NOVEMBER, 1744--JANUARY, 1747.

Foreign Politics--D'Argenson's Ministry--1745: The Convention of

Augsburg--The Convention of Hanover--The Imperial Election--The Treaty

of Dresden--1746: The Negotiation of Turin--The Saxon Marriage--Review.

At the end of 1740, d'Argenson had succeeded his brother as chancellor

of the Orleans household;[257] in November 1744, he was invited to

accept a place in the Government as Minister of Foreign Affairs.[258]

His brother, Count d'Argenson, was already Minister of War, and since

the dismissal of Amelot in April, had been signing the despatches of

the Foreign Office.

The appointment of a man without any diplomatic experience or high

official knowledge to what was, in the circumstances of the moment,

the most important position in the Ministry, might well, at any other

period, have given occasion for remark. At this time, however, the

Government was peculiarly constituted; its policy was dictated by

Marshal de Noailles, who had no official position; and all that was

required of the new Minister was not plans or policies of action, but

the dutiful deference and docility of his predecessor. The eyes of

Noailles would have opened widely could he have read some of the pages

which the new Secretary had already devoted to the principles and

conduct of French foreign policy.

D'Argenson's ministry lasted rather more than two years, and came

to a close in January 1747. The period was an eventful one; and our

knowledge of it is derived from diplomatic correspondence in every

capital in Europe. The evidence has been digested in several important

works, notably the elaborate study in four volumes by the Duc de

Broglie,[259] and the comprehensive monograph by M. Edgar Zevort.

These works are valuable and authoritative, but their conclusiveness

may be disputed. There are many suggestions with which any one who has

made a close personal study of d'Argenson may find it difficult to

agree; while the divergencies of detail, and sometimes of conclusion,

between the two writers, the admirably chosen series of documents given

by M. Zevort, and, above all, a careful acquaintance with d'Argenson's

own Journal for ten years before, suggest the necessity and afford

ample scope for some independent criticism. It would seem, indeed,

that these works have been undertaken primarily with a view to the

general history of France; and that no adequate effort has been made

to determine d'Argenson's real share in the events for which he bears

the official responsibility. There is only too good reason to know that

in many critical conjunctures, the foreign policy of France was only

pursued because the Foreign Minister was powerless to avert it. Indeed

there is reasonable ground for suspecting that no pains have been

spared in comprehending everything but the Marquis d'Argenson himself;

and that, if the perusal of his official despatches had been illumined

by the study of his unofficial memoirs, the character of his action

might have been explained more naturally than by the suggestion of

stupidity or confusion of mind.

It is true that M. Zevort endeavours to illustrate d'Argenson's

political principles from his own "Essai de l'exercice du tribunal

européen par la France seule;" but it may very well be doubted whether

this piece possesses the importance which has been attached to it. It

was written shortly after, or possibly before, the fall of Chauvelin,

and at least seven years before d'Argenson's accession to the Ministry.

In November 1737, when it appeared in manuscript, France was at

peace, Fleury was still Minister, the war between Spain and England

had not broken out, the old House of Austria was not yet extinct,

and Frederick was still Prince Royal of Prussia. In the interval the

face of Europe had wholly changed. Moreover the "Essai" consists of

no more than half-a-dozen widely printed pages, placed at the end of

the 1764 edition of the "Considérations,"[260] and omitted altogether

from that of 1784. It contains a few loose remarks about Russia and

the northern powers, with some views upon Spain and Austria which are

the commonplaces of d'Argenson's Journal. Almost the only remarkable

feature are some significant words upon the position of England, which

show that the shadow of 1763 was already falling across the path of

France.[261] Indeed the piece appears to be really nothing more than

a brief academic essay, written, as we learn from the title-page of

the manuscripts in the Library of the Arsenal, as a note upon St.

Pierre's "Projet de la Paix Perpétuelle."[262] That the author regarded

it as of small importance is clear from his failure to exhibit in his

Journal any further affection for its leading idea, the exercise of

international arbitration by France alone; his subsequent criticism of

Fleury is little more than a consistent denial of it; and we can point

to at least one passage where its central principle is categorically

rejected.[263] It is true that the conception of a benevolent

arbitration exercised by France remained as a shadowy and distant ideal

before d'Argenson's mind; but that it had ever any serious influence

upon his practical ideas of policy there is no evidence to suggest.

Even if it be admitted, with M. Zevort, that these were "the ideas,

some ingenious, others chimerical, almost all beyond realisation,

which d'Argenson nourished in 1737," it may be denied, with some

distinctness, that "he brought them to the ministry in 1744."[264]

It is not here, but in the pages of his Journal for ten years before,

that we must search for the secret of d'Argenson's thought. It is

true that the running commentary upon foreign politics which is here

continued from time to time[265] is, upon a first or a casual reading,

as bewildering as many have found it; but it will appear upon study and

reflection, that the writer's views, many-sided as they are, revolve

about half-a-dozen leading principles, which perpetually recur, are

immediately recognised, and from which the author never materially

swerves. These principles are based upon profound thought and mature

research; and the divergence of view which is superficially apparent

is due to their constant adaptation to the circumstances of the moment

as affected by fortune or failure, success or reverse. There is no man

to whom inconsequence of mind has been more speciously imputed than to

d'Argenson, and surely none who has deserved it less.

The ideas which d'Argenson did bring to the Ministry must be set forth

as briefly as clearness will allow.

He held that in the dealings of a great nation, the profoundest

principle of policy was simple straightforwardness, and that France was

in a condition which enabled her to apply that principle with effect.

Her legitimate expansion was already complete; she had nothing further

to gain by aggression; and her statesmen should be henceforth as

careful for the extension of her prosperity as they had hitherto been

for the extension of her borders.

It was necessary to allay the inveterate distrust awakened in Europe

by the designs of Louis XIV., and by the junction of the Bourbon

houses. The alliance with Spain was of doubtful advantage; and it was

the interest of France, while remaining on the most friendly terms

with that power, to discountenance, and if necessary to repress, the

Spanish ambitions in Italy. At the same time, every support should be

given to Spain in her resistance to the commercial aggrandisement of

England.

While abstaining from aggression, France, in accordance with her

traditional policy, should lose no opportunity of destroying the power

of the House of Austria in Germany; the death of the Emperor Charles

VI. should be made the occasion for a partition of the Austrian

dominions;[266] and the influence, and if need be, the arms of France,

should be used in favour of the various pretenders.

Every effort should be made to strengthen the position of the smaller

powers, le tiers parti, as a counterpoise to the influence of Hapsburgs

and Bourbons alike; the movements of Sardinia, Bavaria, Saxony, Poland

and Prussia in the direction of independence, should receive the

encouragement of France.

The designs of Russia should be held in check by an defensive alliance

with Sweden and Denmark.

As regards England, France should make no attempt to force the

Pretender upon an unwilling people; but she should resolutely resist

the efforts of England to establish a commercial monopoly, and declare

war rather than allow the seizure of the Spanish colonies in America.

The means were to be found in the withdrawal of Holland from English

influence, support of the colonial policy of Spain, and above all, the

restoration of the French marine in view of a great maritime war.

Not the least admirable object which a statesman could embrace would

be the expulsion of the Austrians from Italy, and the surrender of

the whole peninsula to an Italian confederation. The project in truth

was an ideal one; but it was commended by its apparent ease of

execution--already proved by M. Chauvelin[267]--and by the severity of

the blow it would inflict upon Austria.

Behind all was the fact that the French provinces were in a critical

condition; and every livre spent in war, and every man lost in battle,

were spent and lost at the expense of the provinces. The paramount need

of France was ten years of peace, retrenchment, and reform.

Such are the main principles of d'Argenson's political theory. In his

Journal for ten years past it is possible to watch them, not in a very

meagre reduction to their lowest terms, but as in process of growth,

and of adaptation to an ever-changing variety of mood and circumstance.

This variety of view, at first the source of continual embarrassment,

becomes at last our surest guide; for it reveals the most intimate

turn of d'Argenson's thought; and it enables us to divine the aspect

from which a particular question is likely to be regarded, his

probable choice between alternative courses, and the principles upon

which the difficulties of the moment are likely to be resolved. One

further reflection the Journal suggests. The tenacity with which these

leading principles are maintained is only equalled by their rapidity

of adaptation and clearness of grasp; nor can we avoid the suspicion

that if the action of the French Foreign Minister should appear to be

characterised by a strange inconsequence, the cause is to be sought

elsewhere than simply in his own bewilderment and confusion.

Before proceeding to consider that question, a word remains to be said

about a few of the men with whom d'Argenson was soon to be engaged.

He was already well known in the diplomatic circle at Paris, and with

two, at least, of its leading members he was upon intimate terms. One

of them was the Marquis de Valori, the French envoy at Berlin, whom

d'Argenson had introduced to Voltaire as early as 1739;[268] the other

was the ambassador of Holland, M. van Hoey. Van Hoey was a man after

d'Argenson's own heart. He sought, in sympathy with his friend, to

raise the tone of politics, its huckstering pettiness of means and

motives, by a certain philosophy of his own, a philosophy which is

not more visionary than most things good, nor more ridiculous than

most things noble, but with which the man of the world will refuse

to meddle, and at which "le peuple petit-maître," in d'Argenson's

words,[269] will go on laughing to the end of time. Before the minister

had attained his present position, Van Hoey had esteemed his person

and valued his advice; and in the previous year (1743) he had even

transmitted to the Hague a long account of a conversation with "un

seigneur," whom no one who has read a hundred pages of d'Argenson's

writing will have any difficulty in identifying.[270]

There was another personage in the forefront of politics, whose career

d'Argenson had not watched in vain. The Prince Royal of Prussia had

gone far since the spring of 1739, when the friend of Voltaire was

privileged to receive his letters. Time had made little impression upon

d'Argenson's first estimate of him. He admired his devotion and his

strength of character; and he had even some kindness for that 'splendid

mendacity' to which Anti-Machiavel had been converted by events. It was

to no childish sentiment of hero-worship that his regard was due; but

to a firm and surely reasonable conviction that Frederick was strong

enough to afford to be honest, that such a man did not make engagements

which he would be glad to repudiate, or break his word when he could

possibly help it. He felt that now, as at Frederick's accession,[271]

his interests were coincident with those of France; and that the King

of Prussia had only to be treated with honesty and supported well, to

prove the soundest ally in Europe.

On the 15th of November, 1744, a proclamation was issued[272] directing

a general thanksgiving for the capture of Fribourg, the recovery of the

King, and the successes of the late campaign. Three days afterwards

d'Argenson became Minister of Foreign Affairs.

The fall of Fribourg closed the events of the year in Alsace. Thither

in August the King had hurried from Flanders upon hearing that as

Frederick had predicted, the Austrians, under Prince Charles of

Lorraine, had crossed the Rhine and were ravaging French territory.

Louis had no sooner arrived than he was stricken down with fever at

Metz; while, through the culpable negligence of his generals Noailles

and Coigny, the Prince of Lorraine had been allowed to escape and

to join the resistance to Frederick, who had again drawn the sword

against Maria Theresa, and had fulfilled his promise of the Treaty

of Frankfort (1st June, 1744) by a dashing descent upon Bohemia. His

communications were threatened by the return of Prince Charles; Prague

was evacuated by the Prussians, and Frederick withdrew with all his

forces into Silesia. He was weary of the war, which had long been

utterly objectless; he saw clearly enough that its further prolongation

could only postpone what it could not prevent, the eventual triumph of

Maria Theresa; he would have been glad to escape upon any terms which

would leave him in possession of his hard won conquest. On the 26th of

November he wrote to Louis XV., suggesting that negotiations for peace

should be set on foot, demanding nothing for himself, and proposing

as a basis the cession of Upper Austria, and the recognition of the

Emperor by Maria Theresa.[273]

To this overture d'Argenson drafted a reply (December 17th). France,

rivalling Frederick in disinterestedness, would be content to provide

equitably for her allies, would renounce her own conquests in Flanders,

and accept the mediation of Saxony. Over this draft was written, "N'

a point servi." D'Argenson, taken aback, and feeling it necessary to

make sure of his ground, requested the King to inform him definitely of

his attitude on the question of peace. In reply he received (December

23rd), a memorandum,[274] in which the King expressed his desire for

peace, deprecated any positive negotiation, and declared that the most

direct way of realising his desire would be by "the most vigorous war."

On the same day Louis wrote to Frederick,[275] discussing the proposals

of the latter, and marking not the least eagerness to second his

pacific designs.

D'Argenson was by no means blind to the meaning of the King's

memorandum. "If the King was animated by the desire for peace, he was

still more so by the love of glory;"[276] he had just made his first

campaign under the auspices of Madame de Châteauroux; and he looked

forward to recovering in Flanders the easy laurels which had been

snatched from him in the previous year.[277] D'Argenson feared for the

result. His view of the interest of France was wise and clear. The

attempt to humble the House of Austria had failed;[278] "peace, no

matter how it came, was now the principal object;"[279] the best means

of securing it was "to stand upon the defensive in every quarter with

foresight and success."[280] In this way the Queen of Hungary would

be convinced of the hopelessness of her plans of vengeance, and the

opinion of the peace party in the several courts would have time to

make itself felt.[281]

Accordingly, "_a few days after_" receiving the King's memorandum,

d'Argenson presented to him a memoir, his reference to which is of the

first importance. He proposed that France should confine herself to "_a

simple defensive in Flanders, not only for fear of raising a dangerous

storm in that quarter, but in order to throw more weight upon the two

other theatres of war, Germany and Italy. It was in these directions

that the chief objects lay; and so far from being able to carry all

before us, we were not even sure of holding our ground. It was in

Germany that the Queen of Hungary was concentrating her principal

forces, while she left to the maritime powers the task of defending the

Low Countries. In Italy we required to be superior to the Spaniards, in

order to direct them well_."[282] So far as d'Argenson personally is

concerned, the above appears to be the most valuable record to be found

in his ministerial memoirs.

On the 26th of December and the 4th and 8th of January, three letters

were written by Frederick,[283] which show that events are moving

rapidly. He declares that if negotiations are to be undertaken, it

must be done at once;[284] that he has himself to deal with twenty

thousand Hungarians in Upper Silesia;[285] that a strong detachment

of Prince Charles's army is on the confines of Bavaria;[286] and that

events of gravity are only to be averted by the reinforcement of the

army of the Lower Rhine, and the despatch of immediate and effective

succour to the Emperor and the Bavarian army. "At the present moment,

these two positions appear to me of capital importance. They are no

slight reverses of which we are running the risk, but the frustration

of all our present measures, and even of those for the coming

campaign." (January 8, 1745).[287]

The reception which awaited these representations is significant. In

the first days of January, an Austrian force, after repulsing a weak

French detachment, established itself upon Bavarian territory.[288] At

that very moment the Emperor, in reply to his prayers and entreaties,

received a letter[289] (January 2nd), in which the French King, with

manifest impatience, declared himself unable to satisfy his demands.

Upon the 9th Louis, in a reply to Frederick, asserted that there was

no reason to believe that an Austrian advance was imminent,[290]

and declined to pursue further the steps taken in the direction of

peace. The letter is described as "très froide et très maladroite"

(Zevort).[291]

The inference implied throughout the preceding appears explicitly in a

letter to Frederick of the 19th of January. Drafted by d'Argenson, it

was revised and signed by Louis XV. The two hands and the two policies

are apparent in every line. "Our union, our strength and our efforts,"

d'Argenson wrote, "give us promise of victory and peace." Under the

hand of the King it became "must give us victory." As to Bavaria and

the Lower Rhine, "I am thinking of these two objects;" Louis appended,

"without forgetting Flanders." To the last line this odd dualism is

continued.[292]

This letter was written on the 19th of January. On the following day

a new chapter was opened with the death of the Emperor Charles VII.,

after an illness of twenty-four hours.[293] So far, two months of

d'Argenson's ministry have elapsed. Their history has revealed one fact

with impressive clearness. Upon the question of peace and the question

of war, there is a radical divergence of principle and policy between

the French Government and the French Minister. The King will listen

to no overtures which may thwart his desire of overrunning Flanders.

D'Argenson is earnestly desirous of peace, to be secured by a strong

defensive campaign in Germany. Which was the wiser will soon appear.

The death of the Emperor (January 20, 1745) was perhaps one of the most

terrible blows which French policy has ever sustained. It came at a

moment when fortune had turned to the side of the Austrians, and when

every step lost by France was a tenfold gain to Maria Theresa.

Louis XV. had been disposed for war; he found that he had no longer

the power to choose. It is true that for the French ministry there

were two conceivable courses; but only one was practically open. It

was conceivably possible to make terms with Maria Theresa, and to use

the death of the Emperor as an excuse for withdrawing from the war.

Such doubtless was the view of the trampled German populations and of

the tax-burdened householder of the faubourgs; but it could only be

maintained by sacrificing every principle of honour and policy, and by

ignoring the only considerations which would weigh for a moment either

with Louis XV. or Maria Theresa.

For the French King the course was marked out with terrible clearness.

He had combined with other powers to rend the inheritance of a

defenceless woman; and now, when that woman had faced him, uncrowned

but veritably imperial, to beg forgiveness on his knees--the very

thought was impossible. Nor could the King of France yet bow before

his former vassal of Lorraine. Even if his enemy deigned to listen to

him, he would have to take or leave humiliating terms; and it would

be a cold return for that generous jubilation with which his people

had greeted him a year before. But not only were his own honour and

popularity concerned; there was another motive, to which he perhaps

may have been less sensible. To accept a peace upon any such terms as

Maria Theresa would be willing to grant would have been to inflict a

blow upon the future of French foreign policy, from which it might not

recover for half a century or more. The last would have been seen of

French influence in Central Europe: the upstart of Brandenburg would be

swept into the sea: two centuries of effort might be totally erased:

and Maria Theresa would resume the throne from which Charles V. had

descended. If not to the King, to d'Argenson at least, such a prospect

was at once conclusive.[294]

And when looked at from Vienna, peace was equally distant. As well seek

to recall a falcon striking its prey as to breathe of peace to Maria

Theresa. A statesman to her finger-tips, she saw at once that the two

objectives of the next campaign were Frankfort and Breslau. Her armies

were already on the plains of Breslau: her armies were within striking

distance of Frankfort: if but for a few months the breeze would hold,

the Flemish towns might fall to whom they pleased. And the path of

victory was the path of vengeance. She regarded the man who had failed

to wrong her, not, as is said, with the spleen of a woman, but with

the proud wrath of a queen; she had not forgotten that he had driven

her from her capital, and forced her to throw herself on the generosity

of the men her own fathers had oppressed; nor would she have been slow

to tender him the bitter cup from which she had drunk.

She might indeed have listened to him upon one condition--the

abandonment of Frederick to her vengeance. In June last she had sworn

that she would never lower her sword against the man who had torn up

the Treaty of Breslau, until her generals could dictate terms to him

from Breslau. Proposals on behalf of Frederick--she would have trampled

upon them, as she trampled upon the Treaty of Hanover in August, when

presented to her by her ally of England. In a word, the French King had

to choose between indelible dishonour and the disdainful rejection of

his terms.

If these reasons were decisive to the King, they were not less so to

d'Argenson himself.[295] No man longed so much as he for peace; but he

was not prepared to purchase it with the humiliation of his country,

and with the undreamed aggrandisement of that hated House against

which, all his life, he had consistently inveighed. The provinces were

henceforth to be beaten with scorpions; for the efforts of France had

been as nothing to that which the new enterprise would involve. Yet

cost what it might, the effort must be made; and d'Argenson was at

one with the Council[296] in the hope that by a single brilliant and

advantageous campaign, France and Frederick might establish a position

from which an honourable peace could be obtained.

The first necessity was to restore to their cause the moral basis which

had been struck from beneath it by the death of the Emperor. Henceforth

the pretext--for it proved to be little more--was to vindicate the

liberty of election, and to support a candidate acceptable to the

Electors. For the candidature of the Empire, the choice fell upon

Augustus III., Elector of Saxony and King of Poland, who at this very

time (January, 1745) was negotiating a secret treaty with Maria Theresa.

At this juncture, whatever may be said of it afterwards, the Government

acted with promptitude and determination. Before ten days had elapsed,

the position which seemed to Frederick "une crise terrible" had been

faced, the débris of a great policy had been swept to one side, and

before a courier could go and come between Paris and Berlin, the new

measures contemplated by the French Government were announced to

Frederick.

In a letter of the 31st of January--if not before it--d'Argenson

declared that "at the present moment the very idea of peace must be

forgotten," and the most strenuous steps must be taken to secure the

alliance of the King of Poland.[297] This policy was reiterated in

letters of the 1st and 4th of February;[298] and from now until the

eve of the election at Frankfort, a desperate effort was maintained to

induce Augustus to abandon Austria, and to declare himself a candidate

for the Empire.

The conduct of the negotiations fell into the hands of d'Argenson.

His own share in the policy is difficult to determine. He knew there

was really no choice; but he could not help seeing that on every side

it was beset with difficulties. It was true that the King of Poland

could scarcely resist the magnificent prize held out to him; and it

was not to be supposed that mere personal animosities could obliterate

every consideration of interest and honour. In that view the Minister

concurred with the Council; and he was supported by Valori,[299] the

French envoy at Berlin, who was deputed to approach the Court of

Dresden. To French statesmen the opinion was just and natural enough.

Yet d'Argenson at least, though he viewed them undaunted, was by no

means blind to the difficulties in the way. The jealousy of Russia in

regard to Poland, the formidable rage of the Queen of Hungary, and

above all, his hatred and jealousy of the King of Prussia, would all

combine to deter Augustus from committing himself in the interest of

France. Indeed so small was d'Argenson's confidence of success, that he

was unwilling to follow the Council in their resolution to subsidise

the King of Poland, and to guarantee to him by treaty an accession of

territory to be obtained at the cost of Maria Theresa.[300] However

unpromising, the negotiation had to be begun; there was no alternative;

and if it came to nothing more, it would at least give time for the

development of a campaign, and for the armies of France and Prussia

to achieve a position which would serve as the basis of an honourable

peace.[301]

If at Paris the plan seemed practicable enough, at Berlin it was

regarded from a very different standpoint. French statesmen could

consider nothing but the strength of their four armies, the excellence

of their intentions, and the splendour of the position to which

Augustus would be raised by the arms of France and Prussia. To

Frederick the matter presented itself in a less encouraging light. He

knew his neighbour of Saxony; he knew that Augustus had no resources

of his own; that his ministers were in sympathy with Austria and in

the pay of England; and that what might leave Paris as the offer of

an empire would reach Dresden as nothing more than an invitation to

Augustus to throw over a sound alliance, to place himself at the mercy

and become the tool of a covert enemy and a doubtful friend, and in a

word, to resume the position from which Charles VII. had been happily

liberated by death. Frederick saw at once that the French policy

was foredoomed, and he did his best to impress upon the cabinet the

fruitlessness of its task.[302] Finding his representations received as

merely the suggestions of prejudice and jealousy, he had no alternative

but to give way; and on the 13th of February[303] he announces that he

has "buried his resentment," and sanctioned the departure of Valori

for Dresden. Frederick was perfectly confident that Valori could only

fail;[304] and he felt that any apparent success which he might gain,

would be by no means useless in another direction in which his own

efforts were actively engaged.[305]

If the hopes of France were illusory and her policy unsound, they were

certainly not more so than the course which Frederick had himself

adopted. On the 26th of January, before any definite communication

had reached him from the French Government, he had instructed his

representatives to sound the ministers at London and the Hague;[306]

for a consideration received he offered to withdraw from the war,

and to co-operate in the election of the Grand Duke. His agents were

instructed to press these proposals.

That Frederick could have had any real confidence in these measures,

it is difficult to believe. It is true that in England the Hanoverian

party was no longer in power; but George II. was bent upon the war,

and Carteret's influence was still supreme; moreover, popular feeling,

while demanding a change in the direction of the war, was by no means

in favour of its abandonment. Whatever the dispositions of the English

ministry, from Maria Theresa there was nothing to hope. Indeed the

whole plan was a counsel of despair. Frederick had everything to gain

and absolutely nothing to offer; he had incensed the whole of the

Austrian party; and if there were no motives of interest to aid him, he

could scarcely trust to motives of charity. Indeed the whole situation

is summed up in some words of Chesterfield to the Prussian minister at

the Hague: "I understand," he said, "the truth is you ask everything

and you offer nothing, for Silesia is no longer yours, since you have

yourselves torn up the treaty which gave it you."[307]

It is easy to see the very natural motives which actuated Frederick

in the adoption of his policy.[308] On the 31st of January, before

the measures contemplated by the French Government had yet been

communicated to him, he wrote to Louis XV. describing the position of

their cause in Germany in terms of very real concern. He spoke of the

utter dejection into which their allies had been plunged by the death

of the Emperor, and of the favourable positions secured by the Austrian

party; and he declared that only by the immediate reinforcement of

the French army in Bavaria could the young Elector be prevented from

"throwing himself into the arms of the Queen of Hungary."

It was probably with some surprise and not a little relief that he

received the news of the French determination to continue the war.[309]

He was already, as we have seen, in communication with London and

the Hague; but he could not help feeling how slender was his hope in

the intervention of the maritime powers; and he was wise enough to

know that peace, when it came, would be the less precarious for being

secured by a successful campaign.

That this was his feeling in the matter is clear from the attitude

he maintained towards France during the next two months. While

hoping desperately for the intervention of England, he neglected no

opportunity of concerting measures for the future of the war. Until

the re-opening of the campaign in Flanders, Louis XV. was besieged

with letters, memoirs, requisitions of all sorts, demonstrating

with unfaltering precision the critical positions which had to be

maintained, and insisting upon the only measures by which the French

policy could be carried to success, and the French allies preserved

from ruin. He made it clear[310] that a majority in the Electoral

Diet could only be secured, and the influence of the Austrian party

destroyed, by the most vigorous action on the part of the two French

armies in Bavaria and on the Main.

It had not remained for the King of Prussia to indicate the only

means by which the French policy could be executed or excused. Even

before the death of the Emperor, as we have seen, d'Argenson had

been convinced that the readiest way of obtaining peace was not by a

brilliant invasion of Flanders, but by a strong defensive campaign in

Germany.[311] He now saw that every consideration in favour of his

policy had gained tenfold in weight; and about the middle of February,

probably upon hearing of Valori's difficulties at Dresden, he presented

to the king a certain memoir setting forth a plan for the future

campaign.

This memoir is of the last importance.[312] It strikes the key-note of

d'Argenson's conduct during the year 1745; it illustrates, as nothing

else can do, his real position in the Ministry; and it alone can

explain his subsequent attitude with regard to Frederick and Prussia.

As this document is very rare, and as it only exists by a fortunate

accident, it will be advisable to reproduce it entirely as it stands;

its meaning is too precious to be even prejudiced by an attempt at

translation. No apology will be found necessary for its inclusion here.

It runs:

"SIRE,--_Depuis deux mois_[313] je suis assez au fait de la combinaison

de nos forces sur les quatre théâtres de guerre où V.M. a des armées

présentement prêtes à entrer en campagne, pour critiquer les positions

relativement à la politique et pour vous donner mon avis.

"Les Pays-Bas, où V.M. va commander son armée, ne sont pas l'objet

principal de cette guerre; je crains que les flatteurs et les gens

intéressés à faire paraître des opérations militaires plus brillantes

que solides, n'ayent conseillé à préférer ce côté-là à d'autres. Vous

y occuperez, il est vrai, les forces des puissances maritimes, et

quelques-unes de l'Autriche; mais ce n'est qu'une diversion; et _l'on

ne recourt aux diversions que quand on ne peut aller directement à

l'objet principal_.

"Si V.M. y a des grands succès, je veux qu'elle puisse pénétrer sous

peu en Hollande, et qu'elle châtie par là les Hollandais de leur

ingrate témérité; _mais cela ne nous donnera pas la paix_; et pour

comparer le présent au passé, c'est convertir la belle position que

nous donna la paix de Nimègue en la vaine entreprise du feu roi en 1672

quand il pénétra en Hollande.

"L'année dernière, Votre Majesté ayant débuté par des conquêtes en

Flandre, il fallut retourner en Allemagne. Alors c'était le passage

du Rhin par le prince Charles qui y obligeait; cette année-ci ce sera

l'élévation du grand-duc comme empereur qui y forcera.

"L'objet principal est l'Allemagne; tout en dépend, même

l'établissement de l'infant don Philippe en Italie. _Pour parvenir à la

paix_, Votre Majesté a trois objets à soutenir: (1) _de maintenir le

roi de Prusse en Silésie_; (2) d'empêcher l'élection du grand-duc, et

de procurer l'élection de la couronne impériale au roi de Pologne avec

une grande facilité; sans quoi, _il n'en acceptera même l'idée_; (3)

un établissement pour don Philippe, quel qu'il puisse être. Pour cet

effet, _il faut que nous nous soutenions puissants en Allemagne, et que

nous tâchions d'y donner la main au roi de Prusse_.

"Les quatre théâtres de guerre, où opèrent nos quatre armées, sont

celle de Flandre, celle de Mein, celle de Souabe, et celle d'Italie.

"Je serais d'avis que V.M. ne fît qu'une _défensive en Flandre_, sous

les ordres du comte de Saxe, qui s'y entend si bien, ainsi qu'il a paru

à la fin de la dernière campagne.

"_En Italie encore une défensive_, malgré ce qu'en pourront dire les

Espagnols, pour bien assurer les Gênois, les mettre à l'abri de toute

attaque, défendre par là le roi de Naples, et tenir en échec le roi de

Sardaigne, qui même ne pourra se soutenir à la longue, s'il n'est point

soutenu des Autrichiens; et si l'on trouve jour à entamer le Piémont,

qu'on y avance autant qu'on pourra; qu'on avance dans le Milanais et le

Plaisantin, si l'on peut; _mais qu'en Allemagne nous faisions nos plus

grands efforts_.

"Que Votre Majesté se porte incessamment à Strasbourg avec son équipage

de guerre, pour aller ensuite commander celle des deux armées, qui

promettra d'avoir le plus de succès et de sécurité pour la personne

sacrée de Votre Majesté.

"_Celle du Mein_, sous les ordres du Maréchal de Maillebois, a

commencé à pousser l'ennemi. Je serais d'avis qu'on lui continuerât ce

généralât. Elle pourra aller _jusqu'en Westphalie et à Hanovre_. _Celle

de Bavière_ doit être rassemblée incessamment, avec des magasins à vos

dépens, puisque l'électorât de Bavière n'en peut fournir. Il faut la

mettre en état de faire le siège d'Ingolstadt, resserrer nos quartiers,

et _allant du Leck à Passau elle pénétrera en Autriche et donnera la

main au roi de Prusse_.

"Comptez, Sire,[314] que ce puissant allié sortira de sa défensive;

qu'il ira en Bohême, en Moravie, et même en Autriche, s'il se peut,

quand nous lui montrerons si bonne exemple. Avec cela _Votre Majesté

soutiendra ses alliances et même les augmentera_. Le Palatin, la

Hesse, la Bavière nous seconderont; et _la Saxe_ même, assurée de nos

succès, _n'hésitera plus d'accepter la couronne impériale_. Au moins

retarderons-nous cette élection, et elle sera le scéau de la paix. _Si

au contraire, nous n'envisageons que la Flandre_ comme objet principal,

et que nous négligeons l'Allemagne, _nous perdrons tous nos alliés,

les unes après les autres, et notre ennemi sera élu empereur sous nos

yeux_."[315]

There are many striking suggestions to be found in this memoir; but it

may be scrutinised in vain for any evidence of that doubt, hesitation,

looseness of grasp, by which d'Argenson's conduct is too readily

explained; while, on the contrary, we have only to read it in the light

of the measures actually taken by the French Government to detect the

real foundation for those charges: and to know how much weight it is

necessary to attach to them in so far as they concern the Marquis

d'Argenson.

We have only to read the above memoir with any of those prepared by

Frederick, and to sketch the chain of circumstances which took Louis

to Fontenoy, to be in possession of all the threads of the long

complication of 1745.

In a memoir of the 6th of March,[316] Frederick represents that if

the election of the Grand Duke is to be prevented, a majority in

the Electoral College must be regained; if that is to be done, the

communications between Hanover and the three ecclesiastical Electorates

must be severed by the vigour of the army of Maillebois; and the

decisive movement must come from the army of Bavaria, which, under

vigorous command, must capture Passau, march upon Vienna, and by

drawing off the Austrian troops, throw open Moravia to the Prussian

army. He does not mince the meaning of his proposals.

"If another course is taken in this war, the King of France will reduce

his allies to the necessity of withdrawing from it as best they can;

for there must be a prompt end to this, and the matter must be decided

one way or the other before the imperial election."[317]

Frederick's communications with the French Court are one long

reiteration of this demand. Never did a man plead more eloquently the

cause of reason and manliness; and never was eloquence more desperately

sincere.

The action, not of the French Minister, but of the French Government,

is almost incredible. They had deliberately embarked upon a great

policy, and they deliberately refused to take a single step by which

it could be realised. All that depended on d'Argenson indeed, was done

as strenuously as man could do it. He exhausted himself in efforts to

win over the King of Poland, trampling down or shutting his eyes to the

obstacles which faced him; and he never relaxed in his entreaties to

Frederick to second his efforts at Dresden.

"Will your Majesty consider that by this alliance, if it should ever

take place, we should become absolute masters of the situation."[318]

... "If your Majesty cannot lay aside the feelings which alienate him

from the King of Poland, I see only the prospect[319] of a long war,

the Grand Duke Emperor, and the Empire turned against us, whatever

efforts we may make."[320]

D'Argenson might beg and entreat, and write despatches: but he

was powerless to enforce his words with the weight of his little

finger.[321] On the 10th of March he drafted a reply to Frederick, in

which he undertook that the army of Bavaria should be reinforced and

should push the war with vigour. The reply never went to Berlin; it

remains marked with the words "n'a pas servi."[322] Indeed the French

policy was already decided. For no political reason whatever, the King

had set his heart upon a campaign in Flanders; and to that desire his

own interest, the interest of his allies, and every statesmanlike

consideration must of necessity yield. He was not likely to meet with

resistance from Noailles, still less from Count d'Argenson or Maurepas;

and the Foreign Minister stood alone in fruitless opposition to this

brilliant piece of political fatuity.

The effects of it were apparent already. The arms of France were

paralysed in Germany in order that troops might be concentrated in

Flanders; the army of Bavaria could not be reinforced; little could

be done for the army of the Main; and d'Argenson, while persistently

demanding ready co-operation in his overtures at Dresden, was obliged

to evade and trifle with the equally persistent demands of Frederick.

His position was a very thankless one; and it would have been as

ridiculous as it at first would seem, had it been of his own choosing.

That it was not, there is ample evidence to prove.

From this anomalous disposition of the French Government the four

decisive events of the year 1745 descend in lineal succession. Each

was a political disaster of the first magnitude; every one of them was

richly deserved, and not one was really attributable to the Minister

who has ordinarily borne the burden and the blame. Those events

are--first, the loss of Bavaria; second, the Convention of Hanover;

third, the election of Francis I.; and fourth, the Treaty of Dresden.

It was on the 21st of January that the young prince Maximilian

succeeded to the Electorate of Bavaria; on the 19th of April he signed

a convention with Maria Theresa.[323]

The Emperor on his death-bed had adjured his son to rely on the support

of France;[324] and Chavigny, the French minister at Munich, was ready

to assure him that he would never do so in vain.[325] The Austrian

troops were already in Bavaria; repeated warnings were given both by

Frederick and Chavigny of the critical position of the young Elector;

and every means of persuasion was exhausted by Chavigny in order to

secure the reinforcement of the Bavarian army. The French Government

were deaf to his representations; the Council rejected d'Argenson's

despatches;[326] d'Argenson himself was at last irritated at the

reiteration of demands with which he had no power to comply.[327]

Chavigny had to pacify the Elector with promises and assurances, in

default of troops.

In the meanwhile no effort was spared by Maria Theresa to detach the

Elector from the League of Frankfort.[328] Her diplomatic agents were

Colloredo and Count Batthiany. Colloredo negotiated at Munich with

humiliating terms of peace; Batthiany advanced upon Munich with an army

eleven thousand strong, before which Ségur, with a small French force,

had withdrawn to the Bavarian frontier. Accordingly, Chavigny and the

Elector fled to Augsburg, where, on the 19th of April, a treaty of

peace, dictated by the Austrian envoy, was signed by Maximilian.

The event of the 19th of April was the signal for what M. de Broglie

himself calls "the breakup and rout of all that in a greater or less

degree was still holding to France."[329] The Prince of Hesse, the

Elector Palatine, the Duke of Wurtemburg, and the Electors of Trèves

and Mayence were at no pains to conceal their view that the French

cause in Germany was lost; while the Elector of Saxony, Augustus

himself, the very man upon whom for three months the efforts of French

diplomacy had been centred, made haste to summon the troops of France

to withdraw from the soil of the Empire, where there remained no excuse

for their continued presence.[330]

Such was the disaster d'Argenson had foreseen and endeavoured vainly

to avert. He is said[331] to have cherished with blind fatuity an

unfounded faith in the fidelity of Bavaria. That faith was more than

justified, if we are to believe Chavigny, who said that up to the very

day when the unhappy Elector was forced to abandon his capital to the

Austrians, he remained firmly attached to the French alliance.[332] The

truth is this: that not only at Munich, but at Dresden and Frankfort,

d'Argenson's action must appear ridiculous; because, while prosecuting

his negotiations with energy and enthusiasm, he was unable, through no

fault of his own, to give them the weight of a single cannon-shot. In a

word, the bold policy of the 31st of January, while actively prosecuted

by the French Minister, was tacitly abandoned by the French Government.

Of that fact Frederick needed no further evidence than the Convention

of Augsburg. His mind was made up. He saw at once that the real object

of that Government was, not the protection of German liberties, not the

election of the King of Poland, not a decisive war and an honourable

peace, but simply a holiday campaign in Flanders. He was utterly

exasperated by the vain selfishness of the French policy, while his

impatience at its continued tenderness for Saxony mounted to the brim.

"We are on the eve of a new war," he wrote to Louis XV., a fortnight

after the loss of Bavaria, "and what I want to know is this: Is Your

Majesty going to declare himself for a prince who is giving auxiliaries

to the enemies of France, or for the man whose diversion disentangled

Alsace; does Your Majesty prefer the artifices of a crafty and secret

enemy to the frankness of an honest friend, who has drawn upon himself

the whole burden of the war, and whose provinces are now only being

ravaged in order to secure the sweets of tranquillity to the subjects

who live under French dominion. In a word, I must know if the justice,

the honour, the generosity of Your Majesty can consent to leave me

without the real assistance which He is bound by treaties to render,

and to sacrifice me to a prince who has dethroned Your Majesty's

father-in-law, a prince who is sold to the enemies of France, and who

is only awaiting the favourable moment to give vent to his hatred and

animosity against her."[333]

He gives the French king to understand that for the purposes of the

common cause, the siege of Babylon will be as useful as the siege of

Tournay;[334] and in despair of producing any effect, he concludes:

"It is simply in the force of his own arms and in the fortune of

battles that the King of Prussia puts his greatest trust, in the hope

that the goodness of his cause and the valour of his troops will never

fail him."[335]

He sees but one remedy for the crisis produced by the loss of

Bavaria--the immediate invasion of Hanover by Conti, with the army of

the Main.[336]

This advice was a marvel of astuteness. He saw that with the

abandonment of France he had nothing further to hope from the war;

and that his only resource lay in bringing pressure to bear upon the

maritime powers, and extricating himself as best he could. He proceeded

to do so, needless to say, without the least compunction. To Frederick,

the difference between the open rupture of an alliance and the tacit

abandonment of an ally, was one for a casuist and not for a statesman.

Events deepened his determination. Decided by the fall of Bavaria,

Augustus on the 18th of May had ratified the Treaty of Warsaw arranged

in January with Maria Theresa;[337] and on the 4th of June, a combined

army of Austrians and Saxons strayed into the "trap" which Frederick

had spread for them at Friedbourg.[338] On the 11th of May, Louis XV.

had reaped the utterly vain glory of Fontenoy; and shortly afterwards

Conti, upon the Main, received orders to detach twenty thousand men

for the army of Flanders.[339] The Statesman at Vienna seized the

opportunity to unite her armies in Bavaria and Franconia, and Conti,

menaced by superior forces, withdrew with his troops beyond the

Rhine.[340] There was not a Frenchman left in Germany; and the army of

the Empress closed round Frankfort.

At the end of an ironical letter of compliment to the French king,

Frederick writes (August 25th):

"It is a pity that in such a fine picture there should be one blot to

spoil it a little. I speak of the retreat of the Prince of Conti. It

is he who crowns the Grand Duke, and places Your Majesty's allies in a

desperate and fatal position."[341]

From that position Frederick was determined to escape; but his success

would have been more than doubtful, were it not that at this very

moment, a critical conjunction of untoward events softened the obduracy

of George II. The French advance in the Low Countries, the clamour of

the peace party, and above all, the sweeping success of the gallant

Prince Charles Edward, forced King George to listen to terms.[342] If

the English troops were to be withdrawn from the Continent, Hanover

could not be left at the mercy of Frederick; and only by the suspension

of arms in Silesia, could a force be drafted from the Austrian army to

relieve the English in the defence of Flanders. A determined effort

was made to induce Maria Theresa to consent to a pacification. She

would have nothing whatever to do with the traitor of Brandenburg; nor

would she listen to any proposal which would involve the withdrawal

of a single man from the Silesian frontier.[343] In the meanwhile

time pressed; Charles Edward was marching on Edinburgh; and on the

26th of August, the King of England signed the Convention of Hanover,

guaranteeing, for himself and his allies, the suspension of the war and

the maintenance of Frederick in Silesia.[344]

If Maria Theresa had rejected, three weeks before, the proposals

presented to her by her ally of England, she was not more likely to

recognise the Convention signed by England upon her behalf. On the very

day when Robinson, the English envoy at Vienna, endeavoured to obtain

her acceptance of a treaty which snatched her enemy from her grasp, she

received the news[345] that the long conflict she had maintained so

manfully had ended at last in triumph, and that her husband, the Grand

Duke of Tuscany, had been elected Emperor at Frankfort.

This election took place on the 3rd of September. It shattered once

for all the diplomatic combinations which the labour and enthusiasm of

d'Argenson had endeavoured singly to sustain. To crown the catastrophe,

he was abandoned by the man to whom everything had been sacrificed;

for the King of Poland, a few days before, declared in favour of the

Austrian candidate.[346] At the very moment of this palpable collapse

of French influence in Germany, the air became heavy with rumours of

the withdrawal of Frederick from the French alliance.

It is no easy matter to determine d'Argenson's real share in these

events; but it seems clear that whatever tone be assumed in regard to

it, it cannot be that of harsh contempt.

At a terrible crisis in the beginning of the year, he had acquiesced

in the adoption of a daring policy; he had discerned the measures by

which alone that policy could be realised; and he had endeavoured,

in conjunction with the greatest of the French allies, to enforce

them upon his colleagues. He had seen those measures, one by one,

deliberately and wantonly rejected; and the policy which could only

be maintained by a couple of armies was left him to support without a

single man. Inevitably his time was spent in apprehending disaster, in

futile attempts to hamper its approach, and in transparent efforts,

when it came at last, to give it the appearance of success.[347] In a

constitutional government he might have resigned his place, declining

the responsibility for measures which he had no power to control. As

the minister of Louis XV., such a course was impossible. He might again

have refused to pursue his negotiations at Dresden and in the several

Electorates; but to have done so would have been to deprive the French

intervention of its only possible pretext. A third course would have

been to shrug his shoulders, tear up the policy of January last, and

accept his share in the unprincipled by-play which was the only form

that French diplomacy in Germany could reasonably take. He had simply

to choose between acting like a knave, and looking like a fool. The

qualities requisite for the former part he had never been able to

acquire; and he had a profound faith that knavishness was the very last

attribute of a statesman. In short, his only resource was to believe,

in spite of himself, that there still remained some serious possibility

of success, to shut his eyes to ominous circumstances, and to clutch

at every shred of hope. By dint of trying to persuade others, he

succeeded at last in persuading himself. He lost sight of the fact

which had once been clear to him, that to Frederick mere protestations

of confidence, with nothing to support them, were not worth the paper

they were written on; and he clung to the belief that the suave

indecisions of the Court of Dresden were more than a diplomatic veil

for an absolute refusal. So it was that when the disasters he had

foreseen occurred in due course, he found that it was less easy to

accept than to apprehend the inevitable; and the Treaty of Hanover and

the election at Frankfort came to him as a cruel blow. In a sorrowful

letter to Marshal de Belleisle he says:

"I have received your letter. As to what you say of me, I must say

nothing, and with good reason; I fear your praises more than any man's,

for I know your sincerity. Nevertheless, I cannot believe that I have

the least capacity for affairs, where, up to the present, I have had so

little success."[348]

Knowing as we do in how slight a degree d'Argenson was himself

responsible for these disasters, we can only be impressed by the

touching readiness with which he was content to accept the blame.

For eight months he had been in as thankless a position as was ever

occupied by mortal man. His representations had been neglected; his

despatches had been revised or rejected by the Council; deprived of

means, his enterprises had been doomed to failure; and it was only by

his own enthusiasm and devotion that they had been maintained so long

as they were. If on occasion he had been blindly credulous, there were

occasions when only by blind credulity could his position be maintained

at all.

It was by a courier from the headquarters of Prince Charles's army

that the news of the treaty which guaranteed to Frederick a suspension

of arms was conveyed to Maria Theresa.[349] She at once communicated

with Count Brühl, the all-powerful favourite at Dresden. Immediately

afterwards (September 10th), the Saxon minister placed in the hands of

the French agent a draft of the Convention of Hanover, and gave him

to understand that if France desired to be avenged upon her faithless

ally, she would not be repulsed at Vienna.[350]

The French Ministry was at once placed in possession of this startling

news; and it was resolved, by a majority of the Council, that

negotiations should be opened at Dresden with Maria Theresa.[351] The

feeling against Frederick was at fever-heat.

D'Argenson's time had come at last. He had opposed without success

the resolution of the Council; but his own credit had fallen with the

defection of the man whose fidelity he had guaranteed. Nevertheless, he

knew that persuasion was the least of his resources; and he resolved

that it should be no fault of his if anything came of the overtures of

the Empress.

His position is clear. It was not for nothing that for twenty years

he had studied and thought upon public affairs; he was as deeply

versed in the interests of the kingdom as the rest were skilled in the

intrigue of the Court. The meaning of the Austrian proposals was not

mistaken for an instant. Maria Theresa, roused by the thought that her

enemy was escaping, had resolved to sacrifice her lesser hate; and

by making terms with France, even at the cost of some of her Belgian

provinces, to set free an army, forty thousand strong, for service in

Silesia. D'Argenson knew the meaning of that; it would be all over with

Frederick II.

The prospect suggested two questions. In the first place: Was it just?

Had Frederick deserved the fate to which the French Council were ready

to abandon him? D'Argenson had only to recall his correspondence with

Prussia during the spring, the loss of Bavaria, and the retreat of

Conti, to satisfy himself that if France had at last been abandoned

by Prussia, she had only herself to blame. But there was a further

consideration. Was it wise? and to that question d'Argenson alone

in the French Ministry was capable of desiring or conceiving the

answer. To the rest, to Noailles or Maurepas or Count d'Argenson, the

paltry personality of the month or of the moment, the time-killing,

time-winning shuffle or shift, was the decisive factor in politics.

D'Argenson's statesmanship had a broader base. It had regard, not to

the interest of his place or to the opinion of de Pompadour, but to

the interest of his country and the tradition of Richelieu. He alone

could weigh the gravity of the course the Council undertook so lightly.

He alone could see that so long as the Prussians remained in Breslau,

France would be sure of a powerful ally, and the right hand of Austria

would be paralysed in Europe; while, upon the other hand, if Frederick

were compelled to bow before fate and Maria Theresa, the heiress of

Austria would draw the sword of Charles V. against her own enemy and

the enemy of her House. Months before, d'Argenson had revealed his

feeling in one of those master-sayings of depth and directness, which

only tend to strengthen the belief that his history deserves to be

re-written. At a not dissimilar crisis he declared:

"We must not listen, we must not even permit a word of such a thing. If

the Low Countries were offered to me, I should believe them too dearly

bought at such a price as this. You have to make it clearly understood

that His Majesty is resolved never to stand by and see this prince

despoiled of what has been ceded to him by his treaty with the Queen

of Hungary at Breslau in 1742; and that His Majesty would prefer to

surrender the dearest interests of his realm than ever consent to allow

this prince to be deprived of Silesia and the county of Glatz."[352]

It is the saying of a man who is not easy to understand, but who is

worth the trouble which the attempt involves. To put his attitude in

a word, he regarded Silesia as strategically the most valuable of the

French provinces. He would have preferred almost to sacrifice Lorraine.

The Council, in arriving at the above resolution, had reckoned without

the minister who was to carry it into effect. At this juncture

d'Argenson found that the very circumstances which had paralysed his

efforts in the beginning of the year were telling powerfully in his

favour; for the anarchy prevailing in the French Government was such

that the only means of positive action open to any of the ministers

was in the frustration of his colleagues' designs. To that task

d'Argenson addressed himself with right good will. In transmitting his

instructions to Vaulgrenant, the French envoy at Dresden, he allowed

him to understand that if he could only succeed in failing, his failure

would not go unforgiven.[353] The Austrian majority in the Council

were by no means unanimous; and their different resolutions were

communicated to Vaulgrenant without the faintest attempt to reconcile

them.[354]

"I agree that the matter is one of some difficulty," wrote d'Argenson;

"M. de Vaulgrenant will get out of it as best he can."[355]

Above all, he made the ambassador clearly understand that he was to

listen to no proposal which would tend to deprive Frederick of Silesia,

well knowing that with that object only had the Empress been induced to

treat at all.[356] In fact, Vaulgrenant could not possibly mistake the

tone which the minister desired him to assume.

In this enterprise d'Argenson found a powerful ally in the man whom,

in the beginning of the year, he had endeavoured vainly to assist.

Frederick had achieved one of his master-strokes. Upon hearing of the

Convention of Hanover, Maria Theresa had formed a daring design. She

resolved to ignore the approach of winter, and to concentrate her

troops in Saxon territory for a direct descent upon Brandenburg. The

plan was concerted secretly with Augustus, and the Saxon army would act

with the Austrians.[357] At the close of the regular campaign Frederick

had returned to Berlin. His sword had clicked again in the scabbard,

his hand had fallen nerveless from the hilt, when suddenly a stray word

let fall at a dinner-table by Count Brühl was conveyed carefully to

Berlin; tensely the fingers closed upon the hilt, the sword leapt forth

again bare and terrible, and at the end of a three-weeks' campaign,

which we cannot even read of now without dancing eyes and tingling

blood, the lion of Brandenburg entered Dresden.

It was through streets strewn with the red work that the Austrian

envoy, on the verge of desperation, made his way to the house of

Vaulgrenant,[358] whom he found but moderately willing to listen to

proposals in doubtful favour with the ministry at home, and to the

prejudice of the man who might sleep that night in the capital of

his fallen enemy. The conference was without result; it was never

resumed.[359] Through the combined efforts of d'Argenson and Frederick

the whole negotiation had come to nothing; and Maria Theresa had no

alternative but to sign with Frederick the Treaty of Dresden. By this

treaty the Convention of Hanover was confirmed. Frederick was free to

withdraw from the war, and he was again recognised as sovereign of

Silesia.

This was the last great blow which French policy sustained during the

year 1745. Frederick had broken finally with France. Months before,

when the position had first been suggested by the news of the Treaty

of Hanover, d'Argenson had conceived his policy in regard to it. He

knew better than any man the real causes of Frederick's defection; and

deplore it as he might, he saw no reason for enlisting Prussia among

the enemies of France. He had expressed his thought in a letter to

Belleisle:--[360]

"We must leave him alone; he will remain neutral; he will deceive the

Queen of Hungary as he deceives everybody else; he will continue to

cause her uneasiness until the general peace, and it is his interest to

do so; he will oblige her always to keep an army in the neighbourhood

of Silesia.... We can retain his alliance by interest, or at least

by a certain understanding which prevents him hurting us, and which

will be useful to us in many ways." "In fact, as he told the Prussian

ambassador as soon as the Treaty of Dresden was known, he regarded

Prussia as henceforth the political centre of French interests in the

Empire and in the north."[361]

So concludes this study of the position really occupied by d'Argenson

with regard to the political events of 1745. It is not without reason

that it has been dwelt upon at length; for the period embraced seems

immeasurably the more important of d'Argenson's ministry. The principal

events of the following year are really no more than episodes, loose,

and comparatively of little weight. In 1745 however, we have a long and

connected series of incidents, affording an extended view of the rival

policies; and furthermore, we are brought directly into contact with

the great political question of the day, the question suggested by the

growing change in the relations of the German powers.

Moreover, it is upon his action during this period that the severity

of criticism in regard to d'Argenson's ministry is mainly based. To

accept that criticism as conclusive, it would have been necessary to

obliterate every impression suggested by his life before and after.

There was no alternative but to examine it; and if we have sometimes

been compelled to challenge the positions of MM. de Broglie and Zevort,

it is with a diffidence due to authorities so distinguished. Yet no

diffidence need disguise the result. So far as d'Argenson personally

is concerned, each historian supplies the material for questioning the

conclusions of the other: and at the same time for conceiving a third,

in harmony with d'Argenson's known character and opinions. So far as

we can see, neither writer has examined these events with reference

to any general scheme of policy in d'Argenson's own mind; the forms

that happened to be impressed upon that policy by the accidents or

circumstances of the moment appear to have been mistaken for the policy

itself--a process which, for a man in d'Argenson's position, would

efface the distinction between statesmanship and imbecility. Moreover,

he has frequently been held responsible for events over which he had no

control whatever; and in M. de Broglie's case, failure to appreciate

or sympathise with him is aggravated by personal opposition to his

measures; and about the whole account of his ministry, equable as it

is, there are unwelcome suggestions of Marshal de Noailles.

It is unpleasant to seem to speak so lightly of those to whom one

owes so much; and it is no further necessary. The conclusion remains

that during this period d'Argenson had a clear and statesmanlike

policy; that thwarted and crossed at every turn, he did what little he

could to realise it; that he was forced by the defection of his own

government into a false and even ridiculous position; and that, in the

circumstances, he acquitted himself as worthily as any man could be

expected to do.

In the following year, 1746,[362] the course of French foreign politics

is fortunately plain and simple. D'Argenson's position is clearly

marked, and it has been treated with what appears to be substantial

justice.[363]

The year presents three striking episodes. It opens with a strange

attempt and a still stranger failure, it is distinguished by at least

one marked success, and it closes with a curious comedy of intrigue of

which the _dénouement_ was d'Argenson's disgrace.

It was not the chance or the exigency of the moment that led to the

famous Negotiation of Turin. We can scarcely say how long d'Argenson

had dreamed of the liberation of Italy;[364] but for years past he had

clung to the idea with something of the fervour of a religious faith.

It was the one indulgence in the luxuries of idealism of which he

refused to deprive himself. The hope was an inspiring one, and not a

year had elapsed since his accession to the ministry, when he began his

famous attempt to realise it.

The key to the position was held by the King of Sardinia. Sardinia, in

alliance with Austria and in the pay of England, was the great barrier

against the Bourbon advance in Italy. To seduce Charles Emmanuel from

the cause of Maria Theresa would have been to cripple the Austrian

power in Italy; to induce him to turn his arms against his late ally

would have ensured her expulsion from the peninsula. There was only

one danger to be feared. In Spain, with the Italian branches of the

Spanish Bourbons, the House of Savoy had a deadly enemy; and d'Argenson

had predicted years before[365] that the whole project might be ruined

by the resistance of the Court of Madrid. He was only reassured by

the reflection that in her foreign relations, Spain was ultimately

dependent upon France, and that a French minister of firmness and

courage would be able to bend her to his will.

In September, 1745, d'Argenson approached the Sardinian Government with

certain remarkable proposals. He suggested a territorial re-arrangement

of Northern Italy, the expulsion of the Austrians from the peninsula

by the combined forces of France, Spain, and Sardinia, and the

constitution of the various states as an Italian confederation. These

overtures were coldly received, the Piedmontese minister representing

that their practical effect would be to draw down upon Sardinia the

vengeance of Austria and of the whole Empire. The defeat of Bassignano,

the progress of the Bourbon arms, and the danger which menaced the city

of Alessandria, modified the dispositions of Turin. The negotiations

were resumed; and proceeded so far that on the 26th of December the

partition of territory designed by d'Argenson was accepted by the

Sardinian Government, though the idea of an Italian Confederation was

still repulsed. On the return of Champeaux,[366] the French agent,

from Turin, arrangements were rapidly made for the conclusion of the

treaty; and on the 20th of January, Champeaux again set out from Paris

as minister plenipotentiary, charged to obtain a final settlement

within two days. Coincidently the Spanish Government was apprised

of the negotiation, and its adhesion was required within the same

time. Meanwhile, at the instance of Montgardin, the Sardinian envoy,

d'Argenson wrote to Marshal de Maillebois, in command of the French

army in Italy, acquainting him with the situation, and warning him to

remain upon the defensive until the conclusion of the treaty.

While the preliminaries were being signed at Turin, the reverses of

Prince Charles Edward freed the English Government from a pressing

embarrassment; and on the very day (December 26th), the conclusion of

the Treaty of Dresden enabled Maria Theresa to detach thirty thousand

men for the army of Italy. The Sardinian ministers began to repent of

the haste with which they had listened to the French overtures; they

saw that they had embarked upon a desperate venture, in which it would

be folly to persist; and henceforth their only care was to obtain an

armistice which might enable them to relieve Alessandria and to improve

their military position. Finding that in the proposals upon which

Champeaux was demanding a final answer, the preliminaries of the 26th

of December had been extended, they refused to accept the extension,

and they demanded that in case the Spanish Government failed to accede

to the treaty, the menace with which Louis XV. had tried to influence

it should be made a definite stipulation, and the French troops

withdrawn from Italy at the end of two months.

The news of the proposed treaty was received at Madrid with passionate

outcries. So far from consenting within forty-eight hours, Philip V.

addressed to his nephew an indignant letter of remonstrance; and a

special ambassador was despatched to Paris with orders to check the

progress of the negotiation. At first the treaty had been kept an

absolute secret between d'Argenson and the King; but it was now a

subject of popular rumour, and it became necessary to communicate it to

the Council.

A storm of opposition was at once let loose, and feeling the King's

resolution wavering, d'Argenson resolved upon a decisive step. On the

17th of February, relying upon the good faith of the Court of Turin, he

signed the armistice between France and Sardinia.

Meanwhile the Sardinian plans were complete. The great Austrian

reinforcement was approaching Mantua; the Piedmontese army was ready

to march, while Maillebois, trusting to his instructions, remained

inactive, and without a suspicion of the event which was preparing.

He was soon undeceived. His son, who was in charge of the armistice,

received a letter warning him not to approach Turin unless he was

prepared to make the concessions demanded by the King of Sardinia,

to raise the siege of Alessandria, and to declare the armistice

immediately. This Maillebois was unable to do; he was supplied with

passports, and informed that on the following morning (March 5th) the

Piedmontese army would be put in motion. A few days afterwards eleven

French battalions were surprised at Asti, and their surrender opened to

the Sardinian troops the road to Alessandria.

Exactly two days before, the prolonged resistance of the Spanish Court

yielded to the determination of d'Argenson; and Philip V. and Elisabeth

Farnese accepted the Treaty of Turin. They were soon to hear that the

plan they had striven so obstinately to frustrate had been destroyed by

the perfidy of Sardinia itself.

The news of the fall of Asti created consternation at Paris; and a

host of d'Argenson's enemies, headed by Noailles and Maurepas, were

only too eager to fasten the blame upon the Foreign Minister. The King

was carried away by the tide of reaction; and after the fashion of

weak men, he rushed to the opposite extreme. Everything was done to

propitiate Spain. Noailles was charged with a special mission to the

Spanish Court, where he used his opportunities to decry the Minister;

and most fatal step of all, the commander in Italy, Maillebois, was

instructed, for the rest of the campaign, to yield the initiative to

the Spanish generals. The two armies were divided by jealousies and

suspicions; the Austro-Sardinians pushed their advantage; and by the

end of the year the French were driven to the borders of Provence and

the Austrians entered Genoa.

Such was the famous fiasco of Turin. The project was doomed from

the beginning. The whole history of diplomacy could afford no more

intricate play of cross-purposes. Not one of the parties to the

negotiation understood the position of the rest; and it was only by

a masterly comprehension of its own that the Sardinian Government

escaped with success. Upon the conditions of the attempt and the causes

of its failure it is unnecessary further to enlarge. For the present

purposes it is principally important as perhaps the one event in the

whole course of d'Argenson's ministry for which his responsibility

is clear and decided; and it is the one event which plainly reveals

his greatness and weakness as a practical statesman, and displays the

very qualities and defects a previous knowledge of him might have led

us to expect. That matter may be dealt with more conveniently when our

impressions of his ministry have to be reviewed.

It was one of d'Argenson's political convictions that French influence

in Germany was to be best established by refraining from provocation

of the German powers. Throughout the winter of 1745 he was engaged in

a series of tedious negotiations with the various Electoral Courts,

designed to secure the neutrality of the Empire. His plans were

successful; and he was able, with the co-operation of Frederick and

of Maurice de Saxe, to banish the war entirely from Germany, and to

confine it to Italy and Flanders. The conduct of these measures has

secured the commendation of his most critical historian.

There remains to be considered a curious series of events, which

serves to illustrate the peculiar relations subsisting in the French

Government, and the embarrassments by which statesmanship was beset.

In July, 1746, Philip V. of Spain died; and the event was followed

immediately afterwards by the death of his daughter, the Dauphine of

France. The new king, Ferdinand, was strongly desirous that the young

French prince should espouse the sister of the late Dauphine; and the

proposal was supported by a powerful party at the French Court, at the

head of which were Noailles and Maurepas. The project was distasteful

to Louis XV., and it was rejected, ostensibly upon religious grounds.

It is suggested that d'Argenson's qualms were occasioned, not by an

access of unwonted scrupulosity, but by the hope of repairing the

disaster of Turin by the betrothal of the Dauphin to a daughter of

the King of Sardinia.[367] Louis was favourable to the scheme, and

negotiations were actively begun; but the determination of Sardinia to

press her advantage in Italy led to their suspension.

It was then resolved to demand in marriage the daughter of Augustus

III. of Saxony. The enterprise proceeded with singular rapidity, and

d'Argenson is proud to record it as the most striking of his diplomatic

successes. Yet on the very day on which the marriage was celebrated at

Dresden, the apparent author of it was disgraced.

The reason is as remarkable as the fact itself. Throughout the

negotiation there were two policies at work, one of which was entirely

unknown to the French minister. D'Argenson had conceived certain bold

and statesmanlike views with regard to the position of Saxony. He

hoped to bring about an understanding between Saxony and Prussia, and

by the combined influence of France and Prussia, to make the crown of

Poland hereditary in the Saxon house. By so doing it might be possible

to withdraw Augustus III. from his blind dependence upon Vienna and

St. Petersburg. The first step in the realisation of this plan must

be the ruin of the Saxon minister, Count Brühl, a sworn partisan of

Austria. The other policy was that of Count Brühl himself. He proposed

to take advantage of the French overtures in order to bring about an

understanding between France and Austria, and so to use their combined

forces for the destruction of the rising power of Prussia. The first

step in furtherance of the scheme must be the ruin of the Marquis

d'Argenson, a firm ally of Prussia.

In fact, the negotiation of Dresden resolved itself into a personal

duel between Count Brühl and d'Argenson. It ended, as we know, in

the triumph of the former, through the intervention of his great

compatriot, Maurice de Saxe.[368] The victor of Raucoux had recognised

a strong personal interest in the proposal to make his niece Dauphine

of France; and unknown to d'Argenson, he had exerted his powerful

influence in favour of it both at Versailles and Dresden. Having

nothing further to gain from the war, he was easily persuaded to

second Brühl's scheme for the mediation of Saxony; and being given to

understand by the Saxon minister that the real obstacle in the way of

an arrangement was the "faux système"[369] pursued by the d'Argensons,

he resolved to do his best to compass their fall. On the 10th of

December he wrote to Brühl:

"People here are beginning to suspect that the d'Argensons have no

sincere desire for peace. There is a shell planted; and if we apply the

fuse, they will be blown into the air.... I have sounded the Marquis

with regard to that question you spoke of last. He is unwilling to

listen to any proposals on behalf of the Court of Vienna, and talks

upon that matter in a very strange fashion."[370]

Maurice proceeded to apply the fuse. He won over Madame de Pompadour,

between whom and the Foreign Minister there was no love lost;[371] and

he engaged his friend and d'Argenson's enemy, Noailles, to use his

influence with the King. Accordingly on the 15th of December Noailles

submitted to Louis XV. a famous memoir,[372] in which d'Argenson's

ministry is elaborately represented as one long disaster: his portrait

being drawn with a bitterness of party spirit and personal animosity

but thinly disguised by an affectation of disinterestedness. D'Argenson

was by no means unaware of the intrigues against him; but he would

not stoop to defend himself. He thought that his position had been

strengthened by the successful negotiation of the Saxon marriage, of

which he imagined he had the sole honour; and he believed himself

secure in the confidence of the King. The latter, who seems to have

regarded d'Argenson with unusual esteem, succumbed to the importunities

of the Favourite, the Courts of Saxony and Spain, the all-powerful

Maurice de Saxe, the Council of ministers, and every one whom

d'Argenson, to relieve his soul or to protect the public, had found it

necessary to offend; and on the very day on which what seemed to be a

brilliant diplomatic stroke was consummated at Dresden, the man who

imagined himself the author of it was dismissed.

The immediate cause of his fall was his obstinate refusal to traffic

with Austria, or to sacrifice what generations of experience had

taught him to regard as the interest of France to the fortuitous

prepossessions of a foreign adventurer.[373]

We can form no just estimate of d'Argenson's capacity as a statesman

without some clear ideas of his position as a minister. He had entered

office burdened with two disabilities, the cause of which it has been

the most important of duties to lay bare. He had no aptitude for

court intrigue; he had no power of confronting opposition and sternly

frowning it down. Unable to win, he neglected the courtiers; unable

to coerce his enemies in the Ministry, he was only too happy to avoid

them. He was forced to rely upon the value of his services, and upon

the esteem and confidence of the King. That he managed to secure that

confidence, and to preserve it even at the moment of his fall, there

is ample evidence to show. Relying upon the royal support, he did not

hesitate to enforce those principles of policy which research and

reflection had led him to embrace. He determined, so far as possible,

to make his will felt; and the incapacity with which he was charged

by Noailles and the anti-Prussian party in the Council was really

incapacity to accept proposals at variance with every statesmanlike

tradition. Without regard for the consequences to himself, he acted

for what he thought to be the public interest--a process which no

French statesman could then pursue without offending innumerable

susceptibilities, and uniting every one, from the reigning favourite to

the most insignificant chargé d'affaires, in a league of enmity against

him. They all combined to convict him of incapacity and indiscretion;

he passed among the courtiers as "Dunce d'Argenson";[374] and his

eccentricities of manner gave occasion to caricatures which were

carefully gathered up by that consummate chronicler of the unimportant,

the Duc de Luynes. The persecution was too bitter to be inspired merely

by contempt; and we have only to read the letters of Noailles and Saxe

to know that they were directed, not to the dismissal of an incapable

minister, but to the removal of a statesman who barred their path.[375]

In his public life, d'Argenson is distinguished rather for what he

might have done than for anything he did. In 1745 he was, as it

has been necessary to show, in no sense responsible for the policy

of France; while throughout the year 1746 his position was being

undermined in all directions. There was, however, at least one

transaction for which his responsibility is clear and undivided. His

conduct of the Negotiation of Turin displays in brief the character of

the man, and the peculiar qualities of his statesmanship. It reveals

one capital defect, the defect of one who has been long accustomed

to look upon the world through his own eyes. He made a fatal mistake

in attributing his own motives to the Sardinian Government, and in

imagining that it would consent for a national ideal to hazard its

present and material interests. He did not see that in offering the

King of Sardinia the hegemony of the Italian states, he was inviting

him to accept the desperate part which had been played by Frederick in

Silesia; and that, though the reward would indeed be brilliant, it was

far too distant and uncertain to be readily sought by the Government

of Turin. The defect, grave as it was, proceeded chiefly from lack of

the experience, which a man like d'Argenson can only gain through the

terrible bitterness of a first disappointment. We have only to consider

the incident further to see that no man ever compassed disaster

with so many of the qualities which make for success. The scheme was

distinguished by grandeur of conception, and in pursuing it the author

gave proof of decision and intrepidity. Incidentally he achieved one

triumph of which any statesman might be proud. His dealings with

Spain were a monument of reasoned daring and determination; and the

acceptance of the Treaty of Turin by Elisabeth Farnese is the most

striking tribute that could have been paid to d'Argenson's political

capacity. It is true that he was carried away by an enthusiasm which a

longer experience would certainly have chastened; and that he courted

disaster by endeavouring to accomplish in three weeks the work of

thirty, or a hundred and thirty, years. Yet his callow temerity was not

ignoble; and French diplomacy can boast of few more honourable failures.

France owes to d'Argenson one lasting debt. He strove, as gallantly

as ever man could, to arrest the disintegration of French policy.

His determination to adhere to the anti-Austrian tradition embroiled

him with his colleagues in the Ministry, and became the occasion of

his fall; while it has been made the principal ground of impeachment

by certain writers of his own country. He is charged with having

sacrificed the substantial interests of France to his blind prejudice

in favour of Prussia; and with having refused to recognise the new

problems created by the decline of the Austrian House. Such criticism

must not pass unchallenged.

It cannot be too clearly remembered that to French statesmen in 1745

the decline of Austria had not yet begun.[376] Fondly had they dreamed

of the ruin of her dominion; they woke up to find that in the person of

Maria Theresa the Hapsburg dynasty had renewed its youth. The Austrian

succession had been maintained in arms; and it would never even have

been questioned had it not been for Frederick's seizure of Silesia. As

to Frederick himself we have to beware of misconceptions; for in much

of French criticism with regard to him we recognise the impressions

of 1763--or even of 1870. No one suspected what was in the man, and

it was not until December, 1745, that people began to think of him as

"the Great." Only three months before the campaign in Saxony, which

won from his people and wrung from his enemies that noble salutation,

he was described by the oldest of his admirers, d'Argenson himself,

as "a man who _might have been great_."[377] It was not until after

the Treaty of Dresden that he ceased to be looked upon as merely an

able and unscrupulous prince who had wantonly provoked the resentment

of his neighbours, and who had only to be abandoned by his one ally

to receive the punishment his insolence had deserved. When, in the

previous September, the Empress, at the cost of some of her Flemish

provinces, offered to purchase the withdrawal of France, neither she

nor d'Argenson mistook for a moment the real meaning of the proposal.

In all human probability Frederick would have been doomed. Those who

suggest that the "traitor of Hanover" should have been abandoned to his

fate, forget the sublime capacity for vengeance with which men like

Frederick are endowed. If such a man had yielded to the Empress the

sword of Prussia, it would have been to receive it back as the sword of

the Empire. The Imperial troops, headed by the Prussians and commanded

by the victor of Friedbourg, would have marched to wrest from the

common enemy his ill-gotten provinces of Flanders and Lorraine; France

might have taken the place of Saxony, and the pride of Paris been

bitterly rebuked a hundred years before the time. D'Argenson may not

have seen all this; but he was a statesman and a thinker, and he was

wise enough to know that such cheap successes as the Empress offered

him are often the very dearest of all. With an admirable moral courage,

he maintained that nothing Frederick could do, no treason he might

contrive, could lessen the interest of France in maintaining him in

Silesia; and he would not allow the resentments of a month to obscure

the tradition or the teaching of a century.

In maintaining his policy, d'Argenson had to struggle against the

irresistible current which was carrying the Monarchy to destruction.

Since the death of Louis XIV., private convenience had been the only

criterion of national interest. Dubois and Fleury, for their own

purposes, had dismantled the tradition of French foreign policy; and

though an effort had been made to re-establish it by Chauvelin and his

pupil d'Argenson, their work could not long stand against the forces of

disintegration. After d'Argenson's withdrawal no further attempt was

made, and he lived to see the complete surrender of those cherished

principles he had striven so bravely to maintain. D'Argenson admired

and reverenced Richelieu; and he has been laughed at for aspiring to be

his worthy successor.[378] Banished from power until the age of fifty,

he could never attain the eminence of his master. He could only defend

for the last time the policy which that master had bequeathed to France.

His defence was in vain. The collapse abroad heralded the collapse at

home. It was only in 1789 that the French Monarchy surrendered its

charter to the French People. It had resigned it, thirty-three years

before, into the hands of Maria Theresa.

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