LAWS OF POLITICAL MOTION.

Since the last time I had the honour of addressing you on polemical

matters, I have met with a passage in the writings of M. Auguste Comte

which afforded me much pleasure. It seemed to be the one word for which

I had been waiting, and confirmed many of my own impressions and

speculations. He lays down two propositions: first, that the

constructive politics of the future must be based on the history of the

past; and second, that political science is a composite study, and

presupposes the complete apprehension of every branch of science,

beginning with the physical, such as astronomy, and ending with the

moral, such as ethics and sociology. M. Comte evidently does not regard

as a vain dream and imaginative speculation the theory that it will be

possible for statesmen to calculate a policy, and to determine a course

of action by purely scientific considerations. May I entertain the hope

that in this university, where all branches of physical science have

found a home, and are studied by most able and learned professors, the

science of politics may be pursued under most favourable circumstances?

I trust that each professor will bring before me the results of their

deliberations, and contribute to the growth of this particular science

for which our university has already become deservedly famous.

My present lecture is devoted to the important consideration of _Law_.

At first sight it may appear to you that the wills and passions of

mankind are so diverse and unknowable, that it would be absurd to

suppose that they can be calculated, or rendered amenable to any law.

But Professor Amos has pointed out that in proportion as we examine

history, and compare the actions present and past of different nations

and states, the more uniform does human nature appear; the more

calculable the actions, sentiments, and emotions of large masses of

people. As we have already stated, the difficulties of the study are not

likely to deter the professors of Girtham College from the pursuit of

any particular branch of science.

_A priori_ we might suppose from analogy that these polemical laws

existed, as there is no department of nature which is not governed by

law. It is an essential feature in nature, and also in government. What

is political economy but the study of certain laws of nature? These were

first discovered by Adam Smith, and have since been traced and estimated

by such men as Ricardo, the two Mills, Professor Cairnes, Jevons, and

many others. Moreover, our physical constitutions are governed by laws,

which physicians have determined, and which it is perilous to resist.

Our moral constitution is also governed by laws, which evidently exist,

although it is difficult to find them out. But the nation is only an

assemblage of individuals; and since individuals are so governed, it is

only natural to suppose that the nation, composed of individuals, is so

constituted and controlled. And not only is that true, but we shall see

that polemical laws are as permanent and universal, as invariable and

irreversible, as the laws of nature which regulate the courses of the

heavenly bodies, and raise the tides, or depress the sandstone hills.

We may notice first the preponderant impulse observable in a nation's

life in favour of supporting existing facts and institutions; and every

reformer has discovered the difficulty and danger of changing or

opposing the customs and habits of the people. As a wheel will travel

most smoothly along a well-worn groove, whereby friction is diminished,

so there is a natural national tendency always to run along those paths

with which the habits and customs of the people have made them familiar.

This law is nothing else than Newton's first law of motion, which is

quite as applicable to human masses as to lifeless matter. The tendency

of matter to remain at rest, if unmoved by any external agency, and of

persisting to move after it has once been set in motion, is a

conservative tendency; and is as true in political science as in any

other.

The special branch of our science, which we may call the _Biology of

Politics_, shows how absolute is the domain of law in polemical matters.

The law of human life is that men are born, grow, become strong and

vigorous, and then decay and die. This is the law of life, to which we

must all yield an enforced obedience. This same law is observed to be at

work in the heavenly bodies; and astronomy shows us that planets are

born, flourish, and at length die, just as our human bodies do. The moon

is, as you may have observed, a dead planet, such as our earth may be

some day. The same growth and decay are also manifest in national life.

First, there is the birth of the nation, which sometimes lies a long

time in a dormant state, and then wakes up to life and energy. China and

Russia are examples of dormant States, just waking from a long sleep of

childishness and ignorance. The next stage is the strong an healthy

period of its existence, which England is at present enjoying; and then,

after various stages of gradual decline, we come to the senile period of

national life, when every energy and faculty, every national feeling and

power of invention, are completely exhausted. As an example of this

depressing condition, we may mention Turkey and several of the effete

States of South America. Sometimes, when life is nearly extinct in the

human body, physicians have made use of the power of galvanism, in order

to revive the dying energies. This process of galvanizing a State into

life was tried by Lord Palmerston and others on the worn-out frame of

Turkey. But such attempts can only meet with partial and transitory

success; and where the loss of national power and faculty betokens the

senile period of the nation's existence, it is vain to attempt to

restore its former life and energy. The study of the biology of

politics presents many interesting and important details in this special

branch of knowledge; and I commend this part of our subject to the

special attention of the professor of physiology. The law of development

is observable in nations as in nature. Recent scientific discoveries

have tended to take away all ideas of _chance_ in the workings of

nature, and have substituted _law_ instead of it. It would be

unscientific and incorrect to speak of the world being formed by the

'fortuitous concourse of atoms.' So we cannot speak of a State being

generated in this manner. Laws--economical, geographical,

natural--preside over the formation of States and nations, and produce

their further development.

The laws of political motion occupy the same prominent place in our new

science as Newton's laws do in ordinary dynamics. These are very

important in calculating the positions which various States will occupy

in the future. First, we have the _doctrine of nationality_, which

prevented the progress of Austria into Italy, and of the Bourbons in

Naples, and produced the amalgamation of the small German States in the

great empire of Germany. The second law of political motion is the

doctrine of the _independence_ of all true States, and the equality of

all States to each other. This had its growth in feudalism; and all the

chief wars of modern times have been the result of the efforts of nature

to establish this law of independence. The doctrine of intervention is a

modification of the preceding law, and is applicable when the law of

necessity demands its use, such as the restoration of order after

protracted anarchy, the abolition of slave trade, etc. The third law is

the _law of morality_. Just as for each man there exists a _right_ and a

_wrong_; just as _duty_ and _conscience_ are certain elements in his

daily motion, which dictate his course of action, although he may chose

to neglect them; so a nation is bound by the same moral laws which

govern the individual; and a nation errs if it transgresses them.

Christianity is the agent which has produced so powerful an influence

in making men obey the dictates of conscience and walk in the path of

duty; and I read with thankfulness the conclusion of Mr. Amos, that

Christianity has triumphed quite as much in moralizing secular politics

as it has in the sphere of individual life.

* * * * *

These are some of the principal laws of motion which I have observed at

work in various States and nations. Inasmuch as political science

embraces, in addition to the physical sciences, all those branches which

are contained in ethics, economics, jurisprudence, sociology and others,

the laws of each are generally applicable to the whole grand subject of

which my lectures treat. Other general laws may be deduced, and have

been enumerated in my previous lectures, from the social properties of

curves and conics; and when our researches are complete we may hope to

produce a code of laws for the guidance of our statesmen which maybe of

immense use in determining the policies of the future. Already there is

strong evidence that the affairs of this country are being conducted on

sound scientific principles, rather than by any species of guess-work or

haphazard contrivances. The use of history is recognised as extremely

important in determining a future line of conduct; and statesmen are in

the habit of endeavouring to find from their study of the past what is

the logical sequence of events. Just as mathematicians endeavour to

determine the law of a series of figures, and having found the law, can

write down the next, and the next, _ad infinitum_; so scientific

politicians may be able soon to establish the various laws of a series

of events, and calculate their course of actions. That there is

considerable progress in this direction is manifest by the value which

they place upon statistics, and their continued use of this important

information.

There are a few great evils in our present system which are strongly

opposed to any scientific methods in politics; and in the interests of

the country as well as those of science they ought to be removed. One

great evil is the want of political and scientific knowledge on the part

of the electors, who are in the habit of choosing their representatives

on personal grounds, or party considerations, rather than on sound

principles of political science. All this is opposed to any idea of law.

Owing to the ignorance of the electors they fall an easy prey to

adventurers and unprincipled politicians, who make all kinds of specious

promises, tempt them with all manner of baits, and make self-interest

instead of the welfare of the State the principle of voting. Selfishness

is the ruin of social life and intercourse, the destroyer of all

happiness, peace, and mutual trust in family life or in society. It is

the root of most of the faults, vices, and crimes in the individual; and

who can tell the endless disasters which will befall the State, where

selfishness is the chief motive-power of the electors and the elected? A

selfish statesman, one who goes into Parliament to gain his own ends and

forward his own personal interests, is a disgrace to society--

'Feeling himself, his own low self, the whole,

When he by sacred sympathy might make

The whole one self. Self, that no alien knows!

Self, far diffused as fancy's wing can travel!

Self, spreading still, oblivious of its own,

Yet all of all possessing!'

I have said that the ignorance of the electorate makes them an easy prey

to such men; and until they have learnt to detect the false from the

true, until they become acquainted with the elements of political

science, and have been taught that their own selfish interests are not

the highest aims of social government, it is vain to hope for a

reasonable method of regulating the affairs of the nation, based upon

logical laws and scientific principles.

And how is this work of educating the electors to be accomplished? Not,

I maintain, by furious speeches and rhetorical displays; not by bribery,

baits and banter; but by patient, never-ceasing labour, by lectures on

history and science, by individual instruction, is the great work to be

accomplished upon which the security and stability of the country

depend.

Then we may hope that the 'Reign of Law' in polemical science may be

ushered in with the joyful acclamations of an enlightened and united

people, and its benign influence extend from the throne of the monarch

and the council-chamber of his ministers to the hearth of the cottager.

Politicians will rule by law; policies be calculated by laws; people

vote by law; and then methinks I see in my mind (to use the words of the

blind old poet) a noble and puissant nation rousing herself like a

strong man after sleep, and shaking her invincible locks; methinks I see

her as an eagle, renewing her mighty youth, and kindling her undazzled

eyes at the full mid-day beam; purging and unsealing her long-abused

sight at the fountain itself of heavenly radiance; while the whole noise

of timorous and flocking birds flutter about amazed at what she means.

Such is the glorious vision of the 'Reign of Law.' Let it be the

business of every Englishman and Englishwoman to arrange the framework

of our social and political system, that law may have an uninterrupted

sway; then shall we be a united, prosperous, and contented people, and

the reign of lawless agitators, bribery-mongers, and counterfeit

statesmen will have passed away into the oblivion and obscurity of a

more suitable but less favoured region.

The Romance of Mathematics Being the Original Researches of a Lady Professor of Girtham College in Polemical Science, with some Account of the Social Properties of a Conic; Equations to Brain Waves; Social Forces; and the Laws of Political Motion. · 第 19 / 23 题