CHAPTER XXII

CONCLUSION 475

Summary of the argument and of the conclusions.

APPENDIX I 483

Summary of evidence as to restriction of increase amongst

Primitive Races.

APPENDIX II 488

LIST OF AUTHORITIES QUOTED 489

INDEX 509

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS

_A. R. B. E._ = Annual Report. Bureau of Ethnology, Smithsonian

Institution.

_A. R. S. I._ = Annual Report of the Smithsonian Institution.

_Am. Anth._ = American Anthropologist.

_Am. Jour. Obstet._ = American Journal of Obstetrics.

_Am. Stat. Ass._ = Publications of the American Statistical

Association.

_Ann. de Pal._ = Annales de Paléontologie.

_Ann. Mus. Congo Belge_ = Annales du Musée du Congo Belge.

_Arch. für Anth._ = Archiv für Anthropologie.

_Aust. Med. Jour._ = Australian Medical Journal.

_Biol. Bull._ = Biological Bulletin.

_Bull. Soc. Anth._ = Bulletin de la Société d’Anthropologie.

_C. I. A._ = Congrès International d’Anthropologie.

_Cent. für Min., Geol. und Pal._ = Centralblatt für Mineralogie,

Geologie und Paläontologie.

_Coll. Mon. Eth._ = Collection de Monographies Ethnographiques.

_Eug. Lab. Mem._ = Eugenic Laboratory Memoirs.

_Eug. Rev._ = Eugenics Review.

_Geog. Jour._ = Geographical Journal.

_Int. Arch. Eth._ = Internationales Archiv für Ethnographie.

_J. A. I._ = Journal of the Anthropological Institute.

_Jour. Eth. Soc._ = Journal of the Ethnological Society.

_Jour. Pol. Soc._ = Journal of the Polynesian Society.

_Jour. Roy. Agric. Soc._ = Journal of the Royal Agricultural Society.

_J. R. S. S._ = Journal of the Royal Statistical Society.

_Mem. Am. Anth. Soc._ = Memoirs of the American Anthropological and

Ethnological Societies.

_Mem. Anth. Soc._ = Memoirs of the Anthropological Society.

_Mem. & Proc. Man. Lit. & Phil. Soc._ = Memoirs and Proceedings of the

Manchester Literary and Philosophical Society.

_Mém. Soc. Anth._ = Mémoires de la Société d’Anthropologie.

_Phil. Trans._ = Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society.

_Quart. Jour. Geol. Soc._ = Quarterly Journal of the Geological

Society.

_Q. J. M. S._ = Quarterly Journal of Microscopical Science.

_Rev. Col. Inter._ = Revue Coloniale Internationale.

_Rev. d’Anth._ = Revue d’Anthropologie.

_Rev. d’Eth._ = Revue d’Ethnographie.

_S. I. B. E._ = Smithsonian Institute, Bureau of Ethnology.

_Soc. Rev._ = Sociological Review.

_Trans. Amer. Gyn. Soc._ = Transactions of the American Gynecological

Society.

_Trans. & Proc. N. Z. Inst._ = Transactions and Proceedings of the New

Zealand Institute.

_Trans. Edin. Obstet. Soc._ = Transactions of the Edinburgh

Obstetrical Society.

_Trans. Eth. Soc._ = Transactions of the Ethnological Society.

_U. S. Geog. & Geol. Survey_ = United States Geographical and

Geological Survey of the Rocky Mountain Region.

_Z. G. E._ = Zeitschrift der Gesellschaft für Erdkunde.

_Zeit. für all. Erd._ = Zeitschrift für allgemeine Erdkunde.

_Zeit. für Eth._ = Zeitschrift für Ethnologie.

_Zeit. für Morph. und Anth._ = Zeitschrift für Morphologie und

Anthropologie.

_Zeit. für Soc._ = Zeitschrift für Socialwissenschaft.

I

HISTORICAL

1. Problems of population fall into two main groups—those connected with

the quantity and those connected with the quality of the population.

Considerations of the population problem are commonly devoted to one of

these chief aspects to the exclusion of the other with the result that

the relation between them is seldom appreciated. It is one of the

objects of this book to show that all problems of population have the

same origin. The development of biological knowledge in the last

century, and in particular the discussion of evolution, have made it

clear that the whole population question and all the problems arising

therefrom have their origin in the fact that mankind has a definite

position in the animal kingdom. In the next two chapters an attempt is

made to set out the basis of the whole question in the light of modern

research, and in the fourth chapter are discussed the nature of the

various problems and their relation to one another; first those which

are connected with the quantity and then those that are connected with

the quality of the population.

This was not, however, the manner in which the question was first

approached. There was not, to begin with, an understanding of the

zoological position of man leading to a growing comprehension of the

problems to which it gave rise. From early days attention was

particularly directed to the question of numbers. Between the fifth

century b. c. and the eighteenth century a. d.—between, that is to say,

the time of Plato and that of Malthus—opinions were often expressed

regarding the desirability or otherwise of a dense population. The work

of Malthus focussed opinion upon this point. In a restricted sense this

problem can be solved without an understanding of the biological origin

of the whole question, and the discussion which followed the publication

of the _Essay on Population_ has resulted in the general acceptance of a

solution by students of political economy. In a wider sense the solution

of this problem depends upon a comprehension of its biological origin,

and it was not therefore until after the middle of the last century that

all the problems connected with quantity fell into their proper setting

owing to the work of Darwin and Wallace, both of whom acknowledged their

debt to Malthus. The latter, though he did not in any way realize the

fact, was discussing a point which is most intimately connected with

evolution, and both Darwin and Wallace were influenced by their

acquaintance with the work of Malthus in arriving at their explanation

of the process of evolution. Thus from the time of Darwin and Wallace it

has been possible to view the population problem as a whole, though the

discussions of the problems connected with quantity have been pursued

independently not only before but also after the publication of the

_Origin of Species_.

Problems of quality did not arouse the same early interest. It is, of

course, well known that Plato was occupied with this aspect of the whole

problem;[1] Roman authors also commented upon the eugenic bearing of

certain practices.[2] In later days in a remarkable book Campanella

dwelt upon the importance of good breeding.[3] But the interest in

quality was not, as was the interest in quantity, widespread or long

maintained; it was not until the origin of living species by evolution

had been generally accepted and some knowledge of inheritance had been

gained, that problems of quality came to occupy anything more than the

passing attention of mankind.[4] J. S. Mill and Buckle, for instance,

both of whose opinions were formed just before the time when the

importance of heredity came to be appreciated, deny that it is in any

way relevant to the study of social problems.[5]

2. In the preface to the greatly enlarged second edition of his famous

book Malthus stated that he had found many references to the subject of

which he had not been aware when he published the first volume.[6] He

acknowledged that several authors had shown themselves to have possessed

a grasp of the ‘principle’ which it was the object of his book to

demonstrate. Among these he mentions Plato and Aristotle. In these cases

Malthus was too anxious to attribute the first enunciation of the

‘principle’ to others. It was only owing to the very peculiar

circumstances of Greek life that the problem ever arose at all. A

consideration of the ideal city state involved the question as to what

was the most desirable number of citizens. This point occupied Plato’s

attention, and in one place he deals with it in detail. There should be,

he says, 5,040 citizens in the state.[7] In the _Republic_ he explained

that the number of citizens was to be kept about the same by a strict

regulation of unions.[8] In the _Laws_, however, no such system is

advocated, and he discusses the possibility of a failure to maintain the

number.[9] He appears to think that various checks such as infanticide

and ‘inundations’ will keep numbers close to the desirable level; if too

great an increase takes place, then recourse must be had to emigration.

It does not seem that the problem was ever approached more closely in

Greek literature.

References to this subject by Roman authors are confined for the most

part to laments over the infertility of the old Roman stock. That which

drew the attention of the Romans to the subject was thus a peculiar

phase of the problem, and the views expressed by them were in

consequence usually limited to the search for a remedy for a particular

weakness in national life. As we shall point out later, it is doubtful

how far infertility was characteristic of all classes; that it was not

widespread seems incidentally to be indicated in the following curious

passage from Tertullian in which he is led to express views reminiscent

of many modern contributions to the subject. Tertullian is confuting the

Pythagorean theory of the transmigration of souls, and argues that, if

it were true, the number of men must remain unchanged. But, he says,

this is obviously not so; population continually increases. This leads

him to refer to the state of contemporary civilization. ‘We find’, he

says, ‘in the records of the Antiquities of Man[10] that the human race

has progressed with a gradual growth of population.... Surely it is

obvious enough, if one looks at the whole world, that it is becoming

better cultivated and more fully peopled than anciently. All places are

now accessible, all are well known, all open to commerce; most pleasant

farms have obliterated all traces of what were once dreary and dangerous

wastes; cultivated fields have subdued forests; flocks and herds have

expelled wild beasts; sandy deserts are sown; rocks are planted; marshes

are drained; and where once were hardly solitary cottages are now large

cities. No longer are savage islands dreaded, nor their rocky shores

feared; everywhere are houses, and inhabitants, and settled government,

and civilized life. What most frequently meets our view is our teeming

population; our numbers are burdensome to the world, which can hardly

supply us from its natural elements; our wants grow more and more keen,

and our complaints more bitter in all mouths, whilst nature fails in

affording us her usual sustenance. In very deed, pestilence, and famine,

and wars, and earthquakes have to be regarded as a remedy for nations,

as a means of pruning the luxuriance of the human race.’[11]

3. It is not until we arrive at the sixteenth century that we discover

any considerable interest in the matter. From thence onwards references

are very frequent. In a general way it is not difficult to understand

how this comes about. The movement of thought at that time turned to

problems of practical importance. The interest in questions connected

with population was above all things due to the problems created by the

rise and consolidation of the great European states. In some measure

also the voyages of discovery and the foundation of colonies drew men’s

thoughts to these questions. It is, as we shall see, in the works of the

new class of political writers and theorists, and in the descriptions of

travel, that we find most references.[12]

These references take for the most part the form of discussions as to

the desirability or otherwise of a large population. There is, indeed,

often but little discussion; the benefits of a large population seemed

so obvious. Men were mostly of the same opinion as the author of the

book of Proverbs, ‘in the multitude of the people is the king’s glory;

but in the want of people is the destruction of the prince.’[13] The

reasons are not far to seek. A large population appeared to mean both

power and riches. The advantage of a large population in supplying a

large army proved most attractive and greatly influenced the authors of

the eighteenth century.[14] It has not altogether lost its attraction

for some people at the present day, as we shall have reason to notice in

a later chapter. This simple view of the benefits of a large population

coincided with the development of the mercantile theory of trade.

Authors of this school of thought also concluded that upon the whole the

larger the population the better. Protests against this point of view

are, however, met with from time to time. Those responsible for this

opposition to the prevailing opinion were influenced in some cases more

by observation than by theory and in other cases more by theory than by

observation. As instances of the former several English writers of the

end of the sixteenth and beginning of the seventeenth centuries may be

cited; as instances of the latter several authors chiefly belonging to

the later part of the eighteenth century. The views of the

last-mentioned authors are often influenced by a conception of the

relation between population and subsistence closely similar to that of

Malthus. But they are not alone in their anticipation of his position.

From the sixteenth century onwards we find in passages dealing with

population more or less clear statements of the Malthusian position.

These authors, however, are not always led to an unfavourable view of an

increase in population. Many of them, indeed, support the current view

as to the advantages of large numbers. Nevertheless on the whole a

consideration of the connexion between population and the food-supply is

usually associated with a fear of increase. We may now review in more

detail the trend of opinion sketched above. This will bring us to the

publication of the _Essay on Population_.[15]

4. Long before the sixteenth century men gave expression to the view

that large numbers are beneficial. ‘Quae familia plus multiplicatur in

prolem, amplius cedit ad firmamentum politiae,’ said Saint Thomas

Aquinas.[16] But it is only later that we meet with a marked insistence

on this view. ‘In my opinion’, says Bodin, ‘they erre much who doubt of

a scarcitie by the multitude of citizens and children, when as no cities

are more rich nor more famous in arts and discipline than those which

abound most with citizens.’[17] According to Botero ‘the greatness of a

citty is sayd not to be the largeness of the citty or the circuit of the

walls, but in the multitude and the number of the inhabitants and their

power’.[18] Machiavelli held very similar views, and Henry IV of France

is reported as saying that ‘the strength and riches of kings consist in

the number and opulence of their subjects’.[19] In accordance with the

views thus widely and strongly held, examples of which might be

multiplied almost to any extent, practical measures were taken to

encourage the increase of population. Of these the best known is the law

of Colbert passed in 1664. Like most of such laws it was modelled on the

laws of the later Roman Empire. Similar laws were at one time or another

in force in most European countries.

Towards the end of the seventeenth century there arose a school of

writers who might be classed as political economists, though the term

was not in use. In accordance with the mercantile theory of commerce

then predominant a large population was held to be advantageous. The

older and vaguer theory that a dense population was necessary if the

state was to be powerful was found to coincide with the newer theories

as to conditions of prosperous trade. Of these authors Petty and Graunt

are celebrated as among the pioneers of statistics. According to the

former: ‘fewness of people is real poverty; and a nation in which are

eight millions of people are more than twice as rich as the same scope

of land in which are but four.’[20] ‘Forasmuch as princes’, says Graunt,

‘are not only powerful but rich according to the number of their people

(hands being the father as lands are the mother and womb of wealth) it

is no wonder that states by encouraging marriage and hindering

licentiousness, advance their own interest, as well as preserve the laws

of God from contempt and violation.’[21] Sir Charles Davenant and Sir

Josiah Child are two of the foremost authors of this school. The former

writes as follows: ‘people are the real strength and riches of a

country; we see how impotent Spain is for want of inhabitants with their

mines of gold and silver and the best ports and soil in the world; and

we see how powerful their numbers make the United Provinces with bad

harbours and the worst climate upon earth. It is perhaps better that a

people should want country than that a country should want people. When

there are but few inhabitants and a large territory, there is nothing

but sloth and poverty; but when great numbers are confined to a narrow

compass of ground, necessity puts upon them invention, frugality, and

industry; which in a nation are always recompensed with power and

riches.’[22] The latter refers more than once to the subject. ‘Whatever

tends to the population of a country tends to the improvement of

it.’[23] ‘Most nations in the civilized parts of the world are more or

less rich or poor proportionable to the poverty or plenty of their

people and not to the sterility of their lands.’[24] To these quotations

we may add one from Sir William Temple: ‘I believe the true and original

ground of trade to be a great multitude of people crowded into a small

compass of land.’[25]

It would be possible to quote many similar remarks from authors who

wrote in the following century. Frederick the Great had very decided

opinions. In a letter to Voltaire he says: ‘Je regarde les hommes comme

une horde de cerfs dans le pare d’un grand seigneur et qui n’out pas

d’autre fonction que de peupler et remplir l’enclos.’[26] Hume speaks of

‘the general rule that the happiness of any society and its populousness

are necessary attendants’.[27] Adam Smith says ‘that the most decisive

mark of the prosperity of any country is the increase of the number of

its inhabitants’. Nevertheless that which interests us most in the

authors of this period is the growing interest in other aspects of the

subject.

5. Before referring to the more or less close anticipations of the views

of Malthus we may note that these optimistic views were not everywhere

accepted. In England particularly, towards the end of the sixteenth

century, several writers expressed a dread of over-population. According

to Holinshed there were some men ‘affirming that we had already too

great a store of people in England; and that youth, by marrying too

soon, do nothing profit the countrie, but fill it full of beggars, to

the hurt and utter undoing (they saie) of the commonwealth’.[28] Later

we find Brückner speaking as follows: ‘there are some who believe that a

people can never be too numerous and who speak of increase as if it

always contributed to happiness, and who consequently continually urge

the sovereign to encourage multiplication. The truth of the matter is,

however, often far different, depending on the country and

circumstances. In a free and enlightened nation, which has great natural

advantages, and which is protected from the invasions of less fortunate

neighbours, increasing numbers are a good.... In countries not so

circumstanced increase is worse than useless; it is, as a matter of

fact, impossible, and attempts in this direction can but result in added

suffering and an increased number of deaths.’[29] Arthur Young said the

same in more emphatic terms. ‘Of all the subjects of political economy I

know not one that has given rise to such a crowd of errors as that of

population. It seems for centuries to have been considered as the only

test of national prosperity. The politicians of those times, and the

majority of them in the present, have been of the opinion that to

enumerate the people was the only step to be taken in order to ascertain

the degree in which a country was flourishing. In my tour through the

North of England, 1769, I entered my caveat against such a doctrine, and

presumed to assert “that no nation is rich or powerful by mere numbers

of people; it is the industrious class that constitutes a nation’s

strength”; that assertion I repeated in my _Political Arithmetic_ in

1774.’[30] About the same time Rousseau remarked that ‘il y a pire

disette pour un état que celle d’hommes’.[31]

6. In the eighteenth century the problem was often discussed with

reference to the connexion between the population and the food-supply.

The contrast between the vast possibilities of increase and the

smallness of the actual growth in population also often attracted

attention. ‘Through various causes’, says Wallace, ‘there has never been

such a number of inhabitants on the earth at any one point of time as

might have been raised by the prolific virtue of mankind. The causes of

this paucity of inhabitants and the irregularity of increase are

manifold. Some may be called physical, as they depend entirely on course

of nature, and are independent of mankind. Others are moral and depend

on the affections, passions, and institutions of men.... To this last we

may refer so many destructive wars which men have waged against one

another; great poverty, corrupt institutions, either of a civil or

religious kind, intemperance, debauchery, irregular amours, idleness,

luxury, and whatever prevents marriage, weakens the generating faculties

of men, or renders them negligent or incapable of educating their

children, and cultivating the earth to advantage. ’Tis to such

destructive causes that we must ascribe the small number of men.’[32]

Sir James Steuart devotes a considerable amount of space to this

subject. ‘The generative faculty’, he says, ‘resembles a spring loaded

with a weight, which always exerts itself in proportion to the

diminution of resistance; when food has remained for some time without

augmentation or diminution, generation will carry numbers as high as

possible; if then food come to be diminished, the spring is overpowered;

the force of it becomes less than nothing. Inhabitants will diminish, at

least in proportion to the overcharge. If, upon the other hand, food be

increased, the spring, which stood at 0, will begin to exert itself in

proportion as the resistance diminishes; people will begin to be better

fed; they will multiply, and in proportion as they increase in numbers,

the food will become scarce again.’[33]

Malthus tells us that when he wrote his first edition the only authors

‘from whose writings he had deduced the principle which formed the main

argument of the essay’ were Hume, Wallace, Adam Smith, and Price.[34] In

the interval between the publication of the first and second editions of

the Essay he found that he had been anticipated more or less by many

others. Subsequently many other similar passages have been brought to

light. It is not worth while to discuss how far Malthus had been

anticipated. It is enough to note some of the opinions that had been

expressed. In the eighteenth century the fact that there is a connexion

between the population and the food-supply had become a commonplace. ‘La

mesure de la subsistance est celle de la population,’[35] said Mirabeau,

and the remark could be paralleled many times over.[36] Frequent

references to the vast power of human increase may be found much

earlier. In his _History of the World_ Raleigh had remarked that were it

not for wars, famines, pestilences, and so on, a teeming population all

the world over would have resulted long ago.[37] Machiavelli refers more

than once to the existence of checks. He attributed the barbarian

invasions in the later days of Rome to an unusually rapid increase of

the tribes beyond the Rhine and the Danube.[38] One of the most

interesting references to the subject is to be found in the work of

Botero from which we have already quoted. ‘I say, then, that the

augmentation of Cities proceedeth partly out of the virtue generative of

men, and partly out of the virtue nutritive of Citties. The virtue

generative is without doubt to this day the very same, or at least such

as it was three thousand years past. So that if there were no other

impediment or let therein, the propagation of mankind would increase

without end and the augmentation of Citties would be without terme. And

if it do not increase in infinite, I must needs say, it proceedeth out

of the defect of nutriment and sustenance sufficient for it.’[39] Later

on he continues: ‘although men were as apt to generation in the height

and pride of the Roman Empire, as in the first beginning thereof; yet,

for all that, the people increased not proportionately. For the virtue

nutritive of Citties had no power to go further.... By the selfe same

reason, mankinde growne to a certain complete number, hath growne no

further. And it is three thousand years agone and more, that the world

was replenished as full with people as it is at present.’[40]

What are perhaps more remarkable than these references to the relation

of numbers to the food-supply, so far as anticipations of Malthus are

concerned, are discussions mentioning the ratios which are found from

time to time. In the _Primitive Origination of Mankind_, Sir Matthew

Hale endeavours to show that mankind must have had a beginning and must

have an end, and finds support for this thesis in the facts regarding

human fecundity. He calculated that the numbers of mankind must increase

in a geometrical ratio unless hindered by checks. Obviously it has not

done so chiefly because, owing to absence of sufficient food, large

numbers are always being removed by various agencies which he enumerates

as plagues, famines, wars, floods, and inundations.[41] Sir William

Petty deals with the geometrical ratio at some length. He drew up an

elaborate table which, assuming four thousand years to have passed since

the flood, shows how an estimated world population of 320,000,000 could

have been arrived at.[42] The ratios, however, never played a very

prominent part in the discussion until after the publication of

Malthus’s book. They reappear now and again, as for instance in a book

by Saxe.[43]

7. Malthus published his first edition in 1798. He was born in 1766 at

the ‘Rookery’, a country house of some size near Dorking. In 1784 he

went up to Cambridge. In early days he had shown signs of ability and at

the university fulfilled this promise; he gained some prizes and was

placed as ninth wrangler in the mathematical tripos of 1788. In 1793 he

was elected fellow of his college, but only resided occasionally. In

1798 he was curate at Albury, close to his birthplace; in 1799 he

travelled through Sweden, Norway, and Russia, to collect information for

his second edition; in 1802, owing to the Peace of Amiens, he was

enabled to travel through Switzerland and France. The second edition

appeared in 1803. It was virtually a new book. The four succeeding

editions that were published in his lifetime were mainly reprints of

this edition with some new matter added. In 1804 he married, and in 1805

became Professor of History and Political Economy at Haileybury College,

which post he held until his death in 1834.[44]

It would seem that Malthus and his father used often to discuss new

books and questions of the day. His father, Daniel Malthus, was inclined

to favour the revolutionary school; Robert Malthus thought that he saw

serious objections to Godwin’s views on the subject of ‘perfectibility’,

and was so much impressed by them that he decided to put his ideas in

writing. Whereas in the first edition Malthus was chiefly concerned with

controverting Godwin and his school, by the time of the second edition

he had lost interest in this side of the matter and his attention was

almost entirely devoted to the problem of population.

Such was the origin of the book which focused the attention of men on

the population question. In the sixth chapter we shall have to review

the position which it sets out and to trace the subsequent development

of the theory. It is sufficient to say here that according to Malthus,

whereas population tends to increase in a geometrical ratio, food tends

to increase in an arithmetical ratio. As a result population is checked

by the operation of vice and misery, to which factors he added, in the

second edition, moral restraint. Statistics showed, even in the lifetime

of Malthus, that the increase of food was not limited to an increase in

an arithmetical ratio, and thus in reality the theory fell to the

ground. It was, however, only gradually realized that this was so and

that the relation between population and the food-supply is connected

with the question of the return to industry, which may at any one time

be increasing or decreasing according to the operation of many factors,

of which the increase in skill is the chief. The points which are of

interest in this historical sketch are the strong feelings which the

book aroused among the adherents of the various schools of thought, the

practical movement to which it gave shape, and finally the influence

which it had upon Darwin and Wallace.

8. From what has been said, it is clear that the ground had been well

prepared for a favourable reception. Further the ‘populousness of

ancient nations’ was a famous theme for controversy in the eighteenth

century. There had also been much discussion as to whether the

population of England was increasing or decreasing.[45] Again, in part

owing to the industrial revolution, and in part owing to the war,

questions as to poverty had attracted much attention, and to them

Malthus’s book had direct reference. Thus it is not surprising that the

success of the first edition was great and immediate.[46] Godwin

admitted that it had ‘converted friends of progress by the hundred’.[47]

Pitt dropped his Poor Law Bill in 1800 partly because of the opposition

of those who had been influenced by the Essay. The earlier supporters of

Malthus belonged, for the most part, to the Whig and Utilitarian

schools. Pitt, Paley, Copleston, James Mill, Senior, Ricardo, Macintosh,

and Whitbread all adhered to Malthus. In 1819 Brougham referred to the

‘principle of population as one of the soundest principles of political

economy’.[48] Support for Malthus was especially strong among the

Utilitarians. Referring to about the year 1825 J. S. Mill says:

‘Malthus’s principle was quite as much a banner and a point of union

among us as any opinion especially belonging to Bentham.’[49]

Opposition was chiefly to be found among the Tories, Revolutionaries,

and Radicals. Godwin published a reply to Malthus in 1801, and several

years later, finding that the ‘principle’ still gained ground, made

another attempt to refute it, which met with as little success as the

earlier attempt. As an example of the attitude of the followers of

Godwin towards Malthus, the following remarks by Shelley may be quoted.

‘Metaphysics and inquiries into moral and political science have become

little else than vain attempts to revive exploded superstitions, or

sophisms like those of Mr. Malthus, calculated to lull the oppressors of

mankind into a security of everlasting triumph.’[50] The Tory element of

the opposition was influenced by the feeling that the ordering of human

affairs could not be so innately bad as the Essay seemed to suggest.[51]

Southey and Coleridge represent this view; the former attacked the Essay

more than once with considerable violence.[52] Cobbett made himself

prominent among the critics by inventing the sobriquet ‘Parson’ Malthus.

It occurs in the following passage.

‘Why,’ said I, ‘how many children do you reckon to have had at last?’

‘I do not care how many,’ said the man, ‘God never sends mouths without

sending meat.’

‘Did you never hear,’ said I, ‘of one Parson Malthus?’

‘No, sir.’

‘If he were to hear of your works, he would be outrageous, for he wants

an Act of Parliament to prevent poor people from marrying young, and

from having such lots of children.’

‘Oh, the brute,’ exclaimed the wife, while the husband laughed, thinking

I was joking.[53]

Hazlitt, who may be classed as a radical, was one of the most violent of

the opponents. Indeed, as Mr. Bonar says, ‘Malthus was the best abused

man of his age.’[54]

The Essay early became known on the Continent. As far as Germany was

concerned, this was attributable, according to von Mohl, to a work by

Luden.[55] During the lifetime of Malthus the violence of the opposition

gradually weakened and the principle was very generally accepted. For

many years such opposition as there was was based rather on religious

grounds than upon an understanding of true weaknesses of the theory.

Nevertheless Sumner, who was afterwards Archbishop of Canterbury, and

Thomas Chalmers in early days both proclaimed their adherence to the

principle.[56] In 1840 three books were published which each attacked

the principle on religious grounds. Of the authors, Sadler was a

Churchman without apparently any strong political feelings, Alison a

Tory, and Doubleday a Radical.[57] That the religious motive continued

to inspire opposition may be gathered from an essay by W. P. Greg which

appeared at a much later date.[58]

It may be noticed that strong opposition was nearly always exhibited to

the views of Malthus by socialistic authors.[59] According to Proudhon,

‘la théorie de Malthus, c’est la théorie de l’assassinat politique, de

l’assassinat par philanthropie, pour l’amour de Dieu.’[60] Karl Marx in

a well-known passage attacked Malthus in most violent and offensive

language.[61]

9. As a result of the Essay, there began within the lifetime of Malthus

the advocacy of Neomalthusianism. Malthus himself definitely disapproved

of this practical application of his ‘principle’.[62] The practical

application of which he approved was made by Miss Martineau in one of

her _Illustrations to Political Economy_, which reads so strangely at

the present day.[63] As regards Neomalthusianism it is very generally

supposed that active propaganda only began about the time of the famous

Bradlaugh-Besant trial in 1876. This, however, is a complete

mistake.[64] The first publication of importance in which these ideas

were put forward was an article by James Mill in the _Encyclopaedia

Britannica_. His language was very guarded but the drift of his remarks

unmistakable. Four years later, in 1822, Francis Place wrote a reply to

Godwin. He covered much other ground but openly and deliberately

advocated these practices. For the next ten years there followed an

active propaganda. The events which first brought the whole question

into public notice are somewhat curious. In 1823 a number of handbills

were sent to Mrs. Fildes, well known in the North for her work among the

poor; these bills contained descriptions of the methods which the new

school of writers wished to see adopted by the working classes; an

anonymous letter accompanied them asking her to help in distributing

them. Mrs. Fildes was very indignant, and the whole story was published

in the journal called the _Black Dwarf_. The bills attained a great

notoriety and became known as the ‘diabolical handbills’. Suspicion

seems to have rested upon Robert Owen; it was stated in the _Black

Dwarf_, and has often been repeated since, that Neomalthusian methods

were in use at New Lanark. It is far more probable that Francis Place

was the author both of the handbill and of the letter. Whether this is

so or not, Place was occupied for the next few years in doing all he

could to spread the new opinions, for the sake of which he was prepared

to sacrifice much popularity.[65] In 1834 the Society for Promoting

Useful Knowledge refused his help because of his opinions on the

subject. He was violently attacked by Cobbett and Richard Carlile; the

latter was afterwards converted and published in 1825 articles

advocating these practices. The articles were reprinted in 1826 as

_Every Woman’s Book_, which went through several editions. At this early

date it is clear that on the one hand these books and pamphlets were

widely read among the working classes; Carlile in the _Republican_, for

instance, asserted that they were ‘circulating by thousands in the

populous districts of the north’. On the other hand Neomalthusian ideas

were held by many eminent men of the day. The Utilitarian leaders, if

not actually concerned in the propagation of these views, made their

approval known. J. S. Mill in his youthful days got into trouble with

the police through distributing some of these pamphlets. Grote somewhat

later presented to London University a copy of the famous _Fruits of

Philosophy_, of which there will be more to be said below.

After a while the propaganda died down, and for some fifty years there

was little heard of it.[66] Some books were, however, published in the

interval which subsequent events made famous. R. D. Owen’s _Moral

Physiology_ appeared in 1830. Knowlton’s _Fruits of Philosophy_ and

Drysdale’s _Elements of Social Science_ appeared in 1833 and in 1854

respectively. It was many years, however, before they became well known.

For many years no objection was taken to the _Fruits of Philosophy_, or

any similar work; such books were allowed to circulate freely. In 1876 a

Bristol bookseller, Cook by name, was condemned to two years’

imprisonment for selling an illustrated edition of Knowlton’s work. Soon

after another bookseller was also fined. Thereupon Mr. Bradlaugh and

Mrs. Besant determined to take up the subject and fight for what they

considered to be the right of freedom of discussion in these matters.

They had an edition of the _Fruits of Philosophy_ printed, and took a

small shop where it was openly exposed for sale. A prosecution followed.

In 1877 they were tried before Sir Alexander Cockburn, the Lord Chief

Justice; the Attorney-General prosecuted. The summing-up was distinctly

in favour of the accused; the jury, however, returned a verdict of

guilty, adding a rider to the effect that they considered the defendants

to be innocent of any immoral intention. Judgement was reserved. But in

the interval Mr. Bradlaugh and Mrs. Besant continued to sell the book,

and the result was that, instead of merely being bound over, as had been

the intention of the judge, they were condemned to six months’

imprisonment and to a fine of six hundred pounds. The judgement was

subsequently quashed in a higher court.

The trial was a huge advertisement for Neomalthusianism. For some years

spasmodic efforts to punish the sale of Neomalthusian books only served

to encourage the propagandists. In 1877 the ‘Neomalthusian League’ was

founded and a vigorous propaganda was carried on. The activity of the

league in England gradually declined, but not before the movement had

spread to foreign countries. Propaganda in other countries followed a

very similar course; in 1888 there was a trial in Australia which is as

famous in that country as the Bradlaugh-Besant trial in England.

Prosecutions occurred in India and in America. In 1891 a remarkable

dispute took place in Norway, and a law was finally passed to prohibit

the sale of Neomalthusian books. As lately as 1908 a Belgian doctor was

condemned to imprisonment for spreading the knowledge of Neomalthusian

methods.[67]

10. With this notice of the history of the development of

Neomalthusianism we may leave this side of the subject. The history of

speculation regarding evolution has been so often described that there

is no need to go into the facts here.

It is well known that before Darwin and Wallace turned their attention

to the subject, the origin of organisms by evolution as opposed to

origin by separate acts of creation had often been suggested. There was

already at the beginning of the nineteenth century a considerable

accumulation of facts regarding the structure and relation of organisms

to one another and regarding the fossil remains of organisms. This

evidence was seen to point to evolution as against creation, but until

Darwin and Wallace produced their theories no one had been able to

formulate a satisfactory hypothesis as to how evolution could have come

about. It is of great interest to observe that it was after reading

Malthus that both Darwin and Wallace independently formulated their

theories. Malthus had, in fact, when taking up for consideration the

quantitative aspect of the problem, so far as man was concerned, been

dealing with that class of facts upon which, not only the quantitative,

but also the qualitative aspect of the problem is based. When Darwin and

Wallace, with the problem of evolution before them, which is essentially

the problem of quality—the problem of the manner in which one type of

organic form can be derived from another type—chanced to read Malthus,

their attention was called to the class of facts connected with the

birth-rate, the death-rate, and allied phenomena. They realized that

among species in a state of nature a somewhat similar state of things

existed to that which Malthus, with another aspect of the problem in

view, was investigating in the case of man, and from a consideration of

these facts they founded independently the hypothesis of natural

selection.

It is of interest to note what Darwin and Wallace themselves say as to

their indebtedness to Malthus. In a passage in the well-known

autobiographical sketch Darwin writes as follows: ‘in October 1838, that

is fifteen months after I had begun my systematic inquiry, I happened to

read for amusement Malthus’ ‘Population’, and being well prepared to

appreciate the struggle for existence which everywhere goes on from

long-continued observation of animals and plants it at once struck me

that under these circumstances favourable variations would tend to be

preserved, and unfavourable ones to be destroyed. The result of this

would be the formation of a new species. Here then I had at last got

hold of a theory by which to work.’[68] In two letters that have been

published—one to Haeckel[69] and one to Wallace[70]—Darwin also recorded

in very similar words his debt to Malthus, and in the _Origin of

Species_, after describing what is meant by the struggle for existence

and how it comes about, says, ‘it is the doctrine of Malthus applied

with manifold force to the animal and vegetable kingdoms.’[71] So too

Wallace, in his reply, after having been presented with the first

Darwin-Wallace medal by the Linnean Society in 1908, acknowledged his

debt to Malthus in the following words: ‘both Darwin and myself, at the

critical period when our minds were fully stored with a considerable

body of preserved information and reflection bearing upon the problem to

be solved, had our attention directed to the system of positive checks

as expounded by Malthus in his _Principle of Population_. It is an

unimportant detail that Darwin read this book two years after his return

from his voyage, while I read it before I went abroad and it was a

sudden recollection of its teachings that caused the solution to flash

upon me.’[72]

Since the publication of the _Origin of Species_ much attention has been

paid to the problem of quality as regards the human race. It was obvious

that if the human race had evolved from some lower type, it was probably

still in process of evolution, and that the direction of evolution was

by no means necessarily upwards. It was also obvious that the further

evolution of the race was to some extent at least within human control,

if and when men chose to use the means of control that lay within their

power. Great impetus was given to this side of the problem by the work

of Sir Francis Galton, who coined the word ‘eugenics’.[73] Societies for

the study of eugenics and for the advocacy of eugenic ideals have been

started in England, in many European countries, in America and

elsewhere, and at the present day the educated classes in every country

are at least aware of the existence of the problem of the quality, as

they have long been aware of the existence of the problem of the

quantity, of population.

The development of opinion on this subject has thus run a peculiar

course. Attention was drawn in early days to the existence of the

problem of numbers, but men were long satisfied with asserting on

comparatively simple grounds that a dense population was desirable or

undesirable, and they usually came to the conclusion that the more

inhabitants in a country, the better for the country. Long before the

time of Malthus, and by many different writers, attention was paid to

the connexion between numbers and the food-supply. It was Malthus,

however, who first aroused public interest in the subject. His book,

indeed, made an impression that few books have ever made. Since his time

every educated man has had the problem of numbers in mind, and current

opinion still often enough reflects the view put forward by Malthus if

not in detail—for it is difficult to say what exactly the views of

Malthus were—at least in the general and on the whole gloomy and

fatalistic manner of regarding the problem. It is owing to the fact that

those contributions which, after the time of Malthus, attracted most

attention, added little to the development of thought, and owing to the

influence of the writings of J. S. Mill, who himself never shook off the

profound impression made upon him early in life by the Essay, that the

views, or perhaps we should rather say the outlook, of Malthus so long

maintained their sway. The development of the modern view as expounded

by political economists was not set out in a form that attracted public

attention, and it was thus possible for the late Governor of South

Africa, when answering a question in the House of Commons a few years

ago, to refer to the problem as though no important contribution had

been made to the subject since the time of Malthus.

Of the development of opinion regarding the qualitative aspect of the

problem there is little to be said. Popular interest in this subject is

of comparatively recent birth. That which is interesting to observe is

that, as a result of the course which thought has taken, the population

problem is seldom seen as a whole, and that the relations one to another

of the very numerous questions arising therefrom are scarcely ever

appreciated.

II

THE BASIS OF THE POPULATION PROBLEM: (1) THE QUANTITATIVE ASPECT

1. In what follows the evolutionary position is taken for granted. It is

assumed, that is to say, that the higher forms of life have evolved from

lower forms. If we make this assumption, we must suppose that at one

time the ancestors of man were living under those conditions to which

species in a state of nature are now subject. By species in a state of

nature are meant all species of animals and plants with the exception of

man and those species which have been domesticated by him. It is the

object of this and the following chapter to show that among species in a

state of nature the population problem exists both in its quantitative

and qualitative aspects, and further that in certain particulars of

fundamental importance the position is the same for all such species.

Certain propositions may be laid down which hold good for any one of

them, and in these chapters it is proposed to show what it is that may

be affirmed with regard to all of them. It follows that, since among the

ancestors of man the population problem must at one time have taken this

form, we shall, as the result of the discussion, arrive at a basis from

which we can proceed to study the shape which the problem in its double

aspect has assumed in the case of man.

It is necessary to emphasize the fact that this argument does not take

the form of developing an analogy between the position of man and that

of species in a state of nature. What we are doing is merely to attempt

to ascertain the conditions under which the ancestors of man lived, in

order that we may follow the changes which have taken place. Further, it

may be well to point out that the argument in these chapters will follow

rather an unusual course. It may seem that certain facts of considerable

general importance are passed over and others of little obvious

importance emphasized. The justification for this course will be

apparent later when we come to deal with the position with regard to

man; for this sketch is not introduced primarily with the object of

throwing light upon the position of species in a state of nature, but in

order to prepare the way for a discussion of the shape which the problem

has assumed in the case of man.

2. At the basis of both aspects of the problem lies the fact of

reproduction. All organisms reproduce their kind. Reproduction is

clearly a necessity, because all living things are liable to meet death

by accident and, unless there was reproduction, every species would soon

be extinguished. It is worth while observing that among all higher forms

of life a more or less clearly defined limit to the duration of life has

been evolved. In other words, natural death after a certain period

ensues. It would seem that natural death has been evolved in the

following manner. All organisms are subject to the wear and tear of

daily life, to meet which there is a faculty of recuperation. Among the

lower forms this faculty is very pronounced. The whole animal can be

regenerated from a small fragment and, as a result, very serious

accidents are not fatal. Among the higher forms there goes, generally

speaking, with the advance in structure a loss of the power of

regeneration, until among the highest there is little or no power of

regeneration; for a certain average length of time the highest organisms

withstand the batterings of daily life, gradually fail to recuperate,

and finally die. Given the necessity of reproduction to provide for the

continuance of the species against accident to its members, this further

evolution is not difficult to understand. A power of recovery from all

but the most extreme forms of accident is present among the simpler

types; the retention of such a power of recovery tends to be

incompatible with increasing complexity of structure, and it has, so to

speak, been more economical to evolve organisms provided with a power of

recuperation only against normal wear and tear over the period during

which they remain capable of reproduction. The higher types therefore,

after reproducing their kind, die and thus the battle of life is always

being resumed by fresh generations.

3. That in some such fashion reproduction has to be explained seems

clear; but we are concerned here with the facts of reproduction. It will

be necessary later to go into the nature of reproduction in greater

detail; all that needs to be said here can be stated quite shortly.

There are two forms of reproduction, known respectively as the sexual

and asexual; the latter type of reproduction occurs only among plants

and the lower animals. As sexual reproduction occurs among all groups of

animals and plants, whether asexual reproduction occurs or not (except

among the bacteria where the latter type alone is known) and as it is

the only type which occurs among the higher groups, asexual reproduction

may be disregarded here. The asexual type of reproduction, it may be

remarked, introduces no new principle, and those groups among whom it is

found are not on that account to be set apart from other groups as

though the general conclusions at which we shall arrive were not

applicable to them.

To make the process of sexual reproduction clear it is necessary to say

something regarding the structure of organisms. Excluding the Protista

for the moment, all organisms exhibit a cellular structure. Upon

examination under a microscope the living tissues are found to consist

of a number of compartments or cells. Among plants the typical cell is

in the nature of a small box with thick sides; among animals the sides

or cell-walls are very thin. Within the cell-walls there are to be

distinguished two chief elements, a central body, the nucleus, and the

surrounding cytoplasm. This cytoplasm consists of ordinary granular

protoplasm and the nucleus of a special kind of protoplasm. Only

protoplasm can properly be spoken of as alive. Those elements in the

body which are not protoplasm are either in the course of being turned

into protoplasm or are the products of protoplasmic activity. Examples

of the latter in man are the hair and the nails, and in the case of

other animals, feathers, shells, and so on. As a general rule, each cell

contains a single nucleus, but there are cells without a nucleus and

cells with more than one nucleus. The name Protista, mentioned above, is

given to the lowest animals and plants which are commonly said to

consist of a single cell. They may be thus thought of; but the group

includes forms with many nuclei of which it can only be said that cell

structure has not yet been differentiated. It is therefore possible that

the term cell should not be used at all in respect of this group.

Among the Protista sexual reproduction takes very different forms.

Essentially, however, it consists in the fusion of two individuals, and

if we regard each individual as a cell, it may be said to consist in the

fusion of two cells. Among the higher forms the essential feature of

sexual reproduction is the same; it consists, that is to say, in the

fusion of two cells. It no longer consists in the fusion of two

individuals, but in the fusion of two cells, one given off by one

individual, and one by the other.

The manner in which these cells, known as gametes, are given off by the

male and the female and the manner in which they fuse require some

further explanation. What happens in plants is in all important features

similar to that which happens among animals, and we may confine our

attention to the latter. In every normal member of every species there

is a generative organ.[74] It consists of a surrounding wall within

which is a mass of developing germ-cells. In the female the fully

developed gamete, called the egg or ovum, is, relative to the male

gamete, of large size. It is typically a motionless cell containing a

varying quantity of food substance which may, as in the case of the

bird’s egg, reach a large amount. The male gamete is a much smaller

cell. With a few exceptions it consists of a small oval-shaped head, to

which is attached, by means of an intervening neck or middle-piece, a

long vibratile tail. The head is the nucleus of the cell; if there is

any cytoplasm, it is reduced to a very small amount and its presence

cannot be readily demonstrated.[75] In strong contrast to the ovum the

spermatozoon is typically motile and can swim in those fluids in which

fertilization usually takes place.

Fertilization consists in the penetration of an ovum by a spermatozoon.

The tail does not always enter the egg; as soon as the head has entered,

a change takes place in the egg which sometimes prevents the tail, and

usually other spermatozoa, from entering the egg. The head or nucleus of

the spermatozoon approaches the nucleus of the egg and fuses with it. At

this point, therefore, we have a single cell, known as the zygote,

formed by the fusion of two cells, one derived from the male and one

from the female. The zygote grows and divides and ultimately gives rise

to an adult; into this process of growth it is not necessary to go for

the moment. The zygote is to be regarded as a new member of the species

the existence of which dates from the fusion of the two nuclei. Whether

the zygote lives an independent existence from the beginning, or is

retained within the body of the mother for a longer or shorter period,

is immaterial so far as the dating of the beginning of the existence of

a new individual is concerned. Every man and woman is thus in reality

some nine months older than his or her nominal age.

4. Such are the essential features of the process of sexual reproduction

through which new members of the species arise. We have now to consider

the outward features of the process, which vary very considerably. So

various are they, that at first sight it may scarcely seem likely that

there is any fundamental generalization that can be made regarding the

process as a whole among all species in a state of nature. When we have

glanced at the facts and at their interpretation we shall be in a

position to discuss what it is that holds good for all such species.

Among all multicellular animals and plants the number of spermatozoa

produced is infinitely greater than the number of ova. A single normal

sexual emission in man is said to contain about 226,000,000 spermatozoa.

This immense production of male gametes makes it likely that a male

gamete will meet and fuse with each female gamete. Among the higher

animals there are certain instincts which further ensure that the male

cells will be brought into the proximity of the female cells. Among

other multicellular animals and plants there are no such instincts.

Generally speaking, among the latter types fertilization may be thought

of as fortuitous. In anemophilous plants, for example, such as the

Pines, the male cells or pollen-grains are specially adapted so that

they are caught and carried by the wind for long distances. Many million

times more male cells than female cells are formed in these plants, and

some of them, wafted by the wind, eventually light upon the ovule. So

too among such lowly animals as the sea-urchin the male and female cells

are extruded into the surrounding sea-water; as these animals live close

together, and as the male and female cells ripen and are extruded at the

same time, the chance that any egg will remain unfertilized is small,

the number of the active spermatozoa being so many times greater than

the number of eggs. This simple form of fertilization is characteristic

of most plants and of many animals. In plants there are certain

complications, in particular those connected with fertilization with the

help of insects, into which it is not necessary to go.

The increasing complexity of animal structure is only roughly correlated

with increasing complexity in the processes connected with

fertilization. Though the most complex form of the process is found

among the highest animals, yet some animals, which stand relatively high

in the scale, exhibit a simple method of fertilization. Of this the fish

are an example, and, further, the more highly developed or bony fish

exhibit a simpler form than some of the more lowly-organized

cartilaginous fish. In fact, the stage next above that of which the

sea-urchin was given as an example can be illustrated from the bony

fish. The process in this group consists in the approach of the male to

the female alongside of whom he swims, led by a rudimentary development

of the sexual instinct. When the female ejects her gametes into the

water, the male does the same and the vastly greater number of the male

gametes ensures that all or nearly all of the eggs are penetrated by a

spermatozoon.[76]

The next stage is that characterized by external copulation. The male

clasps the female and when the latter ejects her eggs, he extrudes his

spermatozoa at the same time. The meeting of the gametes thus still

takes place outside the body of the female. This form of fertilization

is found among the Amphibia; the male frog, for example, has specially

developed pads on his front feet with which he embraces the female.

Internal copulation, though it is to be regarded as the most complex

form of the process, is found among such low forms as flat worms,[77] of

which the common tapeworm is a member, among many higher Invertebrates

such as snails and insects, as well as among cartilaginous fish, birds,

and mammals. The essential feature of internal copulation is that the

male is provided with a special copulatory organ or penis which he

inserts into the female. The male gametes pass through the penis, which

takes the form of a tube, directly into the body of the female, and

fertilization thus takes place within the body of the female.

5. When fertilization takes place without copulation it might be thought

that a small proportion of eggs only would be fertilized, that, so long

as fertilization, for instance, depends on the wafting by the wind of a

pollen-grain over a considerable distance until it alights on one small

spot, or upon the chance meeting of a spermatozoon and an egg in the

water, there would be but a small proportion of eggs fertilized. This,

however, is not so; observation shows that in a state of nature failure

is comparatively rare, and that the majority of female gametes are

fertilized. This is in the main due to the vast number of male cells

compared with the number of eggs. Among those forms in which copulation

takes place, fertilization is clearly dependent upon the strength of the

sexual instinct, which impels the male to seek the female. That this

instinct is very powerful is well known. It may for the time overcome

all other instincts. There is a frenzy of desire among many animals.

Male frogs and toads will remain clasping the female for many days

waiting for the extrusion of the eggs. Female toads have been discovered

smothered by the male in the sexual embrace.[78] It has been noticed

that birds, which under usual circumstances are frightened by the sound

of a gun, will take no notice when in pursuit of a female.[79] All the

evidence points to the fact that, owing to the strength of the sexual

instincts, females are rarely left undiscovered by a male in the sexual

season. Jenner records that one of a pair of magpies was killed and that

on the following day the survivor appeared with another mate. One of

this pair was killed and on the next day the survivor again appeared

with another mate. This was repeated for seven days and on each occasion

the survivor always appeared with a new mate.[80] In this connexion the

great development of those forms of secondary sexual characters may be

referred to which enable the two sexes to find and recognize one

another. Such are recognition marks, call-notes of many insects, birds,

and mammals, and the strong odours given off by many animals during the

sexual period.

Generally speaking, the male is always prepared for the act of

copulation and the act takes place when the female is ready to receive

the male. This is so among mammals whether the male experiences a sexual

season known as the ‘rut’, as among stags, or whether he does not, as

among dogs; for the period of ‘rut’ lasts longer than the period during

which the female is ready to receive the male. The facts, however,

regarding the sexual season in mammals are somewhat complicated owing to

the nature of the sexual season experienced by the female. A number of

different types of mammalian sexual season have been distinguished; it

is not necessary, however, to go into these distinctions. It is

sufficient to say that each sexual season consists of one or more sexual

cycles, known as oestrous cycles. An oestrous cycle may be divided into

four periods; the first, known as the pro-oestrous, is the period of

preparation which ends in the rupture of the blood-vessels in the mucous

membrane of the uterus. When the blood passes to the exterior, it is

known as the menstrual flow. The second period or oestrous is the period

of desire. This period is always short; in the sheep it lasts about

twelve hours and often in other species does not last as long. Only

during this latter period will the female receive the male;[81]

copulation never takes place at any other period, and yet in spite of

the fact that the opportunity for copulation is narrowly restricted, so

strong is the sexual instinct in the male, that it is very rare for a

female, so far as observation goes, not to engage in copulation at each

oestrous. The period of oestrous is followed by the period of

metoestrous during which the activity of generation subsides, and the

metoestrous is followed by the anoestrous or period of rest, after which

another pro-oestrous period begins a new cycle.

The period of oestrous, during which copulation takes place, is usually

marked by the presence of ripe female gametes which are therefore at

once fertilized. Ripe ova are, however, not always present at oestrous;

in the rabbit ovulation takes place an hour and a half after copulation.

In the bat there is a very marked want of coincidence between oestrous

and ovulation; copulation takes place in the autumn, but ovulation does

not take place until the following spring. In such cases the spermatozoa

remain alive in the uterus until the female gametes are ripe, when

fertilization is achieved; thus in the bat the spermatozoa remain alive

for several months. When such cases occur, therefore, it does not mean

that the ova are not fertilized. In the monkeys, however, ovulation may

occur independently of oestrous and in such a manner that the ova then

liberated may not be fertilized.

What has so far been said all goes to show that the majority of ripe ova

are always fertilized among species in a state of nature. There must be

a certain number of failures among those species which copulate, as when

a mammalian female, as must now and again happen, does not engage in

copulation during oestrous. Among species which do not copulate,

failures are doubtless more frequent. There is probably a greater

wastage of eggs when they are adhesive and fixed to some object than

when they are pelagic, as is most often the case among marine animals;

for when eggs are adhesive the seminal fluid may drift away.

We are now approaching a point at which it is possible to establish the

first generalization regarding the process of reproduction among species

in a state of nature. It is, however, not possible to make clear what it

is intended to convey until something has been said regarding animal

behaviour. Some of the most striking differences between one class of

animal and another as regards the process of reproduction are connected

with the evolution of animal behaviour. So far we have spoken of

instinct without defining what is meant, and until something has been

said regarding the course and limit of mental evolution among animals,

the nature of the common element in all forms of reproduction among all

species in a state of nature and the manner in which it differs from

what is found among men cannot be set out. It may seem that the

following review is taking us somewhat out of our path. It so happens,

however, that in view of the questions that will come up later for

discussion, such a sketch will be necessary and it may therefore be now

undertaken so as to render further amplification unnecessary.

6. Putting aside the behaviour of plants, we find among the lower

animals a type of behaviour which, though simple in a certain sense,

cannot be adequately explained without a prolonged discussion. Some idea

can be obtained of its nature if we consider in what a reflex action

consists. When a definite and simple stimulus is followed directly by a

definite and simple reaction we have what is called a reflex action.

This term, it may be noticed, is usually restricted to cases where a

nervous system is present. When similar reactions occur among organisms

in which the nervous system has not been differentiated, it has been

suggested that the term ‘autotype’ should be used.[82]

Reactions, however, probably never follow invariably upon the repetition

of the same stimulus. Among the lowest class of animals, the Protozoa, a

free-swimming ciliate Infusorian, will, if it comes into contact with

something in the medium which is abnormal, it may be, for example, an

alkaline solution, stop and go backwards. This is an example of a reflex

action. An analysis of its subsequent movements shows that, if it again

and again meets the alkaline solution, some modification of the reaction

takes place. The animal may show increased activity until either it is

overcome by the disturbing medium or it has freed itself from it. So

again after the digestion of food, such an organism shows a different

response to the presence of food.

More definite instances of different reactions following upon the same

stimulus are provided by experiments of changing the nature of the

medium. An Infusorian will react violently against certain new elements

in the medium to which after a time it becomes habituated, when the

reaction no longer follows. Very interesting experiments have shown that

even among the simplest class of organisms there is a certain learning

from experience. ‘A Stentor (one of the ciliate Infusorians) if gently

touched upon one side will contract upon its stalk, but will soon open

out again. Touched once more, it will perhaps bend to one side, and if

continually molested in this manner, it will uproot itself in pardonable

dudgeon and swim away. That is to say it has several ways of reacting to

the stimulus and seeking equilibrium, and, if one fails, it tries

another. But now when it anchors itself again, it seems to have learnt

something, for if again touched it does not go through the stages of

contracting and of bending aside. It keeps to its more radical remedy

and moves off again.’[83] It is doubtful whether there is any further

complication of this type of behaviour among organisms which do not

attain to the kind of behaviour that we have now to describe.

7. Herbert Spencer, as is well known, defined instinct as compound

reflex action. Though this definition cannot, for various reasons, be

accepted as adequate, it does suggest the essential nature of instinct,

which consists in the response to a given but often vague stimulus of a

more or less complicated series of reactions. Instinct is more than

compound reflex action because it involves the organism as a whole, and

is accompanied by, or is the outcome of, a mental process. All mental

process is said to involve three aspects—the cognitive or the knowing of

an object, the affective or feeling in regard to an object, and the

conative or striving to or from an object—and these three aspects are to

be found in all instinctive actions. The instinctive action is initiated

by a sense-impression and is followed by results so important because

the nervous system is innately organized to respond to certain

sense-impressions. It is presumed that some kind of emotional

excitement, however faint, always follows and that it gives rise to the

striving that we see in the form of movement. Instinct has been defined

as ‘an inherited or innate psychophysical disposition which determines

its possessor to perceive and to pay attention to objects of a certain

class, to experience an emotional excitement of a particular quality

upon perceiving such an object, and to act in regard to it in a

particular manner, or, at least, to experience an impulse to such

action’.[84]

Every one is acquainted with many examples of instinctive action. ‘There

are many instances of insects that invariably lay their eggs in the only

place where the grubs, when hatched, will find the food they need and

can eat, or where the larvae will be able to attach themselves as

parasites to some host in a way that is necessary to their survival. In

such cases it is clear that the behaviour of the parent is determined by

the impression made on its senses by the appropriate objects or places:

e. g. the smell of decaying fish leads the Carrion fly to deposit its

eggs upon it; the sight or odour of some particular flower leads another

to lay its eggs among the ovules of the flower, which serve as food to

the grubs. Others go through more elaborate traits of action, as when

the Mason-wasp lays its eggs in a mud nest, fills up the space with

caterpillars, which it paralyses by means of well-directed stings, and

seals it up; so that the caterpillars remain as a supply of fresh animal

food for the young which the parent will never see and of whose needs it

can have no knowledge or idea.’[85] To take some examples from among the

Vertebrates, ‘pheasants, plovers, moor-hen, domestic chicks and

ducklings, with many others, are active soon after birth, and exhibit

powers of complex co-ordination, with little or no practice of the

necessary limb movements. They walk and balance the body so soon and so

well as to show that this mode of procedure is congenital, and has not

to be gradually acquired through the guidance of experience. Young water

birds swim with neat orderly strokes the first time they are gently

placed in the water. Even little chicks a day or two old can swim

well.’[86]

Enough has been said in the way of illustration, as numerous examples

are familiar to every one. It is possible that instinctive behaviour may

have to be attributed to so lowly a group of organisms as the flat

worms. Instinct reaches its greatest development among the insects, and

some examples have been given above of the amazingly intricate series of

actions which are performed by insects, under the guidance of instinct.

There have been two lines of mental evolution among animals, one

culminating in the insects and the other in the Vertebrates. Among the

former instincts have become very specialized; among the latter they

have remained far more generalized. Among the latter again there has

been a far higher development of intelligence than among the former,

thus further distinguishing the two lines of mental evolution. It is

probable, however, that intelligence, though certainly at times in a

very primitive form, always accompanies instinct, and to the discussion

of intelligence we must now turn.

8. We saw how as lowly an animal as an Infusorian can in a sense learn

from experience. It is only when learning from experience reaches a more

advanced stage that we speak of intelligent action. If we watch one of

the higher animals which, under the influence of desire, is striving to

satisfy this desire, we find that it behaves in the following manner. An

animal, for instance, is shut up in a box with food outside. It is led

by instinct to all kinds of sporadic activities; it will clutch and claw

and make every kind of effort to extricate itself. If some simple catch

has been contrived which opens the door and offers a way of escape, the

animal will probably sooner or later accidentally operate the catch and

escape. If the animal is replaced in the box many times, it is found to

escape on the average sooner. It learns in fact in some degree to

operate the catch and thus to gain freedom and food. The question which

arises is what degree of mental development we have to assume in order

to account for these facts.

The stage in learning from experience which follows next upon that

present among some protozoa is exemplified by the chick which at first

instinctively pecks at various objects. If it pecks at a yellow

caterpillar with an unpleasant taste it will drop it. The next time, or

after a series of such experiences, it will avoid the caterpillar. The

explanation seems to be that a modified response arises directly from

the sight of the caterpillar. The sense-impression has become charged

with feeling that first arose as the result of experience. This simple

explanation is to be preferred to that which would assume the

realization by the chick of the relation between the position when it

again finds itself with a yellow caterpillar before it and the nastiness

which it previously experienced. The process is thus one of the revival

of acquired meaning, and we have now to ask if a higher stage of mental

process is ever to be attributed to animals or whether the behaviour of

the animal in the cage is to be explained on the same lines as the

behaviour of the chick.

‘Let us suppose’, says Professor Hobhouse, ‘revival to operate in a mind

capable of perceiving three objects A B C in definite space and time

relations, C being something desirable, e. g. food. If the three objects

are present to the senses, the first two leading up to the third (e. g.

as intervening objects in space), conation will be definitely directed

to C via A and B. Let this have happened and then let A alone be given.

If the animal is hungry, i.e. if there is a conational basis to go upon,

A will, according to the law of revival, excite a conation corresponding

to the previous one, but this was a conation definitely directed to B

and C in succession as things standing in a definite relation to A. The

animal then directs its efforts to a point where, in accordance with the

first experience, B and C should be. It looks for them, or if B is some

change which brings C about, sets itself to perform B and so obtain C.

Its action is directed to something not given, and this appears to be

the germ of a conation or practical idea.’[87] It is thus possible that

in the behaviour of the animal in the box we may have to recognize the

first step towards a higher mental process. Effort may be directed to

something not given and thus there may be the first sign of the

emergence of an idea. Whether this is so or not, such an idea is

certainly not a general idea; it is merely a reference to something to

come, and that is all. This is the highest degree of mental development

that we can attribute to animals and it may be noticed that, this being

so, there can probably be no true memory among animals. Explicit ideas,

therefore, among animals, so far as they exist at all, do not give rise

to other ideas following one another in sequence. They are isolated and

serve merely to guide action.

9. The highest form of mental process attributable to animals reaches a

fuller development among men. This stage of mental development has been

called the stage of perceptual correlation. How far the apprehensions of

direct relationships in consciousness are developed among animals is

doubtful; there is no doubt that among men such relations are

apprehended. Action, therefore, is not merely connected indirectly with

the result, as in the example of the chick; action is undertaken with an

end in view. If the chick came to apprehend the relation between the

caterpillar and the unpleasant taste, it would have reached the fully

developed stage of perceptual correlation; we have seen that we have to

assume in this case a simpler state of mental process, though in certain

cases a study of animal behaviour does suggest some approach to the

higher stage. At this stage, which is fully developed only in man, the

world ceases to be presented merely as sense-impressions charged with

feeling and takes the shape of a mass of objects of perception related

together and underlying the sense-impressions and the feelings evoked by

them.

In man there is developed a still higher stage of mental process which

is his peculiar possession and chief distinguishing characteristic. This

is the stage of conceptual thought. In the perceptual stage activity is

guided solely by the presence of the objects perceived. If there is any

anticipation of the end, the action from moment to moment is still

always guided by what is actually given. In the conceptual stage action

is guided by an ideal anticipation of the end. What underlies mental

process at this stage is generalization. The situation as given is

broken up and analysed; elements common to it and to previous situations

are recognized and synthesized. These two processes of analysis and

synthesis go on side by side and concepts are formed which are outside

the world of perception. Common elements in the perceptual order are

recognized and there is thus made possible a grasp of the continuity

running through experience.

Man is thus no longer guided by what is immediately given in experience;

he can make plans and shape his actions with an ideal end in view. With

the development of conceptual thought goes the development of language,

whereby man learns from others and passes on to others what is in his

mind. Of the stage of conceptual thought there will be more to say in a

later chapter. This further development is only mentioned here in order

to contrast mental process in its highest form in man with the process

in animals.

10. We have now to consider the bearing of mental development upon the

process of reproduction. All animals are endowed with a certain power of

reproduction which we shall call fecundity. Fecundity is measured by the

number of ripe ova produced, the number of spermatozoa having no direct

bearing on fecundity. We have seen that the highest animals—those most

nearly related to man—are gifted with instinct and intelligence. The

value of intelligence lies in the fact that it enables instinct to adapt

itself to the special circumstances of the moment and thus to bring

about its end more surely. The sexual instinct is in this manner

assisted by intelligence, and among animals which copulate the power of

reproduction is thus able to realize itself to the full or almost to the

full. There may be certain failures to achieve reproduction and certain

cases of perverted instinct; to some of these cases we have already

referred. Broadly speaking, however, it is true that the highest

development in animals of instinct and intelligence works towards the

fulfilment of that degree of fecundity which is innately given. It

follows, therefore, that in this sense mental development among animals

has not in any fashion changed the position of the higher animals when

compared with that of the lower animals. Reproduction in the sea-urchin

and reproduction among the mammals—vastly as the mental processes

differ—is still similar in this respect. The power of reproduction is

realized to the full or almost to the full. All that instinct and

intelligence do is to ensure that in this more complex process of

fertilization the full power of reproduction is as nearly as possible

realized—that is to say, that nearly all ova are fertilized.

Among men, even in the lowest stage in which they have been studied, the

position is entirely different. Owing to the development of conceptual

thought men act with some ideal object in view. Customs grow up which in

their origin must be traced to some process of reasoning, however

obscure, and action deliberately undertaken, as well as custom, may

affect the realization of the power of reproduction. Thus among the

lowest of primitive races we find that men abstain from intercourse for

various motives which we must regard as due to the presence of reason.

Or again, they may practise certain forms of mutilation of the sexual

organs which may affect the power of reproduction. The origin of such a

custom may be hidden; it may be almost certain that it was not

originated with any understanding of its effect upon reproduction and

even that its effect has never been recognized; nevertheless originally

such a custom could only have arisen if reason was present. Similarly,

among the lowest races there are abundant examples of the practices of

abortion and infanticide which, though they do not affect fecundity,

have an important bearing upon the quantitative aspect of the population

problem and are again the products of reason.

Among men, therefore, owing to the development of a higher stage of

mental power, fecundity is not realized to the full, and we have to

distinguish between the power of reproduction, which we have called

fecundity, and the actual degree of reproduction, which we shall call

fertility. It may, perhaps, assist to emphasize what is meant if for a

moment we think of the reproductive process among animals as

‘mechanical’. The introduction of this term should not be taken to have

any ultimate significance—any reference whatever to the true nature of

mental process. It is only used as a convenient term to illustrate the

difference between reproduction among animals and among men. Among all

species in a state of nature reproduction may be thought of as

‘mechanical’, whereas reproduction among men is never ‘mechanical’. The

number of young produced in the case of the human species is far from

being completely correlated with the fecundity. There may be all degrees

of difference between fecundity and fertility. Among species in a state

of nature fecundity and fertility are for all practical purposes one and

the same thing because reproduction is ‘mechanical’ whatever may be the

stage which mental development has reached. Further, such differences as

exist among species in a state of nature between fecundity—the number of

ripe ova—and fertility—the number of fertilized ova—are due to failures

of the gametes to meet and may be called, just as the whole process may

be called, ‘mechanical’. Such ‘mechanical’ differences between fecundity

and fertility may also be found in man but the chief cause of the

differences in the case of man is altogether of another kind and is due,

as we have seen, directly to the development of conceptual thought.

It was said above that it was proposed to show that certain

generalizations can be made regarding the process of reproduction among

species in a state of nature. This then is the first generalization.

(Fecundity and fertility are closely correlated and, compared with the

position among men, reproduction may be thought of as ‘mechanical’ and

even the failures to realize the full power of fecundity may be thought

of as ‘mechanical’.)

11. It has been mentioned that fecundity is very large among all species

in a state of nature and we have now to ask what it is that determines

how large it shall be. As we have seen, the fecundity is roughly

measured by the number of ova produced, and this number clearly depends

upon many factors, such as the beginning and duration of the mature

period, the number of eggs produced at any one time, and the length of

the period between the epochs of egg production. Into details of the

proximate causes of the differences in fecundity it is not necessary to

go. What it is desired to know is what factor or factors in general

ultimately determine the strength of fecundity in each species. We may

first take some examples of the degree of fecundity drawn from various

groups.

The common whelk lays its eggs in capsules of which a great number are

produced. It has been calculated that a small clump of such capsules of

about two cubic inches in size contains about 200,000 eggs. Another

mollusc, Aplysia, may lay from 2,000,000 to 3,000,000 at a time. ‘An

oyster may have sixty million eggs and the average American yield is

sixteen millions.’[88] The number of eggs found attached to the edible

crab in the breeding season varies between half a million and three

millions. A single pair of flies may produce 20,000 larvae. The number

of eggs produced by parasites may very largely exceed these numbers.

Among the vertebrates the fish are the most prolific class. ‘In a Ling

61 inches long and weighing 54 pounds the ovaries contained 28,361,000

eggs; a cod of 21½ pounds 6,652,000. The least prolific of British food

fishes is the herring, in which the number of ovarian eggs varied from

21,000 to 47,000 in four specimens examined.’[89]

These vast numbers of eggs produced at any one time make theoretically

possible a prodigious rate of increase. It has been calculated that a

single cholera bacillus can give rise to sixteen hundred trillion of

bacilli in a day, forming a solid mass weighing a hundred tons. ‘Wallace

quotes Kerner to the effect that a common British weed (_Sisymbrium

sophia_) often has three-quarters of a million seeds; if all grew to

maturity for only three years the whole of the land surface of the globe

would not hold them. An annual plant with only two seeds would be

represented by 1,048,576 in the twenty-first year.... If all the progeny

of one oyster survived and multiplied, its great-great-grand-children

would number thirty-six with thirty-three noughts after it, and the heap

of the shells would be eight times the size of the world. Huxley

calculated that if the descendants of a single green-fly all survived

and multiplied they would, at the end of summer, weigh down the

population of China. The common house-fly lays eggs in batches of 120 to

150 at a time, and may lay five or six of these batches during its life

of about three weeks in very hot weather. At the end of summer, if all

developed, and if there were six generations, the progeny of a single

pair, pressed together into a solid mass, would occupy a space of

something like a quarter of a million cubic feet, allowing 200,000 flies

to a cubic foot.’[90] ‘There is no exception’, says Darwin, in a

well-known passage, ‘to the rule that every organic being naturally

increases at so high a rate, that, if not destroyed, the earth would

soon be covered by the progeny of a single pair. Even slow-breeding man

has doubled in twenty years, and at this rate in less than a thousand

years there would literally not be standing room for his progeny.

Linnaeus has calculated that if an annual plant produced only two

seeds—and there is no plant so unproductive as this—and their seedlings

next year produced two, and so on, then in twenty years there would be a

million plants. The elephant is reckoned the slowest breeder of all

known animals, and I have taken some pains to estimate its probable

minimum rate of natural increase; it will be safest to assume that it

begins breeding when thirty years old, and goes on breeding until ninety

years old, bringing forth six young in the interval, and surviving till

100 years old; if this be so, after a period of 740 to 750 years there

would be nearly ninety million elephants alive, descended from the first

pair.’[91]

12. These examples show that the power of fecundity, which is always

huge, is in many instances much greater than in others. Were it not for

the fact that normally all but a small proportion of eggs are always

fertilized, it might be suggested that in those cases in which there was

no copulation a much larger number of eggs was necessary than among the

higher forms, in order that a sufficient number should be fertilized.

This, however, can only be a partial explanation of the larger number of

eggs among those lower forms where there is no copulation.

In order to obtain an answer to the question as to what it is which

determines the fecundity of any species, it is necessary to look into

certain features of the life of animals and plants in a state of nature.

Observation and deduction bring one remarkable fact to light. The number

of adults of any species at any one season of the year, when compared

with the number in the corresponding period in other years, remains upon

the whole constant. This fact cannot be based upon statistics, for we

cannot take anything approaching to a census. Nevertheless, it is an

unavoidable deduction from the known facts. The more emphasis that is

laid upon variations in numbers from season to season, the more apparent

does it become that such differences are trivial when compared with the

possible rate of increase. But we know that all but a small proportion

of eggs are fertilized, and as we date the existence of a new member of

the species from the moment of fertilization, it is clear that the

numbers composing every new generation greatly exceed the number of

adults to which the new generation owes its existence. It follows,

therefore, that all but a small proportion of the young of each

generation perish before the adult stage is reached. The most remarkable

increases in the adults of any species ever recorded are negligible

compared with the possible increase, and observation shows that as a

general rule there is no increase at all.

Fecundity is, therefore, in some manner connected with this fact that

the great majority of fertilized eggs do not give rise to adults, and in

order to throw further light upon this connexion we must ask how it is

that the young perish.

13. To make clear how it is that the young of every species perish on so

large a scale, it is necessary to refer to the interdependence of all

living organisms. This can perhaps best be illustrated by reference to

the chief distinction between animals and plants. A difference in the

mode of nutrition is that which chiefly distinguishes animals from

plants. There are other differences but their importance is small

compared with that we may now describe. The need of food is common to

all living things and is due to the nature of the living substance

called protoplasm—the physical basis of all life. Protoplasm is of a

very complex constitution. It is for ever wasting away and if life is to

be preserved food must be supplied to compensate for the loss. The need

is as great among plants as it is among animals, but the means of

supplying it are fundamentally different.

Plants feed upon very simple substances—salts of nitric acid, salts of

ammonia, and carbonic acid. Among green plants carbonic acid is taken in

from the air through small apertures in the leaves known as stomata; the

salts of nitric acid and ammonia are absorbed from solution in the water

of the soil. Carbonic acid and water are synthesized within the cells of

the plant into starch; starch is converted into sugar and the sugar is

combined with the salts of nitric acid and ammonia to form amino-acids

which are eventually transformed into proteids. Thus the plant makes

good the unavoidable waste of its living substance by elaborating the

highly complex protoplasm from the simplest elements.

The method pursued by animals is entirely different. They feed upon

complicated substances, which may be divided into proteids, fats, and

carbo-hydrates. These substances do not take their places directly in

the living cells of the body; they first undergo a process of digestion,

after which they are assimilated. Digestion involves the breaking down

of these complex foods to a certain stage; proteids, for example, are

reduced to amino-acids, and starches to sugars. In these forms they are

soluble and are taken up by the walls of the alimentary canal and are

afterwards resynthesized into proteids and starches.

The importance of this distinction lies in the fact that the only method

of obtaining the highly complex substances necessary for animals is to

feed upon the tissues of other animals or plants. It is obvious that

every animal species cannot feed upon some other animal species; in the

end animals as a whole must depend upon plants because plants alone are

able to elaborate the substances which animals need. In a sense,

therefore, animals are parasitic upon plants; in any case the existence

of animals is bound up with the continued existence of plants. This

interdependence of living organisms runs all through the conditions

under which species in a state of nature live and takes a variety of

shapes. The dependence of one organism upon another is largely connected

with the question of the provision of appropriate surroundings which are

often only found in the proximity of certain other species. Many species

can only flourish in the neighbourhood of trees. The interdependence

between certain species is very intimate. There are many examples of

what is known as symbiosis, as when a certain species of sea anemone

lives on the back of a particular species of crab. Again, parasites,

which alternate between one host and another, are dependent upon finding

a member of a particular species at a certain time in their

life-history, as otherwise they perish. Many examples of interdependence

are within common knowledge, and, bearing this feature of organic life

in mind, we may go on to ask how it is that, through the elimination of

a great proportion of the young of every species, the number of adults

remains upon the whole constant.

14. Taking animals first, it is probable that the most common cause of

elimination lies in the fact that the young of all species are consumed

by members of other species. It is difficult to estimate even roughly

the relative importance of the various causes of elimination; ‘the

causes’, says Darwin, ‘which check the natural tendency of each species

to increase are most obscure’.[92] The particular factor mentioned,

however, certainly takes a very prominent place. The young of marine and

fresh-water animals almost all form food for other species and are

obviously exposed to attack. So too, though perhaps not to so great a

degree, are the young of terrestrial animals; whether we think of the

larvae of insects or the eggs of birds, we find that they are in most

cases liable to be consumed by enemies. Even where copulation is

internal, the developing embryo is, except among mammals, seldom long

retained within the body of the mother, and once exposed to the outside

world it almost invariably becomes an object of prey to many enemies. In

fact, wherever we look, this cause of elimination plays a very great

part, arising immediately from that aspect of the interdependence of

species which is derived from the mode among animals of making up for

the wastage of protoplasm.

Elimination again is largely due to failure to find those conditions

under which alone life can continue. These conditions may be connected

with the nature of the organic or of the inorganic surroundings. When

the young of the flat worm, known as the Liver Fluke, which infects

sheep and causes a serious disease, passes from the sheep to the

exterior, it can only maintain itself for a certain time in the

free-living form. Unless within this time it meets with a certain

species of snail into which it penetrates, it will die. Besides such

failures to find suitable organic surroundings, there may be failures to

find suitable inorganic surroundings. The larvae of such species as the

mussel, which require suitable surroundings to which to attach

themselves in order that the adult form may develop, will perish if such

surroundings are not available. There is a further class of factors

connected with the inorganic surroundings which bring about elimination.

They may be summed up under the heading of external circumstances.

Variations in temperature, moisture and so on, when they pass beyond a

certain limit, which is more or less clearly marked for each species,

are followed by death. Under this heading comes also death from

accident, as when animals perish from the violence of storms and in any

similar fashion. It is of interest to note that starvation is seldom the

primary cause of death. It may be a secondary result of abnormal

external circumstances; extreme cold, though not affecting directly the

members of one species, may be fatal to members of another species upon

which the former feed. But when circumstances are normal, so far as

observation goes, starvation is rare.

15. Among plants the same three groups of factors can be traced, though

their relative importance is not the same as among animals. Elimination

through consumption as food, for instance, by other species is not so

important. To a large extent plants can serve as food for animals and

survive. Nevertheless the young, especially in the form of seeds, are

very subject to attack by animals; seeds are one of the principal forms

of food for many animal species, and this form of elimination plays a

large part among plants. Dependence upon suitable organic and inorganic

surroundings plays much the same rôle as it does among animals. Some

species can only flourish in the shade of trees and others in the open.

Some species require one kind of soil and others another. The importance

of external circumstances again is very similar.

There is another factor of a somewhat different nature which is of great

importance. ‘With plants’, says Darwin, ‘there is a vast destruction of

seeds, but, from some observations which I have made, it appears that

the seedlings suffer most from germinating in ground already thickly

stocked with other plants.’[93] In order that a seed may germinate, it

must not only fall upon suitable soil but must find enough suitable soil

unoccupied. Otherwise it will not germinate or will not develop into an

adult. This is different from anything which happens among animals, and

is clearly an approach to starvation. It is, however, better thought of

as the result of the inability of any given area to support more than a

given amount of life. The endowment of any area may be such as to render

it incapable of supporting life at all, or it may be such as to render

it capable of supporting any degree of life up to and beyond that for

which there is space. In the sea the amount of nitrogen is the limiting

factor, and the deficiency of nitrogen is such that the question of

space does not arise.[94] In many parts of the world’s surface, however,

the endowment is such that more plants could be supported than there is

space for.

In this connexion it may be noted that the limitation of the surface of

the earth is not a cause of elimination in the true sense. This is best

seen if we imagine the surface to be extended. If to a continent already

inhabited there is added an unoccupied area, there will, if the new area

is generally of the same nature as that alone formerly existing, be a

spreading of organic life over the new area. It will only be at the

fringe of the occupied area that there will be any difference in the

amount of elimination of plant life. Unless the occupied area is of very

small extent, there will be no difference except within this narrow

fringe. In the fringe there will be a lessening of elimination, other

things being equal, because there will not be the same number of seeds

which fail to grow into plants owing to the previous occupation of

suitable soil, as in the more central parts of the area. When the new

area has been entirely occupied, the same conditions as existed in the

smaller area will exist throughout the larger area. Further, if the

surface available for occupation were indefinite in extent, there would,

except at the fringe, which would in this case be permanent, be no

difference as regards the amount of elimination. All that has been said

applies equally well if, instead of imagining these additions to take

place after evolution had reached its present stage, we imagine

evolution to have taken place from the beginning on an area of

indefinite extent.

16. We have, therefore, some idea of the manner in which the young of

animals and plants perish. Let us consider any animal species; we find

that the young are faced with a large number of dangers. The new members

of the species may be consumed by some enemy before they have developed

beyond the stage of the fertilized egg or at any stage in their

development. They may in general not meet with favourable organic and

inorganic surroundings, or at some particular stage they may not meet

with the environment necessary. At any time they may perish from

unfavourable external circumstances. The position of young plants is

similar, and in addition they may fail to find sufficient space in which

to live.

The dangers which any species encounters remain both in kind and in

degree fairly constant over a considerable period of time, and, unless

in each generation a number of young survives at least equal to the

number of adults in the generation to which it owes its birth, the

species will decline. It follows that the power of reproduction must be

such as to ensure that at least this number of young will survive. The

power of reproduction in any species is therefore connected with the sum

of all the dangers which the young of the species encounter. But it is

not true that the greater the fecundity the better for the species.

Reproduction over and above this degree would place the young in a less

favourable position. Competition bringing no corresponding advantages

would be increased, and starvation or injurious semi-starvation would

result. Any considerable increase in the strength of fecundity beyond

that which is essential could not therefore be beneficial.[95]

The facts regarding the conditions of life and the dangers to which the

young of different species are exposed coincide with the view that the

strength of reproduction is in the main determined by the sum of these

dangers. The greater strength of fecundity among those species which

shed their eggs into the water cannot be attributed, as we have seen, to

any failure of fertilization on a large scale; it may be attributed,

however, to the numerous dangers which the young of such species must

encounter. The chance that any single fertilized egg will grow into an

adult is far less in these cases than when the eggs are retained in the

body of the mother and when the young are guarded by the parent, and,

unless fecundity was on a large scale, a sufficient number would not

survive. Among plants reproduction must always be on a large scale

because it is necessary to ensure that a sufficient number of seeds will

fall, not only on suitable ground, but on suitable ground that is not so

occupied as to prevent growth to the adult stage, in addition to the

necessity of providing such numbers as will ensure a sufficient number

passing through all the other dangers. Eggs and young abandoned by the

parents may be variously exposed to danger. The development of instincts

common among insects which lead to the hiding of eggs in places where

danger of destruction at the hand of enemies is decreased, and to the

provision of food for the young when they develop from the eggs, is

accompanied by a decrease in fecundity. Further developments of the

parental instinct are accompanied by decreases in fecundity as the

degree of danger lessens. Parental care for the young is not uncommon

among the invertebrates. There are a number of cases in which the young

are retained in brood-pouches, as for instance by the common water-flea.

The fresh-water leech, Clepsine, broods over its young. Among the

vertebrates the fish for the most part take no care of their young. Some

fish, however, such as Gasterosteus, the Stickleback, make nests. No

great advance is found among the Amphibia or among the reptiles. One

reptilian group, however, the Chelonia, shows a remarkable advance; they

live in pairs and guard their young with care. If marriage be defined as

‘a more or less durable connexion between male and female lasting beyond

the mere act of propagation till after the birth of the offspring’,[96]

then the beginning of marriage is discernable in this group. This more

or less durable connexion between male and female is a well-known

characteristic of birds, as is also care for the young. ‘Most birds when

they pair do so for good and all until one or the other dies.’[97] The

connexion is not so durable, and the parental instinct is not so highly

developed, among mammals as among birds. The retention of the young

within the body of the mammalian mother, however, greatly decreases the

dangers to which the young are exposed. It is also worthy of note that

those species both of birds and mammals which prey upon others are on

the whole less fecund than other species, a fact which is to be

connected with the lower degree of danger to which their offspring are

exposed.

The lower degree of danger to which the young are exposed, the less the

fecundity; and the less the fecundity, provided that it reaches the

strength necessary to preserve the species, the better on the whole for

the species. In this manner we reach the second generalization regarding

the quantitative aspect of the population problem among species in a

state of nature, which may be stated by saying that the strength of

fecundity in any species is determined by the sum of all the dangers to

which the young of that species are exposed. This must be qualified, in

so far as fecundity and fertility are not the same, by adding to the

dangers to which the young are exposed the danger that a certain

proportion of eggs will not be fertilized. It follows that among men,

since fecundity and fertility are not the same for quite other than

‘mechanical’ reasons, fecundity is not directly related to the dangers

to which the young are exposed. It is clear that, when men, as is now

the case on a large scale, both abstain from intercourse and interfere

with the natural result of intercourse, and at the same time increase in

number, the strength of fecundity is considerably greater than that

which would enable a sufficient number of young to escape the

unavoidable dangers. But the ancestors of man must once have been

subject to the same conditions as those to which species in a state of

nature are now subject, and it will be into the causes and results of

this progressive divergence from the former conditions that we shall

look in the first part of this book.

III

THE BASIS OF THE POPULATION PROBLEM: (2) THE QUALITATIVE ASPECT

1. We have now to consider the qualitative aspect of the population

problem. There are two questions to which an answer is required. First

we ask: What is the nature of the changes which occur? In other words,

if we may speak of history among animals and plants, we want to know

what kind of changes underlie the facts which go to make up that

history. The second question is: How have these changes come about?

There is no doubt about the answer to the first question, and it can be

given very shortly. Though there is a certain consensus of agreement

regarding the answer to the second question, there are considerable

differences, of opinion over points which are not unimportant, and in

order to deal adequately with these points a long discussion would be

required for which there is no space. All that can be done here is to

set out the most important facts; they will provide a satisfactory

answer to the first question and enable some indication to be given of

the lines which the answer to the second must follow.

However slight the treatment of the problem, it must begin with a

reference to the physical basis of inheritance. Some description has

been given of the process of fertilization. It was said that only the

head and middle-piece of the spermatozoon penetrate the egg, and that no

cytoplasm or ordinary granular protoplasm can be demonstrated in these

parts of the spermatozoon. The head is the nucleus of the cell, while

the middle-piece contains the centrosome, a body which is attached to

the nucleus and plays an important part when the nucleus divides. From

these facts a very important conclusion follows. It is known that both

parents contribute equally to the offspring; therefore as the male

parent contributes only a nucleus and its appanage the centrosome, the

basis of the inherited qualities must be sought in the nucleus.

Attention is thus directed to the nucleus, which can sometimes be seen

in the living cell. Its detailed structure can, however, only be made

out in specimens which have been preserved and stained. The nucleus is

then seen to consist of a thin wall within which is contained a

colourless sap. In the sap are a number of beads of a darkly staining

substance known as chromatin suspended on delicate threads of a

substance known as linin. The division of a cell is always preceded by

the division of the nucleus and, when the nucleus divides, the chromatin

undergoes certain remarkable changes. The beads of chromatin become

aggregated together into rods—the number of rods which appear being

invariably constant in the same species, though varying from species to

species. These rods are known as chromosomes. Beyond saying that the

rods divide into two and that each daughter nucleus, and therefore each

daughter cell, is provided with that number of chromosomes which is

typical for the species, it is not necessary to follow the details of

the process of division any farther. Stated in the briefest possible

form, this is what happens during ordinary cell-division, such as that

which takes place when a fertilized egg is growing from a single cell

into a multicellular adult.

There is one remarkable exception to this type of nuclear division. In

the last division but one of those series of divisions which lead to the

formation of both male and female gametes, half, and not the full number

of chromosomes, is transmitted to each daughter nucleus. If therefore

the typical number of chromosomes in the nucleus of one species is eight

and in another four, the number of chromosomes in the gametes will be

four and two respectively. In the former species the nucleus of the egg

will have four chromosomes, and that of the spermatozoon also four, and

the full number typical of the species will only be restored when the

nucleus of the spermatozoon fuses with the nucleus of the egg in

fertilization.

The invariable reappearance of the same number of chromosomes in

ordinary cell-division, their reduction to half that number in the last

division but one which precedes the formation of the gametes, the

complicated mechanism which is employed and other evidence all lead to

the conclusion that the location of the basis of the hereditary

qualities can be further narrowed and sought in the chromatin—in one

element, that is to say, of the nucleus.[98]

2. The nucleus must not be thought of as isolated from the rest of the

cell; there is a constant and active interchange between the nucleus and

the cytoplasm. It has actually been demonstrated that at times particles

stream out from the nucleus into the cytoplasm. The nucleus is the

centre of activity; without the nucleus the cell cannot live. This being

so, how are we to view the process of development from the fertilized

egg to the adult? The process can be studied in detail. The egg divides

into two cells, then into four, eight, sixteen, thirty-two cells, and so

on. The gradual differentiation of the organs can be watched and their

lineage to certain cells in earlier stages traced. At every stage the

developing organism comes under the influence of certain stimuli

provided by the surrounding conditions. Very many elements in the

environment act as stimuli; among them are light, temperature,

gravitation, food, and so on. Provided that the environment is normal,

provided, that is to say, that the variations in the stimuli do not

exceed certain limits, an adult member of the species will be formed.

What is implied in the term ‘normal environment’ will be more fully

discussed in Chapter XIV, where the results of subjection to an abnormal

environment will also be studied. That a large number of stimuli varying

within only narrow limits are necessary, will there also be shown to

have been proved.

The process of development, therefore, takes the shape of the growth of

a particular organic form through the play of certain stimuli upon the

germinal constitution. The germinal constitution has, as we have seen,

apparently to be identified with the constitution of the chromosomes of

the fertilized egg, of which half are derived from the father and half

from the mother. It is known that the characters, which the organism

exhibits, in some manner have a basis in the germinal constitution. The

number of these separate characters is very large. What view then are we

to take of the nature of the germinal constitution? In the first place

every character as seen in the organism is the result of the play of

certain stimuli upon something in the germinal constitution. This

something can only be thought of as predispositions to the development

of certain characters under certain stimuli and to the development of

characters differing in degree or in kind from the former characters

under other stimuli. It is altogether misleading to speak of anything

but predispositions as present in the germinal constitution, though, of

course, for the sake of brevity other phraseology may be employed once

this point is understood. When, therefore, we speak of the inheritance

of any character, we mean that there is a predisposition in the germinal

constitutions both of the parent and of the offspring to develop this

character under certain stimuli, which stimuli must play both upon the

parent and upon the offspring if the character is to be manifested in

both of them.

If we have to regard the germinal constitution as somehow containing

very many separate predispositions or, as they are often called,

factors, is it in the second place possible to say in what these factors

consist? No definite answer to this question can as yet be given.

Certain hypotheses have been put forward. Weismann, for instance,

suggested that the factors were to be sought in groups of molecules of

chromatin. It is not necessary, however, to postulate definite and

separate particles as the physical basis of the predispositions. The

protoplasmic molecule is a very complex structure consisting of a very

large number of atoms. Similar atoms may be differently grouped within a

molecule, and different predispositions may well be functions of

different groupings.

3. In order that we may answer the first of the two problems set out at

the beginning of the chapter we must consider in rather more detail in

what the development of an organism consists.[99] Every character is, as

we have seen, the result of the influence of the environment upon what

is innately given. If two individuals were endowed with precisely

similar germinal constitutions, and if precisely similar stimuli played

upon each of them, then the adult forms would be similar in respect of

all their characters. But if the stimuli are not similar, if, for

instance, more food is provided in one case than in another, then,

though the germinal constitutions are similar, one adult may be larger

than the other. Again, let us suppose that the germinal constitutions

differ, that, for instance, there is in one case a predisposition to the

development of greater size than in the other, then, even if the stimuli

are similar, the adult forms will differ. The larger members of each of

these pairs may thus resemble one another very closely in outward

characters; but this close resemblance will not be due to similar

germinal constitutions. It follows that by mere outward inspection no

conclusion can be reached as to the germinal constitution. There are,

therefore, two classes of influences at work, and alterations in either

class of influence will bring about alterations in the resulting

organism; similar characters may be the product of one kind of

predisposition and one kind of stimulus, or of a different

predisposition and a different stimulus. It also follows that we cannot

speak of certain characters as inherited and of others as acquired. Let

us suppose that some departure from the normal structure occurs. It may

be due to a change in the environment, that is to say, to a new stimulus

acting upon an unchanged germinal constitution, or it may be due to a

change in the germinal constitution when no change in the environment

takes place. It should not be said that in the former case the new

departure is acquired and in the latter case that it is inherited. What

has happened is that in the former case a new stimulus acting upon the

old factors has brought forth a new character, and in the latter case

that the old stimulus has brought forth a new character because it has

acted upon a different factor.

Though the popular distinction between characters which are acquired and

characters which are inherited is misleading, there are, nevertheless,

two kinds of variation. A new departure may be due to a change in the

germinal constitution. In this case the new character will reappear in

future generations, provided that the changed germinal constitution

remains and provided that the complex of stimuli which composed the

environment does not change. Such a variation may be called a

‘mutation’. A new departure may also be due to a new stimulus acting

upon an unchanged germinal constitution. In this case the new character

will only reappear in future generations provided that the new stimulus

remains. Such a variation may be called a ‘modification’. Mutations,

therefore, are transmitted in the germinal constitution, while

modifications are not so transmitted.

4. Already we have reached the answer to the first problem. Permanent

change in organic form is due to germinal change. But before we go on

and ask how germinal changes, that have arisen, become established, we

must consider further the difficult problem of the manner in which

germinal changes arise. A reference first to what are known as ‘pure

line’ investigations and afterwards to Mendelian phenomena will

illustrate what is known as to the nature of existing germinal

differences; for until we have some such information, we cannot

profitably ask how existing germinal differences arise. The best known

‘pure line’ experiments are those carried out by Johannsen with beans.

The flowers of beans fertilize themselves; the offspring, therefore,

have approximately the same germinal constitution. The offspring

constitute a ‘pure line’, for by a ‘pure line’ is meant a group of

children which are the offspring of a single parent. The character

selected for investigation was weight and it was found that, if beans

were collected from a bean-field and weighed, every gradation occurred

between a minimum of about 20 centigrams and a maximum of about 90

centigrams. When the beans were separated into three classes—heavy,

medium, and light—sown and plants raised from them, the average weight

of the beans produced by the plants derived from the heavier seed was

greater, though not proportionately greater, than the mean weight of all

the beans, and that the average weight produced by the plants derived

from the lighter seed was less, though not proportionately less, than

the mean weight of all the beans. There was, in fact, a certain

regression on the part of the heavy and light classes to the mean

weight. A similar tendency to regression to the mean can be observed

when other characters are similarly studied. The average stature, for

example, of the offspring of tall parents is slightly nearer the mean

stature of the race than the average stature of the parents.

This tendency to regression to the mean has long been known, but it was

not until Johannsen proceeded farther and investigated inheritance

within a ‘pure line’ that it was understood. In the experiment

described, no attention was paid to the ‘pure line’. When Johannsen

separated the beans produced by the self-fertilization of a single

plant, divided them into heavier, medium, and lighter classes, sowed

them and weighed their progeny, he discovered a very interesting fact.

The average weight of the progeny of a heavy bean and of a light bean

belonging to the same ‘pure line’ was the same. The conclusion to be

drawn from this result is that the differences in weight between the

offspring of a single self-fertilized plant are due to differences in

the stimuli which play upon them. Obviously the stimuli do differ; the

weight is affected by differences in light, shade, number, and position

of the beans in a pod and so on. But since the offspring of a single

plant have approximately the same germinal constitution, the average

weight of the offspring of light beans, which are light because of

subjection to less favourable stimuli than the average, will not be on

that account lighter than the mean weight of the strain, and similarly

_mutatis mutandis_ with regard to the offspring of the heavy beans.

It follows, therefore, with regard to this particular character that

there are a number of different strains in the population. The beans

arising from any one strain are not of the same weight because they have

been subjected to different stimuli. If each strain was pure and if

differences in environmental stimuli could be removed, then beans

gathered from a bean-field would not exhibit a simple gradation in

weight: there would be a number of steps and as many steps as there were

strains. In actual fact, the modifications produce the gradation which

is observed. The fact that the nature of the germinal constitution

cannot, as stated above, be determined by a mere inspection of the

characters is exemplified by this experiment. If we take a bean

weighing, say, 55 centigrams, it may belong to a strain which varies,

say, between 20 and 65 centigrams, or to a strain which varies between

40 and 90 centigrams. It is only when this bean is sown, and the weight

of the offspring calculated, that the strain to which it belongs can be

ascertained. The experiment further shows why regression towards the

mean is observed, when, instead of limiting investigation to a ‘pure

line’, beans differing in a certain respect from the average, by, for

instance, greater weight, are selected and sown. Such beans will belong

to several different strains; they will, however, include more which

have been favourably than unfavourably influenced by the surroundings.

The average of the weight of all their offspring will therefore be less

than the average weight of the parents. At this point we touch upon the

problem of selection, but before we go on to deal with this question, it

is necessary to say something more about variation and the origin of

variations.

5. Self-fertilization is very exceptional, and what happens in the case

of the beans, though illuminating, is not typical. As a general rule in

reproduction, two parents contribute to the germinal constitution of the

offspring. Strains, therefore, do not remain pure, as in the case of the

bean, because they are continually crossed; we require to know what

happens when crossing takes place. This study, first successfully

undertaken by Mendel, has been greatly extended in late years. We may

first illustrate in the simplest form what it was that Mendel discovered

and then go on to inquire what deductions bearing upon the question we

have to answer are to be drawn from it.

A large number of experiments of the following kind has been made. Two

strains in any species are chosen; these strains exhibit opposed

characters. Such characters may be tallness and dwarfness, colour of the

flower, shape of the comb in fowls, condition of the seed, whether

smooth or wrinkled, and so on. We may call one character A and the other

_a_. The two strains are crossed, and in the first generation the

offspring are all alike and exhibit a character, A′. This character may

be the same as either A or _a_, a blend between them or something wholly

new. Whatever form it may take, it is produced by the interaction of A

and _a_. The members of this first generation are then interbred, and of

the second generation one quarter exhibit the character A, one quarter

the character _a_, and the remaining half the character A′. If the

quarter exhibiting the character A are interbred, all the offspring

exhibit the character A, and the same holds good regarding the quarter

exhibiting the character _a_; but if the half exhibiting A′ are

interbred, the offspring will split up in the same proportion as in the

previous generation, one quarter exhibiting A, one quarter _a_, and

one-half A′. This result holds good for any number of generations so

long as interbreeding is continued.

Into the very numerous complications which occur it is not necessary to

go. They are all interpreted by extensions of the simple explanation

which is applied in the elementary case given above. It is supposed that

all characters which behave on crossing as above are represented in the

germinal constitution by factors which behave as separate units; such

characters are called ‘unit-characters’, and such factors

‘unit-factors’. It is further supposed that each gamete bears one

unit-factor only in respect of each unit-character. If the strain is

pure, as in the case of the two strains exhibiting characters A and _a_,

then all the gametes will bear the unit-factors for A and _a_

respectively, and the fertilized eggs resulting from the crosses between

them will therefore contain both unit-factors. The hybrids, which, as we

have seen, exhibit the character A′, will produce gametes, half of which

bear the unit-factor for A and half the unit-factor for _a_. When the

hybrids interbreed, on the average of chances one quarter of the

fertilized eggs will have two factors for A, one quarter two factors for

_a_, and one-half both a factor for A′ and a factor for _a_. In this

manner the splitting up of the second generation is explained.

What is important in this explanation is the conception of unit-factors.

The extension of the explanation to cover the more complicated cases

does not involve any modification of principle. It follows that the

germinal constitution contains a very large number of unit-factors; what

therefore is innately given in the germinal constitution is a collection

of such unit-factors. Each unit-character based upon a unit-factor can

theoretically be separately distinguished and isolated. The

complications to which references have been made are in part due to the

difficulty of distinguishing unit-characters. What is apparently a

simple character may not be a unit-character, but a combination of

unit-characters. This apparently simple character cannot appear unless

all the unit-factors, upon which these unit-characters are based, are

present in the germinal constitution.

It may next be asked whether all unit-factors behave in this manner when

crossed. To this no definite answer can yet be given. The successful

analysis of apparently contradictory cases and the continual discovery

of characters which do behave in this fashion seem to point to an

affirmative answer. The suggestion is that, when this mode of behaviour

cannot be demonstrated, it is because the unit-characters have not yet

been distinguished and isolated.

This brief reference to ‘pure line’ investigations and to the Mendelian

analysis of crossing leads therefore to the following conclusions. When,

as in the case of the self-fertilizing bean, the strains are kept pure,

existing germinal differences in respect of any character are found to

be of the nature of steps which are usually small—though in outward

manifestation the differences are smoothed over by the influence of

environmental stimuli. This is the nature of the germinal differences,

and they remain what they are—apart from the origin of new factors or of

the loss of old factors, and apart from the effects of a differential

death-rate. When, as is usually the case, biparental reproduction takes

place, the position is more complicated: strains are being continually

crossed, and, as the result of the chance mixture of factors in the

germinal constitution of the children, the offspring of the same parents

differ in their germinal constitution one from the other. Therefore, in

any species in which biparental reproduction takes place, new

combinations are constantly arising; but, though in this manner the

germinal constitution may in a sense change, the change is due simply to

a shuffling of factors. What we require now to ask is what is known as

regards the manner in which new factors arise and are added to the

germinal constitution, and the manner in which old factors drop out and

are lost from the germinal constitution; for it is only owing to such

additions and to such losses that true germinal change occurs, and that

shuffling is rendered possible.

6. The interpretation of the results of the crossing of different

strains has shown what kind of changes underlie the appearance of

certain mutations. It has been shown that many of the varieties of

domesticated species have originated by the apparent loss of one or more

unit-factors.[100] Thus the numerous varieties of domestic rabbits and

of sweet-peas are all descended from a single wild species of rabbit and

of pea, and differ from the wild stock not by an addition to, but by an

apparent subtraction from, the total number of factors in the germinal

composition of the wild stock. The reasoning which has led to this

conclusion need not be followed here; one proof is that when certain

varieties are crossed, characters of the original stock reappear, due to

the fact that, one variety having apparently lost one factor and the

other another, crossing results in the re-combination of the factors

necessary to the manifestation of the original character.

This is a strange conclusion, but it seems nevertheless to be true that

in this manner many domestic varieties have arisen. If this was the only

manner in which mutations could come about, then we should be driven to

imagine that the most elementary form of life contained within it

innumerable factors, and that evolution has merely consisted in the

apparent dropping out of factors. This conclusion has indeed been

tentatively suggested. But until it has been definitely shown that this

is the only manner in which mutations originate, it must be supposed

that changes in and additions to the complex of factors can and do

occur. And we may note that certain distinguishing characters of

domestic varieties of fowls and of pigeons appear to have arisen by the

addition of factors; thus the ‘single comb’ of fowls is the original

character of the wild stock which has been modified by the apparent

addition of other factors and not by the dropping out of one or more

existing factors. It is again not necessary to go into the reasons which

have led to this conclusion. The conclusion is a deduction from the

analysis of crosses between different breeds of fowls.

7. For the most part we are quite ignorant as to the causes which have

led to the apparent losses and apparent additions of factors, though a

few observations seem to indicate certain circumstances under which the

dropping out of factors may take place. In this connexion some reference

must be made to the problem as to the inheritance of acquired

characters, though it follows from what has been said above regarding

terminology, that we should more correctly speak of this problem as the

question whether modifications in any one direction tend to be followed

by mutations in the same direction. As the result of prolonged

discussion and controversy it is now generally held that nothing of the

kind takes place. It is almost universally agreed, for instance, that

such modifications as are induced among men at the present day do not

lead to mutations in the same direction. Therefore we may for the

purposes of this book, so far as man is concerned, take it that acquired

characters are not inherited. But looking at the problem as a whole it

cannot be regarded as settled. There is, for example, some evidence of

the parallel induction of modifications and of mutations; but the

question may be raised whether such cases if substantiated fall under

the heading of the inheritance of acquired characters. Again, some

biologists regarding the problems of evolution generally find difficulty

in arriving at an explanation unless under certain circumstances

adaptive variations are followed by mutations.

We are thus left with the fact that mutations arise, and may be either

large or small. Outwardly, variations in characters are usually

continuous, because the environmental stimuli vary continuously, smooth

over and obscure the differences due to mutation, as in the case of the

beans mentioned above. But, discounting the influence of the

environment, the mutations themselves may form a series separated by

steps that are so small as to be scarcely measurable or which may be

very large. The weight of the beans is an example of the former kind of

mutation; the so-called ‘meristic’ variations, when another member is

added to a series, the addition, for instance, of a vertebra to the

vertebral column, is an example of the latter kind.

Whenever a mutation occurs, we have to think of it as founded upon some

change in the germinal constitution. Such changes are of the nature of

modifications of factors—and may be positive (leading to the apparent

addition of factors), negative (leading to the apparent loss of

factors), or qualitative. But of the nature of these changes we know

little, and of their causes less. What is important, however, is that

these changes do occur. Further, they occur in all directions. The

direction is, of course, in a sense determined by the starting-point—by

what is already given in the germinal constitution—but, given the

starting-point, mutations apparently occur in all directions. It is a

matter of importance to know whether mutations ever tend to occur more

in one direction than in another. Nothing definite has been ascertained

as to this particular problem, though, as we shall note later, certain

facts with regard to the evolution of animals suggest that there have

been tendencies to change along certain lines. It may also be asked

whether the continued selection of a character in any way affects the

direction of the variation of the germinal constitution. To this again

there is as yet no definite answer. On the whole it is not probable that

selection has any such effect.

8. So far, therefore, as we have at present gone, we have found that

permanent change is of the nature of germinal change. We have also

discussed the nature of germinal differences as they exist between

different individuals, and we have discussed the nature and causes of

germinal change. With regard to variation there is much which is

doubtful and obscure, but bearing in mind the essential features of what

is certainly known, we may turn to consider what passes in the organic

world. Upon this subject there is much less uncertainty. We have seen

how huge is fecundity. Of the young in any generation, only about that

number survives which equals the number of adults in the generation from

which they are derived. For normally in the organic world the total

number of adults of any species at corresponding periods in succeeding

years remains much the same. The instances of a marked increase in the

number of any species are rare, and are usually traceable to the

intervention of man, as the result of which certain of the dangers which

normally confront the young have been removed. It follows, therefore,

that normally of the many thousands of fertilized eggs of a fish, for

example, all but two perish. Even when the most rapid increase ever

observed is taking place, the great majority of young perish. From a

consideration of the circumstances it is evident that upon the whole

those individuals which present certain characters will have a better

chance of surviving than others which do not present these characters.

This point demands further consideration, because upon it turns the

whole question of natural selection. What is involved in this theory is

that the death-rate is selective, that those individuals which are best

adapted to the surroundings which confront the species do, on the whole,

have a better chance of survival. It is adaptation which determines

fitness, but the concept of adaptation does not of necessity include any

idea of progress. Given any complex of surroundings such as that which

confronts any species, there may be a more or less close fitting of the

organisms to this complex. The closeness of this fitting may have been

obtained by a simplification of structure, a complication of structure,

or it may be that for long ages the closeness of the fitting has been

attained by the elimination of departures from the mean of the species

in any direction and the preservation of the average type.

In this connexion it has often been pointed out that the death-rate in

certain cases is not selective, and does not therefore involve the

survival of the more fit and the elimination of the less fit. When the

whale opens its mouth and engulfs vast numbers of small organisms upon

which it feeds, there is apparently no escaping of certain types of

these organisms accompanied by a greater elimination of other types. But

these cases are not on the whole common, and further there is nothing in

such cases which counteracts selection; it merely means that sometimes

selection is not operative. A consideration of the mode of operation of

the factors of elimination, the general nature of which has been

indicated, leads without any doubt to the conclusion that in the vast

majority of cases, when any organism meets its death, either that

organism does not possess some character which other organisms possess

and which have enabled them to survive, or it possesses some character

which other organisms do not possess, and which at some crucial moment

has told against it. This subject could be considered at great length,

but it must suffice to say here that the more experienced naturalists

are, and the greater the knowledge they have of the conditions of

organic life, the more it is borne in upon them that the death-rate is

upon the whole selective, and that the best adapted types have a better

chance of survival than other types.

From the nature of the case it must be difficult to obtain statistical

evidence of natural selection. There are, however, certain cases known

which are of great interest. Bumpus, for instance, after a storm in

America collected 136 sparrows, all of which had been injured. Of these

72 recovered, while the remainder died. He weighed and measured all the

specimens and compared the figures for the survivors with the figures

for those which had perished. It was found that the average type of the

latter was larger and heavier than the average type of the former. It

was also observed that there was a less wide range of variability among

the survivors than among the dead, showing that the favoured type

approximated more closely than the others to the average type of the

species. This favouring of the average type has been shown to occur by

other observations, and it may be supposed that normally it is the

average type of any species which is best fitted to the particular niche

in nature occupied by the species, and that therefore adaptation will be

measured by the nearness of approach to this type. When, on the other

hand, circumstances are changing, some deviation from the average type

will be favoured.

9. This leads us to ask in more detail what it is that happens in the

process of selection. Selection has been likened in its action to a

sieve separating the fit from the unfit. But fitness is measured by the

characters exhibited, and these characters may be either of the nature

of mutations or of modifications. What is exhibited is selected quite

apart from the underlying nature of the character; but it is only when

variations of the nature of mutations are selected that there results

any change in the composition of the germinal constitution of the

species. So far as selection is merely that of modifications within a

strain, there will be no change in the average germinal constitution of

the progeny. It is only in so far as selection is a selection of strains

that there will be any change. If the strains among the beans referred

to above can be isolated, then the strain with the predisposition

towards the greatest weight can be isolated, the other strains

eliminated, and the average weight brought up to that found in this

strain. If the strains cannot be isolated, then an approximation only to

this result can be made by the continued selection of strains of the

greatest weight, and this is what occurs in nature.

This leads to the most important conclusion of all. Selection can only

act upon what is given. We may put aside the possible but quite unproved

influence of selection upon the direction of mutation. Apart from this,

selection can have no other effect than to eliminate certain strains and

to favour others. Supposing that under changing circumstances a certain

character is favoured, all that can happen through selection is that the

strain exhibiting this character will be favoured and all other strains

gradually eliminated. Further than this change cannot proceed until

mutations have occurred in the direction of further increase in this

character. As has been said, selection is no more than a sieve; as a

rule it is occupied in separating out the extreme types and favouring

the mean, but at times under certain circumstances it will favour some

type that deviates from the mean, but it can do no more than favour what

types are at any given moment in existence.[101]

10. We set out to answer two questions regarding quality. We asked in

what change among species in a state of nature consisted. The answer to

this is clear; it consists in changes in the germinal constitution. If

we can speak of history in connexion with species in a state of nature,

then their history is based solely upon germinal change. We also asked

how change came about. It is less easy to answer in a few words. Obscure

as are many of the details connected with the process, there is a

sufficient measure of agreement regarding the main facts to enable an

answer shortly to be formulated. The answer rests upon two series of

facts. The observed characters of organisms are based upon certain

predispositions in the germinal constitution. These predispositions or

factors under the stimuli of the environment give rise to the various

characters. These factors are derived from both parents through the

fusion of the gametes, and the complex of factors in the offspring is

the result of a chance mixture of factors. There may further at times be

a dropping out, an addition to, and perhaps a modification of the

factors. Secondly, the death-rate is selective. Although the result of

selection is confused by the effect of modifications which smooth over

the differences due to differences in the germinal constitution, the

effect is that individuals with certain factors are favoured and others

with different factors are eliminated. Therefore the average nature of

the factors may be changed should any type, other than that

approximating to the normal type, be favoured.

It is possible in this manner to understand how change has come about.

There are many difficulties, but they are all capable of fairly

satisfactory explanation. None at least is insuperable. There is one

problem which is perhaps somewhat difficult to solve unless a particular

supposition is introduced. This problem is connected with the evolution

of organs along certain lines, as, for instance, the evolution of horns

and teeth in the vertebrates. This class of evidence has chiefly

impressed itself upon palaeontologists, and one of the most

distinguished of them has stated that from this class of evidence he

concludes that ‘there are fundamental predispositions to vary in certain

directions’.[102] This is the supposition which it may be necessary to

introduce, but which does not in any way conflict with what has been

said.

IV

THE POPULATION PROBLEM AMONG MEN

1. It has been shown in the last two chapters in what the population

problem among species in a state of nature consists. With regard to the

quantitative aspect in particular it has been shown that among such

species mental evolution, greatly as the stage reached differs between

the lowest and the highest forms, has not attained a point at which the

essential features of the position have in consequence been affected.

Enough has been said to show that in the case of the most primitive

races of man now living mental evolution has reached a point in

consequence of which the quantitative problem has assumed a totally

different aspect.

With regard to the qualitative problem the question also arises as to

how far mental evolution in man has affected the position. In one very

important respect mental evolution has wholly altered the position of

man as regards this aspect of the problem, as it has regarding the

quantitative aspect. How this has come about may be considered after it

has been observed that mental evolution has also been the cause of other

changes which, while they do not alter the fundamental position of man

as regards the qualitative aspect, yet are of great importance.

As we have seen among species in a state of nature change is founded

upon germinal change. So, too, among men there is germinal change, and

so far as history (using the term in the widest sense to include what is

often rather meaninglessly called ‘pre-history’) is connected with

germinal change, so far it is of essentially the same nature as change

among other species. But both the direction and intensity of germinal

change among men have been greatly influenced by mental evolution.

Certain causes of elimination have been removed wholly or in part,

others have been introduced. The facts are familiar; there is no need to

labour the point. It is also worth noting that, should it be found that

mutation frequently arises owing to alterations in the environment

during the formation of the germ-cells, such a discovery might have

considerable bearing upon the position in man. Owing to human activity

under the guidance of reason, the environment has been profoundly

changed in many directions, and without question in consequence of such

changes the germ-cells of human beings are subject during their

development to far more varied stimuli than are those of other species.

This, however, is only a possibility. Nothing is known with certainty

upon the subject. It may be that the great variety of foods, the

absorption of alcohol and nicotine, the various occupations and customs,

and many other factors, all ultimately traceable to reason, may, some of

them in some way, tend to bring about mutation in man.

It is by making possible the development of tradition that the evolution

of reason has fundamentally changed the nature of the qualitative

problem among men. Into the nature and origin of tradition it will be

necessary to go in another chapter. Here all that is required is an

indication of its main features in order that its connexion with the

problem of change may be understood. In the stage of conceptual thought

reached by man, the formation of free ideas is the outstanding feature.

With the development of conceptual thought went the development of

language. By language ideas can be passed from one man to another and

also from one generation to another. There are other ways in which the

results of reasoning can be handed on, but they need not be considered

at present. What is important is that they can be and are handed on. Let

us consider for a moment the question of skill. Some improvement may be

made in the methods of hunting or of fishing. It may, of course, be

lost, but it may be, and perhaps usually is, transmitted to other men by

the inventor and afterwards to succeeding generations. Tradition is, in

fact, cumulative. Even among the most primitive races now existing there

is a huge mass of tradition. Succeeding generations do not necessarily

start at the beginning again. They start with the experience of the race

behind them, so far as it has been preserved.

Among the higher animals there is a certain handing on of what has been

learnt by experience; to this extent there is tradition also among them.

We shall return to this point later. So relatively unimportant, however,

is tradition among other animals, that we may for the moment regard

tradition as something which is found among men only. It is clear that

tradition has played some part in any case in producing the changes

which we call history. We have only to think of the rise of Japan to the

position of a great power in the last half of the nineteenth century.

The rise of Japan was an outstanding fact in the history of that period

and it was clearly in the main, if not wholly, a traditional and not a

germinal change. It took the form of a rapid absorption of European

tradition. The evolution of reason has thus introduced into the problem

of the causes of human history a factor which is not present in the case

of other species; it has also modified the course of selection, but

this, as we have seen, has not made a fundamental difference between the

position of man and that of species in a state of nature.

The problem before us is therefore as follows. Owing to the fact of

reproduction the population problem in both its aspects exists for all

species in a state of nature and further presents fundamentally the same

features for all such species. The ancestors of man were at one time

subject to the same conditions from which they have, step by step, moved

away owing to the development of the faculty of reason. We have to trace

the causes and results of this moving away—of the progressive

modifications of the conditions existing among species in a state of

nature.

Though the problem has two aspects, they are closely interwoven. Changes

which affect numbers also influence the quality of population. The

discussion has hitherto taken the form of an introduction to the problem

as a whole, and the two next chapters, the subject-matter of which will

be indicated in what follows, will also be devoted to certain problems

which equally bear upon both aspects of the question. From the seventh

chapter onwards the two aspects are treated independently; we deal first

with the quantitative and then with the qualitative aspect. Nevertheless

we shall, when dealing with the quantitative problem, present evidence

which we shall consider again later when treating of the qualitative

problem. The book thus falls into three parts; the first six chapters

are introductory to the problem as a whole, the next six chapters are

concerned with problems of quantity (though many of the facts brought

forward will be found also to bear later upon quality), and the

following nine chapters with problems of quality. The last chapter sums

up our conclusions as to the whole problem.

2. We may next ask what data are required in order that we may look into

the changes away from the conditions under which the pre-human ancestor

lived towards the conditions which now exist. In order that we may

consider the quantitative aspect of the problem, it is evident that we

require some knowledge regarding fecundity and as full details as

possible regarding the factors which bear upon fertility and

elimination. It is only when we are provided with such information that

we can hope to be able to determine how it is that numbers are regulated

among men.

In addition to such information, it will be desirable to have

information regarding various social customs and the general conditions

of life. As regards the inquiry into the qualitative part of the

problem, it is clear that facts regarding fertility and elimination are

again of value inasmuch as they throw light upon the nature and

intensity of selection. For the second part of the problem it is also

necessary to have in mind the main facts regarding the changes which are

summed up as history into the causes of which we have to inquire; and in

addition it will be necessary, in order that we may attempt some

estimate of the relative importance of change in the germinal

constitution on the one hand and of the other factor or factors of the

nature indicated above on the other hand, to make some inquiry into the

conditions which determine the nature of these latter factors. This will

involve a reference to certain elementary facts of psychology together

with some discussion of the origin, formation, preservation, and so on,

of tradition.

If we first ask how far the data desired are available, we may

afterwards go on to discuss how the facts are best presented. Our

information is obviously very incomplete as regards the history of

social habits and customs. Historical records do not take us farther

back than at the most six thousand years, and the information available

with respect to social customs, except for the latter part of the

period, is very inadequate. If we take a broad view of history, written

records have reference only to relatively modern times. There are two

other sources of evidence upon which we have to rely and they are as

follows.

Some indication of the bare outline of the course which history has

taken can be gathered from a study of the fossil and cultural remains of

man. The fossil remains are in the form of skeletons or portions of

skeletons and the cultural remains in the shape of tools, weapons, and

other traces of his mode of life that man has left behind him. It is

interesting to observe that an attempt can be made to date these

remains. They occur in certain strata, and estimates can be made of the

length of time which has elapsed since these strata were deposited.

Though a very large measure of doubt must surround any such estimates,

nevertheless there is a certain measure of agreement concerning the

facts which is of great interest. It is, therefore, possible to draw up

a table showing these strata, together with what we should perhaps call

guesses at the dates at which they began to be laid down. It can also be

shown in the table what fossil and cultural remains are found in the

respective strata.

The information, however, which we thus gain is very meagre. A study of

fossil remains can only provide us with an outline of the facts

connected with the evolution of the skeleton. More can be gathered from

a study of the cultural remains, and certain deductions of considerable

interest can be made especially in connexion with our present purpose so

far as the evolution of skill is concerned. But, of course, we can in

this manner gather nothing as to the nature of the social customs and

institutions belonging to the races which practised these skilled

methods. The question we have to face is whether this very bare outline

of the facts of history can in any manner be filled in.

3. There is a further source of evidence which we have to consider.

There has come under the observation of civilized man a large number of

races in a low stage of culture. The evolution of culture or of control

over the surroundings took place more quickly among certain races than

among others. Some races got left out of the main stream of evolution,

and finally in relatively recent years the more advanced races arrived

at a stage where they were in a position completely to dominate the

latter. The more primitive races were unable to offer any serious

resistance to the civilized races. It was, therefore, possible to regard

these primitive races dispassionately and scientifically; this study has

led to the collection of a vast amount of information regarding these

primitive races. These data are for many reasons often of a very

unsatisfactory nature; of this the chief cause is that, before an

accurate study was begun, contact with civilized races had often had a

considerable influence upon the former mode of life of the primitive

races. What we require and what is difficult to obtain is information as

to the conditions under which these races lived before they came into

contact with Europeans. With regard to the unsatisfactory nature of the

evidence there will be more to say later.

It is of primary importance to observe that these races are not to be

regarded as actual representatives of certain stages through which

civilized races have passed. We know that in the evolution of control

over nature civilized races have passed through certain stages of

culture; the first stage was marked by the use of unpolished stone

implements and the obtaining of food by hunting and fishing only; the

second stage was marked by the use of polished stone implements and the

obtaining of food by agriculture and the domestication of animals.[103]

These two broad divisions—the Palaeolithic and the Neolithic—may be

subdivided. But no primitive race can be regarded as representing any

definite stage in exact detail, whether in the first or in the second of

the two broad divisions through which civilized races have passed. While

the culture of the ancestors of civilized man was evolving from that of

the Palaeolithic stage to that of the present day, the culture of

certain other races did not progress as far even as the Neolithic stage.

But the culture of these races did not remain unmodified; it followed in

each case a line of evolution of its own. These races are therefore to

be regarded as specialized representatives of the earlier stages of

culture through which the civilized races passed. Nevertheless,

specialized though their culture may be, the general conditions of their

existence are certainly similar to the general conditions which must

have characterized the corresponding stage in the evolution of the

culture of civilized races. That is to say, the broad features which

characterize the conditions found among hunting and fishing races must

also have characterized the conditions under which our Palaeolithic

ancestors lived.

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