Kant asserted that the processes of combination of surrounding

cold materials would generate heat, and, therefore, that the

resulting planetary masses would assume the liquid form; that

Jupiter and Saturn are now in the liquid state; and that all

the planets will ultimately become cold and solid. This is in

fair agreement with present-day opinion as to the planets, save

that modern astronomers go further in holding that the outer

strata of Jupiter and Saturn, likewise of Uranus and Neptune,

down to a great depth, must still be gaseous. In 1785, after

the principle of heat liberation attending the compression of a

gas had been announced, Kant supplemented his statement of 1755

as to the origin of the Sun's heat. He attributed this to

gravitational action of the Sun upon its own matter, causing it

to contract in size: he said the quantity of heat generated in

a given time would be a function of the Sun's volumes at the

beginning and at the ending of that period of time. This is

substantially the principle which Helmholtz rediscovered and

announced in 1854, and which is now universally accepted--with

the reservation of the past ten years, that radioactive

substances in the Sun may be an additional factor in the

problem.

Kant's paper of 1754 enunciated the theory that the Moon always

turns the same face to the Earth because of tidal retardation

of the Moon's rotation by the Earth's gravitational attraction;

and that our Earth tides produced by the Moon will slow down

the Earth's rotation until the Earth will finally turn one

hemisphere constantly to the Moon. This principle was in part

reannounced by Laplace a half century later, and likewise

investigated by Helmholtz in 1854, before Kant's work was

recognized.

Kant's speculations on a possible destruction and re-birth of

the solar system, on the nature of Saturn's ring, and on the

nature of the zodiacal light are similar in several regards to

present-day beliefs.

Kant wrote:

'I seek to evolve the present state of the universe from the

simplest condition of nature by means of mechanical laws

alone.'

In 1869 Sir William Thomson, afterwards Lord Kelvin, commented

that Kant's

'attempt to account for the constitution and mechanical origin

of the universe on Newtonian principles only wanted the

knowledge of thermodynamics, which the subsequent experiments

of Davy, Rumford and Joule supplied, to lead to thoroughly

definite explanation of all that is known regarding the present

actions and temperatures of the Earth and of the Sun and all

other heavenly bodies.'

These are, apparently, the enthusiastic comments resulting from

the re-discovery of Kant's papers. A present-day writer would

not speak so decisively of them, but we must all bow in

acknowledgment of Kant's remarkable contributions to our

subject, published when he was but 31 years old.

LAPLACE'S HYPOTHESIS

In 1796, 41 years following Kant's principal contributions,

Laplace published an extensive untechnical volume on general

astronomy. At the end of the volume he appended seven short

notes. The final note, to which he gave the curious title "Note

VII and last," proposed a theory of the origin and evolution of

the solar system which soon came to be known as Laplace's

Nebular Hypothesis. There are several circumstances which

indicate pretty clearly that Laplace was not deeply serious in

proposing this hypothesis:

1. Its method of publication as the final short appendix to a

large volume on general astronomy.

2. He himself said in his note that the hypothesis must be

received "with the distrust with which everything should be

regarded that is not the result of observation or calculation."

3. So far as we know he did not submit the theory to the test

of well-known mathematical principles involved, although this

was his habit in essentially every other branch of astronomy.

4. Laplace, in common with Kant, laid great stress upon the

fact that the satellites all revolve around their planets from

west to east, nearly in the common plane of the solar system;

yet 6 or 7 years before Laplace's publication, Herschel had

shown and published that the two recently discovered satellites

of Uranus were revolving about Uranus in a plane making an

angle of 98 degrees with the common plane of the solar system.

While Laplace might not have known of Uranus's satellites in

1796, on account of existing political conditions, there is no

evidence that he considered or took note of the fact when

making minor changes in his published papers up to the time of

his death in 1827. It is a further interesting comment on

international scientific literature that Laplace died without

learning that Kant had worked in the same field.

Laplace and his contemporary, Sir William Herschel, had been

the most fruitful contributors to astronomical knowledge since

the days of Sir Isaac Newton. Herschel's observations had led

him to speculate as to the evolution of the stars from nebulae,

and as a result interest in the subject was widespread. This

fact, coupled with Laplace's commanding position, caused the

nebular hypothesis to be received with great favor. During an

entire century it was the central idea about which astronomical

thought revolved.

Laplace conceived that the solar system has been evolved from a

gaseous and hot nebula; that the nebulosity extended out

farther than the known planets; and that the entire nebulous

mass was endowed with a slow rotation that was UNIFORM IN

ANGULAR RATE, as in the case of a rotating solid. This gaseous

mass was in equilibrium under the expanding forces of heat and

rotation and the contracting force of gravitation. Loss of heat

by radiation permitted corresponding contraction in size, and

increased speed of rotation. A time came, according to Laplace,

when the nebula was rotating so rapidly that an outer ring of

nebulosity was in equilibrium under centrifugal and

gravitational forces and refused to be drawn closer in toward

the center. This ring, ROTATING AS A SOLID, maintained its

position, while the inner mass contracted farther. Later

another ring was abandoned in the same manner; and so on, ring

after ring, until only the central nucleus was left. Inasmuch

as the nebulosity in the rings was not uniformly distributed,

each ring broke into pieces, and the pieces of each ring, in

the progress of time, condensed into a gaseous mass. The

several large masses formed from the abandoned rings,

respectively, became the planets and satellites of the solar

system. These gaseous masses rotated faster and faster as their

heat radiated into space, they abandoned rings of gaseous

matter just as the original mass had done, and these secondary

rings condensed to form the satellites; save that, in one case,

the ring of gas nearest to Saturn for some reason formed a

solid (!) ring about that planet, instead of condensing into

one or more satellites. Thus, in outline, according to Laplace,

the solar system was formed.

The first half of the nineteenth century found the nebular

hypothesis accepted almost without question, but a tearing-down

process began in the second half of the century, and at present

not much of the original structure remains standing. This is

due in small part to discoveries since Laplace's time, but

chiefly to a more careful consideration of the fundamental

principles involved. We have space to present only a few of the

more salient objections.

1. If the materials of the solar system existed as a gas,

uniformly distributed throughout what we may call the volume of

the system, the density of the gas would be exceedingly low: at

the most, several hundred million times less dense than the air

we breath. Conditions of equilibrium in so rare a medium would

require that the abandonment of the outer parts by the

contracting and more rapidly rotating inner mass should be a

continuous process. Each abandoned element would be abandoned

individually; it would not be vitally affected by the elements

slightly farther out in the structure, nor by the elements

slightly nearer to the center. Successive abandonment of nine

gaseous rings of matter, EACH RING ROTATING AS IF IT WERE A

SOLID STRUCTURE, is unthinkable. The real product of the

cooling process in such a nebula would undoubtedly be something

in the nature of a spiral nebula, in which the matter would

revolve around the nucleus the more rapidly the nearer it was

to the nucleus. If the matter were originally distributed

uniformly throughout the rotating structure, the spiral lines

might not be visible. If it were distributed irregularly, the

spiral form here and there could scarcely fail to be in

evidence to a distant observer.

2. Laplace held that the condensation of each ring would result

in one planet, rotating on its axis from west to east; this

apparently by virtue of the fact that in a ring rotating AS A

SOLID the outer edge travels more rapidly than the inner edge

does, and therefore, the west to east direction of rotation

must prevail in the planetary product. If now, as we firmly

believe, each constituent of such an attenuated ring must

rotate substantially independently of other constituents, those

nearer the inner edge of the ring will possess the higher

speeds of rotation, and the preponderance of kinetic energy in

the inner parts of the ring should give the resulting planetary

condensation a retrograde direction of rotation.

3. According to Laplace the satellites should all revolve

around their primaries from west to east. Eight of the

satellites do not follow this rule.

4. If the materials composing the inner ring of Saturn were

abandoned by the parent planet, as this planet contracted in

size and rotated ever more and more rapidly, then the ring

should revolve about the planet in a period considerably longer

than the planet period. The reverse is the fact. The rotation

period of the equatorial region of the planet itself is 10 h.

14 m., whereas the inner edge of the ring system revolves about

the planet once in about five hours.

5. The inner satellite of Mars revolves once in 7 h. 39 m.,

whereas Mars requires 24 h. 37 m. for one rotation. According

to the Nebular Hypothesis, the period of the satellite should

be the longer.

6. Laplace's hypothesis would seem to require that the orbits

of the planets be circular or very nearly so. The orbits of all

except Venus and Neptune are quite eccentric, and Mercury's

orbit, which should have the nearest approach to circularity,

is by far the most eccentric.

7. If the planetary rings were abandoned by centrifugal action,

we should expect the Sun to be rotating in the principal plane

of the planet system. The major planets, from Venus out to

Neptune, are revolving in nearly a common plane. The Sun,

containing 99 6/7 per cent. of all the material in the system,

has its equator inclined 7 degrees to the planet plane. This

discrepancy is a very serious and I think fatal objection to

Laplace's hypothesis, as Chamberlin has emphasized.

8. Laplace assumed a nebula whose form was a function of its

rotational speed, its gravitation, its internal heat, and,

although he does not so state, of its internal friction. He did

not distribute the matter within the nebula to conform in any

way to the distribution as we observe it to-day, but he let the

entire structure contract, following the loss of heat, until

the maintenance of equilibrium required the successive

abandoning of seven or eight rings. He mentions a central

condensation, but gives no further particulars. Thirty years

ago Fouche established clearly that the condensing of Laplace's

assumed nebula into the present solar system would involve the

violent breaking of the law known as the conservation of moment

of momentum. Fouche proved that a distribution of matter beyond

any conception of the subject by Laplace must be assumed. Fully

96 per cent. must be condensed in the central nucleus AT THE

OUTSET, and not more than 4 per cent. of the total mass must

lie outside of the nucleus and be widely distributed throughout

the volume of the solar system. Chamberlin puts the case very

strongly in another way. If the planet Mercury was abandoned as

a ring of nebulosity, the equatorial velocity of the remaining

central mass must at that time have been in the neighborhood of

45 km. per second, as this is the orbital speed of Mercury. If

the central mass condensed to the present size of the Sun, the

Sun's equatorial velocity of rotation should now be fully 400

km. per second, in accordance with the requirement of the rigid

law of constancy of moment of momentum. The Sun's actual

equatorial velocity is only 2 km. per second!

In several other respects the hypothesis of Laplace, as he

proposed it, fails to account for the facts as they are

observed to exist.

Poincare devoted his unique talents to the evolution problem

shortly before his death. He recognized that the Laplace

hypothesis is not tenable except upon such an assumed

distribution of matter as was defined by Fouche. Accepting this

modification, and extending the hypothesis to involve the

application of tidal interactions at many points throughout the

solar system, Poincare expresses the opinion that the Laplacian

hypothesis, of all those proposed, is still the one which best

accounts for the facts.[3] However, he does not utilize the

hypothesis of rings rotating as solids, for he finds it

necessary to conclude that the planetary masses in the

beginning must have had retrograde rotations. In the large

planetary masses of Jupiter and Saturn, for example, the

materials which form the outer retrograde satellites were

abandoned while the rotations were still retrograde, and when

the diameters of the planetary masses were several scores of

times their present diameters. In these extended masses the Sun

would create tidal waves, and here, as always, such waves would

exert a retarding effect upon the rotations. A time would come,

Poincare thought, when these planets would rotate once in a

revolution; that is, present the same face to the Sun; and this

is in fact a west to east rotation. Further contraction of the

planetary masses would give rise to increasing rotational

speeds in the west to east direction. The materials which form

the inner satellites of Jupiter and Saturn were abandoned

successively after the west to east direction of rotation had

become established. According to modifications of the same

theory, tidal retardation has slowed down Saturn's speed since

the abandonment of the materials which later condensed to form

the inner ring of that planet; or, possibly, the ring materials

encountered resistance after the planet abandoned them, with

the consequence that the ring drew in toward the planet and

increased its speed; and similarly in the case of Mars and its

inner satellite.

[3] Poincare has made the following interesting comments on

Laplace's hypothesis: "The oldest hypothesis is that of

Laplace; but its old age is vigorous and for its age it has not

too many wrinkles. In spite of the objections which have been

urged against it, in spite of the discoveries which astronomers

have made and which would indeed astonish Laplace himself, it

is always standing the strain, and it is the hypothesis which

best explains the facts; it is the hypothesis which responds

best to the question which Laplace endeavored to answer, Why

does order rule throughout the solar system, provided this

order is not due to chance? From time to time a breach opened

in the old edifice (the Laplace hypothesis); but the breach was

promptly repaired and the edifice has not fallen."

To me this modification of the Laplacian hypothesis is

unsatisfactory, for several reasons. To mention only one: if

Jupiter was a large gaseous mass extending out as far as the

8th and 9th satellites, the gaseous body was very highly

attenuated; friction in the outer strata would be essentially a

negligible quantity, and tidal retardation would not be very

effective; and it would be under just these conditions that

loss of heat from the planet should be most rapid and the rate

of increase of retrograde rotation resulting therefrom be

comparatively high. It would seem that the rotation of the

planet in the retrograde direction must have accelerated under

the contractional cause, rather than have decreased and

reversed in direction under an excessively feeble tidal cause.

The recognized weaknesses of Laplace's hypothesis have caused

many other hypotheses to be proposed in the past half century.

The hypotheses of Faye, Lockyer, du Ligondes, See, Arrhenius,

and Chamberlin and Moulton include many of the features of

Kant's or Laplace's hypotheses, but all of them advance and

develop other ideas. It is unfortunate that space limits do not

permit us to discuss the new features of each hypothesis.

(To be continued.)

PROGRESS AND PEACE

BY PROFESSOR ROBERT M. YERKES

HARVARD UNIVERSITY

LASTING peace among the nations of the earth we must regard as

of supreme moment, the discovery of the conditions thereof, as

most worthy of human effort. Physical struggle is no longer

accepted as either a necessary or a desirable means of settling

differences between individuals. Why, then, should it be

tolerated to-day in connection with national disagreements? To

admit the impossibility or the impracticability of universal

peace is to stigmatize our vaunted civilization as a failure.

Surely we will not, can not, humble ourselves by such an

admission until we have exhausted our energies in searching for

the conditions of national amity.

With my whole life I believe in the possibility and value of

worldwide friendliness and cooperation. I am writing to discuss

not the attainability or the merits of peace, but ways of

achieving it; not to criticize present activities on its

behalf, but to indicate the promise of a neglected approach and

to present a program which should, I believe, find its place in

the great "peace movement."

Must peace be achieved and maintained by brute strength,

regardless of sense and sentiment, or may it be gained through

intelligence, humanely used? Must the pathway thereto be paved

with human skulls, builded with infinite suffering and

sacrifice, or may it he charted by scientific inquiry and

builded by the joyous labor of mutual service and helpfulness?

Is it possible, in the light of the history of the races of

man, to doubt that we must place our dependence on intelligence

sympathetically employed, not on physical prowess? To me it

seems that peace must be achieved peacefully, not by the clash

of arms and bloodshed.

But even if we grant that science is our main hope, there

remains a choice of methods. On the one hand, there is the way

of material progress, physical discovery and feverish haste to

apply every new fact to armament; on the other, that of

biological research, social enlightenment, and ever-increasing

human understanding and sympathy.

Firm believers in each of these possible approaches, through

science, to international peace, are at hand. The one group

argues that nations, like individuals, must be controlled in

all supreme crises by fear; the other contends that

civilization has developed in enlightened human sympathy a

higher, a more worthy, and a safer control of behavior.

As a biologist and a believer in the brotherhood of man, I wish

to present the merits of sympathy, as contrasted with fear, and

to plead for larger attention to the biological approach to the

control of international relations. For I am convinced that the

greatest lesson of the present stupendous world-conflict is the

need of thorough knowledge of the laws of individual and social

human behavior. Surely this war clearly indicates that the

study of instinct, and the use of our knowledge for the control

of human relations, is incalculably more important for the

welfare of mankind than is the discovery of new and ever more

powerful explosives or the building of increasingly terrible

engines of destruction.

During the last half-century the physical sciences,

technologies, arts and industries, have made marvelous

advances. At enormous cost of labor and material resources

there have been discovered and perfected means of destroying

life and property at once so effective and so terrible to

contemplate that preparedness for war seemed a safe guarantee

of peace. But who is there now to insist, against the evidence

of blood-drenched Europe, that material progress, physical

discovery, and armament based thereupon, assure international

friendship?

Only if one of the nations should discover, and guard as its

secret, some diabolically horrible means of destroying human

life and property by wholesale and over materially unbridged

distances, can armaments even temporarily put an end to war. In

such event--and it is by no means an improbability--the whole

world might suddenly be made to bow in terror before the will

of the all-powerful nation. Before this approaching crisis, can

we do less than earnestly pray that the translation of physical

progress into armament may be halted until the brotherhood of

man has been further advanced? Dare we stop to contemplate what

would happen to-morrow if Germany, with half the civilized

world arrayed against her, should come into possession of some

imponderable, and to the untutored mind mysterious, means of

directing her torpedoes, exploding magazines, mines, shells

from distant bases? Undoubtedly we are close upon the

employment of certain vibrations for this deadly purpose. Shall

we veer in time and take a safer course, or are we doomed to

the inevitable?

For the certain result of pushing forward relentlessly on the

path of preparation for war--in the name of peace--is the

dominance of a single nation and the destruction or subjugation

of all others. This is as inevitable as is death. If we would

preserve and foster racial and national diversity of traits,

promote social individuality as we so eagerly foster the

diversity of selves, we must speedily focus attention upon

human nature and seek that knowledge of it which shall enable

us to control it wisely rather than to destroy it ruthlessly.

Even were I able to do so, I should in no degree belittle the

achievements of the physical sciences and their technologies,

for I believe whole-heartedly in their value, and long for the

steady increase of our power to control our environment. But

when these achievements are offered as means of creating or

maintaining certain desired conditions of individual and social

life, I must insist that other knowledge is essential--nay,

more essential--than that of the physicist or chemist.

Knowledge, namely, of life itself.

Most briefly, the situation may thus be described. In peace and

in war there are two large, complex and intricate groups of

facts to be dealt with by those who seek the welfare of man.

The one group comprises the phenomena of physical nature as the

condition of life--environment; the other is constituted by the

phenomena of life and the relations of lives. Those who

sincerely believe in preparedness for war as a preventive

measure, misconceive and attempt to misuse the emotion of fear

and its modes of expression. It is as though we should strive

tirelessly to develop machinery and methods for educating our

children, the while ignorant of the laws of child development

and branding as of no practical importance the fundamentals of

human nature.

To nations no more than to individuals is it given to live by

fear alone. By it a nation may become dominant, and diversity

of body, mind, and ideals be eradicated. To base our

civilization upon fear entails uniformity, monotony of life;

the sacrifice of peoples for the unduly exalted traits and

national ideals of a single homogeneous social group--a single

all-powerful nation. Knowledge of life, and the sympathy for

one's fellow men which springs from it, must control the world

if nations are to live in peaceful and mutually helpful

relations. If life, whether of the individual or of the social

group, is to be controlled, it must be through intimate

knowledge of life, not through knowledge of something else. The

world must be ruled by sympathy, based upon understanding,

insight, appreciation. This is my prophecy, this my faith and

my present thesis.

The Scientific Monthly, October to December, 1915 · 第 19 / 30 段