A. E. SILLIMAN TO TILDEN

"Please do not trouble yourself to read until at entire leisure.

"56 CLINTON ST., BROOKLYN, _Feb. 14, '76_.

"MY DEAR SIR,--I am indebted to some kind friend for a copy

of your Message for 1876 (secluded among my books, I do not know

whom); but recollecting your conversations with Mr. Bennett and

myself some years since at Delmonico's, I am fain to believe that I

am one of a number to whom you may have directed it to be sent; but

in the uncertainty deem it more decorous to address you _personally_

in my recognition of the favor. I read the Message at the time of

its appearance with much interest, and was particularly struck

with the strong clearness and distinctness of that portion of it

pertaining to financial affairs, which perhaps is the 'part of the

schooner' I am (or rather ought to be) more particularly conversant

with. We are much indebted to Mr. Chase for the present state of

things--his refusal to recognize the banks as government depositors,

and have a clearing-house for the daily settlement of its debt,

with _enormous_ resulting economy of its _physical_ features (for

instance, the issue of legal-tender notes under such circumstances

need not have exceeded one hundred million)--but mainly for

setting loose under his national bank system a thousand _new_

inflating-machines, called banks, practically unmuzzling the old

banks which he cowed in under its flag. Admitting other causes, in

my opinion it is mainly[1] the bank inflation which has caused the

state of things _culminating_ in 1873; and which crisis, opening the

eyes of the community to its truths on the one side, shows them the

terrors of contraction on the other, and the natural apprehension

of a sudden contraction to a specie basis produces thus, of course,

almost paralysis in all business movement beyond the _immediate_

present. I do not think that the plan for _arbitrary_ resumption in

1879 will be attended with happy effect. 'There is no royal road

to learning,' and assuredly none to specie resumption. We have

slid down the hill with intense velocity; we have got _slowly_ to

trudge up the hill again through the snow if we would have another

slide. I think that if ten years ago we had commenced destroying

the legal tender at the rate of 5 per cent. per annum we would have

avoided _1873_, and have been paying specie now; and I think if we

commence[2] now in that ratio we shall in ten years arrive at the

desired result, relieving the business community from the bugbear

of rapid contraction. The destruction of _20_ million legal-tender

would carry with it _80_ million bank credit--say, an annual

contraction of _100_ million. This, if the country is let alone,

with a decent attention to the economy you suggest, it could have

from the increasing receipts of its industry. In _1873_, as a matter

of _curiosity_, I examined into the statistics of finance for the

periods stated, and it is from them I draw my conclusions above

expressed. I annex a copy, as perhaps your experienced eye will

take in at a glance the gravity of the record. Now, my dear sir, I

hope you will excuse my troubling you with this long note, and not

trouble yourself to answer it. With hopes that you may be blessed in

health, and remain long as the head of your State, I am

"Very truly your friend and servant,

"A. E. SILLIMAN.

[1] The cost of the war being practically packed away in loans.

[2] "In my opinion, any other than a _very slow_ contraction of the

excess of credit issue will be followed by a general dislocation of

existing contracts. They are essentially 'nine-pins,' and if you

knock over a few they will most likely bring down all the rest."

Letters and Literary Memorials of Samuel J. Tilden, v. 2 · 第 7 / 295 题