calculated to influence, I found I could not make answer to the
principles I had pursued, in the most natural order in which I had been
able to deduce them: and this consideration obliged me, with regret, to
lay it aside, and to follow another, much more complex. I have already
expressed the mortification I have always had upon finding myself forced
to strike out a general rule, and this, of all others, had at first hit
my fancy the most; but I am obliged to confess, that upon a close
examination of the three propositions, I am obliged to range this
ingenious exposition of a most interesting subject, among those general
and superficial maxims which never fail to lead to error.
In order to set the matter in as clear a light as possible, I shall make
a short application of my own principles, relating to the decision of
the main question, the causes of the rise and fall of prices, and
conclude my chapter with some remarks upon the three propositions above
laid down, submitting the whole to the better judgment of my reader.
I have laid it down as a principle, that it is the complicated
operations of demand and competition, which determines the standard
price of every thing. If there be many labourers, and little demand,
work will be cheap. If the increase of riches, therefore, have the
effect of _raising_ demand, work will increase in its value, because
_there_ competition is implied; but if it has only the effect of
_augmenting_ demand, prices will stand as formerly. What then will
become of the additional quantity of coin, or paper money? I answer,
that in both cases it will enter into circulation, in proportion to the
_rise_ or _augmentation_ of demand; with this difference, that in the
first case, it will have the effect of raising prices; because the
supply is not supposed to augment in proportion: in the second, prices
will stand as they were; because the supply is supposed to augment in
proportion. These are the consequences of the augmentation of wealth,
when it has the effect of either _raising_ or _augmenting_ demand. But
if upon this revolution it be found that the state of demand remains
without any variation, then _the additional coin_ will probably be
locked up, or converted into plate; because they who have it, not being
inspired with a desire of increasing their consumption, and far less
with the generous sentiment of giving their money away, their riches
will remain without producing more effect than if they had remained in
the mine. As for the paper money, so soon as it has served the first
purpose of supplying the demand of him who borrowed it, (because he had
at that time no coin) it will return upon the debtor in it, and become
realized; because of the little use found for it in carrying on
circulation.
Let the specie of a country, therefore, be augmented or diminished, in
ever so great a proportion, commodities will still rise and fall
according to the principles of demand and competition, and these will
constantly depend upon the inclinations of those who have _property_ or
any kind of _equivalent_ whatsoever to give; but never upon the quantity
of _coin_ they are possessed of.
Let the quantity of the coin be ever so much increased, it is the desire
of spending it alone, which will raise prices. Let it be diminished ever
so low, while there is real property of any denomination in the country,
and a competition to consume in those who possess it, prices will be
high, by the means of barter, symbolical money, mutual prestations, and
a thousand other inventions. Let me give an example.
Suppose a country where prices are determined, and where the specie is
sufficient for the circulation: is it not plain, that if this country
has a communication with other nations, there must be a proportion
between the prices of many kinds of merchandize, there and elsewhere,
and that the sudden augmentation or diminution of the specie, supposing
it could _of itself_ operate the effects of raising or sinking prices,
would be restrained in its operation by foreign competition? But let us
suppose it cut off from every communication whatsoever, which seems the
only case, where this theory can operate with any appearance of
justness, will any body pretend, that the frugal or extravagant turn of
the inhabitants, will have no influence upon prices, and will it be
asserted, that no variation in the spirit of a people, as to frugality
and dissipation, can take place, except upon a variation in the quantity
of their gold and silver?
It may be answered, that as to articles of superfluity, no doubt the
genius of a people may influence prices, in combination with the
quantity of the specie; but that in articles of indispensible necessity,
they must constantly remain in proportion to the mass of riches. This I
cannot by any means admit to be just. Let me take the example of grain,
which is the most familiar. Is it not plain, from what we have said
above, that the proportion of wealth, found in the hands of the lowest
class of the people, constantly regulates the price of it; consequently,
let the rich be ever so wealthy, the price of subsistence can never rise
above the faculties of the poor. And is it not also plain, that those of
the lowest class of the people, _who purchase subsistence_, must buy it
with the returns they receive from the rich for their industry? Now if
the quantity of the wealth of the latter, does not regulate their demand
for the service of the former, must it not follow, that the price of
grain, as well as of every other thing offered to sale, must depend upon
the degree of competition among the rich for the labour of the poor,
that is, upon the demand for industry, and not on the quantity of wealth
in the country?
No body ever denied, that the extraordinary demand for a commodity had
the effect of raising the price of it: and certainly no body will deny,
that the demand for a particular commodity may be greater at one time
than at another, though the same quantity of that commodity be found at
both times in the country; and the same quantity of specie likewise not
only in the country, but also in circulation.
I acknowledge that in a country where there is much coin, and where
credit is little known, a high and extraordinary demand for an article
of superfluity, may raise the price more than in another where the coin
is more scarce; because on certain occasions, the price of a thing has
no other bounds than the extent of the faculties of the buyer. In like
manner, in other countries where there is almost no coin, nor credit, it
may be impossible for the highest demand to raise the price of such
things even to the common standard established in those where there is
great wealth. But these instances appear to be too particular to serve
for the foundation of a general rule, with respect to the state of
prices in the present situation of the nations of Europe, which, less or
more, are all in communication with one another.
I cannot here omit taking notice of two very remarkable circumstances
which we learn from undoubted historical authority, which seem to
contradict one another, and to throw a great obscurity upon the
principles I have been endeavouring to explain. I shall therefore
introduce them by way of illustration, and when they are examined, I
hope they will confirm my doctrine.
The first is, that in Scotland, formerly, when coin and credit were
certainly very rare, the price of eight pounds weight of oat meal, which
is now commonly sold at eight pence sterling, was then valued at no more
than two thirds of one penny: and that a labouring man used to receive
one penny and one third of a penny sterling for his week’s subsistence;
that is to say, the value of sixteen pounds of oatmeal, which to this
day is the regulated quantity given for that purpose.
There is a very curious confirmation of the authenticity of this
computation, in an hospital at old Aberdeen; where in former times, some
proprietors of lands had settled a certain quantity of oat meal in
favours of the poor of the hospital, with a liberty to the hospital to
accept the meal in kind, or the conversion at two thirds of a penny for
every eight pounds weight. They imprudently chose the last, and to this
very day they are paid according to this standard. Now it is certainly
impossible that any degree of plenty whatsoever, or any failing of
demand, could at present reduce the price of that commodity so very low;
consequently, it may be said that it is the augmentation of wealth, not
that of demand which raises prices.
The second fact we learn from antiquity, that at the time when Greece
and Rome abounded in wealth, when every rarity, and the work of the
choicest artists was carried to an excessive price, an ox was bought for
a mere trifle, and grain was cheaper perhaps than ever it was in
Scotland.
If the application of our principles to the circumstances of those
times, produce a solution of these apparent inconsistencies; and if we
thereby can discover that the low prices of grain, both in Scotland,
where there was little money, and at Rome where there was a great deal,
was entirely owing to the little demand for articles of subsistence;
will it not follow, that our principle is just, and that the other,
notwithstanding of the ingenuity of the thought, must fail in exactness;
since it will appear, that low prices may be equally compatible with
wealth, and with poverty.
Now as to Scotland in former times, as in all countries where there is
little industry; where the inhabitants are mostly fed directly from the
earth, without any alienation of her fruits taking place; where
agriculture is exercised purely as a method of subsisting; where rents
are low, and where, consequently, the free hands, who live upon them for
the price of their industry, must be few; the demand for grain in the
public markets must be very small; consequently, prices will be very
low, whether there be little, or whether there be much money in the
country. The reason is plain. The demand is proportioned here, not to
the number of those who consume, but of those who buy: now those who
consume, are all the inhabitants, but those who buy, are only the few
industrious who are free, and who gain an independent livelihood by
their own labour and ingenuity: now the price of their week’s
subsistence was one penny one third, consequently the subsistence they
bought could not rise above this standard.
Next as to the state of Greece and Rome, where slavery was established.
Those who were fed by the labour of their own slaves, by those of the
state, or by the grain gratuitously distributed to the people, had no
occasion to go to market; consequently, they did not enter into
competition with the buyers. Farther, the simplicity of manners, and the
few manufactures then known, made wants in general less extensive;
consequently, the number of the industrious free was small, and _they_
were the only persons who _could_ have occasion to purchase food and
necessaries; consequently, the competition of the buyers must have been
small in proportion, and prices low.
Add to this, the reflections which naturally present themselves upon
examining the nature of providing the markets. These were supplied
partly from the surplus produced upon the lands of the great men,
laboured by slaves; who being fed from the lands, the surplus cost in a
manner nothing to the proprietors; and as the number of those who had
occasion to buy, were very few, this surplus was sold cheap. Besides,
the grain distributed to the people gratis, must necessarily have kept
down the market, as a part of it would naturally, sometimes, be found
superfluous to those who received it; and consequently, come to be sold
in competition with that raised at private expence.
But when a fine mullet was brought to market, or when an artist appeared
with a curious piece of work, the case was very different. There was
plenty of money in the country, in the hands of the rich, who all
appeared in competition for the preference; consequently, prices rose to
an extravagant height. The luxury of those times, though excessive, was
confined to a few, and as money, in general, circulated but slowly
through the hands of the multitude, it was constantly stagnating in
those of the rich, who found no measure, but their own caprice, in
regulating the prices of what they wished to possess, and had money to
purchase.
From what has been said, it appears, that the riches of a country has no
determined influence upon prices; although, I allow, they may
accidentally affect them: and if we depart from the principles above
laid down, to wit, that prices are regulated by the complicated
operation of demand and competition, in order, to follow the other, we
must add a restriction (which I observe Mr. Hume has attended to on one
occasion, although he has lost sight of it on several others) to wit,
_that the price of every commodity is in proportion to the sum of money
circulating in the market for that commodity_; which is _almost_ my
proposition in other words: for the money to be employed in the purchase
of any commodity, is just the measure of the demand. But even here, the
money in the market _destined_ only for the purchase of a particular
commodity, does not regulate the price of it. Nothing but the finishing
of the transaction, that is, the convention between the buyer and
seller, can determine the price, and this must depend upon inclination,
not weight of money, as an example will make plain.
I shall suppose grain to have been at forty shillings _per_ quarter, in
a country market, for several months together, where the ordinary demand
for the current consumption is twenty quarters every market day. If at
any time an extraordinary demand should happen, which may exceed all
that is to be found in the market, there will be a competition among the
buyers, which will have the effect of raising the market. Now, according
to the doctrine of our learned authors, it may be said, that the corn
rises in proportion to the quantity of the specie which is in the
market, and that it is because of this increase of specie, that the
grain rises in its price. I answer, first, allowing this to be true, can
it be said, that a particular temporary, or perhaps accidental demand
for a few quarters of corn, more than usual, implies any augmentation of
the quantity of money in the country, or indeed the smallest variation
either upon the total consumption, or quantity of grain contained in it?
For if the demand has risen in one market, it must probably have
diminished in another, as the same inhabitants cannot consume in two
places. This I think every person must be convinced of, without farther
illustration. But I say farther, that prices will not rise in proportion
to the money in the market; but in proportion to the desire of acquiring
grain in those who have that money.
Suppose the whole quantity of grain in the market to be thirty quarters;
if there be no demand for more, these will be sold at forty shillings,
as the twenty quarters would have been. But suppose the demand to be for
sixty quarters, and that there is a hundred and twenty pounds sterling
ready to be employed for corn, does it follow, that grain will rise to
four pounds a quarter, because the money in the market bears this
proportion to the quantity of grain? Certainly not.
We must therefore, I think, adopt the other principle, and follow the
proportions of demand and competition; and then we shall find, that if
the sellers want to raise their price up to the proportion of the
specie, all demand will cease, as effectually as if it had never been
made; and the sellers will afterwards be obliged to accept of such a
moderate augmentation as shall be in proportion _to the urgency of the
demand_, but never in proportion _to the money_ ready to be employed.
The circulation of every country, as we have shewn above, must ever be
_in proportion to the industry of the inhabitants, producing the
commodities which come to market_: whatever part of these commodities is
consumed by the very people who produce them, enters not into
circulation, nor does it in anywise affect prices. If the coin of a
country, therefore, falls below the _proportion_[M] of the produce of
industry _offered to sale_, industry itself will come to a stop; or
inventions, such as symbolical money, will be fallen upon to provide an
equivalent for it. But if the specie be found above the proportion of
the industry, it will have no effect in raising prices, nor will it
enter into circulation: it will be hoarded up in treasures, where it
must wait not only the call of a desire in the proprietors to consume,
but of the industrious to satisfy this call.
Footnote M:
Let it be observed, that _proportion_, here, does not mean _value_.
We may therefore conclude, in consequence of the principles we have laid
down, that whatever be the quantity of money in any nation, in
correspondence with the rest of the world, there never can remain, _in
circulation_, but a quantity nearly proportional to the consumption of
the rich, and to the labour and industry of the poor inhabitants. The
value of each particular species of which consumption is determined by a
complication of circumstances at home and abroad; consequently, the
proportion is not determined by the _quantity_ of money actually in the
country.
If the contrary is maintained, and if it be affirmed that the proportion
between specie and manufactures is reciprocal and determined, then I am
authorised to draw this conclusion, to wit: That if the _greatest_
produce of industry _must_ be sold for _what specie_ is found in the
country, _let the sum be ever so small_, so in like manner, the
_smallest_ produce of industry _must_ be sold for _all the specie_ found
in the country, _let the sum be ever so great_. Consequently, in the
first case, we must suppose, that the industrious will never seek for a
better price from abroad; and in the second, that the monied people
_must_ spend all they have in supplying their most moderate wants, and
never seek for cheaper merchandize than what they can find at home.
Consequently, there can be no foreign trade, nor can there ever be any
hoarding.
I shall now conclude my chapter, with a few observations upon the three
propositions as they stand in their order.
PROP. 1. Prices are in proportion to the plenty of money. And thus the
augmenting even of fictitious wealth, such as paper, affects the state
of prices, according to its quantity.
From this Mr. Hume disapproves of the introduction of paper money, when
specie is wanting, and says, that if nothing were allowed to circulate
but gold and silver, the quantity being less, prices would be lower.
This is neither more or less, in my humble opinion, than a project to
destroy credit, with a view to support trade and industry. Because it
would effectually prevent any person from making a consumption, except
at the time he happened to be provided with ready money. Does the paper
money in England, keep up the prices of grain at present, January 1759?
And will not every article of necessaries fall, in a short time, as low
in that country as in any other in Europe, if the same measures continue
to be followed?
Were all paper money in that kingdom proscribed at once, no doubt the
prices of many things would fall very considerably; but such a fall
would neither be universal or equable. The reason of this fall would not
be, because the specie would become proportionally divided among all the
inhabitants, according to the value of their property; nor because of
the small quantity of it, since prices abroad would still regulate many
at home: but because of the sudden revolution, and the violent overturn
thereby produced on the balance of work and demand. The scale of the
first would preponderate to such a degree, that those classes of the
industrious, who work for daily subsistence in furnishing superfluities,
would enter into so strong a competition with one another, that their
work would fall to nothing, while subsistence would remain at the price
of exportation. If it be asked what could occasion this difference. I
answer, because the workmen who supply superfluities, adapted to the
state of their nation, would find no more demand for them, from the want
of credit, or of a circulating fund to buy with, and strangers would not
profit of the fall in the price of a superfluity not adapted to their
own taste; but they would very willingly become purchasers of every
bushel of grain become superfluous, by starving so many of the
inhabitants; and this would keep the price of subsistence upon a pretty
even level with that of other countries.
But if we suppose all communication cut off with strangers, would this
proportion between money and prices then hold true? By no means. Here is
the reason: there are many ways of alienating goods or natural produce,
without the assistance of specie. Immense quantities of both may be
consumed by barter, or in lieu of service, where money is never heard
of: now all this portion alienated, enters into the mass of what is
called produce and manufactures which come to market; but can have no
influence upon the specie, nor can specie have any upon it, since the
money remains inactive during those operations.
Another reason is, that there is no such thing as preserving specie in
an equal repartition, so as to serve the occasions of every body in
proportion to their worth. The reason is manifest: money, like every
other thing, will come into the hands of those who give the greatest
value for it, and when the quantity of it is small in any country, where
nothing can be procured without it, such proprietors of lands as have
the greatest desire to consume, will purchase the specie at a higher
interest, or with more of their lands than others.
This alone is sufficient to prove that the repartition of specie can
never be in proportion to property; and this also destroys the
supposition of prices rising and falling, according to the proportion of
it, even in a country cut off from every foreign communication. Here is
the proof: any individual who has, by mortgaging his lands, got together
a large proportion of the specie of his country, will raise prices in
his neighbourhood, by making an extraordinary demand for work; and the
rest of the same country, drained of their circulating value, must
diminish their demand; consequently, prices will fall elsewhere. I now
come to the second proposition.
The coin and current money of a country, is the _representation_ of all
its labour and commodities; so that in proportion as there is more or
less of this _representation_, a greater or less quantity of it will go
for the same quantity of the thing represented.
To this _representation_ I cannot agree, and I apprehend it to be the
source of error. A proper equivalent for labour and manufactures, may,
in one sense, be called a _representation_; but there is no necessity
for this equivalent to consist in coin. Are not meat and clothes an
equivalent for personal service? Is not a free house and a bit of land,
a very good equivalent for all the manufactures a country weaver can
work up for me who am his landlord? If there were not one penny of coin
in a country, would it follow, that there could be no alienation, or
that every thing might there be got for nothing?
Coin has an intrinsic value; and when it comes into a country, it adds
to the value of the country, as if a portion of territory were added to
it: but it has no title to represent any thing vendible, by preference,
or to be considered as the only equivalent for all things alienable. It
is made a common price, on no other account than because of its rarity,
its solidity, its being of a nature to circulate, and to suffer a
correct division without end, and to carry its value along with it,
which is a proper equivalent for every thing; and at the same time it is
by its nature little liable to vary.
Were, indeed, a statesman to perform the operation of circulation and
commerce, by calling in, from time to time, all the proprietors of
specie in one body, and all those of alienable commodities, workmen, &c.
in another; and were he, after informing himself of the respective
quantities of each, to establish a general tariff of prices, according
to our author’s rule; this idea of _representation_ might easily be
admitted; because the parcels of manufactures would then seem to be
adapted to the pieces of the specie, as the rations of forage for the
horses of an army are made larger or smaller, according as the magazines
are well or ill provided at the time: but has this any resemblance to
the operations of commerce?
The idea of coin being the _representation_ of all the industry and
manufactures of a country, is pretty; and has been invented for the sake
of making a general rule for operating an easy distribution of things
extremely complex in their nature. From this comes error. We substitute
a complex term, sometimes in one sense, and sometimes in another, and we
draw conclusions as if it expressed a fixed and determined idea.
If in algebra, _x_, _y_, _z_, &c. ever stood for more than a single
idea, the science would become useless; but as they never represent but
the very same notion, they never change their nature through all manner
of transpositions.
It is not the same of terms in any other science, as abundantly appears
from the question now before us: coin is called a _representation_,
because it is an equivalent; and because it is a _representation_, it
must bear an exact proportion to the thing represented. And since in
some particular examples, this representation _appears_ to hold;
therefore the rule is made general, although circumstances may be
different. If, for example, a merchant, or a private person, has upon
hand a thousand pounds worth of grain, no doubt that the thousandth part
of the merchandize is worth the thousandth part of the sum; because both
are determined in their quantity and quality: but the parcels of this
corn, though exactly proportioned to the price of the whole, do not draw
their value from this proportion, but from the total value of the whole
mass; which is determined from the complicated operations of demand and
competition, as has been said, and not from the specie of the country,
which can bear no proportion either to the quantity or quality of the
grain.
There may be vast quantities of coin in a country of little industry;
and, _vice versa_, coin is constantly an _equivalent_, but never a
_representation_, more than any other equivalent which may be contrived.
Were the doctrine of this second proposition true, every commodity in a
country should be sold like a parcel of the grain in the foregoing
example, by the rule of three; as the property of all the labour and
manufactures of the country is to the part I intend to alienate, so is
all the gold and silver in the country to the part I am entitled to
receive. This way of regulating prices may be very ingenious, but it is
not very common. I now proceed to the third and last proposition.
Increase the commodities, they become cheaper: increase the money, they
rise in their value.
This proposition is much too general: the first part of it is commonly
true, the last part is more commonly false.
What can increase commodities, but a demand for them? If the demand be
equal to the augmentation, there will be no alteration in the price.
Let extraordinary plenty increase subsistence, it will naturally fall in
the price; but it may be hoarded up, and made to rise in spite of the
plenty; it may be demanded from abroad; this also will make it rise.
Let the production of superfluities, not exportable, be produced by
workmen whose branch is overstocked, prices will undoubtedly fall.
The same observations are true of a diminution in the quantity of
commodities. If this diminishes by degrees, from a diminution of demand,
the price of them will not rise.
If the quantity of subsistence falls below the necessary consumption of
the inhabitants, prices will undoubtedly rise.
If the articles of superfluity are diminished, prices will only rise in
proportion to the eagerness to buy, that is, to the competition, not to
the deficiency. On the other hand, as to coin or money,
Increase the money, nothing can be concluded as to prices, because it is
not certain, that people will increase their expences in proportion to
their wealth; and although they should, the moment their additional
demand has the effect of producing a sufficient supply, prices will
return to the old standard.
But diminish the quantity of specie _employed in circulation_, you both
retard this, and hurt the industrious; because we suppose the former
quantity exactly sufficient to preserve both in the just proportion to
the desires and wants of the inhabitants.
These are but a few of the numberless modifications necessary to be
applied to this general rule; and I hope what I have said, will justify
the observation I have made on the whole doctrine; to wit, that it is
much more specious than solid, in every one of its three branches.
Let me just propose one question more upon this subject, and then I
shall conclude.
Suppose the specie of Europe to continue increasing in quantity every
year, until it amounts to ten times the present quantity, would prices
rise in proportion?
I answer, that such an augmentation might happen, without the smallest
alteration upon prices, or that it might occasion a very great one,
according to circumstances. If industry increases to ten times what it
is at present, that is to say, were the produce of it increased to ten
times its present value, according to the actual standard of prices, the
value of every manufacture and produce might remain without alteration.
This supposition is possible; because no man can tell to what extent
demand may carry industry. If, on the other hand, the scale of demand
could be supposed to preponderate, so as to draw all the wealth into
circulation, without having the effect of augmenting the supply (which I
take to be impossible) then prices would rise to ten times the present
standard, at least in many articles.
This solution is entirely consistent both with Mr. Hume’s principle and
mine; because nothing is so easy in an hypothesis, as to establish
proportions between things, which in themselves are beyond all the
powers of computation.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHAP. XXIX.
_Circulation with foreign Nations, the same thing as the Balance of
Trade._
We have endeavoured to shew in a former chapter, how the circulation of
money, given in exchange for consumable commodities, produces a
vibration in the balance of domestic wealth: we are now to apply the
same principles to the circulation of foreign trade; in order to find
out, if there can really be such a thing as a balance upon it, which may
enrich one country, and impoverish another.
It has been said, that when money is given for a consumable commodity,
the person who gets it acquires a balance in his favour, so soon as he
with whom he has exchanged, has begun to consume.
That if two consumable commodities are exchanged, the balance comes to a
level, when both are consumed. That it is only the wealth which is found
in circulation, which can change its balance, and the remainder must be
found locked up, made into plate, or employed in foreign trade. And it
has been observed, that the quantity of money found in circulation, is
ever in proportion to the sale of the produce of industry and
manufactures; and that when the quantity of metals is not sufficient to
carry on a circulation, proportioned to the demands of those who have
any real equivalent to give, that symbolical money may be made to fill
up the void, when the interest of the state comes to require it.
We have also laid it down as a kind of general rule, that while luxury
only tends to keep up demand to the reasonable proportion of power and
inclination in the industrious part of a people to supply it, that then
it is advantageous to a nation; and that so soon as it begins to make
the scale of home-demand preponderate, by forming a competition among
the natives, to consume what strangers seek for, that then it is
hurtful, and has an evident tendency to root out foreign trade. These
principles are all analogous to one another, and should be retained
while we examine the question before us.
I must still add, that the fluctuation of the balance of wealth is
constantly inclining in favour of the industrious, and against the idle
consumer. This however admits of a restriction, viz. The industrious
must be supposed to be frugal; and the idle, extravagant. For if the
industrious man consumes the produce of his industry, he will only have
laboured to increase his consumption, not his wealth: and if the idle
person, by his frugality, keeps within the bounds of his yearly income,
he will thereby repair every disadvantage incurred by his sloth, the
balance then will stand even between them; the industry in one scale,
and the fund already provided in the other, will keep both parties on a
level as before.
In order, therefore, to make the balance of domestic wealth turn in
favour of a poor man, he must be both industrious and frugal.
Now let us apply these principles to a whole nation, considered as an
individual in the great society of mankind. A private person who
conducts his affairs with prudence, must either be in a way of growing
richer by his industry, or of spending his income with oeconomy and
discretion: so I must suppose a nation which is well governed, either to
be growing rich by foreign trade, or at least in a state of not becoming
poorer by it.
It is the duty of every statesman to watch over the conduct of those who
hold the foreign correspondence, as it is the duty of the master of a
family to watch over those he sends to market.
I find it is the opinion of the learned Mr. Hume, that there is no such
thing as a balance of trade, that money over all the world is like a
fluid, which must ever be upon a level, and that so soon as in any
nation that level is destroyed by any accident, while the nation
preserves the number of its inhabitants, and its industry, the wealth
must return to a level as before.
To prove this, he supposes four fifths of all the money in Great Britain
annihilated in one night, the consequence of which he imagines would be,
that all labour and commodities would sink in their price, and that
foreign markets would be thereby entirely supplied by that industrious
people, who would immediately begin to draw back such a proportion of
wealth, as would put them again upon a level with their neighbours.
This reasoning is consistent with the principles we have examined, and
humbly rejected in the preceding chapter; both stand upon the same
foundation, and lead to a chain of consequences totally different from
the whole plan of this inquiry.
My intention is not so much to refute the opinions of others, as briefly
to pass them in review. General propositions, such as those we have been
treating of, are only true or false, according as they are understood to
be accompanied with certain restrictions, applications, and limitations:
I shall therefore say nothing as to the proposition itself, but only
examine how far the example he has taken of the sudden annihilation of a
great proportion of a nation’s wealth, can naturally be followed by the
consequences he supposes.
For this purpose, let me suggest another consequence (different from
that of the author, and flowing from the doctrine we have established)
which possibly might happen, upon the annihilation of four fifths of all
the money in Great Britain. I shall take no notice of the effects which
so sudden a revolution might occasion; these have not been attended to
by the author, and therefore I shall consider them as out of the
question. I suppose the event to have happened, prices to have been
reduced, and every immediate inconvenience to have been prevented. My
only inquiry shall be directed towards the unavoidable consequences of
such a revolution, as to foreign trade, as to drawing back the money
annihilated, and as to the preserving the same number of inhabitants,
and the same degree of industry as before. If I can shew, that the event
alone of annihilating the specie, and reducing prices in proportion,
(which I shall allow to be the consequence of it) will have the effect
of annihilating both industry and the industrious, it cannot afterwards
be insisted on, that the revolution can have the effect of drawing back
a proportional part of the general wealth of Europe: because the
preservation of the industrious is considered as the requisite for this
purpose.
Here then is the consequence, which, in my humble opinion, would very
probably happen upon so extraordinary an emergency; and I flatter myself
that my reader has already anticipated my decision.
The inhabitants of Great Britain, who, upon such an occasion, would be
found in possession of all the exportable necessaries of life, and of
many other kinds of goods demanded in foreign markets, instead of
selling them to their poor countrymen, for a price proportioned to our
author’s tariff, and to the diminution of the specie, which he takes to
be the representation of them, would export them to France, to Holland,
or to any other country where they could get the best price, and the
inhabitants of Britain would starve.
If it be replied, that the exportation would not be allowed. I answer,
that such a prohibition would be highly seasonable; but quite contrary
to the principle of laying trade open, and impossible to be effectual,
as that author justly observes, when he says, “Can one imagine, that all
commodities could be sold in France, for a tenth of the price they would
yield on the other side of the Pyrenees, without finding their way
thither, and drawing from that immense treasure?” Suppose this phrase to
run thus. Can any one imagine, that provisions could be sold in Britain,
for a fourth part of the price they would yield on the other side of the
water, without finding their way thither, and drawing from that immense
treasure? This is entirely consistent with our principles, and ruins the
whole of Mr. Hume’s former supposition: because the exportation of them
would annihilate the inhabitants.
From this I conclude, that a nation, though industrious and populous,
may reduce itself to poverty in the midst of wealthy neighbours, as a
private person, though rich, may reduce himself to want, in the midst of
the amusements and luxury of London or of Paris. And that both the one
and the other, by following a different conduct, may amass great sums of
wealth, far above the proportion of it among their neighbours.
This is not a matter of long discussion. It is not by the importation of
foreign commodities, and by the exportation of gold and silver, that a
nation becomes poor; it is by consuming those commodities when imported.
The moment the consumption begins, the balance turns; consequently, it
is evidently against the principles which we now examine, either to sell
at home, or destroy confiscated goods. The only way of repairing the
damage done by such frauds, is to export the merchandize, and by selling
them cheap in other countries, to hurt the trade of the country which
first had furnished them. From this also we may conclude, that those
nations which trade to India, by sending out gold and silver, for a
return in superfluities of the most consumable nature, the consumption
of which they prohibit at home, do not in effect spend their own specie,
but that of their neighbours who purchase the returns of it for their
own consumption. Consequently, a nation may become immensely rich by the
constant exportation of her specie, and importation of all sorts of
consumable commodities. But she would do well to beware of this trade,
when her inhabitants have taken a luxurious turn, lest she should come
to resemble the drunkard who commenced wine merchant, in order to make
excellent chear in wine with all his friends who came to see him; or the
millener, who took it into her head to wear the fine laces she used to
make up for her customers.
If a rich nation, where luxury is carried to the highest pitch, where a
desire of gain serves as a spur to industry, where all the poor are at
work, in order to turn the balance of domestic wealth in their favour,
if such a nation, I say, is found to consume not only the whole work of
the inhabitants, but even that of other countries, it must have a
balance of trade against it, equivalent to the foreign consumption; and
this must be paid for in specie, or in an annual interest, to the
diminution of the former capital. Let this trade continue long, they
will not only come at the end of their metals, but they may even succeed
in exporting their lands. This last appears a paradox, and yet it is no
uncommon thing. The Corsicans have exported, that is sold, the best part
of their island to Genoa; and now, after having spent the price in
wearing damask and velvet, they want to bring it back, by confiscating
the property of the Genoese, who have both paid for the island, and
drawn back the price of it by the balance of their trade against these
islanders. It were to be wished that Corsica alone afforded an example
of this kind.
Is it not, therefore, the duty of a statesman to prevent the consumption
of foreign produce? If tapestry or other elegant furniture, such as is
seen in a certain great capital in Europe, were allowed to be imported
into a neighbouring nation, who doubts but this article would carry
money out of that nation?
It may be answered, that as much elegance of another kind may be sent in
return. True; and it would be very lucky if this could be the case; but
then you must suppose an equality of elegance in both countries, and
farther, you must suppose a reciprocal taste for the respective species
of elegance. Now the taste of one country may, indeed, be common to
both; but it may happen that the taste of the one may not be that of the
other, though nothing inferior, perhaps, in the opinion of a third
party. And the difference may proceed from this; that the young people
of one country travel into the other, where the inhabitants stay at
home: a circumstance which would prove very prejudicial to the country
of the travellers, if a wise statesman did not, by seasonable
prohibitions upon certain articles of foreign consumption, prevent the
bad consequences of adopting a taste for what his subjects cannot
produce.
This furnishes a hint, that it might not be a bad maxim in a great
monarchy, to have houses built in the capital for every foreign
minister, where the general distribution of the apartments of each might
be, as much as possible, analogous to the taste of the country for whose
minister it is calculated: but as to the furniture, to have it made of
the most elegant domestic manufactures easily exportable, nicely adapted
also to the uses and fashions of every foreign country. Such a
regulation could never fail of being highly acceptable, as it would
prove a great saving to foreign ministers, and would insensibly give
them a taste for the manufactures and luxury of the country they reside
in. On the other hand, I would be so far from expecting a return of this
civility, that I would recommend a set of furniture, as a gratification,
to every minister sent abroad, who should regularly sell it off upon the
expiration of his commission. Such an expence would not cost one penny
to the nation, and would be a means of captivating unwary strangers, who
might be thereby made to pay dearly for such marks of politeness and
civility. I return.
Without being expert in the computation of exports and imports, or very
accurate in combining the different courses of exchange between the
different cities of Europe, a statesman may lay it down as a maxim, that
whatever foreign commodity, of whatsoever kind it be, is found to be
consumed within the nation he governs, so far the balance of trade is
against her; and that so far as any commodity produced either by the
soil, or labour of the inhabitants, is consumed by foreigners, so far
the balance is for her.
A nation may in some measure be compared to a country gentleman, who
lives upon his land. This I suppose to be his all. From it he draws
directly his nourishment, perhaps his clothes are worked up in his
family. If he be so very frugal as never to go to market for any thing,
any spare produce which he can sell, is clear money in his purse. If he
indulges now and then in a bottle of wine, which his farm does not
produce, he must go to market with his purse in his hand; and so soon as
his bottle is out, I think he is effectually so much poorer than he was
before. If he goes on, and increases his consumption of such things as
he is obliged to buy, he will run out the money he had in his purse, and
be reduced to the simple production of his farm. If then this country
gentleman be poorer, certainly some body is richer; and as it is no body
in his family, it must be some of his neighbours.
Just so a nation which has no occasion to have recourse to foreign
markets, in order to supply her own consumption, must certainly grow
rich in proportion to her exportation.
These riches again will not circulate at home, in proportion to the
domestic consumption of natural produce and manufactures, but in
proportion to the alienation of them for money: the surpluswealth will
stagnate in one way or other, in the hands of the money gatherers, who
are the small consumers.
While there is found a sufficient quantity of money for carrying on
reciprocal alienations; those money gatherers will not be able to employ
their stagnated wealth within the nation; but so soon as this gathering
has the effect of diminishing the specie, below the proportion found
necessary to carry on the circulation, it will begin to be lent out, and
so return to circulate for a time, until by the operation of the same
causes it will fall back into its former repositories.
Should it be here objected, that upon the augmentation of a nation’s
riches, no money can stagnate; because _prices rising in proportion to
the augmentation of them_, all the additional wealth must be thrown into
circulation: surely both reason and experience must point out the
weakness of such an objection.
While a favourable balance, therefore, is preserved upon foreign trade,
a nation grows richer daily; and still prices remain regulated as
before, by the complicated operations of demand and competition; and
when one nation is grown richer, others must be growing poorer: this is
an example of a favourable balance of trade.
When this superfluity of riches is only profited of by the luxurious
individuals, instead of being turned to profit by the state itself, with
a view to secure the advantages thereby acquired, then the balance takes
a contrary turn: this is the case whenever foreign importations for
consumption, are either permitted as a gratification to the luxurious
desires of the wealthy, or because of the rise in the price of goods at
home, in consequence of domestic competition. If it be permitted purely
in favour of the first, it marks a levity and want of attention unworthy
of a statesman: if on account of the second, it shews either an
ignorance of the real consequences of so temporary an expedient, or a
disregard for the welfare of the lower classes of the people.
Every augmentation of prices at home, must be a necessary consequence of
many domestic circumstances, and must be removed by correcting them, as
has been, I think, made clear. But let it be supposed, that from the
augmentation of wealth _alone_, manufactures can no more produce work so
cheap as other nations; I think that both in humanity and prudence, a
people should submit to the inconvenience of paying dearer. In humanity,
because by the introduction of foreign manufactures, you starve those
very people, who by their labour have enriched you: in prudence, because
by opening your ports to such importation you deliberately throw away
that superiority of riches you have been at so much pains to acquire.
I freely grant, that particular people do not regulate either their
expence or their schemes of getting money, with a view to promote the
public good. One who has a coat to buy, will be very glad to find a
piece of foreign manufacture at a cheap rate; another will wish to
smuggle a piece of goods on which there is a high duty. But the question
is, whether a statesman is to allow this foreign consumption? I think it
is much the same question, as if it were asked, whether the master of a
family should, in good oeconomy, allow his servants to invite their
friends to drink in his cellar, instead of carrying them to a public
house.
But suppose it said, that “by laying trade open, you are sure that
wealth will naturally come to a balance, in all countries, and that all
fears of a wrong balance of trade are only the effect of a gloomy
imagination.” See Mr. Hume’s _Political Discourses_, Sect. v.
Several answers may be made to this objection. The first, that it is in
order to prevent this kind of balance, that every nation gives
themselves disquiet: for by balance here, is understood an equality of
wealth; and it is rich nations only who are anxious, lest they should be
brought to such an equality. In the question here before us, it is the
loss of the superiority which is understood by a balance turning against
a nation. If, therefore, it be the interest of a nation, poor in respect
of its neighbours, to have trade laid open, that wealth may, like a
fluid, come to an equilibrium; I am sure it is the interest of a rich
nation, to cut off the communication of hurtful trade, by such
impediments as restrictions, duties, and prohibitions, upon importation;
that thereby, as by dykes, its wealth may be kept _above_ the level of
the surrounding element.
Another answer is, that laying trade open would not have the effect
proposed; because it would destroy industry in some countries, at least,
if not every where. A manufacture must be very solidly established
indeed, not to suffer any prejudice by a permission to import the like
commodities from other countries. The very nature of luxury is such,
that it prompts people often to consume, from caprice and novelty, what
is really inferior to home-production. It may be answered, that this
argument cuts two ways: for if a nation from caprice consumes foreign
commodities, why may not other nations from caprice likewise, take off
those which are left on hand? This reasoning may appear good, in a
theory which does not take in every political consideration. But a poor
manufacturer who cannot find work, because the branch he works in is
supplied from abroad, cannot live till the caprice of foreigners makes
them demand his labour. If a certain number of inhabitants be employed
in a necessary branch of consumption, there must be a _certain_ demand
preserved for it; and whatever can render this precarious, will ruin the
undertaking, and those employed in it.
A third answer is, that any nation who would open its ports to all
manner of foreign importation, without being assured of a reciprocal
permission from all its neighbours, would, I think, very soon be ruined;
and if this be true, it is a proof that a balance of trade is a possible
supposition, and that proper restrictions upon importation may turn to
the advantage of a state.
In order to promote industry, a statesman must act, as well as permit
and protect. Could ever the woollen manufacture have been introduced
into France, from the consideration of the great advantage England had
drawn from it, if the King had not undertaken the support of it, by
granting many privileges to the undertakers, and by laying strict
prohibitions on all foreign cloths? Is there any other way of
establishing a new manufacture any where?
Laying, therefore, trade quite open would have this effect, it would
destroy at first, at least, all the luxurious arts; consequently, it
would diminish consumption; consequently, diminish the quantity of
circulating cash; consequently, it would promote hoarding; and
consequently, would bring on poverty in all the _states_ of Europe.
Nothing, I imagine, but an universal monarchy, governed by the same
laws, and administred according to one plan well concerted, can be
compatible with an universally open trade. While there are different
states, there must be different interests; and when no one statesman is
found at the head of these interests, there can be no such thing as a
common good; and when there is no common good, every interest must be
considered separately. But as this scheme of laying trade quite open, is
not a thing likely to happen, we may save ourselves the trouble of
inquiring more particularly into what might be its consequences; it is
enough to observe, that they must, in their nature, be exceedingly
complex, and if we have mentioned some of them, it has only been to
apply principles, and shew how consequences _may_ follow one another: to
foretel what _must_ follow is exceedingly difficult, if not impossible.
In discoursing of the balance of trade, I have hitherto considered it
only so far as the specie of a country is augmented by it. In the
subsequent book, when we shall have occasion to bring this subject once
more upon the carpet, I shall shew how a balance may be extremely
favourable without augmenting the mass of the precious metals; to wit,
by providing subsistence for an additional number of inhabitants; by
increasing the quantity of shipping, which is an article of wealth; by
constituting all other nations debtors to it; by the importation of many
durable commodities, which may be considered also as articles of wealth;
as a well furnished house, a well stored cellar, an ample wardrobe, and
a fine stable of horses, are articles which enhance the value of the
inheritance of a landed man.
Then we shall have occasion to shew how industry heightens the permanent
value of a nation, as agriculture increases its annual produce.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHAP. XXX.
_Miscellaneous Questions and Observations relative to Trade and
Industry._
It is now time to draw to a conclusion of this book. The subject of
trade and industry is inexhaustible, if considered in all its branches,
and traced through every consequence. My intention has been to inquire
into the original principles which influence general operations, and
which, less or more, enter into every combination. I have represented
trade in its infancy, manhood, and old age; and have endeavoured to
prescribe a general regimen of health for every period. It is sufficient
to be thoroughly master of the principles, to be able to apply them to
particular cases, providing every circumstance be exactly known.
The intention of this chapter, is, to review some parts of our subject,
which I think have not received all the light necessary to be thrown
upon them, to suggest some remarkable differences between antient and
modern oeconomy, with regard to circulation and industry; and, in
general, to lay certain circumstances together, which may point out the
spirit of modern times, from which we are endeavouring to extract a set
of consistent principles. Every thing which points out relations is
useful; because we know nothing, but through this channel. Now certain
relations are too frequently taken for granted, and nothing is more
essential in political reasonings, than to point them out clearly, to
proceed by the shortest steps, and still to keep experience and matter
of fact before our eyes, when we draw a conclusion from a general
proposition. Let the conclusion appear ever so just, if, when compared
with experience, a disagreement appears, it is ten to one we have
overlooked some circumstance, which ought to have entred into the
combination.
To illustrate this, let me cite a mistake of my own, which I purposely
left uncorrected, in the second chapter of the first book, where I very
confidently declare, that a statesman, who, upon certain occasions,
which seem favourable for raising great sums upon a people, increases
taxes only in proportion to the interest of the money borrowed, must be
shortsighted and regardless of futurity. This, I remember, appeared to
me at the time I wrote, so clear and evident, that I thought I ran no
risk in making it enter into a preliminary chapter. But when I came to
look a little more particularly into the matter, I found I had been
grosly mistaken; as I hope to shew evidently in its proper place. Had
every such mistake been treated with the same indulgence, I should have
been more employed in the correction of my own blunders, than in the
prosecution of my subject. People who reason with tolerable exactness on
such subjects, generally fall into mistakes, from the generality of
their propositions. These may commonly be true enough, within the
compass of the author’s combinations at the time, and yet may not be
true in every other case. From which I infer, that every one of my
readers, who can form combinations more extensive than mine, will find
sufficient matter for criticism in every page of this inquiry. So much
the better: it is by such criticisms and discussions, that particular
branches of knowledge are brought to the certainty of science.
The more simple any plan of political oeconomy is, the more it is easy
to govern by general rules; the more complex it becomes, the more it is
necessary for a statesman to enter into combinations. But when general
rules have been long established, they gain such an authority over the
minds of a people, that any deviation from them appears like heresy in
religion: and how seldom does it happen, that a people is blessed with a
governor, who has both penetration to discover, art to persuade, and
power to execute a plan adapted to every combination of circumstances.
No change can happen in a state, but what is advantageous to some class
or other, and when the public good requires that a stop should be put to
such advantages, numbers of discontented people will always be found.
Circumstances, therefore, ought to be well weighed before new plans of
administration are entred upon; and when once adopted, those who pretend
to criticise, must suppose themselves provided with superior talents and
better informations as to every circumstance, than the author of the
innovation. For this reason, there is little danger in censuring a
statesman’s opinion, when he delivers it; but a great deal in finding
fault with his conduct, when his motives are not known.
In the former chapters, we have been treating of the nature and
consequences of circulation, the effects of augmentations and
diminutions of specie, and the doctrine of Mr. Hume concerning the
balance of trade. The perspicuity with which this author writes, renders
his ideas easy to conceive; and when people understand one another, most
disputes are soon at an end.
In order, therefore, to throw a little more light upon the nature of the
balance of trade between nations, let me examine the following questions
while we have the subject of the last chapter fresh in our memory.
QUEST. 1. Can any judgment be formed concerning the state of the balance
of trade of a nation, barely from the quantity of specie that is found
in it?
I answer in the negative. A great proportion of all the specie of
Europe, may be found in a country against which the balance of trade has
stood regularly for many years. An inconsiderable proportion of it may
be found in another, which has had it as regularly in its favour for the
same time.
The balance upon every article of trade, may be favourable to a nation
which squanders away more than the returns of it, upon foreign wars.
The balance of every article of trade, may be against a country which
receives more than all the loss incurred, either from her mines, from
countries tributary to her, or who willingly furnish subsidies upon many
political considerations.
Besides these varieties, there are still other combinations, relative to
the specie itself. The money found in a country, may either be said to
belong _absolutely_ to the country, when neither the state itself, or
the particular people of it, are in debt to foreigners; or only so _by
virtue of a loan_. Now, whether it is borrowed or not, the property of
it belongs to the country; but the difference consists in this, that
when it is borrowed, the acquisition of the metals adds nothing to the
national patrimony, that is to say, there is no acquisition of wealth
thereby made; but when it is gained by industry, the money adds to the
real value of the country, in consequence of the principles laid down in
the 26th chapter.
May not a nation then, having very little gold and silver, open a
subscription for millions, at so much _per cent_? Will not strangers
lend to her; when her own subjects cannot? May she not yearly, by paying
away the interest of the money borrowed, and by a heavy balance of trade
against her, be constantly diminishing her specie, and yet by new
contracts, keep up, and even increase the mass of the circulating value,
to such a degree, as to be possessed of a greater proportion of specie
than any of her neighbours? Farther,
Is it not certain, that all nations will endeavour to throw their ready
money, not necessary for their own circulation, into that country where
the interest of money is high with respect to their own, and where
consequently the value of property in land is low; since they may either
draw a high interest from it, or make the acquisition of solid property?
Forbidding therefore the acquisition of solid property to strangers, is,
in effect, a prohibition upon the gratuitous importation of specie. I
allow there may be examples of people who make such purchases, with a
view to draw the rents of the lands bought, out of the country; but
whatever be the intention at the time of purchase, such however is the
effect of an established fortune in a country, that, sooner or later, it
draws the proprietor to it; and when this does not happen, a subsequent
alienation commonly takes place.
Were the purchase, therefore, of lands permitted universally, and were
it established, that property in land, to a certain value, should give a
right to naturalization, no doubt large sums would be brought into those
countries, where lands are found cheapest; and as no exportable
commodity is given in return, the specie of such countries might mark
the quantity of lands sold, as well as that of merchandize exported. For
want of a sufficient extension of these and many other combinations,
which it would be easy to contrive, Mr. Belloni, in his _Dissertation
upon Commerce_, Chap. I. Sect. 5. falls into several mistakes, when he
judges of the exportation of commodities of a particular country, by the
quantities of money found in it.
_Essendo adunque da ciò venuto_ (says he) _che l’abondanza del danaro,
ovunque si ritrovi, significa l’abodanza stessa delle cose, delle quali
egli é misura: perciò diviziosi meritamente sono stati detti quegli
uomini, e ricco altersi quel regno, dove si ritrova gran copia di
danaro. Dal altro canto poi, se si considera lo stato di un regno, ed il
danaro, che è dentro di esso, tenendo sempre salda l’essenza della
moneta (che altro non sia, che misura di cose, e prezzo, che viene in
compenso di mercanzie) ovunque di essa vedrasi affluenza, ognuno ben
vede, doversi subito necessariamente arguire, un gran traffico di quel
dominio, con esito di merci, in uso degli esteri, e all’incontro ovunque
questa venga a mancare, doversene dedurre grande introito di merci, che
sieno subentrate nel luogo della moneta, e che l’abbiano fatta uscire._
These consequences are only just so far as money comes into, or goes out
of a country, as the price of merchandize exported or imported. But how
much money has not this author himself drawn into Rome from England, for
the exportation of nothing but the bills of travellers?
On the other hand, may not a country, which is actually in possession of
great quantities of gold and silver, call in these metals, and
circulate, in their place, a symbolical money? May not a nation then, as
well as a private person, employ this specie in a profitable foreign
trade, and gain daily by it? May she not, after some time, withdraw her
stock, by calling in her debts? And may she not also call in her paper,
and remain with an additional acquisition of specie in her pocket?
Consequently, during the circulation of the paper, no judgment can be
formed as to the balance of her trade, by examining the state of her
specie; because I can suppose that at this time every shilling of it may
be in the hands of strangers. Consequently, the richest nation in Europe
may be the poorest in circulating specie.
“The writings of Mr. Gee (says Mr. Hume, in his _Political Discourse
upon the Balance of Trade_) struck all the nation with a pannic fear, by
shewing from a long enumeration of particulars, that the balance
inclined so much against us, and for so considerable sums, that in the
space of five or six years, there would not remain one shilling in
England. But happily twenty years are elapsed since, we have supported a
long and expensive foreign war, and nevertheless, it is commonly
believed, that money is at present as plentiful in the kingdom as ever.”
I quote from the French translation.
Mr. Gee was in the wrong to conclude, that the balance of trade would
have the effect of carrying off the coin: and Mr. Hume has been misled
by this mistake, to conclude, that Mr. Gee’s calculations were false. I
know nothing as to the matter of fact; nor whether Mr. Gee was a good or
a bad judge of the question he treated; but from what has been said, I
hope it appears, that the state of the coin in England, at the time Mr.
Hume wrote, was no proof on either side.
To judge of the balance of trade is one thing; to judge of the wealth of
a nation as to specie is another. England may greatly increase her
specie by her trade, and greatly diminish it by her wars: perhaps this
may be the fact. She may also, at certain times, have a balance of trade
against her; and great sums laid out in foreign wars, may be the means
of making it return in her favour. Should that nation begin to pay off
her debts to strangers, in ready coin, might she not soon diminish,
perhaps exhaust, the specie she is now possessed of; yet surely none
ever became poorer by paying off their debts. Nothing is so easy as to
have specie, when one has solid property to pledge for it; and nothing
can be worse judged, than to purchase specie from strangers, at the
expence of paying an interest for it, when they can contrive a
circulating value in paper money, representing the solid value which
must have been pledged to strangers for the loan of their metals.
But still it may be asked, how it happens, that notwithstanding of the
most unfavourable balance of trade, no nation is ever found to be
entirely drained of her specie; and since we have proved, that the
specie of a country may be diminished by a disadvantageous trade, what
are the principles which prevent the total dissipation of it?
This is a very curious question, and opens a door to a multitude of new
ideas, which will furnish abundant matter of speculation, when we come
to treat more directly of credit. I shall here examine it in general,
only for the sake of applying the principles we have laid down.
I. It may be said, that as common prudence prevents a private person
from spending to his last shilling; so the like prudence commonly
engages a people to put a stop to trade, before it has had time totally
to drain them. Although most people drink wine, there is no reason why
every body should be drunk.
II. Nothing is so complicated as the balance of trade, considered among
many nations. The general wealth circulates from one to another, as the
money which the farmer gives the landlord circulates back to the farmer.
In the number of hands through which the money passes, some are of the
class of the luxurious, some of the frugal; the first represents those
nations who lose by the balance, the latter those who gain. But the most
industrious nations of all, and those who, considered abstractedly from
extraordinary accidents, appear in the way to swallow up the wealth of
the rest, are, by the means of such accidents, made liable to terrible
restitutions. How many millions, for example, has England restored to
the continent, in consequence of her wars and subsidies? She then lays a
foundation for many more years of favourable balance, and accordingly we
see it return to her, as the money which the state spends within the
nation, returns into the exchequer at the end of the year.
III. It may be asked, how it happens that no nation has ever spent to
its last farthing, as many an individual has done? I answer, that I am
far from believing that this has never happened; nay, I believe there is
nothing more frequent or familiar than this very case, providing the
riches of a country be here supposed to mean no more than the specie
_absolutely_ belonging to herself, not borrowed from other nations.
I have said above, that the acquisition of money by industry, increased
the real value of a country, as much as the addition of a portion of
territory: now what should hinder a people from spending their ready
money, and, at the same time, preserving their land? Because a young
gentleman, whose father has left him a fine estate in land, and ten
thousand pounds in ready money, has spent the ten thousand pounds, does
it follow, that he is without a shilling? Upon this view of the
question, it will, I believe, be granted, that Dr. Swift’s idea that all
the specie of Ireland would in a short time be exported, in consequence
of an unfavourable balance of trade, is very far from being chimerical,
and might be exactly true; although at this time there be six times more
in circulation than ever; just as a person who is running through his
fortune, has commonly more money in his hands than his father used to
have, when he was acquiring it. Let Ireland pay her debts to England,
and then count her specie. Let England pay her’s to all the world, and
then weigh her gold and silver. Suppose that on summing up the accounts,
there is not found one shilling in either country, is this any proof of
their being undone? By no means: _coin is one article of our wealth, but
never can be the measure of it_.
I know little of the state of Ireland; but if it be true, that paper
money is increasing daily in that country, it is, I suppose, because the
specie is daily exported to England, as the returns of estates belonging
to people who reside there, and that the Irish, instead of buying it
back again for their own use in circulation, augment their paper, in
proportion to the progress of their industry; and only buy such
quantities of specie as are necessary for paying the balance of their
trade. Now by buying specie, I do not suppose, that they bring any over
to Ireland, in order to send it back to England; but that they send over
goods to the value, which the English merchants pay in specie, or in
English paper, to those who are creditors upon Ireland, for the value of
their rents, &c.
Suppose then, for a farther illustration of some principles, that all
the lands of Ireland belonged to Englishmen residing in their own
country, and annually drawing from Ireland the income belonging to them,
what would the consequence be? As long as this portion of the produce of
lands, which goes for rent, (and which, as we have said, is the fund
provided for the subsistence of the free hands who purchase their own
necessaries) could be bought and consumed by the Irish themselves, that
is, in other words, while in Ireland there was a demand for this portion
of the fruits, it would be paid for, either in coin, to the diminution
of their specie, or in something which might be converted into money;
that is, by the produce of their industry, and thus, by the means of
trade, would come into the hands of the English proprietors, either in
specie, or in any other form they judged proper.
That so soon as the demand for this portion of fruits came to fail, for
want of money, or industry, in Ireland to purchase it, what remained on
hand would be sent over to England in kind; or by the way of trade, be
made to circulate with other nations (in beef, butter, tallow, &c.) who
would give silver and gold for it, to the proprietors of the Irish
lands. By such a diminution of demand in the country, for the fruits of
the earth, the depopulation of Ireland would be implied; because they
who consumed them formerly, consume them no more; that is to say, they
either died, or left the country.
To conclude, a great part of the value of a country is its produce and
manufactures; but it does not follow, as Mr. Belloni asserts, that these
should as necessarily draw a proportional sum of the gold and silver of
Europe into that country, as a shoal of small fishes draws water fowl,
or as charity draws the poor, or as beauty draws admiration.
QUEST. 2. Can no rule be found to judge of the balance of trade from the
state of specie, or at least to perceive the effects of that balance in
augmenting or diminishing the mass of riches?
Could it be supposed that specie never circulated between nations, but
in the way of trade, and in exchange for exportable commodities, this
would be a rule.
In nations where the earth produces neither gold or silver, and where
these metals are imported as the returns of industry only, the balance
in their favour, from the introduction of specie, to this day, would be
measured by the quantity of it which they possess. Here Mr. Belloni’s
opinion is just.
Farther, the consumption made by any nation for the same term of years,
is equal to the whole natural produce and labour of the inhabitants for
that time, _minus_ the quantity of such produce and labour, as is, or
has been equal in value to the actual national specie.
On the other hand, in nations where gold and silver are produced by the
earth, the balance of trade against them, from the time these metals
became the object of trade, to this day, may be estimated by the
quantity of them which has been exported.
And farther, the consumption made by such nations, for the same term of
years, is equal to the whole natural produce and labour of the
inhabitants for that time, _plus_ the quantity of such produce and
labour, as is, or has been equal to the quantity of these metals
exported.
These positions are by much too general to be laid down as principles,
because trade is not concerned in every acquisition or alienation of
specie; but they may serve, in the mean time, to illustrate the doctrine
we have been considering, and even in many cases may be found pretty
exact. For example,
If it be true, that in any nation of Europe, there be now just as much
silver and gold as there was ten years ago, and if that nation during
this period, has supported, without borrowing from strangers, an
expensive war which may have cost it, I suppose, five millions, it is
certain, that during this period, the home consumption must have been
the value of five millions less than the natural produce, labour, and
industry of the inhabitants; which sum of five millions must have come
from abroad, in return for a like value of the production, labour, &c.
remaining over and above their own consumption.
In this supposition, the national wealth (the metals) remains as before,
the balance of it only is changed. How this change is performed, and
what are its consequences, may be discovered by an application of the
principles already laid down.
QUEST. 3. What were the effects of riches before the introduction of
trade and industry?
I never can sufficiently recommend to my readers to compare
circumstances, in the oeconomy of the antients, with that of modern
times; because I see a multitude of new doctrines laid down, which, I
think, never would have been broached, had such circumstances been
properly attended to. I have endeavoured to shew, that the price of
goods, but especially of articles of the first necessity, have little or
no connection with the quantities of specie in a country. The slightest
inspection into the state of circulation, in different ages, will
fortify our reasoning: but the general taste of dissipation which is
daily gaining ground, makes people now begin to imagine, that wealth and
circulation are synonimous terms; whereas nothing is more contrary both
to reason and matter of fact. A slight review of this matter, in
different ages, will set it in a clearer light than a more abstract
reasoning can.
It is a question with me, whether the mines of Potosi and Brasil, have
produced more riches to Spain and Portugal, within these two hundred
years, than the treasures heaped up in Asia, Greece, and Egypt, after
the death of Alexander, furnished to the Romans, during the two hundred
years which followed the defeat of Perseus, and the conquest of
Macedonia.
From the treasures mentioned by all the historians who have writ of the
conquest of those kingdoms by the Romans, I do not think I am far from
truth, when I compare the treasures of the frugal Greeks to the mines of
the new world.
What effect, as to circulation, had the accumulation of these vast
treasures? Not any to accelerate it, surely: and no person, the least
conversant in antiquity, will pretend that the circulating specie in
those times, bore as great a proportion to their treasures, as what is
at present circulating among us, bears to the wealth of the most
oeconomising Prince in Europe. If any one doubt of this particular, let
him listen to Appian, who says, that the successors of Alexander, the
possessors of those immense riches, lived with the greatest frugality.
Those treasures were then, as I have said, a real addition to the value
of their kingdoms; but had not the smallest influence upon prices. In
those days of small circulation, the prices of every thing must have
been vastly low, not from the great abundance of them, but because of
the little demand; and as a proof of this, I cite the example of a
country, which, within the space of fifty years, possessed in _specie_
at one time, considerably beyond the worth of the land, houses, slaves,
merchandize, natural produce, moveables, and ready money, at another.
The example is mentioned by Mr. Hume, and I am surprized the consequence
of it did not strike him. For if the money they possessed was greatly
above the worth of all their property, moveable and immoveable, surely
it never could be considered as a representation of their industry,
which made so small a part of the whole. Athens possessed, before the
Peloponesian war, a treasure of ten thousand talents; and fifty years
afterwards, all Athens, in the several articles above specified, did not
amount to the value of six thousand. Hume’s _Political Discourses upon
the Balance of Trade_.
These treasures were spent in the war, and they had been laid up for no
other purpose. Therefore I was in the right, when I observed above,
Chap. 22. that war in antient times, had the effect that industry has
now: it was the only means of making wealth circulate. But peace
producing a general stagnation of circulation, people returned to the
antient simplicity of their manners, and the prices of subsistence
remained on the former footing; because there was no increase of
appetite, or rising of demand upon any necessary article. So much for
the state of wealth during the days of frugality.
The Romans subdued all those kingdoms of the Greeks, and drew their
treasures to Rome. The republic went to destruction, and a succession of
the most prodigal Princes ever known in history succeeded one another
for about two hundred years. Those monstrous treasures were then thrown
into circulation, and I must now give an idea of the effects produced by
such a revolution.
I have already observed (Chap. 28.) that in consequence of the great
prodigality of those times, the prices of superfluities rose to a
monstrous height; while those of necessaries kept excessively low. The
fact is indisputable, and any one who inclines to satisfy himself
farther, may look into that valuable collection of examples of antient
luxury, wealth, and at the same time of simplicity, found in Mr.
Wallace’s _Dissertation upon the Numbers of Mankind in antient and
modern Times_, p. 132. et seq.
But how is it to be accounted for, that the prices of superfluities
should stand so high, while necessaries were so low? The reason is
plain, from the principles we have laid down. The circulation of money
had no resemblance to that of modern times: fortunes were made by
corruption, fraud, concussion, rapine, and penury; not by trade and
industry. Seneca amassed in four years 2,400,000 pounds sterling. An
augur was worth 3 millions sterling. M. Antony owed on the Ides of
March, 322,916 pounds sterling, and paid it before the calends of April.
We know of no such circulation. Every revolution was violent: the
powerful were rapacious and prodigal, the weak were poor and lived in
the greatest simplicity: consequently, the objects of the desires of the
rich were immensely dear; and the necessaries for the poor were
excessively cheap. This is a confirmation of the principles we have laid
down in Chap. 28. that the price of subsistence must ever be in
proportion to the faculties of the numerous classes of those who buy:
that the price of every thing must be in proportion to the demand made
for it; and that in every case, where the supply can naturally increase
in proportion to the demand, there must be a determined proportion
between the price of such articles and that of subsistence. Now in the
examples given by Mr. Wallace, of such articles as were found at
monstrous prices, we only find such as could not be increased according
to demand: here is the enumeration of them. Large asses brought from
Spain, peacocks, fine doves, mullets, lampreys, peaches, large
asparagus, purple, wool, jewels, carpets, _vestes Byssinæ_, slaves
skilled in the finer arts, pictures, statues, books, and rewards to
those who taught the sciences. By casting a glance upon the catalogue,
we may easily perceive that the extraordinary price must have proceeded
from the impossibility of augmenting the supply in proportion to the
demand; not from the abundance of the money, which had no effect in
raising the price of necessaries. The cheapness again of these, did not
proceed from vast plenty; but because the price must have remained in
proportion to the faculties of the numerous poor; and because the
augmentation of the wealth of the rich never could increase their
consumption of any necessary article. Had the Roman empire been governed
with order and tranquility, this taste of luxury, by precipitating money
into the hands of the numerous classes, would, in time, have wrought the
effects of multiplying the number of the industrious, by purging the
lands; consequently, of increasing the demand for vendible subsistence;
consequently, of raising the price of it. And on the other hand, the
adequate proportion between services and rewards given by the public,
would have checked the other branch of circulation which produced those
monstrous fortunes, to wit, rapine and corruption: and industry
receiving a regular encouragement, every article of extraordinary demand
for delicate aliments, birds, fishes, fruits, &c. would have been
supplied with sufficient abundance; and consequently, would have fallen
in its price. But when either despotism or slavery were the patrimonial
inheritance of every one on coming into the world, we are not to expect
to see the same principles operate, as in ages where the monarch and the
peasant are born equally free to enjoy the provision made for them by
their forefathers.
I shall now come nearer home, and examine a very remarkable difference
between the oeconomy in practice some hundred years ago, and that of the
present time, with regard to the method of levying men and money.
This change is a consequence of trade and industry, and as I have been
preparing the way for the introduction of other matters which equally
owe their existence to them, it may not be improper, in this last
chapter, to point out the natural causes of this change in modern
politics. When people consider effects only, without examining the
causes which produce them, they commonly blame rashly, or fall into an
idle admiration of fortune. It is only by tracing natural causes, that
we come at the means of forming a solid judgment of the nature of every
abuse, and of every advantage.
The general taste for the extension of industry, is what has brought
such loads of money into circulation; not the discovery of America. We
read of treasures in antient times which appear to rival the wealth of
modern Europe. Appian, as cited by Mr. Hume, mentions a treasure of the
Kings of Egypt, of near two hundred millions sterling; and says, that
all the successors of Alexander were nearly as rich, and fully as
frugal. Frugality then is compatible with the greatest wealth. Therefore
the wealth of America, has not been the cause of European refinement;
but the extension of civil liberty has obliged the possessors of
treasures, which in all ages have been coveted by man, to open their
repositories, in order to procure the service of those who formerly made
a branch of the property of the most wealthy. This is the foundation of
trade and industry.
Why, therefore, has trade and industry laid the foundation of taxes and
standing armies, which appear so contrary to the one and the other?
I answer shortly, that very little change has been made as to things
themselves by that revolution; but with respect to the order of things,
the difference is great. Trade and industry cannot flourish without
method and regularity; taxes and standing armies are only a systematical
execution of the old plan, for preserving the power, safety, and
independence of the nations of Europe.
Taxes are no more than the liquidation of those services which formerly
were performed in kind. Standing armies are become necessary, that the
call of the rich luxurious, who are insatiable in their demand for the
service of the poor, may not be able to engross also the hands necessary
for the defence of the state. Personal services were the taxes of former
times. Let no man imagine, that ever any state could subsist without the
contribution of its subjects. But a more authentic proof of this opinion
is, that in the year 1443, while Charles the VIIth was engaged in the
long war with the Kings of England, who disputed with him the monarchy
of France, the services of the vassals of that kingdom (by the edict of
Saumur of the 14th of September) were formally converted into the
perpetual _Taille_; and this may be considered, as the foundation of the
regular military force of the French nation. No body, in those days,
imagined such an imposition to be oppressive or unjust: and if those who
remain subject to it, appear under oppression at present, it is only
because they continue in their antient situation. Personal services are
the heaviest of all impositions.
QUEST. 4. Why, therefore, are taxes so generally cried out against, why
do they appear so new an invention, and why do people flatter
themselves, that there is a possibility of putting an end to so general
an oppression? I answer, because people commonly attend to words, and
not to things. In former times, the great bulk of the inhabitants lived
upon the lands, and were bound to personal service. This kind of
imposition was familiar, general, and equal; every class of the people
was bound to services analogous to their rank in the state. The
industrious who lived without any dependence upon the lands, and who did
not enjoy the privileges of cities and corporations, were so few, that
they were not an object of public attention. Farther, most privileges
then known, were in consequence of land-property; consequently, those
independent people were in a manner without protection, they were
vassals to no body; consequently, had no body to interest themselves for
them; consequently, were a prey to every one who had power, and no body
was sorry to see a rich fellow, who had got plenty of ready money, and
who seemed to do nothing for it, plundered by a lord who appeared in the
service of his country. We see in the time of the croisades how odious
all those money gatherers were; these were what we now call traders, it
was principally in hatred to them, that the borrowing of money at
interest was declared antichristian; because the Jews were principally
in those days the merchants or the money lenders.
In the beginning of the sixteenth century, when Princes began to take a
taste for magnificence, finding no body, almost, within their own
country capable to supply them, they used to send to Flanders and
Venice, the great trading states in those days, for many kinds of
manufactures. This is the fountain of foreign trade in Europe. These two
states perceiving the great benefit resulting to them from this new
taste of dissipation, gave great encouragement to the industrious. Had
they begun to impose high taxes upon them, they would have ruined all.
Industry, then, was encouraged at first, and little loaded with any
imposition. This is perfectly consistent with our doctrine. Some
Princes, perceiving the daily diminution of their wealth, made efforts
to restore this antient simplicity, by forbidding this hurtful trade;
others, such as Francis I. of France, and Henry VIII. of England,
endeavoured all they could to establish industry in their own states.
For this purpose, great privileges were granted to the industrious, who
thereby increased daily. But this revolution naturally purged the lands,
and by that operation diminished the number of personal service-men; or,
as in France, where personal service was at an end, the number of those
subject to the _taille_. I shall not trace this progress very minutely,
but come directly to the period of extensive taxation. When industry was
fairly established, and when nations began to be well clothed with the
produce of their own soil, wrought up in a thousand different forms, by
their own industrious subjects, Princes soon perceived their treasures
to melt away, and saw plainly, that without a method of drawing back the
money from this new class of inhabitants, the whole wealth of the state
would come to center in their hands; but the means of coming at money
was extremely difficult. The proprietors of the riches had no solid
property in proportion; and their money was inaccessible. Some betook
themselves to violence, and others to fraud: the one and the other
produced the worst effects. The violence destroyed industry, and rendred
the industrious miserable: for we have observed, that when inhabitants
are once purged from off the lands, they have no resource left them but
their industry; whereas let a peasant be robbed ever so often of his
money, he still has the earth to maintain him. The fraudulent corrupted
the great; the ministers of Princes became the terror of every man who
had money; they enriched themselves by accepting of compositions, and
the state remained constantly in want. At last, the scheme of
proportional taxes took place: but for this purpose it was necessary to
obtain the consent of the whole state; for no Prince’s power extended so
far, and they were not come to the time of being able to enlarge their
prerogative. Such impositions, therefore, were first introduced in
republics, and mixed governments. In monarchies they were established
with more difficulty; because the great were equally affected by them
with the small. But when long and expensive wars rendred supplies of
money absolutely necessary, then were taxes consented to; and the Prince
who had not power enough to _establish_ them, easily found means to
_keep them up_, when once introduced.
From this progress we may easily discover the reason why taxes are cried
out against. The system appears new, because we remember, in a manner,
the doubling of the impositions, and we see them daily gaining ground;
but we never reflect on the change of circumstances, and seldom attend
to the consequences of that new species of circulation, which is carried
on between the public and those employed by it. The state now pays for
every service, because the people furnish it with money for this
purpose.
If the blood therefore be let out, in modern times, at a thousand
orifices of the body politic, there are just as many absorbitories (if I
may be allowed such an expression) opened to receive it back. From this
last circumstance I imply the perpetuity of taxes, while this system of
political oeconomy prevails. We have not as yet seen an example of any
state abolishing them, though many indeed have had such a scheme in
view. But to resume my former comparison, I may suggest, that if all the
orifices through which the blood issues, should be bound up, all the
absorbitories which are fed with the returning blood, must be starved.
But more of this in its proper place.
QUEST. 5. Why are standing armies a consequence of trade and industry?
In the first place, armies in all ages, past, present, and to come, have
been, are, and will be calculated for offensive and defensive war; while
therefore war subsists among men, armies in one way or other, will be
necessary.
The advantage of regular armies has been known in all ages; and yet we
find, that for many centuries they appeared in a manner discontinued;
that is to say, we read neither of legions, nor of regiments, nor of any
denomination of bodies of warlike men, kept up and exercised in time of
peace, as was the custom while the Roman empire subsisted: and now,
since trade has been established, we see the antient Roman military
oeconomy again revived. Let us therefore apply our principles, in order
to account for this revolution also.
During the Roman empire, there was a very great flux of money into the
coffers of the state, which proceeded more from rapine than from taxes.
Consequently, it was an easy matter to keep up large bodies of regular
forces.
With these they subdued the world, as I may call it, that is, all the
polite nations then known; the Carthaginians, Greeks, and Asiatics. Had
they remained satisfied, their empire might possibly have subsisted;
because people who are rich, luxurious, and polite, are commonly
peaceable. But nothing could satisfy their ambition: they conquered
Gaul, and stretched the boundary of their empire from the streights of
Gibraltar to the mouth of the Rhine. All was peaceable on that side, and
in two or three centuries, both Spain and Gaul had adopted the spirit,
language, and manners of the Roman people. But when they passed the
Rhine, the Danube, and the Euphrates, they found mankind still less
cultivated, and very little known. Their enemies fled before them, and
left a territory which was not worth possessing. This of all barriers is
the strongest. By carrying on war against such people, the match was
very unequal; those nations had every thing to gain, and nothing to
lose; the Romans had all to lose, and nothing to win. Those wars
continued until the Barbarians learned the Roman discipline, and became
warriors. It was the most profitable trade for them, as well as the only
means of safety. That this was the plan of their oeconomy appears
plainly from the form of government every where established by them.
Where every free man was a soldier, there was no occasion for a regular
militia.
Men are governed by prejudice more than by reason: to this I attribute
the sudden change in the government of Europe. In place of one man
governing the world, as was the case of the Emperors, the new spirit
was, that all soldiers were equal, and a King was but _primus inter
pares_. The sudden revolution had the effect of ruining every thing:
learning, industry, politics, all went to wreck. _One hundred years of
barbarity must ruin the effects of a thousand centuries of politeness._
This is the date of the annihilation of standing armies. A powerful
Prince, such as Charles the Great, who acted in a high sphere, and who
made the world his own, might, during his lifetime, establish the old
oeconomy. But the general establishment of the feudal form of
government, which, no doubt, was the best for preserving a great empire,
filled with barbarity every where, joined with the weakness of that
Prince’s successors, introduced a new form less barbarous than the
former, but equally compatible with a numerous standing militia. Every
Baron became a sovereign, and his vassals were bred to arms; but as they
were forced to attend the plough for subsistence, as well as the camp;
wars were carried on consistently with agriculture. Certain months of
the year were appropriated for war; others for peace. This was easily
accomplished: war was constantly at the door; a campaign was finished in
a week, because every man’s nearest neighbour was commonly his worst
enemy.
Europe remained in this general state of confusion for some centuries.
Princes had, during that period, a most precarious authority, and when
any nation chanced to be under the government of one who had talents to
unite his subjects, he became so formidable that there was no
possibility of resisting him. In those days, it was a hard matter to
form an idea of a balance of power; because there was no rule to
determine the force of nations. Under the Otho’s, Germany threatned
Italy with chains; under Edward and Henry, England seemed on the road of
adding all France to her monarchy; Ferdinand the catholic, laid the
foundation of the Spanish greatness, and his successors bid fair for the
universal monarchy of Europe. In our days, the acquisition of a small
province, nay of a considerable town, is not to be made by conquest,
without a general convention between all the powers of Europe, and those
who are conversant in foreign affairs, can estimate, in a minute, the
force of Princes, by the troops they are able to maintain; nothing is so
easy as to lay down, on a sheet of paper, a state of all the armed men
in Europe. A Prince can hardly add a soldier to a company, but all the
world is informed of it. Excepting the extent of their credit, and the
talents of their generals and counsellors, every thing relative to power
is become the object of computation. Hence the balance of power,
formerly unknown, is now become familiar. So much is sufficient for the
matter of fact; let us now examine why _trade_ and _industry_ have given
rise to so regular a system of war.
The reason is, because in a state where those are introduced, every
thing must be made regular, or all will go to wreck. The keeping up of
large armies, is the remains of that turbulent spirit which animated
royalty for so many centuries. All literature is filled with warlike
sentiments, from.the books of Moses to the news papers of this day. A
young person cannot learn to read without imbibing the fire of war. But
as nothing is so evident, from the consideration of the total revolution
in the spirit of the people of Europe, as that war is inconsistent with
the prosperity of a modern state, I sometimes allow my imagination to
carry me so far as to believe the time is at hand when war will come to
cease. But there is no such thing as predicting in political matters:
general peace is a contingent consequence which a thousand accidents may
prevent; and one among the rest is, that the whole plan of modern policy
may be broken to pieces, before Princes come to discover that it is
their interest to be quiet. The ambition of one, arms all the rest, and
when once they are at the head of their armies, want of money only
assembles a congress, not to make peace, but that the parties may have
some years to gather new force.
It is not therefore trade and industry which have given birth to
standing armies, they have only rendred war impossible without them. It
is the ambition of Princes to extend their dominion, and even sometimes
to extend their commerce, which gives occasion to war. And we see daily
how difficult it becomes to provide troops for this purpose, from no
other reason so much as from the progress of trade and industry. Those
who have the money cannot have the men, those who have the men cannot
have the money. Do we not see how the greatest monarchy in Europe, the
Prince who has the most millions of subjects, cannot preserve the rank
of power he has prescribed to himself (_his political-necessary for
war_) without a body of above thirty thousand strangers, in the time of
the most profound peace, and after the greatest reduction judged
consistent with the safety of the country? These cost vastly more than
national troops, and brave men of all countries are alike; so that the
only reason for keeping up so large a body of foreigners, is to
facilitate augmentations when occasion requires it; and not to spare the
subjects who are willing to serve, but to spare agriculture and
industry, after the superfluities of these have fallen in, to compleat
that body of troops which experience has determined to be proportioned
to such superfluities.
From this short exposition let me deduce a principle. That since every
state has occasion, according to the present system of Europe, for a
certain number of armed men for their defence, the first care of a
statesman, is, to discover to what number those of his subjects, who
willingly prefer the conditions offered for military service to the
occupations of industry, may amount. If he finds these exceed the number
wanted for recruiting the army, it is a good reason to diminish the pay;
until the encouragement comes upon a level with the supply demanded. If
on the contrary, the number of volunteers falls below the standard
required, he must examine the state of the balance of work and demand,
before he can give any farther encouragement. If this balance stands
even, he must take care that the pay given to soldiers be not carried so
high, as to engage those of the lowest class of profitable industry to
desert it.
What measures, therefore, can be fallen upon? There are two. Either to
hire foreign troops, as many states do; and I suppose for good reasons,
only because it is done. But I should prefer another method, which is to
create a new class of inhabitants, appropriated for supplying the army,
upon the principle above laid down, that he who feeds may have as many
mouths as he pleases.
I would therefore fix the military pay at a rate below the profits of
useful industry, and accept of such as should offer. For the
augmentation of this class, I would receive all male children who should
be given or exposed by their parents. These should be bred to every sort
of labour for which the state has occasion, and their numbers might be
carried to twenty _per cent._ above that which might be judged necessary
in time of the hottest war. Out of this class only, the standing forces
might be recruited: those who remained might be employed in every public
service; such as working in arsenals, docks, highways, public buildings,
&c. By taking care of the children of this whole class, their numbers
would rise to whatever height might be judged necessary. The same spirit
would be kept up; they might serve by turns, and all become disciplined.
This is a good scheme, in many cases, and is an improvement upon the
distribution of the inhabitants: the execution is gradual; therefore no
sudden revolution is implied. But it is fit only for a state which can
augment its numbers, without seeking for subsistence from without. It
would spare the land and manufactures, and be a ready outlet for all
supernumeraries in every class.
This subject shall be resumed in the fifth book, when we come to the
application of the amount of taxes. At present it has found a place,
only because the support of a national force has been ranked among the
objects of attention of those statesmen who are at the head of rich and
luxurious nations which have lost their foreign trade.
QUEST. 6. What are the principles upon which the relative force of
nations is to be estimated?
Without some limitations, no question can be more difficult to resolve
than this; it must therefore be examined only in so far as it comes
under the influence of certain principles. It is as impossible to
estimate the real force of a nation, as it is to estimate that of any
considerable quantity of gun-powder, and for the same reason. The nation
cannot exert all its force at once, no more than the powder can be all
inflamed at once, and the successive efforts of a small power, are never
equally effectual with the momentous shock of a great one. In
proportion, therefore, as the spirit of individuals is moved to concur
with the public measure, a people become powerful; and as I know of no
principle which can regulate such affections of the mind, we must throw
them quite out of the question, and measure the power of nations by the
quantity of men and money at a statesman’s command, in consequence of
the oeconomy he has established. Let me then suppose two nations, where
the number of inhabitants, and weight of gold and silver are absolutely
the same, military genius and discipline quite equal. From what has been
said, we must determine that nation to be the strongest, which, without
disturbing the oeconomy of their state, can raise the greatest
proportion of men, and draw the greatest proportion of money into the
public coffers.
When the number of inhabitants is given, the first thing to be known is
the nature of the produce of the country, whether mostly in corn, wine,
or pasture: the more the ground is laboured, and the more crops it
yearly produces, the fewer free hands it will maintain in proportion to
the whole, this computation must then proceed upon the principles laid
down above, Book I. Chap. 8.
When once you come at the number of free hands, you must examine the
state of luxury. Luxury is justly said to effeminate a nation, because
the great multitude of hands taken up in supplying the instruments of it
to the rich, diminishes greatly the number of such as can be employed in
war. If manufacturers and folks accustomed to a sedentary life, are at a
certain age taken from trades, to compose armies, they will make bad
soldiers; and the strength of a nation lies chiefly in the valour and
strength of the soldiery. Luxury therefore effeminates a nation in
general; but it does not follow from hence, that the most luxurious are
the most effeminate, and most improper for war; on the contrary, they
are found to be the bravest and most proper. The effeminacy and baseness
of mind, in point of courage, are found in the sedentary multitude. The
truth of this might be proved from many examples in antient history, if
the present situation of Europe left the smallest room to doubt of it.
The more therefore that luxury prevails in a country, the fewer good
troops can be raised in it, and _vice versa_. But it is not sufficient
to have men for war, the men must be enabled to subsist, and in the
modern way of making war, their subsistence and other expences require
large sums of money. We must then examine what proportion of the general
wealth may be applied to this purpose.
If in any country the riches be found in few hands, the state will be
poor; because the opulence of the public treasure depends greatly upon a
right and proportional distribution of wealth among the inhabitants.
Riches are only acquired three ways. First, Gratuitously, as by
succession, gift, or the like; secondly, by industry; and lastly, by
penury. Those who are poor are seldom enriched gratuitously, never by
penury, and always by industry; when a poor man grows rich in any state,
he changes in so far the balance of wealth, for what is added to him is
taken from another. When a spirit of industry prevails, the balance is
always turning in favour of the industrious, and as it is a pretty
general rule, that the rich are not the most laborious, so the balance
is generally turning against them. This being the case, the more that
industry prevails, the quicker will this revolution be brought on. By
such revolutions, wealth becomes _equably distributed_; for by being
_equably distributed_, I do not mean, that every individual comes to
have an _equal_ share, but an equal chance, I may say a certainty, of
becoming rich in proportion to his industry. Riches which are acquired
by succession, or any other gratuitous means, do not in the least
contribute to circulation, the owner, as has been said, only changes his
name. Those made by penury or hoarding, instead of adding to, evidently
diminish circulation. It is, therefore, by industry alone that wealth is
made to circulate, and it is by its circulation only, that money is
useful. When large sums are locked up, they produce nothing; they are
therefore locked up not to be useful while they remain secreted; but
that they may be useful when brought out in order to be alienated. In a
state, therefore, where there are a few very rich and many very poor,
there must be much money locked up; for without money none can be rich,
and if it were not locked up it must fall into the hands of the poor.
Why? Because the rich will not give it to the rich, gratuitously, nor
will they labour to acquire it; either then the common people must be
lazy and unwilling to work, or the rich must be so penurious and
addicted to hoarding as to keep it out of the hands of the poor. In both
which cases, if there be money in the country, it must be found in
coffers.
From these positions it may be concluded, that wealth which produces
nothing to its owner, cannot be supposed to produce any thing to the
state: consequently, that state in which there is the quickest
circulation of money, is, _cæteris paribus_, that in which the greatest
proportion of the general wealth may be raised for the public service.
This is all that is necessary to observe at present: when we have
examined the nature of credit and taxes, and the principles upon which
they may be levied in different countries, and under different forms of
government, we shall discover more rules for estimating the force of
different states.
The principles of industry have been so interwoven with those of trade,
through all the chapters of this second book, that it is now proper,
before we dismiss the subject, to examine a little into the nature of
the first, considered more abstractedly, and more detached from its
relation to the equivalent given for it, which is the proper
characteristic of trade, and from which proceeds the intimate connection
between them.
The object of our enquiry hitherto has been to discover the method of
engaging a free people in the advancement of the one and the other, as a
means of making their society live in ease, by reciprocally contributing
to the relief of each others wants. Let us next examine some farther
consequences. We are now to cast our eyes upon another view of this
extensive landscape, where the personal advantages, immediately felt
from this gentle band of mutual dependence, are not to fix our attention
so much as the effects produced by industry upon the face of things, and
manners of a people.
The better to transmit this idea, which I find a little dark, let me
say, that hitherto we have treated our subject, according to the
principles which should direct a statesman, to advance trade and
industry, by engaging the rich to give bread to the poor. Now we are to
examine the consequences resulting from the execution of this plan; and
compare the difference between a country which has been inhabited by a
people abundantly provided for without industry and labour, and one
occupied by another who have subsisted by these means: and farther, we
are to examine industry as producing effects more or less hurtful to the
simplicity of manners, and more or less permanent and beneficial,
according as it has been directed towards different objects.
I can easily suppose a nation living in the greatest simplicity, even
going naked, but abundantly fed, either with the spontaneous fruits of
the earth, or by an agriculture proportioned to the wants of every one,
and where very little alienation or exchange takes place. From this
primitive life, as I may call it, the degrees of industry, like
imperceptible shades, may be augmented; and the augmentation, as I
apprehend, is to be measured, not so much by the degree of occupation
which the inhabitants pursue, as by the quantity of permutation among
them; because I think permutation implies superfluity of something[N].
Footnote N:
Our first parents, placed in Paradise, were fed from the hand of God,
and freed by the constitution of their nature, from every uneasy
animal desire. Since the fall, the whole human species have been
employed in contriving and executing methods for relieving the wants
which are the consequences of such desires.
Hence I conclude, that had the fall never taken place, the pursuits of
man would have been totally different from what they are at present.
May I be allowed to suppose, that in such a happy state, he might have
been endowed with a faculty of transmitting his most complex ideas
with the same perspicuity with which we now transmit those relating to
geometry, numbers, colours, &c. From this I infer, there would have
been no difference of sentiment, no dispute, no competition between
man and man. The progress in acquiring useful knowledge, the pleasure
of communicating discoveries, would alone have provided a fund of
happiness, as inexhaustible as knowledge itself.
Mankind, therefore, set out upon a system of living without labour,
without industry, without wants, without dependence, without
subordination; consequently, had they remained in that state, the
lapse of time would have produced no change upon any thing, but the
state of knowledge. Banished from Paradise, man began to plow the
ground, consequently to change her surface: he built houses, made
bridges, traced roads, and by degrees has come, in different ages, to
please and gratify his inclinations, by numberless occupations and
pursuits, constantly dictated to him by his wants; that is, by his
imperfections, and by the desires which they inspire. When these are
satisfied, his physical happiness is carried as far as possible; but
as mankind seldom remain in a state of contentment, and that our
nature constantly prompts us to add something new to our former
enjoyments, so it naturally happens, that societies once established,
and living in peace, pass from one degree of refinement to another,
that is to say, man daily becomes more laborious.
A people then lives in the utmost simplicity, when the earth is so far
in common, as that none can acquire the property of it, but in virtue of
his possession as the means of subsistence; and when every one is
employed in providing necessaries for himself, and for those who belong
to him. The moment any one has occasion for the service of another,
independent of him, he must have an equivalent to give. This equivalent
must be something moveable, some fruit of the earth, pure or modified,
superfluous, not necessary, not the earth itself, because this is the
foundation of his subsistence; and he can never alienate what is
essential to his being, in order to procure a superfluity. From this we
may deduce a principle that the alienation of consumable commodities is
a consequence of superfluity alone, as this again is the bane of
simplicity. Consequently, he who would carry simplicity to the utmost
length, ought to proscribe all alienation; consequently, all dependence
among men; consequently, all subordination: every one ought to be
entirely dependent upon his own labour, and nothing else.
Were man either restored to his primitive state of innocence, or reduced
to a state of brutality; were his pursuits either purely spiritual, or
did they extend no farther than to the gratification of his animal
desires, and acquisition of his physical-necessary; such an oeconomy
might be compatible with society. But as we stand in a middle state
between the two, and have certain desires which participate of the one
and of the other, the gratification of which constitute what we have
called our _political-necessary_ (which we cannot procure to ourselves,
because the very nature of it implies superiority and subordination, as
well as a mutual dependence among men) a total obstruction to alienation
becomes compatible with government, consequently with human society; and
this being the case, all simplicity of manners is only relative. Our
fathers looked upon the manners of their ancestors as simple, these
again admired the simplicity of the patriarchs; and perhaps the time may
come, when the manners of the eighteenth century may be called the noble
simplicity of the antients.
As simplicity of manners is therefore relative, let us decide, that as
long as superfluity does more good in providing for the poor, than hurt
in corrupting the rich; so far it is to be approved of and no farther.
Here it is urged, that since superfluity is only good, so far as it
provides subsistence for the poor, why may not the pursuits of industry
be turned towards objects which cannot corrupt the mind? Why, in place
of fine clothes, elegant entertainments, magnificent furniture, carving,
gildings, and embroidery, with all the splendor to be seen in palaces,
gardens, operas, balls, and masquerades, processions, shews,
horse-races, and diversions of every kind, why might not, I say, the
multitudes which are employed in supplying these transitory
gratifications of human weakness (not to call them by a worse name) be
employed in making highways, bridges, canals, fountains, fortifications,
harbours, public buildings, and a thousand other works, both useful to
society, and of good example to succeeding generations? Such employments
are eternal monuments of grandeur, they are of lasting utility, and are
no more to be compared to the trifling industry of our days, than an
Egyptian pyramid is to be compared with the luxury of Cleopatra, or the
_via appia_ with the suppers of Heliogabalus. This was the taste in the
virtuous days of antient simplicity: the greatness of a people appeared
in the magnificence of useful works, and as virtue disappeared, a luxury
resembling that of modern times took place. The aqueducts, common
sewers, temples, highways, and burying places were the ornaments of
consular Rome. The imperial grandeur of that city shone out in
amphitheatres and baths; and the turpitude of manners (say the patrons
of simplicity) which brought on the decline, ought to terrify those who
make the apology of modern luxury and dissipation.
In order to set this question in a clear light, and to do justice both
to the antients and moderns, let us once more enter into an examination
of circumstances, and seek for effects in the causes which produce them.
These are uniform in all ages; and if manners are different, the
difference must be accounted for, without overturning the principles of
reason and common sense.
QUEST. 7. In what manner, therefore, may a statesman establish industry,
so as not to destroy simplicity, nor occasion a sudden revolution in the
manners of his people, the great classes of which are supposed to live
secure in ease and happiness; and, at the same time, so as to provide
every one with necessaries who may be in want?
The observations we are going to make will point out the answer to this
question: they will unfold still farther the political oeconomy of the
antients, and explain how manners remained so pure from vicious luxury,
notwithstanding the great and sumptuous works carried on, which strike
us with so lofty an idea of their useful magnificence and noble
simplicity. These observations will also confirm the justness of a
distinction made, in the first chapter of this book, between labour and
industry; by shewing that _labour_ may ever be procured, even by force,
at the expence of furnishing man with his physical-necessary, from which
no superfluity can proceed: whereas industry cannot be established, but
by an adequate equivalent, proportioned, not to the absolutely
necessary, but to the reasonable desire of the industrious; which
equivalent becomes afterwards the means of diffusing a luxurious
disposition among all the classes of a people.
If a statesman finds certain individuals in want, he must either feed
them, in which case he may employ them as he thinks fit; or he must give
them a piece of land, as the means of feeding themselves. If he gives
the land, he can require no equivalent for it, because a person who has
nothing can give nothing but his labour; and if he be obliged to labour
for his food, he cannot purchase with labour the earth itself, which is
the object of it. If it be asked, whether a statesman does better to
give the food, or to give the land? I think it will appear very evident,
that the first is the better course, because he can then exact an
equivalent; and since in either way the person is fed, the produce of
his labour is always clear gain. But in order to give the food, he must
have it to give; in which case, it must either be a surplus-produce of
public lands, or a contribution from the people. In both which cases, is
implied a labour carried on beyond the personal wants of those who
labour the ground. If this fund be applied in giving bread to those whom
he employs in improving the soil of the country in general, it will have
no immediate effect of destroying the simplicity of their manners; it
will only extend the fund of their subsistence. If he employs them in
making highways, aqueducts, common sewers, bridges, and the like; it
will extend the correspondence between the different places of the
country, and render living in cities more easy and agreeable: and these
changes have an evident tendency towards destroying simplicity. But here
let it be remarked, that the simplicity of individuals is not hurt by
the industry carried on at the expence of the public. The superfluous
food at the statesman’s disposal, is given to people in necessity, who
are employed in relieving _the wants of the public, not of private
persons_. But if, in consequence of the roads made, any inhabitant shall
incline to remove from place to place in a chariot, instead of riding on
horseback, or walking, he must engage some body to make the machine:
this is a farther extension to occupation, on the side of those who
labour; but the consequence of the employment is very different, when
considered with regard to the simplicity of manners. The reason is
plain: the ingenuity here must be paid for; and this superfluity in the
hands of the workman is a fund for his becoming luxurious.
Industry destroys simplicity of manners in him who gives an equivalent
for an article of superfluity; and the equivalent given frequently gives
rise to a subordinate species of luxury in the workman. When industry
therefore meets with encouragement from individuals, who give an
equivalent in order to satisfy growing desires, it is a proof that they
are quitting the simplicity of their manners. In this case, the wants
and desires of mankind prove the mother of industry, which was the
supposition in the first book; because, in fact, the industry of Europe
is owing to this cause alone.
But the industry of antient times was very different, where the
multitude of slaves ready to execute whatever was demanded, either by
the state or by their masters, for the equivalent of simple maintenance
only, prevented wealth from ever falling into the hands of industrious
free men; and he who has no circulating equivalent to give for
satisfying a desire of superfluity, must remain in his former
simplicity. The labour therefore of those days producing no circulation,
could not corrupt the manners of the people; because, remaining
constantly poor, they never could increase their consumption of
superfluity.
I must, in this place, insert the authority of an antient author, in
order both to illustrate and to prove the justness of this
representation of the political oeconomy of the antients.
There remains a discourse of Xenophon upon the improvement of the
revenue of the state of Athens. Concerning the authenticity of this
work, I have not the smallest doubt. It is a _chef d’oeuvre_ of its
kind, and from it more light is to be had, in relation to the subject we
are here upon, than from any thing I have ever seen, antient or modern.