This could have happened only through another advance that has been

made in our century, which has first rendered a real seismology, a

scientific knowledge of the seismic conditions of the earth, possible

through the immense development of technics, by which a system of

instrumental observation of earthquakes was established. Only through

this could the acquisitions of recent times be utilized. While

formerly observations were macroscopic and touched only earthquakes

that could be directly felt, they now cover essentially microscopic

tremors of the earth's crust, of less than a thousandth of a

millimetre, that are wholly imperceptible to human senses; and we can

read them, enlarged at our pleasure, on our photographically

registering seismometers. We already had instruments which correctly

indicated the time of the beginning and possibly the direction of a

shock; but we needed and have invented new instruments--various sorts

of horizontal and vertical pendulums--for the observation and

representation of the whole course of the movement. The vertical

indicating instruments are much used in Italy, and the horizontal ones

almost exclusively in England, Japan, and Germany. The horizontal

pendulum was invented in Germany in 1832 by Hengler, adapted to

scientific use by Professor Zöllner, of Leipsic, and afterward applied

in that form by English, German, and other observers. The most

complete shape and the one best adapted to extremely delicate seismic

observations was given to it by the late German astronomer and

geographer Dr. Ernst von Rebeur Paschnitz, of Merseburg. Having

undergone a few small changes, fixed in a threefold combination it

serves as our most sensitive and accurate seismometer. Its movements

and its very exact time markings are photographically represented. The

pendulum box is only forty centimetres in diameter. In consequence of

its convenience and cheapness, its self-action and its serviceability,

it is becoming adopted more and more generally as an international

instrument.

Microseismic investigation and its wide extension over the earth have

raised seismology another step during the last twenty years, so that

it may be said that really exact seismic research began with it.

Modern seismology has confirmed many of the older results, such as the

localization of earthquakes on the shores of the Pacific, the

Mediterranean and in the mountain chains of the earth, and also the

importance of homoseists and the epicenter. It has, on the other hand,

greatly modified the former estimates of the velocity of propagation

of the shocks. It has cast much doubt on speculations as to the

seasons in which earthquakes are more or less frequent; and it has

demonstrated the inadequacy of former methods of determining the

central focus. It has furthermore brought us much that is new. First

is the momentous fact that the earth's crust is never at rest; that it

undergoes a multitude of very diversified movements besides those of

the earthquake. Thus a periodical swelling, a flood wave, is produced

by the attraction of the moon; and other heavings are induced by the

daily and annual course of the sun's heat. But such movements and

other similar ones do not come within the scope of this article.

Real earthquakes, or movements that originate in the depths of the

earth, also appear in very different forms. First are the directly

perceptible shocks, from the powerful ones that create great

disturbances to the merely local ones often hardly remarked. Of the

immediate workings of these shocks, microscopic instruments have

taught us nothing essentially new. But very many macroscopic

movements, often continuing for several hours, but which are not felt,

have been revealed, that have been shown in many instances to be

distant effects of other strong earthquakes; effects which are

sometimes propagated over the whole surface of the earth. There is,

furthermore, another series of movements, only partly explained as

yet, of a peculiar sort: first, small, quickly passing disturbances,

which appear in the photographic reproductions of the curves as larger

or smaller knots, and which are regarded with great probability as

distant effects of minor seismic movements most likely imperceptible

anywhere. They can not be local earthquakes, for they give entirely

different curves. There also appear, with considerable regularity, at

certain seasons of the year, very slow movements of the ground, called

pulsations; and finally the multitude of vibrations called tremors,

which assume various forms. Sometimes they come as forerunners,

accompaniments, or followers in close association with those great

disturbances that originate in distant earthquakes; sometimes as

shocks of minute intensity in separate groups, which it has not yet

been possible to account for; and in other cases they are traced to

the shaking of the ground by the wind. It is hardly necessary to

observe that the seismic apparatus should be most carefully guarded

against disturbance by the movements of trade, wagons, etc., so that

the problem shall not be complicated by them.

The theory of the nature of earthquake shocks, their transmission and

their velocity, has been set in a new light by the labors of Augustus

Smith, of Stuttgart. From some calculations of their velocity made by

G. von Nebeur, it is found that the earthquake of April 17, 1889, in

Tokio, Japan, was perceived in Potsdam, Prussia, nine thousand

kilometres distant, in thirteen minutes; that of October 27, 1894, in

Santiago, Chili, in Rome, eleven thousand five hundred kilometres

distant, in seventeen minutes, and in Charkow, Russia, two thousand

kilometres from Rome, between one and two minutes later. It reached

Tokio at the same time, after a transit of seventeen thousand four

hundred kilometres.

Still another task of modern seismology is the investigation of

earthquakes at sea, or seismic movements of the bottom of the ocean,

and the manner in which they are propagated through the water, of

which a very fine cartographic representation has been published by

Dr. C. Rudolph, of Strasburg.

The question of the origin of earthquakes stands in constant

connection with this external development of seismology. It is

significant and remarkable that the answers to it, though they may be

given differently from different scientific points of view, are always

consistent in one fact, that earthquakes are a phenomenon of the whole

earth. Some of the investigators seek to explain them, aside from

those that occur in volcanic regions, as a part of the great changes

in the earth's crust which have taken place during the last geological

epoch, and are still, perhaps, taking place; others find their seat

and cause in the unstable condition of the interior of the earth,

beneath its solid and red-hot envelope. The former explanation, the

older and heretofore the prevalent one, is called the tectonic theory,

because it is based, leaving out volcanic earthquakes, on the

structure of the earth's crust; the second, which is gaining ground,

and requires no separate explanation for volcanic earthquakes, may be

called, reviving an expression used by L. Fr. Naumann, of Leipsic, the

Plutonic theory, because it goes down into the unexplored depths of

the earth. If seismic manifestations depend upon the action of the

whole earth, a single explanatory principle, as is always the case

with great natural phenomena, is not sufficient, and tectonic as well

as Plutonic earthquakes must be recognized, and the reverse.

The tectonic theory is of geological origin, and properly supplanted

the older Plutonic theory of Humboldt, which was only an unverified

supposition. As a whole it was first worked out by Otto Volger in

1858, after various similar hypotheses had been set forth by other

investigators. He was confirmed by the independent researches of

Rudolf Hoernes, Edouard Suess, and most of the German, French, and

English seismologists.

Their theory supposes that there are large hollow spaces in the crust

of the earth, into which immense falls of material take place, and

that these are the cause of a part of the earthquakes; that the crust

of the earth is often and variously disturbed in consequence of the

constant contraction dependent upon the cooling of the globe. It is

broken up into separate masses which in their turn are dislocated

horizontally or vertically; is lifted up and folded into immense

mountain ranges, the arches of which, breaking, may again suffer

dislocation. Thus continuous action in movement of masses and foldings

is constantly going on in the earth. Edouard Suess, the distinguished

Austrian geologist, has indeed constituted a special earthquake type

to correspond with this type of mountain formation. Since, in

consequence of this condition, tension is present everywhere in the

crust of the earth, it may come to pass that it shall be relieved by a

distant earthquake, and another earthquake, which may be called a

relay or transmission earthquake, be produced thereby. Hence we have,

besides the volcanic, the landfall, the tectonic (in the strict

sense), and the transmission earthquakes. The sources of earthquake

force lie, then, according to this theory, in the incompleteness of

the earth's crust, the effects of gravity, and the earth's loss of

heat.

And is the supposition not very probable? Do we not see similar

processes going on over the whole earth, in the shape of earthquakes,

landslides, fissures, subsidences of land, and the like? And as the

Alps were lifted up, and the plain of the Rhine was depressed between

the Vosges and the Black Forest, may not mightier dislocations,

breaches, and destruction occur? Why may not the processes which took

place in the earlier epochs of the earth's history and were so

powerful in the more recent Tertiary be still going on? All this seems

so plausible that, with a few exceptions, the theory has been almost

universally agreed in.

I briefly mention here Falb's theory, which, accepting the earlier

views, ascribes earthquakes to periodical swellings of the fiery fluid

interior of the earth, only because of the effect it has had on the

public in connection with some wholly unscientific predictions. More

worthy of consideration is the theory of Daubrée, the late

distinguished master of French and especially Alsatian geology, who

did not attribute the similar phenomena of volcanic and nonvolcanic

earthquakes to different causes, but maintained that all earthquakes

were produced by superheated steam issuing from surface waters. But

this theory needs no refutation. There are, however, some serious

objections to the tectonic theory of earthquakes, plausible as it may

seem. In order to weigh them as we ought, we must as briefly as

possible construct a picture of the constitution of the earth's

interior.

The average distance from the earth's surface to its center is

sixty-three hundred and seventy kilometres. The temperature of the

earth increases with the depth, at the rate, on a moderate estimate,

of about one degree centigrade for every forty metres. Hence, at a

depth of one thousand kilometres we would have a temperature of

25,000° C.; even if we call it only 15,000°, we should expect to find

there only gases, and those in a simple state, for with that heat all

the compound gases would be dissociated. The zone of fluidity for all

rocks lies at a depth of about one hundred kilometres, where the

temperature is 2,500° C. While the crust of the earth is between 2.5

and three times as heavy as distilled water at 4° C., its specific

gravity rises toward the center of the earth to more than eleven, or

about fourfold. Iron has a specific gravity of 7.8, or about threefold

that of the crust of the earth; but the specific gravity of the earth

at the greatest depth is considerably higher than this. Hence must

arise an enormous pressure, steadily increasing toward the center,

where, according to the English geophysicist, the Rev. Osmond Fisher,

it reaches about three million atmospheres to the English square inch.

It results from these conditions that with the enormous pressure and

heat, and specific gravity, the interior of the earth consists of

dissociated gases compressed to great rigidity, which exert an immense

counter-pressure--for their tendency is always to expand. They pass

out continuously into a zone of fluid matter, and this again is held

by the pressure of the interior gases in a like compact condition.

Thus a very high pressure still prevails in the lower parts of the

solid crust of the earth, which is so high that even the most solid

rocks there are in a latent plastic condition--that is, they behave

toward different forces like plastic clay, and like it can be deformed

without breaking. Rents, slides, caves, and clefts are out of the

question there; things of that kind can exist only in the upper

strata.

This fact constitutes a very strong objection to the tectonic theory

of earthquakes, and thus the very depths of the earth speak against

it. We have already mentioned that K. von Seebach estimated the depth

of the earthquake focus from the movements of the waves, and found it

not very great. But his estimates, as Prof. August Schmidt has shown,

rest upon physically incorrect premises; according to Schmidt's more

correct calculation, the center of the Charleston earthquake of 1886

lay at a depth of one hundred and twenty kilometres, where there can

be no question of tectonic movements, because general fluidity is

reached at one hundred kilometres. Further, the earthquake at Lisbon,

if the tectonic theory is valid, might, taking the character of the

region into consideration, have been occasioned by a slide. But how

large must the plunging mass, how deep the plunge or slide have been

to produce such shocks as destroyed Lisbon and shook Europe to beyond

Bohemia! Where can we find room in the closely compressed interior of

the earth for such irruptions? Even if such a sudden sinking had left

no trace in the interior, it should have left its marks on the

surface. Mr. John Milne counts up not less than 8,331 considerable

earthquake shocks in Japan between 1885 and 1892; Julius Schmidt,

former director of the observatory in Athens, enumerated three hundred

severe and dangerous and fifty thousand light shocks for Phocis alone

between 1870 and 1873, of which not a trace of land changes or

depressions can be perceived, aside from superficial avalanches (on

Parnassus, for example) and subsidence of meadows and other spongy

soil, like the famous depression of the Molo at Lisbon.

All this speaks so emphatically against the tectonic origin of

earthquakes that it can not be considered as a general cause. Even the

mighty disturbances and shocks of the times when such ranges as the

Alps and Himalayas were lifted up can prove nothing for the present

time; for the conditions, the mechanical work and acting forces, of

the earth were quite different, and the latter much greater and more

acute than in our time, as the number and magnitude of the volcanoes

of those ages show, before which ours are almost as nothing. We have

no adequate comprehension of the way that mechanical work was done. A

depression like that of the plain of the Rhine could certainly not

have taken place without severe earthquakes; but we do not know how

they may have come to pass, for we have nothing analogous to them. The

upper strata of the earth's crust are broken up, fissured, and

cavernous; hence purely local minor earthquakes may undoubtedly be

produced by cavings-in, landslides, and settlings of small extent. But

this explanation, in view of the nature of the crust, is not possible

for strong earthquakes, even in the upper layers, which send their

waves far over the land; their origin must be, almost of necessity, in

the greater deeps beneath the crust, far down where the immense gas

globe of the interior is constantly forcing its way into the fluid

band, and this into the solid stone; in those zones of changing

conditions a mighty movement must be incessantly prevailing. The

pressure upon the gases of the interior diminishes here, and the

excessive temperature as well. This can not take place without

changes. Temperature and pressure now fall, now rise again, but

continue very high through it all. The dissociated gases unite and

separate again, and most violent explosions are infallibly produced

thereby. Water exists in the interior in immense masses, and that not

solely in consequence of percolation from the surface. Vapor at very

high pressure separates into its elements--hydrogen and oxygen--the

reunion of which ensues with violent explosions, similar to our gas

explosions, which must be very numerous in the interior of the earth,

and accompanied with great development of force. The principal effect

of such explosions is, of course, against the cooler and more weakly

resisting sides, and therefore not toward the interior but toward the

crust and the weakest parts of it, toward the rupture lines of the

zones of disturbance, the synclinals. Such attacks, striking the

earth's crust from within, occasion most earthquakes, especially

violent, destructive, deep-seated outbursts like those of Lisbon and

Charleston. The relation of the seismic and the volcanic phenomena is

clearly to be seen.

One series of seismic phenomena remains to be explained--the lighter

undulations, the tremors, and the remarkable irregularity of the

movements of the ground. The indications of the vertical pendulum

apparatus which represent these movements form an inextricable tangle

of lines running over and crossing one another. The late Japanese

professor of seismology, Sekiya, prepared an enlarged model of the

tracings of the seismic movements of a point of the earth's surface,

which has been much copied. It represents an extremely confusing

vibration of the lines.

Now we have to confront a very important fact which adds much to the

difficulty of seismic research. We never feel and observe the

earthquake shocks themselves, never directly in their simplicity or

multiplicity, but only the wave movements that are sent out from them

in the elastic crust of the earth. These, however multifold their

origin, proceed in an immense spherical wave which moves in more or

less numerous repetitions through the earth's interior. It is this

shaking of the earth by the spherical waves that our instruments

represent as earthquakes. We can not include as the earth's crust the

surface of the earth on which we live, and which consists of loose

materials disintegrated by weathering, breaking, and numerous causes,

but the solid crust, often lying at a considerable distance beneath

us, which bears these materials, and from which the spherical waves

emerge. As the waves of the sea, beating upon the coast, are turned,

split up, divided, thrown up, etc., in their surging, so surge, too,

the seismic waves upon the disintegrated surface of shingle, pebbles,

broken rocks, sand, and earth, in clefts and gorges. We thus never

observe the original spherical waves, but only their fragmentary

derivative forms, their resolution into numerous single waves which

come to us diverted into the most various directions. It is thus most

plainly shown that Mallet's effort to determine the center and origin

of the earthquake from the direction of the shock was futile. We can

only draw scientific conclusions respecting the time of beginning, the

duration, and force of the movement. It is thus evident that many of

the tremors (not all, by any means) originate in this division; that a

fixed point of the earth's surface must describe a very complicated

path in so intricate a wave movement; that the division is less marked

on firm ground than on loose; that the former, in consequence of the

more evenly protracted movement, is less dangerous than the latter;

and that multiplied waves interfere, overlay, weaken, or strengthen

one another just as water waves do. Thus are explained the earthquake

bridges or spots which always remain unmoved through repeated

earthquakes, either because they are firmer, or because the progress

of the waves is arrested at them by interference.

The sounds, too, which so frequently accompany earthquakes are

likewise simply results of this division of the waves and their escape

into the air, for we perceive wave motions in the air as sound. The

admirable delicacy of our sense of hearing is here manifested, for

seismic movements are not rarely perceptible, or heard, as air waves,

which we can not perceive as movements of the ground. Earthquake

thunder is caused, like storm thunder, by shocks to the air, of which

we hear the nearest and latest first, and the farthest and earliest

last. The different tone shades of the earthquake sound depend upon

their various sources, as from small, sharp fragments, clinking,

rattling, and humming; from sand and earth, dull rumbling; from trees,

whistling, etc. The echo in ravines not rarely operates to add

strength to them. Earthquake sounds that seem to come out of the air

from above are caused by earthquake waves reaching us by way of trees,

houses, etc.; the different directions and degrees of force which they

seem to indicate in different houses or in different rooms of the same

house are explainable by the different elasticity conditions of the

houses and rooms. But not the most insignificant conclusion can be

drawn from these sounds concerning the nature and causes of

earthquakes. It is important to emphasize this fact, for errors have

often originated in conclusions drawn from such things.--_Translated

for the Popular Science Monthly from the Deutsche Rundschau._

* * * * *

Examples of a race of curiously protectively colored mice

which inhabit the sandy island, the North Bull, in the Bay

of Dublin, were exhibited by Dr. H. Lyster Jameson in the

Zoölogical Section of the British Association. A

considerable percentage of them were distinctly lighter hued

than the ancestral type of house mouse, though every

possible gradation occurred between the typical house mouse

and the palest examples. The speaker regarded the marked

predominance of sand-colored specimens as due to the action

of natural selection. The hawks and owls which frequent the

island, and are the only enemies the mice have to compete

against, most easily capture the darkest examples, or those

that contrast most strongly with the color of the sand. Thus

a protectively colored race is becoming established. The

island came into existence only about a hundred years ago.

Consequently it is possible to fix a time limit within which

the sandy-colored race has been evolved. Its evolution also,

as Professor Poulton observed in his comment on Dr.

Jameson's paper, gives additional evidence to that afforded

by the shore crabs described by Professor Weldon in his

presidential address to the section, that the transmutation

of species is not necessarily so slow as to be

indiscernible.

A SHORT HISTORY OF SCIENTIFIC INSTRUCTION[33]

BY J. NORMAN LOCKYER, K. C. B., F. R. S.

The two addresses by my colleagues, Professors Judd and

Roberts-Austen, have drawn attention to the general history of our

college and the details of one part of our organization. I propose to

deal with another part, the consideration of which is of very great

importance at the present time, for we are in one of those educational

movements which spring up from time to time and mold the progress of

civilization. The question of a teaching university in the largest

city in the world, secondary education, and so-called technical

education are now occupying men's minds.

At the beginning it is imperative that I should call your attention to

the fact that the stern necessities of the human race have been the

origin of all branches of science and learning; that all so-called

educational movements have been based upon the actual requirements of

the time. There has never been an educational movement for learning's

sake; but of course there have always been studies and students apart

from any of those general movements to which I am calling attention;

still we have to come down to the times of Louis Quatorze before the

study of the useless, the _même inutile_, was recognized as a matter

of national concern.

It is perhaps the more necessary to insist upon stern necessity as

being the origin of learning, because it is so difficult for us now to

put ourselves in the place of those early representatives of our race

that had to face the problems of life among conditionings of which

they were profoundly ignorant: when night meant death; when there was

no certainty that the sun would rise on the morrow; when the growth of

a plant from seed was unrecognized; when a yearly return of seasons

might as well be a miracle as a proof of a settled order of phenomena;

when, finally, neither cause nor effect had been traced in the

operations of Nature.

Appletons' Popular Science Monthly, January 1899 Volume LIV, No. 3, January 1899 · 第 8 / 17 段