNITED STATES

Ambiguity of "domestic trade": figures comparable with

export and import figures cannot include turnovers; net

income of United States, minus imports on retail basis,

counted as domestic trade; exports on retail basis

counted as foreign trade; net income for 1910; index of

variation for other years; cautions and qualifications;

ratio of foreign to domestic trade, 1890-1916 267-278

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