Here I have endeavored to engage merchants to speculate in a direct

commerce to America, to find out the sentiments of the people in

general respecting us, to know whether, in case of necessity, the

United States would be able to negotiate a loan, whether England would

be able to obtain further credit, and by this barometer of the ability

of Princes, to discover their present situation. On these heads I have

written Mr Deane, but having an opportunity by the way of St Eustatia,

and thinking none should be neglected of giving information, though

mine, perhaps, may not be of importance enough to merit that title, I

have taken the liberty of addressing the honorable Committee. Arriving

but two days after the accounts had reached this city, of our

misfortune on Long Island, I found many, even of the sanguine friends

of America dejected, and those of England almost in a frenzy of joy.

In this disposition, it is easy to judge, no hopes could be

entertained of engaging merchants in a direct trade. I find they have

the greatest inclination to serve us, and at the same time

themselves, for no people see their interests clearer, but their fears

that we shall be subdued, the confident assertions of the friends of

England confirming these apprehensions, the prodigious sums they have

in the English funds, with this unlucky business at New York, all

conspire to prevent direct speculation.

As my letters from Paris introduced me to the first houses here, I

have had the best opportunity of knowing their sentiments, and I can

venture to say, that with many who are apparently adverse to us, it is

interest combating with principle, for insulted, searched, and

plundered as the Dutch were the last war, and are at present, there

are individuals who by no means want sensibility to feel, though the

public wants spirit to resent the injury. The States have, however, in

answer to a fresh remonstrance of General Yorke, declared that their

ports are open to vessels of all nations, and that their trade to and

from their own Colonies shall be unmolested, their subjects complying

with the ordinances issued by their High Mightinesses. In fact, their

prohibition of exporting warlike stores, extends to all British

subjects. I hope it will not be long before all Europe will own us in

another character. It is very certain, that without a very material

and apparent success of the British arms in America, a loan would be

very slowly negotiated for England here. There is nothing hinders them

now from selling out of the English funds, but their not knowing what

to do with their money; for this country may be called the treasury of

Europe, and its stock of specie is more or less, according to the

necessity of the different Princes in Europe. It being a time of

peace, the call has not been very great of late.

Having mentioned the credit of England, that of France is next to be

considered, and I am very sorry to say that has been very low here of

late. The dreadful mismanagement of the finances in the late King's

reign, and the character of the late Controller General, M. d'Olugny,

had reduced it so low, that it was impossible to borrow anything

considerable on perpetual funds. Perhaps a Minister of Finance, in

whose probity the world have a confidence, may restore their credit.

At this moment that is in some measure the case, for the French stocks

rise on the appointment of M. Taboreau. That it is possible for France

to borrow may be demonstrated; for at the time M. Turgot was removed,

he was negotiating a loan here, and was likely to succeed, for sixty

millions of guilders. The credit of Spain is extremely good, and that

kingdom may have what money it will, and on the best terms. The

Emperor's credit is also good, not as Emperor, but from his hereditary

dominion. Sweden and Denmark both have good credit. The former, the

best; they have money at four per cent; and it is not long since the

King of Sweden borrowed three millions of guilders at this interest,

to pay off old debts at five per cent. His interest is paid

punctually. Prussia has no credit here, but the King's treasury is

full by squeezing the last farthing from the people, and now and then

he draws a little money from this Republic, by reviving obsolete

claims. The credit of the Empress of Russia is very good; for she has

punctually paid the interest of twelve millions of guilders, which she

borrowed in her war with the Turks, and has lately paid off one

million and a half of the principal. These are the strongest

circumstances she could have in her favor with a mercantile people. I

have this statement of credit from persons employed in negotiating the

several loans, and, therefore, can depend upon the truth of the

information.

To come next to America, should time and necessity oblige her to look

abroad for money. In the present state of affairs, it is not probable

that a loan is practicable. But should success so attend our arms,

that it should appear evident that we are likely to support our

independence, or should either France or Spain acknowledge our

independence, in either of these cases I believe we might have money,

and when it was seen that we were punctual in our first payments of

the interest, we should have as much as we pleased. The nature of the

security, or the fund for the payment of interest, I have not been

able to imagine. But, observing in a letter to Mr Dearethart, it was

the writer's opinion, that the honorable Congress did not wish to

circulate too much paper, for fear of depreciating its value, I

thought that bills issued similar to those in circulation in the

Provinces, and lodged in a public bank in Europe, might be accepted as

a pledge or deposit for money borrowed by the United States. I beg

pardon for the crudity of the idea, and would not have mentioned it

here, but that having hinted at it in general conversation, people

thought it might, on a future occasion, be adopted.

You will please to observe, that everything here mentioned came from

an individual, who only as such avowed himself interested for his

country's fate, and for its benefit sought information.

Notwithstanding the rise of stocks, occasioned by our misfortune on

Long Island, the Dutch are selling out, and my strongest

representations have not been wanting to contribute a mite to this

circumstance. The price of our product is great. Rice sells for

twentyfive shillings sterling per cwt. and tobacco for eight stivers

and four ---- per pound. You have been threatened, that the Ukraine

would supply Europe with tobacco. It must be long before that time can

arrive. I have seen some of the tobacco here, and the best of it is

worse than the worst of our ground leaf. Four hundred thousand pounds

have been sent here this year. The Russian Ambassador said at the

Baron le Guerre's, Ambassador from Sweden, where I had the honor to

dine, that Russia soon would be able to supply the market with that

article. In this he spoke more like an Ambassador than as a merchant.

I took occasion in reply to observe, that if that was the case, and on

many other accounts, it was the interest of her Majesty that all

intercourse between Great Britain and America should be broken off,

for that then the former would be dependent on Russia for all those

articles, which hitherto the latter had supplied her with.

Having expressed a desire of knowing these reasons at large, with the

assistance of M. D---- and the approbation of Mr Deane, I purpose

giving in a little memoir on the subject, which the Ambassador assures

me shall be sent to St Petersburg. Not being so sanguine as to think,

that it will prevent Russia from supplying England with troops, should

the other demand them, but it may give a secret dilatoriness to their

assistance, which may finally operate in our favor.

If it should be determined to send any cargoes of tobacco here, on the

public account, it will perhaps be thought proper to convoy them. The

frigates destined to that service might retaliate the injuries we have

received by the destruction of Falmouth and Norfolk, by destroying the

towns and shipping of Greenock and the port of Glasgow, or Ayre and

Cambleton. I have been particularly informed of the situation of

those places until the present moment. They have no batteries to

protect, or soldiers to defend them, or quartered near enough in any

numbers to be assembled for that purpose, and not a vessel of war on

the whole coast larger than a tender, to receive men for the sea

service. Their rendezvous might be the entrance of the northern

channel, where, while they waited a junction, in case they should be

separated, they might take the outward bound ships, and by the

information obtained from them, insure their success. In returning, a

party landed on the Isle of Bute, might destroy the house of that

favorite. Little objects strike most forcibly little minds. This

affair completed, which would alarm Britain and astonish Europe, the

ships trading to the Baltic, with cargoes not only that suit, but are

necessary for our Provinces, might be their next object. This ought

all to be done in the months of March, April, and May. The destruction

of the Greenland fishery, might be the last object of the expedition.

I am confident, that not having a distrust of such attempts, the

success would be more certain. Should there be a necessity of seeking

shelter or refreshments, I have it from the Swedish Ambassador here,

that we shall find both in their ports. I only hinted to him, that it

was possible some of our adventurers might explore those seas in

search of plunder.

This is the rough outline of a plan, which the honorable Congress may,

should it in any shape be approved, digest into form. I would stake my

life on the success of the greatest part of it, if inviolable secrecy

is preserved, and the execution is trusted to persons who have not

only wealth but glory in view. If prompted by a heated and indignant

imagination, this plan should appear dangerous and impracticable, I

hope it will be imputed to the desire of retorting our injuries on

that country, which has in some measure been the cause, and is at

present endeavoring, with the rancor of private animosity, to

accumulate our distress. I entreated Mr Deane to propose some part of

it to the consideration of Congress sometime ago, and I have the

pleasure to find his opinion corresponds with my own on the subject.

The resentment, which it is said the honorable Congress have shown, on

the conduct of the King of Portugal towards us, has been attended with

a very good effect, and should a manifesto be published by that

honorable body, hinting only the necessity of taking similar measures

with all those who denied them the common rights of mankind, I am

persuaded it would be to our advantage. It was the dread of such a

blow to their trade, that was one of the strongest arguments made use

of by the merchants of this country, in their petition to the States.

I need not mention to you anything respecting what is like to take

place in Europe another year, for of that ere this, you, I hope, have

information. I will only say, that the greater part contemplates with

pleasure the gloomy prospect for England; there is not an Envoy of the

most petty State in Italy, but exults at it. The want of intelligence

from America, hurts the cause prodigiously in Europe, and the anxiety

of those who have its interest at heart, is from that circumstance,

inconceivable. I hope I need not offer assurances to convince the

honorable Congress of the zeal with which I wish to serve them. To be

directed by that honorable body in what manner to do it most

effectually, will be the happiest circumstance of my life.

I have the honor to be, &c.

WILLIAM CARMICHAEL.

_P. S._ I cannot seal this letter without recommending Colonel Prevet,

should the fortune of war put him into our hands, to all the

indulgence, to himself and family, his situation will possibly admit

of. Mr Grand, his wife's father, an eminent merchant here, animated

with that love of liberty which distinguishes his country,

(Switzerland) offers all the services in his power to the public, and

a thousand civilities to its individuals. If by the same fortune, Mr

Dowdswell, of the first regiment of guards, should fall into our

hands, his father's merits and his own reluctance, will give him the

same indulgence.

Since I wrote the above, Mr Grand has assured me, that should the

honorable Congress determine to negotiate loans in Europe, and would

draw bills accepted by the principal merchants in America, payable at

two, three, and five years' sight, and send them to their house, they

should be discounted by them at five per cent interest. This was the

manner in which money was raised for the city of Leipsic during the

last war. The gentlemen of the committee will please to observe, that

this is to be kept very secret, for no loan can be publicly negotiated

here as yet. The firm of this house is Messrs Horneca, Fizeaux & Co.

and is one of the most capital in this city. Should any cargoes be

consigned here on public account, perhaps it may be thought proper to

address them to these gentlemen. I can assure you, gentlemen, and that

from my own knowledge, that many bills remitted from America, and

supposed to be drawn on account of Congress, have been refused payment

by the English Ministry knowing beforehand when they would be

presented for payment, and by that means, having an opportunity of

bribing, threatening, or flattering the parties on whom they were

drawn, either to refuse payment absolutely, or at least noting them

for protest, in order to hurt the credit of our merchants in Europe. I

do think that the less connexion, for this and other reasons, we have

in future with houses whose principal business depends on Great

Britain, the better. I beg pardon for giving my opinion thus freely,

but it is the effect of my zeal.

W. C.

* * * * *

TO WILLIAM BINGHAM AT MARTINIQUE.

Paris, June 25th to July 6th, 1777.

Sir,

A letter from a person unknown to you but by name, had need of a long

introduction to apologise for the address, but not being a man of

ceremony myself, and besides having but little time for formality, I

content myself with saying, that engaged in the same cause with

yourself, I have assisted Mr Deane since his arrival in Europe, and

know intimately well our affairs abroad, their situation here, and in

such Courts, where it has been thought necessary to address ourselves

for countenance and assistance. I have of course been no stranger to

your correspondence, and have been sorry to find so punctual a

correspondent should have any reason to complain of the want of

punctuality in others. This is not owing to want of inclination in Mr

Deane, but to the multiplicity of business which occupies his whole

time; for Mr Lee is absent, being at Berlin, where I first broke the

ice last autumn,[1] and the age of Dr Franklin in some measure hinders

him from taking so active a part in the drudgery of business as his

great zeal and abilities would otherwise enable him to execute. He is

the master to whom we children in politics all look up for counsel,

and whose name is everywhere a passport, to be well received. As I

trouble you therefore with forwarding some letters to my friends, I

wish to pay the postage by any European intelligence in my power to

communicate.

I have another motive to incite me, which is, that I think your

situation of singular consequence to bring on a war so necessary to

assure our independence, and which the weak system of this Court seems

studiously to avoid. Either from this weakness, or from a jealousy,

that by a precipitate interference, our independence would be too soon

and too formidably established, the Court shuns everything in Europe

which might appear a glaring violation of their treaties with England.

This line of conduct has delayed the stores so long promised, and at

last sends to Martinique, what ought to have been on the continent in

February at furthest. This occasioned the loss of the Seine, which was

despatched half laden, that such necessary articles as tents and

fusils, might get early to America, the captain having positive orders

to proceed thither without touching at the Islands, and I myself

protested to the ship's owners, that Mr Deane would have no concern in

the risk, if on any account but stress of weather, the vessel

proceeded to the West Indies. As such is their miserable policy, it is

our business to force on a war, in spite of their inclinations to the

contrary, for which purpose, I see nothing so likely as fitting out

privateers from the ports and Islands of France. Here we are too near

the sun and the business is dangerous; with you it may be done more

easily, and indeed has already been attended with happy effects, as

you will see by the enclosed copy of a letter from the Chamber of

Commerce at Liverpool to that of Bristol. The natural antipathy of the

nation is such, that their passions being once fully excited, they

will proceed to such acts of reprisal and mutual violence, as will

occasion clamors and altercations, which no soft words can palliate.

As I pretend to know something of the counsels of both nations, I know

there are strong advocates for war in both. The more reasons they have

to produce in favor of their system, the sooner it will be adopted.

In England, when General Howe's successes in the Jersies, and the

prospect of getting possession of Philadelphia, made the Ministry hope

for a speedy termination of their dispute with us, I know war with

France was nearly determined on. The insolence of apparent success

dictated that Memorial, which Sir Joseph Yorke presented to their High

Mightinesses, and which you have undoubtedly seen. One of a still more

insolent nature was prepared and even sent to Lord Stormont here, and

a refusal and even delay of compliance with the requisitions therein

made, was to have been the harbinger of war, and the immediate

destruction of the French commerce and Islands. Happily for our

enemies, the news of our success at Trenton prevented its delivery.

In France, the nation and some of the Ministers wish to act

vigorously, but are retarded in all their operations by the imbecility

of age, or the more powerful operation of English gold. As the English

Ministry seem convinced of the pacific, or rather undecided, state of

the rulers here, they hasten, by the most vigorous exertions against

us, to end the war, and are less reserved in the treatment of the

French prisoners abroad. Could they be provoked to unequivocal proofs

of violence, it would be a good point gained. This your situation may

bring about, by encouraging the arming of vessels manned by Frenchmen,

and by prompting the captains to provoke unjustifiable reprisals, on

the part of the inhabitants of the English Islands.

To you, filled with liberal ideas, and a high sense of the interest of

the French nation, to give us powerful support, these hints may appear

extraordinary, but from experience I can assure you, that public

councils, at least in Europe, are directed more by caprice, or the

interest of _individuals_, than by a generous concern for the whole.

At a distance, we think more of the wisdom of statesmen than they

merit. The nearer we approach them the less is our reverence. If our

enemies are not successful, they mean to close with us on the best

terms they can, sensible, that if this great effort does not succeed,

they have little to hope in future. This is an animating reason for us

to persevere in the glorious contest. In the meantime, it is our

business to keep up the spirits of our common people to the utmost.

For which reason, what I write you is in confidence, or for the

inspection of the Committee only, if it may be thought to merit their

notice.

The English have completed their loan among themselves. No foreigners

have assisted them, although the terms to the lender are better than

any yet offered by that nation, except once. Foreigners know that they

have yet several millions to fund, for which they must offer still

better terms. The Spaniards have refused the mediation of France and

England in their dispute with Portugal, being determined to prosecute

the war until Portugal demands peace, and makes reparation. They have

taken the important Island of St Catharine's, on the coast of Brazil,

without loss, and mean vigorously to prosecute their operations on

Brazil. This I have from undoubted authority, one of the family

Ministers. A report prevails, that the Indians of the east have fallen

on their oppressors, and have taken Madras. India stock has,

consequently, fallen. Both France and Spain continue their armaments

as if preparing for some great event. This obliges England to do the

same. All their naval and army contracts are for five years, and they

employ as many workmen in their dock yards, as they did in the height

of the last war. You will serve us essentially, by pushing the

cruisers who visit you into the European seas, particularly those of

the north, in the months of August, September, and October, directing

them to send their prizes into France or Spain. It would render our

negotiation with Prussia more successful, if a tobacco ship could by

any means be pushed into Emden, which ship might make her returns in

manufactures necessary for us, and fifteen or twenty per cent cheaper

than we can have them here. Urge it to the honorable Committee.

I am, &c.

WILLIAM CARMICHAEL.

_P. S._ Two vessels with stores are just despatched from different

ports. Forward them, my Dear Sir, immediately to our dear country.

Captains Wickes, Johnson, and Nicholson, have just destroyed sixteen

vessels on the English and Irish coast. I am despatching Conyngham

from hence on the same business in a privateer. I begin to think war

unavoidable.

W. C.

_Dunkirk, July 6th._

FOOTNOTES:

[1] Mr Carmichael's letters from Berlin, if he ever wrote any, are

missing.

* * * * *

TO THE PRESIDENT OF CONGRESS.

Yorktown, June 17th, 1778.

Sir,

Since my arrival here, I have been informed of the honor conferred on

me by Congress, in being appointed Secretary to the Commissioners at

the Court of France, an honor which greatly overpays the feeble

efforts of my zeal, and is more than I could expect, considering the

well founded pretensions of others to their notice.

I beg leave through you, Sir, to express my grateful sensibility of

this proof of their confidence, as well as the ardent desire I have of

meriting it in future.[2]

I have the honor to be, &c.

WILLIAM CARMICHAEL.

FOOTNOTES:

[2] It does not appear that Mr Carmichael ever accepted this

appointment. He was chosen a delegate to Congress from Maryland, and

joined that body on the 19th of November, 1778.

* * * * *

TO THE PRESIDENT OF CONGRESS.

Off Reedy Island, November 25th, 1779.

Sir,

I received at Chester, the copies of the resolves, you did me the

honor to enclose me, and shall punctually comply with your request, by

forwarding them as soon as I arrive, to Dr Franklin and Mr Johnson. I

am sorry that the business with respect to the latter, is left in its

present state, because there are very few men, who neglect a certain

and profitable occupation, to engage in another where they are sure of

offending, without an equal certainty of an adequate reward for their

trouble and impartiality.

I am much obliged to you for your good wishes, although I must

candidly own they would be still more agreeable accompanied by a ship

of the line, for we are informed that the Romulus and Roebuck, are

waiting for us to intercept us, and were they animated, would, like

the Death and Sin of Milton, bless their lucky stars 'destined to that

good hour.' I beg you to make the proper compliments for me to the

gentlemen of your family.

I have the honor to be, Sir, &c.

WILLIAM CARMICHAEL.

* * * * *

TO THE PRESIDENT OF CONGRESS.

Martinique, December 27th, 1779.

Sir,

I take the liberty of enclosing to your Excellency, a paper containing

a relation of a late affair, between part of the small squadron

commanded by M. la Motte Piquet, and the English fleet, under the

orders of Sir Peter Parker. It was given me by direction of the French

Admiral, that a true account of this action, which has done him much

honor here, might be published in America.

On the 23d of this month, Admiral Arbuthnot arrived at Barbadoes with

six or seven sail of the line, and sixteen regiments. An attack on the

Grenadas or Dominica, is daily expected. The latter is well fortified

and garrisoned by twelve hundred men. The Marquis de Bouille seems to

have no apprehensions for any of their Islands, except those lately

taken from the enemy.

Mr Jay informs Congress by this opportunity, of the misfortune which

befel us, and the reasons which induced the officers to bring the ship

to this Island.[3] I can only express my regret for the delay, which

this accident will occasion in the execution of the business with

which Congress has done us the honor to intrust us. With the highest

sentiments of respect,

I have the honor to be, &c.

WILLIAM CARMICHAEL.

FOOTNOTES:

[3] See _Jay's Correspondence_, Vol. VII. p. 174.

* * * * *

TO JOHN JAY.

Madrid, February 18th, 1780.

Dear Sir,

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