CHAPTER XIV

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[Illustration: Sir Edward Grey (now Viscount Grey of Fallodon),

Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs, 1905-1916]

THE

LIFE AND LETTERS OF

WALTER H. PAGE

BY

BURTON J. HENDRICK

VOLUME

II

GARDEN CITY NEW YORK

DOUBLEDAY, PAGE & COMPANY

1924

PRINTED IN THE UNITED STATES

AT

THE COUNTRY LIFE PRESS, GARDEN CITY, N.Y.

CONTENTS

VOLUME II

CHAPTER PAGE

XIV. THE "LUSITANIA" AND AFTER 1

XV. THE AMBASSADOR AND THE LAWYERS 53

XVI. DARK DAYS FOR THE ALLIES 81

XVII. CHRISTMAS IN ENGLAND, 1915 103

XVIII. A PERPLEXED AMBASSADOR 128

XIX. WASHINGTON IN THE SUMMER OF 1916 148

XX. "PEACE WITHOUT VICTORY" 189

XXI. THE UNITED STATES AT WAR 215

XXII. THE BALFOUR MISSION TO THE UNITED STATES 248

XXIII. PAGE--THE MAN 295

XXIV. A RESPITE AT ST. IVES 321

XXV. GETTING THE AMERICAN TROOPS TO FRANCE 349

XXVI. LAST DAYS IN ENGLAND 374

XXVII. THE END 404

APPENDIX 407

INDEX 425

LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS

Sir Edward Grey _Frontispiece_

FACING PAGE

Col. Edward M. House. From a painting by P.A.

Laszlo 88

The Rt. Hon. Herbert Henry Asquith, Prime Minister

of Great Britain, 1908-1916 89

Herbert C. Hoover, in 1914 104

A facsimile page from the Ambassador's letter of

November 24, 1916, resigning his Ambassadorship 105

Walter H. Page, at the time of America's entry into

the war, April, 1917 216

Resolution passed by the two Houses of Parliament,

April 18, 1917, on America's entry into the war 217

The Rt. Hon. David Lloyd George, Prime Minister

of Great Britain, 1916-- 232

The Rt. Hon. Arthur James Balfour (now the Earl of

Balfour), Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs,

1916-1919 233

Lord Robert Cecil, Minister of Blockade, 1916-1918,

Assistant Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs,

1918 344

General John J. Pershing, Commander-in-Chief of

the American Expeditionary Force in the Great

War 345

Admiral William Sowden Sims, Commander of

American Naval Forces operating in European

waters during the Great War 360

A silver model of the _Mayflower_, the farewell gift

of the Plymouth Council to Mr. Page 361

THE

LIFE AND LETTERS

OF

WALTER H. PAGE

THE LIFE AND LETTERS OF

WALTER H. PAGE

CHAPTER XIV

THE "LUSITANIA"--AND AFTER

I

The news of the _Lusitania_ was received at the American Embassy at four

o'clock on the afternoon of May 7, 1915. At that time preparations were

under way for a dinner in honour of Colonel and Mrs. House; the first

_Lusitania_ announcement declared that only the ship itself had been

destroyed and that all the passengers and members of the crew had been

saved; there was, therefore, no good reason for abandoning this dinner.

At about seven o'clock, the Ambassador came home; his manner showed that

something extraordinary had taken place; there were no outward signs of

emotion, but he was very serious. The first news, he now informed Mrs.

Page, had been a mistake; more than one thousand men, women, and

children had lost their lives, and more than one hundred of these were

American citizens. It was too late to postpone the dinner but that

affair was one of the most tragic in the social history of London. The

Ambassador was constantly receiving bulletins from his Chancery, and

these, as quickly as they were received, he read to his guests. His

voice was quiet and subdued; there were no indications of excitement in

his manner or in that of his friends, and hardly of suppressed emotion.

The atmosphere was rather that of dumb stupefaction. The news seemed to

have dulled everyone's capacity for thought and even for feeling. If any

one spoke, it was in whispers. Afterward, in the drawing room, this same

mental state was the prevailing one; there was little denunciation of

Germany and practically no discussion as to the consequences of the

crime; everyone's thought was engrossed by the harrowing and

unbelievable facts which the Ambassador was reading from the little

yellow slips that were periodically brought in. An irresistible

fascination evidently kept everybody in the room; the guests stayed

late, eager for every new item. When they finally left, one after

another, their manner was still abstracted and they said their

good-nights in low voices. There were two reasons for this behaviour.

The first was that the Ambassador and his guests had received the

details of the greatest infamy which any supposedly civilized state had

perpetrated since the massacre of Saint Bartholomew. The second was the

conviction that the United States would at once declare war on Germany.

On this latter point several of the guests expressed their ideas and one

of the most shocked and outspoken was Colonel House. For a month the

President's personal representative had been discussing with British

statesmen possible openings for mediation, but all his hopes in this

direction now vanished. That President Wilson would act with the utmost

energy Colonel House took for granted. This act, he evidently believed,

left the United States no option. "We shall be at war with Germany

within a month," he declared.

The feeling that prevailed in the Embassy this evening was the one that

existed everywhere in London for several days. Emotionally the event

acted like an anæsthetic. This was certainly the condition of all

Americans associated with the American Embassy, especially Page

himself. A day or two after the sinking the Ambassador went to Euston

Station, at an early hour in the morning, to receive the American

survivors. The hundred or more men and women who shambled from the train

made a listless and bedraggled gathering. Their grotesque clothes, torn

and unkempt--for practically none had had the opportunity of obtaining a

change of dress--their expressionless faces, their lustreless eyes,

their uncertain and bewildered walk, faintly reflected an experience

such as comes to few people in this world. The most noticeable thing

about these unfortunates was their lack of interest in their

surroundings; everything had apparently been reduced to a blank; the

fact that practically none made any reference to their ordeal, or could

be induced to discuss it, was a matter of common talk in London. And

something of this disposition now became noticeable in Page himself. He

wrote his dispatches to Washington in an abstracted mood; he went

through his duties almost with the detachment of a sleep-walker; like

the _Lusitania_ survivors, he could not talk much at that time about the

scenes that had taken place off the coast of Ireland. Yet there were

many indications that he was thinking about them, and his thoughts, as

his letters reveal, were concerned with more things than the tragedy

itself. He believed that his country was now face to face with its

destiny. What would Washington do?

Page had a characteristic way of thinking out his problems. He performed

his routine work at the Chancery in the daytime, but his really serious

thinking he did in his own room at night. The picture is still a vivid

one in the recollection of his family and his other intimates. Even at

this time Page's health was not good, yet he frequently spent the

evening at his office in Grosvenor Gardens, and when the long day's

labours were finished, he would walk rather wearily to his home at No. 6

Grosvenor Square. He would enter the house slowly--and his walk became

slower and more tired as the months went by--go up to his room and cross

to the fireplace, so apparently wrapped up in his own thoughts that he

hardly greeted members of his own family. A wood fire was kept burning

for him, winter and summer alike; Page would put on his dressing gown,

drop into a friendly chair, and sit there, doing nothing, reading

nothing, saying nothing--only thinking. Sometimes he would stay for an

hour; not infrequently he would remain till two, three, or four o'clock

in the morning; occasions were not unknown when his almost motionless

figure would be in this same place at daybreak. He never slept through

these nights, and he never even dozed; he was wide awake, and his mind

was silently working upon the particular problem that was uppermost in

his thoughts. He never rose until he had solved it or at least until he

had decided upon a course of action. He would then get up abruptly, go

to bed, and sleep like a child. The one thing that made it possible for

a man of his delicate frame, racked as it was by anxiety and over work,

to keep steadily at his task, was the wonderful gift which he possessed

of sleeping.

Page had thought out many problems in this way. The tension caused by

the sailing of the _Dacia_, in January, 1915, and the deftness with

which the issue had been avoided by substituting a French for a British

cruiser, has already been described. Page discovered this solution on

one of these all-night self-communings. It was almost two o'clock in the

morning that he rose, said to himself, "I've got it!" and then went

contentedly to bed. And during the anxious months that followed the

_Lusitania_, the _Arabic_, and those other outrages which have now

taken their place in history, he spent night after night turning the

matter over in his mind. But he found no way out of the humiliations

presented by the policy of Washington.

"Here we are swung loose in time," he wrote to his son Arthur, a few

days after the first _Lusitania_ note had been sent to Germany, "nobody

knows the day or the week or the month or the year--and we are caught on

this island, with no chance of escape, while the vast slaughter goes on

and seems just beginning, and the degradation of war goes on week by

week; and we live in hope that the United States will come in, as the

only chance to give us standing and influence when the reorganization of

the world must begin. (Beware of betraying the word 'hope'!) It has all

passed far beyond anybody's power to describe. I simply go on day by day

into unknown experiences and emotions, seeing nothing before me very

clearly and remembering only dimly what lies behind. I can see only one

proper thing: that all the world should fall to and hunt this wild beast

down.

"Two photographs of little Mollie[1] on my mantelpiece recall persons

and scenes and hopes unconnected with the war: few other things can.

Bless the baby, she couldn't guess what a sweet purpose she serves."

* * * * *

The sensations of most Americans in London during this crisis are almost

indescribable. Washington's failure promptly to meet the situation

affected them with astonishment and humiliation. Colonel House was

confident that war was impending, and for this reason he hurried his

preparations to leave England; he wished to be in the United States, at

the President's side, when the declaration was made. With this feeling

about Mr. Wilson, Colonel House received a fearful shock a day or two

after the _Lusitania_ had gone down: while walking in Piccadilly, he

caught a glimpse of one of the famous sandwich men, bearing a poster of

an afternoon newspaper. This glaring broadside bore the following

legend: "We are too proud to fight--Woodrow Wilson." The sight of that

placard was Colonel House's first intimation that the President might

not act vigorously. He made no attempt to conceal from Page and other

important men at the American Embassy the shock which it had given him.

Soon the whole of England was ringing with these six words; the

newspapers were filled with stinging editorials and cartoons, and the

music halls found in the Wilsonian phrase materials for their choicest

jibes. Even in more serious quarters America was the subject of the most

severe denunciation. No one felt these strictures more poignantly than

President Wilson's closest confidant. A day or two before sailing home

he came into the Embassy greatly depressed at the prevailing revulsion

against the United States. "I feel," Colonel House said to Page, "as

though I had been given a kick at every lamp post coming down

Constitution Hill." A day or two afterward Colonel House sailed for

America.

II

And now came the period of distress and of disillusionment. Three

_Lusitania_ notes were sent and were evasively answered, and Washington

still seemed to be marking time. The one event in this exciting period

which gave Page satisfaction was Mr. Bryan's resignation as Secretary of

State. For Mr. Bryan personally Page had a certain fondness, but as head

of the State Department the Nebraska orator had been a cause of endless

vexation. Many of Page's letters, already printed, bear evidence of the

utter demoralization which existed in this branch of the Administration

and this demoralization became especially glaring during the _Lusitania_

crisis. No attempt was made even at this momentous period to keep the

London Embassy informed as to what was taking place in Washington;

Page's letters and cablegrams were, for the most part, unacknowledged

and unanswered, and the American Ambassador was frequently obliged to

obtain his information about the state of feeling in Washington from Sir

Edward Grey. It must be said, in justice to Mr. Bryan, that this

carelessness was nothing particularly new, for it had worried many

ambassadors before Page. Readers of Charles Francis Adams's

correspondence meet with the same complaints during the Civil War; even

at the time of the _Trent_ crisis, when for a fortnight Great Britain

and the United States were living on the brink of war, Adams was kept

entirely in the dark about the plans of Washington[2]. The letters of

John Hay show a similar condition during his brief ambassadorship to

Great Britain in 1897-1898[3].

But Mr. Bryan's incumbency was guilty of diplomatic vices which were

peculiarly its own. The "leaks" in the State Department, to which Page

has already referred, were constantly taking place; the Ambassador would

send the most confidential cipher dispatches to his superior, cautioning

the Department that they must be held inviolably secret, and then he

would pick up the London newspapers the next morning and find that

everything had been cabled from Washington. To most readers, the

informal method of conducting foreign business, as it is disclosed in

these letters, probably comes as something of a shock. Page is here

discovered discussing state matters, not in correspondence with the

Secretary of State, but in private unofficial communications to the

President, and especially to Colonel House--the latter at that time not

an official person at all. All this, of course, was extremely irregular

and, in any properly organized State Department, it would have been even

reprehensible. But the point is that there was no properly organized

State Department at that time, and the impossibility of conducting

business through the regular channels compelled Page to adopt other

means. "There is only one way to reform the State Department," he

informed Colonel House at this time. "That is to raze the whole

building, with its archives and papers, to the ground, and begin all

over again."

This state of affairs in Washington explains the curious fact that the

real diplomatic history of the United States and Great Britain during

this great crisis is not to be found in the archives of the State

Department, for the official documents on file there consist of the most

routine telegrams, which are not particularly informing, but in the

Ambassador's personal correspondence with the President, Colonel House,

and a few other intimates. The State Department did not have the first

requisite of a properly organized foreign office, for it could not be

trusted with confidential information. The Department did not tell Page

what it was doing, but it apparently told the whole world what Page was

doing. It is an astonishing fact that Page could not write and cable the

most important details, for he was afraid that they would promptly be

given to the reporters.

* * * * *

"I shall not send another confidential message to the State Department,"

Page wrote to Colonel House, September 15, 1914; "it's too dangerous.

Time and time again now the Department has leaked. Last week, I sent a

dispatch and I said in the body of it, '_this is confidential and under

no condition to be given out or made public, but to be regarded as

inviolably secret_.' The very next morning it was telegraphed from

Washington to the London newspapers. Bryan telegraphed me that he was

sure it didn't get out from the Department and that he now had so fixed

it that there could be no leak. He's said that at least four times

before. The Department swarms with newspaper men, I hear. But whether it

does or not the leak continues. I have to go with my tail between my

legs and apologize to Sir Edward Grey and to do myself that shame and to

do my very best to keep his confidence--against these unnecessary odds.

The only way to be safe is to do the job perfunctorily, to answer the

questions the Department sends and to do nothing on your own account.

That's the reason so many of our men do their jobs in that way--or _one_

reason and a strong one. We can never have an alert and energetic and

powerful service until men can trust the Department and until they can

get necessary information from it. I wrote the President that of course

I'd go on till the war ended and all the questions growing out of it

were settled, and that then he must excuse me, if I must continue to be

exposed to this danger and humiliation. In the meantime, I shall send

all my confidential matter in private letters to him."

* * * * *

Page did not regard Mr. Bryan's opinions and attitudes as a joke: to him

they were a serious matter and, in his eyes, Bryan was most interesting

as a national menace. He regarded the Secretary as the extreme

expression of an irrational sentimentalism that was in danger of

undermining the American character, especially as the kind of thought

he represented was manifest in many phases of American life. In a moment

of exasperation, Page gave expression to this feeling in a letter to his

son:

_To Arthur W. Page_

London, June 6, 1915.

DEAR ARTHUR:

... We're in danger of being feminized and fad-ridden--grape juice

(God knows water's good enough: why grape juice?); pensions;

Christian Science; peace cranks; efficiency-correspondence schools;

aid-your-memory; women's clubs; co-this and co-t'other and coddling

in general; Billy Sunday; petticoats where breeches ought to be and

breeches where petticoats ought to be; white livers and soft heads

and milk-and-water;--I don't want war: nobody knows its horrors or

its degradations or its cost. But to get rid of hyphenated

degenerates perhaps it's worth while, and to free us from 'isms and

soft folk. That's the domestic view of it. As for being kicked by a

sauerkraut caste--O Lord, give us backbone!

Heartily yours,

W.H.P.

In the bottom of this note, Page has cut a notch in the paper and

against it he has written: "This notch is the place to apply a match to

this letter."

* * * * *

"Again and ever I am reminded," Page also wrote in reference to Bryan's

resignation, "of the danger of having to do with cranks. A certain

orderliness of mind and conduct seems essential for safety in this short

life. Spiritualists, bone-rubbers, anti-vivisectionists, all sort of

anti's in fact, those who have fads about education or fads against it,

Perfectionists, Daughters of the Dove of Peace, Sons of the Roaring

Torrent, itinerant peace-mongers--all these may have a real genius

among them once in forty years; but to look for an exception to the

common run of yellow dogs and damfools among them is like opening

oysters with the hope of finding pearls. It's the common man we want and

the uncommon common man when we can find him--never the crank. This is

the lesson of Bryan."

* * * * *

At one time, however, Mr. Bryan's departure seemed likely to have

important consequences for Page. Colonel House and others strongly urged

the President to call him home from London and make him Secretary of

State. This was the third position in President Wilson's Cabinet for

which Page had been considered. The early plans to make him Secretary of

the Interior or Secretary of Agriculture have already been described. Of

all cabinet posts, however, the one that would have especially attracted

him would have been the Department of State. But President Wilson

believed that the appointment of an Ambassador at one of the belligerent

capitals, especially of an Ambassador whose sympathies for the Allies

were so pronounced as were Page's, would have been an "un-neutral" act,

and, therefore, Colonel House's recommendation was not approved.

_From Edward M. House_

Roslyn, Long Island,

June 25th, 1915.

DEAR PAGE:

The President finally decided to appoint Lansing to succeed Mr.

Bryan. In my opinion, he did wisely, though I would have preferred

his appointing you.

The argument against your appointment was the fact that you are an

Ambassador at one of the belligerent capitals. The President did

not think it would do, and from what I read, when your name was

suggested I take it there would have been much criticism. I am

sorry--sorrier than I can tell you, for it would have worked

admirably in the general scheme of things.

However, I feel sure that Lansing will do the job, and that you

will find your relations with him in every way satisfactory.

The President spent yesterday with me and we talked much of you. He

is looking well and feeling so. I read the President your letter

and he enjoyed it as much as I did.

I am writing hastily, for I am leaving for Manchester,

Massachusetts, where I shall be during July and August.

Your sincere friend,

E.M. HOUSE.

III

But, in addition to the _Lusitania_ crisis, a new terror now loomed on

the horizon. Page's correspondence reveals that Bryan had more reasons

than one for his resignation; he was now planning to undertake a

self-appointed mission to Europe for the purpose of opening peace

negotiations entirely on his own account.

_From Edward M. House_

Manchester, Massachusetts,

August 12th, 1915.

DEAR PAGE:

The Bryans have been stopping with the X's. X writes me that Bryan

told him that he intended to go to Europe soon and try peace

negotiations. He has Lloyd George in mind in England, and it is

then his purpose to go to Germany.

I take it he will want credentials from the President which, of

course, he will not want to give, but just what he will feel

obliged to give is another story. I anticipated this when he

resigned. I knew it was merely a matter of time when he would take

this step.

He may find encouragement in Germany, for he is in high favour now

in that quarter. It is his purpose to oppose the President upon the

matter of "preparedness," and, from what we can learn, it will not

be long before there will be open antagonism between the

Administration and himself.

It might be a good thing to encourage his going to Europe. He would

probably come back a sadder and wiser man. I take it that no one in

authority in England would discuss the matter seriously with him,

and, in France, I do not believe he could even get a hearing.

Please let me have your impressions upon this subject.

I wish I could be near you to-day for there are so many things I

could tell that I cannot write.

Your friend,

E.M. House.

_To Edward M. House_

American Embassy, London [Undated].

DEAR HOUSE:

Never mind about Bryan. Send him over here if you wish to get rid

of him. He'll cut no more figure than a tar-baby at a Negro

camp-meeting. If he had come while he was Secretary, I should have

jumped off London Bridge and the country would have had one

ambassador less. But I shall enjoy him now. You see some peace

crank from the United States comes along every week--some crank or

some gang of cranks. There've been two this week. Ever since the

Daughters of the Dove of Peace met at The Hague, the game has

become popular in America; and I haven't yet heard that a single

one has been shot--so far. I think that some of them are likely

soon to be hanged, however, because there are signs that they may

come also from Germany. The same crowd that supplies money to buy

labour-leaders and the press and to blow up factories in the United

States keeps a good supply of peace-liars on tap. It'll be fun to

watch Bryan perform and never suspect that anybody is lying to him

or laughing at him; and he'll go home convinced that he's done the

job and he'll let loose doves all over the land till they are as

thick as English sparrows. Not even the President could teach him

anything permanently. He can do no harm on this side the world.

It's only your side that's in any possible danger; and, if I read

the signs right, there's a diminishing danger there.

No, there's never yet come a moment when there was the slightest

chance of peace. Did the Emperor not say last year that peace would

come in October, and again this year in October? Since he said it,

how can it come?

The ambitions and the actions of men, my friend, are determined by

their antecedents, their surroundings, and their opportunities--the

great deeds of men before them whom consciously or unconsciously

they take for models, the codes they are reared by, and the chances

that they think they see. These influences shaped Alexander and

Cæsar, and they shaped you and me. Now every monarch on the

Continent has behind him the Napoleonic example. "Can I do that?"

crosses the mind of every one. Of course every one thinks of

himself as doing it beneficently--for the good of the world.

Napoleon, himself, persuaded himself of his benevolent intentions,

and the devil of it was he persuaded other people also. Now the

only monarch in Europe in our time who thought he had a chance is

your friend in Berlin. When he told you last year (1914) that of

course he didn't want war, but that he was "ready," that's what he

meant. A similar ambition, of course, comes into the mind of every

professional soldier of the continent who rises to eminence. In

Berlin you have both--the absolute monarch and the military class

of ambitious soldiers and their fighting machine. Behind these men

walks the Napoleonic ambition all the time, just as in the United

States we lie down every night in George Washington's feather-bed

of no entangling alliances.

Then remember, too, that the German monarchy is a cross between the

Napoleonic ambition and its inheritance from Frederick the Great

and Bismarck. I suppose the three damnedest liars that were ever

born are these three--old Frederick, Napoleon, and Bismarck--not, I

take it, because they naturally loved lying, but because the game

they played constantly called for lying. There was no other way to

play it: they _had_ to fool people all the time. You have abundant

leisure--do this: Read the whole career of Napoleon and write down

the startling and exact parallels that you will find there to what

is happening to-day. The French were united and patriotic, just as

the Germans now are. When they invaded other people's territory,

they said they were attacked and that the other people had brought

on war. They had their lying diplomats, their corruption funds;

they levied money on cities and states; they took booty; and they

were God's elect. It's a wonderful parallel--not strangely, because

the game is the same and the moral methods are the same. Only the

tools are somewhat different--the submarine, for example. Hence the

_Lusitania_ disaster (not disavowed, you will observe), the

_Arabic_ disaster, the propaganda, underground and above, in the

United States. And there'll be more. The Napoleonic Wars were

about eleven years long. I fancy that we shall have war and wars

from this attempt to dominate Europe, for perhaps as long a period.

The Balkans can't be quieted by this war only, nor Russia and Italy

perhaps. And Germany may have a series of earthquakes

herself--internal explosions. Then Poland and perhaps some of the

Scandinavian States. Nobody can tell.

I cannot express my admiration of the President's management, so

far at least, of his colossal task of leading us right. He has

shown his supreme wisdom up to this point and I have the

profoundest confidence in his judgment. But I hope he doesn't fool

himself about the future; I'm sure he doesn't. I see no possible

way for us to keep out, because I know the ignorance and falseness

of the German leaders. They'll drown or kill more Americans--on the

sea and in America. They _may_ at last even attack one of our own

passenger ships, or do something that will dramatically reveal them

to the whole American people. Then, of course, the tune will be

called. It's only a question of time; and I am afraid the war will

last long enough to give them time. An early peace is all that can

prevent them from driving us at last into war; and I can see no

chance of an early peace. You had as well prepare as fast as the

condition of public opinion will permit.

There could be no better measure of the immeasurable moral advance

that the United States has made over Europe than the incredulity of

our people. They simply can't comprehend what the Napoleonic legend

can do, nor the low political morality of the Continent--of Berlin

in particular. Hence they don't believe it. We have gone on for 100

years working might and main to better our condition and the

condition of people about us--the greatest effort made by the

largest number of people since the world began to further the mood

and the arts of peace. There is no other such chapter in human

history as our work for a hundred years. Yet just a hundred years

ago the Capitol at Washington was burned by--a political oligarchy

in the freest country of Europe--as damnable an atrocity as you

will find in history. The Germans are a hundred years behind the

English in political development and political morality.

So, let Willum J. come. He can't hurt Europe--nor help it; and you

can spare him. Let all the Peace-gang come. You can spare _them_,

too; and they can do no harm here. Let somebody induce Hoke Smith

to come, too. You have hit on a great scheme--friendly deportation.

And Bryan won't be alone. Daughters of the Dove of Peace and Sons

of the Olive Branch come every week. The latest Son came to see me

to-day. He said that the German Chancellor told him that he wanted

peace--wants it now and wants it bad, and that only one thing stood

in the way--if England would agree not to take Belgium, Germany

would at once make peace! This otherwise sensible American wanted

me to take him to see Sir Edward to tell him this, and to suggest

to him to go over to Holland next week to meet the German

Chancellor and fix it up. A few days ago a pious preacher chap

(American) who had come over to "fix it all up," came back from

France and called on me. He had seen something in France--he was

excited and he didn't quite make it clear what he had seen; but he

said that if they'd only let him go home safely and quickly he'd

promise not to mention peace any more--did I think the American

boats _entirely_ safe?--So, you see, I do have some fun even in

these dark days.

Yours heartily,

W.H. PAGE.

IV

This letter discloses that Page was pinning his faith in President

Wilson, and that he still had confidence in the President's

determination to uphold the national honour. Page was not one of those

who thought that the United States should declare war immediately after

the _Lusitania_. The President's course, in giving Germany a chance to

make amends, and to disavow the act, met with his approval, and he

found, also, much to admire in Mr. Wilson's first _Lusitania_ note. His

judgment in this matter was based first of all upon the merits of the

case; besides this, his admiration for Mr. Wilson as a public man was

strong. To think otherwise of the President would have been a great

grief to the Ambassador and to differ with his chief on the tremendous

issue of the war would have meant for Page the severance of one of the

most cherished associations of his life. The interest which he had shown

in advocating Wilson's presidential candidacy has already been set

forth; and many phases of the Wilson administration had aroused his

admiration. The President's handling of domestic problems Page regarded

as a masterpiece in reconciling statesmanship with practical politics,

and his energetic attitude on the Panama Tolls had introduced new

standards into American foreign relations. Page could not sympathize

with all the details of the Wilsonian Mexican policy, yet he saw in it a

high-minded purpose and a genuine humanitarianism. But the outbreak of

war presented new aspects of Mr. Wilson's mind. The President's attitude

toward the European struggle, his conception of "neutrality," and his

failure to grasp the meaning of the conflict, seemed to Page to show a

lack of fundamental statesmanship; still his faith in Wilson was

deep-seated, and he did not abandon hope that the President could be

brought to see things as they really were. Page even believed that he

might be instrumental in his conversion.

But in the summer and autumn of 1915 one agony followed another. The

"too proud to fight" speech was in Page's mind nothing less than a

tragedy. The president's first _Lusitania_ note for a time restored the

Ambassador's confidence; it seemed to show that the President intended

to hold Germany to that "strict accountability" which he had threatened.

But Mr. Wilson's course now presented new difficulties to his

Ambassador. Still Page believed that the President, in his own way and

in his own time, would find a path out of his dilemma that would protect

the honour and the safety of the United States. If any of the Embassy

subordinates became impatient over the procedure of Washington, he did

not find a sympathetic listener in the Ambassador. The whole of London

and of Europe might be resounding with denunciations of the White House,

but Page would tolerate no manifestations of hostility in his presence.

"The problem appears different to Washington than it does to us," he

would say to his confidants. "We see only one side of it; the President

sees all sides. If we give him all the facts, he will decide the thing

wisely." Englishmen with whom the Ambassador came into contact soon

learned that they could not become flippant or critical about Mr. Wilson

in his presence; he would resent the slightest hostile remark, and he

had a way of phrasing his rebukes that usually discouraged a second

attempt. About this time Page began to keep closely to himself, and to

decline invitations to dinners and to country houses, even those with

which he was most friendly. The reason was that he could not meet

Englishmen and Englishwomen, or even Americans who were resident in

England, on his old easy familiar terms; he knew the ideas which

everybody entertained about his country, and he knew also what they were

saying, when he was not among them; the restraint which his presence

necessarily put upon his friends produced an uncongenial atmosphere, and

the Ambassador therefore gave up, for a time, those distractions which

had ordinarily proved such a delightful relief from his duties. For the

first time since he had come to England he found himself a solitary man.

He even refused to attend the American Luncheon Club in London because,

in speeches and in conversation, the members did not hesitate to assail

the Wilson policies.

Events, however, eventually proved too strong for the most devoted

supporter of President Wilson. After the _Arabic_ and the _Hesperian_,

Page's official intimates saw signs that the Ambassador was losing

confidence in his old friend. He would discuss Mr. Wilson occasionally,

with those secretaries, such as Mr. Laughlin, in whom his confidence was

strongest; his expressions, however, were never flippant or violent.

That Page could be biting as well as brilliant in his comments on public

personages his letters abundantly reveal, yet he never exercised his

talent for sarcasm or invective at the expense of the White House. He

never forgot that Mr. Wilson was President and that he was Ambassador;

he would still defend the Administration; and he even now continued to

find consolation in the reflection that Mr. Wilson was living in a

different atmosphere and that he had difficulties to confront of which a

man in London could know nothing. The Ambassador's emotion was rather

one of disappointment and sorrow, mingled with anxiety as to the plight

into which his country was being led. As to his duty in this situation,

however, Page never hesitated. In his relations with his Embassy and

with the British world he maintained this non-critical attitude; but in

his letters to President Wilson and Colonel House, he was describing the

situation, and expressing his convictions, with the utmost freedom and

frankness. In both these attitudes Page was consistent and absolutely

loyal. It was his duty to carry out the Wilson instructions and he had

too high a conception of the Ambassadorial office to show to the world

any unfavourable opinions he may have held about his country's course.

His duty to his post made it just as imperative that he set forth to the

President the facts exactly as they were. And this the Ambassador now

proceeded to do. For the mere ornamental dignities of an Ambassadorship

Page cared nothing; he was wasting his health in his duties and

exhausting his private resources; much as he loved the English and

congenial as were his surroundings, the fear of being recalled for

"disloyalty" or insubordination never influenced him. The letters which

he now wrote to Colonel House and to President Wilson himself are

probably without parallel in the diplomatic annals of this or of any

other country. In them he told the President precisely what Englishmen

thought of him and of the extent to which the United States was

suffering in European estimation from the Wilson policy. His boldness

sometimes astounded his associates. One day a friend and adviser of

President Wilson's came into the Ambassador's office just as Page had

finished one of his communications to Washington.

"Read that!" the Ambassador said, handing over the manuscript to his

visitor.

As the caller read, his countenance displayed the progressive stages of

his amazement. When he had finished, his hands dropped helplessly upon

his knees.

"Is that the way you write to the President?" he gasped.

"Of course," Page replied, quietly. "Why not? Why shouldn't I tell him

the truth? That is what I am here for."

"There is no other person in the world who dare talk to him like that!"

was the reply.

This is unquestionably the fact. That President Wilson did not like

people about him whose views were opposed to his own is now no secret,

and during the period when his policy was one of the great issues of the

world there was probably no one except Page who intruded upon his

solitude with ideas that so abruptly disagreed with the opinions of the

White House. The letters which Page wrote Colonel House were intended,

of course, for the President himself, and practically all of them

Colonel House read aloud to the head of the nation. The two men would

closet themselves in the old cabinet room on the second floor of the

White House--that same room in which Lincoln had met his advisers during

Civil War days; and here Colonel House would quietly read the letters in

which Page so mercilessly portrayed the situation as it appeared in

English and European eyes. The President listened impassively, giving no

sign of approval or disapproval, and hardly, at times, of much interest.

In the earlier days, when Page's letters consisted of pictures of

English life and English men, and colourful descriptions of England

under the stress of war, the President was vastly entertained; he would

laugh loudly at Page's wit, express his delight at his graphic and

pungent style and feel deeply the horrors of war as his Ambassador

unfolded them. "I always found Page compelling on paper," Mr. Wilson

remarked to Mr. Laughlin, during one of the latter's visits to

Washington. "I could never resist him--I get more information from his

letters than from any other single source. Tell him to keep it up." It

was during this period that the President used occasionally to read

Page's letters to the Cabinet, expressing his great appreciation of

their charm and historical importance. "The President quoted from one of

the Ambassador's letters to the Cabinet to-day," a member of the Cabinet

wrote to Mrs. Page in February, 1915. "'Some day,' the President said,

'I hope that Walter Page's letters will be published. They are the best

letters I have ever read. They make you feel the atmosphere in England,

understand the people, and see into the motives of the great actors.'"

The President repeated this statement many times, and his letters to

Page show how greatly he enjoyed and profited from this correspondence.

But after the sinking of the _Lusitania_ and the _Arabic_ his attitude

toward Page and his letters changed.

He now found little pleasure or satisfaction in the Page communications.

When Mr. Wilson found that one of his former confidants had turned out

to be a critic, that man instantaneously passed out of his life. And

this was now Page's fate; the friendship and associations of forty years

were as though they had never been. Just why Mr. Wilson did not recall

his Ambassador is a question that has puzzled Page's friends. He would

sometimes refer to him as a man who was "more British than the British,"

as one who had been taken completely captive by British blandishments,

but he never came to the point of dismissing him. Perhaps he did not

care to face the public scandal that such an act would have caused; but

a more plausible reason is that Page, despite the causes which he had

given for irritation, was indispensable to him. Page's early letters had

furnished the President ideas which had taken shape in Wilson's

policies, and, disagreeable as the communications now became, there are

evidences that they influenced the solitary statesman in the White

House, and that they had much to do in finally forcing Mr. Wilson into

the war. The alternative question, as to why Page did not retire when he

found himself so out of sympathy with the President, will be

sufficiently answered in subsequent chapters; at present it may be said

that he did resign and only consented to remain at the urgent request of

Washington. In fact, all during 1915 and 1916, there seemed to be a fear

in Washington that Page would definitely abandon the London post. On one

occasion, when the newspapers published rumours to this effect, Page

received an urgent despatch from Mr. Lansing. The message came at a

time--the date was October 26, 1915--when Page was especially

discouraged over the Washington policy. "Representatives of the press,"

said Mr. Lansing, "have repeated rumours that you are planning to

resign. These have been brought to the President's attention, and both

he and I have denied them. Still these rumours persist, and they cause

both the President and me great anxiety. We cannot believe that they are

well founded.

"In view of the fact that they are so persistent, we have thought it

well to inform you of them and to tell you how earnestly we hope that

they are baseless. We trust that you will set both our minds at rest."

If Page had ever had any compunction about addressing the President in

blunt phrases these expressions certainly convinced him that he was a

free agent.

Yet Page himself at times had his doubts as to the value of this

correspondence. He would frequently discuss the matter with Mr.

Laughlin. "That's a pretty harsh letter," he would say. "I don't like to

talk that way to the President, yet it doesn't express half what I

feel."

"It's your duty to tell the President the real state of affairs," Mr.

Laughlin would urge.

"But do you suppose it does any good?" Page would ask.

"Yes, it's bound to, and whether it does or not, it's your business to

keep him informed."

If in these letters Page seems to lay great stress on the judgment of

Great Britain and Europe on American policy, it must be remembered that

that was his particular province. One of an Ambassador's most important

duties is to transmit to his country the public opinion of the country

to which he is accredited. It was Page's place to tell Washington what

Great Britain thought of it; it was Washington's business to formulate

policy, after giving due consideration to this and other matters.

_To Edward M. House_

July 21, 1915.

DEAR HOUSE:

I enclose a pamphlet in ridicule of the President. I don't know who

wrote it, for my inquiries so far have brought no real information.

I don't feel like sending it to him. I send it to you--to do with

as you think best. This thing alone is, of course, of no

consequence. But it is symptomatic. There is much feeling about the

slowness with which he acts. One hundred and twenty people

(Americans) were drowned on the _Lusitania_ and we are still

writing notes about it--to the damnedest pirates that ever blew up

a ship. Anybody who knows the Germans knows, of course, that they

are simply playing for time, that they are not going to "come

down," that Von Tirpitz is on deck, that they'd just as lief have

war with us as not--perhaps had rather--because they don't want any

large nation left fresh when the war ends. They'd like to have the

whole world bankrupt. There is a fast growing feeling here,

therefore, that the American Government is pusillanimous--dallies

with 'em, is affected by the German propaganda, etc., etc. Of

course, such a judgment is not fair. It is formed without knowing

the conditions in the United States. But I think you ought to

realize the strength of this sentiment. No doubt before you receive

this, the President will send something to Germany that will amount

to an ultimatum and there will be at least a momentary change of

sentiment here. But looking at the thing in a long-range way, we're

bound to get into the war. For the Germans will blow up more

American travellers without notice. And by dallying with them we do

not change the ultimate result, but we take away from ourselves the

spunk and credit of getting in instead of being kicked and cursed

in. We've got to get in: they won't play the game in any other way.

I have news direct from a high German source in Berlin which

strongly confirms this....

It's a curious thing to say. But the only solution that I see is

another _Lusitania_ outrage, which would force war.

W.H.P.

P.S. The London papers every day say that the President will send a

strong note, etc. And the people here say, "Damn notes: hasn't he

written enough?" Writing notes hurts nobody--changes nothing. The

Washington correspondents to the London papers say that Burleson,

the Attorney-General, and Daniels are Bryan men and are holding the

President back.

* * * * *

The prophecy contained in this letter was quickly fulfilled. A week or

two after Colonel House had received it, the _Arabic_ was sunk with loss

of American life.

Page was taking a brief holiday with his son Frank in Rowsley,

Derbyshire, when this news came. It was telegraphed from the Embassy.

"That settles it," he said to his son. "They have sunk the _Arabic_.

That means that we shall break with Germany and I've got to go back to

London."

_To Edward M. House_

American Embassy, London, August 23, 1915.

DEAR HOUSE:

The sinking of the _Arabic_ is the answer to the President and to

your letter to me. And there'll be more such answers. You said to

me one day after you had got back from your last visit to Berlin:

"They are impossible." I think you told the truth, and surely you

know your German and you know your Berlin--or you did know them

when you were here.

The question is not what we have done for the Allies, not what any

other neutral country has done or has failed to do--such

comparisons, I think, are far from the point. The question is when

the right moment arrives for us to save our self-respect, our

honour, and the esteem and fear (or the contempt) in which the

world will hold us.

Berlin has the Napoleonic disease. If you follow Napoleon's

career--his excuses, his evasions, his inventions, the wild French

enthusiasm and how he kept it up--you will find an exact parallel.

That becomes plainer every day. Europe may not be wholly at peace

in five years--may be ten.

Hastily and heartily,

W.H.P.

I have your note about Willum J.... Crank once, crank always. My

son, never tie up with a crank.

W.H.P.

_To Edward M. House_

London, September 2nd, 1915.

DEAR HOUSE:

You write me about pleasing the Allies, the big Ally in particular.

That doesn't particularly appeal to me. We don't owe them

anything. There's no obligation. I'd never confess for a moment

that we are under any obligation to any of them nor to anybody. I'm

not out to "please" anybody, as a primary purpose: that's not my

game nor my idea--nor yours either. As for England in particular,

the account was squared when she twice sent an army against us--in

her folly--especially the last time when she burnt our Capitol.

There's been no obligation since. The obligation is on the other

foot. We've set her an example of what democracy will do for men,

an example of efficiency, an example of freedom of opportunity. The

future is ours, and she may follow us and profit by it. Already we

have three white English-speaking men to every two in the British

Empire: we are sixty per cent. of the Anglo-Saxons in the world. If

there be any obligation to please, the obligation is on her to

please us. And she feels and sees it now.

My point is not that, nor is it what we or any other neutral nation

has done or may do--Holland or any other. This war is the direct

result of the over-polite, diplomatic, standing-aloof,

bowing-to-one-another in gold lace, which all European nations are

guilty of in times of peace--castes and classes and uniforms and

orders and such folderol, instead of the proper business of the

day. Every nation in Europe knew that Germany was preparing for

war. If they had really got together--not mere Hague Sunday-school

talk and resolutions--but had really got together for business and

had said to Germany, "The moment you fire a shot, we'll all fight

against you; we have so many millions of men, so many men-of-war,

so many billions of money; and we'll increase all these if you do

not change your system and your building-up of armies"--then there

would have been no war.

My point is not sentimental. It is:

(1) We must maintain our own self-respect and safety. If we submit

to too many insults, _that_ will in time bring Germany against us.

We've got to show at some time that we don't believe, either, in

the efficacy of Sunday-School resolves for peace--that we are

neither Daughters of the Dove of Peace nor Sons of the Olive

Branch, and

(2) About nagging and forever presenting technical legal points as

lawyers do to confuse juries--the point is the point of efficiency.

If we do that, we can't carry our main points. I find it harder and

harder to get answers now to important questions because we ask so

many unimportant and nagging ones.

I've no sentiment--perhaps not enough. My gushing days are gone, if

I ever had 'em. The cutting-out of the "100 years of peace"

oratory, etc., etc., was one of the blessings of the war. But we

must be just and firm and preserve our own self-respect and keep

alive the fear that other nations have of us; and we ought to have

the courage to make the Department of State more than a bureau of

complaints. We must learn to say "No" even to a Gawdamighty

independent American citizen when he asks an improper or

impracticable question. Public Opinion in the United States

consists of something more than the threats of Congressmen and the

bleating of newspapers; it consists of the judgment of honourable

men on courageous and frank actions--a judgment that cannot be made

up till action is taken.

Heartily yours,

W.H.P.

_To Edward M. House_

American Embassy, London, Sept. 8, 1915.

(This is not prudent. It is only true--nothing more.)

DEAR HOUSE:

I take it for granted that Dumba[4] is going, of course. But I must

tell you that the President is being laughed at by our best friends

for his slowness in action. I hardly ever pick up a paper without

seeing some sarcastic remark. I don't mean they expect us to come

into the war. They only hoped we would be as good as our

word--would regard another submarine attack on a ship carrying

Americans as an unfriendly act and would send Bernstorff home. Yet

the _Arabic_ and now the _Hesperian_ have had no effect in action.

Bernstorff's personal _note to Lansing[5], even as far as it goes,

does not bind his Government_.

The upshot of all this is that the President is fast losing in the

minds of our best friends here all that he gained by his courageous

stand on the Panama tolls. They feel that if he takes another

insult--keeps taking them--and is satisfied with Bernstorff's

personal word, which is proved false in four days--he'll take

anything. And the British will pay less attention to what we say.

That's inevitable. If the American people and the President accept

the _Arabic_ and the _Hesperian_ and do nothing to Dumba till the

Government here gave out his letter, which the State Department had

(and silently held) for several days--then nobody on this side the

world will pay much heed to anything we say hereafter.

This, as I say, doesn't mean that these (thoughtful) people wish or

expect us to go to war. They wish only that we'd prove ourselves as

good as the President's word. That's the conservative truth; we're

losing influence more rapidly than I supposed it were possible.

Dumba's tardy dismissal will not touch the main matter, which is

the rights of neutrals at sea, and keeping our word in action.

Yours sincerely,

W.H.P.

P.S. They say it's Mexico over again--watchful waiting and nothing

doing. And the feeling grows that Bryan has really conquered, since

his programme seems to prevail.

_To Edward M. House_

London, Tuesday night, Sept. 8, 1915.

DEAR HOUSE:

The Germans seem to think it a good time to try to feel about for

peace. They have more to offer now than they may have again. That's

all. A man who seriously talks peace now in Paris or in London on

any terms that the Germans will consider, would float dead that

very night in the Seine or in the Thames. The Germans have for the

time being "done-up" the Russians; but the French have shells

enough to plough the German trenches day and night (they've been at

it for a fortnight now); Joffre has been to see the Italian

generalissimo; and the English destroy German submarines now almost

as fast as the Germans send them out. I am credibly told that

several weeks ago a group of Admiralty men who are in the secret

had a little dinner to celebrate the destruction of the 50th

submarine.

While this is going on, you are talking on your side of the water

about a change in German policy! The only change is that the number

of submarines available becomes smaller and smaller, and that they

wish to use Uncle Sam's broad, fat back to crawl down on when they

have failed.

Consequently, they are laughing at Uncle Sam here--it comes near to

being ridicule, in fact, for seeming to jump at Bernstorff's

unfrank assurances. And, as I have telegraphed the President,

English opinion is--well, it is very nearly disrespectful. Men say

here (I mean our old friends) that with no disavowal of the

_Lusitania_, the _Falaba_, the _Gulflight_, or the _Arabic_ or of

the _Hesperian_, the Germans are "stuffing" Uncle Sam, that Uncle

Sam is in the clutches of the peace-at-any-price public opinion,

that the United States will suffer any insult and do nothing. I

hardly pick up a paper that does not have a sarcastic paragraph or

cartoon. We are on the brink of convincing the English that we'll

not act, whatever the provocation. By the English, I do not mean

the lighter, transitory public opinion, but I mean the thoughtful

men who do not wish us or expect us to fire a gun. They say that

the American democracy, since Cleveland's day, has become a mere

agglomeration of different races, without national unity, national

aims, and without courage or moral qualities. And (I deeply regret

to say) the President is losing here the high esteem he won by his

Panama tolls repeal. They ask, why on earth did he raise the issue

if under repeated provocation he is unable to recall Gerard or to

send Bernstorff home? The _Hesperian_ follows the _Arabic_; other

"liners" will follow the _Hesperian_, if the Germans have

submarines. And, when Sackville-West[6] was promptly sent home for

answering a private citizen's inquiry about the two political

parties, Dumba is (yet awhile) retained in spite of a far graver

piece of business. There is a tone of sad disappointment here--not

because the most thoughtful men want us in the war (they don't),

but because for some reason, which nobody here understands, the

President, having taken a stand, seems unable to do anything.

All this is a moderate interpretation of sorrowful public opinion

here. And the result will inevitably be that they will pay far less

heed to anything we may hereafter say. In fact men now say here

every day that the American democracy has no opinion, can form no

opinion, has no moral quality, and that the word of its President

never gets as far as action even of the mildest form. The

atmosphere is very depressing. And this feeling has apparently got

beyond anybody's control. I've even heard this said: "The voice of

the United States is Mr. Wilson's: its actions are controlled by

Mr. Bryan."

So, you see, the war will go on a long long time. So far as English

opinion is concerned, the United States is useful to make

ammunition and is now thought of chiefly in this connection. Less

and less attention is paid to what we say. Even the American

telegrams to the London papers have a languid tone.

Yet recent revelations have made it clearer than ever that the same

qualities that the English accuse us of having are in them and that

these qualities are directly to blame for this war. I recall that

when I was in Germany a few weeks, six years ago, I became

convinced that Germany had prepared to fight England; I didn't

know when, but I did know that was what the war-machine had in

mind. Of course, I had no opportunities to find out anything in

particular. You were told practically that same thing by the

Kaiser, before the war began. "We are ready," said he. Of course

the English feared it and Sir Edward put his whole life into his

effort to prevent it. The day the war began, he told me with tears

that it seemed that his life had been wasted--that his life work

had gone for naught.--Nobody could keep from wondering why England

didn't--

(Here comes a parenthesis. Word came to me a little while ago that

a Zeppelin was on its way to London. Such a remark doesn't arouse

much attention. But just as I had finished the fifth line above

this, Frank and Mrs. Page came in and challenged me to play a game

of cards before we should go to bed. We sat down, the cards were

dealt, and bang! bang!--with the deep note of an explosion. A

third, a fourth shot. We went into the street. There the Zeppelin

was revealed by a searchlight--sailing along. I think it had

probably dropped its bombs; but the aircraft guns were cracking

away at it. Some of them shot explosive projectiles to find the

range. Now and then one such explosive would almost reach the

Zeppelin, but it was too high for them and it sailed away, the air

guns doing their ineffectual best. I couldn't see whether airplanes

were trying to shoot it or not. The searchlight revealed the

Zeppelin but nothing else.--While we were watching this battle in

the air, the maids came down from the top of the house and went

into the cellar. I think they've already gone back. You can't

imagine how little excitement it caused. It produces less fright

than any other conceivable engine of war.

We came back as soon as the Zeppelin was out of sight and the

firing had ceased; we played our game of cards; and here I am

writing you the story-all within about half an hour.--There was a

raid over London last night, too, wherein a dozen or two women and

children and a few men were killed. I haven't the slightest idea

what harm this raid to-night has done. For all I know it may not be

all done. But of all imaginable war-experiences this seems the most

futile. It interrupted a game of cards for twenty minutes!)

Now--to go on with my story: I have wondered ever since the war

began why the Allies were not better prepared--especially England

on land. England has just one _big_ land gun--no more. Now it has

turned out, as you have doubtless read, that the British Government

were as good as told by the German Government that Germany was

going to war pretty soon--this in 1912 when Lord Haldane[7] was

sent to make friends with Germany.

The only answer he brought back was a proposition that England

should in any event remain neutral--stand aside while Germany

whipped Russia and France. This insulting proposal was kept secret

till the other day. Now, why didn't the British Cabinet inform the

people and get ready? They were afraid the English people wouldn't

believe it and would accuse them of fomenting war. The English

people were making money and pursuing their sports. Probably they

wouldn't have believed it. So the Liberal Cabinet went on in

silence, knowing that war was coming, but not exactly when it was

coming, and they didn't make even a second big gun.

Now here was the same silence in this "democracy" that they now

complain of in ours. Rather an interesting and discouraging

parallel--isn't it? Public opinion has turned Lord Haldane out of

office because he didn't tell the public what he declares they

wouldn't have believed. If the English had raised an army in 1912,

and made a lot of big guns, Austria would not have trampled Serbia

in the earth. There would have been no war now; and the strong

European Powers might have made then the same sort of protective

peace-insurance combine that they will try to make after this war

is ended. Query: A democracy's inability to _act_--how much is this

apparently inherent quality of a democracy to blame for this war

and for--other things?

When I am asked every day "Why the United States doesn't _do_

something--send Dumba and Bernstorff home?"--Well, it is not the

easiest question in the world to answer.

Yours heartily,

W.H.P.

P.S. This is the most comical of all worlds: While I was writing

this, it seems the maids went back upstairs and lighted their

lights without pulling their shades down--they occupy three rooms,

in front. The doorbell rang furiously. Here were more than half a

dozen policemen and special constables--must investigate! "One

light would be turned on, another would go out; another one

on!"--etc., etc. Frank tackled them, told 'em it was only the maids

going to bed, forgetting to pull down the shades. Spies and

signalling were in the air! So, in the morning, I'll have to send

over to the Foreign Office and explain. The Zeppelin did more

"frightfulness" than I had supposed, after all. Doesn't this strike

you as comical?

W.H.P.

Friday, September 10, 1915.

P.S. The news is just come that Dumba is dismissed. That will clear

the atmosphere--a little, but only a little. Dumba committed a

diplomatic offence. The German Government has caused the death of

United States citizens, has defied us, has declared it had changed

its policy and yet has gone on with the same old policy. Besides,

Bernstorff has done everything that Dumba did except employ

Archibald, which was a mere incident of the game. The President

took a strong stand: they have disregarded it--no apology nor

reparation for a single boat that has been sunk. Now the English

opinion of the Germans is hardly a calm, judicial opinion--of

course not. There may be facts that have not been made known. There

must be good reasons that nobody here can guess, why the President

doesn't act in the long succession of German acts against us. _But

I tell you with all solemnity that British opinion and the British

Government have absolutely lost their respect for us and their

former high estimate of the President. And that former respect is

gone for good unless he acts now very quickly_[8]. They will pay

nothing more than formal and polite attention to anything we may

hereafter say. This is not resentful. They don't particularly care

for us to get into the war. Their feeling (I mean among our best

old friends) is not resentful. It is simply sorrowful. They had the

highest respect for our people and our President. The Germans defy

us; we sit in silence. They conclude here that we'll submit to

anything from anybody. We'll write strong notes--nothing more.

I can't possibly exaggerate the revulsion of feeling. Members of

the Government say (in private, of course) that we'll submit to any

insult. The newspapers refuse to publish articles which attempt to

make the President's silence reasonable. "It isn't defensible,"

they say, "and they would only bring us thousands of insulting

letters from our readers." I can't think of a paper nor of a man

who has a good word to say for us--except, perhaps, a few Quaker

peace-at-any-price people. And our old friends are disappointed and

sorrowful. They feel that we have dropped out of a position of

influence in the world.

I needn't and can't write more. Of course there are more important

things than English respect. But the English think that every Power

has lost respect for us--the Germans most of all. And (unless the

President acts very rigorously and very quickly) we'll have to get

along a long time without British respect.

W.H.P.

P.S. The last Zeppelin raid--which interrupted the game of

cards--killed more than twenty persons and destroyed more than

seven million dollars' worth of private business property--all

non-combatants!

W.H.P.

_To Edward M. House_

21st of September, 1915.

DEAR HOUSE:

The insulting cartoon that I enclose (destroy it without showing

it) is typical of, I suppose, five hundred that have appeared here

within a month. This represents the feeling and opinion of the

average man. They say we wrote brave notes and made courageous

demands, to none of which a satisfactory reply has come, but only

more outrages and no guarantee for the future. Yet we will not even

show our displeasure by sending Bernstorff home. We've simply

"gone out," like a snuffed candle, in the regard and respect of the

vast volume of British opinion. (The last _Punch_ had six

ridiculing allusions to our "fall.")

It's the loneliest time I've had in England. There's a tendency to

avoid me.

They can't understand here the continued declaration in the United

States that the British Government is trying to take our trade--to

use its blockade and navy with the direct purpose of giving British

trade profit out of American detentions. Of course, the Government

had no such purpose and has done no such thing--with any such

purpose. It isn't thinking about trade but only about war.

The English think they see in this the effect on our Government and

on American opinion of the German propaganda. I have had this

trade-accusation investigated half a dozen times--the accusation

that this Government is using its military power for its own trade

advantage to our detriment: it simply isn't true. They stop our

cargoes, not for their advantage, but wholly to keep things from

the enemy. Study our own trade reports.

In a word, our importers are playing (so the English think)

directly into the hands of the Germans. So matters go on from bad

to worse.

Bryce[9] is very sad. He confessed to me yesterday the utter

hopelessness of the two people's ever understanding one another.

The military situation is very blue--very blue. The general feeling

is that the long war will begin next March and end--nobody dares

predict.

W.H.P.

P.S. There's not a moral shadow of a doubt (1) that the commander

of the submarine that sunk the _Arabic_ is dead--although he makes

reports to his government! nor (2) that the _Hesperian_ was

torpedoed. The State Department has a piece of the torpedo.

V

The letters which Page sent directly to the President were just as

frank. "Incidents occur nearly every day," he wrote to President Wilson

in the autumn of 1915, "which reveal the feeling that the Germans have

taken us in. Last week one of our naval men, Lieutenant McBride, who has

just been ordered home, asked the Admiralty if he might see the piece of

metal found on the deck of the _Hesperian_. Contrary to their habit, the

British officer refused. 'Take my word for it,' he said. 'She was

torpedoed. Why do you wish to investigate? Your country will do

nothing--will accept any excuse, any insult and--do nothing.' When

McBride told me this, I went at once to the Foreign Office and made a

formal request that this metal should be shown to our naval attaché, who

(since Symington is with the British fleet and McBride has been ordered

home) is Lieutenant Towers. Towers was sent for and everything that the

Admiralty knows was shown to him and I am sending that piece of metal by

this mail. But to such a pass has the usual courtesy of a British naval

officer come. There are many such instances of changed conduct. They are

not hard to endure nor to answer and are of no consequence in themselves

but only for what they denote. They're a part of war's bitterness. But

my mind runs ahead and I wonder how Englishmen will look at this subject

five years hence, and it runs afield and I wonder how the Germans will

regard it. A sort of pro-German American newspaper correspondent came

along the other day from the German headquarters; and he told me that

one of the German generals remarked to him: 'War with America? Ach no!

Not war. If trouble should come, we'd send over a platoon of our

policemen to whip your little army.' (He didn't say just how he'd send

'em.)"

_To the President_

American Embassy, London, Oct. 5, 1915.

DEAR MR. PRESIDENT:

I have two letters that I have lately written to you but which I

have not sent because they utterly lack good cheer. After reading

them over, I have not liked to send them. Yet I should fail of my

duty if I did not tell you bad news as well as good.

The high esteem in which our Government was held when the first

_Lusitania_ note to Germany was sent seems all changed to

indifference or pity--not hatred or hostility, but a sort of

hopeless and sad pity. That ship was sunk just five months ago; the

German Government (or its Ambassador) is yet holding conversations

about the principle involved, making "concessions" and promises for

the future, and so far we have done nothing to hold the Germans to

accountability[10]. In the meantime their submarine fleet has been

so reduced that probably the future will take care of itself and we

shall be used as a sort of excuse for their failure. This is what

the English think and say; and they explain our failure to act by

concluding that the peace-at-any-price sentiment dominates the

Government and paralyzes it. They have now, I think, given up hope

that we will ever take any action. So deeply rooted (and, I fear,

permanent) is this feeling that every occurrence is made to fit

into and to strengthen this supposition. When Dumba was dismissed,

they said: "Dumba, merely the abject tool of German intrigue. Why

not Bernstorff?" When the Anglo-French loan[11] was oversubscribed,

they said: "The people's sympathy is most welcome, but their

Government is paralyzed." Their respect has gone--at least for the

time being.

It is not that they expect us to go to war: many, in fact, do not

wish us to. They expected that we would be as good as our word and

hold the Germans to accountability. Now I fear they think little of

our word. I shudder to think what our relations might be if Sir

Edward Grey were to yield to another as Foreign Minister, as, of

course, he must yield at some time.

The press has less to say than it had a few weeks ago. _Punch_, for

instance, which ridiculed and pitied us in six cartoons and

articles in each of two succeeding numbers, entirely forgets us

this week. But they've all said their say. I am, in a sense,

isolated--lonely in a way that I have never before been. I am not

exactly avoided, I hope, but I surely am not sought. They have a

polite feeling that they do not wish to offend me and that to make

sure of this the safest course is to let me alone. There is no

mistaking the great change in the attitude of men I know, both in

official and private life.

It comes down and comes back to this--that for five months after

the sinking of the _Lusitania_ the Germans are yet playing with us,

that we have not sent Bernstorff home, and hence that we will

submit to any rebuff or any indignity. It is under these

conditions--under this judgment of us--that we now work--the

English respect for our Government indefinitely lessened and

instead of the old-time respect a sad pity. I cannot write more.

Heartily yours,

WALTER H. PAGE.

"I have authoritatively heard," Page writes to President Wilson in early

September, "of a private conversation between a leading member of the

Cabinet and a group of important officials all friendly to us in which

all sorrowfully expressed the opinion that the United States will submit

to any indignity and that no effect is now to be hoped for from its

protests against unlawful submarine attacks or against anything else.

The inactivity of our Government, or its delay, which they assume is the

same as inactivity, is attributed to domestic politics or to the lack of

national, consciousness or unity.

"No explanation has appeared in the British press of our Government's

inactivity or of any regret or promise of reparation by Germany for the

sinking of the _Lusitania_, the _Falaba_, the _Gulflight_, the

_Nebraskan_, the _Arabic_, or the _Hesperian_, nor any explanation of a

week's silence about the Dumba letter; and the conclusion is drawn that,

in the absence of action by us, all these acts have been practically

condoned.

"I venture to suggest that such explanations be made public as will

remove, if possible, the practically unanimous conclusion here that our

Government will permit these and similar future acts to be explained

away. I am surprised almost every hour by some new evidence of the loss

of respect for our Government, which, since the sinking of the _Arabic_,

has become so great as to warrant calling it a complete revulsion of

English feeling toward the United States. There is no general wish for

us to enter the war, but there is genuine sorrow that we are thought to

submit to any indignity, especially after having taken a firm stand. I

conceive I should be lacking in duty if I did not report this rapid and

unfortunate change in public feeling, which seems likely to become

permanent unless facts are quickly made public which may change it."

* * * * *

There are many expressions of such feelings in Page's letters of this

time. They brought only the most perfunctory acknowledgment from the

White House. On January 3, 1916, Page sent the President a mass of

clippings from the British press, all criticizing the Wilson

Administration in unrestrained terms. In his comment on these, he writes

the President:

"Public opinion, both official and unofficial, is expressed by these

newspaper comments, with far greater restraint than it is expressed in

private conversation. Ridicule of the Administration runs through the

programmes of the theatres; it inspires hundreds of cartoons; it is a

staple of conversation at private dinners and in the clubs. The most

serious class of Englishmen, including the best friends of the United

States, feel that the Administration's reliance on notes has reduced our

Government to a third-or fourth-rate power. There is even talk of

spheres of German influence in the United States as in China. No

government could fall lower in English opinion than we shall fall if

more notes are sent to Austria or to Germany. The only way to keep any

shred of English respect is the immediate dismissal without more

parleying of every German and Austrian official at Washington. Nobody

here believes that such an act would provoke war.

"I can do no real service by mincing matters. My previous telegrams and

letters have been purposely restrained as this one is. We have now come

to the parting of the ways. If English respect be worth preserving at

all, it can be preserved only by immediate action. Any other course than

immediate severing of diplomatic relations with both Germany and Austria

will deepen the English opinion into a conviction that the

Administration was insincere when it sent the _Lusitania_ notes and that

its notes and protests need not be taken seriously on any subject. And

English opinion is allied opinion. The Italian Ambassador[12] said to

me, 'What has happened? The United States of to-day is not the United

States I knew fifteen years ago, when I lived in Washington.' French

officers and members of the Government who come here express themselves

even more strongly than do the British. The British newspapers to-day

publish translations of ridicule of the United States from German

papers."

_To the President_

London,

January 5, 1916.

DEAR MR. PRESIDENT:

I wish--an impossible thing of course--that some sort of guidance

could be given to the American correspondents of the English

newspapers. Almost every day they telegraph about the visits of the

Austrian Chargé or the German Ambassador to the State Department to

assure Mr. Lansing that their governments will of course make a

satisfactory explanation of the latest torpedo-act in the

Mediterranean or to "take one further step in reaching a

satisfactory understanding about the _Lusitania_." They usually go

on to say also that more notes are in preparation to Germany or to

Austria. The impression made upon the European mind is that the

German and Austrian officials in Washington are leading the

Administration on to endless discussion, endless notes, endless

hesitation. Nobody in Europe regards their pledges or promises as

worth anything at all: the _Arabic_ follows the _Lusitania_, the

_Hesperian_ follows the _Arabic_, the _Persia_ follows the

_Ancona_. "Still conferences and notes continue," these people say,

"proving that the American Government, which took so proper and

high a stand in the _Lusitania_ notes, is paralyzed--in a word is

hoodwinked and 'worked' by the Germans." And so long as these

diplomatic representatives are permitted to remain in the United

States, "to explain," "to parley" and to declare that the

destruction of American lives and property is disavowed by their

governments, atrocities on sea and land will of course continue;

and they feel that our Government, by keeping these German and

Austrian representatives in Washington, condones and encourages

them and their governments.

This is a temperate and even restrained statement of the English

feeling and (as far as I can make out) of the whole European

feeling.

It has been said here that every important journal published in

neutral or allied European countries, daily, weekly, or monthly,

which deals with public affairs, has expressed a loss of respect

for the United States Government and that most of them make

continuous severe criticisms (with surprise and regret) of our

failure by action to live up to the level of our _Lusitania_ notes.

I had (judiciously) two American journalists, resident here--men of

judgment and character--to inquire how true this declaration is.

After talking with neutral and allied journalists here and with men

whose business it is to read the journals of the Continent, they

reported that this declaration is substantially true--that the

whole European press (outside Germany and its allies) uses the same

tone toward our Government that the English press uses--to-day,

disappointment verging on contempt; and many of them explain our

keeping diplomatic intercourse with Germany by saying that we are

afraid of the German vote, or of civil war, or that the

peace-at-any-price people really rule the United States and have

paralyzed our power to act--even to cut off diplomatic relations

with governments that have insulted and defied us.

Another (similar) declaration is that practically all men of public

influence in England and in the European allied and neutral

countries have publicly or privately expressed themselves to the

same effect. The report that I have about this is less definite

than about the newspapers, for, of course, no one can say just what

proportion of men of public influence have so expressed themselves;

but the number who have so expressed themselves is overwhelming.

In this Kingdom, where I can myself form some opinion more or less

accurate, and where I can check or verify my opinion by various

methods--I am afraid, as I have frequently already reported, that

the generation now living will never wholly regain the respect for

our Government that it had a year ago. I will give you three little

indications of this feeling; it would be easy to write down

hundreds of them:

(One) The governing class: Mr. X [a cabinet member] told Mrs. Page

a few nights ago that for sentimental reasons only he would be

gratified to see the United States in the war along with the

Allies, but that merely sentimental reasons were not a sufficient

reason for war--by no means; that he felt most grateful for the

sympathetic attitude of the large mass of the American people, that

he had no right to expect anything from our Government, whose

neutral position was entirely proper. Then he added; "But what I

can't for the life of me understand is your Government's failure

to express its disapproval of the German utter disregard of its

_Lusitania_ notes. After eight months, it has done nothing but

write more notes. My love for America, I must confess, is offended

at this inaction and--puzzled. I can't understand it. You will

pardon me, I am sure."

(Two) "Middle Class" opinion: A common nickname for Americans in

the financial and newspaper districts of London is "Too-prouds."

(Three) The man in the street: At one of the moving picture shows

in a large theatre a little while ago they filled in an interval by

throwing on the screen the picture of the monarch, or head of

state, and of the flag of each of the principal nations. When the

American picture appeared, there was such hissing and groaning as

caused the managers hastily to move that picture off the screen.

Some time ago I wrote House of some such incidents and expressions

as these; and he wrote me that they were only part and parcel of

the continuous British criticism of their own Government--in other

words, a part of the passing hysteria of war. This remark shows how

House was living in an atmosphere of illusion.

As the matter stands to-day our Government has sunk lower, as

regards British and European opinion, than it has ever been in our

time, not as a part of the hysteria of war but as a result of this

process of reasoning, whether it be right or wrong:

We said that we should hold the Germans to strict accountability on

account of the _Lusitania_. We have not settled that yet and we

still allow the German Ambassador to discuss it after the

_Hesperian_ and other such acts showed that his _Arabic_ pledge was

worthless.

The _Lusitania_ grows larger and larger in European memory and

imagination. It looks as if it would become the great type of war

atrocities and barbarities. I have seen pictures of the drowned

women and children used even on Christmas cards. And there is

documentary proof in our hands that the warning, which was really

an advance announcement, of that disaster was paid for by the

German Ambassador and charged to his Government. It is the

_Lusitania_ that has caused European opinion to regard our foreign

policy as weak. It is not the wish for us to go to war. No such

general wish exists.

I do not know, Mr. President, who else, if anybody, puts these

facts before you with this complete frankness. But I can do no less

and do my duty.

No Englishman--except two who were quite intimate friends--has

spoken to me about our Government for months, but I detect all the

time a tone of pity and grief in their studied courtesy and in

their avoidance of the subject. And they talk with every other

American in this Kingdom. It is often made unpleasant for Americans

in the clubs and in the pursuit of their regular business and

occupations; and it is always our inaction about the _Lusitania_.

Our controversy with the British Government causes little feeling

and that is a sort of echo of the _Lusitania_. They feel that we

have not lived up to our promises and professions.

That is the whole story.

Believe me always heartily,

WALTER H. PAGE.

* * * * *

This dismissal of Dumba and of the Attachés has had little more effect

on opinion here than the dismissal of the Turkish Ambassador[13].

Sending these was regarded as merely kicking the dogs of the man who

had stolen our sheep.

VI

One of the reasons why Page felt so intensely about American policy at

this time was his conviction that the severance of diplomatic relations,

in the latter part of 1915, or the early part of 1916, in itself would

have brought the European War to an end. This was a conviction from

which he never departed. Count Bernstorff was industriously creating the

impression in the United States that his dismissal would immediately

cause war between Germany and the United States, and there is little

doubt that the Administration accepted this point of view. But Page

believed that this was nothing but Prussian bluff. The severance of

diplomatic relations at that time, in Page's opinion, would have

convinced the Germans of the hopelessness of their cause. In spite of

the British blockade, Germany was drawing enormous quantities of food

supplies from the United States, and without these supplies she could

not maintain indefinitely her resistance. The severance of diplomatic

relations would naturally have been accompanied by an embargo suspending

trade between the United States and the Fatherland. Moreover, the

consideration that was mainly leading Germany to hope for success was

the belief that she could embroil the United States and Great Britain

over the blockade. A break with Germany would of course mean an end to

that manoeuvre. Page regarded all Mr. Wilson's attempts to make peace in

1914 and early 1915--before the _Lusitania_--as mistakes, for reasons

that have already been set forth. Now, however, he believed that the

President had a real opportunity to end the war and the unparalleled

suffering which it was causing. The mere dismissal of Bernstorff, in

the Ambassador's opinion, would accomplish this result.

In a communication sent to the President on February 15, 1916, he made

this plain.

_To the President_

February 15, 7 P.M.

The Cabinet has directed the Censor to suppress, as far as he can

with prudence, comment which is unfavourable to the United States.

He has taken this action because the public feeling against the

Administration is constantly increasing. Because the _Lusitania_

controversy has been going on so long, and because the Germans are

using it in their renewed U-boat campaign, the opinion of this

country has reached a point where only prompt action can bring a

turn in the tide. Therefore my loyalty to you would not be complete

if I should refrain from sending, in the most respectful terms, the

solemn conviction which I hold about our opportunity and our duty.

If you immediately refuse to have further parley or to yield one

jot or tittle of your original _Lusitania_ notes, and if you at

once break diplomatic relations with the German Empire, and then

declare the most vigorous embargo of the Central Powers, you will

quickly end the war. There will be an immediate collapse in German

credit. If there are any Allies who are wavering, such action will

hold them in line. Certain European neutrals--Sweden, Rumania,

Greece, and others--will put up a firm resistance to Germanic

influences and certain of them will take part with Great Britain

and France. There will be an end at once to the German propaganda,

which is now world-wide. The moral weight of our country will be a

determining influence and bring an early peace. The credit you

will receive for such a decision will make you immortal and even

the people of Germany will be forever grateful.

It is my conviction that we would not be called upon to fire a gun

or to lose one human life.

Above all, such an action will settle the whole question of

permanent peace. The absolute and grateful loyalty of the whole

British Empire, of the British Fleet, and of all the Allied

countries will be ours. The great English-speaking nations will be

able to control the details of the peace and this without any

formal alliance. There will be an incalculable saving of human life

and of treasure. Such an act will make it possible for Germany to

give in honourably and with good grace because the whole world will

be against her. Her bankrupt and blockaded people will bring such

pressure to bear that the decision will be hastened.

The sympathies of the American people will be brought in line with

the Administration.

If we settle the _Lusitania_ question by compromising in any way

your original demands, or if we permit it to drag on longer,

America can have no part in bringing the war to an end. The current

of allied opinion will run so strongly against the Administration

that no censorship and no friendly interference by an allied

government can stem the distrust of our Government which is now so

strong in Europe.

We shall gain by any further delay only a dangerous, thankless, and

opulent isolation. The _Lusitania_ is the turning point in our

history. The time to act is now.

PAGE.

FOOTNOTES:

[Footnote 1: The Ambassador's granddaughter.]

[Footnote 2: "A Cycle of Adams Letters, 1861-1865," edited by

Worthington Chauncey Ford. Vol. I, p. 84.]

[Footnote 3: "The Life and Letters of John Hay," by William Roscoe

Thayer. Vol. II, p. 166.]

[Footnote 4: On September 6th, certain documents seriously compromising

Dr. Constantin Dumba, Austro-Hungarian Ambassador to the United States,

were published in the British press. They disclosed that Dr. Dumba was

fomenting strikes in the United States and conducting other intrigues.

The American Government gave Dr. Dumba his passports on September 17th.]

[Footnote 5: August 26th, Count Bernstorff gave a pledge to the United

States Government, that, in future, German submarines would not attack

liners without warning. This promise was almost immediately violated.]

[Footnote 6: Sir Lionel Sackville-West was British Minister to the

United States from 1881 to 1888. In the latter year a letter was

published which he had written to an American citizen of British origin,

the gist of which was that the reëlection of President Cleveland would

be of advantage to British interests. For this gross interference in

American domestic affairs, President Cleveland immediately handed Sir

Lionel his passports. The incident ended his diplomatic career.]

[Footnote 7: In this passage the Ambassador touches on one of the

bitterest controversies of the war. In order completely to understand

the issues involved and to obtain Lord Haldane's view, the reader should

consult the very valuable book recently published by Lord Haldane:

"Before the War." Chapter II tells the story of Lord Haldane's visit to

the Kaiser, and succeeding chapters give the reasons why the creation of

a huge British army in preparation for the war was not a simple matter.]

[Footnote 8: The italics are Page's.]

[Footnote 9: Viscount Bryce, author of "The American Commonwealth" and

British Ambassador to the United States, 1907-1913.]

[Footnote 10: In a communication sent February 10, 1915, President

Wilson warned the German Government that he would hold it to a "strict

accountability" for the loss of American lives by illegal submarine

attack.]

[Footnote 11: A reference to the Anglo-French loan for $500,000,000,

placed in the United States in the autumn of 1915.]

[Footnote 12: The Marquis Imperiali.]

[Footnote 13: Rustem Bey, the Turkish Ambassador to the United States,

was sent home early in the war, for publishing indiscreet newspaper and

magazine articles.]

The Life and Letters of Walter H. Page, Volume II · 第 1 / 14 章