The effects of this measure would be comparable to the arrest of the

literature upon the subject of venereal diseases, and to the reduction

of their incidence that has been brought about by the institution of

special departments for the treatment of these diseases in the large

towns.

It is clear, however, that all arguments relating to the individual

are limited in their appeal to those in whose minds the conception

of morality is somehow related to that of individual harmony and

happiness and to the ideal of the general good. To those for whom the

word ‘morality’ has an ulterior meaning, unconnected with the affairs

of this world and relevant, solely, to the destiny of the individual

soul――I refer, here to those who enlist the ‘Will of God’ of which they

are the self-constituted interpreters, on their side――no argument can

be of any avail. Since the subject is thus removed from the sphere of

practical controversy, no further discussion is possible, and the only

thing to hope is that with the passage of time such persons will become

less numerous.

* * * * *

Consideration of the arguments bearing upon the individual, it is

submitted, points to the desirability of (1) the Ministry of Health

giving the subject recognition and sanction, and (2) limiting the

publicity that now attaches to it.

(_b_) _The Race._ Turning now from the individual to the race, we

enter on a more difficult part of the subject. Adhering to our

original conception of the question we find that the solution (if it

is to be accepted as such) of the quantitative difficulty, and of

the qualitative problem described as ‘economic’ in nature, are one

and the same. The remedy for that aspect of the qualitative problem

distinguished as ‘dysgenic’ is different and must be considered

separately.

The quantitative difficulty reduces itself to this. Admitting the

greater fertility to-day of those whose occupations are manual, or who

have no occupation at all (in other words, of the less select type) and

admitting that _at the present moment_ the country is overpopulated,

how are we to be certain that we are not within sight of more

prosperous times when unemployment will disappear? And how are we to

feel assured that the dissemination of knowledge of Birth Control will

not, in the long run, lead to a disastrous decline in the birth rate,

producing an irretrievable diminution in our numbers?

The practical difficulty is here to prophesy what will be the optimum

population (i.e., that at which average return of labour per individual

would be greatest) for a given country fourteen years ahead――at the

time, that is, when the children born to-day would enter the labour

market. And here we are in the realm of almost pure guesswork, and

probably no economist could be found who would venture upon more than a

tentative speculation. What the optimum is at the moment remains even a

disputed question. There is reason to suppose that unemployment returns

are not necessarily a trustworthy guide to the figure. A consensus of

opinion however exists (including that of Mr. Baldwin) that _at the

moment_ our numbers are above their optimum, though expectations vary

almost infinitely as to what the optimum will be in a few years. Those

who hope for a boom in trade are satisfied with the present condition.

Others who do not anticipate such an event, would more willingly see

an alteration brought about. In the absence of any definite knowledge,

the best we can do is not to try to look too far ahead but to consider

the solution of our problems as we find them to-day. _At the moment_

the indisputable facts of the problem in this country are that we are

over-populated, that contraception is practised too much by the upper

and middle classes――perhaps even by the skilled working classes――and

not enough by the improvident unskilled masses at the bottom of the

social edifice.

The outstanding question is whether, as a result of a reduction of

our numbers to a point somewhere in the neighbourhood of the economic

optimum for this country――by which reduction the existing burden of

taxation, an increasing element of which is now devoted to charity

and relief, will be correspondingly diminished――our upper and middle

classes would be enabled to produce more children, and to continue to

produce enough to maintain our numbers in the neighbourhood of their

optimum.

The answer to this question depends on a further question. To what

extent is the relative sterility of the professional and skilled

working classes attributable to the heavy taxation now imposed on them,

and to the rise in the cost of living due to the war, and to what

extent is it the result of a preference shown by many people for a more

or less luxurious life, with few or no children, to a simpler life with

several children? In other words, to what extent is it attributable to

an economic factor and to what extent to motives of selfishness?

To what extent does that quality of self-interest play a part which

prompts a woman to refuse to breastfeed her baby because she is afraid

of the effects thereof upon her figure, which causes her to abstain

from having children because she dislikes the discomfort and deformity

preliminary to, and the actual pains of, childbirth, or which makes her

value amusements and expensive forms of pleasure and recreation more

highly than the experience of maternity? To what extent is the relative

infertility of the upper and middle classes accounted for by the kind

of egotism which induces the husband to go in for entertaining, for

a motor, and a house with several servants, and generally to live

in comparative affluence rather than do without his superfluities

and bring up a family of children? This attitude nowadays certainly

plays a part. Dissatisfaction with the elementary pleasures of life,

the craving after artificial stimuli and new sensations, have always

been, and probably will always remain, the surest way to decadence in

a race, and as such should be combated. It is more in the interest of

the race that the professional and artisan classes should produce

plenty of good children than that the families of the very poor should

be restricted. The argument is sometimes advanced by complacent and

wealthy individuals that the working classes should be encouraged to

reproduce freely in order to keep up the country’s numbers. The dirty

work is thrown, so to speak, on the shoulders of those least qualified

to discharge it. It must appeal to the sense of justice of everyone

that if the maintenance of numbers of the race is to be conceived as

a burden (which of course it should not), the burden should be borne

equally by all classes.

The writer, who has had occasion to witness the results of

over-multiplication among the very poor, feels that it is only in

fairness to them that they should be equipped with every possible

means of improving their lot. At present one of the most important of

such means is the creation of facilities by the Ministry of Health

for the giving of information to those mothers who need it about how

they may limit their families and space their children. The immediate

social results of such a measure would unquestionably be good. The

remote results are more open to doubt. And it is this doubt which

renders it of the utmost importance to add that every form of pressure

and persuasion be brought to bear on the other classes, to make them

realize that it is morally incumbent on them, in the interests of the

country and of the race, to have as many children as they can possibly

afford, even at the expense of the minor luxuries of life.

Up till now no such pressure has been exerted, and most people regard

it as a matter of moral indifference, whether, when married, they have

children or not. The problem as to whether the general public, once it

has been educated to realize the national importance of the question

of having children, would act upon it and thereby avert the threat of

a dwindling population is again one of great difficulty. Admittedly,

the example set us by France is not encouraging. What is the likelihood

of our following in her footsteps? It is a delicate and important

question. The writer is of the opinion that our national character

differs from that of the French in a way that would make us more

responsive to such an appeal for children than the French have shown

themselves to be. But again we are in the realm of conjecture, and each

person is entitled to his opinion.

The fact remains, however, that as long as the advertisement now given

to Birth Control is permitted to continue, its practice will become

yearly more prevalent. Its spread will certainly not be limited by an

attitude of official negativism towards it while the propaganda is

allowed to continue unchecked.

* * * * *

There remains the other process above distinguished as ‘dysgenic,’ the

effect of which upon the quality of the race is probably as detrimental

as the one just considered, namely, the nurture and perpetuation of the

morally and physically unfit. This tendency can only possibly be met by

some form of Eugenic legislation. The existing opposition to anything

of the sort in this country probably springs from a deep-seated

dislike of bureaucratic interference in people’s private lives, and is

associated with a failure to realize the harmful consequences of the

existing order. It is of interest, however, to observe that in America,

where, in practice if not in theory, individual liberty is valued less

highly than in this country, various enactments have been passed with

a definitely Eugenic object. Thus in the State of Nebraska marriage

is forbidden to anyone afflicted with venereal disease, and all

applications for marriage licenses have to be accompanied by affidavits

of freedom from such disease. Nobody acquainted with the nature of the

infant mortality produced by congenital syphilis can fail to approve of

this measure.

In 1895 the State of Connecticut forbade the marriage of epileptics

and feeble-minded persons, under penalty of three years’ imprisonment.

Everyone possessing knowledge of the Neurological Out-patients’

Department of any large hospital must realize the existing prevalence

of epilepsy and appreciate how this hereditary disease may incapacitate

and stultify its victims. Montana provides for the sterilizing of

idiots, epileptics, feeble-minded and insane persons, which measure

must again commend itself to those aware of how prolific such types can

be if left unwatched. In males, sterilization can be effected by a very

minor operation, the use of X-rays for this purpose being a procedure

with regard to which there is still medical controversy.

The principle might even be extended to individuals who, by a record of

crime or misdemeanour, prove themselves to belong to a type which the

nation does not want perpetuated. The sterilization of the male leaves

quite undisturbed his sexual function, though it destroys his power

of reproduction. The infringement which it therefore involves of the

liberty of the individual is far less than that made by the State when

it takes it upon itself to hang a man. Yet the social benefit arising

from the two measures cannot be compared. Though it is difficult at

this stage to define the details of Eugenic legislation it seems likely

that the physical and moral standard of the race could broadly be

raised by such a qualitative Birth Control.

The number of emigrants which we are in a position to send to the

Dominions each year is limited by difficulties of transport, and could

never amount to more than a fraction of our present unemployment

figure. There is further the important consideration that the Dominions

themselves do not relish the idea of our regarding them as dumping

grounds for our superfluous undesirables. The type of emigrant they

want is a courageous, hardworking, physically healthy type, capable of

initiative, of withstanding hardships without grumbling, and of making

a good citizen. Such do not tend to become unemployed here, though,

under very adverse circumstances, they often may. A decrease of our

population need not therefore be opposed to our Imperial interests

if, in the process, we raise the standard of the race and improve our

national stock.

* * * * *

What will be the bearings of such enlightened Birth Control upon

the future? It will affect the Individual directly in his immediate

relation to his family, and it will influence him indirectly through

its effect upon the community as well as through the international

relationships of the country to which he belongs. The international

implications will be considered first, since they are the most

far-reaching.

The most obvious of these is the connexion between unrestricted

increase of population and wars. To what extent was the late war due

to this cause, and to what extent has the world learnt from it the

necessity of regulating such increase?

The causes of the late war were complex and are not yet wholly

understood. A fact however stands out clearly now that we contemplate

it in retrospect and now that changes in international feelings have

forced upon us a consideration of the point of view of our late

enemies. It is that the causes now recognized are essentially different

from what those causes were represented to be in the war propaganda of

the various belligerents.

It is to the interests of each belligerent to place the whole blame

for a war upon its enemies and completely to exculpate itself. Thus

in the late war both sides were convinced that they were fighting

for Righteousness, Liberty, Justice, Law and Order, Civilization,

etc., against enemies inspired by cruelty, subtlety, insatiable greed,

jealousy and lust for world-power. When, however, we contemplate

the war after a lapse of several years through an aftermath of much

suffering and disillusionment, we realize that it was the product

of historical causes and racial antipathies and of certain social

and economic phenomena rather than of any unequal partition of moral

qualities.

Before the war, Great Britain was the most powerful nation in the world

and was naturally jealous of any other nation that coveted, or aspired

to usurp, her enviable status.

Russia found herself in a condition of acute social instability,

momentarily threatened by the event which in 1917 cast her beyond the

pale of western civilization. To Russia the war came as a happening

which could dissipate the revolutionary ferments, mobilize her

refractory workers into the army, and, through the tremendous appeal of

a national crusade, sidetrack the forces of anarchy in precisely the

way that those forces were sidetracked in Ireland in 1914. Had the war

been won quickly――as there were grounds for hoping when it began――the

Czar would probably still be on the throne of an enlarged and yet more

powerful Russia.

By the events of the last hundred years Germany had been elevated

from a position of relative unimportance to that of the most highly

organized and perfectly industrialized power in the world. In achieving

this promotion she had earned the venomous hatred, born of her

humiliation, of France, and the slowly growing, disquieting suspicion

of Great Britain.

Conscious of her growing industrial strength, becoming restive within

the frontiers which confined her swelling population, aware of the

hostility of her neighbours, and never allowed to forget that her

kingdom had been built upon the sword, the youthful soul of Germany

found, in her Emperor, a fitting symbol for her aspirations. He was the

creation of her mood, and together with the party of which he was the

mouthpiece led her to her downfall.

It would not be a fair statement to assert that population pressure in

Germany was the cause of the war. It was unquestionably a part-cause

and a predisposing cause, as it was of migration in prehistoric times

and of most wars since. But it was here complicated by other factors

both inside and outside Germany.

The universal desire to avert a similar catastrophe in the future has

materialized in the League of Nations. It is hoped that through its

agency many precipitating causes of war will be eliminated. By it

provocation will be made more difficult and commitment more perilous.

But the essential predisposing cause, that of over-multiplication,

remains unassailed. Like some dull-witted monster it is left to wax in

strength and malignancy within its fetters, till at last, no longer to

be denied, it will break all bounds, turn, and rend the world. From the

late war no lesson as to the importance of population control has been

learnt. Will another war be necessary to teach us this lesson?

Earlier in the book reference was made to the possibility of a war

between Japan and either America or ourselves. Though this contingency

is being thought out in detail by the naval authorities of all three

countries, care is taken in diplomatic circles to assert that such

practical measures as the equipment of Singapore imply no unfriendly

or suspicious attitude toward Japan. Few people, however, are deceived

by these utterances. The mutual fear and distrust is growing and will

probably continue to grow. There is little doubt, that, if this war

comes about, its essential cause, the increase of Japanese in excess

of the power of maintenance of their country, will be obscured by

that outburst of vilification of the enemy and glorification of self

which is now demanded by popular sentiment in the conduct of wars. Yet

this cause will remain here incomparably the most important of the

predisposing causes. After such a war will there remain any vestige of

civilization to profit from the hard-won lesson?

The principal aim of Soviet Russia to-day is the spread of her

communistic principles throughout the world. The chief obstacles

to this are the firmly entrenched and powerful capitalism of the

United States, and the more diffused and essentially more vulnerable

capitalistic organisations of the British Empire. These last the

Russians are doing their best to undermine now. A second world war

would give them a long-coveted opportunity. Realizing that prolonged

wars and the social unrest that follows them are the soil from which

revolutions most readily spring, Russia would probably associate

herself with Japan. The secret treaty between the two countries whose

aspirations and political ideals have otherwise little in common, gives

a premonition of this. By the time a war comes it is possible that the

exploitation of China by Japan will be more complete, and the effects

of anti-foreign propaganda, carried on by Russia, more far-reaching.

The increase of anti-British feeling in India, also stimulated by

Russia, will co-operate to unify Asia and European Russia in a solid

block, determined to shake off the yoke of the Western Powers and of

America.

Such a war could never be conclusive, however prolonged. The vast

length of the fighting front, the colossal numbers of active

belligerents, and the enhanced destructiveness of war would probably

lead, after initial successes, to a collapse of the organized fighting

forces of the West. The seeds of revolution in Europe, by then more

deeply sown, would germinate, and the present social order would come

to an end. The continent would then embark upon a new phase of its

history, with the first chapter steeped in the bloodshed of revolution,

and founded upon the ruins of our industrial civilization. The centre

of civilization might then shift to the southern hemisphere where

to-day there is less to destroy.

The fact remains that if the price that humanity will have to pay for

learning to regulate its over-multiplication is to be a second world

war――the much talked of war, this time, between East and West――it is

doubtful if there will be left a civilization capable of learning the

lesson. It seems worth while, therefore, to try to put the principle

into effect before we are taught its necessity in such a way. To this

there are at present two obstacles, namely the nature of certain

religions and the criterion of national evaluation that is still

prevalent.

The first obstacle rests in the fact that two powerful religions have

not adapted themselves to the changes of human relationships imposed

by the unification through science of the human race. These religions

remain with their eyes fixed either on the next world or on the

exclusive welfare of the tribe.

By the Catholic Church a mode of behaviour is imposed calculated to

achieve salvation in the next world irrespective of its effects on

this one. Omitting from consideration, as probably unjust, the motive

of wishing to increase the number of its adherents, with which the

Roman Catholic Church has been charged by reason of its attitude

towards Birth Control, there remains a motive arising from a theory

of a relation between salvation in the next world and certain modes

of behaviour in this. Contraception is condemned because it is held

to incur damnation. It is not condemned because it leads to social

injustice, to wars, to human suffering. The point is that it is still

condemned in spite of its leading away from these things. It is

therefore devoutly to be hoped that in the event of the population of

any Catholic country at any time in the future expanding to proportions

that threaten the peace of the world, the Pope will see his way to

modify the Church’s attitude in the matter before it is too late.

Failure to do so would result in the depressing spectacle of the leader

of the religion of ‘Peace and Goodwill’ among men deliberately refusing

to take a step to avert war.

The second type of religion is represented in Japan and is tribal in

the sense that it is avowedly concerned with the glorification of the

Japanese, irrespective of the consequences to the world that this may

involve. In its object of elevating Japan to the status of a first

class power the cult of revived Shinto has succeeded admirably and has

proved itself, in several wars, to be a splendid fighting creed. The

present increase of the population of Japan by 700,000 a year is wholly

in accordance with its precepts. Again we may devoutly hope that it

will not overreach itself and plunge Japan, as well as the rest of

us, into a world war after which we would probably cease to exist as

civilized countries. It is, of course, obvious that a modification of

Japanese policy where Birth Control is concerned would be welcomed with

inexpressible relief by the rest of the world.

The militancy of Mohammedanism will probably have little effect on the

future of the world, because Mohammedan countries are at present poorly

organized for extensive modern war. The Church of England is more

concerned with the social and international implications of religion

than any other, and the above remarks have little relevance to it.

If, therefore, the cataclysm above contemplated is to be averted

the first necessity would seem to be a revision of the standards of

existing religions, in consideration of the unification of the human

race, so as to accord with a formula of something of this sort: That

is good and morally right which will promote the general happiness and

goodwill of humanity, and the harmony of the world. It is clear that

action leading to the limitation of over-multiplication would in this

sense be good and in accordance with religion.

* * * * *

The second obstacle to the realization of a control of population is

the standard by which the merit of a nation is now generally appraised,

and to which most nations aspire. This merit is largely estimated in

terms of power of offence and defence. This is a bad criterion and

should be altered for a better one which will now be considered.

Earlier in the book reference was made to a biological argument against

contraception, consideration of which was deferred. This argument holds

that in so far as reproduction is a primary biological function, a

thwarting of that function is not only unnatural but anti-biological.

This view has a certain plausibility but does not stand close scrutiny.

The criterion of biological value or fitness is essentially racial, not

individual. That is biologically good which will improve or benefit the

race, that is bad which will harm or weaken it.

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