The implications of complexity

These are not the only uncertainties and complexities that confront

anyone who would act toward restoring and preserving the waters and

landscapes of the Potomac and making them serve man, but some of the

more specific and potent ones not dealt with earlier in this report.

Others have been discussed in former chapters or at least have received

cursory mention. Among them are water technology's state of flux that

offers a strong if hazily defined hope of being able to do things better

and better as time passes; the need for more and better data; the

problems for which workable solutions simply do not yet exist; the

inequities or inconsistencies created by certain present Federal water

policies; the dubiousness inherent in forecasts of future human

pressures and problems; the frequently crossed purposes of high agencies

regarding environmental action; the difficulty of feeding true esthetic

and recreational values into cost-benefit computations; and the

paralytic tangle of motives and loyalties in regard to planning at the

local level. And a great many others could be found.

Taken all together and linked to the assumption--fundamental in this

report--that the Potomac and its landscape deserve rescue and

coordinated right use, these areas of doubt, changefulness, and

difficulty add up to a strong body of argument for flexible continuing

planning on a Basinwide scale and for a specific, authoritative Potomac

Basin institution to guide it and put it into effect.

There are two main alternatives to such flexible planning and

coordination and they both, under present and probably future

conditions, point toward slightly modified chaos. The first would be to

allow going or incipient Federal and State programs for water quality

improvement and erosion control and such things to take their overall

course, while water supply, landscape protection, and other problems

are dealt with in the traditional, piecemeal, localized manner as

conditions here and there become bad and force action, or as "fall-out"

from non-Basin programs takes casual effect. This relinquishment of

coordination would make the task of clean-up immensely harder and less

effective in the long run, and it would turn over most of the Basin's

unprotected scenic amenities to exploitation on the basis of their

short-term utility and the profit they could be made to yield.

The second alternative would be to shape a rigid overall plan for the

Basin prescribing definite solutions, feasible in terms of tried and

true technology, for all its problems that exist today and are expected

to materialize in the future, and then to seek authorization and funds

to put the plan into effect. This procedure has disadvantages already

noted in detail in this report. It makes large irreversible decisions

that future generations, stuck with the results, may find less than

totally attractive, especially since they very probably will have better

ways of doing things. It pins itself to fallible assumptions about those

future generations, and must be formed in terms of present laws and

policies, which are not always ideal. Physically, a plan of this kind

could be worked out that would function with reasonable efficiency, at

least in water matters, for there is nothing primitive about today's

technology. But esthetically it would leave much to be desired even by

present standards, and politically, furthermore, its very wholeness and

rigidity would mean that it would have to be sold as a complete package

or else be doomed to fragmentation, which would lead to much the same

sort of piecemeal expedient development as no plan at all. Quite aside

from the budgetary difficulties of the moment, the Potomac Basin's

political complexity makes whole acceptance and implementation of such a

plan extremely doubtful.

The Nation's River: A report on the Potomac From the U.S. Department of the Interior · 第 41 / 44 题