If it be borne in mind, that this number is an inferior limit, and that

the velocity of the rays of light amounts to 77,000 leagues (192,000

English miles) per second, the philosophers who profess to explain the

force of attraction by the impulsive energy of a fluid, will see what

prodigious velocities they must satisfy.

The reader cannot fail again to remark the sagacity with which Laplace

singled out the phenomena which were best adapted for throwing light

upon the most obscure points of celestial physics; nor the success with

which he explored their various parts, and deduced from them numerical

conclusions in presence of which the mind remains confounded.

The author of the _Mécanique Céleste_ supposed, like Newton, that light

consists of material molecules of excessive tenuity and endued in empty

space with a velocity of 77,000 leagues in a second. However, it is

right to warn those who would be inclined to avail themselves of this

imposing authority, that the principal argument of Laplace, in favour of

the system of emission, consisted in the advantage which it afforded of

submitting every question to a process of simple and rigorous

calculation; whereas, on the other hand, the theory of undulations has

always offered immense difficulties to analysts. It was natural that a

geometer who had so elegantly connected the laws of simple refraction

which light undergoes in its passage through the atmosphere, and the

laws of double refraction which it is subject to in the course of its

passage through certain crystals, with the action of attractive and

repulsive forces, should not have abandoned this route, before he

recognized the impossibility of arriving by the same path, at plausible

explanations of the phenomena of diffraction and polarization. In other

respects, the care which Laplace always employed, in pursuing his

researches, as far as possible, to their numerical results, will enable

those who are disposed to institute a complete comparison between the

two rival theories of light, to derive from the _Mécanique Céleste_ the

materials of several interesting relations.

Is light an emanation from the sun? Does this body launch out

incessantly in every direction a part of its own substance? Is it

gradually diminishing in volume and mass? The attraction exercised by

the sun upon the earth will, in that case, gradually become less and

less considerable. The radius of the terrestrial orbit, on the other

hand, cannot fail to increase, and a corresponding effect will be

produced on the length of the year.

This is the conclusion which suggests itself to every person upon a

first glance at the subject. By applying analysis to the question, and

then proceeding to numerical computations, founded upon the most

trustworthy results of observation relative to the length of the year in

different ages, Laplace has proved that an incessant emission of light,

going on for a period of two thousand years, has not diminished the mass

of the sun by the two-millionth part of its original value.

Our illustrious countryman never proposed to himself any thing vague or

indefinite. His constant object was the explanation of the great

phenomena of nature, according to the inflexible principles of

mathematical analysis. No philosopher, no mathematician, could have

maintained himself more cautiously on his guard against a propensity to

hasty speculation. No person dreaded more the scientific errors which

the imagination gives birth to, when it ceases to remain within the

limits of facts, of calculation, and of analogy. Once, and once only,

did Laplace launch forward, like Kepler, like Descartes, like Leibnitz,

like Buffon, into the region of conjectures. His conception was not then

less than a cosmogony.

All the planets revolve around the sun, from west to east, and in planes

which include angles of inconsiderable magnitude.

The satellites revolve around their respective primaries in the same

direction as that in which the planets revolve around the sun, that is

to say, from west to east.

The planets and satellites which have been found to have a rotatory

motion, turn also upon their axes from west to east. Finally, the

rotation of the sun is directed from west to east. We have here then an

assemblage of forty-three movements, all operating in the same

direction. By the calculus of probabilities, the odds are four thousand

millions to one, that this coincidence in the direction of so many

movements is not the effect of accident.

It was Buffon, I think, who first attempted to explain this singular

feature of our solar system. Having wished, in the explanation of

phenomena, to avoid all recourse to causes which were not warranted by

nature, the celebrated academician investigated a physical origin of the

system in what was common to the movements of so many bodies differing

in magnitude, in form, and in distance from the principal centre of

attraction. He imagined that he discovered such an origin by making

this triple supposition: a comet fell obliquely upon the sun; it pushed

before it a torrent of fluid matter; this substance transported to a

greater or less distance from the sun according to its mass formed by

concentration all the known planets.

The bold hypothesis of Buffon is liable to insurmountable difficulties.

I proceed to indicate, in a few words, the cosmogonic system which

Laplace substituted for that of the illustrious author of the _Histoire

Naturelle_.

According to Laplace, the sun was at a remote epoch the central nucleus

of an immense nebula, which possessed a very high temperature, and

extended far beyond the region in which Uranus revolves in the present

day. No planet was then in existence.

The solar nebula was endued with a general movement of revolution

directed from west to east. As it cooled it could not fail to experience

a gradual condensation, and, in consequence, to rotate with greater and

greater rapidity. If the nebulous matter extended originally in the

plane of the equator as far as the limit at which the centrifugal force

exactly counterbalanced the attraction of the nucleus, the molecules

situate at this limit ought, during the process of condensation, to

separate from the rest of the atmospheric matter and form an equatorial

zone, a ring revolving separately and with its primitive velocity. We

may conceive that analogous separations were effected in the higher

strata of the nebula at different epochs, that is to say, at different

distances from the nucleus, and that they give rise to a succession of

distinct rings, included almost in the same plane and endued with

different velocities.

This being once admitted, it is easy to see that the indefinite

stability of the rings would have required a regularity of structure

throughout their whole contour, which is very improbable. Each of them

accordingly broke in its turn into several masses, which were plainly

endued with a movement of rotation, coinciding in direction with the

common movement of revolution, and which in consequence of their

fluidity assumed spheroidal forms.

In order, then, that one of those spheroids might absorb all the others

belonging to the same ring, it will be sufficient to assign to it a mass

greater than that of any other spheroid.

Each of the planets, while in the vaporous condition to which we have

just alluded, would manifestly have a central nucleus gradually

increasing in magnitude and mass, and an atmosphere offering, at its

successive limits, phenomena entirely similar to those which the solar

atmosphere, properly so called, had exhibited. We here witness the birth

of satellites, and that of the ring of Saturn.

The system, of which I have just given an imperfect sketch, has for its

object to show how a nebula endued with a general movement of rotation

must eventually transform itself into a very luminous central nucleus (a

sun) and into a series of distinct spheroidal planets, situate at

considerable distances from each other, revolving all around the central

sun in the direction of the original movement of the nebula; how these

planets ought also to have movements of rotation operating in similar

directions; how, finally, the satellites, when any of such are formed,

cannot fail to revolve upon their axes and around their respective

primaries, in the direction of rotation of the planets and of their

movement of revolution around the sun.

We have just found, conformably to the principles of mechanics, the

forces with which the particles of the nebula were originally endued, in

the movements of rotation and revolution of the compact and distinct

masses which these particles have brought into existence by their

condensation. But we have thereby achieved only a single step. The

primitive movement of rotation of the nebula is not connected with the

simple attraction of the particles. This movement seems to imply the

action of a primordial impulsive force.

Laplace is far from adopting, in this respect, the almost universal

opinion of philosophers and mathematicians. He does not suppose that the

mutual attractions of originally immovable bodies must ultimately reduce

all the bodies to a state of rest around their common centre of gravity.

He maintains, on the contrary, that three bodies, in a state of rest,

two of which have a much greater mass than the third, would concentrate

into a single mass only in certain exceptional cases. In general, the

two most considerable bodies would unite together, while the third would

revolve around their common centre of gravity. Attraction would thus

become the cause of a sort of movement which would seem to be explicable

solely by an impulsive force.

It might be supposed, indeed, that in explaining this part of his system

Laplace had before his eyes the words which Rousseau has placed in the

mouth of the vicar of Savoy, and that he wished to refute them: "Newton

has discovered the law of attraction," says the author of _Emile_, "but

attraction alone would soon reduce the universe to an immovable mass:

with this law we must combine a projectile force in order to make the

celestial bodies describe curve lines. Let Descartes reveal to us the

physical law which causes his vortices to revolve; and let Newton show

us the hand which launched the planets along the tangents of their

orbits."

According to the cosmogonic ideas of Laplace, comets did not originally

form part of the solar system; they are not formed at the expense of the

matter of the immense solar nebula; we must consider them as small

wandering nebulæ which the attractive force of the sun has caused to

deviate from their original route. Such of those comets as penetrated

into the great nebula at the epoch of condensation and of the formation

of planets fell into the sun, describing spiral curves, and must by

their action have caused the planetary orbits to deviate more or less

from the plane of the solar equator, with which they would otherwise

have exactly coincided.

With respect to the zodiacal light, that rock against which so many

reveries have been wrecked, it consists of the most volatile parts of

the primitive nebula. These molecules not having united with the

equatorial zones successively abandoned in the plane of the solar

equator, continued to revolve at their original distances, and with

their original velocities. The circumstance of this extremely rare

substance being included wholly within the earth's orbit, and even

within that of Venus, seemed irreconcilable with the principles of

mechanics; but this difficulty occurred only when the zodiacal substance

being conceived to be in a state of direct and intimate dependence on

the solar photosphere properly so called, an angular movement of

rotation was impressed on it equal to that of the photosphere, a

movement in virtue of which it effected an entire revolution in

twenty-five days and a half. Laplace presented his conjectures on the

formation of the solar system with the diffidence inspired by a result

which was not founded upon calculation and observation.[39] Perhaps it

is to be regretted that they did not receive a more complete

development, especially in so far as concerns the division of the matter

into distinct rings; perhaps it would have been desirable if the

illustrious author had expressed himself more fully respecting the

primitive physical condition, the molecular condition of the nebula at

the expense of which the sun, planets, and satellites, of our system

were formed. It is perhaps especially to be regretted that Laplace

should have only briefly alluded to what he considered the obvious

possibility of movements of revolution having their origin in the action

of simple attractive forces, and to other questions of a similar nature.

Notwithstanding these defects, the ideas of the author of the _Mécanique

Céleste_ are still the only speculations of the kind which, by their

magnitude, their coherence, and their mathematical character, may be

justly considered as forming a physical cosmogony; those alone which in

the present day derive a powerful support from the results of the recent

researches of astronomers on the nebulæ of every form and magnitude,

which are scattered throughout the celestial vault.

In this analysis, we have deemed it right to concentrate all our

attention upon the _Mécanique Céleste_. The _Système du Monde_ and the

_Théorie Analytique des Probabilités_ would also require detailed

notices.

The _Exposition du Système du Monde_ is the _Mécanique Céleste_ divested

of the great apparatus of analytical formulæ which ought to be

attentively perused by every astronomer who, to use an expression of

Plato, is desirous of knowing the numbers which govern the physical

universe. It is in the _Exposition du Systéme du Monde_ that persons

unacquainted with mathematical studies will obtain an exact and

competent knowledge of the methods to which physical astronomy is

indebted for its astonishing progress. This work, written with a noble

simplicity of style, an exquisite propriety of expression, and a

scrupulous accuracy, is terminated by a sketch of the history of

astronomy, universally ranked in the present day among the finest

monuments of the French language.

A regret has been often expressed, that Cæsar, in his immortal

_Commentaries_, should have confined himself to a narration of his own

campaigns: the astronomical commentaries of Laplace ascend to the origin

of communities. The labours undertaken in all ages for the purpose of

extracting new truths from the heavens, are there justly, clearly, and

profoundly analyzed; it is genius presiding as the impartial judge of

genius. Laplace has always remained at the height of his great mission;

his work will be read with respect so long as the torch of science shall

continue to throw any light.

The calculus of probabilities, when confined within just limits, ought

to interest, in an equal degree, the mathematician, the experimentalist,

and the statesman. From the time when Pascal and Fermat established its

first principles, it has rendered and continues daily to render services

of the most eminent kind. It is the calculus of probabilities, which,

after having suggested the best arrangements of the tables of population

and mortality, teaches us to deduce from those numbers, in general so

erroneously interpreted, conclusions of a precise and useful character:

it is the calculus of probabilities which alone can regulate justly the

premiums to be paid for assurances; the reserve funds for the

disbursement of pensions, annuities, discounts, &c.: it is under its

influence that lotteries, and other shameful snares cunningly laid for

avarice and ignorance, have definitively disappeared. Laplace has

treated these questions, and others of a much more complicated nature,

with his accustomed superiority. In short, the _Théorie Analytique des

Probabilités_ is worthy of the author of the _Mécanique Céleste_.

A philosopher, whose name is associated with immortal discoveries, said

to his audience who had allowed themselves to be influenced by ancient

and consecrated authorities, "Bear in mind, Gentlemen, that in questions

of science the authority of a thousand is not worth the humble reasoning

of a single individual." Two centuries have passed over these words of

Galileo without depreciating their value, or obliterating their truthful

character. Thus, instead of displaying a long list of illustrious

admirers of the three beautiful works of Laplace, we have preferred

glancing briefly at some of the sublime truths which geometry has there

deposited. Let us not, however, apply this principle in its utmost

rigour, and since chance has put into our hands some unpublished letters

of one of those men of genius, whom nature has endowed with the rare

faculty of seizing at a glance the salient points of an object, we may

be permitted to extract from them two or three brief and characteristic

appreciations of the _Mécanique Céleste_ and the _Traité des

Probabilités_.

On the 27th Vendemiaire in the year X., General Bonaparte, after having

received a volume of the _Mécanique Céleste_, wrote to Laplace in the

following terms:--"The first _six months_ which I shall have at my

disposal will be employed in reading your beautiful work." It would

appear that the words, the first _six months_, deprive the phrase of the

character of a common-place expression of thanks, and convey a just

appreciation of the importance and difficulty of the subject-matter.

On the 5th Frimaire in the year XI., the reading of some chapters of the

volume, which Laplace had dedicated to him, was to the general "a new

occasion for regretting, that the force of circumstances had directed

him into a career which removed him from the pursuit of science."

"At all events," added he, "I have a strong desire that future

generations, upon reading the _Mécanique Céleste_, shall not forget the

esteem and friendship which I have entertained towards its author."

On the 17th Prairial in the year XIII., the general, now become emperor,

wrote from Milan: "The _Mécanique Céleste_ appears to me destined to

shed new lustre on the age in which we live."

Finally, on the 12th of August, 1812, Napoleon, who had just received

the _Traité du Calcul des Probabilités_, wrote from Witepsk the letter

which we transcribe textually:--

"There was a time when I would have read with interest your _Traité du

Calcul des Probabilités_. For the present I must confine myself to

expressing to you the satisfaction which I experience every time that I

see you give to the world new works which serve to improve and extend

the most important of the sciences, and contribute to the glory of the

nation. The advancement and the improvement of mathematical science are

connected with the prosperity of the state."

I have now arrived at the conclusion of the task which I had imposed

upon myself. I shall be pardoned for having given so detailed an

exposition of the principal discoveries for which philosophy, astronomy,

and navigation are indebted to our geometers.

It has appeared to me that in thus tracing the glorious past I have

shown our contemporaries the full extent of their duty towards the

country. In fact, it is for nations especially to bear in remembrance

the ancient adage: _noblesse obligé_!

FOOTNOTES:

[22] The author here refers to the series of biographies contained in

tome III. of the _Notices Biographiques_.--_Translator_.

[23] These celebrated laws, known in astronomy as the laws of Kepler,

are three in number. The first law is, that the planets describe

ellipses around the sun in their common focus; the second, that a line

joining the planet and the sun sweeps over equal areas in equal times;

the third, that the squares of the periodic times of the planets are

proportional to the cubes of their mean distances from the sun. The

first two laws were discovered by Kepler in the course of a laborious

examination of the theory of the planet Mars; a full account of this

inquiry is contained in his famous work _De Stella Martis_, published in

1609. The discovery of the third law was not effected until, several

years afterwards, Kepler announced it to the world in his treatise on

Harmonics (1628). The passage quoted below is extracted from that

work.--_Translator_.

[24] The spheroidal figure of the earth was established by the

comparison of an arc of the meridian that had been measured in France,

with a similar arc measured in Lapland, from which it appeared that the

length of a degree of the meridian increases from the equator towards

the poles, conformably to what ought to result upon the supposition of

the earth having the figure of an oblate spheroid. The length of the

Lapland arc was determined by means of an expedition which the French

Government had despatched to the North of Europe for that purpose. A

similar expedition had been despatched from France about the same time

to Peru in South America, for the purpose of measuring an arc of the

meridian under the equator, but the results had not been ascertained at

the time to which the author alludes in the text. The variation of

gravity at the surface of the earth was established by Richer's

experiments with the pendulum at Cayenne, in South America (1673-4),

from which it appeared that the pendulum oscillates more slowly--and

consequently the force of gravity is less intense--under the equator

than in the latitude of Paris.--_Translator_.

[25] It may perhaps be asked why we place Lagrange among the French

geometers? This is our reply: It appears to us that the individual who

was named Lagrange Tournier, two of the most characteristic French names

which it is possible to imagine, whose maternal grandfather was M. Gros,

whose paternal great-grandfather was a French officer, a native of

Paris, who never wrote except in French, and who was invested in our

country with high honours during a period of nearly thirty years;--ought

to be regarded as a Frenchman although born at Turin.--_Author_.

[26] The problem of three bodies was solved independently about the same

time by Euler, D'Alembert, and Clairaut. The two last-mentioned

geometers communicated their solutions to the Academy of Sciences on the

same day, November 15, 1747. Euler had already in 1746 published tables

of the moon, founded on his solution of the same problem, the details of

which he subsequently published in 1753.--_Translator_.

[27] It must be admitted that M. Arago has here imperfectly represented

Newton's labours on the great problem of the precession of the

equinoxes. The immortal author of the Principia did not merely

_conjecture_ that the conical motion of the earth's axis is due to the

disturbing action of the sun and moon upon the matter accumulated around

the earth's equator: he _demonstrated_ by a very beautiful and

satisfactory process that the movement must necessarily arise from that

cause; and although the means of investigation, in his time, were

inadequate to a rigorous computation of the quantitative effect, still,

his researches on the subject have been always regarded as affording one

of the most striking proofs of sagacity which is to be found in all his

works.--_Translator_.

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