Bode's law asserts that the distance of each planet is

approximately double the distance of the inner adjacent planet from

the sun, but that the rate of increase is distinctly slower than

this for the inner ones; consequently a better approximation will

be obtained by adding a constant to each term of an appropriate

geometrical progression. Thus, form a doubling series like this,

1-1/2, 3, 6, 12, 24, &c. doubling each time; then add 4 to each,

and you get a series which expresses very fairly the relative

distances of the successive planets from the sun, except that the

number for Mercury is rather erroneous, and we now know that at the

other extreme the number for Neptune is erroneous too.

I have stated it in the notes above in a form calculated to give

the law every chance, and a form that was probably fashionable

after the discovery of Uranus; but to call the first term of the

doubling series 0 is evidently not quite fair, though it puts

Mercury's distance right. Neptune's distance, however, turns out to

be more nearly 30 times the earth's distance than 38.8. The others

are very nearly right: compare column D of the table preceding

Lecture III. on p. 57, with the numbers in the notes on p. 294.

The discovery of Uranus a few years afterwards, in 1781, at 19.2 times

the earth's distance from the sun, lent great _eclat_ to the law, and

seemed to establish its right to be regarded as at least a close

approximation to the truth.

The gap between Mars and Jupiter, which had often been noticed, and

which Kepler filled with a hypothetical planet too small to see, comes

into great prominence by this law of Bode. So much so, that towards the

end of last century an enthusiastic German, von Zach, after some search

himself for the expected planet, arranged a committee of observing

astronomers, or, as he termed it, a body of astronomical detective

police, to begin a systematic search for this missing subject of the

sun.

[Illustration: FIG. 90.--Planetary orbits to scale; showing the

Asteroidal region between Jupiter and Mars. (The orbits of satellites

are exaggerated.)]

In 1800 the preliminaries were settled: the heavens near the zodiac

were divided into twenty-four regions, each of which was intrusted to

one observer to be swept. Meanwhile, however, quite independently of

these arrangements in Germany, and entirely unknown to this committee, a

quiet astronomer in Sicily, Piazzi, was engaged in making a catalogue of

the stars. His attention was directed to a certain region in Taurus by

an error in a previous catalogue, which contained a star really

non-existent.

In the course of his scrutiny, on the 1st of January, 1801, he noticed a

small star which next evening appeared to have shifted. He watched it

anxiously for successive evenings, and by the 24th of January he was

quite sure he had got hold of some moving body, not a star: probably, he

thought, a comet. It was very small, only of the eighth magnitude; and

he wrote to two astronomers (one of them Bode himself) saying what he

had observed. He continued to observe till the 11th of February, when he

was attacked by illness and compelled to cease.

His letters did not reach their destination till the end of March.

Directly Bode opened his letter he jumped to the conclusion that this

must be the missing planet. But unfortunately he was unable to verify

the guess, for the object, whatever it was, had now got too near the sun

to be seen. It would not be likely to be out again before September, and

by that time it would be hopelessly lost again, and have just as much to

be rediscovered as if it had never been seen.

Mathematical astronomers tried to calculate a possible orbit for the

body from the observations of Piazzi, but the observed places were so

desperately few and close together. It was like having to determine a

curve from three points close together. Three observations ought to

serve,[27] but if they are taken with insufficient interval between

them it is extremely difficult to construct the whole circumstances of

the orbit from them. All the calculations gave different results, and

none were of the slightest use.

The difficulty as it turned out was most fortunate. It resulted in the

discovery of one of the greatest mathematicians, perhaps the greatest,

that Germany has ever produced--Gauss. He was then a young man of

twenty-five, eking out a living by tuition. He had invented but not

published several powerful mathematical methods (one of them now known

as "the method of least squares"), and he applied them to Piazzi's

observations. He was thus able to calculate an orbit, and to predict a

place where, by the end of the year, the planet should be visible. On

the 31st of December of that same year, very near the place predicted by

Gauss, von Zach rediscovered it, and Olbers discovered it also the next

evening. Piazzi called it Ceres, after the tutelary goddess of Sicily.

Its distance from the sun as determined by Gauss was 2.767 times the

earth's distance. Bode's law made it 2.8. It was undoubtedly the missing

planet. But it was only one hundred and fifty or two hundred miles in

diameter--the smallest heavenly body known at the time of its discovery.

It revolves the same way as other planets, but the plane of its orbit is

tilted 10 deg. to the plane of the ecliptic, which was an exceptionally

large amount.

Very soon, a more surprising discovery followed. Olbers, while searching

for Ceres, had carefully mapped the part of the heavens where it was

expected; and in March, 1802, he saw in this place a star he had not

previously noticed. In two hours he detected its motion, and in a month

he sent his observations to Gauss, who returned as answer the calculated

orbit. It was distant 2.67, like Ceres, and was a little smaller, but it

had a very excentric orbit: its plane being tilted 34-1/2 deg., an

extraordinary inclination. This was called Pallas.

Olbers at once surmised that these two planets were fragments of a

larger one, and kept an eager look out for other fragments.

In two years another was seen, in the course of charting the region of

the heavens traversed by Ceres and Pallas. It was smaller than either,

and was called Juno.

In 1807 the persevering search of Olbers resulted in the discovery of

another, with a very oblique orbit, which Gauss named Vesta. Vesta is

bigger than any of the others, being five hundred miles in diameter, and

shines like a star of the sixth magnitude. Gauss by this time had become

so practised in the difficult computations that he worked out the

complete orbit of Vesta within ten hours of receiving the observational

data from Olbers.

For many weary years Olbers kept up a patient and unremitting search for

more of these small bodies, or fragments of the large planet as he

thought them; but his patience went unrewarded, and he died in 1840

without seeing or knowing of any more. In 1845 another was found,

however, in Germany, and a few weeks later two others by Mr. Hind in

England. Since then there seems no end to them; numbers have been

discovered in America, where Professors Peters and Watson have made a

specialty of them, and have themselves found something like a hundred.

Vesta is the largest--its area being about the same as that of Central

Europe, without Russia or Spain--and the smallest known is about twenty

miles in diameter, or with a surface about the size of Kent. The whole

of them together do not nearly equal the earth in bulk.

The main interest of these bodies to us lies in the question, What is

their history? Can they have been once a single planet broken up? or are

they rather an abortive attempt at a planet never yet formed into one?

The question is not _entirely_ settled, but I can tell you which way

opinion strongly tends at the present time.

Imagine a shell travelling in an elliptic orbit round the earth to

suddenly explode: the centre of gravity of all its fragments would

continue moving along precisely the same path as had been traversed by

the centre of the shell before explosion, and would complete its orbit

quite undisturbed. Each fragment would describe an orbit of its own,

because it would be affected by a different initial velocity; but every

orbit would be a simple ellipse, and consequently every piece would in

time return through its starting-point--viz. the place at which the

explosion occurred. If the zone of asteroids had a common point through

which they all successively passed, they could be unhesitatingly

asserted to be the remains of an exploded planet. But they have nothing

of the kind; their orbits are scattered within a certain broad zone--a

zone everywhere as broad as the earth's distance from the sun,

92,000,000 miles--with no sort of law indicating an origin of this kind.

It must be admitted, however, that the fragments of our supposed shell

might in the course of ages, if left to themselves, mutually perturb

each other into a different arrangement of orbits from that with which

they began. But their perturbations would be very minute, and moreover,

on Laplace's theory, would only result in periodic changes, provided

each mass were rigid. It is probable that the asteroids were at one time

not rigid, and hence it is difficult to say what may have happened to

them; but there is not the least reason to believe that their present

arrangement is derivable in any way from an explosion, and it is certain

that an enormous time must have elapsed since such an event if it ever

occurred.

It is far more probable that they never constituted one body at all, but

are the remains of a cloudy ring thrown off by the solar system in

shrinking past that point: a small ring after the immense effort which

produced Jupiter and his satellites: a ring which has aggregated into a

multitude of little lumps instead of a few big ones. Such an event is

not unique in the solar system; there is a similar ring round Saturn.

At first sight, and to ordinary careful inspection, this differs from

the zone of asteroids in being a solid lump of matter, like a quoit. But

it is easy to show from the theory of gravitation, that a solid ring

could not possibly be stable, but would before long get precipitated

excentrically upon the body of the planet. Devices have been invented,

such as artfully distributed irregularities calculated to act as

satellites and maintain stability; but none of these things really work.

Nor will it do to imagine the rings fluid; they too would destroy each

other. The mechanical behaviour of a system of rings, on different

hypotheses as to their constitution, has been worked out with consummate

skill by Clerk Maxwell; who finds that the only possible constitution

for Saturn's assemblage of rings is a multitude of discrete particles

each pursuing its independent orbit. Saturn's ring is, in fact, a very

concentrated zone of minor asteroids, and there is every reason to

conclude that the origin of the solar asteroids cannot be very unlike

the origin of the Saturnian ones. The nebular hypothesis lends itself

readily to both.

The interlockings and motions of the particles in Saturn's rings are

most beautiful, and have been worked out and stated by Maxwell with

marvellous completeness. His paper constituted what is called "The Adams

Prize Essay" for 1856. Sir George Airy, one of the adjudicators

(recently Astronomer-Royal), characterized it as "one of the most

remarkable applications of mathematics to physics that I have ever

seen."

There are several distinct constituent rings in the entire Saturnian

zone, and each perturbs the other, with the result that they ripple and

pulse in concord. The waves thus formed absorb the effect of the mutual

perturbations, and prevent an accumulation which would be dangerous to

the persistence of the whole.

The only effect of gravitational perturbation and of collisions is

gradually to broaden out the whole ring, enlarging its outer and

diminishing its inner diameter. But if there were any frictional

resistance in the medium through which the rings spin, then other

effects would slowly occur, which ought to be looked for with interest.

So complete and intimate is the way Maxwell works out and describes the

whole circumstances of the motion of such an assemblage of particles,

and so cogent his argument as to the necessity that they must move

precisely so, and no otherwise, else the rings would not be stable, that

it was a Cambridge joke concerning him that he paid a visit to Saturn

one evening, and made his observations on the spot.

NOTES TO LECTURE XIV

The total number of stars in the heavens visible to a good eye is about

5,000. The total number at present seen by telescope is about

50,000,000. The number able to impress a photographic plate has not yet

been estimated; but it is enormously greater still. Of those which we

can see in these latitudes, about 14 are of the first magnitude, 48 of

the second, 152 of the third, 313 of the fourth, 854 of the fifth, and

2,010 of the sixth; total, 3,391.

The quickest-moving stars known are a double star of the sixth

magnitude, called 61 Cygni, and one of the seventh magnitude, called

Groombridge 1830. The velocity of the latter is 200 miles a second. The

nearest known stars are 61 Cygni and [alpha] Centauri. The distance

of these from us is about 400,000 times the distance of the sun. Their

parallax is accordingly half a second of arc. Sirius is more than a

million times further from us than our sun is, and twenty times as big;

many of the brightest stars are at more than double this distance. The

distance of Arcturus is too great to measure even now. Stellar parallax

was first securely detected in 1838, by Bessel, for 61 Cygni. Bessel was

born in 1784, and died in 1846, shortly before the discovery of Neptune.

The stars are suns, and are most likely surrounded by planets. One

planet belonging to Sirius has been discovered. It was predicted by

Bessel, its position calculated by Peters, and seen by Alvan Clark in

1862. Another predicted one, belonging to Procyon, has not yet been

seen.

A velocity of 5 miles a second could carry a projectile right round the

earth. A velocity of 7 miles a second would carry it away from the

earth, and round the sun. A velocity of 27 miles a second would carry a

projectile right out of the solar system never to return.

LECTURE XIV

BESSEL--THE DISTANCES OF THE STARS, AND THE DISCOVERY OF STELLAR PLANETS

We will now leave the solar system for a time, and hastily sketch the

history of stellar astronomy from the time of Sir William Herschel.

You remember how greatly Herschel had changed the aspect of the heavens

for man,--how he had found that none of the stars were really fixed, but

were moving in all manner of ways: some of this motion only apparent,

much of it real. Nevertheless, so enormously distant are they, that if

we could be transported back to the days of the old Chaldaean

astronomers, or to the days of Noah, we should still see the heavens

with precisely the same aspect as they wear now. Only by refined

apparatus could any change be discoverable in all those centuries. For

all practical purposes, therefore, the stars may still be well called

fixed.

Another thing one may notice, as showing their enormous distances, is

that from every planet of the solar system the aspect of the heavens

will be precisely the same. Inhabitants of Mars, or Jupiter, or Saturn,

or Uranus, will see exactly the same constellations as we do. The whole

dimensions of the solar system shrink up into a speck when so

contemplated. And from the stars none of the planetary orbs of our

system are visible at all; nothing but the sun is visible, and that

merely as a twinkling star, brighter than some, but fainter than many

others.

The sun and the stars are one. Try to realize this distinctly, and keep

it in mind. I find it often difficult to drive this idea home. After

some talk on the subject a friendly auditor will report, "the lecturer

then described the stars, including that greatest and most magnificent

of all stars, the sun." It would be difficult more completely to

misapprehend the entire statement. When I say the sun is one of the

stars, I mean one among the others; we are a long way from them, they

are a long way from each other. They need be no more closely packed

among each other than we are closely packed among them; except that some

of them are double or multiple, and we are not double.

It is highly desirable to acquire an intimate knowledge of the

constellations and a nodding acquaintance with their principal

stars. A description of their peculiarities is dull and

uninteresting unless they are at least familiar by name. A little

_viva voce_ help to begin with, supplemented by patient night

scrutiny with a celestial globe or star maps under a tent or shed,

is perhaps the easiest way: a very convenient instrument for the

purpose of learning the constellations is the form of map called a

"planisphere," because it can be made to show all the

constellations visible at a given time at a given date, and no

others. The Greek alphabet also is a thing that should be learnt by

everybody. The increased difficulty in teaching science owing to

the modern ignorance of even a smattering of Greek is becoming

grotesque. The stars are named from their ancient grouping into

constellations, and by the prefix of a Greek letter to the larger

ones, and of numerals to the smaller ones. The biggest of all have

special Arabic names as well. The brightest stars are called of

"the first magnitude," the next are of "the second magnitude," and

so on. But this arrangement into magnitudes has become technical

and precise, and intermediate or fractional magnitudes are

inserted. Those brighter than the ordinary first magnitude are

therefore now spoken of as of magnitude 1/2, for instance, or .6,

which is rather confusing. Small telescopic stars are often only

named by their numbers in some specified catalogue--a dull but

sufficient method.

Here is a list of the stars visible from these latitudes, which are

popularly considered as of the first magnitude. All of them should

be familiarly recognized in the heavens, whenever seen.

Star. Constellation.

Sirius Canis major

Procyon Canis minor

Rigel Orion

Betelgeux Orion

Castor Gemini

Pollux Gemini

Aldebaran Taurus

Arcturus Booetes

Vega Lyra

Capella Auriga

Regulus Leo

Altair Aquila

Fomalhaut Southern Fish

Spica Virgo

[alpha] Cygni is a little below the first magnitude. So,

perhaps, is Castor. In the southern heavens, Canopus and [alpha]

Centauri rank next after Sirius in brightness.

[Illustration: FIG. 91.--Diagram illustrating Parallax.]

The distances of the fixed stars had, we know, been a perennial problem,

and many had been the attempts to solve it. All the methods of any

precision have depended on the Copernican fact that the earth in June

was 184 million miles away from its position in December, and that

accordingly the grouping and aspect of the heavens should be somewhat

different when seen from so different a point of view. An apparent

change of this sort is called generally parallax; _the_ parallax of a

star being technically defined as the angle subtended at the star by the

radius of the earth's orbit: that is to say, the angle E[sigma]S;

where E is the earth, S the sun, and [sigma] a star (Fig. 91).

Plainly, the further off [sigma] is, the more nearly parallel will

the two lines to it become. And the difficulty of determining the

parallax was just this, that the more accurately the observations were

made, the more nearly parallel did those lines become. The angle was, in

fact, just as likely to turn out negative as positive--an absurd result,

of course, to be attributed to unavoidable very minute inaccuracies.

For a long time absolute methods of determining parallax were attempted;

for instance, by observing the position of the star with respect to the

zenith at different seasons of the year. And many of these

determinations appeared to result in success. Hooke fancied he had

measured a parallax for Vega in this way, amounting to 30" of arc.

Flamsteed obtained 40" for [gamma] Draconis. Roemer made a serious

attempt by comparing observations of Vega and Sirius, stars almost the

antipodes of each other in the celestial vault; hoping to detect some

effect due to the size of the earth's orbit, which should apparently

displace them with the season of the year. All these fancied results

however, were shown to be spurious, and their real cause assigned, by

the great discovery of the aberration of light by Bradley.

After this discovery it was possible to watch for still outstanding very

minute discrepancies; and so the problem of stellar parallax was

attacked with fresh vigour by Piazzi, by Brinkley, and by Struve. But

when results were obtained, they were traced after long discussion to

age and gradual wear of the instrument, or to some other minute

inaccuracy. The more carefully the observation was made, the more nearly

zero became the parallax--the more nearly infinite the distance of the

stars. The brightest stars were the ones commonly chosen for the

investigation, and Vega was a favourite, because, going near the zenith,

it was far removed from the fluctuating and tiresome disturbances of

atmospheric refraction. The reason bright stars were chosen was because

they were presumably nearer than the others; and indeed a rough guess at

their probable distance was made by supposing them to be of the same

size as the sun, and estimating their light in comparison with sunlight.

By this confessedly unsatisfactory method it had been estimated that

Sirius must be 140,000 times further away than the sun is, if he be

equally big. We now know that Sirius is much further off than this; and

accordingly that he is much brighter, perhaps sixty times as bright,

though not necessarily sixty times as big, as our sun. But even

supposing him of the same light-giving power as the sun, his parallax

was estimated as 1".8, a quantity very difficult to be sure of in any

absolute determination.

Relative methods were, however, also employed, and the advantages of one

of these (which seems to have been suggested by Galileo) so impressed

themselves upon William Herschel that he made a serious attempt to

compass the problem by its means. The method was to take two stars in

the same telescopic field and carefully to estimate their apparent

angular distance from each other at different seasons of the year. All

such disturbances as precession, aberration, nutation, refraction, and

the like, would affect them both equally, and could thus be eliminated.

If they were at the same distance from the solar system, relative

parallax would, indeed, also be eliminated; but if, as was probable,

they were at different distances, then they would apparently shift

relatively to one another, and the amount of shift, if it could be

observed, would measure, not indeed the distance of either from the

earth, but their distance from each other. And this at any rate would be

a step. It might be completed by similarly treating other stars in the

same field, taking them in pairs together. A bright and a faint star

would naturally be suitable, because their distances were likely to be

unequal; and so Herschel fixed upon a number of doublets which he knew

of, containing one bright and one faint component. For up to that time

it had been supposed that such grouping in occasional pairs or triplets

was chance coincidence, the two being optically foreshortened together,

but having no real connection or proximity. Herschel failed in what he

was looking for, but instead of that he discovered the real connection

of a number of these doublets, for he found that they were slowly

revolving round each other. There are a certain number of merely optical

or accidental doublets, but the majority of them are real pairs of suns

revolving round each other.

This relative method of mapping micrometrically a field of neighbouring

stars, and comparing their configuration now and six months hence, was,

however, the method ultimately destined to succeed; and it is, I

believe, the only method which has succeeded down to the present day.

Certainly it is the method regularly employed, at Dunsink, at the Cape

of Good Hope, and everywhere else where stellar parallax is part of the

work.

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