THE WINDS AND THE WEATHER.

_The Physical Geography of the Sea_. By M. F. MAURY. New York:

Harper & Brothers. 1857.

_Climatology of the United States and of the Temperate Latitudes

of the North American Continent_. By LORIN BLODGET. Philadelphia: J.

B. Lippincott & Co. 1857.

_Proceedings of the British Association for the Advancement of

Science_. 1857.

An eloquent philosopher, depicting the deplorable results that would

follow, if some future materialist were "to succeed in displaying to

us a mechanical system of the human mind, as comprehensive,

intelligible, and satisfactory as the Newtonian mechanism of the

heavens," exclaims, "Fallen from their elevation, Art and Science

and Virtue would no longer be to man the objects of a genuine and

reflective adoration." We are led, in reflecting upon the far more

probable success of the meteorologist, to similar forebodings upon

the dulness and sameness to which social intercourse will be reduced

when the weather philosophers shall succeed in subjecting the changes

of the atmosphere to rules and predictions,--when the rain shall

fall where it is expected, the wind blow no longer "where it listeth,"

and wayward man no longer find his counterpart in nature. But we

console ourselves by contemplating the difficulties of the problem,

and the improbability, that, in our generation at least, we shall be

deprived of these subjects of general news and universal interest.

During the last half-century, the progress of experimental

philosophy in the direction of the weather, though its results are

for the most part of a negative character, has yet been sufficient

to excite the apprehensions of the philanthropist. We have unlearned

many fables and false theories, and have made great advancement in

that knowledge of our ignorance, which is the only true foundation

of positive science.

The moon has been deposed from the executive chair, though she still

has her supporters and advocates; and an innumerable host of minor

causes are found to constitute, upon strictly republican principles,

the ruling power of the winds and the rain. That regularity, however

complicated, which reason still demands, and expects even from the

weather, is not found to be so simple as our rules and signs of the

weather indicate; for the operation of these innumerable causes is

so complicated, that the repetition of similar phenomena or similar

combinations of causes, to any great extent, is the most improbable

of events. Perhaps the meteorologist will ultimately find that

Nature has succeeded, in what seems, indeed, to be her aim, in

completely retracing her steps, and reducing the operation of that

simple and regular system of causes, which she brought out of chaos,

back to a confusion of detail, from which all law and regularity are

obliterated.

Meteorological observations have, however, determined many regular

and constant causes and a few regular phenomena. The method pursued

in these investigations is, for the most part, the elimination, by

general averages, of limited and temporary changes in the elements

of the weather, and the determination of those changes which depend

upon the constant influences of locality, of season, and of constant

or slowly varying causes. These constant influences constitute the

climate; and the study of climates is thus the first step towards

the solution of the problem of the weather. Climates, in their

changes and distribution, are very important elements in the

determination of the movements of the weather, and are to the

meteorologist what the elements of the planetary orbits are to the

astronomer; but, unlike planetary perturbations, the weather makes

the most reckless excursions from its averages, and obscures them by

a most inconsequent and incalculable fickleness.

Whether mechanical science will hereafter succeed in calculating

these perturbations of climate, as we may style the weather, or will

find the problem beyond its capacity, it will yet, doubtless, account

for much that is now obscure, as observation brings the facts more

distinctly to view. We propose to give a brief general survey of the

mechanics of the atmosphere in its present state, and to indicate

the nature and limits of our knowledge on this subject.

Among the first noticed and most remarkable features of regularity

in atmospheric changes are constant, periodic, and prevailing winds.

The most remarkable instances of these are the trade-winds of the

torrid zone, the monsoons of the Indian Ocean, and the prevailing

southwest wind of our northern temperate latitudes. Of these, the

trade-winds are the most important to science, as furnishing the key

to that general explanation of the winds which was first advanced by

the distinguished Halley.

In Halley's celebrated theory, the trade-winds are explained as the

effects of the unequal distribution of the sun's heat in different

latitudes. The air of the equator, heated more than the northern or

southern air, expands more, and overflows, moving in the upper

regions of the atmosphere toward the poles; while the lower, colder

air on both sides moves toward the equator to preserve equilibrium.

Thus an extensive circulation is carried on. The air that moves from

the equator in the upper atmosphere, gradually sinking to the surface

of the earth, finally ceases to move toward the poles, and returns

as an undercurrent to the equator, where it again rises and moves

toward the poles.

Now the air of the equator, moving with the earth's rotary motion,

has a greater velocity than the earth itself at high northern or

southern latitudes, and consequently appears to gain an eastward

motion in its progress toward the poles. Without friction, this

relative eastward motion would increase as the air moves toward the

poles, and diminish at the same rate as the air returns, till at the

equator the velocity of the earth and of the air would again be equal;

but friction reduces the motion of the returning air to that of the

earth, at or near the calms of the tropics; so that the air, passing

the tropics, gains a relative westward motion in its further

progress through the torrid zone. The southwestward motion thus

produced between the tropic of Cancer and the equator is the

well-known trade-wind.

Now, according to this theory, the prevailing winds of our temperate

latitudes ought to have a southeastward motion as far as the calms

of Cancer or "the horse latitudes." Moreover, instead of these calms,

there should still be a southward motion. But observation has shown,

that though the prevailing lower winds of our latitude move eastward,

still their motion is toward the north rather than the south; so

that they appear to contradict the theory by which the trade-winds

are explained.

To account for these anomalies, Lieut. Maury has invented a very

ingenious hypothesis, which is published in his "Physical Geography

of the Sea." He supposes that the air, which passes from the equator

toward the poles in the upper regions of the atmosphere, is brought

down to the surface of the earth beyond the calms of the tropics,

and that it thence proceeds with an increasing eastward motion,

appearing in our northern hemisphere as the prevailing northeastward

winds. Approaching the poles with a spiral motion, the air there

rises, according to this hypothesis, in a vortex, and returns toward

the equator in the upper atmosphere, gradually acquiring a westward

motion; till, returning to the tropics, it is again brought down to

the earth, and thence proceeds, with a still increasing westward

motion, as the trade-winds. At the equator the air rises again, and,

according to Lieut. Maury, crosses to the other side, and proceeds

through a similar course in the other hemisphere.

The rising of the air at the equator is supposed to cause the

equatorial rains; and the drought of the tropics is also explained

by that descent of the air, in these latitudes, which this

hypothesis supposes.

Now although this hypothesis explains the phenomena, it has still

met with great opposition. The motions which Lieut. Maury supposes

can hardly be accounted for without resorting, as is usual in such

cases, to electricity or magnetism,--to some occult cause, or some

occult operation of a known cause. Moreover, it has been difficult

for the mechanical philosopher to understand how the winds manage to

cross each other, as Lieut. Maury supposes them to do, at the

equator and the tropics, without getting into "entangling alliances."

If this hypothesis were advanced, not as a physical explanation of

the phenomena, but, like the epicycles and eccentrics of Ptolemy,

"to save the appearances," its ingenuity would be greatly to its

author's credit; but, like the epicycles and eccentrics, though it

represents the phenomena well enough, it contradicts laws of motion,

now well known, which ought to be familiar to every physical

philosopher. But these speculations of Lieut. Maury will now be

superseded by a new theory of atmospheric movements, an account of

which was presented by its author, Mr. J. Thompson, at the recent

meeting of the British Association for the Advancement of Science. [1]

[Footnote 1: A fuller discussion of this theory the author

reserved for the Royal Society. The _London Athenaeum_ gives a brief

abstract of his paper, in its report of the proceedings of the

Association.]

Mr. Thompson's theory takes account of forces, hitherto unnoticed,

which are generated by the eastward circulation of the atmosphere in

high latitudes. He shows that these forces cause the prevailing

northeastward under-current of our latitudes, while above this, yet

below the highest northeastward current, the air ought still to move

southward according to Halley's theory.

This under-current is not the immediate effect of differences of

temperature, but a secondary effect induced by the friction of the

earth's surface and the continual deflection of the air's eastward

motion from a great circle, (in which the air tends to move,) into

the small circle of the latitude, in which the air actually does move.

The force of this deflection, measured by the centrifugal force of

the air as it circulates around the pole, retards the movement from

the equator, and finally wholly suspends it; so that the upper air

circulates around in the higher latitudes as water may be made to

circulate in a pail; and the air is drawn away from the polar

regions as this circulatory motion is communicated to it, and tends

to accumulate in the middle latitudes, as the circulating water is

heaped up around the sides of the pail. Hence, in the middle

latitudes there is a greater weight of air than at the poles, and

this tends to press the lower air to higher latitudes. Centrifugal

force, however, balances this pressure, so long as the lower air

moves with the velocity of the upper strata; but as the friction of

the earth retards its motion and diminishes its centrifugal force,

it gradually yields to the pressure of the air above it, and moves

toward the poles. Near the polar circles it is again retarded by its

increasing centrifugal force, and it returns through the middle

regions of the atmosphere.

Thus there are two systems of atmospheric circulation in each

hemisphere. The principal one extends from the equator to high

middle latitudes and partly overlies the other, which extends from

the tropical calms to the polar circles. These two circulations move

in opposite directions; like two wheels, when one communicates its

motion to the other by the contact of their circumferences.

In the middle latitudes the lower current of the principal

circulation lies upon the upper current of the secondary circulation,

and both move together toward the equator. This principal lower

current first touches the earth's surface beyond the tropical calms,

and having lost its relative eastward motion and now tending westward,

it appears as the trade-wind, very regular and constant; while the

upper secondary current returns, without reaching the tropics, as an

undercurrent, and in our latitude appears as the prevailing

northeastward wind,--a very feeble motion, usually lost in the

weather winds and other disturbances, and only appearing distinctly

in the general average.

Mr. Thompson illustrates the effect of the friction of the earth's

surface on the eastward circulation of the air by a very simple

experiment with a pail of water. If we put into the pail grains of

any material a little heavier than water, and then give the water a

rotatory motion by stirring it, the grains ought, by the centrifugal

force imparted to them, to collect around the sides of the pail; but,

sinking to the bottom, they do in fact tend to collect at the centre,

carried inward by those currents which the friction of the sides and

bottom indirectly produces.

Thus Mr. Thompson's beautiful and philosophical theory completes

that of Halley, and explains all those apparent anomalies which have

hitherto seemed irreconcilable with the only rational account of the

trade-winds. The rainless calms of the tropics are explained by this

theory without that crossing and interference of winds which Lieut.

Maury supposes; for the secondary circulation returns as an

under-current toward the poles without reaching the tropics, and the

dry lower current of the principal circulation passes over the

tropical latitudes, in its gradual descent, before it reaches the

earth as the trade-winds.

These trade-winds, absorbing moisture from the sea, precipitate it

as they rise again, and produce the constant equatorial rains; and

these rains, doubtless, tend much more powerfully than the mere

unequal distribution of heat to direct the wind toward the equator;

for the fall of rain rapidly diminishes the pressure of the air and

disturbs its equilibrium, so that violent winds are frequently

observed to blow toward rainy districts. Thus, primarily, the unequal

distribution of heat, and, more immediately, the equatorial rains

cause the principal circulation of our atmosphere; and this

indirectly produces the secondary circulation of Mr. Thompson's

theory. Both these regular movements are, however, greatly disturbed,

and especially the latter, by winds which are occasioned by local

and irregular rains.

In these movements and their causes we have the general outline of

our subject, within which we must now sketch the weather. The causes

of atmospheric movement, which we have thus far considered, are the

unequal distribution of the sun's heat, the absorption and

precipitation of moisture, the direct and the inductive action of

the earth's rotation and friction. If to these we should add the

tidal action of the sun's and moon's attractions, we should perhaps

complete the list of _vera causae_ which are certainly known to

exert a more or less general influence upon the atmosphere. But this

short list is long enough, as we shall soon see.

If the earth were wholly covered with water of a uniform depth, its

climates would be distributed with greater regularity, and the

perturbations of climate would be comparatively small and regular;

though even under such circumstances there would still exist a

tendency to discontinuity and complexity of movements from that

influence of rain, the peculiar character of which we shall soon

consider.

The irregular distribution of land and water, and the peculiar

action of each in imparting the heat of the sun to the incumbent air,--

the irregular distribution of plains and mountains, and their various

effects in different positions and at different altitudes,--the

distribution of heat effected by ocean currents,--all these tend to

produce permanent derangements of climate and great irregularities

in the weather. To these we must add what the astronomer calls

disturbing actions of the second order,--effects of the disturbances

themselves upon the action of the disturbing agencies,--effects of

the irregular winds upon the distribution of heat and rain, and upon

the action of lands and seas, mountains and plains. Though such

disturbances are comparatively insignificant in the motions of the

planets, yet in the weather they are often more important than the

primary causes.

The aggregate and permanent effect of all these disturbing causes,

primary and secondary, is seen in that irregular distribution of

climates, which the tortuous isothermal lines and the mottled

raincharts illustrate. The isothermal lines may be regarded as the

topographical delineations of that bed of temperatures down which

the upper atmosphere flows from the equator toward the poles, till

its downward tendency is balanced by the centrifugal force of its

eastward motion. This irregular bed shifts from month to month, from

day to day, and even from hour to hour; and the lines that are drawn

on the maps are only averages for the year or the season.

In the midst of these irregular, but continuous agencies, the rain

introduces a peculiar discontinuity, and turns irregularity into

discord. We have shown that the rain is an immediate cause of wind;

but how is the rain itself produced? For so marked an effect we

naturally seek a special cause; but no adequate single cause has

ever been discovered. The combination of many conditions, probably,

is necessary, such as a peculiar distribution of heat and moisture

and atmospheric movements; though the immediate cause of the fall of

rain is doubtless the rising, and consequent expansion and cooling,

of the saturated air.

The winds that blow hither and thither, vainly striving to restore

equilibrium to the atmosphere, burden themselves with the moisture

they absorb from the seas; and this moisture absorbs their heat,

retards their motion, and slowly modifies the forces which impel them.

Now when the saturated air, extending far above the surface of the

earth, and carried in its movements still higher, is relieved of an

incumbent weight of air, it becomes rarefied, and its temperature

and capacity for moisture are simultaneously diminished; its moisture,

suddenly precipitated, appears as a cloud, the particles of which

collect into rain-drops and fall to the earth. Thus the air suddenly

loses much of its weight, and instead of restoring equilibrium to

the troubled atmosphere, it introduces a new source of disturbance.

Though the weight of the air is diminished by the fall of rain, yet

the bulk is increased by the expansive force of the latent heat

which the condensed vapors set free. Thus the rainy air expands

upwards and flows outwards, and no longer able to balance the

pressure of the surrounding air, it is carried still higher by

inblowing winds, which rise in turn and continue the process, often

extending the storm over vast areas. The force of these movements is

measured partly by the force of latent heat set free, and partly by

the mechanical power of the rain-fall, a very small fraction of

which constitutes the water-power of all our rivers. Such a fruitful

source of disturbance, generated by so slight an accident as the

upward movement of the saturated air, expanded by its own agency to

so great an extent, so sudden and discontinuous in its action, so

obscure in its origin, and so distinct in its effects,--such a

phenomenon defies the powers of mathematical prediction, and rouses

all the winds to sedition.

A storm not only disturbs the lower winds, but its influences reach

even to the upper movements. The sudden expansion and rising of the

rainy air delay these movements, which afterwards react as violent

winds.

The forces stored away by the gradual rise of vapor and its

absorption of heat, and then suddenly exhibited in a mechanical form

by the effects of rain, afford an illustration of that principle of

conservation and economy of power, of which there are so many

examples in modern science. No power is ever destroyed. Whether

exhibited as heat or mechanical force, in the products and forces of

chemical or of vital action, in movement or in altered conditions of

motion,--whether changed by the growth of plants into fuel or into

food, and converted again to heat by combustion or by vital processes,

and brought out as mechanical power in the steam-engine or in the

horse,--it is still the same power, and is measured in each of its

forms by an invariable standard. It first appears as the heat of the

sun, and a portion escapes at once back into space, while the rest

passes first through a series of transformations. A part is changed

into moving winds or into suspended vapor, and a part into fuel or

food. From conditions of motion it is changed into motion; from

motion it is changed by friction or resistance into heat, electric

force, molecular vibrations, or into new conditions of motion, and

passing through its course of changes, it remains embroiled in its

permanent effects or escapes into space as heat.

Though mechanical science will probably never be able to predict the

beginning or duration of storms, it will yet, doubtless, be able to

account for all their general features, and for such distinct local

peculiarities as observation may determine. Great advancement has

already been made in the determination of prevailing winds and in

the study of storms. Two theories have been brought forward upon the

general movements of storms; both have been proved, to the entire

satisfaction of their advocates, by the storms themselves; and

probably both are, with some limitations, true. The first of these

theories we have already described. According to it, the winds move

inward toward the centre of the storm; according to the other theory,

they blow in a circumference around the centre.

Observations upon storms of small extent, such as thunder-storms or

tornadoes, show very clearly that the winds blow toward the stormy

district. But when observations are made upon the winds within the

district of such extensive storms as sometimes visit the United

States, the directions of the wind are found to be so various, that

the advocates of either theory, making due allowance for local

disturbances, can triumphantly refute their adversaries. In such

storms there are doubtless many centres or maxima of rain, and

whether the wind move around or toward these centres, it would

inevitably get confused.

The opinion, that the winds move around the central point or line of

the storm, was strenuously maintained by the late Mr. Redfield,

whose activity in his favorite pursuit has connected his name

inseparably with meteorology. Others have maintained the same opinion,

and the rotatory motion of the tropical hurricanes is offered as a

principal proof. It is obvious from the causes of motion already

considered, that, if the air is carried far, by its tendency toward a

rainy district, it will acquire a secondary relative motion from its

change of latitude; and this, in our hemisphere, if the air move

toward the south, will be westward,--if toward the north, eastward.

Hence the motion of the air from both directions toward a stormy

district is deflected to the right side of the storm; and this gives

rise to that motion from right to left which is observed in the

hurricanes of the northern hemisphere.

To suppose, as many do, that regular winds, arising from constant

and extensive causes, can come into bodily conflict and preserve

their identity and original impetus for days, without immediate and

strongly impelling forces to sustain their motion, implies a

profound ignorance of mechanical science, and is little better than

those ancient superstitions which gave a personal identity to the

winds. The momentum of ordinary winds is a feeble force in

comparison with those forces of pressure and friction which

continually modify it. Hence sudden changes in the direction and

intensity of winds must primarily arise from similar changes in

these forces. But there are no known forces which change so suddenly,

except the pressure and latent heat of suspended vapor; and therefore

the fall of rain is the only adequate known cause of those

storm-winds which, interpolated among the gentler winds, keep the

atmosphere in perpetual commotion.

Storms have, however, certain habits and peculiarities, more or less

regular and distinct, which depend upon locality and season. And

this is what ought to be expected; for, though the storms themselves

are essentially anomalous, yet many of the causes which cooperate to

induce them are constant or periodic, while others are subject to

but slight perturbations. It is obvious that no more moisture can be

precipitated than has been evaporated, and that the winds only gain

suddenly by the fall of rain the forces which they have lost at their

leisure in the absorption of moisture. Thus the rage of the storm is

kept within bounds, and though the exact period at which the winds

are set free cannot be determined, yet their force and frequency

must be subject to certain limitations. The study of the habits and

peculiarities of storms is of the greatest importance to navigation

and agriculture, and these arts have already been benefited by the

labors of the meteorologist.

The lawlessness of the weather, within certain limitations, though

discouraging to the physical philosopher, has yet its bright side

for the student of final causes. The uses of the weather and its

adaptation to organic life are subjects of untiring interest. The

progression of the seasons, varied by differences of latitude, is

also diversified and adapted to a fuller development of organic

variety by irregularities of climate.

The regular alternations of day and night, summer and winter, dry

seasons and wet, are adapted to those alternations of organic

functions which belong to the economy of life. The vital forces of

plants and of the lower orders of animals have not that

self-determining capacity of change which is necessary to the

complete development of life; but they persist in their present mode

of action, and, when they are not modified by outward changes,

reduce life to its simplest phases. Changes of growth are effected

by those apparent hardships to which life is subject; and progression

in new directions is effected by retrogression in previous modes of

growth. The old leaves and branches must fall, the wood must be

frost-bitten or dried, the substance of seeds must wither and then

decay, the action of leaves must every night be reversed, vines and

branches must be shaken by the winds, that the energies and the

materials of new forms of life may be rendered active and available.

Some of the outward changes of nature are regular and periodic, while

others, without law or method, are apparently adapted by their

diversity to draw out the unlimited capacities and varieties of life;

so that as inorganic nature approaches a regulated confusion, the

more it tends to bring forth that perfect order, of which fragments

appear in the incomplete system of actual organic life.

The classification of organic forms presents to the naturalist, not

the structure of a regular though incomplete development, but the

broken and fragmentary form of a ruin. We may suppose, then, with a

recent physiological writer, that the creation of those organic

forms which constitute this fragmentary system was effected in the

midst of an elemental storm, a regulated confusion, uniting all the

external conditions which the highest capacities and the greatest

varieties of organized life require for their fullest development;

and that as the storm subsided into a simpler, but less genial

diversity,--into the weather,--whole orders and genera and species

sank with it from the ranks of possible organic forms. The weather,

fallen from its high estate, no longer able to develope, much less to

create new forms, can only sustain those that are left to its care.

Man finds himself everywhere mirrored in nature. Wayward, inconstant,

always seeking rest, always impelled by new evils, the greatest of

which he himself creates,--protecting and cherishing or blighting and

destroying the fragmentary life of a fallen nature,--incapable

himself of creating new capacities, but nourishing in prosperity and

quickening in adversity those that are left,--he sees the workings of

his own life in the strife of the elements. His powers and activities

are related to his spiritual capacities, as inorganic movements are

related to an organizing life. The resurrection of his higher nature

is like a new creation, secret, sudden, inconsequent. "The wind

bloweth where it listeth, and thou hearest the sound thereof, but

canst not tell whence it cometh, and whither it goeth; so is every

one that is born of the Spirit."

* * * * *

The Atlantic Monthly, Volume 01, No. 03, January, 1858 A Magazine of Literature, Art, and Politics · 第 7 / 65 题