OVERPOPULATION

WHEN we say that a country is overpopulated we speak in relative terms,

inasmuch as the overpopulation of a country does not depend upon the

density of the population alone, but also upon the ability of that

country to produce a sufficient amount of foodstuffs to maintain its

population. Thus a country which has a relatively small population and a

still smaller ability to produce foodstuffs would be more overpopulated

than a country of similar size with a larger population and a still

greater production of foodstuffs.

In considering the case of Porto Rico, we find that the Island contains

8,317 square kilometers of land. The estimated population at the present

time is 1,200,000. This gives about 140 persons to the square kilometer

as compared with 72 persons in France, 237 persons in Belgium, and 252

in Saxony. If the productive ability of the soil of Porto Rico is as

great as that of Belgium and Saxony, we must conclude that Porto Rico is

not overpopulated. If for any reason it is less, then the extent of

overpopulation increases directly as the soil grows less in productive

ability.

Porto Rico has about ten times as many inhabitants per square acre as

the average throughout the United States; but the conditions of climate

do a great deal to equalize this difference. In the first place, the

soil is available in Porto Rico for the production of crops throughout

the twelve months of the year, whereas in parts of the United States and

in northern Europe the soil is usable for only a portion of the year on

account of its unproductive condition during the winter months. Another

matter that must be taken into consideration in the question of

overpopulation, is the severity of the climate. Where the climate is

severe, the country will maintain in comfort a much smaller population

than where the climate is as friendly to the human race as we find it in

Porto Rico.

Of the population of Porto Rico in 1910, about 75 per cent lived in

communities that had less than 500 inhabitants, showing conclusively

that the great majority of the people of Porto Rico should be classified

as rural inhabitants and that the problems which affect the rural people

of Porto Rico are the problems which would affect, to a great extent,

the entire Island. Only two cities in the Island have a population of

more than 25,000, while only 30 would fall under the head of urban

territory, that is, towns which have a population of 2,500 or more.

The rate of increase of population in Porto Rico is far in excess of the

rate of increase in the United States, and this is one of the things

that must be taken into consideration in considering the question of

overpopulation. In the United States the rate of increase among the

class of people whose salaries range from $700 to $2,500 is from ten to

twelve per thousand. In Porto Rico, the rate of increase is about twenty

per thousand.

The following table shows a comparison between the birth rate, death

rate, and rate of increase in the United States and Porto Rico, the

figures given representing the birth and death rate for every thousand

of the population in each country.

UNITED STATES

Birth rate Death rate Increase

_Poor Class_: 35 to 40 25 to 35 5 to 10

_Intermediate class_: 25 to 30 15 to 18 10 to 12

_Well-to-do class_: 12 to 18 12 to 15 4 to 6

PORTO RICO (1914-15)

Birth rate Death rate Increase

39.12 19.72 19 to 20

In order to maintain the population of a country, there must be about

400 children between the ages of one and five years for every thousand

women between the ages of fifteen and forty-five. The following table

shows how Porto Rico compares in this respect with other countries.

United States 492 children per thousand women

France 409 " " " "

Germany 535 " " " "

England 429 " " " "

Sweden 522 " " " "

Porto Rico 725 " " " "

Thus we see that the rate of increase of the population of Porto Rico is

much greater than that of the United States. When we take into

consideration the advancement being made in sanitary science in Porto

Rico and in the elimination of disease, as well as the increased

facilities for caring for sickness, we may expect that the rate of

increase here will be augmented each year.

The general opinion is that Porto Rico is so thickly populated that a

crisis is inevitable, unless some means is found for remedying the

present situation. It does not seem, however, that we are justified in

coming to such a conclusion when we consider the much more densely

populated countries of Belgium and Saxony. Increased production of the

soil due to intensive agriculture, and modern methods of farming, as

well as the breaking up of the land into small farms, have been the

means of taking care of the vast populations of European countries where

climatic conditions are not as favorable as they are in Porto Rico. Of

the total acreage of Porto Rico about 94 per cent is in farms, and we

find that only 30,000 people are directly dependent upon these farms for

their support. Of the total number of acres included in farm land, about

75 per cent is improved and under cultivation, so that there is still

about one quarter of the land that can be devoted to agriculture when it

has been connected with markets, or by other means rendered available

for this purpose. There are in Porto Rico more than 58,000 farms, 46,779

of which are operated by their owners. These, in the great majority of

cases, are small farms and are of the kind which bring the greatest

amount of benefit to the Island. Some 10,000 farms are operated by

tenants, and these farms also are usually small.

The following table shows the number of farms of various sizes in the

Island to-day:

Farms under 5 acres 20,650

Farms from 5 to 9 acres 11,309

Farms from 10 to 19 acres 10,045

Farms from 20 to 49 acres 8,872

Farms from 50 to 99 acres 3,728

Farms from 100 to 174 acres 1,726

Farms from 175 to 499 acres 1,502

Farms from 500 to 999 acres 332

Farms of 1000 acres or more 207

Of the owners and tenants of these farms 44,521 are white and 13,850 are

colored. About 95 per cent of all the owned farms are free from

mortgage. The average size of the farms in Porto Rico is about 35¾

acres.

The experience of European countries has been that large farms, in a

densely populated country are detrimental to the community welfare,

because the holding of such farms by a few condemns a large percentage

of the population to a dependent condition. As the number of farms

decreases, the number of salaried laborers must increase, and as this

floating population increases, there is also a tendency for crime to

increase, as the man who has no responsibilities as a proprietor of land

often lacks the fundamental stimulus to make him observe the laws of his

country. The landowner, having obtained even a small parcel of land, has

an incentive for hard work, wishing to better his financial condition,

while the dependent salaried man, with no visible stimulus for saving,

tends to spend his money as fast as it is earned and seldom accumulates

any property. To such an extent is the possession of land regarded as a

benefit to the individual and an incentive toward good citizenship, that

in some European countries the government has made arrangements to loan

money to worthy young men for the purchase of small farms on the ground

that the government gains a desirable citizen every time that it creates

a landholder. The Government of Porto Rico might well take some steps to

encourage dependent laborers to accumulate property, either by means of

loans to those who desire to purchase property, or by opening up

government land for settlement under the Homestead Act.

The rise in the price of land and the fact that the greater part of the

land of Porto Rico is devoted to industries which are most productive

when conducted on a fairly large scale, has tended to the accumulation

of large tracts of land, and legal measures should be enacted against

the accumulation of tracts of land of more than 100 or 200 acres, and

providing for the distribution of any large tracts in case of the death

of the present owner:

At the present time a good deal of the foodstuffs of Porto Rico is

imported into the Island while if there were more widely extended

division of the land into a large number of small farms, the production

of these foodstuffs could be greatly increased, although, of course,

this would tend to decrease the production of certain other crops which

at present claim the chief attention of the people of Porto Rico.

According to the Report of the Governor of Porto Rico for 1914-15, the

division of land among the various industries, as well as the average

value per acre of land for each of the industries, is shown by the

following table:

Average value

Crop Acreage per acre

Cane 211,110 $106.95

Coffee 165,170 61.60

Tobacco 18,040 80.81

Pineapples 3,761 105.24

Citrus fruits 5,274 121.78

Coconuts 6,088 118.33

Minor fruits 102,274 27.53

From this table we see that certain industries, such as the cultivation

of pineapples or citrus fruits, which can be carried on successfully on

relatively small farms, bring practically as high a return per acre as

does the production of sugar cane, which is essentially a large farm

product. This argument would not necessarily do away with the

cultivation of sugar cane, but would tend to increase the cultivation of

other crops wherever and whenever the soil and climatic conditions would

permit.

An increase in the number of owned farms and a consequent decrease in

the number of dependent wage earners, together with the increased

production of foodstuffs which such a system of land management would

necessarily bring as a result, providing the management of the farms was

carried on under modern scientific methods, would, to a great extent,

relieve the situation of overpopulation which we now face. Porto Rico

can support twice the population which she now has with comparative

ease, providing some means is found to relieve the economic situation of

the greater part of the people and to prevent the accumulation of wealth

in the hands of a comparatively small number. It is estimated at the

present time that the wealth of Porto Rico is in the hands of less than

15 per cent of the population, and the remaining 85 per cent are

dependent for their living upon daily or monthly wages. Such a situation

must be changed or else the question of overpopulation will become

indeed serious. There is no particular reason to fear that the

population will increase to such an extent that we shall be unable to

support ourselves on what the Island may produce; but with the increase

of population under present conditions, trouble between capital and

labor and between workmen and their employers cannot be avoided.

Emigration as a means of relief to the overpopulation of Porto Rico will

not solve the question. In the first place, the Porto Rican people are

essentially a home-loving people, clinging closely to family ties and

not at all disposed to migrate to other countries. A few cases of Porto

Rican families who have moved to other countries have shown that in the

majority of instances the migration was not successful. In the second

place, in order to relieve the situation at all it would be necessary to

provide for the emigration of a large number of families. The removal of

100 or 500 families from Porto Rico would not make any appreciable

difference in the economic situation that we find to-day. The average

family consists of five people, and the removal of 5,000 unskilled

laborers from the Island would not tend to relieve the situation.

The only means of meeting the situation of overpopulation is through

increasing the food production of the Island by means of division into

small farms, intensive cultivation, and modern methods of farming. The

school must do its share in the teaching of small-farm and garden

farming, and the Government should assume the responsibility for

fostering the increase of the number of small farms as well as for

assisting in the educational work to improve the methods of

cultivation.

Social problems in Porto Rico · 第 23 / 75 题