to discriminating duties which favor importation from one place, or in one
particular manner, in contradistinction to others; such as the preference
given to the produce of a colony, or of a country with which there is a
commercial treaty; or the higher duties formerly imposed by our navigation
laws on goods imported in other than British shipping. Whatever else may
be alleged in favor of such distinctions, whenever they are not nugatory,
they are economically wasteful. They induce a resort to a more costly mode
of obtaining a commodity in lieu of one less costly, and thus cause a
portion of the labor which the country employs in providing itself with
foreign commodities to be sacrificed without return.
§ 6. Effects produced on international Exchange by Duties on Exports and
on Imports.
There is one more point, relating to the operation of taxes on commodities
conveyed from one country to another, which requires notice: the
influences which they exert on international exchanges. Every tax on a
commodity tends to raise its price, and consequently to lessen the demand
for it in the market in which it is sold. All taxes on international trade
tend, therefore, to produce a disturbance, and a readjustment of what we
have termed the equation of international demand.
Taxes on foreign trade are of two kinds—taxes on imports and on exports.
On the first aspect of the matter it would seem that both these taxes are
paid by the consumers of the commodity; that taxes on exports consequently
fall entirely on foreigners, taxes on imports wholly on the home consumer.
The true state of the case, however, is much more complicated.
“By taxing exports we may, in certain circumstances, produce a division of
the advantage of the trade more favorable to ourselves. In some cases we
may draw into our coffers, at the expense of foreigners, not only the
whole tax, but more than the tax; in other cases we should gain exactly
the tax; in others, less than the tax. In this last case a part of the tax
is borne by ourselves; possibly the whole, possibly even, as we shall
show, more than the whole.”
Reverting to the supposititious case employed of a trade between England
and the United States in iron and corn, suppose that the United States
taxes her export of corn, the tax not being supposed high enough to induce
England to produce corn for herself. The price at which corn can be sold
in England is augmented by the tax. This will probably diminish the
quantity consumed. It may diminish it so much that, even at the increased
price, there will not be required so great a money value as before. Or it
may not diminish it at all, or so little that, in consequence of the
higher price, a greater money value will be purchased than before. In this
last case, the United States will gain, at the expense of England, not
only the whole amount of the duty, but more; for, the money value of her
exports to England being increased, while her imports remain the same,
money will flow into the United States from England. The price of corn
will rise in the United States, and consequently in England; but the price
of iron will fall in England, and consequently in the United States. We
shall export less corn and import more iron, till the equilibrium is
restored. It thus appears (what is at first sight somewhat remarkable)
that, by taxing her exports, the United States would, in some conceivable
circumstances, not only gain from her foreign customers the whole amount
of the tax, but would also get her imports cheaper. She would get them
cheaper in two ways, for she would obtain them for less money, and would
have more money to purchase them with. England, on the other hand, would
suffer doubly: she would have to pay for her corn a price increased not
only by the duty, but by the influx of money into the United States, while
the same change in the distribution of the circulating medium would leave
her less money to purchase it with.(344)
This, however, is only one of three possible cases. If, after the
imposition of the duty, England requires so diminished a quantity of corn
that its total value is exactly the same as before, the balance of trade
would be undisturbed; the United States will gain the duty, England will
lose it, and nothing more. If, again, the imposition of the duty occasions
such a falling off in the demand that England requires a less pecuniary
value than before, our exports will no longer pay for our imports; money
must pass from the United States into England; and England’s share of the
advantage of the trade will be increased. By the change in the
distribution of money, corn will fall in the United States, and therefore
it will, of course, fall in England. Thus England will not pay the whole
of the tax. From the same cause, iron will rise in England, and
consequently in the United States. When this alteration of prices has so
adjusted the demand that the corn and the iron again pay for one another,
the result is that England has paid only a part of the tax, and the
remainder of what has been received into our treasury has come indirectly
out of the pockets of our own consumers of iron, who pay a higher price
for that imported commodity in consequence of the tax on our exports,
while at the same time they, in consequence of the efflux of money and the
fall of prices, have smaller money incomes wherewith to pay for the iron
at that advanced price.
It is not an impossible supposition that by taxing our exports we might
not only gain nothing from the foreigner, the tax being paid out of our
own pockets, but might even compel our own people to pay a second tax to
the foreigner. Suppose, as before, that the demand of England for corn
falls off so much on the imposition of the duty that she requires a
smaller money value than before, but that the case is so different with
iron in the United States that when the price rises the demand either does
not fall off at all, or so little that the money value required is greater
than before. The first effect of laying on the duty is, as before, that
the corn exported will no longer pay for the iron imported.
Money will therefore flow out of the United States into England. One
effect is to raise the price of iron in England, and consequently in the
United States. But this, by the supposition, instead of stopping the
efflux of money, only makes it greater; because, the higher the price, the
greater the money value of the iron consumed. The balance, therefore, can
only be restored by the other effect, which is going on at the same time,
namely, the fall of corn in the American and consequently in the English
market. Even when corn has fallen so low that its price with the duty is
only equal to what its price without the duty was at first, it is not a
necessary consequence that the fall will stop; for the same amount of
exportation as before will not now suffice to pay the increased money
value of the imports; and although the English consumers have now not only
corn at the old price, but likewise increased money incomes, it is not
certain that they will be inclined to employ the increase of their incomes
in increasing their purchases of corn. The price of corn, therefore, must
perhaps fall, to restore the equilibrium, more than the whole amount of
the duty; England may be enabled to import corn at a lower price when it
is taxed than when it was untaxed; and this gain she will acquire at the
expense of the American consumers of iron, who, in addition, will be the
real payers of the whole of what is received at their own custom-house
under the name of duties on the export of corn.
In general, however, there could be little doubt that a country which
imposed such taxes would succeed in making foreign countries contribute
something to its revenue; but, unless the taxed article be one for which
their demand is extremely urgent, they will seldom pay the whole of the
amount which the tax brings in.(345)
The result of this investigation may, then, be generally
formulated as follows: That country which has the strongest demand
for the commodities of other countries as compared with the demand
of other countries for its own commodities will pay the burden of
the export duty.
Thus far of duties on exports. We now proceed to the more ordinary case of
duties on imports: “We have had an example of a tax on exports, that is,
on foreigners, falling in part on ourselves. We shall therefore not be
surprised if we find a tax on imports, that is, on ourselves, partly
falling upon foreigners.
“Instead of taxing the corn which we export, suppose that we tax the iron
which we import. The duty which we are now supposing must not be what is
termed a protecting duty, that is, a duty sufficiently high to induce us
to produce the article at home. If it had this effect, it would destroy
entirely the trade both in corn and in iron, and both countries would lose
the whole of the advantage which they previously gained by exchanging
those commodities with one another. We suppose a duty which might diminish
the consumption of the article, but which would not prevent us from
continuing to import, as before, whatever iron we did consume.
“The equilibrium of trade would be disturbed if the imposition of the tax
diminished, in the slightest degree, the quantity of iron consumed. For,
as the tax is levied at our own custom-house, the English exporter only
receives the same price as formerly, though the American consumer pays a
higher one. If, therefore, there be any diminution of the quantity bought,
although a larger sum of money may be actually laid out in the article, a
smaller one will be due from the United States to England: this sum will
no longer be an equivalent for the sum due from England to the United
States for corn, the balance therefore must be paid in money. Prices will
fall in England and rise in the United States; iron will fall in the
English market; corn will rise in the American. The English will pay a
higher price for corn, and will have smaller money incomes to buy it with;
while the Americans will obtain iron cheaper, that is, its price will
exceed what it previously was by less than the amount of the duty, while
their means of purchasing it will be increased by the increase of their
money incomes.
“If the imposition of the tax does not diminish the demand, it will leave
the trade exactly as it was before. We shall import as much, and export as
much; the whole of the tax will be paid out of our own pockets.
“But the imposition of a tax on a commodity almost always diminishes the
demand more or less; and it can never, or scarcely ever, increase the
demand. It may, therefore, be laid down as a principle that a tax on
imported commodities, when it really operates as a tax, and not as a
prohibition either total or partial, almost always falls in part upon the
foreigners who consume our goods; and that this is a mode in which a
nation may appropriate to itself, at the expense of foreigners, a larger
share than would otherwise belong to it of the increase in the general
productiveness of the labor and capital of the world, which results from
the interchange of commodities among nations.”
Those are, therefore, in the right who maintain that taxes on imports are
partly paid by foreigners; but they are mistaken when they say that it is
by the foreign producer. It is not on the person from whom we buy, but on
all those who buy from us, that a portion of our custom duties
spontaneously falls. It is the foreign consumer of our exported
commodities who is obliged to pay a higher price for them because we
maintain revenue duties on foreign goods.
There are but two cases in which duties on commodities can in any degree,
or in any manner, fall on the producer. One is, when the article is a
strict monopoly, and at a scarcity price. The price in this case being
only limited by the desires of the buyer—the sum obtained for the
restricted supply being the utmost which the buyers would consent to give
rather than go without it—if the treasury intercepts a part of this, the
price can not be further raised to compensate for the tax, and it must be
paid from the monopoly profits. A tax on rare and high-priced wines will
fall wholly on the growers, or rather, on the owners of the vineyards. The
second case, in which the producer sometimes bears a portion of the tax,
is more important: the case of duties on the produce of land or of mines.
These might be so high as to diminish materially the demand for the
produce, and compel the abandonment of some of the inferior qualities of
land or mines. Supposing this to be the effect, the consumers, both in the
country itself and in those which dealt with it, would obtain the produce
at smaller cost; and a part only, instead of the whole, of the duty would
fall on the purchaser, who would be indemnified chiefly at the expense of
the land-owners or mine-owners in the producing country.
Duties on importation may, then, be divided “into two classes: (1) those
which have the effect of encouraging some particular branch of domestic
industry [protective duties], (2) and those which have not [revenue
duties]. The former are purely mischievous, both to the country imposing
them and to those with whom it trades. They prevent a saving of labor and
capital, which, if permitted to be made, would be divided in some
proportion or other between the importing country and the countries which
buy what that country does or might export.
“The other class of duties are those which do not encourage one mode of
procuring an article at the expense of another, but allow interchange to
take place just as if the duty did not exist, and to produce the saving of
labor which constitutes the motive to international as to all other
commerce. Of this kind are duties on the importation of any commodity
which could not by any possibility be produced at home, and duties not
sufficiently high to counterbalance the difference of expense between the
production of the article at home and its importation. Of the money which
is brought into the treasury of any country by taxes of this last
description, a part only is paid by the people of that country; the
remainder by the foreign consumers of their goods.
“Nevertheless, this latter kind of taxes are in principle as ineligible as
the former, though not precisely on the same ground. A protecting duty can
never be a cause of gain, but always and necessarily of loss, to the
country imposing it, just so far as it is efficacious to its end. A
non-protecting duty, on the contrary, would in most cases be a source of
gain to the country imposing it, in so far as throwing part of the weight
of its taxes upon other people is a gain; but it would be a means which it
could seldom be advisable to adopt, being so easily counteracted by a
precisely similar proceeding on the other side.
“If the United States, in the case already supposed, sought to obtain for
herself more than her natural share of the advantage of the trade with
England, by imposing a duty upon iron, England would only have to impose a
duty upon corn sufficient to diminish the demand for that article about as
much as the demand for iron had been diminished in the United States by
the tax. Things would then be as before, and each country would pay its
own tax—unless, indeed, the sum of the two duties exceeded the entire
advantage of the trade, for in that case the trade and its advantage would
cease entirely.
“There would be no advantage, therefore, in imposing duties of this kind
with a view to gain by them in the manner which has been pointed out. But,
when any part of the revenue is derived from taxes on commodities, these
may often be as little objectionable as the rest. It is evident, too, that
considerations of reciprocity, which are quite unessential when the matter
in debate is a protecting duty, are of material importance when the repeal
of duties of this other description is discussed. A country can not be
expected to renounce the power of taxing foreigners unless foreigners will
in return practice toward itself the same forbearance. The only mode in
which a country can save itself from being a loser by the revenue duties
imposed by other countries on its commodities is, to impose corresponding
revenue duties on theirs. Only it must take care that those duties be not
so high as to exceed all that remains of the advantage of the trade, and
put an end to importation altogether, causing the article to be either
produced at home, or imported from another and a dearer market.”
By “reciprocity” is meant that, when one country admits goods free
of duty from a second country, this latter country will also admit
the commodities of the former free of duty; or, as is often the
case, if not free of duty, at a less than the usual rate. Until
the last few years we have had a reciprocity treaty with Canada,
but it is not now in force; and an arrangement for closer
commercial relations with Mexico is now under consideration.
Chapter IV. Comparison Between Direct And Indirect Taxation.
§ 1. Arguments for and against direct Taxation.
Are direct or indirect taxes the most eligible? A man dislikes not so much
the payment as the act of paying. He dislikes seeing the face of the
tax-collector, and being subjected to his peremptory demand. Perhaps, too,
the money which he is required to pay directly out of his pocket is the
only taxation which he is quite sure that he pays at all. That a tax of
two shillings per pound on tea, or of three shillings per bottle on wine,
raises the price of each pound of tea and bottle of wine which he
consumes, by that and more than that amount, can not, indeed, be denied;
it is the fact, and is intended to be so, and he himself, at times, is
perfectly aware of it; but it makes hardly any impression on his practical
feelings and associations, serving to illustrate the distinction between
what is merely known to be true and what is felt to be so. The
unpopularity of direct taxation, contrasted with the easy manner in which
the public consent to let themselves be fleeced in the prices of
commodities, has generated in many friends of improvement a directly
opposite mode of thinking to the foregoing. They contend that the very
reason which makes direct taxation disagreeable makes it preferable. Under
it every one knows how much he really pays; and, if he votes for a war, or
any other expensive national luxury, he does so with his eyes open to what
it costs him. If all taxes were direct, taxation would be much more
perceived than at present, and there would be a security, which now there
is not, for economy in the public expenditure.
Although this argument is not without force, its weight is likely to be
constantly diminishing. The real incidence of indirect taxation is every
day more generally understood and more familiarly recognized. The mere
distinction between paying money directly to the tax-collector and
contributing the same sum through the intervention of the tea-dealer or
the wine-merchant no longer makes the whole difference between dislike or
opposition and passive acquiescence.
If our present revenue [of $400,000,000 in 1883] were all raised by direct
taxes, an extreme dissatisfaction would certainly arise at having to pay
so much; but while men’s minds are so little guided by reason, as such a
change of feeling from so irrelevant a cause would imply, so great an
aversion to taxation might not be an unqualified good. Of the
[$400,000,000] in question, nearly [$60,000,000] are pledged, under the
most binding obligations, to those whose property has been borrowed and
spent by the state; and, while this debt remains unredeemed, a greatly
increased impatience of taxation would involve no little danger of a
breach of faith. That part, indeed, of the public expenditure which is
devoted to the maintenance of civil and military establishments
[$206,000,000] (that is, all except the interest of the national debt),
affords, in many of its details, ample scope for retrenchment. If so great
an addition were made to the public dislike of taxation as might be the
consequence of confining it to the direct form, the classes who profit by
the misapplication of public money might probably succeed in saving that
by which they profit, at the expense of that which would only be useful to
the public.
There is, however, a frequent plea in support of indirect taxation, which
must be altogether rejected as grounded on a fallacy. We are often told
that taxes on commodities are less burdensome than other taxes, because
the contributor can escape from them by ceasing to use the taxed
commodity. He certainly can, if that be his object, deprive the Government
of the money; but he does so by a sacrifice of his own indulgences, which
(if he chose to undergo it) would equally make up to him for the same
amount taken from him by direct taxation. Suppose a tax laid on wine,
sufficient to add [$25] to the price of the quantity of wine which he
consumes in a year. He has only (we are told) to diminish his consumption
of wine by [$25], and he escapes the burden. True, but if the [$25],
instead of being laid on wine, had been taken from him by an income-tax,
he could, by expending [$25] less in wine, equally save the amount of the
tax, so that the difference between the two cases is really illusory. If
the Government takes from the contributor [$25] a year, whether in one way
or another, exactly that amount must be retrenched from his consumption to
leave him as well off as before; and in either way the same amount of
sacrifice, neither more nor less, is imposed on him.
On the other hand, it is some advantage on the side of indirect taxes that
what they exact from the contributor is taken at a time and in a manner
likely to be convenient to him. It is paid at a time when he has at any
rate a payment to make; it causes, therefore, no additional trouble, nor
(unless the tax be on necessaries) any inconvenience but what is
inseparable from the payment of the amount. He can also, except in the
case of very perishable articles, select his own time for laying in a
stock of the commodity, and consequently for payment of the tax. The
producer or dealer who advances these taxes is, indeed, sometimes
subjected to inconvenience; but, in the case of imported goods, this
inconvenience is reduced to a minimum by what is called the Warehousing
System, under which, instead of paying the duty at the time of
importation, he is only required to do so when he takes out the goods for
consumption, which is seldom done until he has either actually found, or
has the prospect of immediately finding, a purchaser.
The strongest objection, however, to raising the whole or the greater part
of a large revenue by direct taxes, is the impossibility of assessing them
fairly without a conscientious co-operation on the part of the
contributors, not to be hoped for in the present low state of public
morality. In the case of an income-tax, we have already seen that, unless
it be found practicable to exempt savings altogether from the tax, the
burden can not be apportioned with any tolerable approach to fairness upon
those whose incomes are derived from business or professions; and this is
in fact admitted by most of the advocates of direct taxation who, I am
afraid, generally get over the difficulty by leaving those classes
untaxed, and confining their projected income-tax to “realized property,”
in which form it certainly has the merit of being a very easy form of
plunder. But enough has been said in condemnation of this expedient. We
have seen, however, that a house-tax is a form of direct taxation not
liable to the same objections as an income-tax, and indeed liable to as
few objections of any kind as perhaps any of our indirect taxes. But it
would be impossible to raise, by a house-tax alone, the greatest part of
the revenue, without producing a very objectionable overcrowding of the
population, through the strong motive which all persons would have to
avoid the tax by restricting their house accommodation.
A certain amount of revenue may, as we have seen, be obtained without
injustice by a peculiar tax on rent. Besides (1) the land-tax,(346) and
(2) an equivalent for the revenue derived from stamp duties on the
conveyance of land, some further taxation might, I have contended, at some
future period be imposed, (3) to enable the state to participate in the
progressive increase of the incomes of landlords from natural causes. (4)
Legacies and inheritances, we have also seen, ought to be subjected to
taxation sufficient to yield a considerable revenue. With these taxes, and
(5) a house-tax of suitable amount, we should, I think, have reached the
prudent limits of direct taxation. The remainder of the revenue would have
to be provided by taxes on consumption, and the question is, which of
these are the least objectionable.
§ 2. What forms of indirect taxation are most eligible?
There are some forms of indirect taxation which must be peremptorily
excluded. (1.) Taxes on commodities, for revenue purposes, must not
operate as protecting duties, but must be levied impartially on every mode
in which the articles can be obtained, whether produced in the country
itself, or imported. (2.) An exclusion must also be put upon all taxes on
the necessaries of life, or on the materials or instruments employed in
producing those necessaries. Such taxes are always liable to encroach on
what should be left untaxed, the incomes barely sufficient for healthful
existence; and on the most favorable supposition, namely, that wages rise
to compensate the laborers for the tax, it operates as a peculiar tax on
profits, which is at once unjust and detrimental to national wealth.(347)
What remain are taxes on luxuries. And these have some properties which
strongly recommend them. In the first place, they can never, by any
possibility, touch those whose whole income is expended on necessaries;
while they do reach those by whom what is required for necessaries is
expended on indulgences. In the next place, they operate in some cases as
a useful, and the only useful, kind of sumptuary law. A great portion of
the expense of the higher and middle classes in most countries is not
incurred for the sake of the pleasure afforded by the things on which the
money is spent, but from regard to opinion, and an idea that certain
expenses are expected from them, as an appendage of station; and I can not
but think that expenditure of this sort is a most desirable subject of
taxation. When a thing is bought, not for its use but for its costliness,
cheapness is no recommendation.
§ 3. Practical rules for indirect taxation.
In order to reduce as much as possible the inconveniences, and increase
the advantages, incident to taxes on commodities, the following are the
practical rules which suggest themselves: 1. To raise as large a revenue
as conveniently may be, from those classes of luxuries which have most
connection with vanity, and least with positive enjoyment; such as the
more costly qualities of all kinds of personal equipment and ornament. But
with regard to horses and carriages, as there are many persons to whom,
from health or constitution, these are not so much luxuries as
necessaries, the tax paid by those who have but one riding-horse, or but
one carriage, especially of the cheaper descriptions, should be low; while
taxation should rise very rapidly with the number of horses and carriages,
and with their costliness. 2. Whenever possible, to demand the tax, not
from the producer, but directly from the consumer, since, when levied on
the producer, it raises the price always by more, and often by much more,
than the mere amount of the tax. 3. But as the only indirect taxes which
yield a large revenue are those which fall on articles of universal or
very general consumption, and as it is therefore necessary to have some
taxes on real luxuries, that is, on things which afford pleasure in
themselves, and are valued on that account rather than for their cost,
these taxes should, if possible, be so adjusted as to fall with the same
proportional weight on small, on moderate, and on large incomes. This is
not an easy matter; since the things which are the subjects of the more
productive taxes are in proportion more largely consumed by the poorer
members of the community than by the rich. Tea, coffee, sugar, tobacco,
fermented drinks, can hardly be so taxed that the poor shall not bear more
than their due share of the burden. Something might be done by making the
duty on the superior qualities, which are used by the richer consumers,
much higher in proportion to the value; but in some cases the difficulty
of at all adjusting the duty to the value, so as to prevent evasion, is
said, with what truth I know not, to be insuperable; so that it is thought
necessary to levy the same fixed duty on all the qualities alike. 4. As
far as is consistent with the preceding rules, taxation should rather be
concentrated on a few articles than diffused over many, in order that the
expenses of collection may be smaller, and that as few employments as
possible may be burdensomely and vexatiously interfered with. 5. Among
luxuries of general consumption, taxation should by preference attach
itself to stimulants, because these, though in themselves as legitimate
indulgences as any others, are more liable than most others to be used in
excess, so that the check to consumption, naturally arising from taxation,
is on the whole better applied to them than to other things. 6. As far as
other considerations permit, taxation should be confined to imported
articles, since these can be taxed with a less degree of vexatious
interference, and with fewer incidental bad effects, than when a tax is
levied on the field or on the workshop. Custom duties are, _cæteris
paribus_, much less objectionable than excise: but they must be laid only
on things which either can not, or at least will not, be produced in the
country itself; or else their production there must be prohibited (as in
England is the case with tobacco), or subjected to an excise duty of
equivalent amount. 7. No tax ought to be kept so high as to furnish a
motive to its evasion, too strong to be counteracted by ordinary means of
prevention; and especially no commodity should be taxed so highly as to
raise up a class of lawless characters—smugglers, illicit distillers, and
the like.
The experience of the United States is pregnant with lessons in
this direction. During the war we imposed an internal-revenue tax
on distilled spirits of so large an amount that it not only
produced less revenue than a smaller tax would have done, but it
created gigantic frauds, public corruption, and infinite devices
to escape the payment. The following table will show how the
production, as indicated by the tax, fell off when the tax was
excessive. It forced evasions by distillers. It has been found by
various experiences that with a less rate the revenue is largely
increased.
Year. Revenue. Production Amount of tax.
indicated
by the tax
(gallons).
1862-1863 $3,200,000 16,000,000 July, 1862, 20 c.
per gallon.
1867-1868 14,200,000 7,000,000 Jan., 1865, $2 per
gallon.
1868-1869 34,200,000 16,000,000 July, 1868, 50 c.
per gallon.
1869-1870 39,200,000 18,000,000
The actual amount reached by taxation is very much less than that
known to be actually used by from ten to fifteen millions of
gallons, or nearly one half the product. The openness of the
frauds can be judged by the fact that proof spirits were “openly
sold in the market, and even quoted in price-currents, at from
five to fifteen cents less per gallon than the rate of tax and the
average cost of manufacture.”(348)
In what manner the finer articles of manufacture, consumed by the rich,
might most advantageously be taxed, I must leave to be decided by those
who have the requisite practical knowledge. The difficulty would be, to
effect it without an inadmissible degree of interference with production.
In countries which, like the United States, import the principal part of
the finer manufactures which they consume, there is little difficulty in
the matter; and, even where nothing is imported but the raw material, that
may be taxed, especially the qualities of it which are exclusively
employed for the fabrics used by the richer class of consumers. Thus, in
England a high custom duty on raw silk would be consistent with principle;
and it might perhaps be practicable to tax the finer qualities of cotton
or linen yarn, whether spun in the country itself or imported.
§ 4. Taxation systems of the United States and other Countries.
It will now well repay study to examine Chart No. XXI, which shows
in what manner the United States have raised their revenues, and
to consider how far the right rules of taxation have been
followed.
I. For means of comparison, I shall give the last annual budget of
the United States in order to make clear from what sources the
country derives its revenues:
Chart XXI.
United States Budget, Year Ending June 30, 1883.
[In millions and tenths of millions.]
_Receipts:_
Customs $214.7
Internal revenue 144.7
Direct tax .1
Sale of public lands 7.9
Miscellaneous 30.8
Net ordinary receipts $398.2
_Expenditures:_
War Department $48.9
Navy Department 15.3
Indians 7.3
Pensions 66.0
Miscellaneous 68.7
Net ordinary expenditures $206.2
Interest on public debt 59.2
Total $265.4
This leaves a surplus of $132,839,444 above all expenditures, and
our problem is now where to reduce taxation. The annual interest
charge is lessening with the payment of the public debt, having
fallen from its highest figure of $143,781,591 in 1867, to
$59,160,131 in 1883.(349) Our national taxation is practically all
indirect, that of internal taxation being chiefly levied on
tobacco and distilled spirits, and our customs falling on almost
all articles which can be imported, materials as well as
manufactures.
In the United States direct taxation on real and personal property
is very generally levied for State, county, and municipal
purposes. In fact, nearly all the perceptible taxation is the
property tax, and, inasmuch as the State and county tax is very
light, the burden is almost always owing to municipal and town
expenditures. People do not seem to be aware of the enormous
national burden, because the taxes are indirect, and only increase
the prices of commodities. Other countries, it will be seen, make
a greater use of direct taxation than the United States. In fact,
the comparison of the ways by which different countries collect
their revenues may naturally show us where we may gain by their
experience.
II. The English system is especially interesting, because, after
having had an extended scheme of customs duties, they abandoned
it, and raised their revenue, some on imported articles, it is
true (generally on those which could not be produced in England),
but by the income-tax, and other forms.(350)
In 1842 Sir Robert Peel found 1,200 articles subject to
customs-duties. He began (1) by removing all prohibitions; (2) by
reducing duties on raw materials to 5 per cent or less; (3) by
limiting the rates on partially manufactured goods to 12 per cent;
and (4) those on wholly manufactured goods to 20 per cent. Now
customs-duties are levied only on beer, cards, chiccory,
chocolate, cocoa, coffee, dried fruit, plate, spirits, tea,
tobacco, and wine. The following budget gives the sources of
revenue for Great Britain:(351)
Budget Of Great Britain, 1883.
[In millions and tenths of millions.]
_Receipts:_
Customs $98.4
Excise (such as on tobacco and 134.9
spirits)
Stamps 58.5
Land tax 5.2
House duty 8.9
Income tax 60.9
Post-Office 36.5
Telegraph 8.6
Crown lands 2.0
Interest (on loans, Suez 6.1
Canal, etc.)
Miscellaneous 26.4
Total $446.4
_Expenditures:_
Interest on national debt $148.4
Army, navy, etc. 157.1
Cost of revenue departments 45.1
Public works 9.1
Public departments, salaries, 12.5
etc.
Law and justice 35.7
Education, science, and art 22.9
Colonial and consular 3.4
Civil list 2.0
Pensions 2.0
Miscellaneous 6.8
Total expenditures $445.0
From this it will be seen that in the land, income, and house
taxes, Great Britain raises by direct taxation about $75,000,000,
and in customs and excise, by indirect taxation, about
$233,000,000.
III. The following is the system adopted by Germany (Prussia):
German Budget, 1881-1882.
[In millions and tenths of millions.]
_Receipts:_
(1.) Property income from $11.7
domains and forests
From mines and salt-works 2.5
From railways 22.5
Miscellaneous 5.0
$41.7
(2.) Royal Lottery 1.0
(3.) Bureau of Justice $12.7
Harbors and bridges .5
13.2
(4.) Direct taxes $35.5
(5.) Indirect taxes (for 12.3
Prussia)
Total receipts $103.6
_Expenditures:_
(1.) Civil list 3.0
(2.) Debt 25.0
(3.) Various ministries, 49.5
schools, etc.
(4.) Pensions 4.0
(5.) Miscellaneous 19.5
Total expenditures(352) $101.0
The Prussian _direct_ taxes include (1) a land-tax, (2) a
house-tax, (3) an income-tax, (4) a class-tax, (5) a trade-tax,
and (6) miscellaneous taxes.
IV. How the French supply themselves may be seen by the following
statement:(353)
French Budget, 1881.
[In millions and tenths of millions.]
_Receipts:_
Direct taxes $75.9
Similar taxes 4.7
Registry, stamps, etc 135.1
Forests 7.6
Customs (and salt duty $3.5) 65.4
Indirect taxes (including 209.7
tobacco)
Post-Office and telegraph 27.2
Miscellaneous 29.8
Total receipts $555.4
_Expenditures:_
Public debt, etc. $249.0
General functions of the 243.7
ministries
Administrative expenses, cost 58.5
of revenue collections, etc.
Miscellaneous 3.5
Total expenditures $554.7
The direct taxes are (1) on property; (2) one nearly like our
poll-tax together with a species of income-tax; (3) a tax on doors
and windows; and (4) one on licenses.
§ 5. A _Résumé_ of the general principles of taxation.
After the manner of our classification and _résumé_ of the subject of
value and money, it may be convenient to here insert a recapitulation of
the various principles under the treatment of taxation.(354)
Comparison Between Direct And Indirect Taxation.
Adam Smith’s “Canons of Taxation.”—A tax should be: I. _Equal_ (in amount
of _sacrifice_ entailed). II. _Certain._ III. _Timely._ IV. _All for the
state._
A Tax is either:
Direct.
Indirect (on commodities.)
Direct taxes are:
On Income.
On Expenditure.
Taxes on Income are:
General.
Special.
General income taxes. The best of taxes, if people were all honest. As it
is, it falls most heavily on the conscientious. Should be reserved for
emergency. All _savings_ and a fixed amount in _all_ incomes should be
exempt.
Special taxes are on:
Rent.
Wages.
Profits.
Taxes on Rent. Agricultural rent is meant. It falls entirely on the
landlord, and, if not balanced by taxes on other classes, is unjust. May
be blended with a tax on profits, if on rent due to landlord’s
improvements.
Taxes on Wages are:
On Skilled.
On Unskilled.
Skilled wages are at a monopoly price, and taxes on them are paid by the
laborers, so long as wages are not reduced below their just proportion.
Unskilled wages. (1) _Population diminished by it._ Paid by profits. (2)
_Population left stationary._ Shared between profits and wages. (3)
_Population increasing in spite of it._ Falls entirely on wages.
Taxes on Profits. May possible stimulate production, and is then a good
all round, contributing to the state, and leaving no one any poorer. If
not, if profits are really diminished by the tax, capital may be
diminished also. This (a) may, or (b) may not diminish population. If (a),
then the margin of cultivation ceases to be extended, and part of the tax,
_pro tanto_, falls on the landlords. If (b), then wages fall, and part of
the tax falls on the laborer. Total result is a nearer approach to the
stationary state.
Taxes on Expenditure are open to the same objections as the general
income-tax. They may be:
Assessed taxes.
House-tax.
Assessed taxes, such as on servants, dogs, etc. These are rigidly
_direct_.
House-taxes are:
On building-rent.
On ground-rent.
House-taxes on building-rent are paid by occupier. This tax is _indirect_.
House-taxes on ground-rent are (1.) with, or (2.) without an equivalent
tax on agricultural rent. (1.) Are paid by ground landlord wholly, and
therefore _direct_. (2.) Are part by occupier, and therefore _indirect_.
Indirect taxes are: Excise,
Customs, or
Tolls.
Indirect taxes may be on (1.) Long or (2.) Short investments of capital.
Indirect taxes on Long investments are always unadvisable, in view of
Canon IV.
Indirect taxes on Short investments are subject to the laws of indirect
taxation. 1. Tax vanities rather than positive enjoyments (e.g., liveries
rather than servants). 2. The consumer and not the producer should pay the
tax collector (Canon IV). That is, collect the tax as near the actual
consumer as possible. 3. Taxes on real enjoyments to be kept as equal as
possible for large and small means. 4. Tax as few articles as possible.
England taxes only a very small number of imports. The United States taxes
nearly everything imported. 5. Tax stimulants freely. The United States
collect $91,000,000 from spirits and liquors, and $42,000,000 from tobacco
(1883). 6. Tax imports of commodities not made at home, or whose home
production is under an excise (internal revenue) duty equal to the customs
tax. 7. Keep the rate of tax low, in order to get most revenue.
Chapter V. Of A National Debt.
§ 1. Is it desirable to defray extraordinary public expenses by loans?
The question must now be considered, how far it is right or expedient to
raise money for the purposes of government, not by laying on taxes to the
amount required, but by taking a portion of the capital of the country in
the form of a loan, and charging the public revenue with only the
interest.
This question has already been touched upon in the First Book.(355) We
remarked, that if the capital taken in loans is abstracted from funds
either engaged in production, or destined to be employed in it, their
diversion from that purpose is equivalent to taking the amount from the
wages of the laboring-classes. Borrowing, in this case, is not a
substitute for raising the supplies within the year. A government which
borrows does actually take the amount within the year, and that too by a
tax exclusively on the laboring-classes, than which it could have done
nothing worse, if it had supplied its wants by avowed taxation; and in
that case the transaction, and its evils, would have ended with the
emergency; while, by the circuitous mode adopted, the value exacted from
the laborers is gained, not by the state, but by the employers of labor,
the state remaining charged with the debt besides, and with its interest
in perpetuity. The system of public loans, in such circumstances, may be
pronounced the very worst which, in the present state of civilization, is
still included in the catalogue of financial expedients.
We, however, remarked that there are other circumstances in which loans
are not chargeable with these pernicious consequences: namely, first, when
what is borrowed is foreign capital, the overflowings of the general
accumulation of the world; or, secondly, when it is capital which either
would not have been saved at all, unless this mode of investment had been
open to it, or, after being saved, would have been wasted in unproductive
enterprises, or sent to seek employment in foreign countries. When the
progress of accumulation has reduced profits either to the ultimate or to
the practical minimum—to the rate less than which would either put a stop
to the increase of capital, or send the whole of the new accumulations
abroad—government may annually intercept these new accumulations, without
trenching on the employment or wages of the laboring-classes in the
country itself, or perhaps in any other country. To this extent,
therefore, the loan system may be carried, without being liable to the
utter and peremptory condemnation which is due to it when it overpasses
this limit. What is wanted is an index to determine whether, in any given
series of years, as during the last great war, for example, the limit has
been exceeded or not.
Such an index exists, at once a certain and an obvious one. Did the
Government, by its loan operations, augment the rate of interest? If it
only opened a channel for capital which would not otherwise have been
accumulated, or which, if accumulated, would not have been employed within
the country, this implies that the capital, which the Government took and
expended, could not have found employment at the existing rate of
interest. So long as the loans do no more than absorb this surplus, they
prevent any tendency to a fall of the rate of interest, but they can not
occasion any rise. [But] To the full extent to which the loans of
government, during the war, caused the rate of interest to exceed what it
was before, and what it has been since, those loans are chargeable with
all the evils which have been described. If it be objected that interest
only rose because profits rose, I reply that this does not weaken, but
strengthens, the argument. If the Government loans produced the rise of
profits by the great amount of capital which they absorbed, by what means
can they have had this effect, unless by lowering the wages of labor? It
will, perhaps, be said that what kept profits high during the war was not
the drafts made on the national capital by the loans, but the rapid
progress of industrial improvements. This, in a great measure, was the
fact; and it, no doubt, alleviated the hardship to the laboring-classes,
and made the financial system which was pursued less actively mischievous,
but not less contrary to principle. These very improvements in industry
made room for a larger amount of capital; and the Government, by draining
away a great part of the annual accumulations, did not indeed prevent that
capital from existing ultimately (for it started into existence with great
rapidity after the peace), but prevented it from existing at the time, and
subtracted just so much, while the war lasted, from distribution among
productive laborers. If the Government had abstained from taking this
capital by loan, and had allowed it to reach the laborers, but had raised
the supplies which it required by a direct tax on the laboring-classes, it
would have produced (in every respect but the expense and inconvenience of
collecting the tax) the very same economical effects which it did produce,
except that we should not now have had the debt. The course it actually
took was therefore worse than the very worst mode which it could possibly
have adopted of raising the supplies within the year; and the only excuse,
or justification, which it admits of (so far as that excuse could be truly
pleaded) was hard necessity; the impossibility of raising so enormous an
annual sum by taxation, without resorting to taxes which from their
odiousness, or from the facility of evasion, it would have been found
impracticable to enforce.(356)
When government loans are limited to the overflowings of the national
capital, or to those accumulations which would not take place at all
unless suffered to overflow, they are at least not liable to this grave
condemnation. In this case, therefore, the question really is, what it is
commonly supposed to be in all cases—namely, a choice between a great
sacrifice at once, and a small one indefinitely prolonged. On this matter
it seems rational to think that the prudence of a nation will dictate the
same conduct as the prudence of an individual; to submit to as much of the
privation immediately as can easily be borne, and, only when any further
burden would distress or cripple them too much, to provide for the
remainder by mortgaging their future income. It is an excellent maxim to
make present resources suffice for present wants; the future will have its
own wants to provide for. On the other hand, it may reasonably be taken
into consideration that, in a country increasing in wealth, the necessary
expenses of government do not increase in the same ratio as capital or
population; any burden, therefore, is always less and less felt; and,
since those extraordinary expenses of government which are fit to be
incurred at all are mostly beneficial beyond the existing generation,
there is no injustice in making posterity pay a part of the price, if the
inconvenience would be extreme of defraying the whole of it by the
exertions and sacrifices of the generation which first incurred it.
§ 2. Not desirable to redeem a national Debt by a general Contribution.
When a country, wisely or unwisely, has burdened itself with a debt, is it
expedient to take steps for redeeming that debt? In principle it is
impossible not to maintain the affirmative.
Two modes have been contemplated of paying off a national debt: either at
once by a general contribution, or gradually by a surplus revenue. The
first would be incomparably the best, if it were practicable; and it would
be practicable if it could justly be done by assessment on property alone.
If property bore the whole interest of the debt, property might, with
great advantage to itself, pay it off; since this would be merely
surrendering to a creditor the principal sum, the whole annual proceeds of
which were already his by law, and would be equivalent to what a
land-owner does when he sells part of his estate, to free the remainder
from a mortgage. But property, it need hardly be said, does not pay, and
can not justly be required to pay, the whole interest of the debt.
Whatever is the fitting contribution from property to the general expenses
of the state, in the same, and in no greater proportion, should it
contribute toward either the interest or the repayment of the national
debt. This, however, if admitted, is fatal to any scheme for the
extinction of the debt by a general assessment on the community. Persons
of property could pay their share of the amount by a sacrifice of
property, and have the same net income as before.
[Illustration.]
If a person owns a property, A B, which returns him $1,000 income,
and if he pays $10 a year in taxes as his share of interest on the
public debt, suppose that part of his estate represented by X,
which returns him annually $10 (and which return he has annually
handed over to the state), to be carved out of it, and that he is
to be hereafter relieved of his share of taxes. He would then,
after having paid the capitalized value (X) of that which was his
share of the annual tax to the state on account of the public
debt, have the same net income as before; for he was never able to
enjoy the income of X.
If those who have no accumulations, but only incomes, were required to
make up by a single payment the equivalent of the annual charge laid on
them by the taxes maintained to pay the interest of the debt, they could
only do so by incurring a private debt equal to their share of the public
debt; while, from the insufficiency, in most cases, of the security which
they could give, the interest would amount to a much larger annual sum
than their share of that now paid by the state. Besides, a collective debt
defrayed by taxes has, over the same debt parceled out among individuals,
the immense advantage that it is virtually a mutual insurance among the
contributors. If the fortune of a contributor diminishes, his taxes
diminish; if he is ruined, they cease altogether, and his portion of the
debt is wholly transferred to the solvent members of the community. If it
were laid on him as a private obligation, he would still be liable to it,
even when penniless.
When the state possesses property, in land or otherwise, which there are
not strong reasons of public utility for its retaining at its disposal,
this should be employed, as far as it will go, in extinguishing debt. Any
casual gain, or god-send, is naturally devoted to the same purpose. Beyond
this, the only mode which is both just and feasible, of extinguishing or
reducing a national debt, is by means of a surplus revenue.
§ 3. In what cases desirable to maintain a surplus revenue for the
redemption of Debt.
The desirableness, _per se_, of maintaining a surplus for this purpose
does not, I think, admit of a doubt.
It is not, however, advisable in all cases to maintain a surplus revenue
for the extinction of debt. The advantage of paying off the national debt
is, that it would enable us to get rid of the worst half of our taxation.
But of this worst half some portions must be worse than others, and to get
rid of those would be a greater benefit proportionally than to get rid of
the rest. If renouncing a surplus revenue would enable us to dispense with
a tax, we ought to consider the very worst of all our taxes as precisely
the one which we are keeping up for the sake of ultimately abolishing
taxes not so bad as itself. In a country advancing in wealth, whose
increasing revenue gives it the power of ridding itself from time to time
of the most inconvenient portions of its taxation, I conceive that the
increase of revenue should rather be disposed of by taking off taxes, than
by liquidating debt, as long as any very objectionable imposts remain. In
the present state of England, therefore, I hold it to be good policy in
the Government, when it has a surplus of an apparently permanent
character, to take off taxes, provided these are rightly selected. Even
when no taxes remain but such as are not unfit to form part of a permanent
system, it is wise to continue the same policy by experimental reductions
of those taxes, until the point is discovered at which a given amount of
revenue can be raised with the smallest pressure on the contributors.
After this, such surplus revenue as might arise from any further increase
of the produce of the taxes should not, I conceive, be remitted, but
applied to the redemption of debt. Eventually, it might be expedient to
appropriate the entire produce of particular taxes to this purpose; since
there would be more assurance that the liquidation would be persisted in,
if the fund destined to it were kept apart, and not blended with the
general revenues of the state. The succession duties would be peculiarly
suited to such a purpose, since taxes paid as they are, out of capital,
would be better employed in reimbursing capital than in defraying current
expenditure. If this separate appropriation were made, any surplus
afterward arising from the increasing produce of the other taxes, and from
the saving of interest on the successive portions of debt paid off, might
form a ground for a remission of taxation.
The relative amount of the United States public debt may be seen,
by Chart No. XXII, from an early date down to 1880. Since the war,
the surplus revenue of the United States has been constantly
appropriated for the payment of the public debt incurred during
the late war, until, what with the reduction of debt and the fall
in the interest charge, our income is now so much greater than
expenditure that we are (1884) actually in difficulties owing to
the surplus. To the present time the Treasury has been able to use
its excess of receipts in redeeming matured debt; but the rapidity
of the payment has been such that in two years or more no matured
debt will exist to be redeemed: $250,000,000 of 4-½ per cent bonds
remain, but they do not fall due until 1891; and the 4 per cent
bonds to the amount of $737,620,700 do not mature until 1907.
Having once raised a large revenue under war pressure, it seems
very difficult for people to understand now why heavy duties were
originally levied, and the extraordinary suggestion is often made
that the surplus should remain, and new channels of expenditure
should be made (such as enormous pensions), simply in order to
keep up the heavy taxation. The difficulty is, however, that the
unnecessary surplus exists because of customs duties levied for
war purposes. But the heavy burden of war taxation ought not to be
continued, adding to the cost of production in all industries,
without doing a greater wrong than would be done by the
passing—and only possible—trouble of a redistribution of capital
in a few cases; especially since that distribution of capital will
be one from less productive to more productive industries;
otherwise, no change would be made.
The condition of foreign debts, and the progress made in their
reduction, may be studied in Chart No. XXIII. That of the United
States is exceptional. The interest-bearing debt, as given by the
last report of the Secretary of the Treasury, 1883, has been
reduced to $1,312,446,050, and the reduction is more striking than
is indicated in the chart for the year 1880.
[Illustration: Chart XXIII.]
Chart XXIII. Reduction of National Debts in Various Countries.
Chapter VI. Of An Interference Of Government Grounded On Erroneous
Theories.
§ 1. The doctrine of Protection to Native Industry.
We proceed to the functions of government which belong to what I have
termed, for want of a better designation, the optional class; those which
are sometimes assumed by governments and sometimes not, and which it is
not unanimously admitted that they ought to exercise. We will begin by
passing in review false theories which have from time to time formed the
ground of acts of government more or less economically injurious.
Of these false theories, the most notable is the doctrine of Protection to
Native Industry—a phrase meaning the prohibition, or the discouragement by
heavy duties, of such foreign commodities as are capable of being produced
at home. If the theory involved in this system had been correct, the
practical conclusions grounded on it would not have been unreasonable. The
theory was that, to buy things produced at home was a national benefit,
and the introduction of foreign commodities generally a national loss. It
being at the same time evident that the interest of the consumer is to buy
foreign commodities in preference to domestic whenever they are either
cheaper or better, the interest of the consumer appeared in this respect
to be contrary to the public interest; he was certain, if left to his own
inclinations, to do what according to the theory was injurious to the
public.
It was shown, however, in our analysis of the effects of international
trade, as it had been often shown by former writers, that the importation
of foreign commodities, in the common course of traffic, never takes place
except when it is, economically speaking, a national good, by causing the
same amount of commodities to be obtained at a smaller cost of labor and
capital to the country. To prohibit, therefore, this importation, or
impose duties which prevent it, is to render the labor and capital of the
country less efficient in production than they would otherwise be, and
compel a waste of the difference between the labor and capital necessary
for the home production of the commodity and that which is required for
producing the things with which it can be purchased from abroad. The
amount of national loss thus occasioned is measured by the excess of the
price at which the commodity is produced over that at which it could be
imported. In the case of manufactured goods the whole difference between
the two prices is absorbed in indemnifying the producers for waste of
labor, or of the capital which supports that labor. Those who are supposed
to be benefited, namely, the makers of the protected articles (unless they
form an exclusive company, and have a monopoly against their own
countrymen as well as against foreigners), do not obtain higher profits
than other people. All is sheer loss to the country as well as to the
consumer.
Of the industries in a country some are said to “need protection”
and others not—that is, those industries which are carried on at a
relative disadvantage are the only ones which need protection in
order that they may continue in operation. By relative
disadvantage is meant a greater relative cost, or sacrifice, to
the same amount of labor and capital. Those industries which can
not yield so great a value for the labor and capital engaged in
them as other more profitable industries are those which are said
to “need protection.” Wherever protective duties exist it is
implied by those who lay them on that there production is carried
on under more onerous conditions than in other competing places or
occupations. After duties are thus supposed to have protected the
less advantageously situated occupations, it may be said that all
industries will then have an equal chance. “No doubt,” as Mr.
Cairnes says, “they would be equalized just as by compelling every
one to move about with a weight attached to his leg. The weight
would, indeed, be an impediment to locomotion, but, provided it
were in each case exactly proportioned to the strength of the limb
which drew it, no one ... would have any reason to complain. No
one would walk as fast as if his limbs were free, but then his
neighbor would be equally fettered, and, if it took him twice as
long to reach his destination as before, he would at least have
company on his journey.”(357)
§ 2. —had its origin in the Mercantile System.
The restrictive and prohibitory policy was originally grounded on what is
called the Mercantile System, which, representing the advantage of foreign
trade to consist solely in bringing money into the country, gave
artificial encouragement to exportation of goods, and discountenanced
their importation. The only exceptions to the system were those required
by the system itself. The materials and instruments of production were the
subject of a contrary policy, directed, however, to the same end; they
were freely imported, and not permitted to be exported, in order that
manufacturers, being more cheaply supplied with the requisites of
manufacture, might be able to sell cheaper, and therefore to export more
largely. For a similar reason importation was allowed and even favored,
when confined to the productions of countries which were supposed to take
from the country still more than it took from them, thus enriching it by a
favorable balance of trade. As part of the same system colonies were
founded, for the supposed advantage of compelling them to buy our
commodities, or at all events not to buy those of any other country: in
return for which restriction we were generally willing to come under an
equivalent obligation with respect to the staple productions of the
colonists. The consequences of the theory were pushed so far that it was
not unusual even to give bounties on exportation, and induce foreigners to
buy from [England] rather than from other countries by a cheapness which
[England] artificially produced, by paying part of the price for them out
of [their] own taxes. This is a stretch beyond the point yet reached by
any private tradesman in his competition for business. No shopkeeper, I
should think, ever made a practice of bribing customers by selling goods
to them at a permanent loss, making it up to himself from other funds in
his possession.
The principle of the Mercantile Theory is now given up even by writers and
governments who still cling to the restrictive system. Whatever hold that
system has over men’s minds, independently of the private interests
exposed to real or apprehended loss by its abandonment, is derived from
fallacies other than the old notion of the benefits of heaping up money in
the country. The most effective of these is the specious plea of employing
our own countrymen and our national industry, instead of feeding and
supporting the industry of foreigners. The answer to this, from the
principles laid down in former chapters, is evident. Without reverting to
the fundamental theorem discussed in an early part of the present
treatise,(358) respecting the nature and sources of employment for labor,
it is sufficient to say, what has usually been said by the advocates of
free trade, that the alternative is not between employing our own people
and foreigners, but between employing one class and another of our own
people. The imported commodity is always paid for, directly or indirectly,
with the produce of our own industry: that industry being, at the same
time, rendered more productive, since, with the same labor and outlay, we
are enabled to possess ourselves of a greater quantity of the article.
Those who have not well considered the subject are apt to suppose that our
exporting an equivalent in our own produce, for the foreign articles we
consume, depends on contingencies—on the consent of foreign countries to
make some corresponding relaxation of their own restrictions, or on the
question whether those from whom we buy are induced by that circumstance
to buy more from us; and that, if these things, or things equivalent to
them, do not happen, the payment must be made in money. Now, in the first
place, there is nothing more objectionable in a money payment than in
payment by any other medium, if the state of the market makes it the most
advantageous remittance; and the money itself was first acquired, and
would again be replenished, by the export of an equivalent value of our
own products. But, in the next place, a very short interval of paying in
money would so lower prices as either to stop a part of the importation,
or raise up a foreign demand for our produce, sufficient to pay for the
imports. I grant that this disturbance of the equation of international
demand would be in some degree to our disadvantage, in the purchase of
other imported articles; and that a country which prohibits some foreign
commodities, does, _cæteris paribus_, obtain those which it does not
prohibit at a less price than it would otherwise have to pay. To express
the same thing in other words: a country which destroys or prevents
altogether certain branches of foreign trade, thereby annihilating a
general gain to the world, which would be shared in some proportion
between itself and other countries, does, in some circumstances, draw to
itself, at the expense of foreigners, a larger share than would else
belong to it of the gain arising from that portion of its foreign trade
which it suffers to subsist. But even this it can only be enabled to do,
if foreigners do not maintain equivalent prohibitions or restrictions
against its commodities. In any case, the justice or expediency of
destroying one of two gains, in order to engross a rather larger share of
the other, does not require much discussion; the gain, too, which is
destroyed, being, in proportion to the magnitude of the transactions, the
larger of the two, since it is the one which capital, left to itself, is
supposed to seek by preference.
§ 3. —supported by pleas of national subsistence and national defense.
Defeated as a general theory, the Protectionist doctrine finds support in
some particular cases from considerations which, when really in point,
involve greater interests than mere saving of labor—the interests of
national subsistence and of national defense.(359) The discussions on the
Corn Laws have familiarized everybody with the plea that we ought to be
independent of foreigners for the food of the people; and the Navigation
Laws were grounded, in theory and profession, on the necessity of keeping
up a “nursery of seamen” for the navy. On this last subject I at once
admit that the object is worth the sacrifice; and that a country exposed
to invasion by sea, if it can not otherwise have sufficient ships and
sailors of its own to secure the means of manning on an emergency an
adequate fleet, is quite right in obtaining those means, even at an
economical sacrifice in point of cheapness of transport. When the English
navigation laws were enacted, the Dutch, from their maritime skill and
their low rate of profit at home, were able to carry for other nations,
England included, at cheaper rates than those nations could carry for
themselves: which placed all other countries at a great comparative
disadvantage in obtaining experienced seamen for their ships of war. The
navigation laws, by which this deficiency was remedied, and at the same
time a blow struck against the maritime power of a nation with which
England was then frequently engaged in hostilities, were probably, though
economically disadvantageous, politically expedient. But English ships and
sailors can now navigate as cheaply as those of any other country,
maintaining at least an equal competition with the other maritime nations
even in their own trade. The ends which may once have justified navigation
laws require them no longer, and afford no reason for maintaining this
invidious exception to the general rule of free trade.
Since the introduction of steamships and the advance of invention
in naval contrivances, the plea for navigation laws on the ground
that they keep up a “nursery of seamen” for the navy is
practically obsolete. The “seaman” employed on the modern naval
ships more nearly resembles the artisan in a manufacturing
establishment; he need have but comparatively little knowledge of
the sea, since the days of sailing-vessels have passed by, so far
as naval warfare is concerned. Steam and mechanical appliances now
do what was before done by wind and sail.
While Mr. Mill thinks navigation laws were economically—that is,
so far as increase of wealth is concerned—disadvantageous, yet he
believes that they may have been “politically expedient.” It is
possible, for example, that retaliation by the United States and
other countries against England early in this century brought
about the remission of the English restrictions on foreign
shipping. But it is quite another thing to say that such laws
produced an ability to sail ships more cheaply. That the English
navigation acts of 1651 built up English shipping is not supported
by many proofs; whereas it is very distinctly shown that English
shipping languished and suffered under them.(360) Moreover, under
the _régime_ of steam and iron (which drew out England’s peculiar
advantages in iron and coal), in all its history English shipping
never prospered more than it has since the abolition in 1849 of
the navigation laws—events which have taken place since Mr. Mill
wrote.
The United States is still weighed down by navigation laws adapted
to mediæval conditions, and the relics of a time when retaliation
was the cause of their enactment. So long as wooden vessels did
the carrying-trade, the natural advantages of the United States
gave us a proud position on the ocean. Now, however, when it is a
question of cheaper iron, steel, and coal for vessels of iron and
steel, we are at a possible disadvantage, and the bulk of
navigation laws proposed in these days are intended to draw
capital either by raising prices through duties on ships and
materials, or by outright bounties and subsidies from industries
in which we have advantages, to building ships. And until of late
no distinction has been made between ship-building and ship-owning
(or ship-sailing). Within the last year (1884) many burdens on
ship-sailing have been removed; but even when we are permitted to
sail ships on equal terms with foreigners, we can not yet build
them with as small a cost as England (which is proved by the very
demand of the builders of iron vessels for the retention of
protective duties), and our laws do not as yet allow us to buy
ships abroad and sail them under our own flag.(361)
With regard to subsistence, the plea of the Protectionists has been so
often and so triumphantly met, that it requires little notice here. That
country is the most steadily as well as the most abundantly supplied with
food which draws its supplies from the largest surface. It is ridiculous
to found a general system of policy on so improbable a danger as that of
being at war with all the nations of the world at once; or to suppose
that, even if inferior at sea, a whole country could be blockaded like a
town, or that the growers of food in other countries would not be as
anxious not to lose an advantageous market as we should be not to be
deprived of their corn.
In countries in which the system of Protection is declining, but not yet
wholly given up, such as the United States, a doctrine has come into
notice which is a sort of compromise between free trade and restriction,
namely, that protection for protection’s sake is improper, but that there
is nothing objectionable in having as much protection as may incidentally
result from a tariff framed solely for revenue. Even in England regret is
sometimes expressed that a “moderate fixed duty” was not preserved on
corn, on account of the revenue it would yield. Independently, however, of
the general impolicy of taxes on the necessaries of life, this doctrine
overlooks the fact that revenue is received only on the quantity imported,
but that the tax is paid on the entire quantity consumed. To make the
public pay much, that the treasury may receive a little, is no eligible
mode of obtaining a revenue. In the case of manufactured articles the
doctrine involves a palpable inconsistency. The object of the duty as a
means of revenue is inconsistent with its affording, even incidentally,
any protection. It can only operate as protection in so far as it prevents
importation, and to whatever degree it prevents importation it affords no
revenue.
§ 4. —on the ground of encouraging young industries; colonial policy.
The only case in which, on mere principles of political economy,
protecting duties can be defensible, is when they are imposed temporarily
(especially in a young and rising nation) in hopes of naturalizing a
foreign industry, in itself perfectly suitable to the circumstances of the
country. The superiority of one country over another in a branch of
production often arises only from having begun it sooner. There may be no
inherent advantage on one part, or disadvantage on the other, but only a
present superiority of acquired skill and experience. A country which has
this skill and experience yet to acquire may in other respects be better
adapted to the production than those which were earlier in the field; and,
besides, it is a just remark of Mr. Rae that nothing has a greater
tendency to promote improvements in any branch of production than its
trial under a new set of conditions. But it can not be expected that
individuals should, at their own risk, or rather to their certain loss,
introduce a new manufacture, and bear the burden of carrying it on, until
the producers have been educated up to the level of those with whom the
processes are traditional. A protecting duty, continued for a reasonable
time, will sometimes be the least inconvenient mode in which the nation
can tax itself for the support of such an experiment. But the protection
should be confined to cases in which there is good ground of assurance
that the industry which it fosters will after a time be able to dispense
with it; nor should the domestic producers ever be allowed to expect that
it will be continued to them beyond the time necessary for a fair trial of
what they are capable of accomplishing.
The great difficulty with this proposal is that it introduces
(what is inconsistent with Mr. Mill’s general system) the
Socialistic basis of state-help, instead of self-help. If
industries will never support themselves, then, of course, it is a
misappropriation of the property of its citizens whenever a
government takes a slice by taxation from productive industries
and gives it to a less productive one to make up its deficiencies.
The only possible theory of protection to young industries is
that, if protected for a season, the industries may soon grow
strong and stand alone. Mr. Mill never contemplated anything else.
But the difficulty is constantly met with, in putting this theory
into practice, that the industry, once that it has learned to
depend on the help of the state, never reaches a stage when it is
willing to give up the assistance of the duties. Dependence on
legislation begets a want of self-reliance, and destroys the
stimulus to progress and good management. It is said: “There has
never been an instance in the history of the country where the
representatives of such industries, who have enjoyed protection
for a long series of years, have been willing to submit to a
reduction of the tariff, or have proposed it. But, on the
contrary, their demands for still higher and higher duties are
insatiable, and never intermitted.”(362) The question of fact, as
to whether or not the United States is indebted for its present
manufacturing position to protection when our industries were
young, seems to be capable of answer, and an answer which shows
that protection was imposed generally after the industries got a
foothold, and that very little assistance was derived from the
duties on imports.(363)
The following explanation by Mr. Mill(364) of the meaning put upon
his argument of protection to young industries by those who have
applied it to the United States will be of no slight interest:
“The passage has been made use of to show the inapplicability of free
trade to the United States, and for similar purpose in the Australian
colonies, erroneously in my opinion, but certainly with more plausibility
than can be the case in the United States, for Australia really is a new
country whose capabilities for carrying on manufactures can not yet be
said to have been tested; but the manufacturing parts of the United
States—New England and Pennsylvania—are no longer new countries; they have
carried on manufactures on a large scale, and with the benefit of high
protecting duties, for at least two generations; their operatives have had
full time to acquire the manufacturing skill in which those of England had
preceded them; there has been ample experience to prove that the alleged
inability of their manufactures to compete in the American market with
those of Great Britain does not arise merely from the more recent date of
their establishment, but from the fact that American labor and capital
can, in the present circumstances of America, be employed with greater
return, and greater advantage to the national wealth, in the production of
other articles. I have never for a moment recommended or countenanced any
protecting industry except for the purpose of enabling the protected
branch of industry, in a very moderate time, to become independent of
protection. That moderate time in the United States has been exceeded, and
if the cotton and iron of America still need protection against those of
the other hemisphere, it is in my eyes a complete proof that they aught
not to have it, and that the longer it is continued the greater the
injustice and the waste of national resources will be.”
There is only one part of the protectionist scheme which requires any
further notice: its policy toward colonies and foreign dependencies; that
of compelling them to trade exclusively with the dominant country. A
country which thus secures to itself an extra foreign demand for its
commodities, undoubtedly gives itself some advantage in the distribution
of the general gains of the commercial world. Since, however, it causes
the industry and capital of the colony to be diverted from channels which
are proved to be the most productive, inasmuch as they are those into
which industry and capital spontaneously tend to flow, there is a loss, on
the whole, to the productive powers of the world, and the mother-country
does not gain so much as she makes the colony lose. If, therefore, the
mother-country refuses to acknowledge any reciprocity of obligations, she
imposes a tribute on the colony in an indirect mode, greatly more
oppressive and injurious than the direct.
§ 5. —on the ground of high wages.
The discussion by Mr. Cairnes on the question of wages as affected
by the tariff is such that I have quoted it as fully as possible:
“The position taken in the United States is that protection is
only needed and only asked for where American industry is placed
under a disadvantage, as compared with the industry of foreign
countries.... The rates of wages measured in money are higher in
the United States than in Europe, and, therefore, it is argued,
the cost of producing commodities is higher.... The high rates of
wages in the United States are not peculiar to any branch of
industry, but are universal throughout its whole range. If,
therefore, a high rate of wages proves a high cost of production,
and a high cost of production proves a need of protection, it
follows that the farmers of Illinois and the cotton-planters of
the Southern States stand in as much need of fostering legislation
as the cotton-spinners of New England or the iron-masters of
Pennsylvania! A criterion which leads to such results must, I
think, be regarded as sufficiently condemned. The fallacy is, in
truth, ... that all industries are not in each country equally
favored or disfavored by nature, and have not, therefore, equal
need of this protecting care. If American protectionists are not
prepared to demand protective duties in favor of the Illinois
farmer against the competition of his English rival, they are
bound to admit either that a high cost of production is not
incompatible with effective competition, or else that a high rate
of wages does not prove a high cost of production; and if this is
not so in Illinois, then I wish to know why the case should be
different in Pennsylvania or in New England. If a high rate of
wages in the first of these States be consistent with a low cost
of production, why may not a high rate of wages in Pennsylvania be
consistent with a low cost of producing coal and iron?
“The rate of wages, whether measured in money or in the real
remuneration of the laborer, affords an approximate criterion of
the cost of production,(365) either of money, or of the
commodities that enter into the laborer’s real remuneration, _but
in a sense the inverse of that in which it is understood in the
argument under consideration_: in other words, a high rate of
wages indicates not a high but a low cost of production.(366) ...
Thus in the United States the rate of wages is high, whether
measured in gold or in the most important articles of the
laborer’s consumption—a fact which proves that the cost of
producing gold, as well as that of producing those other
commodities, is low in the United States.... I would ask
[objectors] to consider what are the true causes of the high
remuneration of American industry. It will surely be admitted
that, in the last resort, these resolve themselves into the one
great fact of its high productive power.... I must, therefore,
contend that the high scale of industrial remuneration in America,
instead of being evidence of a high cost of production in that
country, is distinctly evidence of a low cost of production—of a
low cost of production, that is to say, in the first place, of
gold, and, in the next, of the commodities which mainly constitute
the real wages of labor—a description which embraces at once the
most important raw materials of industry and the most important
articles of general consumption. As regards commodities not
included in this description, the criterion of wages stands in no
constant relation of any kind to their cost, and is, therefore,
simply irrelevant to the point at issue. And now we may see what
this claim for protection to American industry, _founded on the
high scale of American remuneration_, really comes to: it is a
demand for special legislative aid in consideration of the
possession of special industrial facilities—a complaint, in short,
against the exceptional bounty of nature.
“Perhaps I shall here be asked, How, if the case be so—if the high
rate of industrial remuneration in America be only evidence of a
low cost of production—the fact is to be explained, since fact it
undoubtedly is, that the people of the United States are unable to
compete in neutral markets, in the sale of certain important
wares, with England and other European countries?(367) No one will
say that the people of New England, New York, and Pennsylvania,
are deficient in any industrial qualities possessed by the workmen
of any country in the world. How happens it, then, that, enjoying
industrial advantages superior to other countries, they are yet
unable to hold their own against them in the general markets of
commerce? I shall endeavor to meet this objection fairly, and, in
the first place, let me state what my contention is with regard to
the cost of production in America. I do not contend that it is low
in the case of all commodities capable of being produced in the
country, but only in that of a large, very important, but still
limited group. With regard to commodities lying outside this
group, I hold that the rate of wages is simply no evidence as to
the cost of their production, one way or the other. But, secondly,
I beg the reader to consider what is meant by the alleged
‘inability’ of New England and Pennsylvania to compete, let us
say, with Manchester and Sheffield, in the manufacture of calico
and cutlery. What it means, and what it only can mean, is that
they are unable to do so _consistently with obtaining that rate of
remuneration on their industry which is current in the United
States_. If only American laborers and capitalists would be
content with the wages and profits current in Great Britain, there
is nothing that I know of to prevent them from holding their own
in any markets to which Manchester and Sheffield can send their
wares. And this brings us to the heart of the question. Over a
large portion of the great field of industry the people of the
United States enjoy, as compared with those of Europe, (1)
advantages of a very exceptional kind; over the rest (2) the
advantage is less decided, or (3) they stand on a par with
Europeans, or (4) possibly they are, in some instances, at a
disadvantage. Engaging in the branches of industry in which their
advantage over Europe is great, they reap industrial returns
proportionally great; and, so long as they confine themselves to
these occupations, they can compete in neutral markets against all
the world, and still secure the high rewards accruing from their
exceptionally rich resources. But the people of the Union decline
to confine themselves within these liberal bounds. They would
cover the whole domain of industrial activity, and think it hard
that they should not reap the same rich harvests from every part
of the field. They must descend into the arena with Sheffield and
Manchester, and yet secure the rewards of Chicago and St. Louis.
They must employ European conditions of production, and obtain
American results. What is this but to quarrel with the laws of
nature? These laws have assigned to an extensive range of
industries carried on in the United States a high scale of return,
far in excess of what Europe can command, to a few others a return
on a scale not exceeding the European proportion. American
enterprise would engage in all departments alike, and obtain upon
all the high rewards which nature has assigned only to some. Here
we find the real meaning of the ‘inability’ of Americans to
compete with the ‘pauper labor’ of Europe. They can not do so, and
at the same time secure the American rate of return on their work.
The inability no doubt exists, but it is one created, not by the
drawbacks, but by the exceptional advantages of their position. It
is as if a skilled artisan should complain that he could not
compete with the hedger and ditcher. Let him only be content with
the hedger and ditcher’s rate of pay, and there will be nothing to
prevent him from entering the lists even against this rival.”(368)
It is often said that wages are kept at a high rate in the United
States by the existence of protected industries. On the other
hand, the truth is that the protected industries must pay the
current high rate of wages fixed by the general productiveness of
all industries in the country. When the facts are investigated, it
is surprising how small a portion of the laborers of the United
States are employed in occupations which owe their existence to
the tariff. A general view of the relative numbers engaged in
different occupations may be seen by reference to Chart No. XXIV,
based on the returns for the census of 1880. The data are well
worth examination:(369)
(1.) Agriculture 7,670,493
(2.) Manufacturing, 3,837,112
mechanical, and mining
(3.) Trade and transportation 1,810,256
(4.) Professional and personal 4,074,238
services
All occupations 17,392,099
[Illustration: Chart XXIV.]
Chart XXIV. _Chart showing for the United States, in 1880, the
ratio between the total population over ten years of age and the
number of persons reported as engaged in each principal class of
gainful occupations. Compiled from the returns of the Tenth
Census, by the Editor._ NOTE.—The interior square represents the
proportion of the population which is accounted for as engaged in
gainful occupations. The unshaded space between the inner and
outer squares represents the proportion of the population not so
accounted for.
Of the second class, less than 450,000 work-people are engaged in
the chief protected industries—cotton, woolen, and iron and steel,
combined. This class, it is to be noted, in the census returns,
includes bakers, blacksmiths, brick-makers, builders, butchers,
cabinet-makers, carpenters, carriage-makers, and so on through the
whole list of similar occupations practically unaffected by the
tariff (so far as protection to them is concerned). So that, at
the most, there are less than a million laborers engaged in
industries directly dependent on the tariff, and the number is
undoubtedly very much less than a million. When some writers
assert, therefore, that the existence of customs-duties allows
industries (even including all those employed in producing cotton,
wool, iron, and steel) to employ less than a million laborers in
such a way that the remuneration is fixed for the remaining
16,000,000 laborers in the United States, keeping wages high for
16,000,000 by paying current wages for less than a million, the
extravagance and ignorance of the statement are at once apparent;
while, on the other hand, it is distinctly seen that the causes
fixing the generally high rates of wages for the 16,000,000 are
those governing the majority of occupations, and that the less
than one million must be paid the wages which can be obtained
elsewhere in the more productive industries. The facts thus
strikingly bear out the principles as stated above.
Confirmation—if confirmation now seems necessary—may be found in a
study(370) by our ablest statistician, Francis A. Walker, upon the
causes which have operated on the growth of American manufactures.
This growth has not been commensurate, he finds, with the
remarkable inventive and industrial capacity of our people, and
with the richness of our national resources: “I answer that the
cause of that comparative failure is found, primarily and
principally, in the extraordinary success of our agriculture, as
already intimated in what has been said of the investment of
capital. The enormous profits of cultivating a virgin soil without
the need of artificial fertilization; the advantages which a
sparse population derives from the privilege of selecting for
tillage only the choicest spots,(371) those most accessible, most
fertile, most easily brought under the plow; and the consequent
abundance of food and other necessaries enjoyed by the
agricultural class, have tended continually to disparage
mechanical industries, in the eyes alike of the capitalist,
looking to the most remunerative investment of his savings, and of
the laborer, seeking that avocation which should promise the most
liberal and constant support.
“It has been the competition of the farm with the shop which,
throughout the entire century of our national independence, has
most effectually hindered the growth of manufactures. A people who
are privileged to cultivate a reasonably fertile soil, under the
conditions indicated above, can secure for themselves subsistence
up to the highest limit of physical well-being. If that people
possess the added advantage of great skill in the use of tools,
and great adroitness in meeting the large and the little
exigencies of the occupation and cultivation of the soil, the
fruits of their labor will include not only everything which is
essential to health and comfort, but much that is of the nature of
luxury.”
It remains to be said in this connection that workmen are already
discerning the practical and real causes at work affecting their
wages—affecting them more directly than any tariff system possibly
could—by showing no small alarm at the immigration of foreigners,
such as the Hungarian miners and Italian laborers, who willingly
underbid them. In other words, they are beginning to realize, in a
practical way, the truth that increasing numbers are far more
potent than anything else in reducing wages. So long as
immigration is free to any race or nationality, there is no such
thing as “protection to home laborers”; the only protection to
them—not that I am urging the desirability of such measures—can
come solely from forces which limit the number of workmen who
enter into competition with them. Any other protection to
laboring-men than the prohibition of immigration—which no one
thinks of (except for the Chinese)—is an economic delusion.
Instead of “protecting” them to the extent of affording higher
wages, the tariff increases the cost of woolen clothing and other
articles of their consumption, in addition to forcing capital into
employments which yield a less return, and so insure lower wages.
§ 6. —on the ground of creating a diversity of industries.
It must be kept in mind that Political Economy deals only with the
phenomena of material wealth; it does not supply ethical or
political grounds of action. It is quite conceivable that a
legislator, in coming to a decision, may have to balance economic
gains against moral or political losses, and may choose to give up
the former to prevent the latter. But the economic truth remains
unchanged. Political economy, for instance, to the question, Is
there any gain in international trade? answers, unequivocally,
yes. Would it be a loss of wealth to the community to have the
goods formerly bought abroad now produced at home? The answer is,
certainly it would. But here it has been ably urged by intelligent
writers that a state has other ends to gain than the accumulation
of mere riches; that it must aim to secure the greatest moral,
social, and elevating influences possible for the working-classes;
and that while free exchange of goods may add to wealth, it may
injure the social and political well-being of a nation. So far as
these are social and political questions they do not belong to
Political Economy. But the commonest form of argument is that,
under free exchange, the United States would become purely an
“agricultural” country, its social horizon would become narrowed,
and a lower standard of industrial activity would then ensue;
instead of which, it is said, we should, by protection, keep in
existence diversified industries by which the national mind may be
better stimulated, and greater enterprise may be encouraged in all
branches of industry. This argument for “diversity of industries,”
however, is not merely a sociological question; it can only be
fully discussed from an economic stand-point, and deserves even
more than the brief attention we can give it here.
In the first place, as soon as any purely agricultural country
gains even a slight density of population—a density only such as
to warrant the introduction of the principle of division of
labor—there comes an inevitable differentiation of pursuits,
wholly outside of legislation, and through the operation of
natural causes. Not all of any population is required in
agriculture to provide the whole with food. By a division of
labor, one man in agriculture can produce the sustenance of
himself and many others. “The United States have at the present
time but five persons engaged in agriculture for each square mile
of settled area.” By the side of the farm must early spring up a
wide circle of industries—the shoemaker, the carpenter, the
blacksmith, the wagon-maker, the painter, the builder, the mason,
and all the ordinary employments which arise in any small
community from the earliest division of labor. Moreover,
“agriculture” is often used in a too limited sense as confined to
producing food alone (although even in that limited sense
employing nearly one half of the total number of our laborers). In
a new country the natural field of employment is found in the
“extractive industries,” which include the preparation for the
market not only of food, but also of all ores, coal, minerals,
oils, hides, leather, wool, lumber, and the industries intimately
connected with them; all the employments which transport these
from one part of the country to another (employing at present over
one ninth of all our laborers); and professional and personal
services of an extended variety. Even, therefore, if we were
obliged to forego manufactures entirely, the “extractive
industries” would necessarily involve a very extensive diversity
of employments.
The real question, however, for most persons, centers in the next
stage of the industrial evolution—that of the manufactures of
these above-mentioned products of the “extractive industries.” It
will be remembered, here, that a country does not possess an equal
ability in producing each of these or any commodities: the timber
formerly near great rivers may vanish into the interior; the
oil-sources may be more or less fertile; or the ore-deposits may
be more or less rich, more or less accessible, than those of other
countries. This being understood, then, as soon as the demand in
the country calls for an increased quantity of a particular
article, the cost may increase under the law of diminishing
returns until a foreign country—having inferior agents of
production as compared with our best—may be able to send supplies
into our markets. It all depends on whether the United States
wants more articles than can be produced on grades of natural
agents superior to those possessed by foreigners, taking cost of
carriage to this country into consideration. Even though foreign
competition appears when we reach poorer grades of natural agents,
it does not follow that some of the particular articles will not
be produced. What ought to be clear is, that untrammeled exchange
between countries will not prevent the existence of various
industries, but only limit production to those grades of agents
which are its best. This may be better seen by a simple diagram:
Iron and Coal: England 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Iron and Coal: United States 4 3 2 1
Wheat: England 4 3 2 1
Wheat: United States 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
England may have seven different grades of productiveness in her
iron and coal supplies, of which her grades 1, 2, and 3 are
superior to the best grade of the United States, while grades 1,
2, 3, and 4 in the United States may compare only with grades 4,
5, 6, 7 of England. So long as England can supply herself and the
United States also with coal and iron from the three superior
grades, the United States can not work grade 1 at home. But if the
supply for England and the world requires grade 5 to be worked,
then the United States can begin the industry on her best grade,
although that is far inferior to the best grade in England.
Likewise, if the United States has three grades of wheat-land
superior to England’s best grade, the ability of England to grow
wheat depends on whether the United States can, or can not, supply
both herself and England from grades 1, 2, and 3. If we must
resort to grade 4, then England can begin to grow wheat as well as
we. In short, under a system of free exchange, as great a
diversity as under protection is probably possible, but only in
such a way that the best possible advantages in each particular
industry are employed. Smaller amounts in some branches, and
greater amounts in others, may be produced under a free than under
a restrictive system, but with all the greater gain which arises
from a proper and healthy adjustment of trade. The most poorly
endowed enterprises in each occupation would be given up, but not
the whole industry itself. No class of persons feel the
competition of rivals more than English farmers since American
wheat has come into English markets, and yet it does not follow
that England can not grow a bushel of wheat. The fact is, merely,
that some kinds of lands were thrown out of cultivation, and a
readjustment made, to the benefit of those wanting cheaper food.
So with us: we should not, by the free exchange, be forced to give
up the iron and coal industries entirely; for the best mines would
still keep that occupation in existence to “diversify” the others.
So far the explanation covers the “extractive industries” only, or
those industries affected by the law of diminishing returns when a
larger quantity is demanded. The real question arises as to the
manufactures of these materials. But we count upon larger
industrial rewards, in the form of wages, and profits, here than
in England; we must get more from an industry than England in
order to satisfy us. Our grades of occupations, therefore, must be
more productive to a certain extent, grade for grade, than English
grades, in order to allow of their remaining free from
competition. But we have this superiority, as regards our home
market, owing to natural causes: (1) cheap raw materials (if we
except wool and other commodities whose price is raised by the
tariff); (2) advantage over England in cost of transportation of
raw products; and (3) in the cost of transportation, again, of the
finished goods in reaching our markets. Now, the processes of
manufacture which do not put much labor upon the materials,
especially where the articles are bulky, are conducted in this
country without fear of foreign competition. And the range of this
class of manufactures is surprisingly large. It includes the
manufactures of iron, such as stoves, and the common utensils of
every-day life; of hides, such as leather, harnesses, etc.; and of
wood, such as all the furniture of common use. The list is too
long to be fully stated here. These industries are not kept in
existence by the tariff; and a diversity as wide as this would
arise under a system of free exchange, as well as of restriction.
Indeed, if duties were removed from so-called “raw materials,” it
is altogether probable that a wider diversity would exist than
ever before.
And yet, it will be said, there are some things we can not produce
in free competition with England. Of course there are; and it is
to be hoped it will long continue so. If there are not some kinds
of commodities which foreigners can produce to better advantage
than we, then there will be no possibility of any foreign trade
whatever; since, if they can send us nothing, they can take
nothing from us. To deny this position, is to say that the export
and import trade of the United States (amounting in 1883 to more
than $1,500,000,000) is of no profit, and had best be entirely
destroyed, in order that a few industries in which we have no
natural advantages (and which employ less than one seventeenth of
the laborers in the United States) should be continued at a loss
to the general productiveness of our labor and capital, and so to
a general diminution of wages and profits.
§ 7. —on the ground that it lowers prices.
The argument—heard less frequently now than formerly—has been
advanced, drawn inductively from statistics, that protection does
not raise prices; because, after duties are put on, a larger
quantity is produced, the advantages of large production are
reaped, and then the price of the manufactured commodity falls
lower here than it was before the duty was imposed. The position
is then held that protection does not raise prices. It is, of
course, understood to mean the prices of protected commodities—a
necessary precaution, because we find our own agricultural
(unprotected) commodities cited to show that prices are lower here
than in England.