Engineers using computers to solve complex problems in aircr

COMPUTERS—THE MACHINES WE THINK WITH

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Computers—

THE MACHINES WE THINK WITH

D. S. HALACY, JR.

[Illustration]

HARPER & ROW, PUBLISHERS

NEW YORK, EVANSTON, AND LONDON

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COMPUTERS—THE MACHINES WE THINK WITH. _Copyright © 1962, by Daniel S.

Halacy, Jr. Printed in the United States of America. All rights in this

book are reserved. No part of the book may be used or reproduced in any

manner whatsoever without written permission except in the case of brief

quotations embodied in critical articles and reviews. For information

address Harper & Row, Publishers, Incorporated, 49 East 33rd Street, New

York 16, N.Y._

_Library of Congress catalog card number: 62-14564_

F-S

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Contents

1. Computers—The Machines We Think With 1

2. The Computer’s Past 18

3. How Computers Work 48

4. Computer Cousins—Analog and Digital 72

5. The Binary Boolean Bit 96

6. The Electronic Brain 121

7. Uncle Sam’s Computers 147

8. The Computer in Business and Industry 171

9. The Computer and Automation 201

10. The Academic Computer 219

11. The Road Ahead 251

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COMPUTERS—THE MACHINES WE THINK WITH

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1: Computers—The Machines

We Think With

While you are reading this sentence, an electronic computer is

performing 3 million mathematical operations! Before you read this page,

another computer could translate it and several others into a foreign

language. Electronic “brains” are taking over chores that include the

calculation of everything from automobile parking fees to zero hour for

space missile launchings.

Despite bitter winter weather, a recent conference on computers drew

some 4,000 delegates to Washington, D.C.; indicating the importance and

scope of the new industry. The 1962 domestic market for computers and

associated equipment is estimated at just under $3 billion, with more

than 150,000 people employed in manufacture, operation, and maintenance

of the machines.

In the short time since the first electronic computer made its

appearance, these thinking machines have made such fantastic strides in

so many different directions that most of us are unaware how much our

lives are already being affected by them. Banking, for example, employs

complex machines that process checks and handle accounts so much faster

than human bookkeepers that they do more than an hour’s work in less

than thirty seconds.

[Illustration:

_General Electric Co., Computer Dept._

Programmer at console of computer used in electronic processing of

bank checking accounts.

]

Our government is one of the largest users of computers and

“data-processing machines.” The census depends on such equipment, and it

played a part in the development of early mechanical types of computers

when Hollerith invented a punched-card system many years ago. In another

application, the post office uses letter readers that scan addresses and

sort mail at speeds faster than the human eye can keep up with. Many

magazines have put these electronic readers to work whizzing through

mailing lists.

[Illustration:

_General Electric Co., Computer Dept._

Numbers across bottom of check are printed in magnetic ink and can be

read by the computer.

]

In Sweden, writer Astrid Lindgren received additional royalties for one

year of 9,000 _kronor_ because of library loans. Since this was based on

850,000 total loans of her books from thousands of schools and

libraries, the bookkeeping was possible only with an electronic

computer.

Computers are beginning to take over control of factories, steel mills,

bakeries, chemical plants, and even the manufacture of ice cream. In

scientific research, computers are solving mathematical and logical

problems so complex that they would go forever unsolved if men had to do

the work. One of the largest computing systems yet designed,

incorporating half a million transistors and millions of other parts,

handles ticket reservations for the airlines. Others do flight planning

and air traffic control itself.

Gigantic computerized air defense systems like SAGE and NORAD help guard

us from enemy attack. When John Glenn made his space flight, giant

computers on the ground made the vital calculations to bring him safely

back. Tiny computers in space vehicles themselves have proved they can

survive the shocks of launching and the environment of space. These

airborne computers make possible the operation of Polaris, Atlas, and

Minuteman missiles. Such applications are indicative of the scope of

computer technology today; the ground-based machines are huge, taking up

rooms and even entire buildings while those tailored for missiles may

fit in the palm of the hand. One current military project is such an

airborne computer, the size of a pack of cigarettes yet able to perform

thousands of mathematical and logical operations a second.

Computers are a vital part of automation, and already they are running

production lines and railroads, making mechanical drawings and weather

predictions, and figuring statistics for insurance companies as well as

odds for gamblers. Electronic machines permit the blind to read a page

of ordinary type, and also control material patterns in knitting mills.

This last use is of particular interest since it represents almost a

full circle in computer science. Oddly, it was the loom that inspired

the first punched cards invented and used to good advantage by the

French designer Jacquard. These homely forerunners of stored information

sparked the science that now returns to control the mills.

Men very wisely are now letting computers design other computers, and in

one recent project a Bell Laboratories computer did a job in twenty-five

minutes that would have taken a human designer a month. Even more

challenging are the modern-day “robots” performing precision operations

in industrial plants. One such, called “Unimate,” is simply guided

through the mechanical operations one time, and can then handle the job

alone. “TransfeRobot 200” is already doing assembly-line work in dozens

of plants.

The hope has been expressed that computer extension of our brainpower by

a thousandfold would give our country a lead over potential enemies.

This is a rather vain hope, since the United States has no corner on the

computer market. There is worldwide interest in computers, and machines

are being built in Russia, England, France, Germany, Switzerland,

Holland, Sweden, Africa, Japan, and other countries. A remarkable

computer in Japan recognizes 8,000 colors and analyzes them instantly.

Computer translation from one language to another has been mentioned,

and work is even being done on machines that will permit us to speak

English into a phone in this country and have it come out French, or

whatever we will, overseas! Of course, computers have a terminology all

their own too; words like analog and digital, memory cores, clock rates,

and so on.

The broad application of computers has been called the “second

industrial revolution.” What the steam engine did for muscles, the

modern computer is beginning to do for our brains. In their slow climb

from caveman days, humans have encountered ever more problems; one of

the biggest of these problems eventually came to be merely how to solve

all the other problems.

At first man counted on his fingers, and then his toes. As the problems

grew in size, he used pebbles and sticks, and finally beads. These

became the abacus, a clever calculating device still in constant use in

many parts of the world. Only now, with the advent of low-cost

computers, are the Japanese turning from the _soroban_, their version of

the abacus.

The large-scale computers we are becoming familiar with are not really

as new as they seem. An Englishman named Babbage built what he called

a “difference engine” way back in 1831. This complex mechanical

computer cost a huge sum even by today’s standards, and although it

was never completed to Babbage’s satisfaction, it was the forerunner

and model for the successful large computers that began to appear a

hundred years later. In the meantime, of course, electronics has come

to the aid of the designer. Today, computer switches operate at

billionths-of-a-second speeds and thus make possible the rapid

handling of quantities of work like the 14 billion checks we

Americans wrote in 1961.

There are dozens of companies now in the computer manufacturing field,

producing a variety of machines ranging in price from less than a

hundred dollars total price to rental fees of $100,000 a month or more.

Even at these higher prices the big problem of some manufacturers is to

keep up with demand. A $1 billion market in 1960, the computer field is

predicted to climb to $5 billion by 1965, and after that it is anyone’s

guess. Thus far all expert predictions have proved extremely

conservative.

The path of computer progress is not always smooth. Recently a computer

which had been installed on a toll road to calculate charges was so

badly treated by motorists it had to be removed. Another unfortunate

occurrence happened on Wall Street. A clever man juggled the controls of

a large computer used in stock-market work and “made” himself a quarter

of a million dollars, though he ultimately landed in jail for his

illegal computer button pushing. Interestingly, there is one corrective

institution which already offers a course in computer engineering for

its inmates.

So great is the impact of computers that lawyers recently met for a

three-day conference on the legal aspects of the new machines. Points

taken up included: Can business records on magnetic tape or other

storage media be used as evidence? Can companies be charged with

mismanagement for not using computers in their business? How can

confidential material be handled satisfactorily on computers?

Along with computing machines a whole new technology is growing.

Universities and colleges—even high schools—are teaching courses in

computers. And the computer itself is getting into the teaching business

too. The “teaching machine” is one of the most challenging computer

developments to come along so far. These mechanical professors range

from simple “programmed” notebooks, such as the Book of Knowledge and

Encyclopedia Britannica are experimenting with, to complex computerized

systems such as that developed by U.S. Industries, Inc., for the Air

Force and others.

The computer as a teaching machine immediately raises the question of

intelligence, and whether or not the computer has any. Debate waxes hot

on this subject; but perhaps one authority was only half joking when he

said that the computer designer’s competition was a unit about the size

of a grapefruit, using only a tenth of a volt of electricity, with a

memory 10,000 times as extensive as any existing electronic computer.

This is a brief description of the human brain, of course.

When the first computers appeared, those like ENIAC and BINAC, fiction

writers and even some science writers had a field day turning the

machines into diabolical “brains.” Whether or not the computer really

thinks remains a controversial question. Some top scientists claim that

the computer will eventually be far smarter than its human builder;

equally reputable authorities are just as sure that no computer will

ever have an original thought in its head. Perhaps a safe middle road is

expressed with the title of this book; namely that the machine is simply

an extension of the human brain. A high-speed abacus or slide rule, if

you will; accurate and foolproof, but a moron nonetheless.

There are some interesting machine-brain parallels, of course. Besides

its ability to do mathematics, the computer can perform logical

reasoning and even make decisions. It can read and translate;

remembering is a basic part of its function. Scientists are now even

talking of making computers “dream” in an attempt to come up with new

ideas!

More similarities are being discovered or suggested. For instance, the

interconnections in a computer are being compared with, and even crudely

patterned after, the brain’s neurons. A new scientific discipline,

called “bionics,” concerns itself with such studies. Far from being a

one-way street, bionics works both ways so that engineers and biologists

alike benefit. In fact, some new courses being taught in universities

are designed to “bridge the gap between engineering and biology.”

At one time the only learning a computer had was “soldered in”; today

the machines are being “forced” to learn by the application of

punishment or reward as necessary. “Free” learning in computers of the

Perceptron class is being experimented with. These studies, and

statements like those of renowned scientist Linus Pauling that he

expects a “molecular theory” of learning in human beings to be

developed, are food for thought as we consider the parallels our

electronic machines share with us. Psychologists at the University of

London foresee computers not only training humans, but actually watching

over them and predicting imminent nervous breakdowns in their charges!

[Illustration:

_Cornell Aeronautical Laboratory_

Bank of “association” units in Mark I Perceptron, a machine that

“learns” from experience.

]

To demonstrate their skill many computers play games of tick-tack-toe,

checkers, chess, Nim, and the like. A simple electromechanical computer

designed for young people to build can be programmed to play

tick-tack-toe expertly. Checker- and chess-playing computers are more

sophisticated, many of them learning as they play and capable of an

occasional move classed as brilliant by expert human players. The IBM

704 computer has been programmed to inspect the results of its possible

decisions several moves ahead and to select the best choice. At the end

of the game it prints out the winner and thanks its opponent for the

game. Rated as polite, but only an indifferent player by experts, the

computer is much like the checker-playing dog whose master scoffed at

him for getting beaten three games out of five. Chess may well be an

ultimate challenge for any kind of brain, since the fastest computer in

operation today could not possibly work out all the possible moves in a

game during a human lifetime!

As evidenced in the science-fiction treatment early machines got, the

first computers were monsters at least in size. Pioneering design

efforts on machines with the capacity of the brain led to plans for

something roughly the size of the Pentagon, equipped with its own

Niagara for power and cooling, and a price tag the world couldn’t

afford. As often seems to happen when a need arises, though, new

developments have come along to offset the initial obstacles of size and

cost.

One such development was the transistor and other semiconductor devices.

Tiny and rugged, these components require little power. With the old

vacuum-tubes replaced, computers shrank immediately and dramatically. On

the heels of this micro-miniaturization have come new and even smaller

devices called “ferrite cores” and “cryotrons” using magnetism and

supercold temperatures instead of conventional electronic techniques.

As a result, an amazing number of parts can be packed into a tiny

volume. So-called “molecular electronics” now seems to be a possibility,

and designers of computers have a gleam in their eyes as they consider

progress being made toward matching the “packaging density” of the

brain. This human computer has an estimated 100 billion parts per cubic

foot!

We have talked of reading and translating. Some new computers can also

accept voice commands and speak themselves. Others furnish information

in typed or printed form, punched cards, or a display on a tube or

screen.

Like us, the computer can be frustrated by a task beyond its

capabilities. A wrong command can set its parts clicking rapidly but in

futile circles. Early computers, for example, could be panicked by the

order to divide a number by zero. The solution to that problem of course

is infinity, and the poor machine had a hard time trying to make such an

answer good.

[Illustration:

_Aeronutronic Division, Ford Motor Co._

This printed-circuit card contains more than 300 BIAX memory elements.

Multiples of such cards mounted in computers store large amounts of

information.

]

There are other, quainter stories like that of the pioneer General

Electric computer that simply could not function in the dark. All day

long it hummed efficiently, but problems left with it overnight came out

horribly botched for no reason that engineers could discover. At last it

was found that a light had to be left burning with the scary machine!

Neon bulbs in the computer were enough affected by light and darkness

that the delicate electronic balance of the machine had been upset.

Among the computer’s unusual talents is the ability to compose music.

Such music has been published and is of a quality to give rise to

thoughtful speculation that perhaps great composers are simply good

selectors of music. In other words, all the combinations of notes and

meter exist: the composer just picks the right ones. No less an

authority than Aaron Copland suggests that “we’ll get our new music by

feeding information into an electronic computer.” Not content with

merely writing music, some computers can even play a tune. At Christmas

time, carols are rendered by computers specially programmed for the

task. The result is not unlike a melody played on a pipe organ.

In an interesting switch of this musical ability on the part of the

machine, Russian engineers check the reliability of their computers by

having them memorize Mozart and Grieg. Each part of the complex machines

is assigned a definite musical value, and when the composition is

“played back” by the computer, the engineer can spot any defects

existing in its circuitry. Such computer maintenance would seem to be an

ideal field for the music lover.

In a playful mood, computers match pennies with visitors, explain their

inner workings as they whiz through complex mathematics, and are even

capable of what is called heuristic reasoning. This amounts to playing

hunches to reach short-cut solutions to otherwise unsolvable problems. A

Rand Corporation computer named JOHNNIAC demonstrated this recently. It

was given some basic axioms and asked to prove some theorems. JOHNNIAC

came up with the answers, and in one case produced a proof that was

simpler than that given in the text. As one scientist puts it, “If

computers don’t really think, they at least put on a pretty creditable

imitation of the real thing.”

Computers are here to stay; this has been established beyond doubt. The

only question remaining is how fast the predictions made by dreamers and

science-fiction writers—and now by sober scientists—will come to be a

reality. When we consider that in the few years since the 1953 crop of

computers, their capacity and speed has been increased more than

fiftyfold, and is expected to jump another thousandfold in two years,

these dreams begin to sound more and more plausible.

One quite probable use for computers is medical diagnosis and

prescription of treatment. Electronic equipment can already monitor an

ailing patient, and send an alarm when help is needed. We may one day

see computers with a built-in bedside manner aiding the family doctor.

The accomplished inroads of computing machines in business are as

nothing to what will eventually take place. Already computer

“game-playing” has extended to business management, and serious

executives participate to improve their administrative ability. We speak

of decision-making machines; business decisions are logical applications

for this ability. Computers have been given the job of evaluating

personnel and assigning salaries on a strictly logical basis. Perhaps

this is why in surveys questioning increased use of the machines, each

executive level in general tends to rate the machine’s ability just

below its own.

Other games played by the computer are war games, and computers like

SAGE are well known. This system not only monitors all air activity but

also makes decisions, assigns targets, and then even flies the

interceptor planes and guided missiles on their missions. Again in the

sky, the increase of commercial air traffic has perhaps reached the

limit of human ability to control it. Computers are beginning to take

over here too, planning flights and literally flying the planes.

Surface transport can also be computer-controlled. Railroads are

beginning to use the computer techniques, and automatic highways are

inevitable. Ships also benefit, and special systems coupled to radar can

predict courses and take corrective action when necessary.

Men seem to have temporarily given up trying to control the weather, but

using computers, meteorologists can take the huge mass of data from all

over the world and make predictions rapidly enough to be of use.

We have talked of the computer’s giant strides in banking. Its wide use

in stores is not far off. An English computer firm has designed an

automatic supermarket that assembles ordered items, prices them, and

delivers them to the check stand. At the same time it keeps a running

inventory, price record, and profit and loss statement, besides billing

the customer with periodic statements. The storekeeper will have only to

wash the windows and pay his electric power bill.

Even trading stamps may be superseded by computer techniques that keep

track of customer purchases and credit him with premiums as he earns

them. Credit cards have helped pioneer computer use in billing; it is

not farfetched to foresee the day when we are issued a lifetime,

all-inclusive credit card—perhaps with our birth certificate!—a card

with our thumbprint on it, that will buy our food, pay our rent and

utilities and other bills. A central computer system will balance our

expenses against deposits and from time to time let us know how we stand

financially.

As with many other important inventions, the computer and its technology

were spurred by war and are aided now by continuing threats of war. It

is therefore pleasant to think on the possibilities of a computer system

“programmed” for peace: a gigantic, worldwide system whose input

includes all recorded history of all nations, all economic and cultural

data, all weather information and other scientific knowledge. The output

of such a machine hopefully would be a “best plan” for all of us. Such a

computer would have no ax to grind and no selfish interests unless they

were fed into it.

Given all the facts, it would punch out for us a set of instructions

that would guarantee us the best life possible. This has long been a

dream of science writers. H. G. Wells was one of these, suggesting a

world clearinghouse of information in his book _World Brain_ written in

the thirties. In this country, scientist Vannevar Bush suggested a

similar computer called “Memex” which could store huge amounts of data

and answer questions put to it.

The huge amounts of information—books, articles, speeches, and records

of all sorts—are beginning to make it absolutely necessary for an

efficient information retrieval system. Many cases have been noted in

which much time and effort are spent on a project which has already been

completed but then has become lost in the welter of literature crammed

into libraries. The computer is a logical device for such work; in a

recent test such a machine scored 86 per cent in its efforts to locate

specific data on file. Trained workers rated only 38 per cent in the

same test!

[Illustration:

_The Boeing Co._

Engineers using computers to solve complex problems in aircraft

design.

]

The science of communication is advancing along with that of computers,

and can help make the dream of a worldwide “brain” come true. Computers

in distant cities are now linked by telephone lines or radio, and

high-speed techniques permit the transmission of many thousands of words

per _second_ across these “data links.” An interesting sidelight is the

fact that an ailing computer can be hooked by telephone line with a

repair center many miles away and its ailments diagnosed by remote

control. Communications satellites that are soon to be dotting the sky

like tiny moons may well play a big part in computing systems of the

future. Global weather prediction and worldwide coordination of trade

immediately come to mind.

While we envision such far-reaching applications, let’s not lose sight

of the possibilities for computer use closer to home—right in our homes,

as a matter of fact. Just as early inventors of mechanical power devices

did not foresee the day when electric drills and saws for hobbyist would

be commonplace and the gasoline engine would do such everyday chores as

cutting the grass in our yards, the makers of computers today cannot

predict how far the computer will go in this direction. Perhaps we may

one day buy a “Little Dandy Electro-Brain” and plug it into the wall

socket for solving many of the everyday problems we now often guess

wrong on.

[Illustration:

_Royal McBee Corp._

Students at Staples High School, Westport, Connecticut, attend a

summer session to learn the techniques of programming and operating

an electronic computer.

]

[Illustration:

_The Saturday Evening Post_

“Herbert’s been replaced by an electronic brain—one of the simpler

types.”

]

Some years ago a group of experts predicted that by 1967 the world

champion chess player would be an electronic computer. No one has yet

claimed that we would have a president of metal and wire, but some

interesting signposts are being put up. Computers are now used widely to

predict the result of elections. Computers count the votes, and some

have suggested that computers could make it possible for us to vote at

home. The government is investigating the effectiveness of a

decision-making computer as a stand-by aid for the President in this

complex age we are moving into. No man has the ability to weigh every

factor and to make decisions affecting the world. Perhaps a computer can

serve in an advisory capacity to a president or to a World Council;

perhaps—

It is comforting to remember that men will always tell the computer what

it is supposed to do. No computer will ever run the world any more than

the cotton gin or the steam engine or television runs the world. And in

an emergency, we can always pull out the wallplug, can’t we?

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“_History is but the unrolled scroll of prophecy._”

—James A. Garfield

2: The Computer’s Past

Although it seemed to burst upon us suddenly, the jet airplane can trace

its beginnings back through the fabric wings of the Wrights to the wax

wings of Icarus and Daedalus, and the steam aerophile of Hero in ancient

Greece. The same thing is true of the computer, the “thinking machine”

we are just now becoming uncomfortably aware of. No brash upstart, it

has a long and honorable history.

Naturalists tell us that man is not the only animal that counts. Birds,

particularly, also have an idea of numbers. Birds, incidentally, use

tools too. We seem to have done more with the discoveries than our

feathered friends; at least no one has yet observed a robin with a slide

rule or a snowy egret punching the controls of an electronic digital

computer. However, the very notion of mere birds being tool and number

users does give us an idea of the antiquity and lengthy heritage of the

computer.

The computer was inevitable when man first began to make his own

problems. When he lived as an animal, life was far simpler, and all he

had to worry about was finding game and plants to eat, and keeping from

being eaten or otherwise killed himself. But when he began to dabble in

agriculture and the raising of flocks, when he began to think

consciously and to reflect about things, man needed help.

First came the hand tools that made him more powerful, the spears and

bows and arrows and clubs that killed game and enemies. Then came the

tools to aid his waking brain. Some 25,000 years ago, man began to

count. This was no mean achievement, the dim, foggy dawning of the

concept of number, perhaps in the caves in Europe where the walls have

been found marked with realistic drawings of bison. Some budding

mathematical genius in a skin garment only slightly shaggier than his

mop of hair stared blinking at the drawings of two animals and then

dropped his gaze to his two hands. A crude, tentative connection jelled

in his inchoate gray matter and he shook his head as if it hurt. It was

enough to hurt, this discovery of “number,” and perhaps this particular

pioneer never again put two and two together. But others did; if not

that year, the next.

Armed with his grasp of numbers, man didn’t need to draw two mastodons,

or sheep, or whatever. Two pebbles would do, or two leaves or two

sticks. He could count his children on his fingers—we retain the

expression “a handful” to this day, though often our children are

another sort of handful. Of course, the caveman did not of a sudden do

sums and multiplications. When he began to write, perhaps 5,000 years

later, he had formed the concept of “one,” “two,” “several,” and “many.”

Besides counting his flock and his children, and the number of the

enemy, man had need for counting in another way. There were the seasons

of the year, and a farmer or breeder had to have a way of reckoning the

approach of new life. His calendar may well have been the first

mathematical device sophisticated enough to be called a computer.

It was natural that numbers be associated with sex. The calendar was

related to the seasons and the bearing of young. The number three, for

example, took on mystic and potent connotation, representing as it did

man’s genitals. Indeed, numbers themselves came quaintly to have sex.

One, three, and the other odd numbers were male; the symmetrical, even

numbers logically were female.

The notion that man used the decimal system because of his ten fingers

and toes is general, but it was some time before this refinement took

place. Some early peoples clung to a simpler system with a base of only

two; and interestingly a tribe of Australian aborigines counts today

thus: _enea_ (1), _petchaval_ (2), _enea petchaval_ (3), _petchaval

petchaval_ (4). Before we look down our noses at this naïve system, let

us consider that high-speed electronic computers use only two values, 1

and 0.

But slowly symbols evolved for more and more numbers, numbers that at

first were fingers, and then perhaps knots tied in a strip of hide. This

crude counting aid persists today, and cowboys sometimes keep rough

tallies of a herd by knotting a string for every five that pass. Somehow

numbers took on other meanings, like those that figure in courtship in

certain Nigerian tribes. In their language, the number six also means “I

love you.” If the African belle is of a mind when her boyfriend tenderly

murmurs the magic number, she replies in like tone, “Eight!”, which

means “I feel the same way!”

From the dawn of history there have apparently been two classes of us

human beings, the “haves” and the “have nots.” Nowadays we get bills or

statements from our creditors; in early days, when a slate or clay

tablet was the document, a forerunner of the carbon copy or duplicate

paper developed. Tallies were marked for the amount of the debt, the

clay tablet was broken across the marks, and creditor and debtor each

took half. No chance for cheating, since a broken half would fit only

the proper mate!

Numbers at first applied only to discrete, or distinctly separate,

things. The scratches on a calendar, the tallies signifying the count of

a flock; these were more easily reckoned. The idea of another kind of

number inspired the first clocks. Here was a monumental breakthrough in

mathematics. Nature provided the sunrise that clearly marked the

beginning of each day; man himself thought to break the day into

“hours,” or parts of the whole. Such a division led eventually to

measurement of size and weight. Now early man knew not only how many

goats he had, but how many “hands” high they were, and how many “stones”

they weighed. This further division ordained another kind of mechanical

computer man must someday contrive—the analog.

The first counting machines used were pebbles or sea shells. For the

Stone Age businessman to carry around a handful of rocks for all his

transactions was at times awkward, and big deals may well have gone

unconsummated for want of a stone. Then some genius hit on the idea of

stringing shells on a bit of reed or hide; or more probably the necklace

came first as adornment and the utilitarian spotted it after this style

note had been added. At any rate, the portable adding machine became

available and our early day accountant grew adroit at sliding the beads

back and forth on the string. From here it was only a small step, taken

perhaps as early as 3000 B.C., to the rigid counter known as the abacus.

The word “counter” is one we use in everyday conversation. We buy stock

over the counter; some deals are under the counter. We all know what the

counter itself is—that wide board that holds the cash register and

separates us from the shopkeeper. At one time the cash register _was_

the counter; actually the counting board had rods of beads like the

abacus, or at least grooves in which beads could be moved. The totting

up of a transaction was done on the “counter”; it is still there

although we have forgotten whence came its name.

The most successful computer used for the next 5,000 years, the portable

counter, or the abacus, is a masterpiece of simplicity and

effectiveness. Though only a frame with several rows of beads, it is

sophisticated enough that as late as 1947 Kiyoshi Matsuzake of the

Japanese Ministry of Communications, armed with the Japanese version—a

_soroban_, bested Private Tom Wood of the U. S. Army of Occupation

punching the keys of an up-to-the-minute electric calculating machine in

four of five problem categories! Only recently have Japanese banks gone

over to modern calculators, and shopkeepers there and in other lands

still conduct business by this rule of thumb and forefinger.

[Illustration:

The abacus, ancient mechanical computer, is still in use in many parts

of the world. Here is the Japanese version, the _soroban_, with

problem being set up.

]

The name abacus comes to us by way of the Greek _abax_, meaning “dust.”

Scholars infer that early sums were done schoolboy fashion in Greece

with a stylus on a dusty slate, and that the word was carried over to

the mechanical counter. The design has changed but little over the years

and all abacuses bear a resemblance. The major difference is the number

of beads on each row, determined by the mathematical base used in the

particular country. Some in India, for example, were set up to handle

pounds and shillings for use in shops. Others have a base of twelve. The

majority, however, use the decimal system. Each row has seven beads,

with a runner separating one or two beads from the others. Some systems

use two beads on the narrow side, some only one; this is a mathematical

consideration with political implications, incidentally: The Japanese

_soroban_ has the single-bead design; Korea’s _son pan_ uses two. When

Japan took over Korea the two-bead models were tabu, and went out of use

until the Koreans were later able to win their independence again.

About the only thing added to the ancient abacus in recent years is a

movable arrow for marking the decimal point. W. D. Loy patented such a

gadget in the United States. Today the abacus remains a useful device,

not only for business, but also for the teaching of mathematics to

youngsters, who can literally “grasp their numbers.” For that reason it

ought also to be helpful to the blind, and as a therapeutic aid for

manual dexterity. Apparently caught up in the trend toward smaller

computers, the abacus has been miniaturized to the extent that it can be

worn as earrings or on a key chain.

Even with mechanical counters, early mathematicians needed written

numbers. The caveman’s straight-line scratches gave way to

hieroglyphics, to the Sumerian cuneiform “wedges,” to Roman numerals,

and finally to Hindu and Arabic. Until the numbers, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7,

8, 9, and that most wonderful of all, 0 or zero, computations of any but

the simplest type were apt to be laborious and time-consuming. Even

though the Romans and Greeks had evolved a decimal system, their

numbering was complex. To count to 999 in Greek required not ten numbers

but twenty-seven. The Roman number for 888 was DCCCLXXXVIII. Multiplying

CCXVII times XXIX yielded an answer of MMMMMMCCXCIII, to be sure, but

not without some difficulty. It required an abacus to do any kind of

multiplication or division.

Indeed, it was perhaps from the abacus that the clue to Arabic

simplicity came. The Babylonians, antedating the Greeks, had

nevertheless gone them one better in arithmetic by using a “place”

system. In other words, the position of a number denoted its value. The

Babylonians simply left an empty space between cuneiform number symbols

to show an empty space in this positional system. Sometime prior to 300

B.C. a clever mathematician tired of losing track and punched a dot in

his clay tablet to fill the empty space and avoid possible error.

The abacus shows these empty spaces on its rows of beads, too, and

finally the Hindus combined their nine numerals with a “dot with a hole

in it” and gave the mathematical world the zero. In Hindu it was _sifr_,

corrupted to _zephirium_ in Latin, and gives us today both cipher and

zero. This enigma of nothingness would one day be used by Leibnitz to

prove that God made the world; it would later become half the input of

the electronic computer! Meantime, it was developed independently in

various other parts of the world; the ancient Mayans being one example.

Impressed as we may be by an electronic computer, it may take some

charity to recognize its forebears in the scratchings on a rock. To call

the calendar a computer, we must in honesty add a qualifying term like

“passive.” The same applies to the abacus despite its movable counters.

But time, which produced the simple calendar, also furnished the

incentive for the first “active” computers too. The hourglass is a

primitive example, as is the sundial. Both had an input, a power source,

and a readout. The clock interestingly ended up with not a decimal

scheme, but one with a base of twelve. Early astronomers began

conventionally bunching days into groups of ten, and located different

stars on the horizon to mark the passage of the ten days. It was but a

step from here to use these “decans,” as they were called, to further

divide each night itself into segments. It turned out that 12 decans did

the trick, and since symmetry was a virtue the daylight was similarly

divided by twelve, giving us a day of 24 hours rather than 10 or 20.

From the simple hourglass and the more complex water clocks, the Greeks

progressed to some truly remarkable celestial motion computers. One of

these, built almost a hundred years before the birth of Christ, was

recently found on the sea bottom off the Greek island of Antikythera. It

had been aboard a ship which sank, and its discovery came as a surprise

to scholars since history recorded no such complex devices for that era.

The salvaged Greek computer was designed for astronomical work, showing

locations of stars, predicting eclipses, and describing various cycles

of heavenly bodies. Composed of dozens of gears, shafts, slip rings, and

accurately inscribed plates, it was a computer in the best sense of the

word and was not exceeded technically for many centuries.

The Greek engineer Vitruvius made an interesting observation when he

said, “All machinery is generated by Nature and the revolution of the

universe guides and controls. Our fathers took precedents from

Nature—developed the comforts of life by their inventions. They rendered

some things more convenient by machines and their revolutions.”

Hindsight and language being what they are, today we can make a nice

play on the word “revolution” as applied to the machine. The Antikythera

computer was a prime example of what Vitruvius was talking about.

Astronomy was such a complicated business that it was far simpler to

make a model of the many motions rather than diagram them or try to

retain them in his mind.

There were, of course, some die-hard classicists who decried the use of

machines to do the work of pure reasoning. Archytas, who probably

invented the screw—or at least discovered its mechanical

principle—attempted to apply such mechanical devices to the solving of

geometrical problems. For this he was taken to task by purist Plato who

sought to preserve the distinct division between “mind” and “machine.”

Yet the syllogistic philosophers themselves, with their major premise,

minor premise, and conclusion, were unwittingly setting the stage for a

different kind of computer—the logic machine. Plato would be horrified

today to see crude decks of cards, or simple electromechanical

contrivances, solving problems of “reason” far faster than he could; in

fact, as fast as the conditions could be set into them!

------------------------------------------------------------------------

_The Mechanics of Reason_

Aristotle fathered the syllogism, or at least was first to investigate

it rigorously. He defined it as a formal argument in which the

conclusion follows logically from the premises. There are four common

statements of this type:

All S (for is P (for

subject) predicate)

No S (for subject) is P

Some S (for is P

subject)

Some S (for is not P

subject)

Thus, Aristotle might say “All men are mortal” or “No men are immortal”

as his subject. Adding an M (middle term), “Aristotle is a man,” as a

minor premise, he could logically go on and conclude “Aristotle, being a

man, is thus mortal.” Of course the syllogism unwisely used, as it often

is, can lead to some ridiculously silly answers. “All tables have four

legs. Two men have four legs. Thus, two men equal a table.”

Despite the weaknesses of the syllogism, nevertheless it led eventually

to the science of symbolic logic. The pathway was circuitous, even

devious at times, but slowly the idea of putting thought down as letters

or numbers to be logically manipulated to reach proper conclusions

gained force and credence. While the Greeks did not have the final say,

they did have words for the subject as they did for nearly everything

else.

Let us leave the subject of pure logic for a moment and talk of another

kind of computing machine, that of the mechanical doer of work. In the

_Iliad_, Homer has Hephaestus, the god of natural fire and metalworking,

construct twenty three-wheeled chariots which propel themselves to and

fro bringing back messages and instructions from the councils of the

gods. These early automatons boasted pure gold wheels, and handles of

“curious cunning.”

Man has apparently been a lazy cuss from the start and began straightway

to dream of mechanical servants to do his chores. In an age of magic and

fear of the supernatural his dreams were fraught with such machines that

turned into evil monsters. The Hebrew “golem” was made in the shape of

man, but without a soul, and often got out of hand. Literature has

perpetuated the idea of machines running amok, as the broom in “The

Sorcerer’s Apprentice,” but there have been benevolent machines too.

Tik-Tok, a latter-day windup man in _The Road to Oz_, could think and

talk and do many other things men could do. He was not alive, of course,

but he had the saving grace of always doing just what he “was wound up

to do.”

Having touched on the subject of mechanical men, let us now return to

mechanical logic. Since the Greeks, many men have traveled the road of

reason, but some stand out more brightly, more colorfully, than others.

Such a standout was the Spanish monk Ramón Lull. Lull was born in 1232.

A court page, he rose in influence, married young, and had two children,

but did not settle down to married domesticity. A wildly reckless

romantic, he was given to such stunts as galloping his horse into church

in pursuit of some lady who caught his eye. One such escapade led to a

remorseful re-examination of himself, and dramatic conversion to

Christianity.

He began to write books in conventional praise of Christ, but early in

his writings a preoccupation with numbers appears. His _Book of

Contemplation_, for example, actually contains five books for the five

wounds of the Saviour, and forty subdivisions for the days He spent in

the wilderness. There are 365 chapters for daily reading, plus one for

reading only in leap years! Each chapter has ten paragraphs, symbolizing

the ten commandments, and three parts to each chapter. These multiplied

give thirty, for the pieces of silver. Beside religious and mystical

connotations, geometric terms are also used, and one interesting device

is the symbolizing of words and even phrases by letters. This ties in

neatly with syllogism. A sample follows:

… diversity is shown in the demonstration that the D makes of the E and

the F and the G with the I and the K, therefore the H has certain

scientific knowledge of Thy holy and glorious Trinity.

This was only prologue to the _Ars Magna_, the “Great Art” of Ramón

Lull. In 1274, the devout pilgrim climbed Mount Palma in search of

divine help in his writings. The result was the first recorded attempt

to use diagrams to discover and to prove non-mathematical truths.

Specifically, Lull determined that he could construct mechanical devices

that would perform logic to prove the validity of God’s word. Where

force, in the shape of the Crusades, had failed, Lull was convinced that

logical argument would win over the infidels, and he devoted his life to

the task.

Renouncing his estate, including his wife and children, Lull devoted

himself thenceforth solely to his Great Art. As a result of dreams he

had on Mount Palma, the basis for this work was the assumption of simple

premises or principles that are unquestionable. Lull arranged these

premises on rotating concentric circles. The first of these wheels of

logic was called A, standing for God. Arranged about the circumference

of the wheel were sixteen other letters symbolizing attributes of God.

The outer wheel also contained these letters. Rotating them produced 240

two-term combinations telling many things about God and His good. Other

wheels prepared sermons, advised physicians and scientists, and even

tackled such stumpers as “Where does the flame go when the candle is put

out?”

[Illustration:

From the _Enciclopedia universal illustrada_,

Barcelona, 1923

Lull’s wheel.

]

Unfortunately for Lull, even divine help did not guarantee him success.

He was stoned to death by infidels in Bugia, Africa, at the age of

eighty-three. All his wheelspinning logic was to no avail in advancing

the cause of Christianity there, and most mathematicians since have

scoffed at his naïve devices as having no real merit. Far from accepting

the _Ars Magna_, most scholars have been “Lulled into a secure sense of

falsity,” finding it as specious as indiscriminate syllogism.

Computers—the machines we think with · 第 1 / 19 段