It may to many seem a pity that the Greenwich Equatoreal was not pointed

to the place, just to see whether any foreign object did happen to be in

that neighbourhood; but it is no light matter to derange the work of an

Observatory, and alter the work mapped out for the staff into a sudden

sweep for a new planet, on the strength of a mathematical investigation

just received by post. If observatories were conducted on these

unsystematic and spasmodic principles, they would not be the calm,

accurate, satisfactory places they are.

Of course, if any one could have known that a new planet was to be had

for the looking, _any_ course would have been justified; but no one

could know this. I do not suppose that Mr. Adams himself could feel all

that confidence in his attempted prediction. So there the matter

dropped. Mr. Adams's communication was pigeon-holed, and remained in

seclusion for eight or nine months.

Meanwhile, and quite independently, something of the same sort was going

on in France. A brilliant young mathematician, born in Normandy in 1811,

had accepted the post of Astronomical Professor at the Ecole

Polytechnique, then recently founded by Napoleon. His first published

papers directed attention to his wonderful powers; and the official head

of astronomy in France, the famous Arago, suggested to him the

unexplained perturbations of Uranus as a worthy object for his fresh and

well-armed vigour.

At once he set to work in a thorough and systematic way. He first

considered whether the discrepancies could be due to errors in the

tables or errors in the old observations. He discussed them with minute

care, and came to the conclusion that they were not thus to be explained

away. This part of the work he published in November, 1845.

He then set to work to consider the perturbations produced by Jupiter

and Saturn, to see if they had been with perfect accuracy allowed for,

or whether some minute improvements could be made sufficient to destroy

the irregularities. He introduced several fresh terms into these

perturbations, but none of them of sufficient magnitude to do more than

slightly lessen the unexplained perturbations.

He next examined the various hypotheses that had been suggested to

account for them:--Was it a failure in the law of gravitation? Was it

due to the presence of a resisting medium? Was it due to some unseen but

large satellite? Or was it due to a collision with some comet?

All these he examined and dismissed for various reasons one after the

other. It was due to some steady continuous cause--for instance, some

unknown planet. Could this planet be inside the orbit of Uranus? No, for

then it would perturb Saturn and Jupiter also, and they were not

perturbed by it. It must, therefore, be some planet outside the orbit of

Uranus, and in all probability, according to Bode's empirical law, at

nearly double the distance from the sun that Uranus is. Lastly he

proceeded to examine where this planet was, and what its orbit must be

to produce the observed disturbances.

[Illustration: FIG. 94.--Uranus's and Neptune's relative positions.

The above diagram, drawn to scale by Dr. Haughton, shows the paths of

Uranus and Neptune, and their positions from 1781 to 1840, and

illustrates the _direction_ of their mutual perturbing force. In 1822

the planets were in conjunction, and the force would then perturb the

radius vector (or distance from the sun), but not the longitude (or

place in orbit). Before that date Uranus had been hurried along, and

after that date it had been retarded, by the pull of Neptune, and thus

the observed discrepancies from its computed place were produced. The

problem was first to disentangle the outstanding perturbations from

those which would be caused by Jupiter and Saturn and all other known

causes, and then to assign the place of an outer planet able to produce

precisely those perturbations in Uranus.]

Not without failures and disheartening complications was this part of

the process completed. This was, after all, the real tug of war. So many

unknown quantities: its mass, its distance, its excentricity, the

obliquity of its orbit, its position at any time--nothing known, in

fact, about the planet except the microscopic disturbance it caused in

Uranus, some thousand million miles away from it.

Without going into further detail, suffice it to say that in June, 1846,

he published his last paper, and in it announced to the world his

theoretical position for the planet.

Professor Airy received a copy of this paper before the end of the

month, and was astonished to find that Leverrier's theoretical place for

the planet was within 1 deg. of the place Mr. Adams had assigned to it eight

months before. So striking a coincidence seemed sufficient to justify a

Herschelian "sweep" for a week or two.

But a sweep for so distant a planet would be no easy matter. When seen

in a large telescope it would still only look like a star, and it would

require considerable labour and watching to sift it out from the other

stars surrounding it. We know that Uranus had been seen twenty times,

and thought to be a star, before its true nature was by Herschel

discovered; and Uranus is only about half as far away as Neptune is.

Neither in Paris nor yet at Greenwich was any optical search undertaken;

but Professor Airy wrote to ask M. Leverrier the same old question as he

had fruitlessly put to Mr. Adams: Did the new theory explain the errors

of the radius vector or not? The reply of Leverrier was both prompt and

satisfactory--these errors were explained, as well as all the others.

The existence of the object was then for the first time officially

believed in.

The British Association met that year at Southampton, and Sir John

Herschel was one of its Sectional Presidents. In his inaugural address,

on September 10th, 1846, he called attention to the researches of

Leverrier and Adams in these memorable words:--

"The past year has given to us the new [minor] planet Astraea; it

has done more--it has given us the probable prospect of another.

We see it as Columbus saw America from the shores of Spain. Its

movements have been felt trembling along the far-reaching line of

our analysis with a certainty hardly inferior to ocular

demonstration."

It was about time to begin to look for it. So the Astronomer-Royal

thought on reading Leverrier's paper. But as the national telescope at

Greenwich was otherwise occupied, he wrote to Professor Challis, at

Cambridge, to know if he would permit a search to be made for it with

the Northumberland Equatoreal, the large telescope of Cambridge

University, presented to it by one of the Dukes of Northumberland.

Professor Challis said he would conduct the search himself; and shortly

commenced a leisurely and dignified series of sweeps round about the

place assigned by theory, cataloguing all the stars which he observed,

intending afterwards to sort out his observations, compare one with

another, and find out whether any one star had changed its position;

because if it had it must be the planet. He thus, without giving an

excessive time to the business, accumulated a host of observations,

which he intended afterwards to reduce and sift at his leisure.

The wretched man thus actually saw the planet twice--on August 4th and

August 12th, 1846--without knowing it. If only he had had a map of the

heavens containing telescopic stars down to the tenth magnitude, and if

he had compared his observations with this map as they were made, the

process would have been easy, and the discovery quick. But he had no

such map. Nevertheless one was in existence: it had just been completed

in that country of enlightened method and industry--Germany. Dr.

Bremiker had not, indeed, completed his great work--a chart of the whole

zodiac down to stars of the tenth magnitude--but portions of it were

completed, and the special region where the new planet was expected

happened to be among the portions already just done. But in England

this was not known.

Meanwhile, Mr. Adams wrote to the Astronomer-Royal several additional

communications, making improvements in his theory, and giving what he

considered nearer and nearer approximations for the place of the planet.

He also now answered quite satisfactorily, but too late, the question

about the radius vector sent to him months before.

Let us return to Leverrier. This great man was likewise engaged in

improving his theory and in considering how best the optical search

could be conducted. Actuated, probably, by the knowledge that in such

matters as cataloguing and mapping Germany was then, as now, far ahead

of all the other nations of the world, he wrote in September (the same

September as Sir John Herschel delivered his eloquent address at

Southampton) to Berlin. Leverrier wrote, I say, to Dr. Galle, head of

the Observatory at Berlin, saying to him, clearly and decidedly, that

the new planet was now in or close to such and such a position, and that

if he would point his telescope to that part of the heavens he would see

it; and, moreover, that he would be able to tell it from a star by its

having a sensible magnitude, or disk, instead of being a mere point.

Galle got the letter on the 23rd of September, 1846. That same evening

he did point his telescope to the place Leverrier told him, and he saw

the planet that very night. He recognized it first by its appearance. To

his practised eye it did seem to have a small disk, and not quite the

same aspect as an ordinary star. He then consulted Bremiker's great star

chart, the part just engraved and finished, and sure enough on that

chart there was no such star there. Undoubtedly it was the planet.

The news flashed over Europe at the maximum speed with which news could

travel at that date (which was not very fast); and by the 1st of October

Professor Challis and Mr. Adams heard it at Cambridge, and had the

pleasure of knowing that they were forestalled, and that England was

out of the race.

It was an unconscious race to all concerned, however. Those in France

knew nothing of the search going on in England. Mr. Adams's papers had

never been published; and very annoyed the French were when a claim was

set up on his behalf to a share in this magnificent discovery.

Controversies and recriminations, excuses and justifications, followed;

but the discussion has now settled down. All the world honours the

bright genius and mathematical skill of Mr. Adams, and recognizes that

he first solved the problem by calculation. All the world, too,

perceives clearly the no less eminent mathematical talents of M.

Leverrier, but it recognizes in him something more than the mere

mathematician--the man of energy, decision, and character.

LECTURE XVI

COMETS AND METEORS

We have now considered the solar system in several aspects, and we have

passed in review something of what is known about the stars. We have

seen how each star is itself, in all probability, the centre of another

and distinct solar system, the constituents of which are too dark and

far off to be visible to us; nothing visible here but the central sun

alone, and that only as a twinkling speck.

But between our solar system and these other suns--between each of these

suns and all the rest--there exist vast empty spaces, apparently devoid

of matter.

We have now to ask, Are these spaces really empty? Is there really

nothing in space but the nebulae, the suns, their planets, and their

satellites? Are all the bodies in space of this gigantic size? May there

not be an infinitude of small bodies as well?

The answer to this question is in the affirmative. There appears to be

no special size suited to the vastness of space; we find, as a matter of

fact, bodies of all manner of sizes, ranging by gradations from the most

tremendous suns, like Sirius, down through ordinary suns to smaller

ones, then to planets of all sizes, satellites still smaller, then the

asteroids, till we come to the smallest satellite of Mars, only about

ten miles in diameter, and weighing only some billion tons--the smallest

of the regular bodies belonging to the solar system known.

But, besides all these, there are found to occur other masses, not much

bigger and some probably smaller, and these we call comets when we see

them. Below these, again, we find masses varying from a few tons in

weight down to only a few pounds or ounces, and these when we see them,

which is not often, we call meteors or shooting-stars; and to the size

of these meteorites there would appear to be no limit: some may be

literal grains of dust. There seems to be a regular gradation of size,

therefore, ranging from Sirius to dust; and apparently we must regard

all space as full of these cosmic particles--stray fragments, as it

were, perhaps of some older world, perhaps going to help to form a new

one some day. As Kepler said, there are more "comets" in the sky than

fish in the sea. Not that they are at all crowded together, else they

would make a cosmic haze. The transparency of space shows that there

must be an enormous proportion of clear space between each, and they are

probably much more concentrated near one of the big bodies than they are

in interstellar space.[30] Even during the furious hail of meteors in

November 1866 it was estimated that their average distance apart in the

thickest of the shower was 35 miles.

Consider the nature of a meteor or shooting-star. We ordinarily see them

as a mere streak of light; sometimes they leave a luminous tail behind

them; occasionally they appear as an actual fire-ball, accompanied by an

explosion; sometimes, but very seldom, they are seen to drop, and may

subsequently be dug up as a lump of iron or rock, showing signs of rough

treatment by excoriation and heat. These last are the meteorites, or

siderites, or aerolites, or bolides, of our museums. They are popularly

spoken of as thunderbolts, though they have nothing whatever to do with

atmospheric electricity.

[Illustration: FIG. 95.--Meteorite.]

They appear to be travelling rocky or metallic fragments which in their

journey through space are caught in the earth's atmosphere and

instantaneously ignited by the friction. Far away in the depths of space

one of these bodies felt the attracting power of the sun, and began

moving towards him. As it approached, its speed grew gradually quicker

and quicker continually, until by the time it has approached to within

the distance of the earth, it whizzes past with the velocity of

twenty-six miles a second. The earth is moving on its own account

nineteen miles every second. If the two bodies happened to be moving in

opposite directions, the combined speed would be terrific; and the

faintest trace of atmosphere, miles above the earth's surface, would

exert a furious grinding action on the stone. A stream of particles

would be torn off; if of iron, they would burn like a shower of filings

from a firework, thus forming a trail; and the mass itself would be

dissipated, shattered to fragments in an instant.

[Illustration: FIG. 96.--Meteor stream crossing field of telescope.]

[Illustration: FIG. 97.--Diagram of direction of earth's orbital

motion, showing that after midnight, _i.e._ between midnight and noon,

more asteroids are likely to be swept up by any locality than between

noon and midnight. [From Sir R.S. Ball.]]

Even if the earth were moving laterally, the same thing would occur. But

if earth and stone happened to be moving in the same direction, there

would be only the differential velocity of seven miles a second; and

though this is in all conscience great enough, yet there might be a

chance for a residue of the nucleus to escape entire destruction, though

it would be scraped, heated, and superficially molten by the friction;

but so much of its speed would be rubbed out of it, that on striking

the earth it might bury itself only a few feet or yards in the soil, so

that it could be dug out. The number of those which thus reach the earth

is comparatively infinitesimal. Nearly all get ground up and dissipated

by the atmosphere; and fortunate it is for us that they are so. This

bombardment of the exposed face of the moon must be something

terrible.[31]

Thus, then, every shooting-star we see, and all the myriads that we do

not and cannot see because they occur in the day-time, all these bright

flashes or streaks, represent the death and burial of one of these

flying stones. It had been careering on its own account through space

for untold ages, till it meets a planet. It cannot strike the actual

body of the planet--the atmosphere is a sufficient screen; the

tremendous friction reduces it to dust in an instant, and this dust then

quietly and leisurely settles down on to the surface.

Evidence of the settlement of meteoric dust is not easy to obtain in

such a place as England, where the dust which accumulates is seldom of a

celestial character; but on the snow-fields of Greenland or the

Himalayas dust can be found; and by a Committee of the British

Association distinct evidence of molten globules of iron and other

materials appropriate to aerolites has been obtained, by the simple

process of collecting, melting, and filtering long exposed snow.

Volcanic ash may be mingled with it, but under the microscope the

volcanic and the meteoric constituents have each a distinctive

character.

The quantity of meteoric material which reaches the earth as dust must

be immensely in excess of the minute quantity which arrives in the form

of lumps. Hundreds or thousands of tons per annum must be received; and

the accretion must, one would think, in the course of ages be able to

exert some influence on the period of the earth's rotation--the length

of the day. It is too small, however, to have been yet certainly

detected. Possibly, it is altogether negligible.

It has been suggested that those stones which actually fall are not the

true cosmic wanderers, but are merely fragments of our own earth, cast

up by powerful volcanoes long ago when the igneous power of the earth

was more vigorous than now--cast up with a speed of close upon seven

miles a second; and now in these quiet times gradually being swept up by

the earth, and so returning whence they came.

I confess I am unable to draw a clear distinction between one set and

the other. Some falling stars may have had an origin of this sort, but

certainly others have not; and it would seem very unlikely that one set

only should fall bodily upon the earth, while the others should always

be rubbed to powder. Still, it is a possibility to be borne in mind.

We have spoken of these cosmic visitors as wandering masses of stone or

iron; but we should be wrong if we associated with the term "wandering"

any ideas of lawlessness and irregularity of path. These small lumps of

matter are as obedient to the law of gravity as any large ones can be.

They must all, therefore, have definite orbits, and these orbits will

have reference to the main attracting power of our system--they will, in

fact, be nearly all careering round the sun.

Each planet may, in truth, have a certain following of its own. Within

the limited sphere of the earth's predominant attraction, for instance,

extending some way beyond the moon, we may have a number of satellites

that we never see, all revolving regularly in elliptic orbits round the

earth. But, comparatively speaking, these satellite meteorites are few.

The great bulk of them will be of a planetary character--they will be

attendant upon the sun.

It may seem strange that such minute bodies should have regular orbits

and obey Kepler's laws, but they must. All three laws must be as

rigorously obeyed by them as by the planets themselves. There is nothing

in the smallness of a particle to excuse it from implicit obedience to

law. The only consequence of their smallness is their inability to

perturb others. They cannot appreciably perturb either the planets they

approach or each other. The attracting power of a lump one million tons

in weight is very minute. A pound, on the surface of such a body of the

same density as the earth, would be only pulled to it with a force equal

to that with which the earth pulls a grain. So the perturbing power of

such a mass on distant bodies is imperceptible. It is a good thing it is

so: accurate astronomy would be impossible if we had to take into

account the perturbations caused by a crowd of invisible bodies.

Astronomy would then approach in complexity some of the problems of

physics.

But though we may be convinced from the facts of gravitation that these

meteoric stones, and all other bodies flying through space near our

solar system, must be constrained by the sun to obey Kepler's laws, and

fly round it in some regular elliptic or hyperbolic orbit, what chance

have we of determining that orbit? At first sight, a very poor chance,

for we never see them except for the instant when they splash into our

atmosphere; and for them that instant is instant death. It is unlikely

that any escape that ordeal, and even if they do, their career and orbit

are effectually changed. Henceforward they must become attendants on the

earth. They may drop on to its surface, or they may duck out of our

atmosphere again, and revolve round us unseen in the clear space between

earth and moon.

Nevertheless, although the problem of determining the original orbit of

any given set of shooting-stars before it struck us would seem nearly

insoluble, it has been solved, and solved with some approach to

accuracy; being done by the help of observations of certain other

bodies. The bodies by whose help this difficult problem has been

attacked and resolved are comets. What are comets?

I must tell you that the scientific world is not entirely and completely

decided on the structure of comets. There are many floating ideas on the

subject, and some certain knowledge. But the subject is still, in many

respects, an open one, and the ideas I propose to advocate you will

accept for no more than they are worth, viz. as worthy to be compared

with other and different views.

Up to the time of Newton, the nature of comets was entirely unknown.

They were regarded with superstitious awe as fiery portents, and were

supposed to be connected with the death of some king, or with some

national catastrophe.

Even so late as the first edition of the _Principia_ the problem of

comets was unsolved, and their theory is not given; but between the

first and the second editions a large comet appeared, in 1680, and

Newton speculated on its appearance and behaviour. It rushed down very

close to the sun, spun half round him very quickly, and then receded

from him again. If it were a material substance, to which the law of

gravitation applied, it must be moving in a conic section with the sun

in one focus, and its radius vector must sweep out equal areas in equal

times. Examining the record of its positions made at observatories, he

found its observed path quite accordant with theory; and the motion of

comets was from that time understood. Up to that time no one had

attempted to calculate an orbit for a comet. They had been thought

irregular and lawless bodies. Now they were recognized as perfectly

obedient to the law of gravitation, and revolving round the sun like

everything else--as members, in fact, of our solar system, though not

necessarily permanent members.

But the orbit of a comet is very different from a planetary one. The

excentricity of its orbit is enormous--in other words, it is either a

very elongated ellipse or a parabola. The comet of 1680, Newton found

to move in an orbit so nearly a parabola that the time of describing it

must be reckoned in hundreds of years at the least. It is now thought

possible that it may not be quite a parabola, but an ellipse so

elongated that it will not return till 2255. Until that date arrives,

however, uncertainty will prevail as to whether it is a periodic comet,

or one of those that only visit our system once. If it be periodic, as

suspected, it is the same as appeared when Julius Caesar was killed, and

which likewise appeared in the years 531 and 1106 A.D. Should it appear

in 2255, our posterity will probably regard it as a memorial of Newton.

[Illustration: FIG. 98.--Parabolic and elliptic orbits. The _a b_

(visible) portions are indistinguishable.]

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