Chapter II.

UNDERLYING CAUSES OF THE GREAT EUROPEAN WAR

Assassination of the Austrian Crown Prince—Austria’s Motive in Making

War—Servia Accepts Austria’s Demand—The Ironies of History—What Austria

Has to Gain—How the War Became Continental—An Editorial Opinion—Is the

Kaiser Responsible?—Germany’s Stake in the War—Why Russia Entered the

Field—France’s Hatred of Germany—Great Britain and Italy—The Triple

Alliance and Triple Entente

What brought on the mighty war which so suddenly sprang forth? What

evident, what subtle, what deep-hidden causes led to this sudden

demolition of the temple of peace? What pride of power, what lust of

ambition, what desire of imperial dominion cast the armed hosts of the

nations into the field of conflict, on which multitudes of innocent

victims were to be sacrificed to the insatiate hunger for blood of the

modern Moloch?

Here are questions which few are capable of answering. Ostensible

answers may be given, surface causes, reasons of immediate potency. But

no one will be willing to accept these as the true moving causes. For a

continent to spring in a week’s time from complete peace into almost

universal war, with all the great and several of the small Powers

involved, is not to be explained by an apothegm or embraced within the

limits of a paragraph. If not all, certainly several of these nations

had enmities to be unchained, ambitions to be gratified, long-hidden

purposes to be put in action. They seemed to have been awaiting an

opportunity, and it came when the anger of the Servians at the seizure

of Bosnia by Austria culminated in a mad act of assassination

ASSASSINATION OF THE AUSTRIAN CROWN PRINCE

The immediate cause, so far as apparent to us, of the war in question

was the murder, on June 29, 1914, of the Austrian Crown Prince Francis

Ferdinand and his wife, while on a visit to Sarajevo, the capital of

Bosnia, the assassin being a Servian student, supposed to have come for

that purpose from Belgrade, the Servian capital. The inspiring cause of

this dastardly act was the feeling of hostility towards Austria which

was widely entertained in Servia. Bosnia was a part of the ancient

kingdom of Servia. The bulk of its people are of Slavic origin and

speak the Servian language. Servia was eager to regain it, as a

possible outlet for a border on the Mediterranean Sea. When, therefore,

in 1908, Austria annexed Bosnia and Herzegovina, which had been under

her military control since 1878, the indignation in Servia was great.

While it had died down in a measure in the subsequent years, the

feeling of injury survived in many hearts, and there is little reason

to doubt that the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand was a result of

this pervading sentiment.

In fact, the Austrian government was satisfied that the murder plot was

hatched in Belgrade and held that Servian officials were in some way

concerned in it. The Servian press gave some warrant for this, being

openly boastful and defiant in its comments. When the Austrian

consul-general at Belgrade dropped dead in the consulate the papers

showed their satisfaction and hinted that he had been poisoned. This

attitude of the press evidently was one of the reasons for the

stringent demand made by Austria on July 23d, requiring apology and

change of attitude from Servia and asking for a reply by the hour of 6

P.M. on the 25th. The demands were in part as follows:

1. An apology by the Servian government in its official journal for all

Pan-Servian propaganda and for the participation of Servian army

officers in it, and warning all Servians in the future to desist from

anti-Austrian demonstrations.

2. That orders to this effect should be issued to the Servian army.

3. That Servia should dissolve all societies capable of conducting

intrigues against Austria.

4. That Servia should curb the activities of the Servian press in

regard to Austria.

5. That Austrian officials should be permitted to conduct an inquiry in

Servia independent of the Servian government into the Sarajevo plot.

An answer to these demands was sent out at ten minutes before 6 o’clock

on the 25th, in which Servia accepted all demands except the last,

which it did not deem “in accordance with international law and good

neighborly relations.” It asked that this demand should be submitted to

The Hague Tribunal. The Austrian Minister at Belgrade, Baron Giesl von

Gieslingen, refused to accept this reply and at once left the capital

with the entire staff of the legation. The die was cast, as Austria

probably intended that it should be.

AUSTRIA’S MOTIVE IN MAKING WAR

It had, in fact, become evident early in July that the military party

in Austria was seeking to manufacture a popular demand for war, based

on the assassination of the Archduke Ferdinand and his wife. Such was

the indication of the tone of the Vienna newspapers, which appeared

desirous of working up a sentiment hostile to Servia. It may be doubted

if the aged emperor was a party to this. Probably his assent was a

forced one, due to the insistence of the war party and the public

sentiment developed by it. That the murder of the Archduke was the real

cause of the action of Austria can scarcely be accepted in view of

Servia’s acceptance of Austria’s rigid demands. The actual cause was

undoubtedly a deeper one, that of Austria’s long-cherished purpose of

gaining a foothold on the Aegean Sea, for which the possession of

Servia was necessary as a preliminary step. A plausible motive was

needed, any pretext that would serve as a satisfactory excuse to Europe

for hostile action and that could at the same time be utilized in

developing Austrian indignation against the Servians. Such a motive

came in the act of assassination and immediate use was made of it. The

Austrian war party contended that the deed was planned at Belgrade,

that it had been fomented by Servian officials, and that these had

supplied the murderer with explosives and aided in their transfer into

Bosnia.

What evidence Austria possessed leading to this opinion we do not know.

While it is not likely that there was any actual evidence, the case was

one that called for investigation, and Austria was plainly within its

rights in demanding such an inquiry and due punishment of every one

found to be connected with the tragic deed. But Austria went farther

than this. It was willing to accept nothing less than a complete and

humiliating submission on the part of Servia. And the impression was

widely entertained, whether with or without cause, that in this Austria

was not acting alone but that it had the full support of Germany. That

country also may be supposed to have had its ends to gain. What these

were we shall consider later.

SERVIA ACCEPTS AUSTRIA’S DEMANDS

Imperious as had been the demand of Austria, one which would never have

been submitted to a Power of equal strength, Servia accepted it,

expressing itself as willing to comply with all the conditions imposed

except that relating to the participation of Austrian officials in the

inquiry, an explanation being asked on this point. If this reply should

be deemed inadequate, Servia stood ready to submit the question at

issue to The Hague Peace Tribunal and to the Powers which had signed

the declaration of 1909 relating to Bosnia and Herzegovina.

The subsequent action of Austria was significant. The Austrian Minister

at Belgrade, as before stated, rejected it as unsatisfactory and

immediately left the Servian capital. He acted, in short, with a

precipitancy that indicated that he was acting under instructions. This

was made very evident by what immediately followed. When news came on

July 28th that war had been declared and active hostilities commenced,

it was accompanied by the statement that Austria would not now be

satisfied even with a full acceptance of her demands.

That the intention of this imperious demand and what quickly followed

was to force a war, no one can doubt. Servia’s nearly complete assent

to the conditions imposed was declared to be not only unsatisfactory,

but also “dishonorable,” a word doubtless deliberately used. Evidently

no door was to be left open for retrogressive consideration.

THE IRONIES OF HISTORY

It is one of the ironies of history that a people who once played a

leading part in saving the Austrian capital from capture should come to

be threatened by the armies of that capital. This takes us back to the

era when Servia, a powerful empire of those days, fell under the

dominion of the conquering Turks, whose armies further overran Hungary

and besieged Vienna. Had this city been captured, all central Europe

would have lain open to the barbarities of the Turks. In its defense

the Servians played a leading part, so great a one that we are told by

a Hungarian historian, “It was the Serb Bacich who saved Vienna.” But

in 1914 Servia was brought to the need of saving itself from Vienna.

WHAT AUSTRIA HAD TO GAIN

If it be asked what Austria had to gain by this act; what was her aim

in forcing war upon a far weaker state; the answer is at hand. The

Balkan States, of which Servia is a prominent member, lie in a direct

line between Europe and the Orient. A great power occupying the whole

of the Balkan peninsula would possess political advantages far beyond

those enjoyed by Austria-Hungary. It would be in a position giving it

great influence over, if not strategic control of, the Suez Canal, the

commerce of the Mediterranean, and a considerable all-rail route

between Central Europe and the far East. Salonika, on the AEgean Sea,

now in Greek territory, is one of the finest harbors on the

Mediterranean Sea. A railway through Servia now connects this port with

Austria and Germany. In addition to this railway it is not unlikely

that a canal may in the near future connect the Danube with the harbor

of Salonika. If this project should be carried out, the commerce of the

Danube and its tributary streams and canals, even that of central and

western Germany, would be able to reach the Mediterranean without

passing through the perilous Iron Gates of the Danube or being

subjected to the delays and dangers incident to the long passage

through the Black Sea and the Grecian Archipelago.

We can see in all this a powerful motive for Austria to seek to gain

possession of Servia, as a step towards possible future control of the

whole Balkan peninsula. The commercial and manufacturing interests of

Austria-Hungary were growing, and mastership of such a route to the

Mediterranean would mean immense advantage to this ambitious empire.

Possession of northern Italy once gave her the advantage of an

important outlet to the Mediterranean. This, through events that will

be spoken of in later chapters, was lost to her. She apparently then

sought to reach it by a more direct and open road, that leading through

Salonika.

Such seem the reasons most likely to have been active in the Austrian

assault upon Servia. The murder of an Austrian archduke by an

insignificant assassin gave no sufficient warrant for the act. The

whole movement of events indicates that Austria was not seeking

retribution for a crime but seizing upon a pretext for a predetermined

purpose and couching her demands upon Servia in terms which no

self-respecting nation could accept without protest. Servia was to be

put in a position from which she could not escape and every door of

retreat against the arbitrament of war was closed against her.

But in this retrospect we are dealing with Austria and Servia alone.

What brought Germany, what brought France, what brought practically the

whole of Europe into the struggle? What caused it to grow with

startling suddenness from a minor into a major conflict, from a contest

between a bulldog and a terrier into a battle between lions? What were

the unseen and unnoted conditions that, within little more than a

week’s time, induced all the leading nations of Europe to cast down the

gage of battle and spring full-armed into the arena, bent upon a

struggle which threatened to surpass any that the world had ever seen?

Certainly no trifling causes were here involved. Only great and

far-reaching causes could have brought about such a catastrophe. All

Europe appeared to be sitting, unknowingly or knowingly, upon a powder

barrel which only needed some inconsequent hand to apply the match. It

seems incredible that the mere pulling of a trigger by a Servian

student and the slaughter of an archduke in the Bosnian capital could

in a month’s time have plunged all Europe into war. From small causes

great events may rise. Certainly that with which we are here dealing

strikingly illustrates this homely apothegm.

HOW THE WAR BECAME CONTINENTAL

We cannot hope to point out the varied causes which were at work in

this vast event. Very possibly the leading ones are unknown to us. Yet

some of the important ones are evident and may be made evident, and to

these we must restrict ourselves.

Allusion has already been made to the general belief that the Emperor

of Germany was deeply concerned in it, and that Austria would not have

acted as it did without assurance of support, in fact without direct

instigation, from some strong allied Power, and this Power is adjudged

alike by public and private opinion to have been Germany, acting in the

person of its ambitious war lord, the dominating Kaiser.

It may be stated that all the Powers concerned have sought to disclaim

responsibility. Thus Servia called the world to witness that her answer

to Austria was the limit of submission and conciliation. Austria,

through her ambassador to the United States, solemnly declared that her

assault upon Servia was a measure of “self-defense.” Russia explained

her action as “benevolent intervention,” and expressed “a humble hope

in omnipotent providence” that her hosts would be triumphant. Germany

charged France with perfidious attack upon the unarmed border of the

fatherland, and proclaimed a holy war for “the security of her

territory.” France and England, Belgium and Italy deplored the conflict

and protested that they were innocent of offense. So far as all this is

concerned the facts are generally held to point to Germany as the chief

instigator of the war.

Russia, indeed, had made threatening movements toward Austria as a

warning to her to desist from her threatened invasion of Servia. Great

Britain proposed mediation. Germany made no movement in the direction

of preventing the war, but directed its attention to Russia, warning it

to stop mobilization within twenty-four hours, and immediately

afterward beginning a similar movement of mobilization in its own

territory. On August 1st Germany declared war against Russia, the first

step towards making the contest a continental one. On the 2d, when

France began mobilization, German forces moved against Russia and

France simultaneously and invaded the neutral states of Luxembourg and

Belgium. It was her persistence in the latter movement that brought

Great Britain into the contest, as this country was pledged to support

Belgian neutrality. On August 4th, Great Britain sent an ultimatum to

Germany to withdraw from the neutral territory which her troops had

entered and demanded an answer by midnight. Germany declined to answer

satisfactorily and at 11 o’clock war was declared by Great Britain.

AN EDITORIAL OPINION

As regards the significance of these movements, in which Germany hurled

declarations of war in rapid succession to east and west, and forced

the issue of a continental war upon nations which had taken no decisive

step, it may suffice to quote an editorial summing up of the situation

as regards Germany, from the Philadelphia North American of August 7th:

“From these facts there is no escape. Leaving aside all questions of

justice or political expediency, the aggressor throughout has been

Germany. Austria’s fury over the assassination of the heir to the

throne was natural. But Servia tendered full reparation.

So keen and conservative an authority as Rear Admiral Mahan declares

that ‘the aggressive insolence’ of Austria’s ultimatum ‘and Sevia’s

concession of all demands except those too humiliating for national

self-respect’ show that behind Austria’s assault was the instigation of

Berlin. He adds:

“Knowing how the matter would be viewed in Russia, it is incredible

that Austria would have ventured on the ultimatum unless assured

beforehand of the consent of Germany. The inference is irresistible

that it was the pretext for a war already determined upon as soon as

plausible occasion offered.’

“Circumstantial evidence, at least, places responsibility for the

flinging of the first firebrand upon the government of the Kaiser. Now,

who added fuel to the flames, until the great conflagration was under

way?

“The next move was the Czar’s. ‘Fraternal sentiments of the Russian

people for the Slavs in Servia,’ he says, led him to order partial

mobilization, following Austria’s invasion of Servia. Instantly Germany

protested, and within forty-eight hours sent an ultimatum demanding

that Russia cease her preparations. On the following day Germany began

mobilizing, and twenty-four hours later declared war on Russia.

Mobilization in France, necessitated by these events, was anticipated

by Germany, which simultaneously flung forces into Russia, France,

Luxembourg and Belgium.

“It was Germany’s historic policy of “blood and iron” that fired

Austria to attempt the crushing of Servia. It was Germany that hurled

an ultimatum, swiftly followed by an army, at Russia. It was Germany

that struck first at the French frontier. It was Germany that trampled

upon solemn treaty engagements by invading the neutral states of

Luxembourg and Belgium. And it was Germany that, in answer to England’s

demand that the neutrality of Belgium be protected, declared war

against Great Britain.

“Regardless, therefore, of questions of right and wrong, it is

undeniable that in each succeeding crisis Germany has taken the

aggressive. In so doing she has been inspired by a supreme confidence

in her military might. But she has less reason to be proud of her

diplomacy. The splendid audacity of her moves cannot obscure the fact

that in making the case upon which she will be judged she has been

outmaneuvered by the deliberation of Russia, the forbearance of France

and the patience of Great Britain. She has assumed the role of

international autocrat, while giving her foes the advantage of

prosecuting a patriotic war of defense.

“Particularly is this true touching the violation of neutral territory.

For nearly half a century the duchy of Luxembourg has been considered a

‘perpetually neutral state,’ under solemn guarantee of Austria, Great

Britain, Germany and Russia. Since 1830, when Belgium seceded from the

Netherlands, it, too, has been held ‘an independent and perpetually

neutral state,’ that status being solemnly declared in a convention

signed hy Great Britain, France, Russia, Austria and Prussia. Yet the

first war move of Germany was to overrun these countries, seize their

railroads, bombard their cities and lay waste their territories.

“For forty years Germany has been the exemplar of a progressive

civilization. In spite of her adherence to inflated militarism, she has

put the whole world in her debt by her inspiring industrial and

scientific achievements. Her people have taught mankind lessons of

incalculable value, and her sons have enriched far distant lands with

their genius. Not the least of the catastrophes inflicted by this

inhuman war is that an unbridled autocracy has brought against the

great German empire an indictment for arrogant assault upon the peace

of nations and the security of human institutions.”

IS THE KAISER RESPONSIBLE?

How much reliance is to be placed on the foregoing newspaper opinion,

and on the prevailing sentiment holding Kaiser Wilhelm responsible for

flinging the war bomb that disrupted the ranks of peace, no one can

say. Every one naturally looked for the fomenter of this frightful

international conflict and was disposed to place the blame on the basis

of rumor and personal feeling. On the other hand each nation concerned

has vigorously disclaimed responsibility for the cataclysm.

Austria—very meekly—claimed that Servia precipitated the conflict.

Germany blamed it upon Russia and France, the former from Slavic race

sentiment, the latter from enmity that had existed since the loss of

Alsace and Lorraine in 1870. They, on the contrary, laid all the blame

upon Germany. In the case of England alone we have a clear vista. The

obligation of the island kingdom to maintain the neutral position of

Belgium and the utter disregard of this neutrality by Germany forced

her to take part and throw her armies into the field for the

preservation of her international obligations.

Many opinions were extant, many views advanced. One of these, from

Robert C. Long, a war correspondent of note, laid the total

responsibility upon Austria, which, he said, plunged Europe into war in

disregard of the Kaiser, who vigorously sought to prevent the outbreak,

even threatening his ally in his efforts to preserve peace. In his

view, “All the blood-guiltiness in this war will rest upon two Powers,

Austria and Russia. It rests on Austria for her undue harshness to

Servia and on Russia for its dishonesty in secretly mobilizing its

entire army at a time when it was imploring the Kaiser to intervene for

peace, and when the Kaiser was working for peace with every prospect of

success.”

We have quoted one editorial opinion holding Germany wholly

responsible. Here is another, from the New York TIMES, which, with a

fair degree of justice, distributes the responsibility among all the

warring nations of Europe:

“Germany is not responsible; Russia is not responsible, or Austria, or

France, or England. The pillars of civilization are undermined and

human aspirations bludgeoned down by no Power, but by all Powers; by no

autocrats, but by all autocrats; not because this one or that has erred

or dared or dreamed or swaggered, but because all, in a mad stampede

for armament, trade and territory, have sowed swords and guns,

nourished harvests of death-dealing crops, made ready the way.

“For what reason other than war have billions in bonds and taxes been

clamped on the backs of all Europe? None sought to evade war; each

sought to be prepared to triumph when it came. At most some

chancelleries whispered for delay, postponement; they knew the clash to

be inevitable; if not today, tomorrow. Avoid war! What else have they

lived for, what else prepared for, what else have they inculcated in

the mind of youth than the sureness of the conflict and the great glory

of offering themselves to this Moloch in sacrifice?

“No Power involved can cover up the stain. It is indelible, the sin of

all Europe. It could have been prevented by common agreement. There was

no wish to prevent it. Munition manufacturers were not alone in urging

the race to destruction, physical and financial. The leaders were for

it. It was policy. A boiling pot will boil, a nurtured seed will grow.

There was no escape from the avowed goal. A slow drift to the

inevitable, a thunderbolt forged, the awful push toward the vortex!

What men and nations want they get.”

GERMANY’S STAKE IN THE WAR

What had Germany to gain in the war in the instigation of which she is

charged with being so deeply involved? Territorial aggrandizement may

have been one of her purposes. Belgium and Holland lay between her and

the open Atlantic, and the possession of these countries, with their

splendid ports, would pay her well for a reasonable degree of risk and

cost. The invasion of Belgium as her first move in the war game may

have had an ulterior purpose in the acquisition of that country, one

likely to be as distasteful to France as the taking over of

Alsace-Lorraine. Perhaps the neutral position taken by Holland, with

her seeming inclination in favor of Germany, may have had more than

racial relations behind it. Considerations of ultimate safety from

annexation may have had its share in this attitude of neutrality.

The general impression has been that Germany went to war with the

purpose of establishing beyond question her political and military

supremacy on the European continent. Military despotism in Germany was

the decisive factor in making inevitable the general war. The Emperor

of Germany stood as the incarnation and exponent of the Prussian policy

of military autocracy. He had ruled all German States in unwavering

obedience to the militarist maxim: “In times of peace prepare for war.”

He had used to the full his autocratic power in building up the German

Empire and in making it not only a marvel of industrial efficiency, but

also a stupendous military machine. In this effort he had burdened the

people of Germany with an ever-increasing war budget. The limit in this

direction was reached with the war budget of the year 1912 when the

revenues of the princes and of all citizens of wealth were specially

taxed. No new sources of revenue remained. A crisis had come.

That crisis, as sometimes claimed, was not any menace from Britain or

any fear of the British power. It was rather the very real and very

rapidly rising menace of the new great Slav power on Germany’s border,

including, as it did, the Russian Empire and the entire line of Slav

countries that encircled Germanic Austria from the Adriatic to Bohemia.

These Slav peoples are separated from the governing Teutonic race in

the Austrian Empire by the gulfs of blood, language, and religion. And

in Europe the Slav population very largely outnumbers the Teuton

population and is growing much more rapidly.

Recent events, especially in the Balkan wars, had made it plain, not to

the German Emperor alone, but to all the world, that the growth into an

organized power of more than two hundred millions of Slav peoples along

nearly three thousand miles of international frontier was a menace to

the preservation of Teuton supremacy in Europe. That Teuton supremacy

was based on the sword. The German Emperor’s appeal was to “My sword.”

But when the new sword of the united Slav power was allowed to be

unsheathed, German supremacy was threatened on its own ground and by

the weapon of its own choosing.

However all this be, and it must be admitted that it is to a degree

speculative, there were in 1914 conditions existing that appeared to

render the time a suitable one for the seemingly inevitable continental

war. Revelations pointing to defects in the French army, deficiencies

of equipment and weaknesses in artillery, had been made in the French

Parliament. The debate that occurred was fully dwelt upon in the German

papers. And on July 16th the organ of Berlin radicalism, the VOSSICHE

ZEITUNG, published a leading article to show that Russia was not

prepared for war, and never had been. As for France, it said: “A Gallic

cock with a lame wing is not the ideal set up by the Russians. And when

the Russian eagle boasts of being in the best of health who is to

believe him? Why should the French place greater confidence in the

inveterate Russian disorganization than in their own defective

organization?”

As regards the Kaiser’s own estimate of his preparedness for war, and

the views of national polity he entertained, we shall let him speak for

himself in the following extracts from former utterances:

“We will be everywhere victorious even if we are surrounded by enemies

on all sides and even if we have to fight superior numbers, for our

most powerful ally is God above, who, since the time of the Great

Elector and Great King, has always been on our side.”—At Berlin, March

29, 1901.

“I vowed never to strike for world mastery. The world empire that I

then dreamed of was to create for the German empire on all sides the

most absolute confidence as a quiet, honest and peaceable neighbor. I

have vowed that if ever the time came when history should speak of a

German world power or a Hohenzollern world power this should not be

based on conquest, but come through a mutual striving of nations after

a common purpose.

“After much has been done internally in a military way, the next thing

must be the arming ourselves at sea. Every German battleship is a new

guarantee for the peace of the world. We are the salt of the earth, but

must prove worthy of being so. Therefore, our youth must learn to deny

what is not good for them.

“With all my heart I hope that golden peace will continue to be present

with us.”—At Bremen, March 22, 1905.

“My final and last care is for my fighting forces on land and sea. May

God grant that war may not come, but should the cloud descend, I am

firmly convinced that the army will acquit itself as it did so nobly

thirty-five years ago.”—At Berlin, February 25, 1906.

In the early days of the reign of William II war was prominent in his

utterances. He was the War Lord in full feather, and the world at that

time looked with dread upon this new and somewhat blatant apostle of

militarism. Yet year after year passed until the toll of almost three

decades was achieved, without his drawing the sword, and the world

began to regard him as an apostle of peace, a wise and capable ruler

who could gain his ends without the shedding of blood. What are we to

believe now? Had he been wearing a mask for all these years, biding his

time, hiding from view a deeply cherished purpose? Or did he really

believe that a mission awaited him, that regeneration of the world

through the sanguinary path of the battle-field was his duty, and that

by the aid of a successful war he could inaugurate a safer and sounder

era of peace?

We throw out these ideas as suggestions only. What the Kaiser purposed,

what deep-laid schemes of international policy he entertained, will,

perhaps, never be known. But if he was really responsible for the great

war, as he was so widely accused of being, the responsibility he

assumed was an awful one. If he was not responsible, as he declared and

as some who claim to have been behind the scenes maintain, the world

will be ready to absolve him when his innocence has been made evident.

WHY RUSSIA ENTERED THE FIELD

In this survey of the causes of the great war under consideration the

position of Russia comes next. That country was the first to follow

Austria and begin the threatening work of mobilization. Germany’s first

open participation consisted in a warming to Russia that this work must

cease. Only when her warning was disregarded did Germany begin

mobilization and declare war. All this was the work of a very few days,

but in this era of active military preparedness it needs only days,

only hours in some instances, to change from a state of peace into a

state of war and hurl great armed hosts against the borders of hostile

nations.

The general impression was that it was the Slavic race sentiment that

inspired Russia’s quick action. Servia, a country of Slavs, brothers in

race to a large section of the people of Russia, was threatened with

national annihilation and her great kinsman sprang to her rescue,

determined that she should not be absorbed by her land-hungry neighbor.

This seemed to many a sufficient cause for Russia’s action. Not many

years before, when Austria annexed her wards, Bosnia and Herzegovina,

both Slavic countries, Russia protested against the act. She would

doubtless have done more than protest but for her financial and

military weakness arising from the then recent Russo-Japanese War. In

1914 she was much stronger in both these elements of national power and

lost not a day in preparing to march to Servia’s aid.

But was this the whole, or indeed the chief, moving impulse in Russia’s

action? Was she so eager an advocate of Pan-Slavism as such a fact

would indicate? Had she not some other purpose in view, some fish of

her own to fry, some object of moment to obtain? Many thought so. They

were not willing to credit the Russian bear with an act of pure

international benevolence. Wars of pure charity are rarely among the

virtuous acts of nations. As it had been suggested that Germany saw in

the war a possible opportunity to gain a frontier on the Atlantic, so

it was hinted that Russia had in mind a similar frontier on the

Mediterranean. Time and again she had sought to wring Constantinople

from the hands of the Turks. In 1877 she was on the point of achieving

this purpose when she was halted and turned back by the Congress of

Berlin and the bellicose attitude of the nations that stood behind it.

Here was another and seemingly a much better opportunity. The Balkan

War had almost accomplished the conquest of the great Turkish capital

and left Turkey in a state of serious weakness. If Europe should be

thrown into the throes of a general war, in which every nation would

have its own interests to care for, Russia’s opportunity to seize upon

the prize for which she had so long sought was an excellent one, there

being no one in a position to say her nay. To Russia the possession of

Constantinople was like the possession of a new world, and this may

well have been her secret motive in springing without hesitation into

the war. Her long-sought prize hung temptingly within reach of her

hand, the European counterpart of the “Monroe Doctrine” could not now

be evoked to stay her grasp, and it seems highly probable that in this

may have lain the chief cause of Russia’s participation in the war.

FRANCE’S HATRED OF GERMANY

The Republic of France was less hasty than Russia and Germany in

issuing a declaration of war. Yet there, too, the order of mobilization

was quickly issued and French troops were on the march toward the

German border before Germany had taken a similar step. France had not

forgotten her humiliation in 1870. So far was she from forgetting it

that she cherished a vivid recollection of what she had lost and an

equally vivid enmity towards Germany in consequence. Enmity is hardly

the word. Hatred better fits the feeling entertained. And this was kept

vitally alive by the fact that Alsace and Lorraine, two of her former

provinces, still possessing a considerable French population, were now

held as part of the dominions of her enemy. The sore rankled and hope

of retribution lay deep in the heart of the French. Here seemed an

opportunity to achieve this long-cherished purpose, and we may

reasonably believe that the possibility of regaining this lost

territory made France eager to take part in the coming war. She had

been despoiled by Germany, a valued portion of her territory had been

wrested from her grasp, a promising chance of regaining it lay before

her. She had the men; she had the arms; she had a military organization

vastly superior to that of 1870; she had the memory of her former

triumphs over the now allied nations of Austria and Germany; she had

her obligations to aid Russia as a further inducement. The causes of

her taking part in the war are patent, especially in view of the fact

that in a very brief interval after her declaration her troops had

crossed the border and were marching gaily into Alsace, winning battles

and occupying towns as they advanced.

GREAT BRITAIN AND ITALY

We have suggested that in the case alike of Austria, Russia, Germany

and France the hope of gaining valuable acquisitions of territory was

entertained. In the case of France, enmity to Germany was an added

motive, the territory she sought being land of which she had been

formerly despoiled. These purposes of changing the map of Europe did

not apply to or influence Great Britain. That country had no territory

to gain and no great military organization to exercise. She possessed

the most powerful navy of any country in the world, but she was moved

by no desire of showing her strength upon the sea. There was no reason,

so far as any special advantage to herself was concerned, for her

taking part in the war, and her first step was a generous effort to

mediate between the Powers in arms.

Only when Belgium—a small nation that was in a sense under the

guardianship of Great Britain, so far as its nationality and neutrality

were concerned—was invaded by Germany without warning, did Britain feel

it incumbent upon her to come to its aid. This may not have been

entirely an act of benevolence. There was a probability that Germany,

once in control of Belgium, could not readily let go. She might add it

to her empire, a fact likely to seriously affect British sea-power.

However this be, Great Britain lost no time after the invasion in

becoming a party to the continental war, sending her fleet abroad and

enlisting troops for service in the aid of her allies, France and

Belgium.

Italy, a member of the Triple Alliance, the other members of which were

Germany and Austria, was the only one of the great Powers that held

aloof. She had absolutely nothing to gain by taking part in the war,

while her late large expenses in the conquest of Tripoli had seriously

depleted her war chest. As regards her alliance with Germany and

Austria, it put her under no obligation to come to their aid in an

offensive war. Her obligation was restricted to aid in case they were

attacked, and she justly held that no such condition existed. As a

result, Germany and Austria found themselves at war with the three

powerful members of the Triple Entente, while Italy, the third member

of the Triple Alliance, declined to draw the sword.

The defection of Italy was a serious loss to the power of the allies,

so much so that Emperor William threatened her with war if she failed

to fulfil her assumed obligations. This threat Italy quietly ignored.

She gave indications, in fact, that her sympathies were with the

opposite party. Thus Germany and Austria found themselves pitted

against three great Powers and a possible fourth, with the addition of

the two small nations of Servia and Belgium. And the latter were not to

be despised as of negligible importance. Servia quickly showed an

ability to check the forward movements of Austria, while Belgium,

without aid, long held a powerful German army at bay, defending the

city and fortresses of Liege with a boldness and success that called

forth the admiring acclamations of the world.

THE TRIPLE ALLIANCE AND TRIPLE ENTENTE

This review of causes and motives may be supplemented by a brief

statement of what is meant by the Triple Alliance and Triple Entente,

terms which come into common prominence in discussing European

politics. They indicate the division of Europe, so far as its greater

Powers are concerned, into two fully or partially allied bodies, the

former consisting of Germany, Austria and Italy, the latter of Great

Britain, France and Russia. These organizations are of comparatively

recent date. The Alliance began in 1879 in a compact between Germany

and Austria, a Dual Alliance, which was converted into a Triple one in

1883, Italy then, through the influence of Bismarck, joining the

alliance. In this compact Austria and Germany pledged themselves to

mutual assistance if attacked by Russia; Italy and Germany to the same

if attacked by France.

The Triple Entente—or Understanding—arose from a Dual Alliance between

France and Russia, formed in 1887, an informal understanding between

Britain and France in 1904 and a similar understanding between Britain

and Russia in 1907. Its purpose, as formed by Edward VII, was to

balance the Triple Alliance and thus convert Europe into two great

military camps. When organized there seemed little probability of its

being called into activity for many years.

The world war · 第 2 / 20 章