CHAPTER I

THE POPULATION PROBLEM

=A Study in=

HUMAN EVOLUTION

BY

A. M. CARR-SAUNDERS

OXFORD

AT THE CLARENDON PRESS

1922

OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS

London Edinburgh Glasgow Copenhagen New York Toronto Melbourne

Cape Town Bombay Calcutta Madras Shanghai

HUMPHREY MILFORD

Publisher to the University

PREFACE

Many different questions connected with population are frequently

discussed at the present day. This book is designed not so much as a

contribution to the study of any one of these questions in particular as

an attempt to trace back to their origin the main problems which now

attract attention and to indicate their relation one to the other—to

view the whole problem in fact from an historical and evolutionary

standpoint. The book is an accident of the war. When war broke out I was

engaged in collecting material which is incorporated in this book with

the object of discussing certain aspects of the population problem. It

had occurred to me that I might write an introduction showing how these

aspects are related to the problem as a whole. Further than that I had

not gone when there followed five years of active service during which

the project of writing an introductory sketch became converted into the

far more ambitious project of treating at some length the population

problem as a whole. Had it thus not been for these years during which it

was possible only to elaborate schemes for future work, I should never

have embarked on so ambitious a task. The task is not an easy one,

involving as it does both difficulties of proportion and difficulties

arising from the necessity of touching upon biological, anthropological

and economic problems, with regard to all of which no one man can

pretend to have extensive knowledge. Nevertheless, quite apart from the

question as to whether this book does in any measure achieve its

purpose, those best acquainted with modern population literature will

probably agree that there is room for an attempt to view the whole

population problem in historical perspective. If therefore this book

does no more than draw the attention of those interested in particular

aspects of the matter to the necessity of so doing, it will not

altogether have failed of its purpose.

I wish to express my very great obligations to Professor L. T. Hobhouse,

who read through the whole book in manuscript and furnished me with

numerous most valuable suggestions and criticisms. To Mr. Julian Huxley,

who read the chapters which deal most directly with biological problems,

I am also indebted for valuable help. The calculations which appear in

the last section of the fifth chapter I owe to Mr. H. T. Tizard.

CONTENTS

CHAPTER I

PAGE

HISTORICAL 17

(1) Problems of population fall under two headings—quantitative

and qualitative; the former have long attracted attention; the

latter have, until recently, only sporadically aroused interest.

(2) Numbers were discussed in a restricted sense in Greece and

Rome, but it was not until the sixteenth century (3) that

quantitative problems were considered from a modern point of

view when (4) a dense population was generally held to be

advantageous. (5) This view was not everywhere accepted, and (6)

the relation between numbers and the food-supply was from time

to time discussed, and the position of Malthus more or less

anticipated. (7) In 1798 Malthus published his book, which (8)

was favourably received. (9) Neomalthusian propaganda, though

not approved by Malthus, began early. (10) Darwin and Wallace

were influenced by Malthus in founding the hypothesis of natural

selection, and from 1858 onwards qualitative problems have come

to assume an equally important place.

The population problem · 第 1 / 32 章