Chapter X.

Of The Inverse Deductive, Or Historical, Method.

§ 1. There are two kinds of sociological inquiry. In the first kind, the

question proposed is, what effect will follow from a given cause, a

certain general condition of social circumstances being presupposed. As,

for example, what would be the effect of imposing or of repealing corn

laws, of abolishing monarchy or introducing universal suffrage, in the

present condition of society and civilization in any European country, or

under any other given supposition with regard to the circumstances of

society in general, without reference to the changes which might take

place, or which may already be in progress, in those circumstances. But

there is also a second inquiry, namely, what are the laws which determine

those general circumstances themselves. In this last the question is, not

what will be the effect of a given cause in a certain state of society,

but what are the causes which produce, and the phenomena which

characterize, states of society generally. In the solution of this

question consists the general Science of Society; by which the conclusions

of the other and more special kind of inquiry must be limited and

controlled.

§ 2. In order to conceive correctly the scope of this general science, and

distinguish it from the subordinate departments of sociological

speculation, it is necessary to fix the ideas attached to the phrase, “A

State of Society.” What is called a state of society, is the simultaneous

state of all the greater social facts or phenomena. Such are: the degree

of knowledge, and of intellectual and moral culture, existing in the

community, and in every class of it; the state of industry, of wealth and

its distribution; the habitual occupations of the community; their

division into classes, and the relations of those classes to one another;

the common beliefs which they entertain on all the subjects most important

to mankind, and the degree of assurance with which those beliefs are held;

their tastes, and the character and degree of their æsthetic development;

their form of government, and the more important of their laws and

customs. The condition of all these things, and of many more which will

readily suggest themselves, constitute the state of society, or the state

of civilization, at any given time.

When states of society, and the causes which produce them, are spoken of

as a subject of science, it is implied that there exists a natural

correlation among these different elements; that not every variety of

combination of these general social facts is possible, but only certain

combinations; that, in short, there exist Uniformities of Co-existence

between the states of the various social phenomena. And such is the truth;

as is indeed a necessary consequence of the influence exercised by every

one of those phenomena over every other. It is a fact implied in the

_consensus_ of the various parts of the social body.

States of society are like different constitutions or different ages in

the physical frame; they are conditions not of one or a few organs or

functions, but of the whole organism. Accordingly, the information which

we possess respecting past ages, and respecting the various states of

society now existing in different regions of the earth, does, when duly

analyzed, exhibit uniformities. It is found that when one of the features

of society is in a particular state, a state of many other features, more

or less precisely determinate, always or usually co-exists with it.

But the uniformities of co-existence obtaining among phenomena which are

effects of causes, must (as we have so often observed) be corollaries from

the laws of causation by which these phenomena are really determined. The

mutual correlation between the different elements of each state of

society, is, therefore, a derivative law, resulting from the laws which

regulate the succession between one state of society and another; for the

proximate cause of every state of society is the state of society

immediately preceding it. The fundamental problem, therefore, of the

social science, is to find the laws according to which any state of

society produces the state which succeeds it and takes its place. This

opens the great and vexed question of the progressiveness of man and

society; an idea involved in every just conception of social phenomena as

the subject of a science.

§ 3. It is one of the characters, not absolutely peculiar to the sciences

of human nature and society, but belonging to them in a peculiar degree,

to be conversant with a subject-matter whose properties are changeable. I

do not mean changeable from day to day, but from age to age; so that not

only the qualities of individuals vary, but those of the majority are not

the same in one age as in another.

The principal cause of this peculiarity is the extensive and constant

reaction of the effects upon their causes. The circumstances in which

mankind are placed, operating according to their own laws and to the laws

of human nature, form the characters of the human beings; but the human

beings, in their turn, mould and shape the circumstances for themselves

and for those who come after them. From this reciprocal action there must

necessarily result either a cycle or a progress. In astronomy also, every

fact is at once effect and cause; the successive positions of the various

heavenly bodies produce changes both in the direction and in the intensity

of the forces by which those positions are determined. But in the case of

the solar system, these mutual actions bring around again, after a certain

number of changes, the former state of circumstances; which, of course,

leads to the perpetual recurrence of the same series in an unvarying

order. Those bodies, in short, revolve in orbits: but there are (or,

conformably to the laws of astronomy, there might be) others which,

instead of an orbit, describe a trajectory—a course not returning into

itself. One or other of these must be the type to which human affairs must

conform.

One of the thinkers who earliest conceived the succession of historical

events as subject to fixed laws, and endeavored to discover these laws by

an analytical survey of history, Vico, the celebrated author of the

_Scienza Nuova_, adopted the former of these opinions. He conceived the

phenomena of human society as revolving in an orbit; as going through

periodically the same series of changes. Though there were not wanting

circumstances tending to give some plausibility to this view, it would not

bear a close scrutiny: and those who have succeeded Vico in this kind of

speculations have universally adopted the idea of a trajectory or

progress, in lieu of an orbit or cycle.

The words Progress and Progressiveness are not here to be understood as

synonymous with improvement and tendency to improvement. It is conceivable

that the laws of human nature might determine, and even necessitate, a

certain series of changes in man and society, which might not in every

case, or which might not on the whole, be improvements. It is my belief,

indeed, that the general tendency is, and will continue to be, saving

occasional and temporary exceptions, one of improvement; a tendency toward

a better and happier state. This, however, is not a question of the method

of the social science, but a theorem of the science itself. For our

purpose it is sufficient that there is a progressive change both in the

character of the human race and in their outward circumstances, so far as

moulded by themselves; that in each successive age the principal phenomena

of society are different from what they were in the age preceding, and

still more different from any previous age: the periods which most

distinctly mark these successive changes being intervals of one

generation, during which a new set of human beings have been educated,

have grown up from childhood, and taken possession of society.

The progressiveness of the human race is the foundation on which a method

of philosophizing in the social science has been of late years erected,

far superior to either of the two modes which had previously been

prevalent, the chemical or experimental, and the geometrical modes. This

method, which is now generally adopted by the most advanced thinkers on

the Continent, consists in attempting, by a study and analysis of the

general facts of history, to discover (what these philosophers term) the

law of progress: which law, once ascertained, must according to them

enable us to predict future events, just as after a few terms of an

infinite series in algebra we are able to detect the principle, of

regularity in their formation, and to predict the rest of the series to

any number of terms we please. The principal aim of historical speculation

in France, of late years, has been to ascertain this law. But while I

gladly acknowledge the great services which have been rendered to

historical knowledge by this school, I can not but deem them to be mostly

chargeable with a fundamental misconception of the true method of social

philosophy. The misconception consists in supposing that the order of

succession which we may be able to trace among the different states of

society and civilization which history presents to us, even if that order

were more rigidly uniform than it has yet been proved to be, could ever

amount to a law of nature. It can only be an empirical law. The succession

of states of the human mind and of human society can not have an

independent law of its own; it must depend on the psychological and

ethological laws which govern the action of circumstances on men and of

men on circumstances. It is conceivable that those laws might be such, and

the general circumstances of the human race such, as to determine the

successive transformations of man and society to one given and unvarying

order. But even if the case were so, it can not be the ultimate aim of

science to discover an empirical law. Until that law could be connected

with the psychological and ethological laws on which it must depend, and,

by the consilience of deduction _a priori_ with historical evidence, could

be converted from an empirical law into a scientific one, it could not be

relied on for the prediction of future events, beyond, at most, strictly

adjacent cases. M. Comte alone, among the new historical school, has seen

the necessity of thus connecting all our generalizations from history with

the laws of human nature.

§ 4. But, while it is an imperative rule never to introduce any

generalization from history into the social science unless sufficient

grounds can be pointed out for it in human nature, I do not think any one

will contend that it would have been possible, setting out from the

principles of human nature and from the general circumstances of the

position of our species, to determine _a priori_ the order in which human

development must take place, and to predict, consequently, the general

facts of history up to the present time. After the first few terms of the

series, the influence exercised, over each generation by the generations

which preceded it, becomes, (as is well observed by the writer last

referred to) more and more preponderant over all other influences; until

at length what we now are and do, is in a very small degree the result of

the universal circumstances of the human race, or even of our own

circumstances acting through the original qualities of our species, but

mainly of the qualities produced in us by the whole previous history of

humanity. So long a series of actions and reactions between Circumstances

and Man, each successive term being composed of an ever greater number and

variety of parts, could not possibly be computed by human faculties from

the elementary laws which produce it. The mere length of the series would

be a sufficient obstacle, since a slight error in any one of the terms

would augment in rapid progression at every subsequent step.

If, therefore, the series of the effects themselves did not, when examined

as a whole, manifest any regularity, we should in vain attempt to

construct a general science of society. We must in that case have

contented ourselves with that subordinate order of sociological

speculation formerly noticed, namely, with endeavoring to ascertain what

would be the effect of the introduction of any new cause, in a state of

society supposed to be fixed—a knowledge sufficient for the more common

exigencies of daily political practice, but liable to fail in all cases in

which the progressive movement of society is one of the influencing

elements; and therefore more precarious in proportion as the case is more

important. But since both the natural varieties of mankind, and the

original diversities of local circumstances, are much less considerable

than the points of agreement, there will naturally be a certain degree of

uniformity in the progressive development of the species and of its works.

And this uniformity tends to become greater, not less, as society

advances; since the evolution of each people, which is at first determined

exclusively by the nature and circumstances of that people, is gradually

brought under the influence (which becomes stronger as civilization

advances) of the other nations of the earth, and of the circumstances by

which they have been influenced. History accordingly does, when

judiciously examined, afford Empirical Laws of Society. And the problem of

general sociology is to ascertain these, and connect them with the laws of

human nature, by deductions showing that such were the derivative laws

naturally to be expected as the consequences of those ultimate ones.

It is, indeed, hardly ever possible, even after history has suggested the

derivative law, to demonstrate _a priori_ that such was the only order of

succession or of co-existence in which the effects could, consistently

with the laws of human nature, have been produced. We can at most make out

that there were strong _a priori_ reasons for expecting it, and that no

other order of succession or co-existence would have been so likely to

result from the nature of man and the general circumstances of his

position. Often we can not do even this; we can not even show that what

did take place was probable _a priori_, but only that it was possible.

This, however—which, in the Inverse Deductive Method that we are now

characterizing, is a real process of verification—is as indispensable, as

verification by specific experience has been shown to be, where the

conclusion is originally obtained by the direct way of deduction. The

empirical laws must be the result of but a few instances, since few

nations have ever attained at all, and still fewer by their own

independent development, a high stage of social progress. If, therefore,

even one or two of these few instances be insufficiently known, or

imperfectly analyzed into their elements, and therefore not adequately

compared with other instances, nothing is more probable than that a wrong

empirical law will emerge instead of the right one. Accordingly, the most

erroneous generalizations are continually made from the course of history;

not only in this country, where history can not yet be said to be at all

cultivated as a science, but in other countries where it is so cultivated,

and by persons well versed in it. The only check or corrective is,

constant verification by psychological and ethological laws. We may add to

this, that no one but a person competently skilled in those laws is

capable of preparing the materials for historical generalization, by

analyzing the facts of history, or even by observing the social phenomena

of his own time. No other will be aware of the comparative importance of

different facts, nor consequently know what facts to look for, or to

observe; still less will he be capable of estimating the evidence of facts

which, as is the case with most, can not be ascertained by direct

observation or learned from testimony, but must be inferred from marks.

§ 5. The Empirical Laws of Society are of two kinds; some are uniformities

of co-existence, some of succession. According as the science is occupied

in ascertaining and verifying the former sort of uniformities or the

latter, M. Comte gives it the title of Social Statics, or of Social

Dynamics; conformably to the distinction in mechanics between the

conditions of equilibrium and those of movement; or in biology, between

the laws of organization and those of life. The first branch of the

science ascertains the conditions of stability in the social union; the

second, the laws of progress. Social Dynamics is the theory of Society

considered in a state of progressive movement; while Social Statics is the

theory of the _consensus_ already spoken of as existing among the

different parts of the social organism; in other words, the theory of the

mutual actions and reactions of contemporaneous social phenomena;

making(279) provisionally, as far as possible, abstraction, for scientific

purposes, of the fundamental movement which is at all times gradually

modifying the whole of them.

“In this first point of view, the provisions of sociology will enable us

to infer one from another (subject to ulterior verification by direct

observation) the various characteristic marks of each distinct mode of

social existence, in a manner essentially analogous to what is now

habitually practiced in the anatomy of the physical body. This preliminary

aspect, therefore, of political science, of necessity supposes that

(contrary to the existing habits of philosophers) each of the numerous

elements of the social state, ceasing to be looked at independently and

absolutely, shall be always and exclusively considered relatively to all

the other elements, with the whole of which it is united by mutual

interdependence. It would be superfluous to insist here upon the great and

constant utility of this branch of sociological speculation. It is, in the

first place, the indispensable basis of the theory of social progress. It

may, moreover, be employed, immediately, and of itself, to supply the

place, provisionally at least, of direct observation, which in many cases

is not always practicable for some of the elements of society, the real

condition of which may, however, be sufficiently judged of by means of the

relations which connect them with others previously known. The history of

the sciences may give us some notion of the habitual importance of this

auxiliary resource, by reminding us, for example, how the vulgar errors of

mere erudition concerning the pretended acquirements of the ancient

Egyptians in the higher astronomy were irrevocably dissipated (even before

sentence had been passed on them by a sounder erudition) from the single

consideration of the inevitable connection between the general state of

astronomy and that of abstract geometry, then evidently in its infancy. It

would be easy to cite a multitude of analogous cases, the character of

which could admit of no dispute. In order to avoid exaggeration, however,

it should be remarked, that these necessary relations among the different

aspects of society can not, from their very nature, be so simple and

precise that the results observed could only have arisen from some one

mode of mutual co-ordination. Such a notion, already too narrow in the

science of life, would be completely at variance with the still more

complex nature of sociological speculations. But the exact estimation of

these limits of variation, both in the healthy and in the morbid state,

constitutes, at least as much as in the anatomy of the natural body, an

indispensable complement to every theory of Sociological Statics; without

which the indirect exploration above spoken of would often lead into

error.

“This is not the place for methodically demonstrating the existence of a

necessary relation among all the possible aspects of the same social

organism; a point on which, in principle at least, there is now little

difference of opinion among sound thinkers. From whichever of the social

elements we choose to set out, we may easily recognize that it has always

a connection, more or less immediate, with all the other elements, even

with those which at first sight appear the most independent of it. The

dynamical consideration of the progressive development of civilized

humanity, affords, no doubt, a still more efficacious means of effecting

this interesting verification of the _consensus_ of the social phenomena,

by displaying the manner in which every change in any one part, operates

immediately, or very speedily, upon all the rest. But this indication may

be preceded, or at all events followed, by a confirmation of a purely

statical kind; for, in politics as in mechanics, the communication of

motion from one object to another proves a connection between them.

Without descending to the minute interdependence of the different branches

of any one science or art, is it not evident that among the different

sciences, as well as among most of the arts, there exists such a

connection, that if the state of any one well-marked division of them is

sufficiently known to us, we can with real scientific assurance infer,

from their necessary correlation, the contemporaneous state of every one

of the others? By a further extension of this consideration, we may

conceive the necessary relation which exists between the condition of the

sciences in general and that of the arts in general, except that the

mutual dependence is less intense in proportion as it is more indirect.

The same is the case, when, instead of considering the aggregate of the

social phenomena in some one people, we examine it simultaneously in

different contemporaneous nations; between which the perpetual reciprocity

of influence, especially in modern times, can not be contested, though the

_consensus_ must in this case be ordinarily of a less decided character,

and must decrease gradually with the affinity of the cases and the

multiplicity of the points of contact, so as at last, in some cases, to

disappear almost entirely; as for, example, between Western Europe and

Eastern Asia, of which the various general states of society appear to

have been hitherto almost independent of one another.”

These remarks are followed by illustrations of one of the most important,

and until lately, most neglected, of the general principles which, in this

division of the social science, may be considered as established; namely,

the necessary correlation between the form of government existing in any

society and the contemporaneous state of civilization: a natural law which

stamps the endless discussions and innumerable theories respecting forms

of government in the abstract, as fruitless and worthless, for any other

purpose than as a preparatory treatment of materials to be afterward used

for the construction of a better philosophy.

As already remarked, one of the main results of the science of social

statics would be to ascertain the requisites of stable political union.

There are some circumstances which, being found in all societies without

exception, and in the greatest degree where the social union is most

complete, may be considered (when psychological and ethological laws

confirm the indication) as conditions of the existence of the complex

phenomena called a State. For example, no numerous society has ever been

held together without laws, or usages equivalent to them; without

tribunals, and an organized force of some sort to execute their decisions.

There have always been public authorities whom, with more or less

strictness and in cases more or less accurately defined, the rest of the

community obeyed, or according to general opinion were bound to obey. By

following out this course of inquiry we shall find a number of requisites,

which have been present in every society that has maintained a collective

existence, and on the cessation of which it has either merged in some

other society, or reconstructed itself on some new basis, in which the

conditions were conformed to. Although these results, obtained by

comparing different forms and states of society, amount in themselves only

to empirical laws; some of them, when once suggested, are found to follow

with so much probability from general laws of human nature, that the

consilience of the two processes raises the evidence to proof, and the

generalizations to the rank of scientific truths.

This seems to be affirmable (for instance) of the conclusions arrived at

in the following passage, extracted, with some alterations, from a

criticism on the negative philosophy of the eighteenth century,(280) and

which I quote, though (as in some former instances) from myself, because I

have no better way of illustrating the conception I have formed of the

kind of theorems of which sociological statics would consist.

“The very first element of the social union, obedience to a government of

some sort, has not been found so easy a thing to establish in the world.

Among a timid and spiritless race like the inhabitants of the vast plains

of tropical countries, passive obedience may be of natural growth; though

even there we doubt whether it has ever been found among any people with

whom fatalism, or in other words, submission to the pressure of

circumstances as a divine decree, did not prevail as a religious doctrine.

But the difficulty of inducing a brave and warlike race to submit their

individual _arbitrium_ to any common umpire, has always been felt to be so

great, that nothing short of supernatural power has been deemed adequate

to overcome it; and such tribes have always assigned to the first

institution of civil society a divine origin. So differently did those

judge who knew savage men by actual experience, from those who had no

acquaintance with them except in the civilized state. In modern Europe

itself, after the fall of the Roman empire, to subdue the feudal anarchy

and bring the whole people of any European nation into subjection to

government (though Christianity in the most concentrated form of its

influence was co-operating in the work) required thrice as many centuries

as have elapsed since that time.

“Now if these philosophers had known human nature under any other type

than that of their own age, and of the particular classes of society among

whom they lived, it would have occurred to them, that wherever this

habitual submission to law and government has been firmly and durably

established, and yet the vigor and manliness of character which resisted

its establishment have been in any degree preserved, certain requisites

have existed, certain conditions have been fulfilled, of which the

following may be regarded as the principal.

“First: there has existed, for all who were accounted citizens—for all who

were not slaves, kept down by brute force—a system of _education_,

beginning with infancy and continued through life, of which whatever else

it might include, one main and incessant ingredient was _restraining

discipline_. To train the human being in the habit, and thence the power,

of subordinating his personal impulses and aims to what were considered

the ends of society; of adhering, against all temptation, to the course of

conduct which those ends prescribed; of controlling in himself all

feelings which were liable to militate against those ends, and encouraging

all such as tended toward them; this was the purpose, to which every

outward motive that the authority directing the system could command, and

every inward power or principle which its knowledge of human nature

enabled it to evoke, were endeavored to be rendered instrumental. The

entire civil and military policy of the ancient commonwealths was such a

system of training; in modern nations its place has been attempted to be

supplied, principally, by religious teaching. And whenever and in

proportion as the strictness of the restraining discipline was relaxed,

the natural tendency of mankind to anarchy re-asserted itself; the state

became disorganized from within; mutual conflict for selfish ends,

neutralized the energies which were required to keep up the contest

against natural causes of evil; and the nation, after a longer or briefer

interval of progressive decline, became either the slave of a despotism,

or the prey of a foreign invader.

“The second condition of permanent political society has been found to be,

the existence, in some form or other, of the feeling of allegiance or

loyalty. This feeling may vary in its objects, and is not confined to any

particular form of government; but whether in a democracy or in a

monarchy, its essence is always the same; viz., that there be in the

constitution of the state _something_ which is settled, something

permanent, and not to be called in question; something which, by general

agreement, has a right to be where it is, and to be secure against

disturbance, whatever else may change. This feeling may attach itself, as

among the Jews (and in most of the commonwealths of antiquity), to a

common God or gods, the protectors and guardians of their state. Or it may

attach itself to certain persons, who are deemed to be, whether by divine

appointment, by long prescription, or by the general recognition of their

superior capacity and worthiness, the rightful guides and guardians of the

rest. Or it may connect itself with laws; with ancient liberties or

ordinances. Or, finally, (and this is the only shape in which the feeling

is likely to exist hereafter), it may attach itself to the principles of

individual freedom and political and social equality, as realized in

institutions which as yet exist nowhere, or exist only in a rudimentary

state. But in all political societies which have had a durable existence,

there has been some fixed point: something which people agreed in holding

sacred; which, wherever freedom of discussion was a recognized principle,

it was of course lawful to contest in theory, but which no one could

either fear or hope to see shaken in practice; which, in short (except

perhaps during some temporary crisis), was in the common estimation placed

beyond discussion. And the necessity of this may easily be made evident. A

state never is, nor until mankind are vastly improved, can hope to be, for

any long time exempt from internal dissension; for there neither is nor

has ever been any state of society in which collisions did not occur

between the immediate interests and passions of powerful sections of the

people. What, then, enables nations to weather these storms, and pass

through turbulent times without any permanent weakening of the securities

for peaceable existence? Precisely this—that however important the

interests about which men fell out, the conflict did not affect the

fundamental principle of the system of social union which happened to

exist; nor threaten large portions of the community with the subversion of

that on which they had built their calculations, and with which their

hopes and aims had become identified. But when the questioning of these

fundamental principles is (not the occasional disease, or salutary

medicine, but) the habitual condition of the body politic, and when all

the violent animosities are called forth, which spring naturally from such

a situation, the state is virtually in a position of civil war; and can

never long remain free from it in act and fact.

“The third essential condition of stability in political society, is a

strong and active principle of cohesion among the members of the same

community or state. We need scarcely say that we do not mean nationality,

in the vulgar sense of the term; a senseless antipathy to foreigners;

indifference to the general welfare of the human race, or an unjust

preference of the supposed interests of our own country; a cherishing of

bad peculiarities because they are national, or a refusal to adopt what

has been found good by other countries. We mean a principle of sympathy,

not of hostility; of union, not of separation. We mean a feeling of common

interest among those who live under the same government, and are contained

within the same natural or historical boundaries. We mean, that one part

of the community do not consider themselves as foreigners with regard to

another part; that they set a value on their connection—feel that they are

one people, that their lot is cast together, that evil to any of their

fellow-countrymen is evil to themselves, and do not desire selfishly to

free themselves from their share of any common inconvenience by severing

the connection. How strong this feeling was in those ancient commonwealths

which attained any durable greatness, every one knows. How happily Rome,

in spite of all her tyranny, succeeded in establishing the feeling of a

common country among the provinces of her vast and divided empire, will

appear when any one who has given due attention to the subject shall take

the trouble to point it out. In modern times the countries which have had

that feeling in the strongest degree have been the most powerful

countries: England, France, and, in proportion to their territory and

resources, Holland and Switzerland; while England in her connection with

Ireland is one of the most signal examples of the consequences of its

absence. Every Italian knows why Italy is under a foreign yoke; every

German knows what maintains despotism in the Austrian empire;(281) the

evils of Spain flow as much from the absence of nationality among the

Spaniards themselves, as from the presence of it in their relations with

foreigners: while the completest illustration of all is afforded by the

republics of South America, where the parts of one and the same state

adhere so slightly together, that no sooner does any province think itself

aggrieved by the general government than it proclaims itself a separate

nation.”

§ 6. While the derivative laws of social statics are ascertained by

analyzing different states of society, and comparing them with one

another, without regard to the order of their succession, the

consideration of the successive order is, on the contrary, predominant in

the study of social dynamics, of which the aim is to observe and explain

the sequences of social conditions. This branch of the social science

would be as complete as it can be made, if every one of the leading

general circumstances of each generation were traced to its causes in the

generation immediately preceding. But the _consensus_ is so complete

(especially in modern history), that in the filiation of one generation

and another, it is the whole which produces the whole, rather than any

part a part. Little progress, therefore, can be made in establishing the

filiation, directly from laws of human nature, without having first

ascertained the immediate or derivative laws according to which social

states generate one another as society advances; the _axiomata media_ of

General Sociology.

The empirical laws which are most readily obtained by generalization from

history do not amount to this. They are not the “middle principles”

themselves, but only evidence toward the establishment of such principles.

They consist of certain general tendencies which may be perceived in

society; a progressive increase of some social elements, and diminution of

others, or a gradual change in the general character of certain elements.

It is easily seen, for instance, that as society advances, mental tend

more and more to prevail over bodily qualities, and masses over

individuals; that the occupation of all that portion of mankind who are

not under external restraint is at first chiefly military, but society

becomes progressively more and more engrossed with productive pursuits,

and the military spirit gradually gives way to the industrial; to which

many similar truths might be added. And with generalizations of this

description, ordinary inquirers, even of the historical school now

predominant on the Continent, are satisfied. But these and all such

results are still at too great a distance from the elementary laws of

human nature on which they depend—too many links intervene, and the

concurrence of causes at each link is far too complicated—to enable these

propositions to be presented as direct corollaries from those elementary

principles. They have, therefore, in the minds of most inquirers, remained

in the state of empirical laws, applicable only within the bounds of

actual observation; without any means of determining their real limits,

and of judging whether the changes which have hitherto been in progress

are destined to continue indefinitely, or to terminate, or even to be

reversed.

§ 7. In order to obtain better empirical laws, we must not rest satisfied

with noting the progressive changes which manifest themselves in the

separate elements of society, and in which nothing is indicated but the

relation of fragments of the effect to corresponding fragments of the

cause. It is necessary to combine the statical view of social phenomena

with the dynamical, considering not only the progressive changes of the

different elements, but the contemporaneous condition of each; and thus

obtain empirically the law of correspondence not only between the

simultaneous states, but between the simultaneous changes, of those

elements. This law of correspondence it is, which, duly verified _a

priori_, would become the real scientific derivative law of the

development of humanity and human affairs.

In the difficult process of observation and comparison which is here

required, it would evidently be a great assistance if it should happen to

be the fact, that some one element in the complex existence of social man

is pre-eminent over all others as the prime agent of the social movement.

For we could then take the progress of that one element as the central

chain, to each successive link of which, the corresponding links of all

the other progressions being appended, the succession of the facts would

by this alone be presented in a kind of spontaneous order, far more nearly

approaching to the real order of their filiation than could be obtained by

any other merely empirical process.

Now, the evidence of history and that of human nature combine, by a

striking instance of consilience, to show that there really is one social

element which is thus predominant, and almost paramount, among the agents

of the social progression. This is, the state of the speculative faculties

of mankind; including the nature of the beliefs which by any means they

have arrived at, concerning themselves and the world by which they are

surrounded.

It would be a great error, and one very little likely to be committed, to

assert that speculation, intellectual activity, the pursuit of truth, is

among the more powerful propensities of human nature, or holds a

predominating place in the lives of any, save decidedly exceptional,

individuals. But, notwithstanding the relative weakness of this principle

among other sociological agents, its influence is the main determining

cause of the social progress; all the other dispositions of our nature

which contribute to that progress being dependent on it for the means of

accomplishing their share of the work. Thus (to take the most obvious case

first), the impelling force to most of the improvements effected in the

arts of life, is the desire of increased material comfort; but as we can

only act upon external objects in proportion to our knowledge of them, the

state of knowledge at any time is the limit of the industrial improvements

possible at that time; and the progress of industry must follow, and

depend on, the progress of knowledge. The same thing may be shown to be

true, though it is not quite so obvious, of the progress of the fine arts.

Further, as the strongest propensities of uncultivated or half-cultivated

human nature (being the purely selfish ones, and those of a sympathetic

character which partake most of the nature of selfishness) evidently tend

in themselves to disunite mankind, not to unite them—to make them rivals,

not confederates, social existence is only possible by a disciplining of

those more powerful propensities, which consists in subordinating them to

a common system of opinions. The degree of this subordination is the

measure of the completeness of the social union, and the nature of the

common opinions determines its kind. But in order that mankind should

conform their actions to any set of opinions, these opinions must exist,

must be believed by them. And thus, the state of the speculative

faculties, the character of the propositions assented to by the intellect,

essentially determines the moral and political state of the community, as

we have already seen that it determines the physical.

These conclusions, deduced from the laws of human nature, are in entire

accordance with the general facts of history. Every considerable change

historically known to us in the condition of any portion of mankind, when

not brought about by external force, has been preceded by a change, of

proportional extent, in the state of their knowledge, or in their

prevalent beliefs. As between any given state of speculation, and the

correlative state of every thing else, it was almost always the former

which first showed itself; though the effects, no doubt, reacted potently

upon the cause. Every considerable advance in material civilization has

been preceded by an advance in knowledge: and when any great social change

has come to pass, either in the way of gradual development or of sudden

conflict, it has had for its precursor a great change in the opinions and

modes of thinking of society. Polytheism, Judaism, Christianity,

Protestantism, the critical philosophy of modern Europe, and its positive

science—each of these has been a primary agent in making society what it

was at each successive period, while society was but secondarily

instrumental in making _them_, each of them (so far as causes can be

assigned for its existence) being mainly an emanation not from the

practical life of the period, but from the previous state of belief and

thought. The weakness of the speculative propensity in mankind generally

has not, therefore, prevented the progress of speculation from governing

that of society at large; it has only, and too often, prevented progress

altogether, where the intellectual progression has come to an early stand

for want of sufficiently favorable circumstances.

From this accumulated evidence, we are justified in concluding, that the

order of human progression in all respects will mainly depend on the order

of progression in the intellectual convictions of mankind, that is, on the

law of the successive transformations of human opinions. The question

remains, whether this law can be determined; at first from history as an

empirical law, then converted into a scientific theorem by deducing it _a

priori_ from the principles of human nature. As the progress of knowledge

and the changes in the opinions of mankind are very slow, and manifest

themselves in a well-defined manner only at long intervals, it can not be

expected that the general order of sequence should be discoverable from

the examination of less than a very considerable part of the duration of

the social progress. It is necessary to take into consideration the whole

of past time, from the first recorded condition of the human race, to the

memorable phenomena of the last and present generations.

§ 8. The investigation which I have thus endeavored to characterize, has

been systematically attempted, up to the present time, by M. Comte alone.

His work is hitherto the only known example of the study of social

phenomena according to this conception of the Historical Method. Without

discussing here the worth of his conclusions, and especially of his

predictions and recommendations with respect to the Future of society,

which appear to me greatly inferior in value to his appreciation of the

Past, I shall confine myself to mentioning one important generalization,

which M. Comte regards as the fundamental law of the progress of human

knowledge. Speculation he conceives to have, on every subject of human

inquiry, three successive stages; in the first of which it tends to

explain the phenomena by supernatural agencies, in the second by

metaphysical abstractions, and in the third or final state confines itself

to ascertaining their laws of succession and similitude. This

generalization appears to me to have that high degree of scientific

evidence which is derived from the concurrence of the indications of

history with the probabilities derived from the constitution of the human

mind. Nor could it be easily conceived, from the mere enunciation of such

a proposition, what a flood of light it lets in upon the whole course of

history, when its consequences are traced, by connecting with each of the

three states of human intellect which it distinguishes, and with each

successive modification of those three states, the correlative condition

of other social phenomena.(282)

But whatever decision competent judges may pronounce on the results

arrived at by any individual inquirer, the method now characterized is

that by which the derivative laws of social order and of social progress

must be sought. By its aid we may hereafter succeed not only in looking

far forward into the future history of the human race, but in determining

what artificial means may be used, and to what extent, to accelerate the

natural progress in so far as it is beneficial; to compensate for whatever

may be its inherent inconveniences or disadvantages; and to guard against

the dangers or accidents to which our species is exposed from the

necessary incidents of its progression. Such practical instructions,

founded on the highest branch of speculative sociology, will form the

noblest and most beneficial portion of the Political Art.

That of this science and art even the foundations are but beginning to be

laid, is sufficiently evident. But the superior minds are fairly turning

themselves toward that object. It has become the aim of really scientific

thinkers to connect by theories the facts of universal history: it is

acknowledged to be one of the requisites of a general system of social

doctrine, that it should explain, so far as the data exist, the main facts

of history; and a Philosophy of History is generally admitted to be at

once the verification, and the initial form, of the Philosophy of the

Progress of Society.

If the endeavors now making in all the more cultivated nations, and

beginning to be made even in England (usually the last to enter into the

general movement of the European mind) for the construction of a

Philosophy of History, shall be directed and controlled by those views of

the nature of sociological evidence which I have (very briefly and

imperfectly) attempted to characterize; they can not fail to give birth to

a sociological system widely removed from the vague and conjectural

character of all former attempts, and worthy to take its place, at last,

among the sciences. When this time shall come, no important branch of

human affairs will be any longer abandoned to empiricism and unscientific

surmise: the circle of human knowledge will be complete, and it can only

thereafter receive further enlargement by perpetual expansion from within.

Chapter XI.

Additional Elucidations Of The Science Of History.

§ 1. The doctrine which the preceding chapters were intended to enforce

and elucidate—that the collective series of social phenomena, in other

words the course of history, is subject to general laws, which philosophy

may possibly detect—has been familiar for generations to the scientific

thinkers of the Continent, and has for the last quarter of a century

passed out of their peculiar domain, into that of newspapers and ordinary

political discussion. In our own country, however, at the time of the

first publication of this Treatise, it was almost a novelty, and the

prevailing habits of thought on historical subjects were the very reverse

of a preparation for it. Since then a great change has taken place, and

has been eminently promoted by the important work of Mr. Buckle; who, with

characteristic energy, flung down this great principle, together with many

striking exemplifications of it, into the arena of popular discussion, to

be fought over by a sort of combatants, in the presence of a sort of

spectators, who would never even have been aware that there existed such a

principle if they had been left to learn its existence from the

speculations of pure science. And hence has arisen a considerable amount

of controversy, tending not only to make the principle rapidly familiar to

the majority of cultivated minds, but also to clear it from the confusions

and misunderstandings by which it was but natural that it should for a

time be clouded, and which impair the worth of the doctrine to those who

accept it, and are the stumbling-block of many who do not.

Among the impediments to the general acknowledgment, by thoughtful minds,

of the subjection of historical facts to scientific laws, the most

fundamental continues to be that which is grounded on the doctrine of Free

Will, or, in other words, on the denial that the law of invariable

Causation holds true of human volitions; for if it does not, the course of

history, being the result of human volitions, can not be a subject of

scientific laws, since the volitions on which it depends can neither be

foreseen, nor reduced to any canon of regularity even after they have

occurred. I have discussed this question, as far as seemed suitable to the

occasion, in a former chapter; and I only think it necessary to repeat,

that the doctrine of the Causation of human actions, improperly called the

doctrine of Necessity, affirms no mysterious _nexus_, or overruling

fatality: it asserts only that men’s actions are the joint result of the

general laws and circumstances of human nature, and of their own

particular characters; those characters again being the consequence of the

natural and artificial circumstances that constituted their education,

among which circumstances must be reckoned their own conscious efforts.

Any one who is willing to take (if the expression may be permitted) the

trouble of thinking himself into the doctrine as thus stated, will find

it, I believe, not only a faithful interpretation of the universal

experience of human conduct, but a correct representation of the mode in

which he himself, in every particular case, spontaneously interprets his

own experience of that conduct.

But if this principle is true of individual man, it must be true of

collective man. If it is the law of human life, the law must be realized

in history. The experience of human affairs when looked at _en masse_,

must be in accordance with it if true, or repugnant to it if false. The

support which this _a posteriori_ verification affords to the law, is the

part of the case which has been most clearly and triumphantly brought out

by Mr. Buckle.

The facts of statistics, since they have been made a subject of careful

recordation and study, have yielded conclusions, some of which have been

very startling to persons not accustomed to regard moral actions as

subject to uniform laws. The very events which in their own nature appear

most capricious and uncertain, and which in any individual case no

attainable degree of knowledge would enable us to foresee, occur, when

considerable numbers are taken into the account, with a degree of

regularity approaching to mathematical. What act is there which all would

consider as more completely dependent on individual character, and on the

exercise of individual free will, than that of slaying a fellow-creature?

Yet in any large country, the number of murders, in proportion to the

population, varies (it has been found) very little from one year to

another, and in its variations never deviates widely from a certain

average. What is still more remarkable, there is a similar approach to

constancy in the proportion of these murders annually committed with every

particular kind of instrument. There is a like approximation to identity,

as between one year and another, in the comparative number of legitimate

and of illegitimate births. The same thing is found true of suicides,

accidents, and all other social phenomena of which the registration is

sufficiently perfect; one of the most curiously illustrative examples

being the fact, ascertained by the registers of the London and Paris

post-offices, that the number of letters posted which the writers have

forgotten to direct, is nearly the same, in proportion to the whole number

of letters posted, in one year as in another. “Year after year,” says Mr.

Buckle, “the same proportion of letter-writers forget this simple act; so

that for each successive period we can actually foretell the number of

persons whose memory will fail them in regard to this trifling, and as it

might appear, accidental occurrence.”(283)

This singular degree of regularity _en masse_, combined with the extreme

of irregularity in the cases composing the mass, is a felicitous

verification _a posteriori_ of the law of causation in its application to

human conduct. Assuming the truth of that law, every human action, every

murder, for instance, is the concurrent result of two sets of causes. On

the one part, the general circumstances of the country and its

inhabitants; the moral, educational, economical, and other influences

operating on the whole people, and constituting what we term the state of

civilization. On the other part, the great variety of influences special

to the individual: his temperament, and other peculiarities of

organization, his parentage, habitual associates, temptations, and so

forth. If we now take the whole of the instances which occur within a

sufficiently large field to exhaust all the combinations of these special

influences, or, in other words, to eliminate chance; and if all these

instances have occurred within such narrow limits of time, that no

material change can have taken place in the general influences

constituting the state of civilization of the country; we may be certain,

that if human actions are governed by invariable laws, the aggregate

result will be something like a constant quantity. The number of murders

committed within that space and time, being the effect partly of general

causes which have not varied, and partly of partial causes the whole round

of whose variations has been included, will be, practically speaking,

invariable.

Literally and mathematically invariable it is not, and could not be

expected to be: because the period of a year is too short to include _all_

the possible combinations of partial causes, while it is, at the same

time, sufficiently long to make it probable that in some years at least,

of every series, there will have been introduced new influences of a more

or less general character; such as a more vigorous or a more relaxed

police; some temporary excitement from political or religious causes; or

some incident generally notorious, of a nature to act morbidly on the

imagination. That in spite of these unavoidable imperfections in the data,

there should be so very trifling a margin of variation in the annual

results, is a brilliant continuation of the general theory.

§ 2. The same considerations which thus strikingly corroborate the

evidence of the doctrine, that historical facts are the invariable effects

of causes, tend equally to clear that doctrine from various

misapprehensions, the existence of which has been put in evidence by the

recent discussions. Some persons, for instance, seemingly imagine the

doctrine to imply, not merely that the total number of murders committed

in a given space and time is entirely the effect of the general

circumstances of society, but that every particular murder is so too—that

the individual murderer is, so to speak, a mere instrument in the hands of

general causes that he himself has no option, or, if he has, and chose to

exercise it, some one else would be necessitated to take his place; that

if any one of the actual murderers had abstained from the crime, some

person who would otherwise have remained innocent, would have committed an

extra murder to make up the average. Such a corollary would certainly

convict any theory which necessarily led to it of absurdity. It is

obvious, however, that each particular murder depends, not on the general

state of society only, but on that combined with causes special to the

case, which are generally much more powerful; and if these special causes,

which have greater influence than the general ones in causing every

particular murder, have no influence on the number of murders in a given

period, it is because the field of observation is so extensive as to

include all possible combinations of the special causes—all varieties of

individual character and individual temptation compatible with the general

state of society. The collective experiment, as it may be termed, exactly

separates the effect of the general from that of the special causes, and

shows the net result of the former; but it declares nothing at all

respecting the amount of influence of the special causes, be it greater or

smaller, since the scale of the experiment extends to the number of cases

within which the effects of the special causes balance one another, and

disappear in that of the general causes.

I will not pretend that all the defenders of the theory have always kept

their language free from this same confusion, and have shown no tendency

to exalt the influence of general causes at the expense of special. I am

of opinion, on the contrary, that they have done so in a very great

degree, and by so doing have encumbered their theory with difficulties,

and laid it open to objections, which do not necessarily affect it. Some,

for example (among whom is Mr. Buckle himself), have inferred, or allowed

it to be supposed that they inferred, from the regularity in the

recurrence of events which depend on moral qualities, that the moral

qualities of mankind are little capable of being improved, or are of

little importance in the general progress of society, compared with

intellectual or economic causes. But to draw this inference is to forget

that the statistical tables, from which the invariable averages are

deduced, were compiled from facts occurring within narrow geographical

limits and in a small number of successive years; that is, from a field

the whole of which was under the operation of the same general causes, and

during too short a time to allow of much change therein. All moral causes

but those common to the country generally, have been eliminated by the

great number of instances taken; and those which are common to the whole

country have not varied considerably, in the short space of time comprised

in the observations. If we admit the supposition that they have varied; if

we compare one age with another, or one country with another, or even one

part of a country with another, differing in position and character as to

the moral elements, the crimes committed within a year give no longer the

same, but a widely different numerical aggregate. And this can not but be

the case: for, inasmuch as every single crime committed by an individual

mainly depends on his moral qualities, the crimes committed by the entire

population of the country must depend in an equal degree on their

collective moral qualities. To render this element inoperative upon the

large scale, it would be necessary to suppose that the general moral

average of mankind does not vary from country to country or from age to

age; which is not true, and, even if it were true, could not possibly be

proved by any existing statistics. I do not on this account the less agree

in the opinion of Mr. Buckle, that the intellectual element in mankind,

including in that expression the nature of their beliefs, the amount of

their knowledge, and the development of their intelligence, is the

predominant circumstance in determining their progress. But I am of this

opinion, not because I regard their moral or economical condition either

as less powerful or less variable agencies, but because these are in a

great degree the consequences of the intellectual condition, and are, in

all cases, limited by it; as was observed in the preceding chapter. The

intellectual changes are the most conspicuous agents in history, not from

their superior force, considered in themselves, but because practically

they work with the united power belonging to all three.(284)

§ 3. There is another distinction often neglected in the discussion of

this subject, which it is extremely important to observe. The theory of

the subjection of social progress to invariable laws, is often held in

conjunction with the doctrine, that social progress can not be materially

influenced by the exertions of individual persons, or by the acts of

governments. But though these opinions are often held by the same persons,

they are two very different opinions, and the confusion between them is

the eternally recurring error of confounding Causation with Fatalism.

Because whatever happens will be the effect of causes, human volitions

among the rest, it does not follow that volitions, even those of peculiar

individuals, are not of great efficacy as causes. If any one in a storm at

sea, because about the same number of persons in every year perish by

shipwreck, should conclude that it was useless for him to attempt to save

his own life, we should call him a Fatalist; and should remind him that

the efforts of shipwrecked persons to save their lives are so far from

being immaterial, that the average amount of those efforts is one of the

causes on which the ascertained annual number of deaths by shipwreck

depend. However universal the laws of social development may be, they can

not be more universal or more rigorous than those of the physical agencies

of nature; yet human will can convert these into instruments of its

designs, and the extent to which it does so makes the chief difference

between savages and the most highly civilized people. Human and social

facts, from their more complicated nature, are not less, but more,

modifiable than mechanical and chemical facts; human agency, therefore,

has still greater power over them. And accordingly, those who maintain

that the evolution of society depends exclusively, or almost exclusively,

on general causes, always include among these the collective knowledge and

intellectual development of the race. But if of the race, why not also of

some powerful monarch or thinker, or of the ruling portion of some

political society, acting through its government? Though the varieties of

character among ordinary individuals neutralize one another on any large

scale, exceptional individuals in important positions do not in any given

age neutralize one another; there was not another Themistocles, or Luther,

or Julius Cæsar, of equal powers and contrary dispositions, who exactly

balanced the given Themistocles, Luther, and Cæsar, and prevented them

from having any permanent effect. Moreover, for aught that appears, the

volitions of exceptional persons, or the opinions and purposes of the

individuals who at some particular time compose a government, may be

indispensable links in the chain of causation by which even the general

causes produce their effects; and I believe this to be the only tenable

form of the theory.

Lord Macaulay, in a celebrated passage of one of his early essays (let me

add that it was one which he did not himself choose to reprint), gives

expression to the doctrine of the absolute inoperativeness of great men,

more unqualified, I should think, than has been given to it by any writer

of equal abilities. He compares them to persons who merely stand on a

loftier height, and thence receive the sun’s rays a little earlier, than

the rest of the human race. “The sun illuminates the hills while it is

still below the horizon, and truth is discovered by the highest minds a

little before it becomes manifest to the multitude. This is the extent of

their superiority. They are the first to catch and reflect a light which,

without their assistance, must in a short time be visible to those who lie

far beneath them.”(285) If this metaphor is to be carried out, it follows

that if there had been no Newton, the world would not only have had the

Newtonian system, but would have had it equally soon; as the sun would

have risen just as early to spectators in the plain if there had been no

mountain at hand to catch still earlier rays. And so it would be, if

truths, like the sun, rose by their own proper motion, without human

effort; but not otherwise. I believe that if Newton had not lived, the

world must have waited for the Newtonian philosophy until there had been

another Newton, or his equivalent. No ordinary man, and no succession of

ordinary men, could have achieved it. I will not go the length of saying

that what Newton did in a single life, might not have been done in

successive steps by some of those who followed him, each singly inferior

to him in genius. But even the least of those steps required a man of

great intellectual superiority. Eminent men do not merely see the coming

light from the hill-top, they mount on the hill-top and evoke it; and if

no one had ever ascended thither, the light, in many cases, might never

have risen upon the plain at all. Philosophy and religion are abundantly

amenable to general causes; yet few will doubt that, had there been no

Socrates, no Plato, and no Aristotle, there would have been no philosophy

for the next two thousand years, nor in all probability then; and that if

there had been no Christ, and no St. Paul, there would have been no

Christianity.

The point in which, above all, the influence of remarkable individuals is

decisive, is in determining the celerity of the movement. In most states

of society it is the existence of great men which decides even whether

there shall be any progress. It is conceivable that Greece, or that

Christian Europe, might have been progressive in certain periods of their

history through general causes only: but if there had been no Mohammed,

would Arabia have produced Avicenna or Averroes, or Caliphs of Bagdad or

of Cordova? In determining, however, in what manner and order the progress

of mankind shall take place if it take place at all, much less depends on

the character of individuals. There is a sort of necessity established in

this respect by the general laws of human nature—by the constitution of

the human mind. Certain truths can not be discovered, nor inventions made,

unless certain others have been made first; certain social improvements,

from the nature of the case, can only follow, and not precede, others. The

order of human progress, therefore, may to a certain extent have definite

laws assigned to it: while as to its celerity, or even as to its taking

place at all, no generalization, extending to the human species generally,

can possibly be made; but only some very precarious approximate

generalizations, confined to the small portion of mankind in whom there

has been any thing like consecutive progress within the historical period,

and deduced from their special position, or collected from their

particular history. Even looking to the _manner_ of progress, the order of

succession of social states, there is need of great flexibility in our

generalizations. The limits of variation in the possible development of

social, as of animal life, are a subject of which little is yet

understood, and are one of the great problems in social science. It is, at

all events, a fact, that different portions of mankind, under the

influence of different circumstances, have developed themselves in a more

or less different manner and into different forms; and among these

determining circumstances, the individual character of their great

speculative thinkers or practical organizers may well have been one. Who

can tell how profoundly the whole subsequent history of China may have

been influenced by the individuality of Confucius? and of Sparta (and

hence of Greece and the world) by that of Lycurgus?

Concerning the nature and extent of what a great man under favorable

circumstances can do for mankind, as well as of what a government can do

for a nation, many different opinions are possible; and every shade of

opinion on these points is consistent with the fullest recognition that

there are invariable laws of historical phenomena. Of course the degree of

influence which has to be assigned to these more special agencies, makes a

great difference in the precision which can be given to the general laws,

and in the confidence with which predictions can be grounded on them.

Whatever depends on the peculiarities of individuals, combined with the

accident of the positions they hold, is necessarily incapable of being

foreseen. Undoubtedly these casual combinations might be eliminated like

any others, by taking a sufficiently large cycle: the peculiarities of a

great historical character make their influence felt in history sometimes

for several thousand years, but it is highly probable that they will make

no difference at all at the end of fifty millions. Since, however, we can

not obtain an average of the vast length of time necessary to exhaust all

the possible combinations of great men and circumstances, as much of the

law of evolution of human affairs as depends upon this average, is and

remains inaccessible to us; and within the next thousand years, which are

of considerably more importance to us than the whole remainder of the

fifty millions, the favorable and unfavorable combinations which will

occur will be to us purely accidental. We can not foresee the advent of

great men. Those who introduce new speculative thoughts or great practical

conceptions into the world, can not have their epoch fixed beforehand.

What science can do, is this. It can trace through past history the

general causes which had brought mankind into that preliminary state

which, when the right sort of great man appeared, rendered them accessible

to his influence. If this state continues, experience renders it tolerably

certain that in a longer or shorter period the great man will be produced;

provided that the general circumstances of the country and people are

(which very often they are not) compatible with his existence; of which

point also, science can in some measure judge. It is in this manner that

the results of progress, except as to the celerity of their production,

can be, to a certain extent, reduced to regularity and law. And the belief

that they can be so, is equally consistent with assigning very great, or

very little efficacy, to the influence of exceptional men, or of the acts

of governments. And the same may be said of all other accidents and

disturbing causes.

§ 4. It would nevertheless be a great error to assign only a trifling

importance to the agency of eminent individuals, or of governments. It

must not be concluded that the influence of either is small, because they

can not bestow what the general circumstances of society, and the course

of its previous history, have not prepared it to receive. Neither thinkers

nor governments effect all that they intend, but in compensation they

often produce important results which they did not in the least foresee.

Great men, and great actions, are seldom wasted; they send forth a

thousand unseen influences, more effective than those which are seen; and

though nine out of every ten things done, with a good purpose, by those

who are in advance of their age, produce no material effect, the tenth

thing produces effects twenty times as great as any one would have dreamed

of predicting from it. Even the men who for want of sufficiently favorable

circumstances left no impress at all upon their own age, have often been

of the greatest value to posterity. Who could appear to have lived more

entirely in vain than some of the early heretics? They were burned or

massacred, their writings extirpated, their memory anathematized, and

their very names and existence left for seven or eight centuries in the

obscurity of musty manuscripts—their history to be gathered, perhaps, only

from the sentences by which they were condemned. Yet the memory of these

men—men who resisted certain pretensions or certain dogmas of the Church

in the very age in which the unanimous assent of Christendom was afterward

claimed as having been given to them, and asserted as the ground of their

authority—broke the chain of tradition, established a series of precedents

for resistance, inspired later Reformers with the courage, and armed them

with the weapons, which they needed when mankind were better prepared to

follow their impulse. To this example from men, let us add another from

governments. The comparatively enlightened rule of which Spain had the

benefit during a considerable part of the eighteenth century, did not

correct the fundamental defects of the Spanish people; and in consequence,

though it did great temporary good, so much of that good perished with it,

that it may plausibly be affirmed to have had no permanent effect. The

case has been cited as a proof how little governments can do in opposition

to the causes which have determined the general character of the nation.

It does show how much there is which they can not do; but not that they

can do nothing. Compare what Spain was at the beginning of that

half-century of liberal government, with what she had become at its close.

That period fairly let in the light of European thought upon the more

educated classes; and it never afterward ceased to go on spreading.

Previous to that time the change was in an inverse direction; culture,

light, intellectual and even material activity, were becoming

extinguished. Was it nothing to arrest this downward and convert it into

an upward course? How much that Charles the Third and Aranda could not do,

has been the ultimate consequence of what they did! To that half-century

Spain owes that she has got rid of the Inquisition, that she has got rid

of the monks, that she now has parliaments and (save in exceptional

intervals) a free press, and the feelings of freedom and citizenship, and

is acquiring railroads and all the other constituents of material and

economical progress. In the Spain which preceded that era, there was not a

single element at work which could have led to these results in any length

of time, if the country had continued to be governed as it was by the last

princes of the Austrian dynasty, or if the Bourbon rulers had been from

the first what, both in Spain and in Naples, they afterward became.

And if a government can do much, even when it seems to have done little,

in causing positive improvement, still greater are the issues dependent on

it in the way of warding off evils, both internal and external, which else

would stop improvement altogether. A good or a bad counselor, in a single

city at a particular crisis, has affected the whole subsequent fate of the

world. It is as certain as any contingent judgment respecting historical

events can be, that if there had been no Themistocles there would have

been no victory of Salamis; and had there not, where would have been all

our civilization? How different, again, would have been the issue if

Epaminondas, or Timoleon, or even Iphicrates, instead of Chares and

Lysicles, had commanded at Chæroneia. As is well said in the second of two

Essays on the Study of History,(286) in my judgment the soundest and most

philosophical productions which the recent controversies on this subject

have called forth, historical science authorizes not absolute, but only

conditional predictions. General causes count for much, but individuals

also “produce great changes in history, and color its whole complexion

long after their death.... No one can doubt that the Roman republic would

have subsided into a military despotism if Julius Cæsar had never lived”

(thus much was rendered practically certain by general causes); “but is it

at all clear that in that case Gaul would ever have formed a province of

the empire? Might not Varus have lost his three legions on the banks of

the Rhone? and might not that river have become the frontier instead of

the Rhine? This might well have happened if Cæsar and Crassus had changed

provinces; and it is surely impossible to say that in such an event the

venue (as lawyers say) of European civilization might not have been

changed. The Norman Conquest in the same way was as much the act of a

single man, as the writing of a newspaper article; and knowing as we do

the history of that man and his family, we can retrospectively predict

with all but infallible certainty, that no other person” (no other in that

age, I presume, is meant) “could have accomplished the enterprise. If it

had not been accomplished, is there any ground to suppose that either our

history or our national character would have been what they are?”

As is most truly remarked by the same writer, the whole stream of Grecian

history, as cleared up by Mr. Grote, is one series of examples how often

events on which the whole destiny of subsequent civilization turned, were

dependent on the personal character for good or evil of some one

individual. It must be said, however, that Greece furnishes the most

extreme example of this nature to be found in history, and is a very

exaggerated specimen of the general tendency. It has happened only that

once, and will probably never happen again, that the fortunes of mankind

depended upon keeping a certain order of things in existence in a single

town, or a country scarcely larger than Yorkshire; capable of being ruined

or saved by a hundred causes, of very slight magnitude in comparison with

the general tendencies of human affairs. Neither ordinary accidents, nor

the characters of individuals, can ever again be so vitally important as

they then were. The longer our species lasts, and the more civilized it

becomes, the more, as Comte remarks, does the influence of past

generations over the present, and of mankind _en masse_ over every

individual in it, predominate over other forces; and though the course of

affairs never ceases to be susceptible of alteration both by accidents and

by personal qualities, the increasing preponderance of the collective

agency of the species over all minor causes, is constantly bringing the

general evolution of the race into something which deviates less from a

certain and preappointed track. Historical science, therefore, is always

becoming more possible; not solely because it is better studied, but

because, in every generation, it becomes better adapted for study.

Chapter XII.

Of The Logic Of Practice, Or Art; Including Morality And Policy.

§ 1. In the preceding chapters we have endeavored to characterize the

present state of those among the branches of knowledge called Moral, which

are sciences in the only proper sense of the term, that is, inquiries into

the course of nature. It is customary, however, to include under the term

moral knowledge, and even (though improperly) under that of moral science,

an inquiry the results of which do not express themselves in the

indicative, but in the imperative mood, or in periphrases equivalent to

it; what is called the knowledge of duties; practical ethics, or morality.

Now, the imperative mood is the characteristic of art, as distinguished

from science. Whatever speaks in rules, or precepts, not in assertions

respecting matters of fact, is art; and ethics, or morality, is properly a

portion of the art corresponding to the sciences of human nature and

society.(287)

The Method, therefore, of Ethics, can be no other than that of Art, or

Practice, in general; and the portion yet uncompleted of the task which we

proposed to ourselves in the concluding Book, is to characterize the

general Method of Art, as distinguished from Science.

§ 2. In all branches of practical business there are cases in which

individuals are bound to conform their practice to a pre-established rule,

while there are others in which it is part of their task to find or

construct the rule by which they are to govern their conduct. The first,

for example, is the case of a judge, under a definite written code. The

judge is not called upon to determine what course would be intrinsically

the most advisable in the particular case in hand, but only within what

rule of law it falls; what the legislature has ordained to be done in the

kind of case, and must therefore be presumed to have intended in the

individual case. The method must here be wholly and exclusively one of

ratiocination, or syllogism; and the process is obviously, what in our

analysis of the syllogism we showed that all ratiocination is, namely the

interpretation of a formula.

In order that our illustration of the opposite case may be taken from the

same class of subjects as the former, we will suppose, in contrast with

the situation of the judge, the position of the legislator. As the judge

has laws for his guidance, so the legislator has rules, and maxims of

policy; but it would be a manifest error to suppose that the legislator is

bound by these maxims in the same manner as the judge is bound by the

laws, and that all he has to do is to argue down from them to the

particular case, as the judge does from the laws. The legislator is bound

to take into consideration the reasons or grounds of the maxim; the judge

has nothing to do with those of the law, except so far as a consideration

of them may throw light upon the intention of the law-maker, where his

words have left it doubtful. To the judge, the rule, once positively

ascertained, is final; but the legislator, or other practitioner, who goes

by rules rather than by their reasons, like the old-fashioned German

tacticians who were vanquished by Napoleon, or the physician who preferred

that his patients should die by rule rather than recover contrary to it,

is rightly judged to be a mere pedant, and the slave of his formulas.

Now, the reasons of a maxim of policy, or of any other rule of art, can be

no other than the theorems of the corresponding science.

The relation in which rules of art stand to doctrines of science may be

thus characterized. The art proposes to itself an end to be attained,

defines the end, and hands it over to the science. The science receives

it, considers it as a phenomenon or effect to be studied, and having

investigated its causes and conditions, sends it back to art with a

theorem of the combination of circumstances by which it could be produced.

Art then examines these combinations of circumstances, and according as

any of them are or are not in human power, pronounces the end attainable

or not. The only one of the premises, therefore, which Art supplies, is

the original major premise, which asserts that the attainment of the given

end is desirable. Science then lends to Art the proposition (obtained by a

series of inductions or of deductions) that the performance of certain

actions will attain the end. From these premises Art concludes that the

performance of these actions is desirable, and finding it also

practicable, converts the theorem into a rule or precept.

§ 3. It deserves particular notice, that the theorem or speculative truth

is not ripe for being turned into a precept, until the whole, and not a

part merely, of the operation which belongs to science, has been

performed. Suppose that we have completed the scientific process only up

to a certain point; have discovered that a particular cause will produce

the desired effect, but have not ascertained all the negative conditions

which are necessary, that is, all the circumstances which, if present,

would prevent its production. If, in this imperfect state of the

scientific theory, we attempt to frame a rule of art, we perform that

operation prematurely. Whenever any counteracting cause, overlooked by the

theorem, takes place, the rule will be at fault; we shall employ the means

and the end will not follow. No arguing from or about the rule itself will

then help us through the difficulty; there is nothing for it but to turn

back and finish the scientific process which should have preceded the

formation of the rule. We must re-open the investigation to inquire into

the remainder of the conditions on which the effect depends; and only

after we have ascertained the whole of these are we prepared to transform

the completed law of the effect into a precept, in which those

circumstances or combinations of circumstances which the science exhibits

as conditions are prescribed as means.

It is true that, for the sake of convenience, rules must be formed from

something less than this ideally perfect theory: in the first place,

because the theory can seldom be made ideally perfect; and next, because,

if all the counteracting contingencies, whether of frequent or of rare

occurrence, were included, the rules would be too cumbrous to be

apprehended and remembered by ordinary capacities, on the common occasions

of life. The rules of art do not attempt to comprise more conditions than

require to be attended to in ordinary cases; and are therefore always

imperfect. In the manual arts, where the requisite conditions are not

numerous, and where those which the rules do not specify are generally

either plain to common observation or speedily learned from practice,

rules may often be safely acted on by persons who know nothing more than

the rule. But in the complicated affairs of life, and still more in those

of states and societies, rules can not be relied on, without constantly

referring back to the scientific laws on which they are founded. To know

what are the practical contingencies which require a modification of the

rule, or which are altogether exceptions to it, is to know what

combinations of circumstances would interfere with, or entirely

counteract, the consequences of those laws; and this can only be learned

by a reference to the theoretic grounds of the rule.

By a wise practitioner, therefore, rules of conduct will only be

considered as provisional. Being made for the most numerous cases, or for

those of most ordinary occurrence, they point out the manner in which it

will be least perilous to act, where time or means do not exist for

analyzing the actual circumstances of the case, or where we can not trust

our judgment in estimating them. But they do not at all supersede the

propriety of going through, when circumstances permit, the scientific

process requisite for framing a rule from the data of the particular case

before us. At the same time, the common rule may very properly serve as an

admonition that a certain mode of action has been found by ourselves and

others to be well adapted to the cases of most common occurrence; so that

if it be unsuitable to the case in hand, the reason of its being so will

be likely to arise from some unusual circumstance.

§ 4. The error is therefore apparent of those who would deduce the line of

conduct proper to particular cases from supposed universal practical

maxims, overlooking the necessity of constantly referring back to the

principles of the speculative science, in order to be sure of attaining

even the specific end which the rules have in view. How much greater

still, then, must the error be, of setting up such unbending principles,

not merely as universal rules for attaining a given end, but as rules of

conduct generally, without regard to the possibility, not only that some

modifying cause may prevent the attainment of the given end by the means

which the rule prescribes, but that success itself may conflict with some

other end, which may possibly chance to be more desirable.

This is the habitual error of many of the political speculators whom I

have characterized as the geometrical school; especially in France, where

ratiocination from rules of practice forms the staple commodity of

journalism and political oratory—a misapprehension of the functions of

Deduction which has brought much discredit, in the estimation of other

countries, upon the spirit of generalization so honorably characteristic

of the French mind. The commonplaces of politics in France are large and

sweeping practical maxims, from which, as ultimate premises, men reason

downward to particular applications; and this they call being logical and

consistent. For instance, they are perpetually arguing that such and such

a measure ought to be adopted, because it is a consequence of the

principle on which the form of government is founded; of the principle of

legitimacy, or the principle of the sovereignty of the people. To which it

may be answered, that if these be really practical principles, they must

rest on speculative grounds; the sovereignty of the people, for example,

must be a right foundation for government, because a government thus

constituted tends to produce certain beneficial effects. Inasmuch,

however, as no government produces all possible beneficial effects, but

all are attended with more or fewer inconveniences, and since these can

not usually be combated by means drawn from the very causes which produce

them, it would be often a much stronger recommendation of some practical

arrangement, that it does not follow from what is called the general

principle of the government, than that it does. Under a government of

legitimacy, the presumption is far rather in favor of institutions of

popular origin; and in a democracy, in favor of arrangements tending to

check the impetus of popular will. The line of augmentation so commonly

mistaken in France for political philosophy, tends to the practical

conclusion that we should exert our utmost efforts to aggravate, instead

of alleviating, whatever are the characteristic imperfections of the

system of institutions which we prefer, or under which we happen to live.

§ 5. The grounds, then, of every rule of art, are to be found in the

theorems of science. An art, or a body of art, consists of the rules,

together with as much of the speculative propositions as comprises the

justification of those rules. The complete art of any matter includes a

selection of such a portion from the science as is necessary to show on

what conditions the effects, which the art aims at producing, depend. And

Art in general, consists of the truths of Science, arranged in the most

convenient order for practice, instead of the order which is the most

convenient for thought. Science groups and arranges its truths, so as to

enable us to take in at one view as much as possible of the general order

of the universe. Art, though it must assume the same general laws, follows

them only into such of their detailed consequences as have led to the

formation of rules of conduct; and brings together from parts of the field

of science most remote from one another, the truths relating to the

production of the different and heterogeneous conditions necessary to each

effect which the exigencies of practical life require to be produced.(288)

Science, therefore, following one cause to its various effects, while art

traces one effect to its multiplied and diversified causes and conditions,

there is need of a set of intermediate scientific truths, derived from the

higher generalities of science, and destined to serve as the generalia or

first principles of the various arts. The scientific operation of framing

these intermediate principles, M. Comte characterizes as one of those

results of philosophy which are reserved for futurity. The only complete

example which he points out as actually realized, and which can be held up

as a type to be imitated in more important matters, is the general theory

of the art of Descriptive Geometry, as conceived by M. Monge. It is not,

however, difficult to understand what the nature of these intermediate

principles must generally be. After framing the most comprehensive

possible conception of the end to be aimed at, that is, of the effect to

be produced, and determining in the same comprehensive manner the set of

conditions on which that effect depends, there remains to be taken, a

general survey of the resources which can be commanded for realizing this

set of conditions; and when the result of this survey has been embodied in

the fewest and most extensive propositions possible, those propositions

will express the general relation between the available means and the end,

and will constitute the general scientific theory of the art, from which

its practical methods will follow as corollaries.

§ 6. But though the reasonings which connect the end or purpose of every

art with its means belong to the domain of Science, the definition of the

end itself belongs exclusively to Art, and forms its peculiar province.

Every art has one first principle, or general major premise, not borrowed

from science; that which enunciates the object aimed at, and affirms it to

be a desirable object. The builder’s art assumes that it is desirable to

have buildings; architecture, as one of the fine arts, that it is

desirable to have them beautiful or imposing. The hygienic and medical

arts assume, the one that the preservation of health, the other that the

cure of disease, are fitting and desirable ends. These are not

propositions of science. Propositions of science assert a matter of fact:

an existence, a co-existence, a succession, or a resemblance. The

propositions now spoken of do not assert that any thing is, but enjoin or

recommend that something should be. They are a class by themselves. A

proposition of which the predicate is expressed by the words _ought_ or

_should be_, is generically different from one which is expressed by _is_,

or _will be_. It is true, that in the largest sense of the words, even

these propositions assert something as a matter of fact. The fact affirmed

in them is, that the conduct recommended excites in the speaker’s mind the

feeling of approbation. This, however, does not go to the bottom of the

matter; for the speaker’s approbation is no sufficient reason why other

people should approve; nor ought it to be a conclusive reason even with

himself. For the purposes of practice, every one must be required to

justify his approbation; and for this there is need of general premises,

determining what are the proper objects of approbation, and what the

proper order of precedence among those objects.

These general premises, together with the principal conclusions which may

be deduced from them, form (or rather might form) a body of doctrine,

which is properly the Art of Life, in its three departments, Morality,

Prudence or Policy, and Æsthetics; the Right, the Expedient, and the

Beautiful or Noble, in human conduct and works. To this art (which, in the

main, is unfortunately still to be created), all other arts are

subordinate; since its principles are those which must determine whether

the special aim of any particular art is worthy and desirable, and what is

its place in the scale of desirable things. Every art is thus a joint

result of laws of nature disclosed by science, and of the general

principles of what has been called Teleology, or the Doctrine of

Ends;(289) which, borrowing the language of the German metaphysicians, may

also be termed, not improperly, the principles of Practical Reason.

A scientific observer or reasoner, merely as such, is not an adviser for

practice. His part is only to show that certain consequences follow from

certain causes, and that to obtain certain ends, certain means are the

most effectual. Whether the ends themselves are such as ought to be

pursued, and if so, in what cases and to how great a length, it is no part

of his business as a cultivator of science to decide, and science alone

will never qualify him for the decision. In purely physical science, there

is not much temptation to assume this ulterior office; but those who treat

of human nature and society invariably claim it: they always undertake to

say, not merely what is, but what ought to be. To entitle them to do this,

a complete doctrine of Teleology is indispensable. A scientific theory,

however perfect, of the subject-matter, considered merely as part of the

order of nature, can in no degree serve as a substitute. In this respect

the various subordinate arts afford a misleading analogy. In them there is

seldom any visible necessity for justifying the end, since in general its

desirableness is denied by nobody, and it is only when the question of

precedence is to be decided between that end and some other, that the

general principles of Teleology have to be called in; but a writer on

Morals and Politics requires those principles at every step. The most

elaborate and well-digested exposition of the laws of succession and

co-existence among mental or social phenomena, and of their relation to

one another as causes and effects, will be of no avail toward the art of

Life or of Society, if the ends to be aimed at by that art are left to the

vague suggestions of the _intellectus sibi permissus_, or are taken for

granted without analysis or questioning.

§ 7. There is, then, a _philosophia prima_ peculiar to Art, as there is

one which belongs to Science. There are not only first principles of

Knowledge, but first principles of Conduct. There must be some standard by

which to determine the goodness or badness, absolute and comparative, of

ends, or objects of desire. And whatever that standard is, there can be

but one; for if there were several ultimate principles of conduct, the

same conduct might be approved by one of those principles and condemned by

another; and there would be needed some more general principle, as umpire

between them.

Accordingly, writers on Moral Philosophy have mostly felt the necessity

not only of referring all rules of conduct, and all judgments of praise

and blame, to principles, but of referring them to some one principle;

some rule, or standard, with which all other rules of conduct were

required to be consistent, and from which by ultimate consequence they

could all be deduced. Those who have dispensed with the assumption of such

a universal standard, have only been enabled to do so by supposing that a

moral sense, or instinct, inherent in our constitution, informs us, both

what principles of conduct we are bound to observe, and also in what order

these should be subordinated to one another.

The theory of the foundations of morality is a subject which it would be

out of place, in a work like this, to discuss at large, and which could

not to any useful purpose be treated incidentally. I shall content myself,

therefore, with saying, that the doctrine of intuitive moral principles,

even if true, would provide only for that portion of the field of conduct

which is properly called moral. For the remainder of the practice of life

some general principle, or standard, must still be sought; and if that

principle be rightly chosen, it will be found, I apprehend, to serve quite

as well for the ultimate principle of Morality, as for that of Prudence,

Policy, or Taste.

Without attempting in this place to justify my opinion, or even to define

the kind of justification which it admits of, I merely declare my

conviction, that the general principle to which all rules of practice

ought to conform, and the test by which they should be tried, is that of

conduciveness to the happiness of mankind, or rather, of all sentient

beings; in other words, that the promotion of happiness is the ultimate

principle of Teleology.(290)

I do not mean to assert that the promotion of happiness should be itself

the end of all actions, or even of all rules of action. It is the

justification, and ought to be the controller, of all ends, but it is not

itself the sole end. There are many virtuous actions, and even virtuous

modes of action (though the cases are, I think, less frequent than is

often supposed), by which happiness in the particular instance is

sacrificed, more pain being produced than pleasure. But conduct of which

this can be truly asserted, admits of justification only because it can be

shown that, on the whole, more happiness will exist in the world, if

feelings are cultivated which will make people, in certain cases,

regardless of happiness. I fully admit that this is true; that the

cultivation of an ideal nobleness of will and conduct should be to

individual human beings an end, to which the specific pursuit either of

their own happiness or of that of others (except so far as included in

that idea) should, in any case of conflict, give way. But I hold that the

very question, what constitutes this elevation of character, is itself to

be decided by a reference to happiness as the standard. The character

itself should be, to the individual, a paramount end, simply because the

existence of this ideal nobleness of character, or of a near approach to

it, in any abundance, would go farther than all things else toward making

human life happy, both in the comparatively humble sense of pleasure and

freedom from pain, and in the higher meaning, of rendering life, not what

it now is almost universally, puerile and insignificant, but such as human

beings with highly developed faculties can care to have.

§ 8. With these remarks we must close this summary view of the application

of the general logic of scientific inquiry to the moral and social

departments of science. Notwithstanding the extreme generality of the

principles of method which I have laid down (a generality which, I trust,

is not, in this instance, synonymous with vagueness), I have indulged the

hope that to some of those on whom the task will devolve of bringing those

most important of all sciences into a more satisfactory state, these

observations may be useful, both in removing erroneous, and in clearing up

the true, conceptions of the means by which, on subjects of so high a

degree of complication, truth can be attained. Should this hope be

realized, what is probably destined to be the great intellectual

achievement of the next two or three generations of European thinkers will

have been in some degree forwarded.

THE END.

FOOTNOTES

1 In the later editions of Archbishop Whately’s “Logic,” he states his

meaning to be, not that “rules” for the ascertainment of truths by

inductive investigation can not be laid down, or that they may not

be “of eminent service,” but that they “must always be comparatively

vague and general, and incapable of being built up into a regular

demonstrative theory like that of the Syllogism.” (Book iv., ch.

iv., § 3.) And he observes, that to devise a system for this

purpose, capable of being “brought into a scientific form,” would be

an achievement which “he must be more sanguine than scientific who

expects.” (Book iv., ch. ii., § 4.) To effect this, however, being

the express object of the portion of the present work which treats

of Induction, the words in the text are no overstatement of the

difference of opinion between Archbishop Whately and me on the

subject.

2 Now forming a chapter in his volume on “The Philosophy of

Discovery.”

3 Archbishop Whately.

4 I use these terms indiscriminately, because, for the purpose in

view, there is no need for making any distinction between them. But

metaphysicians usually restrict the name Intuition to the direct

knowledge we are supposed to have of things external to our minds,

and Consciousness to our knowledge of our own mental phenomena.

5 This important theory has of late been called in question by a

writer of deserved reputation, Mr. Samuel Bailey; but I do not

conceive that the grounds on which it has been admitted as an

established doctrine for a century past, have been at all shaken by

that gentleman’s objections. I have elsewhere said what appeared to

me necessary in reply to his arguments. (_Westminster Review_ for

October, 1842; reprinted in “Dissertations and Discussions,” vol.

ii.)

6 The view taken in the text, of the definition and purpose of Logic,

stands in marked opposition to that of the school of philosophy

which, in this country, is represented by the writings of Sir

William Hamilton and of his numerous pupils. Logic, as this school

conceives it, is “the Science of the Formal Laws of Thought;” a

definition framed for the express purpose of excluding, as

irrelevant to Logic, whatever relates to Belief and Disbelief, or to

the pursuit of truth as such, and restricting the science to that

very limited portion of its total province, which has reference to

the conditions, not of Truth, but of Consistency. What I have

thought it useful to say in opposition to this limitation of the

field of Logic, has been said at some length in a separate work,

first published in 1865, and entitled “An Examination of Sir William

Hamilton’s Philosophy, and of the Principal Philosophical Questions

discussed in his Writings.” For the purposes of the present

Treatise, I am content that the justification of the larger

extension which I give to the domain of the science, should rest on

the sequel of the Treatise itself. Some remarks on the relation

which the Logic of Consistency bears to the Logic of Truth, and on

the place which that particular part occupies in the whole to which

it belongs, will be found in the present volume (Book II., chap.

iii., § 9).

_ 7 Computation or Logic_, chap. ii.

8 In the original “had, _or had not_.” These last words, as involving

a subtlety foreign to our present purpose, I have forborne to quote.

9 Vide infra, note at the end of § 3, book ii., chap. ii.

_ 10 Notare_, to mark; _con_notare, to mark _along with_; to mark one

thing _with_ or _in addition to_ another.

11 Archbishop Whately, who, in the later editions of his _Elements of

Logic_, aided in reviving the important distinction treated of in

the text, proposes the term “Attributive” as a substitute for

“Connotative” (p. 22, 9th edit.). The expression is, in itself,

appropriate; but as it has not the advantage of being connected with

any verb, of so markedly distinctive a character as “to connote,” it

is not, I think, fitted to supply the place of the word Connotative

in scientific use.

12 A writer who entitles his book _Philosophy; or, the Science of

Truth_, charges me in his very first page (referring at the foot of

it to this passage) with asserting that _general_ names have

properly no signification. And he repeats this statement many times

in the course of his volume, with comments, not at all flattering,

thereon. It is well to be now and then reminded to how great a

length perverse misquotation (for, strange as it appears, I do not

believe that the writer is dishonest) can sometimes go. It is a

warning to readers when they see an author accused, with volume and

page referred to, and the apparent guarantee of inverted commas, of

maintaining something more than commonly absurd, not to give

implicit credence to the assertion without verifying the reference.

13 “Take the familiar term Stone. It is applied to mineral and rocky

materials, to the kernels of fruit, to the accumulations in the

gall-bladder and in the kidney; while it is refused to polished

minerals (called gems), to rocks that have the cleavage suited for

roofing (slates), and to baked clay (bricks). It occurs in the

designation of the magnetic oxide of iron (loadstone), and not in

speaking of other metallic ores. Such a term is wholly unfit for

accurate reasoning, unless hedged round on every occasion by other

phrases; as building stone, precious stone, gall-stone, etc.

Moreover, the methods of definition are baffled for want of

sufficient community to ground upon. There is no quality uniformly

present in the cases where it is applied, and uniformly absent where

it is not applied; hence the definer would have to employ largely

the license of striking off existing applications, and taking in new

ones.”—BAIN, _Logic_, ii., 172.

14 Before quitting the subject of connotative names, it is proper to

observe, that the first writer who, in our times, has adopted from

the schoolmen the word _to connote_, Mr. James Mill, in his

_Analysis of the Phenomena of the Human Mind_, employs it in a

signification different from that in which it is here used. He uses

the word in a sense co-extensive with its etymology, applying it to

every case in which a name, while pointing directly to one thing

(which is consequently termed its signification), includes also a

tacit reference to some other thing. In the case considered in the

text, that of concrete general names, his language and mine are the

converse of one another. Considering (very justly) the signification

of the name to lie in the attribute, he speaks of the word as

_noting_ the attribute, and _connoting_ the things possessing the

attribute. And he describes abstract names as being properly

concrete names with their connotation dropped; whereas, in my view,

it is the _de_notation which would be said to be dropped, what was

previously connoted becoming the whole signification.

In adopting a phraseology at variance with that which so high an

authority, and one which I am less likely than any other person to

undervalue, has deliberately sanctioned, I have been influenced by

the urgent necessity for a term exclusively appropriated to express

the manner in which a concrete general name serves to mark the

attributes which are involved in its signification. This necessity

can scarcely be felt in its full force by any one who has not found

by experience how vain is the attempt to communicate clear ideas on

the philosophy of language without such a word. It is hardly an

exaggeration to say, that some of the most prevalent of the errors

with which logic has been infected, and a large part of the

cloudiness and confusion of ideas which have enveloped it, would, in

all probability, have been avoided, if a term had been in common use

to express exactly what I have signified by the term to connote. And

the schoolmen, to whom we are indebted for the greater part of our

logical language, gave us this also, and in this very sense. For

though some of their general expressions countenance the use of the

word in the more extensive and vague acceptation in which it is

taken by Mr. Mill, yet when they had to define it specifically as a

technical term, and to fix its meaning as such, with that admirable

precision which always characterizes their definitions, they clearly

explained that nothing was said to be connoted except _forms_, which

word may generally, in their writings, be understood as synonymous

with _attributes_.

Now, if the word _to connote_, so well suited to the purpose to

which they applied it, be diverted from that purpose by being taken

to fulfill another, for which it does not seem to me to be at all

required; I am unable to find any expression to replace it, but such

as are commonly employed in a sense so much more general, that it

would be useless attempting to associate them peculiarly with this

precise idea. Such are the words, to involve, to imply, etc. By

employing these, I should fail of attaining the object for which

alone the name is needed, namely, to distinguish this particular

kind of involving and implying from all other kinds, and to assure

to it the degree of habitual attention which its importance demands.

15 Professor Bain (_Logic_, i., 56) thinks that negative names are not

names of all things whatever except those denoted by the correlative

positive name, but only for all things of some particular class:

_not-white_, for instance, he deems not to be a name for every thing

in nature except white things, but only for every _colored_ thing

other than white. In this case, however, as in all others, the test

of what a name denotes is what it can be predicated of: and we can

certainly predicate of a sound, or a smell, that it is not white.

The affirmation and the negation of the same attribute can not but

divide the whole field of predication between them.

16 Or rather, all objects except itself and the percipient mind; for,

as we shall see hereafter, to ascribe any attribute to an object,

necessarily implies a mind to perceive it.

The simple and clear explanation given in the text, of relation and

relative names, a subject so long the opprobrium of metaphysics, was

given (as far as I know) for the first time, by Mr. James Mill, in

his Analysis of the Phenomena of the Human Mind.

17 On the preceding passage Professor Bain remarks (Logic, i., 265):

“The Categories do not seem to have been intended as a

classification of Namable Things, in the sense of ‘an enumeration of

all kinds of Things which are capable of being made predicates, or

of having any thing predicated of them.’ They seem to have been

rather intended as a generalization of predicates; an analysis of

the final import of predication. Viewed in this light, they are not

open to the objections offered by Mr. Mill. The proper question to

ask is not—In what Category are we to place sensations or other

feelings or states of mind? but, Under what Categories can we

predicate regarding states of mind? Take, for example, Hope. When we

say that it is a state of mind, we predicate Substance: we may also

describe how great it is (Quantity), what is the quality of it,

pleasurable or painful (Quality), what it has reference to

(Relation). Aristotle seems to have framed the Categories on the

plan—Here is an individual; what is the final analysis of all that

we can predicate about him?”

A System of Logic, Ratiocinative and Inductive · 第 31 / 33 章