This diagram (PI. XXI) shows the surface of a globe

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covered with the usual imaginary lines of latitude and longitude.

The orbit of a supposed satellite is shown by a line crossing the

sphere at some assumed angle with the equator. Along this line

the satellite always moves at uniform velocity, passing across

and round the back of the sphere and again across. If the sphere

is not turning on its polar axis then this satellite, which we

will suppose armed with a pencil which draws a line upon the

sphere, will strike a great circle right round the sphere. But

the sphere is rotating. And it is to be expected that at

different times in a planet's history the rate of rotation varies

very much indeed. There is reason to believe that our own day was

once only 2½ hours long, or thereabouts. After a preliminary rise

in velocity of axial rotation, due to shrinkage attending rapid

cooling, a planet as it advances in years rotates slower and

slower. This phenomenon is due to tidal influences of the sun or

of satellites. On the assumption that satellites fell into Mars

there would in his case be a further action tending to shorten

his day as time went on.

The effect of the rotation of the planet will be, of course, that

as the satellite advances with its pencil it finds the surface of

the sphere being displaced from under it. The line struck ceases

to be the great circle but wanders off in another curve--which is

in fact not a circle at all.

You will readily see how we find this curve. Suppose the sphere

to be rotating at such a speed that while the satellite is

advancing the distance _Oa_, the point _b_ on the

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sphere will be carried into the path of the satellite. The pencil

will mark this point. Similarly we find that all the points along

this full curved line are points which will just find themselves

under the satellite as it passes with its pencil. This curve is

then the track marked out by the revolving satellite. You see it

dotted round the back of the sphere to where it cuts the equator

at a certain point. The course of the curve and the point where

it cuts the equator, before proceeding on its way, entirely

depend upon the rate at which we suppose the sphere to be

rotating and the satellite to be describing the orbit. We may

call the distance measured round the planet's equator separating

the starting point of the curve from the point at which it again

meets the equator, the "span" of the curve. The span then depends

entirely upon the rate of rotation of the planet on its axis and

of the satellite in its orbit round the planet.

But the nature of events might have been somewhat different. The

satellite is, in the figure, supposed to be rotating round the

sphere in the same direction as that in which the sphere is

turning. It might have been that Mars had picked up a satellite

travelling in the opposite direction to that in which he was

turning. With the velocity of planet on its axis and of satellite

in its orbit the same as before, a different curve would have

been described. The span of the curve due to a retrograde

satellite will be greater than that due to a direct satellite.

The retrograde satellite will have a span more than half

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way round the planet, the direct satellite will describe a curve

which will be less than half way round the planet: that is a span

due to a retrograde satellite will be more than 180 degrees,

while the span due to a direct satellite will be less than 180

degrees upon the planet's equator.

I would draw your attention to the fact that what the span will

be does not depend upon how much the orbit of the satellite is

inclined to the equator. This only decides how far the curve

marked out by the satellite will recede from the equator.

We find then, so far, that it is easy to distinguish between the

direct and the retrograde curves. The span of one is less, of the

other greater, than 180 degrees. The number of degrees which

either sort of curve subtends upon the equator entirely depends

upon the velocity of the satellite and the axial velocity of the

planet.

But of these two velocities that of the satellite may be taken as

sensibly invariable, when close enough to use his pencil. This

depends upon the law of centrifugal force, which teaches us that

the mass of the planet alone decides the velocity of a satellite

in its orbit at any fixed distance from the planet's centre. The

other velocity--that of the planet upon its axis--was, as we have

seen, not in the past what it is now. If then Mars, at various

times in his past history, picked up satellites, these satellites

will describe curves round him having different spans which will

depend upon the velocity of axial rotation of Mars at the time

and upon this only.

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In what way now can we apply this knowledge of the curves

described by a satellite as a test of the lunar origin of the

lines on Mars?

To do this we must apply to Lowell's map. We pick out preferably,

of course, the most complete and definite curves. The chain of

canals of which Acheron and Erebus are members mark out a fairly

definite curve. We produce it by eye, preserving the curvature as

far as possible, till it cuts the equator. Reading the span on

the equator we find' it to be 255 degrees. In the first place we

say then that this curve is due to a retrograde satellite. We

also note on Lowell's map that the greatest rise of the curve is

to a point about 32 degrees north of the equator. This gives the

inclination of the satellite's orbit to the plane of Mars'

equator.

With these data we calculate the velocity which the planet must

have possessed at the time the canal was formed on the hypothesis

that the curve was indeed the work of a satellite. The final

question now remains If we determine the curve due to this

velocity of Mars on its axis, will this curve fit that one which

appears on Lowell's map, and of which we have really availed

ourselves of only three points? To answer this question we plot

upon a sphere, the curve of a satellite, in the manner I have

described, assigning to this sphere the velocity derived from the

span of 255 degrees. Having plotted the curve on the sphere it

only remains to transfer it to Lowell's map. This is easily

done.

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This map (Pl. XXII) shows you the result of treating this, as

well as other curves, in the manner just described. You see that

whether the fragmentary curves are steep and receding far from

the equator; or whether they are flat and lying close along the

equator; whether they span less or more than 180 degrees; the

curves determined on the supposition that they are the work of

satellites revolving round Mars agree with the mapped curves;

following them with wonderful accuracy; possessing their

properties, and, indeed, in some cases, actually coinciding with

them.

I may add that the inadmissible span of 180 degrees and spans

very near this value, which are not well admissible, are so far

as I can find, absent. The curves are not great circles.

You will require of me that I should explain the centres of

radiation so conspicuous here and there on Lowell's map. The

meeting of more than two lines at the oases is a phenomenon

possibly of the same nature and also requiring explanation.

In the first place the curves to which I have but briefly

referred actually give rise in most cases to nodal, or crossing

points; sometimes on the equator, sometimes off the equator;

through which the path of the satellite returns again and again.

These nodal points will not, however, afford a general

explanation of the many-branched radiants.

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