Now, to such federations of labour, to such combinations for the

commonweal, involving, as they so often do, the most determined

self-renunciation, the most heroic self-sacrifice, even the Caucasian

nature is by no means full-grown, and the Negroid is altogether

unequal. There is not the slightest probability that the great labour

organizations would, in general, think of admitting to their membership

an element of such notable weakness as the Negro would certainly be.

Such would be the case, even if other considerations were absent. But

they are present. As inferiors, accustomed to a lower standard of life

and more pliant to the demands of employers, the Negroes would present

the same problem and the same menace as the Chinese--only in a more

aggravated form. In their admission in large numbers to the ranks of

skilled labour, this latter could not fail to see a terrible and

instant threat of reduced wages, of lowered life, of baser thraldom.

Race prejudice, if you call it so, would blaze out immediately, and

with irresistible violence. It makes not the slightest difference

whether labour would be right or wrong, justified or unjustified; it

would be the instinct of self-preservation fanned suddenly into

vehement flame, and nothing could withstand it. As an example in point,

take the violent opposition offered a few years ago by the miners of

Illinois to the importation of Negro labourers; take the recent

practically total expulsion of Negroes, many of them peaceable and

unoffending, from various towns, districts, and counties in

Pennsylvania, Indiana, Missouri, Kansas, Illinois, and elsewhere.

Consider all this as unreasonable, as outrageous--it matters not; it

shows the temper of the American-Caucasian labourer, which will hardly

tolerate the competition of his equals, and certainly not of any form

of labour lower than his own. And in defence of what he regards as the

most important and most sacred of all his rights, he will not hesitate

for an instant at the adoption of means.[28]

[28] Hear the testimony of the ablest of Negroids, Professor W.

E. B. Dubois, in his admirable sociologic study, "The

Philadelphia Negro":

"How now has this exclusion been maintained? In some cases by the

actual inclusion of the word 'white' among qualifications for

entrance into certain trade unions. More often, however, by

leaving the matter of color entirely to local bodies, who make no

general rule, but invariably fail to admit a colored applicant

except under pressing circumstances. This is the most workable

system and is adopted by nearly all trade unions" (p. 128). "To

repeat, then, the real motives back of this exclusion are plain:

A large part is simple race prejudice, always strong in working

classes and intensified by the peculiar history of the Negro in

this country. Another part, and possibly a more potent part, is

the natural spirit of monopoly and the desire to keep up wages

... Moreover, in this there is one thoroughly justifiable

consideration that plays a great part: namely, the Negroes are

used to low wages--can live on them, and consequently would fight

less fiercely than most whites against reduction" (p. 129)....

"The Negroes of the city who have trades either give them up and

hire out as waiters and laborers, or they become job workmen and

floating hands, catching a bit of carpentering here or a little

brickwork or plastering there at reduced wages" (p. 130). It is

needless to accumulate such depositions.

Accordingly, we may confidently affirm that the experiment of Mr.

Washington and his Northern multi-millionaire admirers, to solve the

race problem by making of the Negro a skilled labourer, may indeed be

magnificent, but, in any large measure, it cannot succeed. If at any

time it seemed to promise any very wide success, it would rouse a race

animosity, North and South, the like of which we have not yet beheld.

What fields of employment, then, remain open to the Negroid? We answer:

Those he has thus far occupied, where there is no great organized

competition of the Whites. The plantation and the countless forms of

personal and occasional service are undoubtedly the regions where his

abilities may be most naturally and most profitably employed. There,

too, his better qualities, his endowments both of mind and of body,

find fullest and most useful play. Small farming and retail dealing he

may also do successfully; he may teach his kind, he may preach and

plead and prescribe and publish for them. Superior artisans will show

themselves here and there, and occasionally abilities of still higher

order will crop out, especially among Mulattoes. If they will, these

can find ample scope for their powers within the ranks of their own

people. _Spartam tuam exorna_ will, in all such cases, be the

counsel of friendly wisdom. Vain and foolish for even the superior

Negroid to try to take the kingdom of heaven by force, to conquer a

position among the Whites commensurate with his abilities as a Black.

Better a big frog in a small puddle than a small frog in a big puddle.

In general, whatever tends towards the sharp demarcation of the two

races, towards the accurate delimitation of their spheres of activity

and influence, will unquestionably make for peace, for prosperity, for

mutual understanding, and for general contentment. On the other hand,

every attempt to blur these boundaries, to wipe out natural

distinctions, to mix immiscibles, must always issue in confusion,

discord, failure, reciprocal injury, and final ruin.

We think that universal history attests the correctness of this

observation. Wherever border lines have been closely drawn and

distinctly recognized, whether between species or races, nations or

tribes, castes, classes, or individuals, there have been found at least

comparative quiet, harmony, mutual regard, and even happiness. But

ill-defined borders have been everywhere and everywhen the fruitful

source of strife, destruction, and misery. It was with a just feeling

for this great truth that the profound Gnostic, Basilides, declared

that in "the restoration of all things," at "the consummation of the

aeons," every element would seek its own place and there abide forever,

and not as if fishes were trying to pasture with sheep upon the

mountains. A kindred sense of the fitness of things is revealed here in

the South (and also in the North), where one will often hear it said

that "I like a Negro--in his place." This does not mean, at least it

need not mean, any harshness or over-haughtiness on the part of the

speaker. We have often heard it on the lips of the kindest-hearted, the

most humane in their treatment of the Negro. It is a just recognition

of a patent, unmistakable, and incontrovertible fact, which no humanity

can amend and no sophistry can disguise. The same feeling is frequently

met with among sober-minded Blacks, who, much to one's surprise

sometimes, are found to resent the ambitious attempts of their fellows,

generally Mulattoes, to rise above their own race and align themselves

with the Whites. We affirm then that drawing the colour line, firm and

fast, between the races, first of all in social relations, and then by

degrees in occupations also, is a natural process and a rational

procedure, which makes equally for the welfare of both.

That this process will actually go on, though with many interruptions

and much opposition, we cannot doubt. The latter will be due in the

main to aspiring Mulattoes, to purblind philanthropists, and to

designing politicians--all three the real enemies of the Negro and the

disturbers of his peace.

In spite of them, however, the process will go on, and we shall see

whether the Negro be able to maintain himself in the presence of the

Caucasian, though in an inferior place, playing a subordinate role,

within a protected but contracted sphere of activity. Certainly not a

brilliant future that opens before him, at the very best. Even the

highest success might seem humble enough, but is it sure that even such

a lowly victory awaits him?

Here, again, prophecy would seem to be hazardous, but we cannot fail to

notice and to record some significant tokens. Of these, one of the most

notable is the marked tendency of the Negroes to herd together in the

cities. It is well known that the problem of securing labour in the

country is becoming increasingly difficult. Many plantations have, in

fact, been abandoned for no other reason than that labourers could not

be found to cultivate them. Italians and other Europeans are

immigrating thither, and the question is eagerly debated whether they

will fill acceptably the gap left by the departing Negroes. Whether

this tide cityward, which is actually decimating some sections of the

Black Belt, will turn and roll back, we may not guess; but it seems

unlikely. To all appearances the Negroes will stream steadily towards

the towns, and gather more and more densely in certain localities.[29]

[29] "Fully ninety-four per cent. have struggled for land and

failed, and half of them sit in hopeless serfdom. For these there

is one other avenue of escape towards which they have turned in

increasing numbers, namely, migration to town ... this is a part

of the rush to town." Dubois, _The Souls of Black Folk_, p. 162.

"The crop-lien system which is depopulating the fields of the

South is not simply the result of shiftlessness on the part of

Negroes" (p. 170). Here, again, evidence may be supplied in any

measure desired. From the census reports it appears that in the

North the same tendency is quite as strong, if not even stronger.

But this tendency deals them _death_. The mortality among the coloured

population of our cities is frightful. The gravest maladies establish

themselves among these unsanitated throngs and rage with ruinous

virulence. In ante-bellum days pulmonary tuberculosis was infrequent

among the plantation Blacks of the South; now it lashes them with a

scourge of desolation, and pneumonia even more ruthlessly. Typhoid

fever also ravages their ranks with fury. Still worse, contagious

diseases are fearfully prevalent. Among a populace to which chastity

and continence are terms almost unknown and meaningless, these must

diffuse and propagate themselves like an epidemic, they must lower the

general vitality, and still more directly the virility and fecundity.

Hitherto, the rate of multiplication has been in a measure maintained

by a high birth rate in the face of a fearful mortality. But this

cannot last. The plain indications now are that the birth rate is

falling and must fall, while the death rate rises with the steady

influx into the towns, the abandonment of the simple and healthful

modes of country life for the vice and diseases of the village.[30]

Even at best, the city is an ulcer on the face of the earth, a

maelstrom, a minotaur devouring the yearly tribute of the strength and

beauty of the land.[31] But for the Negro, it stands ready with

two-handed engine of death.

[30] For a minute study of birth and death rates, see _infra_,

pp. 225-49.

[31] To be sure, this charge holds in only very modified degree

of the modern sanitated city.

Moreover, the gloomy hopelessness of the situation must become apparent

as the decades glide by. The Negro must feel that competition is

becoming sharper, that his territory is becoming narrower and narrower,

that twentieth-century citizenship is, like the Gospel commandment,

made for those who can receive it, that he is unequal to the load cast

upon him, that he is sinking beneath the burden of an honour unto which

he was not born. Herewith the joyousness of life must depart, the

old-time buoyancy of the race give place to a deepening despond.[32] As

the generations pass on, the Negro will be hemmed every way within

straiter and straiter limits, his numbers will decrease, his digit will

move further to the right in the great sum of humanity--slowly,

silently, steadily he will be driven to the wall. Possibly he may

emigrate in large numbers to some tropical clime which nature has

forbidden to the Caucasian. This would indeed be the happiest possible

solution for the South, and he would be a courageous seer who would

declare that this century will not see a large exodus of Negroes from

the Gulf region. But we do not believe that such emigration will go

northward. Our Northern friends have no more affection or use for the

Negro than have we. They love to pet him and let their benevolence play

about him--this so long as they can patronize him, can "offer him

financial assistance," and "stick a diamond pin in his coat," and lay

at his feet "the Presidency of Haiti as soon as it is conquered by an

expedition now under preparation." Besides, his vote is a very

important weight to throw into the scale in cases of doubtful

elections. But once let the Blacks turn their faces northward in great

numbers, let them begin to swarm by myriads, and derange the labour

conditions, and drag down the scale of wages, and oust the Whites from

their places--then philanthropy will be thrown to the winds, and the

arm of the government at Washington will not be strong enough or long

enough to guard these wards of the nation from violence and persecution

and outrage.[33]

[32] What a note of infinite melancholy sounds through "The Souls

of Black Folk," the finest product of the Mulatto mind. In his

"The College-bred Negro," the same author, Dubois, has put the

question as to the future of his race to hundreds of these

representative Negroes and recorded their answers. It is easy to

perceive that the hopefulness of the majority is quite

artificial, based on some religious faith or moral trust, and

that the really weighty answers are given by the hopeless

minority.

[33] Events in the North, still fresh in the mind of the reader,

illustrate these statements profusely. That the Negro is steadily

losing ground industrially as well as otherwise, is witnessed

unequivocally in the most diverse quarters. Thus Dubois, "The

Philadelphia Negro," p. 43: "It cannot be denied that the main

results of the development of the Philadelphia Negro since the

war have on the whole disappointed his well-wishers.... Not only

do they feel that there is a lack of positive results, but the

relative advance compared with the period just before the war is

slow, if not an actual retrogression; an abnormal and growing

amount of crime and poverty can justly be charged to the Negro;

he is not a large taxpayer, holds no conspicuous place in the

business world or the world of letters, and _even as a workingman

seems to be losing ground_." So, too, in Chicago: "There are a

few in the trades, as carpenters, painters, etc., _but these are

decreasing_.... There is a large class of unemployed Negroes in

the city, numbering several hundreds. Could a careful census of

this class be taken, it would no doubt be found to reach into

thousands." Monro N. Work, in _American Journal of Sociol._, Vol.

6, p. 206. Everywhere throughout the South this expulsive process

has already proceeded far and stiff proceeds apace. In the

foregoing, the italics are ours.

If the Blacks should occupy and settle, should colonize, some outlying

tropical region,[34] and should there start out on their own path of

development, it is interesting, though not so important, to ask, What

would be their probable future? We answer, though we build no argument

whatever on this answer, that the experiment would most likely be a

repetition of Haiti; removed from the sustaining atmosphere of European

civilization, the Negro would most probably sink back into barbarism.

If there be anything in the history either of man or of nature that

would lead us to anticipate some other result, we know not what it is.

[34] The late Professor E. D. Cope recommended the deportation of

the Negro.

At this point our forecast has become so sombre that the optimistic

reader may grow impatient with such pessimism, and may at least demand

some confirmation of our vaticinations. The fact is that we have long

hesitated to make public our convictions, since the role of Cassandra

has few attractions, and it is only an after-thought to print them in

this volume, though they were indicated, many months ago, in _The

Nation_ of March 5, 1903. However, to enhearten us, within the last

week we have lighted upon the corroborative testimony of perhaps the

highest authority in the United States--a scholar whose opportunities

for forming a judgement are certainly unsurpassed, if indeed

equaled--whose abilities are not questioned, and whose freedom from

prejudice is absolute. In a notable address delivered May 10, 1900, at

the First Annual Conference held at Montgomery, Ala., under the

auspices of the Southern Society for the promotion of the study of race

conditions and problems in the South, Professor W. F. Willcox, of

Cornell University, Chief Statistician of the United States Census

Office at Washington, a "New Englander by birth and ancestry," declared

that he could "not read the evidence as Dr. Curry apparently does,"

"Races, like nations, exist to serve humanity, and come and go in the

long run according as they meet or fail to meet this test." "These

diverse races of men may be roughly graded according to their value to

humanity and their ability to improve. In any effort so to arrange

them, the least serviceable and least progressive people are found to

be those whose habitat secured the greatest isolation, freedom from

competition and lack of incentive to improvement. Such peoples were

found especially in the islands of the ocean, in the continent of

Australia, in America, and in Africa." Nevertheless, Africa seems to

have been the scene of most extraordinary mingling of bloods--a battle

ground of widely diverse tribes;[35] in spite of this the African still

belongs to "the least serviceable and least progressive people." "Those

two backward races, viz., the Negro and the Malay." "When higher and

lower races meet and interpenetrate, only two permanent solutions have

thus far been recorded in history. Either the lower race has

disappeared, or the two have fused, and in the case of especial moment

to us all, and to the future of this country, I cannot believe that

looking down through the centuries any other permanent solution than

one of these two can be found. During the period of slavery the Negro

race in the United States was protected from competition with the

Whites, somewhat as it would have been by local isolation, or somewhat

as domesticated animals are protected from the dangers nature throws

about them. Only since emancipation has genuine competition between the

races in this country existed, and during the early years after the

Civil War the conditions were such as to favor the Negro race and to

handicap the whites." "Notwithstanding the fact that the Negroes were

aided and the whites downcast during these dark years, the white

population has grown with great and increasing rapidity." "The

conditions to which the white race is subject will probably never again

be so unfortunate, the conditions to which the Negro race is subject

will not soon, if ever, be so favorable as during the years after the

Civil War." Yet notice some of the changes that have occurred during the

thirty years from 1860 to 1890, brief span as this is in the life of a

race.

[35] Witness Schweinfurth, one of the carefulest observers and

highest authorities: "If we could at once grasp and set before

our minds facts that are known (whether as regards language,

race, culture, history, or development) of that vast region of

the world which is comprehended in the name of Africa, we should

have before us the witness of an intermingling of races which is

beyond all precedent. And yet, bewildering as the prospect would

appear, it remains a fact not to be gainsaid, that it is

impossible for any one to survey the country as a whole without

perceiving that, high above the multiplication of individual

differences, there is throned a principle of unity (he refers to

the autochthonous black stock), which embraces well-nigh all the

population" (_Heart of Africa_, Vol. I., p. 313).

"The black belt may be defined as those counties in which the Negro

population outnumbered the white. In Maryland in 1860 there were five

such counties, and in 1890 only two. In Virginia there were forty-three

and in 1890 only thirty-three. In North Carolina there were nineteen

and in 1890 only sixteen. The group of adjoining counties in

southeastern Maryland, eastern Virginia and northeast North Carolina,

which formed the most northerly outpost of the black belt in 1860, has

decreased in thirty years from sixty-two counties to forty-six, or

almost exactly one-fourth. In 1860 Kentucky had one county belonging to

the black belt, while in 1890 it had none. In 1860 northern Alabama had

two counties belonging to the black belt, but in 1890 both of these had

disappeared from the map. In the cotton-growing regions of the more

southerly States there has been an increase of the counties belonging

to the black belt, but not enough entirely to offset these changes. It

seems that locally the Negroes have begun to yield ground to the whites

in the regions most favorable to the latter, and that such a change is

likely to continue.

"I have no time to go into the complex statistical evidence bearing

upon the vitality of the Negro race, and its power to meet successfully

the increasing industrial competition, to which it must be exposed, as

these States fill with people, as cities spring up and prosper, and as

industry, trade and agriculture become diversified and more complex.

The balance of the evidence, however, seems to me to indicate for the

future a continuance of changes already begun, viz., a decrease in the

Negro birth-rate decidedly more rapid than the actual present or

probable future decrease in the death-rate. This would result obviously

in a slackening rate of increase, and then in a stationary condition,

followed by slow numerical retrogression. If this anticipation should

be realized, the Negroes will continue to become, as they are now

becoming, a steadily smaller proportion of the population.

"The final outcome, though its realization may be postponed for

centuries, will be, I believe, that the race will follow the fate of

the Indians, that the great majority will disappear before the whites,

and that the remnant found capable of elevation to the level of the

white man's civilization will ultimately be merged and lost in the

lower classes of the whites, leaving almost no trace to mark their

former existence.

"Where such a lower people has disappeared, the causes of their death

have been mainly disease, vice and profound discouragement. It seems to

me clear that each one of these causes is affecting the Negro race far

more deeply and unfavorably at the present time than it was at the date

of their emancipation. The medical evidence available points to the

conclusion that they are more than ever afflicted with the scourges of

disease, such as typhoid fever and consumption, and with the physical

ills entailed by sexual vice. I have argued elsewhere to show that both

in the North and in the South crime among the Negroes is rapidly

increasing. Whether the race as a whole is as happy, as joyous, as

confident of the future, or thoughtless of it, as it was before the

war, you, my hearers, know far better than I. I can only say that in my

studies I have found not one expression of dissent from the opinion

that the joyous buoyancy of the race is passing away; that they feel

upon them a burden of responsibility to which they are unequal; that

the lower classes of Negroes are resentful, and that the better classes

[are] not certain or sanguine of the outcome. If this judgment be true,

I can only say that it is perhaps the most fatal source of race as of

national decay and death."

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