So much of the past, then, is secure; but there are hardly any triumphs

to be won in the future. If one may venture to predict anything, he may

venture to predict that the Emperor of the French will not live to be a

very old man. He has already led many lives--fast, hard, exhausting

lives, "that murder the youth in a man ere ever his heart has its will."

Exile, conspiracy, imprisonment, hard thinking, hard working, wild and

reckless dissipation, prolonged to the very outer verge of middle life,

the brain, the nerves, the muscles, the whole physical and mental

constitution always strained to the utmost--these are not the ways that

secure a long life. Louis Napoleon is already an "_abgelebter mann_"--an

outworn, used-up, played-out man. The friends and familiars with whom he

started in life are nearly all gone. Long since laid in earth is the

stout form of the wild Marquis of Waterford, who was a wonder to our

fathers (his successor to the title ran away with somebody's wife the

other day; and I thought Time had turned back by thirty years when I

read of the _escapade_, with the name, once so famous, of the principal

performer), and who rode by Louis Napoleon's side at the celebrated,

forgotten Eglintoun Tournament, and was, like Louis Napoleon, one of the

Knights Challengers in that piece of splendid foolery. Dead, lang syne,

is Eglintoun himself, the chivalrous Earl of the generous instincts and

the florid, rotund eloquence, reminding one of Bulwer Lytton diluted. I

do not know whether the Queen of Beauty of that grand joust is yet

living and looking on the earth; but if she be, she must be an embodied

sermon on the perishableness of earthly charms. De Morny is dead, the

devoted half-brother, son of Louis Napoleon's mother, the chaste

Hortense, and the Count de Flahault--De Morny, the brilliant, genial,

witty, reckless gambler in politics and finance, the man than whom

nobody ever, perhaps, was more faithful to friendship and false to

morality, more good-natured and unprincipled. I have seen tears in men's

eyes when De Morny died--in the eyes of men who owned all the time,

smiling through their tears like Andromache, that the lost patron and

friend was the most consummate of _roues_ and blacklegs. Walewski is

dead--Walewski of romantic origin, born of the sudden episode of love

between the great Napoleon and the Polish lady--Walewski, who, like

Prince Napoleon-Jerome, carried his pedigree stamped upon his

face--Walewski, the lover of Rachel, and, to do him justice, the steady

friend of Poland. Old Mocquard is gone, the faithful scribe and

confidant: he is dead, and the dramas he would persist in writing are

dead with him, nay, died even before him. I do not know whether the

faithful, devoted woman who worked for Louis Napoleon, and believed in

him when nobody else did; the woman to whose inspirings, exertions, and

ready money he owes, in great measure, the fact that he is now Emperor

of the French--I do not know whether this woman is alive or dead. I

think she is dead. Anyhow, I suppose the dignity of history, as the

phrase is, can hardly take account of her. She helped to make an

Emperor, and the Emperor, in return, made her a Countess; but then he

had to marry--and so we take leave of the woman who made the Emperor,

and do our homage to the woman who married him. All those are gone; and

St. Arnaud, of the stormy youth, and Pelissier, the bland,

sweet-tempered chevalier, who, getting into a dispute (on his way to be

governor of Algeria) with the principal official of a Spanish port,

invited that dignitary to salute a portion of the Pelissier person which

assuredly the foes of France were never allowed to see--all these are

gone, and many more, and only a very few, fast fading, of the old

friends and followers remain. Life to Louis Napoleon must now, indeed,

be nearly all retrospect. His career, his Imperial reign may be judged

even now as fairly and securely as as if his body had just been laid

beside that of his uncle, under the dome of the Invalides.

Recent events seem specially to invite and authorize that judgment.

Within the past twelve months, the genuine character of Louis Napoleon

has displayed itself, strikingly, nakedly, in his policy. He has tried,

in succession, mild liberalism, severe despotism, reactionary

conservatism, antique Caesarism, and then, in an apologetic, contrite

sort of way, a liberalism of a rather pronounced character. Every time

that he tried any new policy he was secretly intriguing with some other,

and making ready for the possible necessity of having to abandon the

former and take up with the latter. He was like the lady in "Le Diable

Boiteux," who, while openly coquetting with the young lover, slily gives

her hand behind her back to the old admirer. So far as the public could

judge, Louis Napoleon has, for many months back, been absolutely without

any settled policy whatever. He has been waiting for a wind. Such a

course is probably the safest a man in his position can take; but one

who, at a great crisis, cannot originate and initiate a policy, will not

be remembered among the grand rulers of the world. I do not remember any

greater evidence given in our time of absolute incapacity to seize a

plan of action and decide upon it, than was shown by the Emperor of the

French during the crisis of June and July. So feeble, so vague, halting,

vacillating was the whole course of the government, that many who detest

Louis Napoleon, but make it an article of faith that he is a sort of

all-seeing, omnipotent spirit of darkness, were forced to adopt a theory

that the riots in Paris and the provinces were deliberately got up by

the police agents of the Empire, for the purpose of frightening the

_bourgeois_ class out of any possible hankering after democracy. No

doubt this idea was widely spread and eagerly accepted in Paris; and

there were many circumstances which seemed to justify it. But I do not

believe in any such Imperial stage-play. I fancy the riots surprised the

Government, first, by their sudden outburst, and next, by their sudden

collapse. Probably the Imperial authorities were very glad when the

disturbances began. They gave an excuse for harsh conduct, and they

seemed, for the time, to put the Government in the right. They restored

Louis Napoleon at that moment, in the eyes of timid people, to that

position, as a supreme maintainer of order, which for some years he had

not had an opportunity effectively to occupy. But the obvious want of

stamina in the disturbing force soon took away from the Imperial

authorities this opportune _prestige_, and very little political capital

was secured for Imperialism out of the abortive barricades, and

incoherent brickbats, and effusive chantings of the "Marseillaise." In

truth, no one had anything else to offer just then in place of the

Empire. The little crisis was no test whatever of the Emperor's hold

over his people, or of his power to deal with a popular revolution. To

me it seems doubtful whether the elections brought out for certain any

fact with which the world might not already have been well acquainted,

except the bare fact that Orleanism has hardly any more of vitality in

it than Legitimacy. Rochefort, and not Prevost Paradol, is the typical

figure of the situation.

The popularity and the success of Rochefort and his paper are remarkable

phenomena, but only remarkable in the old-fashioned manner of the straws

which show how the wind blows. Rochefort's success is due to the fact

that he had the good-fortune to begin ridiculing the Empire just at the

time when a general notion was spreading over France that the Empire of

late had been making itself ridiculous. Louis Napoleon had reached the

turning-point of his career--had reached and passed it. The country saw

now all that he could do. The bag of tricks was played out. The

anticlimax was reached at last.

The culmen, the crisis, the turning-point of Louis Napoleon's career

seems to me to have been attained when, just before the outbreak of the

Schleswig-Holstein war--so small a war in itself, so fateful and

gigantic in its results--he appealed to the Emperors and Kings of

Europe, and proposed that the nations should hold a Congress, to settle,

once and forever, all pending disputes. I think the attitude of Louis

Napoleon at that moment was dignified, commanding, imperial. His

peculiar style, forcible, weighty, measured--I have heard it well

described as a "monumental" style--came out with great effect in the

language of the appeal. There was dignity, and grace, there was what

Edmund Burke so appropriately terms "a proud humility," in Louis

Napoleon's allusion to his own personal experience in the school of

exile and adversity as an excuse for his presuming to offer advice to

the sovereigns of Europe. One was reminded of Henry of Navarre's

allusion to the wind of adversity which, blowing so long upon his face,

had prematurely blanched his hair. I do not wonder that the proposed

Congress never met. I do not wonder that the European governments put it

aside--some with courteous phrase and feigned willingness to accept the

scheme, like Russia and Austria; some with cold and brusque rejection,

like England. Nothing worth trying for could have come of the Congress.

Events were brooding of which France and England knew nothing, and which

could not have been exorcised away by any resolutions of a conclave of

diplomatists. But that was, I think, the last occasion when Louis

Napoleon held anything like a commanding, overruling position in

European affairs, and even then it was but a semblance. After that, came

only humiliations and reverses. In a diplomatic sense, nothing could be

more complete than the checkmate which the Emperor of the French drew

upon himself by the sheer blundering of his conduct with regard to

Prussia. He succeeded in placing himself before the world in the

distinct attitude of an enemy to Prussia; and no sooner had he, by

assuming this attitude, forced Prussia to take a defiant tone, than he

suddenly sank down into quietude. He had bullied to no purpose; he had

to undergo the humiliation of seeing Prussia rise in public estimation,

by means of the triumph which his unnecessary and uncalled-for hostility

had enabled her to win. In fact, he was outgeneralled by his pupil,

Bismarck, even more signally than he had previously been outgeneralled

by his former pupil, Cavour. More disastrous and ghastly, by far, was

the failure of his Mexican policy. That policy began in falsehood and

treachery, and ended as it deserved. Poetic and dramatic justice was

fearfully rendered. Never did Philip II., of Spain, never did his

father, never did Napoleon I., never did Mendez Pinto, or any other

celebrated liar, exceed the deliberate monstrosity of the falsehoods

which were told by Louis Napoleon or Louis Napoleon's Ministers at his

order, to conceal, during the earlier stages of the Mexican

intervention, the fact that the French Emperor had a _protege_ in the

background, who was to be seated on a Mexican throne. The world is not

much affected by perfidy in sovereigns. It laughs at the perjuries of

princes as Jove does at those of lovers. But it could not overlook the

appalling significance of Louis Napoleon's defeat in that disastrous

chapter of his history. Wisdom after the event is easy work; but many,

many voices had told Louis Napoleon beforehand what would come of his

Mexican policy. Not to speak of the hints and advice he received from

the United States, he was again and again assured by the late Marshal

O'Donnell, then Prime Minister of Spain; by General Prim, who commanded

the allied forces during the earlier part of the Mexican expedition; by

Prince Napoleon, by many others--that neither the character of the

Mexican people nor the proximity of the United States would allow a

French proconsulate to be established in Mexico under the name of an

Empire. It is a certain fact that Louis Napoleon frequently declared

that the foundation of that Empire would be the great event of his

reign. This extraordinary delusion maintained a hold over his mind long

after it had become apparent to all the world that the wretched bubble

was actually bursting. The catastrophe was very near when Louis

Napoleon, in conversation with an English political adventurer, who then

was a Member of Parliament, assured him that, however the situation

might then look dark, history would yet have to record that he, Louis

Napoleon, had established a Mexican Empire. The English member of

Parliament, although ordinarily a very shrewd and sceptical sort of

person, was actually so impressed with the earnestness of his Imperial

interlocutor that he returned to London and wrote a pamphlet, in which,

to the utter amazement of his acquaintances, he backed the Empire of

Mexico for a secure existence, and said to it _esto perpetua_. The

pamphlet was hardly in circulation when the collapse came. If Louis

Napoleon ever believed in anything, he believed in the Mexican Empire.

He believed, too, in the certain success of the Southern Confederation.

No Belgravian Dundreary, no _exaltee_ Georgian girl, could have been

more completely taken by surprise when the collapse of that enterprise

came than was the Emperor Napoleon III., whose boundless foresight and

profound sagacity we had all for years been applauding to the echo.

"That which is called firmness in a King," said Erskine, "is called

obstinacy in a donkey." That which is called foresight and sagacity in

an Emperor, is often what we call blindness and blundering in a

newspaper correspondent. The question is whether we can point to any

great event, any political enterprise, subsequent to his successful

assumption of the Imperial crown, in regard to which Napoleon III., if

called upon to act or to judge, did not show the same aptitude for rash

judgments and unwise actions? Certainly no great thing with which he has

had to do came out in the result with anything like the shape he meant

it to have. The Italian Confederation, with the Pope at the head of it;

the Germany irrevocably divided by the line of the Main; the Mexican

Empire; the "rectification" of frontier on the Rhine; the acquisition

of Luxembourg; these are some of the great Napoleonic ideas, by the

success or failure of which we may fairly judge of the wisdom of their

author. At home he has simply had a new plan of government every year.

How many different ways of dealing with the press, how many different

schemes for adjusting the powers of the several branches of legislation,

have been magniloquently announced and floated during the last few

years, each in turn to fail rather more dismally than its predecessor?

Now, it seems, we are to have at last something like that ministerial

responsibility which the Imperial lips themselves have so often

described as utterly opposed to the genius of France. Assuredly it shows

great mental flexibility to be able thus quickly to change one's policy

in obedience to a warning from without. It is a far better quality than

the persistent treachery of a Charles I., or the stupid doggedness of a

George III. But unless it be a characteristic of great statesmanship to

be almost always out in one's calculations, wrong in one's predictions,

and mistaken in one's men, the Emperor has for years been in the habit

of doing things which are directly incompatible with the character of a

great statesman.

Contrasting the Louis Napoleon of action and reality with the Louis

Napoleon of the journals, I am reminded of a declaration once made by a

brilliant, audacious, eccentric Italian journalist and politician,

Petruccelli della Gattina. Petruccelli was, and perhaps still is, a

member of the Italian Parliament, and he had occasion to find fault with

some office or dignity, or something of the kind, conferred by Count

Cavour on the Neapolitan, Baron Poerio, whose imprisonment and chains,

during the reign of the beloved Bomba, aroused the eloquent anger of Mr.

Gladstone, and through Gladstone's efforts and appeals became the wonder

and the horror of the world. Petruccelli insisted that Poerio's

undeserved sufferings were his only political claim. "You know perfectly

well," he said, in effect, to Cavour, "that there is no such man as the

Poerio of the journals. It suited us to invest the poor victim with the

attributes of greatness, and therefore, we, the journalists, created a

Poerio of our own. This imposed upon the world, but it did not impose

upon you, and you have no right to take our Poerio _au serieux_." I do

not know whether the journals created an imaginary Poerio, but I am

convinced that they have created an imaginary Louis Napoleon. The world

in general now so much prefers the imaginary to the real Louis, that it

would for the present be as difficult to dethrone the unreal and set up

the real, as it would be to induce the average reader to accept Lane's

genuine translation of the "Arabian Nights" instead of the familiar

translation from a sprightly, flippant, flashy French version, which

hardly bears the slightest resemblance to the original. English

journalism has certainly created a Disraeli of its own--a dark, subtle,

impenetrable, sphinx-like being, who never smiles, or betrays outward

emotion, or is taken by surprise, or makes a mistake. This Disraeli is

an immense success with the public, and is not in the least like the

real Disraeli, who is as good-natured and genial in manner as he is bold

and blundering in speech and policy. So, on a wider scale, of Louis

Napoleon. We are all more or less responsible for the fraud on the

public; and, indeed, are to be excused on the ground that, enamored of

our own creation, we have often got the length of believing in it. We

have thus created a mysterious being, a sphinx of far greater than even

Disraelian proportions, an embodiment of silence and sagacity, a dark

creature endowed with super-human self-control and patience and

foresight; one who can bend all things, and all men, and destiny itself

to his own calm, inexorable will.

I do not believe there is anything of the sphinx about Louis Napoleon. I

do not believe in his profound sagacity, or his foresight, or his

stupendous self-control. I have grown so heretical that I do not even

believe him to be a particularly taciturn man. I am well satisfied that

Louis Napoleon is personally a good-natured, good-tempered, undignified,

awkward sort of man, ungainly of gesture, not impressive in speech, a

man quite as remarkable for occasional outbursts of unexpected and

misplaced confidence as for a silence that often is, if I may use such

an expression, purely mechanical and unmeaning. I calmly ask my

_confreres_ of the press, is it not a fact that Louis Napoleon is

commonly made the dupe of shallow charlatans, that he has several times

received and admitted to confidential counsel and conference, and

treated as influential statesmen and unaccredited ambassadors, utterly

obscure American or English busybodies who could hardly get to speech of

the Mayor of a town at home; that he has entered into signed and sealed

engagements with impudent adventurers from divers countries, under the

impression that they could render him vast political service; that he

has paid down considerable sums of money to subsidize the most obscure

and contemptible foreign journals, and never seemed able for a moment to

comprehend that in England and the United States no journal that can be

bought for any price, however high, is worth buying at any price,

however low; that his personal inclinations are much more toward quacks

and pretenders than toward men of real genius and influence; that Cobden

was one of the very few great men Louis Napoleon ever appreciated, while

impostors, and knaves, and blockheads, of all kinds, could readily find

access to his confidence? Of course, a man might possibly be a great

sovereign although he had these weaknesses; but the Louis Napoleon of

journalism is not endowed with these, or indeed with any other

weaknesses.

Those who know Paris well, know that there is yet another Louis Napoleon

there, equally I trust a fiction with him of the journals. I speak of

the Louis Napoleon of private gossip, the hero of unnumbered _amours_

such as De Grammont or Casanova might wonder at. I have heard stories

poured into my patient but sceptical ears which ascribed to Louis

Napoleon of to-day, adventures illustrating a happy and brilliant

combination of Haroun Al Raschid and Lauzun--the disguises of the Caliph

employed for the purposes of Don Juan. Now, Louis Napoleon certainly

had, and perhaps even still has, his frailties of this class, but I

reject the Lauzun or Don Juan theory quite as resolutely as the sphinx

theory.

What we all do really know of Louis Napoleon is, that having the

advantage of a name of surpassing prestige, and at a moment of

unexampled chances not created by him, he succeeded in raising himself

to the throne made by his uncle; that when there, he held his place

firmly, and by maintaining severe order in a country already weary of

disturbance and barren revolution, he favored and stimulated the

development of the material resources of France; that he entered on

several enterprises in foreign politics, not one of which brought about

the end for which it was undertaken, and some of which were ludicrous,

disastrous failures; that he strove to compensate France for the loss of

her civil liberty, by audaciously attempting to make her the dictator of

Europe, and that he utterly failed in both objects; for here toward the

close of his rule, France seems far more eager for domestic freedom than

ever she was since the _coup d'etat_, while her influence over the

nations of Europe is considerably less than it was at any period since

the fall of Sebastopol. Now, if this be success, I want to know what is

failure? If these results argue the existence of profound sagacity, I

want to know what would show a lack of sagacity? Was Louis Napoleon

sagacious when he entered Lombardy, to set Italy free from the Alps to

the sea, and sagacious also when, after a campaign of a few weeks, he

suddenly abandoned the enterprise never to resume it? Was he wise when

he told Cavour he would never permit the annexation of Naples, and wise

also when, immediately after, he permitted it? Was he a great statesman

when he entered on the Mexican expedition, and also a great statesman

when he abandoned it and his unfortunate pupil, puppet, and victim

together? Did it show a statesmanlike judgment to bully Prussia until he

had gone near to making her an irreconcilable enemy, and also a

statesmanlike judgment then to "cave in," and declare that he never

meant anything offensive? Was it judicious to demand a rectification of

frontier on the Rhine, and judicious also to abandon the demand in a

hurry, when it was received as anybody might have known that a proud,

brave nation, flushed with a splendid success, would surely have

received it? Did it display great foresight to count with certainty that

the Southern Confederation would succeed, and that Austria would win an

easy victory over Prussia? Was it judicious to instruct an official

spokesman to declare that France had taken steps to assure herself

against any spread of Prussian influence beyond the Main, and to have to

stand next day, amazed and confounded, before an amazed and amused

Europe, when Bismarck made practical answer by contemptuously unrolling

the treaties of alliance actually concluded between France and the

principal States of South Germany? Was it a proof of a great ruling mind

to declare that France could never endure a system of ministerial

responsibility, and also a proof of a great ruling mind to declare that

this is the one thing needful to her contentment? All this bundle of

paradoxes one will have to sustain, if he is content to accept as a

genuine being that monstrous paradox, the Louis Napoleon of the press.

Of course, I do not deny to Louis Napoleon certain qualities of

greatness. But I believe the public was not a whit more gravely mistaken

when it regarded the King street exile as a dreamy dunce, than it is

now, when it regards Napoleon III. as a ruler of consummate wisdom.

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