PROFESSOR OF METEOROLOGY, UNITED STATES WEATHER BUREAU.

The circumstance which renders the coming total eclipse of the sun, on

May 28, 1900, of special significance to thousands of people who might

otherwise entirely overlook the occasion is the fact that the path of

the moon’s shadow over the surface of the earth, or the track of the

eclipse, is in such a convenient locality--namely, in our Southern

States--as to render the places of visibility easily accessible.

Instead of being obliged to go to the ends of the earth, at a heavy

expenditure of time and money, all the while running the risk of not

seeing the eclipsed sun on account of prevailing cloudiness, we are

fortunate this time to have the show at home in our own country.

While many foreigners will be induced to come to the United States

to make observations, it is certain that more people will be in a

position to see this eclipse with a minimum amount of trouble than has

ever happened before in the history of eclipses, at least since the

telescope was invented and careful records of the phenomenon preserved.

The track of May 28th enters the United States in southeastern

Louisiana; passes over New Orleans, La., centrally; over Mobile, Ala.,

which is on its southern edge; over Montgomery, Ala., on the northern

edge; over Columbus, Ga.; south of Atlanta, Ga., which lies about

twenty-five miles to the north of it; near Macon, Milledgeville, and

Augusta, Ga., Columbia, S. C., Charlotte, N. C.; over Raleigh, N. C.,

which is ten miles north of the central line; and over Norfolk, Va.,

fifteen miles north of the center. The track is about fifty miles

wide in all parts, and the duration of the eclipse varies from one

minute and twelve seconds near New Orleans to one minute and forty-four

seconds near Norfolk, on the central line. These durations diminish

from the maximum at the middle of the track to zero at the northern

and southern limits of it, so that an observer must be stationed as

near the central line as possible in order to see much of the eclipse.

The population of several of the above-mentioned cities is at present

as follows: New Orleans, 242,000; Mobile, 31,000; Montgomery, 22,000;

Columbus, 20,000; Atlanta, 66,000; Raleigh, 13,000; and Norfolk,

35,000. It is evident that with very little exertion more than 500,000

people can see this eclipse. It is most fortunate that the track

passes near so many cities, because, with their facilities for the

accommodation of visitors, many will be induced to undertake excursions

with the purpose of taking in this rare sight, and a little enterprise

on the part of railroads and transportation companies might easily

increase the numbers. If people will go to a parade, yacht race, or

an exposition, and consider themselves paid for their expenses, then

surely they will find in this great spectacle of Nature not only an

object of wonder and beauty, but also one of peculiar instruction in

many important branches of science. All educators who can induce their

pupils to make such an expedition will implant a love of astronomy in

many impressionable minds which will become a source of pleasure to

them for the rest of their lives.

[Illustration: CHART I.--TRACK IN THE UNITED STATES OF THE TOTAL

ECLIPSE OF MAY 28, 1900. (By permission of the United States Weather

Bureau.)]

Out of about seventy eclipses of the sun which have occurred somewhere

in the world within the nineteenth century, there have been only

eight total eclipses of more or less duration visible on the North

American continent. The others happened in places often remote from

civilization, and sometimes in entirely inaccessible localities, as

over the ocean areas. The difficulty of transporting heavy baggage

to the remote parts of Asia, Africa, or South America is such as to

preclude all but a few scientists from any effort to observe eclipses.

The writer was much impressed with the formidable nature of undertaking

to establish eclipse stations in places which are distant from centers

of population by his own experience on the West African Eclipse

Expedition, sent out by the United States Government, for the eclipse

of December 22, 1889, to Cape Ledo, on the west coast of Angola, about

seventy miles south of St. Paul de Loanda. Nearly eight months were

consumed in the course of the preparations at home and in the voyage

out and back. The expedition, it should be said, however, went to Cape

Town, South Africa, and halted also at St. Helena, Ascension Island,

and Barbados for magnetic and gravity observations, so that all this

time should not be charged to the eclipse proper. We sailed in the

old frigate Pensacola, the companion to Farragut’s flagship, the

Hartford, with Captain Yates. In earlier days Admiral Dewey commanded

this ship, and the expedition was fitted out while he was in charge of

the Bureau of Equipment at Washington. The same fine courtesy that has

become so well known to his countrymen was at that time extended to all

the members of the expedition.

The cloudiness along the track of the eclipse in the Southern States

on the 28th of May, 1900, is evidently a matter of much importance not

only for all astronomers, but for non-professional spectators. If it

could be foretold, with the same precision as the astronomical data

give the time and the place of the occurrence of the eclipse, that

the day itself will be fair or cloudy, or that certain portions of

the track will be clear while others will be obscured, it would be of

great benefit. The cost of these scientific expeditions is very great,

since it is necessary to transport many heavy and delicate pieces

of apparatus into the field, including telescopes, spectroscopes,

polariscopes, and photographic cameras, and set them up in exact

position for the day of observation. The expedition to Cape Ledo, West

Africa, in 1889, carried out a large amount of material, prepared it

for work during the totality, and then entirely lost the sun during

the critical moments by a temporary obscuring of the sky through local

cloud formations. There had been some clouds at the station during

the forenoons for several days preceding the eclipse, but the sky was

usually clear and very favorable during the middle of the afternoons.

The totality came on at three o’clock, and photographs of the sun were

taken at first contact about 1.30 P. M.; clouds thickened, however,

and totality was entirely lost, while the sun came out again for the

last contact at 4.30 P. M. This was a very trying experience, and of

course could not have been avoided by any possible precautions. Some

astronomers have thought that the advance of the moon’s shadow is

accompanied by a fall in temperature, and that cloudiness is more

likely to be produced from this cause.

Soon after the West African eclipse Professor Todd, of Amherst

College, proposed that more systematic observations be made for the

probable state of the sky along eclipse tracks, with the view of at

least selecting stations having the most favorable local conditions.

The method was tried in Chili, April, 15, 1893, and in Japan, August

8, 1896, with some success. Heretofore the available meteorological

records, which were originally taken for other general purposes,

had been consulted, and some idea formed of the prevailing tendency

to cloudy conditions. In accordance with the improved method, the

United States Weather Bureau has been conducting special observations

on the cloudiness occurring from May 15th to June 15th in each

of the three years 1897, 1898, and 1899, for the morning hours of

the eclipse--between 8 A. M. and 9 A. M. A tabular form was sent

through the local offices to such observers as were willing to act as

volunteers in making these records, and their reports have been studied

to discover how the cloudiness behaves along the eclipse track at that

season of the year. Each of the three years gives substantially the

same conclusion--namely, that there is a maximum of cloudiness near

the Atlantic coast in Virginia, extending back into North Carolina,

and also near the Gulf coast in Louisiana and in southern Mississippi,

while there is a minimum of cloudiness in eastern Alabama and central

Georgia. The following table will serve to make this plain:

_The Prevailing Cloudiness of the Sky along the Eclipse Track._

-------------------+--------------+------------------

STATE. | General sky. | Sky near the sun.

-------------------+--------------+------------------

Virginia | 40.3 | 38.0

North Carolina | 32.4 | 29.9

South Carolina | 26.4 | 24.9

Georgia | 16.4 | 14.7

Alabama | 18.2 | 17.7

Mississippi | 30.8 | 29.2

Louisiana | 32.9 | 27.7

-------------------+--------------+------------------

The significance of these figures is shown by transferring them to a

diagram, given on Chart II, which indicates the average cloudiness

prevailing over the several States where they are crossed by the track.

The marked depression in the middle portions, especially over Alabama

and Georgia, indicates that the stations in these districts make a

much better showing than those nearer the coast line. The reasons for

this difference are probably many in number, but the chief feature is

that the interior of this region, especially over the higher lands of

the southern reaches of the Appalachian Mountains, which are from six

hundred to one thousand feet above the sea level, is somewhat freer

from the moisture flowing inland from the ocean at that season of the

year. The table shows also two divisions, one for the “general sky,”

wherein the relative cloudiness was noted in every portion of the

visible sky, and for the “sky near the sun,” where the observation was

confined to the immediate vicinity of the sun. The two records agree

almost exactly, except that the sky near the sun averages a little

lower than the general sky. This indicates that although the sun will

be seen in the morning hour of May 28th, when it is only from thirty

to forty degrees above the horizon, yet this is not an unfavorable

circumstance. The low altitude, on the other hand, makes it easier for

those at the instruments to enjoy a more comfortable observing position

than if it were nearer the zenith, where one must look directly upward.

Of course, a storm of some kind may occur on that day to modify these

general weather conditions and upset all calculations. While the cloud

observations suggest that Georgia and Alabama have the best sites for

the eclipse, it must be remembered that the duration is about one

minute and twenty seconds in Alabama, and one minute and forty seconds

in North Carolina. As a gain of twenty seconds in observing time will

be considered by many of sufficient importance to take chances on

the cloudiness, stations will be selected in North Carolina for that

reason, although the probability for minimum cloudiness is twice as

good in Georgia and Alabama. The table shows that the chances are only

one to six against observers located in these States, while near the

coast they are about two to six against them. On the whole, the general

result is that observing in this region ought to be successful, because

the favorable chances for good weather are above the average at that

season of the year.

[Illustration: CHART II.--PROBABLE STATE OF THE SKY ALONG THE ECLIPSE

TRACK.

Appletons' Popular Science Monthly, May, 1900 Vol. 57, May, 1900 to October, 1900 · 第 6 / 36 题