Little by little these financial contracts lost all semblance of

serious business. In the impossibility of obtaining really solid

guarantees the bankers imposed preposterous conditions, and issue at

a discount became the rule with the new conventions. A series of

interventions in Buenos-Ayres, Mexico, San Domingo, and Venezuela,

diplomatic conflicts, and claims for indemnity resulted from this

precarious procedure. Moreover, thanks to the protection accorded by

their respective countries, foreigners acquired a privileged

position. The Americans were subjected to the jurisdiction of the

ordinary courts, before which they could demand the payment of their

claims on the State; foreigners enjoyed exceptional treatment. A

statute was enacted in their favour, and their governments supported

them in the {380} recovery of unjustifiable claims. Sir Charles

Wyke, English minister to Mexico, wrote to the Foreign Office in

1862: "Nineteen out of twenty foreigners who reside in this

unfortunate country have some claim against the government in one way

or another. Many of these claims are really based on the denial of

real justice, while others have been fabricated throughout, as a good

speculation, which would enable the claimant to obtain money for some

imaginary wrong; for example, three days' imprisonment which was

intentionally provoked with the object of formulating a claim which

might be pushed to an exorbitant figure."[1]

In face of the string of debts which arose from the loans themselves,

or from claims for damages suffered during the civil wars, the

governments could only succumb. The immorality of the fiscal agents

and the greed of the foreigner will explain these continual

bankruptcies, which constitute the financial history of America.

The descendants of the prodigal Spanish conquerors, who knew nothing

of labour or thrift, have incessantly resorted to fresh loans in

order to fill the gaps in their budgets. Politicians knew of only

one solution of the economic disorder--to borrow, so that little by

little the Latin-American countries became actually the financial

colonies of Europe.

Economic dependence has a necessary corollary--political servitude.

French intervention in Mexico was originally caused by the mass of

unsatisfied financial claims; foreigners, the creditors of the State,

were in favour of intervention. England and France, who began by

seeking to ensure the recovery of certain debts, finally forced a

monarch upon the debitor nation. The United States entertained the

ambition of becoming the sole creditor of the American peoples: this

remarkable privilege would {381} have assured them of an

incontestable hegemony over the whole continent.

In the history of Latin America loans symbolise political disorder,

lack of foresight, and waste; it is thanks to loans that revolutions

are carried out, and it is by loans that the _caudillos_ have

enriched themselves. Old debts are liquidated by means of new, and

budgetary deficits are balanced by means of foreign gold. When the

poverty caused by political disorder becomes too great the American

governments clamour feverishly in the markets of Europe for the

hypothecation of the public revenues, and the issue of fresh funds,

offering to pay a high interest, and recognising the rights of

suspended creditors.

On the one hand the budget is loaded to create new employments in

order to assuage the national appetite for sinecures, while the

protective tariffs are raised to enrich the State. Thus the forces

of production disappear, life becomes dearer, and poverty can only

increase. America has until lately known little of productive loans

intended for use in the construction of railways, irrigation works,

harbours, or for the organisation of colonies of immigrants.

The product of the customs and other fiscal dues is not enough to

stimulate the material progress of a nation. So application is made

to the bankers of London or Paris; but it is the very excess of these

loan operations and the bad employment of the funds obtained that

impoverishes the continent. The excessive number of administrative

sinecures, the greed of the leaders, the vanity of governments, all

call for gold; and when the normal revenues are not sufficient to

enrich these hungry oligarchies, a loan which may involve the very

future of the country appears to all to be the natural remedy.

The budgets of various States complicate still further a situation

already difficult. They increase beyond all measure, without the

slightest relation to {382} the progress made by the nation. They

are based upon taxes which are one of the causes of the national

impoverishment, or upon a protectionist tariff which adds greatly to

the cost of life. The politicians, thinking chiefly of appearances,

neglect the development of the national resources for the immediate

augmentation of the fiscal revenues; thanks to fresh taxes, the

budgets increase. These resources are not employed in furthering

profitable undertakings, such as building railroads or highways, or

increasing the navigability of the rivers. The bureaucracy is

increased in a like proportion, and the budgets, swelled in order to

dupe the outside world, serve only to support a nest of parasites.

In the economic life of these countries the State is a kind of

beneficent providence which creates and preserves the fortune of

individual persons, increases the common poverty by taxation,

display, useless enterprises, the upkeep of military and civil

officials, and the waste of money borrowed abroad; such is the

"alimentary politics" of which Le Play speaks. The government is the

public treasury; by the government all citizens live, directly or

indirectly, and the foreigner profits by exploiting the national

wealth. A centralising power, the State forces a golden livery upon

this bureaucratic mob of magistrates and deputies, political masters

and teachers.

To sum up, the new continent, politically free, is economically a

vassal. This dependence is inevitable; without European capital

there would have been no railways, no ports, and no stable government

in America. But the disorder which prevails in the finances of the

country changes into a real servitude what might otherwise have been

a beneficial relation. By the accumulation of loans frequent crises

are provoked, and frequent occasions of foreign intervention.

A policy of thrift would have led to the establishment of economic

equilibrium. Foreign gold has {383} poured in continually, not only

in the form of loans but in the shape of material works--railways,

ports, industries, and industrial undertakings. It is in this way

that English capital has accumulated in the Argentine, Uruguay,

Brazil, and Chili, where it has become a prominent factor in the

industrial development of the country. In the Argentine it amounts

to 300 millions, in Brazil to 150 millions, in Chili to 51 millions,

and in Uruguay to 46 millions of pounds sterling.

New problems arise from the relation between the size of the

population and the amount of the capital imported. The increase of

alien wealth in nations which are not fertilised by powerful currents

of immigration constitutes a real danger. To pay the incessantly

increasing interest of the wealth borrowed, fresh sources of

production and a constant increase of economic exchanges are

necessary; in a word, a greater density of population. The

exhaustion of the human stock in the debitor nations creates a very

serious lack of financial equilibrium, which may result, not only in

bankruptcy but also in the loss of political independence by

annexation.

The solution of the financial problem depends, then, upon the

solution of the problem of population. Immigrants will solve it by

increasing the number of productive units, by accumulating their

savings, by irresistible efforts which lay the foundations of solid

fortunes. It is true that the wealth which they will create will

also be of foreign origin, but in the second or third generation the

descendants of the enriched colonists will become true citizens of

the country in which their fathers have established themselves. They

will have forgotten their country of origin, and will mingle with the

old families which conserve the national traditions.

The ideal of peoples whose economic condition is dependence is

naturally autonomy; without it all {384} liberty is precarious. A

considerable stream of exports flows from America to Europe to pay

for imports and the interest on foreign capital. Only this large

exportation of products, as in the case of the Argentine, Mexico, and

Brazil, can maintain a favourable commercial balance. The Argentine

economist Alberto Martinez has demonstrated that as in his country

there is neither an economic reserve nor a national capital, the

diminution of exports causes serious financial disturbances; exchange

is unstable, the rate rises, trade falls off, and credit is suspended.

In other countries the economic system is instability itself. It

depends almost entirely on two or three agricultural

products--coffee, cane-sugar, and rubber--and the incessant

fluctuations in the prices of these products, which constitute the

wealth of the country. One does not observe the regularity of the

exports of the Argentine and Brazil, nor any important industrial

development. To remedy the lack of equilibrium in the budget and to

pay the interest on the foreign debt, the State, the guardian of the

public fortune, once more resorts to loans. The creation of a

national capital is thus an urgent necessity for these prodigal

democracies.

By stimulating the development of agriculture, by creating or

protecting industry, by diminishing the budgetary charges by the

reduction of useless bureaucratic employments and sumptuary expenses,

the Latin-American governments could gradually establish the

necessary reserves.

On the other hand, fiscal agreements, commercial treaties, and

railways must contribute to the solidarity of these nations among

themselves. Europe has invested vast sums of capital in America; she

sends thither large quantities of the products of her industries, but

there are peoples more favoured than others by this invasion of

capital. It should be possible by a series of practical conventions

to lay the foundations {385} of a _Zollverein_. The dependence of

certain republics as compared with others should tend to make them

commercially independent of Europe. Already a number of industries

are being developed in America; in Brazil their yield attains the

annual value of 46 million pounds; in 1909 the imports were

diminished by 3 million pounds in consequence of this new economic

factor. It may be supposed that in the still distant future the

agricultural peoples of America will buy the products of their

industrial neighbours, the Argentine, Brazil, and Uruguay. The

unification of the monetary system will still further facilitate the

development of this inter-state commerce, this trade between zones

almost exclusively agricultural, and other regions both agricultural

and industrial; thus closer economic relations will be the basis of a

lasting political understanding. No American republic has yet

reached the term of its economic development.

We may distinguish three periods in the evolution of the nations

towards autonomy; during the first their dependence is absolute, in

respect of ideas as much as of men and capital; such is the present

situation of the majority of the Latin democracies. During the

second period agriculture suffices for the national necessities and

industry develops; the Argentine, Brazil, and Mexico are already in

this state of partial liberty. Finally, the period of agricultural

and industrial exportation commences, and the intellectual influence

of the country makes itself felt beyond the frontiers. After France

and England, Germany and the United States reached this glorious

phase. Neither Mexico nor the Argentine nor Brazil is as yet

flooding the world with its industrial products nor affecting it by

its original intellectual activities; there is no culture or

philosophy that we can properly term Argentine or Chilian. Europe is

tributary to the Argentine for her wheat and meats, {386} and to

Brazil for her coffee, but ideas and machines come from Paris,

London, and New York.

M. Limantour, who tried to save the Mexican railways from the Yankee

capitalists, and the Argentine economists, who endeavoured to convert

the foreign into a national debt, are preparing the way for the

future reign of financial liberty; but this transformation depends on

the increase of public or private wealth and the activity of

immigrants, who in hospitable America soon become landed proprietors

or merchants.

In the country districts, as in the cities, which are every day more

numerous, the common wealth and the fiscal revenues are increasing,

owing to the efforts of industrious men. Not only are foreign

industrial undertakings being founded, but national institutions

also, fed by national capital. When the necessary loans can be

subscribed in the country itself, when railways and ports are

constructed with State or private capital, or with the financial aid

of other South American governments; when American multi-millionaires

(there are already plenty of them in the Argentine) have effected the

nationalisation of the public works now in the hands of foreigners,

then the economic ideal of these democracies will be realised.

Latin America may already be considered as independent from the

agricultural point of view; it possesses riches which are peculiar to

it: coffee to Brazil, wheat to the Argentine, sugar to Peru, fruits

and rubber to the Tropics. Its productive capacity is considerable.

It may rule the markets of the world. The systematic exploitation of

its mines will reveal treasures which are not even suspected. We may

say, then, that even without great industries the American continent,

independent in the agricultural domain, and an exporter of precious

metals, may win a doubtless precarious economic liberty.

[1] Cited by F. Bulnes, _El Verdadero Juarez_, Paris, 1904, p. 29.

{387}

CONCLUSION

AMERICA AND THE FUTURE OF THE LATIN PEOPLES

The Panama Canal and the two Americas--The future conflicts between

Slavs, Germans, Anglo-Saxons, and Latins--The role of Latin America.

A new route offered to human commerce transforms the politics of the

world. The Suez Canal opened the legendary East to Europe, directed

the stream of European emigration towards Australia, and favoured the

formation, in South Africa, of an Anglo-Saxon Confederation. The

Panama Canal is destined to produce profound perturbations in the

equilibrium of the nations of the New World. Humboldt announced

these changes in 1804:[1] "The products of China will be brought more

than 6,000 miles nearer Europe and the United States; great changes

will take place in the political condition of eastern Asia, because

this tongue of earth (Panama) has for centuries been the rampart of

the independence of China and Japan."

The Atlantic is to-day the ocean of the civilised world. The opening

of the canal will thus displace the political axis of the world. The

Pacific, an ocean separated from the civilising currents of Europe,

will receive directly from the Old World the wealth and products of

its labour and its emigrants. Until the present time the United

States {388} and Japan have shared in its rule as a _mare clausum_,

and they are disputing the supremacy in Asia and Western America.

Once the isthmus is pierced, new commercial peoples may invade with

their victorious industries the enchanted lands of Asia and the

distant republics of South America. New York will be nearer to

Callao, but the distance between Hamburg and Havre and the Peruvian

coast will be equally diminished. It has been calculated that by the

new route the voyage between Liverpool and the great ports of the

Pacific will be reduced by 2,600 to 6,000 miles, according to the

respective positions of the latter, and the distance between New York

and the same centres of commercial activity will be diminished by

1,000 to 8,400 miles. German, French, and English navigation

companies will run a service of modern vessels direct to the great

ports of Chili and China. The paths of the world's trade will be

changed; Panama will form the gate of civilisation to Eastern Asia

and Western America, as Suez is to Central Asia, Eastern Africa, and

Oceania. The Atlantic will become the ocean of the Old World.

The trade of the new era must undergo unexpected transformations.

The influence of Europe in China and Western America will be

considerably increased. Germany should become the rival of the

United States in the commercial supremacy in the East and in the

republics of Latin America. Her vessels, messengers of imperialism,

which now make long voyages through the Straits of Magellan to reach

Valparaiso and Callao, will then employ the canal route. The vessels

of Japan will bear to Europe, as formerly did the Phoenician

navigators, the products of the exotic Orient; New York will dethrone

Antwerp, Hamburg, and Liverpool; the English will lose their historic

position as intermediaries between Europe and Asia. The United

States, masters of {389} the canal, will create in New York a great

fair in which the merchandise of East and West will be accumulated:

the treasures of Asia, the gold of Europe, and the products of their

own overgrown industries. They will thus have won an economic

hegemony over the Pacific, South America, and China, where they will

be at least privileged competitors in the struggle between England

and Germany. Between New York and Hong Kong, New York and Yokohama,

and New York and Melbourne new commercial relations will be

established. In approaching New York the East will recede from

Liverpool and the ports of Europe, and the Panama route will favour

the industries of the United States in Asia and Oceania. It may

already be foreseen that the United States will be terrible

competitors in Australia, and above all in New Zealand, where they

will drive the English merchants from the markets. It is difficult

to write, like Tarde, a "fragment of future history"; too many

unknown forces intervene in the historical drama of the peoples. But

no doubt, unless some extraordinary event occurs to disturb the

evolution of the modern peoples, the great nations of industrial

Europe and Japan, the champion of Asiatic integrity, will oppose the

formidable progress of the United States.

The canal sets a frontier to Yankee ambition; it is the southern

line, the "South Coast Line" of which a North American politician,

Jefferson, used to dream. As early as 1809 he believed that Cuba and

Canada would become incorporated, as States of the Union, in the

immense Confederation; anticipating the rude lyrics of Walt Whitman,

he dreamed of founding "an empire of liberty so vast that the like

has never been seen." Heirs to the Anglo-Saxon genius, the Americans

of the North wish to form a democratic federation.

They have succeeded in doing in Cuba what Japan {390} has done in

Korea: first, the struggle for autonomy, then the necessary

intervention, then a protectorate, and perhaps annexation. Thus the

prophecy of Jefferson will be realised. Between Canada, an

autonomous colony, and the United States, there are common economic

interests, and commercial treaties have created such a plexus of

interests that the evolution from these practical alliances to

political union would seem to be a simple matter. The disintegration

of the Anglo-Saxon Empire will be the work of the United States.

American activities in Canada are steadily increasing; the Yankee

capital employed in various Canadian industries amounts to

£20,000,000. Trade is increasing, and by virtue of new conventions

the United States will be even better situated than ever to dispute

the Canadian markets with England. In this free colony there is a

Far West which the States have peopled. The East is Anglo-Saxon,

industrial, aristocratic; the West, barbarian and agrarian, desires

union with the neighbouring democracy. Münsterberg reports that a

Boston journal prints every day, in large letters, on the first page,

that the first duty of the United States is the annexation of Canada.

The friendship of England, and the moral harmony of the

English-speaking world, will perhaps check the progress of American

imperialism northward; but the capital which develops and exploits

the west of Canada is a competitor which cannot be resisted.

Moreover, such men as Goldwin Smith, a moral authority in Canada,

counsel union with the great Republican neighbour. Free trade, which

the English radicals wish to maintain, relaxes the economic ties

which might ensure the duration of the British Empire, and prevents

the formation of a _Zollverein_, of that fiscal union between Great

Britain and her colonies which was the great project of Chamberlain.

It is to guarantee commercial and economic {391} interests that

Canada is approaching the United States and withdrawing from England.

Mexico, where £100,000,000 of American capital is invested; Panama, a

republic subjected to the protectorate of the Anglo-Saxon North; the

Canal Zone, which the Yankees have acquired as a remote southern

possession; the Antilles, which they are gradually absorbing; Central

America, where ever turbulent republics tolerate pacificatory

intervention; and Canada, rich and autonomous, form, for the

statesmen of Washington and the Yellow Press, a great and desirable

empire. In two centuries the small Puritan colonies of the Atlantic

seaboard will perhaps have come to govern the continent from the Pole

to the Tropics; and will create, with the aid of all the races of

mankind, a new Anglo-Saxon humanity, industrial and democratic. Thus

the Roman Republic, from her narrow home between the Apennines,

governed the world, as did Great Britain, peopled by a tenacious

race, the sea.

To check the advance of the United States the South will lack a

political force of the same weight. The conflict between the united

Americans of the North and the divided inhabitants of the South will

necessarily terminate fatally for the Latin New World.

The Pacific will be the theatre of racial wars and vast and

transforming emigrations. Once the canal is open it is extremely

probable that European emigrants will descend in large numbers upon

the seaboard of Western America. Brazil and the Argentine attract

the modern adventurer; their Eldorado is in the Argentine plains or

the forests of Brazil. Venezuela, invaded by emigrants of Germanic

race, will be born again; a dense population will fill her valleys,

and Caracas will become a great Latin city. But in Colombia, Peru,

Ecuador, and Bolivia, there is a great lack of centres of

civilisation in the {392} interior, and the sierra is largely wild

and unpeopled; all progress is in the small towns of the coast, set

amidst the aridity of the desert. Chinese and Japanese, who are

content with low wages, are crushing the European worker by their

competition. Japanese colonies will people the American West from

Panama to Chili, and in these new countries the fusion of Japanese

and Indian blood is by no means impossible.

There will always be two distinct regions in South America, separated

by the Andes and divided by the Tropics. The Atlantic region will

retain its liberty, and increase in wealth and in power. It is

possible that the south of Brazil will become German, but the

Argentine, Chili, Uruguay, and the great Brazilian States will defend

the Latin heritage and European tradition. To the north and the west

depopulated and divided nations will struggle against an invasion of

peoples of similar races coming from the east and against a

conquering people from the north. Thanks to the protection of Japan,

they may be able to free themselves from the tutelage of the United

States, or they may be able to hold off the subjects of the Mikado by

submitting to the influence of North America. Only the federation of

all the Latin republics under the pressure of Europe--that is to say,

of England, France, and Italy, who have important markets in

America--might save the nations of the Pacific, just as a century ago

Great Britain was able to defend the autonomy of these peoples

against the mystic projects of the Holy Alliance.

The Monroe doctrine, which prohibits the intervention of Europe in

the affairs of America and angers the German imperialists, the

professors of external expansion, like Münsterberg, may become

obsolete. If Germany or Japan were to defeat the United States, this

tutelary doctrine would be only a melancholy memory. Latin America

would emerge {393} from the isolation imposed upon it by the Yankee

nation, and would form part of the European concert, the combination

of political forces--alliances and understandings--which is the basis

of the modern equilibrium. It would become united by political ties

to the nations which enrich it with their capital and buy its

products.

Japan has not lost her originality as an Asiatic nation, because she

is united to England by a treaty which assures the _status quo_ in

the East. The Latin republics will not renounce their character as

American nations because they may conclude understandings with the

nations of the West. Already there are commercial treaties between

these nations and Europe, as well as a harmony of economic and

intellectual interests. Brazil and the Argentine, where British

money and French ideals prevail, might themselves unite to form a

vast combination of alliances with the group of European nations

which conquered, civilised, and enriched America: that is, Spain,

France, and England. Will not a community of interests in America

give a new strength to the union of these peoples in Europe? Great

political changes would result from these new influences: the

American Latins, by entering into the combinations of European

politics, would divide Italy, whose interests in the Argentine and

Brazil are so great, from the Triple Alliance, and would strengthen

the understanding between England and France against Germany, which

disputes with them not only the hegemony of Europe but also the

preponderance in America. Canning, who opposed the designs of the

Holy Alliance, used to say a century ago that he had given the New

World liberty in order to restore equilibrium to the Old World.

Against the theocratic peoples who were seeking to overshadow the

destinies of the earth he evoked the apparition of these free

democracies destined to {394} establish the benefits of liberty on a

firm footing. His hope was premature, because it was hardly possible

for perfect republics to rise from the ruins of Spanish absolutism.

Even to-day, after a century of attempts at constitutional

government, only a few Latin American States--the Argentine, Brazil,

Chili, Peru, and Bolivia--seem capable of fulfilling the desires of

Canning.

These peoples would contribute to the defence of the Latin ideal.

But is not this an excessive ambition for nations still

semi-barbarous? The old races of the West contemplate their

impetuous advance with much the same distrust as that which Rome

experienced as she watched the turbulent migrations of Goths and

Germans. And even if the Latin race could check its irremediable

decadence by the aid of the wealth and youth of these American

peoples, would it really be profitable to oppose the triumph of the

Anglo-Saxons and the Slavs for the sake of saving a fallen caste?

Seventy years ago Tocqueville visited the United States and divined

their future greatness. To-day M. Clemenceau, a politician and a

great admirer of the North American Republic, praises the Latin

vigour, as he sees it in Buenos-Ayres, Uruguay, and Rio de Janeiro.

The Yankee republic has realised the prophecies of the former critic,

and it would not be strange if the southern democracies of America

were to confirm the optimism of the latter. A new energy, undeniable

material progress, and a fertile creative faith announce the advent,

in the new continent, if not of the Eldorado of which the hungry

emigrant dreams, at least of wealthy nations, rich in industry and

agriculture; the advent of a world in which the glorious age of the

exhausted Latin world may renew itself, as in the classic fountain.

When Emerson visited England fifty years ago he declared that the

heart of the Britannic race was in the United States, and that {395}

the "mother island," exhausted, would some day, like many parents, be

satisfied with the vigour which she had bestowed upon her own

children.[2] In speaking of Spain and Portugal, might not

Argentines, Brazilians, and Chilians employ the same proud language?

The decadence of the Latins, which seems obvious to the sociologist,

may really be only a long period of abeyance. The adventures in

which such an exuberant force of heroism was expended might well

result in a reaction, a weariness after creation. At the beginning

of the modern period, in the sixteenth century, the English,

undisciplined adventurers, were hostile to the regularity and

monotony of industrial life; in the nineteenth century they built an

empire, organised a powerful industrialism, and became slow and

methodical; and in 1894 Dr. Karl Pearson was uneasy as to "the

decadence of British energy which is revealed by the adoption of

State socialism and by the poverty of mechanical invention."[3]

In the future the Latins may regain their old virility. The

_ricorsi_ which Vico saw in history cause certain peoples to recover

the pre-eminence they have lost, while others, prosperous nations,

fall back into decadence; no privilege is eternal, no reaction is

irremediable and inevitable.

"Multa renascentur quæ jam cecidere, cadentque

Quæ nunc sunt in honore...."

The imperial policy of Charles V. and Philip II., the conquest of a

continent by the Spaniards, Portuguese, and French, the glorious

festival of the Renaissance, the triumph of Lepanto, the splendid

empire of Venice, the political activity of Richelieu, {396} the

great century of French classicism, the Revolution which proclaimed

the Rights of Man, and the Napoleonic epic, the liberation of Spanish

America: this is the hymn of glory of the Latin race. To-day

Belgium, Italy, and the Argentine give signs of a renaissance of that

race, which men have supposed to be exhausted.

Heirs of the Latin spirit in the moral, religious, and political

domain, the Ibero-American peoples are seeking to conserve their

glorious heritage. The idea of race, in the sense of traditions and

culture, is predominant in modern politics. Flourishing on every

hand, we see Pan-Slavism, Pan-Islamism, Pan-Asianism, Pan-Germanism,

Pan-Latinism--barbarous words which give an indication as to the

struggles of the future. The Slavs of Dalmatia, Germany, Servia, and

Bosnia would reconstitute, with the fragments of many divided

nations, a State which would also be a race. Islam unites divers

peoples by the ardour of a new fanaticism, under the inspiration of

popular Khalifs or marabouts, from Soudan to Fez, from Bombay to

Stamboul. Vast unions of scattered peoples are thus springing into

formation, in the name of a religion or a common origin. Slavs,

Saxons, Latins, and Mongols are contending for the possession of the

world. It is thus that the drama of history becomes simplified;

above the quarrels of precarious nations are rising the profound

antagonisms of millennial races.

Onésime Reclus, in an excellent volume, the _Partage du monde_, has

gone into the respective positions of each of these powerful groups.

The conclusions of his analysis are full of hope; in spite of the

Saxons and Slavs the Latins still hold vast territories, which they

must people. Their geographical position, despite Anglo-Saxon

imperialism and the immense surface of all the Russias of Europe and

Asia, is certainly not inferior.

{397}

There are a hundred million Slavs scattered over an immense Asiatic

and European territory, which stretches from Vladivostock to the

Baltic Sea; two and a half milliards of hectares are waiting for the

children of this prodigious race. By uniting the peoples of Norway,

Sweden, Denmark, Belgium, Holland, and Switzerland to the Germans of

Austria, the German race, whether it propagates the gospel of

Pan-Germanism by commercial penetration or by violence, possesses

about 100 million hectares for 93 millions of men. The Anglo-Saxons,

the natural enemies of German expansion, the rivals of the

_Deutschtum_ in Asia, Africa, and America, rule an almost unlimited

area of milliards of hectares; India, Canada, the United States,

South Africa, Egypt, Australia, conquered territories and kingdoms

held in tutelage, peoples of all faiths and all races. More than 200

millions of Anglo-Saxons people this "greater Britain" without

including India, which is not assimilable.

The territory occupied by the Latin peoples in Europe, America, and

Africa is 3.9 million hectares, inhabited by 250 millions of men; the

number of Latins is thus not really inferior to that of the

Anglo-Saxons, nor are the territories open to Latin expansion

inferior to those reserved for the rival race. With the French

colonies in Asia they amount to 4 milliards of hectares.

Here we have a Latin superiority; by the extent of their territories

and their numbers the Latins outnumber the Slavs and the Germans.

They do not yield to the English either in human capital nor in

wealth of exploitable territory. And England has reached the zenith

of her industrial period, the maximum of her political development;

the figures of the birth-rate in the industrial towns are

diminishing, and emigration has almost ceased. The State is becoming

the protector of a demagogic and decadent {398} crowd. The United

States seek to conquer new territories for their imperialist race.

But the Latins possess in South America a rich and almost uninhabited

continent, and in the north of Africa the French are in process of

founding a colonial empire which will rival Egypt in wealth and

importance, and will reach from Morocco to the Congo and from Dakar

to Tunis.

Reclus calculates that Latin America could feed a hundred persons per

square kilometre. While the natality of the Anglo-Saxon cities of

the Atlantic seaboard in the United States remains stationary the

Latin American population is increasing prodigiously; it is to-day 80

millions, and a century ago, when Humboldt visited the New World, it

was approximately only 15 millions. It is possible that by the last

years of the present century the number of South Americans will have

reached 250 millions; the equilibrium between Latins and Anglo-Saxons

will then be broken in favour of the former.

America is thus an essential factor of the future of the Latin

nations. The destiny of France, Spain, Portugal, and Italy would be

different if the 80 millions of Latin Americans were to lose their

racial traditions; if in a century or two America were to pass under

the sceptre of the United States, or if the Germans and Anglo-Saxons

were to attack and oppress the nucleus of civilisation formed by the

Argentine, Uruguay, and Southern Brazil. Economically America would

lose markets; intellectually, docile colonies; practically, centres

of expansion. To-day Anglo-Saxons, Germans, Slavs, and Neo-Latins

are balancing forces which may develop in harmony in the framework of

Christian civilisation without wars of conquest and without ambitions

of monopoly. The moral unity of South America would contribute to

the realisation of such an ideal. A new Anglo-Saxon continent

running from Alaska {399} to Cape Horn, built on the ruins of twenty

Spanish republics, would be the presage of a final decadence. In the

struggles of hundreds of years' duration between the Latin States and

the barbarians, between Catholicism and Protestantism, between the

French genius and the Teutonic spirit, between the Renaissance and

the Reformation, the Latins would have lost the last battle.

America is a laboratory of free peoples. Dr. Charles W. Eliott,

rector of the great University of Harvard, has studied the

contribution of the United States to modern civilisation.

Arbitration as a universal principle, toleration, universal suffrage,

material well-being, and political liberty seem to him to be the

characteristics of North American culture. In the Latin South we

encounter similar principles. Arbitration is the basis of

international relations; tolerance from the religious point of view

is in process of development. Political liberty is still more a

matter of Constitutions than of custom; but the liberal political

charters, adapted to the principles of modern civilisation, are the

ideal of these republics. When the wilderness is peopled by new

races, democracies will grow to maturity within this scaffolding, and

universal suffrage, individual rights and tolerance will be realities.

In Latin America, above all among the southern nations, one cannot

conceive of the restoration of the old social order, or of despotism

and religious inquisition. The new continent, whether Saxon or

Latin, is democratic and liberal.

If as in the time of the Holy Alliance the theocratic peoples were to

ally themselves--Catholic and warlike Austria, Germany, dominated by

Prussian feudalism, Russia, mystic and formidable--the whole American

continent would be the bulwark of liberty. If Germans and Latins or

Latins and Anglo-Saxtons were to fight between themselves the

overseas {400} democracies would greatly contribute to the vitality

of the Latin race. If in a Europe dominated by Slavs and Germans the

peoples of the Mediterranean were forced to withdraw in painful

exodus towards the blue sea peopled by the Greek islands and symbols

old as the world, it is probable that the ancient myth would be

realised anew, and that the torch which bears the ideal of Latin

civilisation would pass from Paris to Buenos-Ayres or Rio de Janeiro,

as it passed from Rome to Paris in the modern epoch, or from Greece

to Rome in the classic period. America, to-day desert and divided,

would save the culture of France and Italy, the heritage of the

Revolution and the Renaissance, and would thus have justified to the

utmost the fortunate audacity of Christopher Columbus.

[1] _Essai sur le gouvernement de la Nouvelle Espagne_, vol. i.

[2] _Works_, vol. ii. p. 160.

[3] _National Life and Character_, pp. 102 _et seq_.

{401}

INDEX

_Names in italics are those of literary men, philosophers, &c._

NDX

A.B.C., the (federation), 348-9

Aberdeen, Lord, 64

Absolutism, 51

_Acosta_, 247

African elements in Spain, 40-1

African race, _see_ Negroes

Agriculture, 384-5

_Alberdi_, 236

Alcantara, President of Venezuela, 110

Alva, Duke of, 30

America, Anglo-Saxon, 16, _see_ United States

America, South, the conquest of, 16, 44; early Constitutions, 82

Anarchy, military (86-94); leads to dictatorship, 88; spontaneity of,

89; in Colombia, 201; in the tropics, 222-31

Andes, San Martin crosses the, 67

_Andrade_, 183, 256-7

Antilles, the, 222

Arabs in Spain, 40-1

Aranda, 64

_Aranha, Graça_, 268

Arbitration, Court of, 347, 399

Argentine, the, 48, 77-8; first Constitution of, 83; 92 (134-46);

revolution in, 134; early Constitutions, 134; federation of, 135;

democracy in, 135; Constitution of 1826, 137-8

Artigas, 89, 127

Autocracy, follows revolution, 88, 93

_Avellanada_, 255

Ayacucho, 71

_Ayagarray_, 307

Aztecs, the, 47, 53, 149

_BALMES_, 274

Balmaceda, President of Chili, 170-8

_Barreto_, 273

Basques in S. America, 364

Belgrano, 61, 66

_Bello_, 246, 251-2, 272

_Bentham_, 245

_Bilbao_, 236-7

Blanco-Encalada, 125

Bolivar, 61, 63-9; youth of, 70; as general, 71; President, 71;

downfall of, 72; character and principles, 72-80, 81-3, 102, 113,

122-3

Bolivia, 80, 122-6

Bonaparte, 88, 91

_Bourget, Paul_, 15

Boyer, President of Hayti, 229

Brazil (180-90); revolution in, 180; slavery abolished, 189;

revolution in, 189

Buenos Ayres, 65

_Bunge, C. O._, 279

Bustamente, 150-1

Bureaucracy, 376-7

CABILDO, the, 98

California, Japanese in, 326

Canning, 393-4

Canovas, 314

Carabobo, 76

Caracas, Congress of, 348

_Caro_, 253-4

Carrera (Guatemalan), 224

Casimiro-Ulloa, 117

Castes, inimical, 91, 370

Castillo, 115-6

Castro, General, 105

Catholicism in S. America, 286

Caudillos, the, 16, 89, 94-5, 365-70

Central America, 83, 222-6; confederation of, 347

Chamberlain, Mr., 346

Charrua Indians, 131

Chibcha Indians, 47

Chili, 48, 92, 104 (164-79); social revolution in, 178, 342

Chivalry, literature of, 34

Church, the, in the colonies, 52-3

Cid, the, 34

Cities of Spain, 30, 33, 38, 40

Civil wars, 371

Clemenceau, M., 15

Clergy in Spain, 42

Cochrane, Lord, 68

_Coolidge, Professor_, 321, 335

Colombia (201-12); anarchy in, 201; parties, 202-3

Colonies, the Spanish (44-57); life in, 54-7; revolution, 58

Commune in Spain, 38

_Comte_, 274-5

Conquest of S. America, 16

Conquistadores, the, 45-8, 93

Constitutions of Chili and Venezuela, 82; of Bolivia, the Argentine,

and Colombia, 83; of Venezuela, 103; of Chili, 104; of Venezuela,

105; of Colombia, 203-4; of Greater Colombia, 204; of Ecuador, 214;

of Central America, 233

Convention, the French, 88

Cortez, 45

Costa-Rica, 225-6

Creole, the, 29, 50, 59, 360-1

Cuba (313-22); civil war in, 315; purchase mooted, 317; racial

factors, 318

_DARIO, RUBEN_, 261-5

Decadence of conquerors, 44, 50, 85

Democracy in Spain, 37-40; in S. America, 93

_Diaz, G._, 255-6

_Diaz, Leopoldo_, 258

Diaz, President of Mexico, 77, 155-63

Dictators, the, 16

Directory of Buenos Ayres, 82

Don Quixote, 34

ECHENIQUE, President of Peru, 115

_Echeverria_, 254

Economic Problems (378-86); loans, 379, 381; foreign capital, 383

Ecuador, 92-3 (213-21)

Encyclopædists, the, 65, 81

England, policy of, 64; influence of, 83, 390

Equalitarianism, 63

_Estrade, Angel de_, 268

FALCON, President of Venezuela, 106-7

Faustinas I. of Hayti, 229

Federation, in Spain, 35; Bolivar's prophecies of, 77; _see_ Unity

Feijó, Diego, 184-5

Feudal system, 30, 38

Flores, Dictator of Uruguay, 132-3

Flores, J. J., founder of Ecuador, 87, 213

_Fombona, Blanco_, 265, 268

_Fouillée_, 277

_France, Anatole_, 15

France, intellectual influence of, 81-2

Francia, Dr., tyrant of Paraguay, 191-5

Free cities of Spain, 30, 35, 40

GARCIA-MORENO, President of Ecuador, 215-21

German capital, 292-4

German colonists, 291-7

German Emperor, the, 323

German Peril, the, 290-7

Gongorism, 34

Goths, the, 41

Guarani Indians, 191

Guatemala, 223

Guayaquil, 213

_Guizot_, 245

_Guyau_, 278

Guzman-Blanco, Dictator of Venezuela, 101, 106-8; policy of

reconstruction, 108-10; return to power, 110-12

HALF-CASTES, 93, 338; _see_ Mestizos

Hawaii, annexation of 303; Japanese in, 325-6

Hayti, 226-31

Heredity, in the Spanish republics, 97

Hispaniola, 226

_Hostos, E. de_, 272-3

_Hugo, Victor_, 261, 263

_Humboldt_, 50

IBERIANS, 31-2, 40-1

Ibero-Americans, 283-9

Ideology, political, 235-48

Ignatius of Loyola, 33

Incas, the, 47

Independence, wars of, 29, 58-81

Indians, at conquest, 46-8, 91; distribution of, 93, 352-3

Individualism, in Spain, 31-5; in S. America, 88

Industrialism, rise of, 94-6

Inquisition, the, 42, 52

Isthmus, States of the, 77

Itaborahy, 186

Italians in South America, 364

Iturbide, Emperor of Mexico, 61, 82, 149-50

JACOBINISM, 81

Japan, 393

Japanese Peril (323-31); emigrants, 327; spies, 329

_Jaurès_, 15

João VI., 180-2

Juarez, Mexican Dictator, 152-5

Junin, 71,76

Juntas, 30; colonial, 60; revolutionary, 84

KING, _see_ Monarchy

LA PAZ, revolt at, 65

La Plata, confederation of, 343

_Lamartine_, 244-5

Lansdowne, Lord, 83

_Larreta, E. R._, 269

_Lastarria_, 236-9

Latifundia, 92, 98

Latin race, the, 17; future of the, (387-400); decadence of, 395

Latin spirit, the, 17; in S. America, 287-9

Lavalleja, President of Uruguay, 127-9, 131

Law, influence of Spanish, 54

_Lee, Gen. Homer_, 325

Liberators, the, 66

Liniers, 65

Literature, 249-70

Lodges, revolutionary, 65-81

Lopez, Argentine _caudillo_, 89, 139

Lopez, tyrants of Paraguay, 196

Loyola, 33

_Lugones_, 265

MAIA, J. J. de, 82

"Maine," sinking of the, 315

_Marmol_, 254-5

Marti, 315

Maximilian, Emperor of Mexico, 154-5

Mestizos, 103, 356-60

Mexico, 48; first Constitution of, 83, 92-3 (149-63); intervention of

the French, 153

Militarism, 86-94

_Mill, James_, 272

_Mill, J. S._, 274-5

Miranda, 66, 81, 83

Miscegenation, 48-50; in Peru, 194; _see_ Indians, Mestizos, Negro,

Race

Monagas, J. T. and J. G., Presidents of Venezuela, 103-5

Monagas, J. R., President of Venezuela, 107

Monarchy in Spain, 35-8; its relations at time of revolution with the

revolted colonies, 60-1, 63

Monks, 52-3

Monopoly, 51-2

Monroe Doctrine, 290-1, 302-4, 392

_Montalvo_, 239-40

Montezuma, 48

Montt, President of Chili, 168-9

Mosquera, President of Colombia 206-7

_Münsterberg, Professor_, 294

Mystics of Spain, 33

_NABUCO, J._, 274

Nationality, early phases of, 84

Negroes, first introduction of, 49, 50; distribution of, 53, 355-6,

358-9

_Nervo, A._, 265

New Granada, 77

_Nietzsche_, 278

North American Peril, 298-312

Nuñez, Rafael, President of Colombia, 201, 206-11, 276

_OLMEDO_, 251

Olney, Secretary, 300

Orbegoso, 123

Ordoñez, President of Uruguay, 132

Oribe, President of Uruguay, 129

PACIFIC, Confederation of the, 343

Paez, President of Venezuela, 61, 87, 91, 101-6

_Palma, R._, 267

Panama, 303; the Canal, 387-8

Pando, 126

Paraguay, 191-7; the great war in, 196-7

_Pardo, Felipe_, 252

Pardo, President of Peru, 117-9

Paz, 140

_Pearson, Karl_, 362

Pedro, Dom, I., 182

Pedro, Dom, II., 185-6, 188

Pelucones, 92

Peru, 68, 70-1; first Constitution, 82; 92-3 (113-121); War of

Independence, 113, 342

Philosophy, 271-80

Picaro, the, in literature, 34, 43

Pierola, President of Peru, 120

Pitt, 83

Plutocracy, rise of, 94; future of, 97

Poincaré, R., 14

Political conflict, the, 92; problems, 365-77

Popham, Sir Home, 65

Portales, President of Chili, 118, 124, 165-8

Porto Rico, 303

Portuguese in S. America, 45-6

Posadas, 61

_QUINTANA_, 250, 252

Quiroga, General, 139-40

Quito, 65

RACE, problems of, 283-9, 351-64

Regenerators, the, 87

Renaissance, the, 45

Republics, early S. American, 39, 61

Revolutions, 65-81; ideology of, 81-5; 94

_Reyles, Carlos_, 206-9

Rio Branco, 187

Rivadavia, Dictator of the Argentine, 135-8

Rivera, President of Uruguay, 127-30

Rocafuerte, President of Ecuador, 214

_Rodo, J. E._, 133, 264, 266, 274

Rome, in Spain, 33

Roosevelt, Theodore, 304, 318

Root, Secretary, 300

Rosas, Argentine tyrant, 139-46

_Rousseau, J. J._, influence of, 81

_SALAVERRY_, 123-4, 254

Salisbury, Lord, 300

Salvador, 223

San Domingo, 226-31

San Martin, Protector of Peru, crosses the Andes, 67, 68-9, 72

_San Martin, Zorilla_, 256

Sancho Panza, 53

Santa-Ana, President of Mexico, 150-1

Santa-Cruz, President of Bolivia, 87, 114, 125

Santana, Dictator of San Domingo, 230

Santander, President of Colombia, 87, 205

_Sarmiento_, 242-3

Sierra, the, 91-2

_Silva, J. A._, 265

Slavery, 104; abolished in Brazil, 189

Slavs, the, 394-5, 397

Soublette, 103

Spain, early history of, 30-43; religion in, 33; laws of, in S.

America, 285

_Spencer, Herbert_, 86, 274-6

Stoicism, 33

Sucre, 70-1, 213

TAFT, President, 320

Tammany Hall, 301, 320

Teresa, Saint, 33

Territorial overlords, 97-8

"Thirty-three, the," 128

Toussaint Louverture, 228-9

Trade, future of, 388-9

Tyranny, advantages of, 96

_UGARTE, MANUEL_, 266

United States, supremacy of, 299 intervention in South and Central

America, 303-4; race troubles in, 308, 311; future influence of, 390-1

Unity, problems of, 335-50

Urbina, President of Ecuador, 215!

Uruguay, 127-33

VALENCIA, Convention of, 105

Varas, 168

Vargas, Dr., President of Venezuela, 102

Velasco, 125-6

Venezuela, 82, 92-3, 101-3; civil war in, 106; revolution of 1870, 108

_Verlaine_, 263

Viceroys, the, 51

_Vivanco_, 115

_Voltaire_, 81

WASHINGTON, 82

Weyler, 315

Wood, General, 318-9

YEGROS, Consul of Paraguay, 192

ZALDUA, DR., President of Colombia, 211

Zambos, 358-9

Zollverein, 305-6, 346, 349

ENDX

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Latin America: Its Rise and Progress · 第 7 / 7 章