BUSINESS CHANCES

In 1840 Worcester had thirty leading manufacturers of

whom twenty-eight began as journeymen and two as sons of

manufacturers. Of seventy-five manufacturers in 1850, six

only were sons of manufacturers, only six of the one hundred

and seven in 1860, and of one hundred and seventy-six

manufacturers in 1878, only fifteen. The chance that the head

of a manufacturing business will be reached by the son of an

owner in Worcester for forty years has been pretty steadily

about one in ten of the total chances of going to the head. As

the sons of manufacturers in Worcester in 1840 could not have

been, taking thirty manufacturers as the number, one per cent

of the population, the chances of success for them was above

the average, but not so far above as to discourage young men

without this good fortune. The chance that property will stay

two generations in one family seems also to be about one in ten

in Worcester. Of the thirty manufacturers in 1840, fourteen of

whom died or retired with property, only three in 1888 had left

sons with money; of the seventy-five in 1850, the sons of only

six survive now; and of one hundred and seven in 1860, eight

only were represented by sons in the business world of Worcester

twenty-eight years later. The business field at any given year

is apt to look to young men as if all the leading places were

filled by men whose sons were certain to enjoy the advantages of

wealth and likely to take the places of their fathers. But there

is not over one chance in ten that this will take place, and

scarcely this that wealth will be left by those who inherit it.

While of those in business on any date, one-fourth drop out in

five years, one-half in ten, and two-thirds in fifteen years.

Nine places out of ten thirty years hence are therefore open to

those who to-day have nothing.--Philadelphia _Press_.

(298)

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