To know England and watch the shifting currents of its opinion is a

very different matter from knowing the House of Commons. Indeed, the

two kinds of knowledge are in a measure incompatible. Men who enter

Parliament soon begin to forget that it is not, in the last resort,

Parliament that governs, but the people. Absorbed in the daily

contests of their Chamber, they over-estimate the importance of those

contests. They come to think that Parliament is in fact what it is in

theory, a microcosm of the nation, and that opinion inside is sure to

reflect the opinion outside. When they are in a minority they are

depressed; when they are in a majority they fancy that all is well,

forgetting their masters out-of-doors. This tendency is aggravated by

the fact that the English Parliament meets in the capital, where the

rich and luxurious congregate and give their tone to society. The

House of Commons, though many of its members belong to the middle

class by origin, belongs practically to the upper class by sympathy,

and is prone to believe that what it hears every evening at dinners or

receptions is what the country is thinking. A member of the House of

Commons is, therefore, ill-placed for feeling the pulse of the nation,

and in order to do so must know what is being said over the country,

and must frequently visit or communicate with his constituents. If

this difficulty is experienced by an ordinary private member, it is

greater for a minister whose time is filled by official duties, or for

a leader of Opposition, who has to be constantly thinking of his

tactics in the House. In Disraeli's case there was a keenness of

observation and discernment far beyond the common. But he was under

the disadvantages of not being really an Englishman, and of having

never lived among the people.[10] The detachment I have already

referred to tended to weaken his power of judging popular sentiment,

and appraising at their true value the various tendencies that sway

and divide a nation so complex as the English. Early in life he had

formed theories about the relations of the different classes of

English society--nobility, gentry, capitalists, workmen, peasantry,

and the middle classes--theories which were far from containing the

whole truth; and he adhered to them even when the changes of half a

century had made them less true. He had a great aversion, not to say

contempt, for Puritanism, and for the Dissenters among whom it chiefly

holds its ground, and pleased himself with the notion that the

extension of the suffrage which he carried in 1867 had destroyed their

political power. The Conservative victory at the election of 1874

confirmed him in this belief, and made him also think that the working

classes were ready to follow the lead of the rich. He perceived that

the Liberal ministry of 1868-74 had offended certain influential

sections by appearing too demiss or too unenterprising in foreign

affairs, and fancied that the bulk of the nation would be dazzled by a

warlike mien, and an active, even aggressive, foreign policy. Such a

policy was congenial to his own ideas, and to the society that

surrounded him. It was applauded by some largely circulated newspapers

which had previously been unfriendly to the Tory party. Thus he was

more surprised than any other man of similar experience to find the

nation sending up a larger majority against him in 1880 than it had

sent up for him in 1874. This was the most striking instance of his

miscalculation. But he had all through his career an imperfect

comprehension of the English people. Individuals, or even an assembly,

may be understood by dint of close and long-continued observation; but

to understand a whole nation, one must also have sympathy, and this

his circumstances, not less than his character, had denied him.

It was partly the same defect that prevented him from mastering the

general politics of Europe. There is a sense in which no single man

can pretend to understand Europe. Bismarck himself did not. The

problem is too vast, the facts to be known too numerous, the

undercurrents too varying. One can speak only of more or less. If

Europe had been in his time what it was a century before, Disraeli

would have had a far better chance of being fit to become what it was

probably his dearest wish to become--its guide and arbiter. He would

have taken the measure of the princes and ministers with whom he had

to deal, would have seen and adroitly played on their weaknesses. His

novels show how often he had revolved diplomatic situations in his

mind, and reflected on the way of handling them. Foreign diplomatists

are agreed that at the Congress of Berlin he played his part to

admiration, spoke seldom, but spoke always to the point and with

dignity, had a perfect conception of what he meant to secure, and of

the means he must employ to secure it, never haggled over details or

betrayed any eagerness to win support, never wavered in his demands,

even when they seemed to lead straight to war. Dealing with

individuals, who represented material forces which he had gauged, he

was perfectly at home, and deserved the praise he obtained from

Bismarck, who, comparing him with other eminent figures at the

Congress, is reported to have said, bluntly but heartily, "Der alte

Jude, das ist der Mann."[11] But to know what the condition of

South-Eastern Europe really was, and understand how best to settle its

troubles, was a far more difficult task, and Disraeli possessed

neither the knowledge nor the insight required. In the Europe of

to-day, peoples count for more than the wills of individual rulers:

one must comprehend the passions and sympathies of peoples if one is

to forecast the future. This he seldom cared to do. He did not realise

the part and the power of moral forces. Down to the outbreak of the

American Civil War he maintained that the question between the North

and the South was mainly a fiscal question between the Protectionist

interests of the one and the Free Trade interests of the other. He

always treated with contempt the national movement in Italy. He made

no secret in the days before 1859 of his good-will to Austria and of

his liking for Louis Napoleon--a man inferior to him in ability and in

courage, but to whose character his own had some affinities. In that

elaborate study of Sir Robert Peel's character,[12] which is one of

Disraeli's best literary performances, he observes that Peel "was

destitute of imagination, and wanting imagination he wanted

prescience." True it is that imagination is necessary for prescience,

but imagination is not enough to give prescience. It may even be a

snare.

Disraeli's imagination, his fondness for theories, and disposition

rather to cling to them than to study and interpret facts, made him

the victim of his own preconceived ideas, as his indolence deterred

him from following the march of change and noting how different things

were in the 'seventies from what they had been in the 'thirties. Mr.

Gladstone said to me in 1876, "Disraeli's two leading ideas in foreign

policy have always been the maintenance of the temporal power of the

Pope, and the maintenance of the power of the Sultan." Unable to save

the one, he clung to the hope of saving the other. He was possessed by

the notion, seductive to a dreamy mind, that all the disturbances of

Europe arose from the action of secret societies; and when the Eastern

Question was in 1875 re-opened by the insurrection in Herzegovina,

followed by the war of Servia against the Turks, he explained the

event in a famous speech by saying, "The secret societies of Europe

have declared war against Turkey"--the fact being that the societies

which in Russia were promoting the Servian war were public societies,

openly collecting subscriptions, while those secret "social

democratic" societies of which we have since heard so much were

strongly opposed to the interference of Russia, and those other secret

societies in the rest of Europe, wherein Poles and Italians have

played a leading part, were, if not hostile, at any rate quite

indifferent to the movement among the Eastern Christians.

Against these errors there must be set several cases in which he

showed profound discernment. In 1843 and 1844 he delivered, in debates

on the condition of Ireland, speeches which then constituted and long

remained the most penetrating and concise diagnosis of the troubles of

that country ever addressed to Parliament. Ireland has, he said, a

starving peasantry, an alien church, and an absentee aristocracy, and

he went on to add that the function of statesmanship was to cure by

peaceful and constitutional methods ills which in other countries had

usually induced, and been removed by, revolution. During the American

Civil War of 1861-65, Disraeli was the only leading statesman on his

own side of politics who did not embrace and applaud the cause of the

South. Whether this arose from a caution that would not commit itself

where it recognised ignorance, or from a perception of the superior

strength of the Northern States (a perception which whoever visits the

South even to-day is astonished that so few people in Europe should

have had), it is not easy to decide; but whatever the cause, the fact

is an evidence of his prudence or sagacity all the more weighty

because Lord Palmerston, Lord Russell, and Mr. Gladstone, as well as

Lord Derby and Sir Hugh Cairns, had each of them expressed more or

less sympathy with, or belief in, the success of the Southern cause.

The most striking instance, however, of Disraeli's insight was his

perception that an extension of the suffrage would not necessarily

injure, and might end by strengthening, the Tory party. The Act of

1867 was described at the time as "a leap in the dark." But

Disraeli's eyes had pierced the darkness. For half a century

politicians had assumed that the masses of the people were and would

remain under the Liberal banner. Even as late as 1872 it was thought

on Liberal platforms a good joke to say of some opinion that it might

do for Conservative working men, if there were any. Disraeli had, long

before 1867, seen deeper, and though his youthful fancies that the

monarchy might be revived as an effective force, and that "the

peasantry" would follow with mediaeval reverence the lead of the landed

gentry, proved illusory, he was right in discerning that wealth and

social influence would in parliamentary elections count for more among

the masses than the traditions of constitutional Whiggism or the

dogmas of abstract Radicalism.

In estimating his statesmanship as a whole, one must give due weight

to the fact that it impressed many publicists abroad. No English

minister had for a long time past so fascinated observers in Germany

and Austria. Supposing that under the long reign of Liberalism

Englishmen had ceased to care for foreign politics, they looked on him

as the man who had given back to Britain her old European position,

and attributed to him a breadth of design, a grasp and a foresight

such as men had revered in Lord Chatham, greatest in the short list of

ministers who have raised the fame of England abroad. I remember

seeing in a Conservative club, about 1880, a large photograph of Lord

Beaconsfield, wearing the well-known look of mysterious fixity, under

which is inscribed the line of Homer: "He alone is wise: the rest are

fleeting shadows."[13] It was a happy idea to go for a motto to the

favourite poet of his rival, as it was an unhappy chance to associate

the wisdom ascribed to Disraeli with his policy in the Turkish East

and in Afghanistan, a policy now universally admitted to have been

unwise and unfortunate.[14] But whatever may be thought of the

appropriateness of the motto, the fact remains that this was the

belief he succeeded in inspiring. He did it by virtue of those very

gifts which sometimes brought him into trouble--his taste for large

and imposing theories, his power of clothing them in vague and solemn

language, his persistent faith in them. He came, by long posing, to

impose upon himself and to believe in his own profundity. Few people

could judge whether his ideas of imperial policy were sound and

feasible; but every one saw that he had theories, and many fell under

the spell which a grandiose imagination can exercise. It is chiefly

this gift, coupled with his indomitable tenacity, which lifts him out

of the line of mere party leaders. If he failed to see how much the

English are sometimes moved by compassion, he did see that it may be

worth while to play to their imagination.

We may now ask again the question asked at first: How did a man,

whatever his natural gifts, who was weighted in his course by such

disadvantages as Disraeli's, by his Jewish origin, by the escapades of

his early career, by the want of confidence which his habitual

cynicism inspired, by the visionary nature of so many of his

views,--how did he, in a conservative and aristocratic country like

England, triumph over so many prejudices and enmities, and raise

himself to be the head of the Conservative and aristocratic party, the

trusted counsellor of the Crown, the ruler, almost the dictator, of a

free people?

However high be the estimate formed of Disraeli's gifts, secondary

causes must have been at work to enable him to overcome the obstacles

that blocked his path. The ancients were not wrong in ascribing to

Fortune a great share in human affairs. Now, among the secondary

causes of success, that "general minister and leader set over worldly

splendours," as Dante calls her,[15] played no insignificant part. One

of these causes lay in the nature of the party to which he belonged.

The Tory party of the years between 1848 and 1865 contained a

comparatively small number of able men. When J. S. Mill once called it

the stupid party, it did not repudiate the name, but pointed to its

cohesion and its resolution as showing how many things besides mere

talent go to make political greatness. A man of shining gifts had

within its ranks few competitors; and this was signally the case

immediately after Peel's defection. That statesman had carried off

with him the intellectual flower of the Conservatives. Those who were

left behind to form the Protectionist Opposition in the House of

Commons were broad-acred squires, of solid character but slender

capacity. Through this heavy atmosphere Mr. Disraeli rose like a

balloon. Being practically the only member of his party in the Commons

with either strategical or debating power, he became indispensable,

and soon established a supremacy which years of patient labour might

not have given him in a rivalry with the distinguished band who

surrounded Peel. During the twenty years that followed the great Tory

schism of 1846 no man arose in the Tory ranks capable of disputing his

throne. The conspiracies hatched against him might well have prospered

could a candidate for the leadership have been found capable of

crossing swords with the chieftain in possession. Fortune, true to her

nursling, suffered none such to appear.

Another favouring influence not understood outside England was to be

found in the character of the party he led. In his day the Tories,

being the party of the property-holders, and having not to advance but

to stand still, not to propose changes but to resist them, having

bonds of interest as well as of sentiment to draw them close together,

possessed a cohesion, a loyalty to their chiefs, a tenacious corporate

spirit, far exceeding what was to be found among their adversaries,

who were usually divided into a moderate or Whig and an advanced or

Radical section. He who established himself as the Tory leader was

presently followed by the rank and file with a devotion, an

unquestioning submission and confidence, which placed his character

and doctrines under the aegis of the party, and enforced loyalty upon

parliamentary malcontents. This corporate spirit was of infinite value

to Disraeli. The historical past of the great Tory party, its

associations, the social consideration which it enjoys, all went to

ennoble his position and efface the remembrance of the less creditable

parts of his career. And in the later days of his reign, when no one

disputed his supremacy, every Tory was, as a matter of course, his

advocate and admirer, and resented assaults on him as insults to the

party. When a man excites hatred by his words or deeds, attacks on his

character are an inevitable relief to overcharged feelings.

Technically regarded, they are not good politics. Misrepresentation

sometimes succeeds; vituperation seldom. Let a man be personally

untrustworthy or dangerous, still, it is only his own words that

damage him, at least in England and America. Even his own words,

however discrediting, even his acts, however culpable, may, if they

belong to a past unfamiliar to the voter of to-day, tell little,

perhaps too little, on the voter's mind when they are brought up

against him. The average citizen has a short memory, and thinks that

the dead may be allowed to bury their dead.

Let it be further noted that Disraeli's career coincided with a

significant change in English politics, a change partly in the temper

of the nation, partly in the balance of voting power. For thirty years

after the Reform Act of 1832, not only had the middle classes

constituted the majority of the electors, but the social influence of

the great Whig families and the intellectual influence of the economic

school of Cobden had been potent factors. These forces were, in the

later part of Disraeli's life, tending to decline. The working-class

vote was vastly increased in 1867. The old Whig light gradually paled,

and many of the Whig magnates, obeying class sympathies rather than

party traditions, drifted slowly into Toryism. A generation arose

which had not seen the Free Trade struggle, or had forgotten the Free

Trade arguments, and which was attracted by ideals other than those

which Cobden had preached. The grievances which had made men

reformers had been largely removed. The battle of liberty and

nationality in Continental Europe had been in the main won, and

Englishmen had lost the enthusiasm for freedom which had fired them in

the days when the memory of their own struggle against the Crown and

the oligarchy was still fresh. With none of these changes had

Disraeli's personal action much to do, but they all enured to the

benefit of his party, they all swelled the tide which bore him into

office in 1874.

Finally, he had the great advantage of living long. Many a statesman

has died at fifty, and passed from the world's memory, who might have

become a figure in history with twenty years more of life. Had

Disraeli's career closed in 1854, he would have been remembered as a

parliamentary gladiator, who had produced a few incisive speeches, a

crude Budget, and some brilliant social and political sketches. The

stronger parts of his character might have remained unknown. True it

is that a man must have greatness in order to stand the test of long

life. Some are found out, like Louis Napoleon. Some lose their balance

and therewith their influence, like Lord Brougham. Some cease to grow

or learn, and if a statesman is not better at sixty than he was at

thirty, he is worse. Some jog heavily on, like Metternich, or stiffen

into arbitrary doctrinaires, like Guizot. Disraeli did not merely

stand the test, he gained immensely by it. He gained by rising into a

position where his strength could show itself. He gained also by so

impressing his individuality upon people as to make them accept it as

an ultimate fact, till at length they came, not so much to blame him

for what he did in accord with his established reputation, as rather

to relish and enter into the humour of his character. As they

unconsciously took to judging him by a standard different from that

which they applied to ordinary Englishmen, they hardly complained of

deflections from veracity which would have seemed grave in other

persons. He had given notice that he was not like other men, that his

words must not be taken in their natural sense, that he was to be

regarded as the skilful player of a great game, the consummate actor

in a great part. And, once more, he gained by the many years during

which he had opportunities of displaying his fortitude, patience,

constancy under defeat, unwavering self-confidence--gifts rarer than

mere intellectual power, gifts that deserve the influence they bestow.

Nothing so fascinates mankind as to see a man equal to every fortune,

unshaken by reverses, indifferent to personal abuse, maintaining a

long combat against apparently hopeless odds with the sharpest weapons

and a smiling face. His followers fancy he must have hidden resources

of wisdom as well as of courage. When some of his predictions come

true, and the turning tide of popular feeling begins to bear them

toward power, they believe that he has been all along right and the

rest of the world wrong. When victory at last settles on his crest,

even his enemies can hardly help applauding a reward which seems so

amply earned. It was by this quality, more perhaps than by anything

else, by this serene surface with fathomless depths below, that he

laid his spell upon the imagination of observers in Continental

Europe, and received at his death a sort of canonisation from a large

section of the English people.

What will posterity think of him, and by what will he be remembered?

The glamour has already passed away, and to few of those who on the

19th of April deck his statue with flowers is he more than a name.

Parliamentary fame is fleeting: the memory of parliamentary conflicts

soon grows dim and dull. Posterity fixes a man's place in history by

asking not how many tongues buzzed about him in his lifetime, but how

great a factor he was in the changes of the world, that is, how far

different things would have been twenty or fifty years after his death

if he had never lived. Tried by this standard, the results upon the

course of events of Disraeli's personal action are not numerous,

though some of them may be deemed momentous. He was an adroit

parliamentary tactician who held his followers together through a

difficult time. By helping to keep the Peelites from rejoining their

old party, he gave that party a colour different from the sober hues

which it had worn during the leadership of Peel. He became the founder

of what has in later days been called Tory democracy, winning over a

large section of the humbler classes to the banner under which the

majority of the wealthy and the holders of vested interests already

stood arrayed. He saved for the Turkish Empire a part of its

territories, yet in doing so merely prolonged for a little the death

agony of Turkish power. Though it cannot be said that he conferred any

benefit on India or the Colonies, he certainly stimulated the imperial

instincts of Englishmen. He had occasional flashes of insight, as when

in 1843 he perceived exactly what Ireland needed, and at least one

brilliant flash of foresight when he predicted that a wide extension

of the suffrage would bring no evil to the Tory party. Yet in the case

of Ireland he did nothing, when the chance came to him, to give effect

to the judgment which he had formed, while in the case of the suffrage

he did but follow up and carry into effect an impulse given by others.

The Franchise Act of 1867 is perhaps the only part of his policy which

has, by hastening a change that induced other changes, permanently

affected the course of events; and it remains the chief monument of

his parliamentary skill. There was nothing in his career to set the

example of a lofty soul or a noble purpose. He did not raise, he may

even have lowered, the tone of English public life.

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