CHAPTER XIII. GERMAN SPECULATIONS ON PROGRESS

1.

The philosophical views current in Germany during the period in which

the psychology of Locke was in fashion in France and before the genius

of Kant opened a new path, were based on the system of Leibnitz. We

might therefore expect to find a theory of Progress developed there,

parallel to the development in France though resting on different

principles. For Leibnitz, as we saw, provided in his cosmic optimism

a basis for the doctrine of human Progress, and he had himself

incidentally pointed to it. This development, however, was delayed. It

was only towards the close of the period--which is commonly known as

the age of "Illumination"--that Progress came to the front, and it is

interesting to observe the reason.

Wolf was the leading successor and interpreter of Leibnitz. He

constrained that thinker's ideas into a compact logical system which

swayed Germany till Kant swept it away. In such cases it usually

happens that some striking doctrines and tendencies of the master are

accentuated and enforced, while others are suffered to drop out of

sight.

So it was here. In the Wolfian system, Leibnitz's conception of

development was suffered to drop out of sight, and the dynamic element

which animated his speculation disappeared. In particular, he had laid

down that the sum of motive forces in the physical world is constant.

His disciples proceeded to the inference that the sum of morality in

the ethical world is constant. This dogma obviously eliminates the

possibility of ethical improvement for collective humanity. And so we

find Mendelssohn, who was the popular exponent of Wolf's philosophy,

declaring that "progress is only for the individual; but that the whole

of humanity here below in the course of time shall always progress and

perfect itself seems to me not to have been the purpose of Providence."

[Footnote: See Bock, Jakob Wegelin als Geschichtstheoretiker, in

Leipsiger Studien, ix. 4, pp. 23-7 (1902).]

The publication of the Nouveaux Essais in 1765 induced some thinkers to

turn from the dry bones of Wolf to the spirit of Leibnitz himself. And

at the same time French thought was penetrating. In consequence of these

influences the final phase of the German "Illumination" is marked by the

appearance of two or three works in which Progress is a predominating

idea.

We see this reaction against Wolf and his static school in a little

work published by Herder in 1774--"a philosophy of history for the

cultivation of mankind." There is continuous development, he declares,

and one people builds upon the work of another. We must judge past ages,

not by the present, but relatively to their own particular conditions.

What exists now was never possible before, for everything that man

accomplishes is conditioned by time, climate, and circumstances.

Six years later Lessing's pamphlet on the Education of the Human Race

appeared, couched in the form of aphoristic statements, and to a modern

reader, one may venture to say, singularly wanting in argumentative

force. The thesis is that the drama of history is to be explained as the

education of man by a progressive series of religions, a series not yet

complete, for the future will produce another revelation to lift him

to a higher plane than that to which Christ has drawn him up. This

interpretation of history proclaimed Progress, but assumed an ideal and

applied a measure very different from those of the French philosophers.

The goal is not social happiness, but a full comprehension of God.

Philosophy of religion is made the key to the philosophy of history. The

work does not amount to more than a suggestion for a new synthesis, but

it was opportune and arresting.

Herder meanwhile had been thinking, and in 1784 he gave the German world

his survey of man's career--Ideas of the Philosophy of the History of

Humanity. In this famous work, in which we can mark the influence of

French thinkers, especially Montesquieu, as well as of Leibnitz, he

attempted, though on very different lines, the same task which Turgot

and Condorcet planned, a universal history of civilisation.

The Deity designed the world but never interferes in its process,

either in the physical cosmos or in human history. Human history itself,

civilisation, is a purely natural phenomenon. Events are strictly

enchained; continuity is unbroken; what happened at any given time could

have happened only then, and nothing else could have happened.

Herder's rigid determinism not only excludes Voltaire's chance but also

suppresses the free play of man's intelligent will. Man cannot guide his

own destinies; his actions and fortunes are determined by the nature

of things, his physical organisation and physical environment. The

fact that God exists in inactive ease hardly affects the fatalistic

complexion of this philosophy; but it is perhaps a mitigation that the

world was made for man; humanity is its final cause.

The variety of the phases of civilisation that have appeared on earth

is due to the fact that the possible manifestations of human nature are

very numerous and that they must all be realised. The lower forms are

those in which the best, which means the most human, faculties of our

nature are undeveloped. The highest has not yet been realised. "The

flower of humanity, captive still in its germ, will blossom out one

day into the true form of man like unto God, in a state of which no

terrestrial man can imagine the greatness and the majesty." [Footnote:

Ideen, v. 5.]

Herder is not a systematic thinker--indeed his work abounds in

contradictions--and he has not made it clear how far this full epiphany

results from the experiences of mankind in preceding phases. He believes

that life is an education for humanity (he has taken the phrase of

Lessing), that good progressively develops, that reason and justice

become more powerful. This is a doctrine of Progress, but he distinctly

opposes the hypothesis of a final and unique state of perfection as the

goal of history, which would imply that earlier generations exist for

the sake of the later and suffer in order to ensure the felicity of

remote posterity--a theory which offends his sense of justice and

fitness. On the contrary, man can realise happiness equally in every

stage of civilisation. All forms of society are equally legitimate, the

imperfect as well as the perfect; all are ends in themselves, not mere

stages on the way to something better. And a people which is happy in

one of these inferior states has a perfect right to remain in it.

Thus the Progress which Herder sees is, to use his own geometrical

illustration, a sequence of unequal and broken curves, corresponding

to different maxima and minima. Each curve has its own equation, the

history of each people is subject to the laws of its own environment;

but there is no general law controlling the whole career of humanity.

[Footnote: Ib. xv. 3. The power of ideas in history, which Herder failed

to appreciate, was recognised by a contemporary savant from whom he

might have learned. Jakob Wegelin, a Swiss, had, at the invitation of

Frederick the Great, settled in Berlin, where he spent the last years of

his life and devoted his study to the theory of history. His merit was

to have perceived that "external facts are penetrated and governed by

spiritual forces and guiding ideas, and that the essential and permanent

in history is conditioned by the nature and development of ideas."

(Dierauer, quoted by Bock, op. cit. p. 13.) He believed in the

progressive development of mankind as a whole, but as his learned

brochures seem to have exerted no influence, it would be useless here to

examine more closely his views, which are buried in the transactions

of the Prussian Academy of Science. In Switzerland he came under the

influence of Rousseau and d'Alembert. After he moved to Berlin (1765)

he fell under that of Leibnitz. It may be noted (1) that he deprecated

attempts at writing a universal history as premature until an adequate

knowledge of facts had been gained, and this would demand long

preliminary labours; (2) that he discussed the question whether history

is an indefinite progression or a series of constant cycles, and decided

for the former view. (Memoire sur le cours periodique, 1785).

Bock's monograph is the best study of Wegelin; but see also Flint's

observations in Philosophy of History, vol. i. (1874).]

Herder brought down his historical survey only as far as the sixteenth

century. It has been suggested [Footnote: Javary, De l'idee de progres,

p. 69.] that if he had come down further he might have comprehended

the possibility of a deliberate transformation of societies by the

intelligent action of the human will--an historical force to which he

does not do justice, apparently because he fancied it incompatible

with strict causal sequence. The value of his work does not lie in

the philosophical principles which he applied. Nor was it a useful

contribution to history; of him it has been said, as of Bossuet, that

facts bent like grass under his feet. [Footnote: Jouffroy, Melanges,

p. 81.] But it was a notable attempt to do for human phenomena what

Leibnitz in his Theodicy sought to do for the cosmos, and it pointed

the way to the rationalistic philosophies of history which were to be a

feature of the speculations of the following century.

2.

The short essay of Kant, which he clumsily called the Idea of a

Universal History on a Cosmopolitical Plan, [Footnote: 1784. This work

of Kant was translated by De Quincey (Works, vol. ix. 428 sqq., ed.

Masson), who is responsible for cosmopolitical as the rendering of

weltburgerlich.] approaches the problems raised by the history of

civilisation from a new point of view.

He starts with the principle of invariable law. On any theory of free

will, he says, human actions are as completely under the control of

universal-laws of nature as any other physical phenomena. This is

illustrated by statistics. Registers of births, deaths, and marriages

show that these events occur with as much conformity to laws of nature

as the oscillations of the weather.

It is the same with the great sequence of historical events. Taken alone

and individually, they seem incoherent and lawless; but viewed in their

connection, as due to the action not of individuals but of the human

species, they do not fail to reveal "a regular stream of tendency."

Pursuing their own often contradictory purposes, individual nations and

individual men are unconsciously promoting a process to which if they

perceived it they would pay little regard.

Individual men do not obey a law. They do not obey the laws of instinct

like animals, nor do they obey, as rational citizens of the world would

do, the laws of a preconcerted plan. If we look at the stage of history

we see scattered and occasional indications of wisdom, but the general

sum of men's actions is "a web of folly, childish vanity, and often even

of the idlest wickedness and spirit of destruction."

The problem for the philosopher is to discover a meaning in this

senseless current of human actions, so that the history of creatures who

pursue no plan of their own may yet admit of a systematic form. The clew

to this form is supplied by the predispositions of human nature.

I have stated this problem almost in Kant's words, and as he might have

stated it if he had not introduced the conception of final causes. His

use of the postulate of final causes without justifying it is a defect

in his essay. He identifies what he well calls a stream of tendency with

"a natural purpose." He makes no attempt to show that the succession of

events is such that it cannot be explained without the postulate of a

purpose. His solution of the problem is governed by this conception of

finality, and by the unwarranted assumption that nature does nothing in

vain.

He lays down that all the tendencies to which any creature is

predisposed by its nature must in the end be developed perfectly and

agreeably to their final purpose. Those predispositions in man

which serve the use of his reason are therefore destined to be fully

developed. This destiny, however, cannot be realised in the individual;

it can only be realised in the species. For reason works tentatively,

by progress and regress. Each man would require an inordinate length of

time to make a perfect use of his natural tendencies. Therefore, as life

is short, an incalculable series of generations is needed.

The means which nature employs to develop these tendencies is the

antagonism which in man's social state exists between his gregarious

and his antigregarious tendencies. His antigregarious nature expresses

itself in the desire to force all things to comply to his own humour.

Hence ambition, love of honour, avarice. These were necessary to raise

mankind from the savage to the civilised state. But for these antisocial

propensities men would be gentle as sheep, and "an Arcadian life would

arise, of perfect harmony and mutual love, such as must suffocate and

stifle all talents in their very germs." Nature, knowing better than man

what is good for the species, ordains discord. She is to be thanked

for competition and enmity, and for the thirst of power and wealth. For

without these the final purpose of realising man's rational nature would

remain unfulfilled. This is Kant's answer to Rousseau.

The full realisation of man's rational nature is possible only in

a "universal civil society" founded on political justice. The

establishment of such a society is the highest problem for the human

species. Kant contemplates, as the political goal, a confederation of

states in which the utmost possible freedom shall be united with the

most rigorous determination of the boundaries of freedom.

Is it reasonable to suppose that a universal or cosmopolitical society

of this kind will come into being; and if so, how will it be brought

about? Political changes in the relations of states are generally

produced by war. Wars are tentative endeavours to bring about new

relations and to form new political bodies. Are combinations and

recombinations to continue until by pure chance some rational

self-supporting system emerges? Or is it possible that no such condition

of society may ever arrive, and that ultimately all progress may be

overwhelmed by a hell of evils? Or, finally, is Nature pursuing her

regular course of raising the species by its own spontaneous efforts

and developing, in the apparently wild succession of events, man's

originally implanted tendencies?

Kant accepts the last alternative on the ground that it is not

reasonable to assume a final purpose in particular natural processes and

at the same time to assume that there is no final purpose in the whole.

Thus his theory of Progress depends on the hypothesis of final causes.

It follows that to trace the history of mankind is equivalent to

unravelling a hidden plan of Nature for accomplishing a perfect civil

constitution for a universal society; since a universal society is

the sole state in which the tendencies of human nature can be fully

developed. We cannot determine the orbit of the development, because the

whole period is so vast and only a small fraction is known to us, but

this is enough to show that there is a definite course.

Kant thinks that such a "cosmopolitical" history, as he calls it, is

possible, and that if it were written it would give us a clew opening up

"a consolatory prospect into futurity, in which at a remote distance we

shall discover the human species seated upon an eminence won by infinite

toil, where all the germs are unfolded which nature has implanted and

its own destination upon this earth accomplished."

3.

But to see the full bearing of Kant's discussion we must understand its

connection with his ethics. For his ethical theory is the foundation and

the motive of his speculation on Progress. The progress on which he lays

stress is moral amelioration; he refers little to scientific or material

progress. For him morality was an absolute obligation founded in the

nature of reason. Such an obligation presupposes an end to be attained,

and this end is a reign of reason under which all men obeying the moral

law mutually treat each other as ends in themselves. Such an ideal state

must be regarded as possible, because it is a necessary postulate of

reason. From this point of view it may be seen that Kant's speculation

on universal history is really a discussion whether the ideal state,

which is required as a subjective postulate in the interest of ethics,

is likely to be realised objectively.

Now, Kant does not assert that because our moral reason must assume the

possibility of this hypothetical goal civilisation is therefore moving

towards it. That would be a fallacy into which he was incapable of

falling. Civilisation is a phenomenon, and anything we know about it can

only be inferred from experience. His argument is that there are actual

indications of progress in this desirable direction. He pointed to the

contemporary growth of civil liberty and religious liberty, and these

are conditions of moral improvement. So far his argument coincides in

principle with that of French theorists of Progress. But Kant goes on

to apply to these data the debatable conception of final causes, and to

infer a purpose in the development of humanity. Only this inference is

put forward as a hypothesis, not as a dogma.

It is probable that what hindered Kant from broaching his theory of

Progress with as much confidence as Condorcet was his perception that

nothing could be decisively affirmed about the course of civilisation

until the laws of its movement had been discovered. He saw that this was

a matter for scientific investigation. He says expressly that the laws

are not yet known, and suggests that some future genius may do for

social phenomena what Kepler and Newton did for the heavenly bodies. As

we shall see, this is precisely what some of the leading French thinkers

of the next generation will attempt to do.

But cautiously though he framed the hypothesis Kant evidently considered

Progress probable. He recognised that the most difficult obstacle to the

moral advance of man lies in war and the burdens which the possibility

of war imposes. And he spent much thought on the means by which war

might be abolished. He published a philosophical essay on Perpetual

Peace, in which he formulated the articles of an international treaty to

secure the disappearance of war. He considered that, while a universal

republic would be the positive ideal, we shall probably have to be

contented with what he calls a negative substitute, consisting in

a federation of peoples bound by a peace-alliance guaranteeing the

independence of each member. But to assure the permanence of this system

it is essential that each state should have a democratic constitution.

For such a constitution is based on individual liberty and civil

equality. All these changes should be brought about by legal reforms;

revolutions--he was writing in 1795---cannot be justified.

We see the influence of Rousseau's Social Contract and that of the Abbe

de Saint-Pierre, with whose works Kant was acquainted. There can be

little doubt that it was the influence of French thought, so powerful

in Germany at this period, that turned Kant's mind towards these

speculations, which belong to the latest period of his life and form a

sort of appendix to his philosophical system. The theory of Progress,

the idea of universal reform, the doctrine of political equality--Kant

examined all these conceptions and appropriated them to the service of

his own highly metaphysical theory of ethics. In this new association

their spirit was changed.

In France, as we saw, the theory of Progress was generally associated

with ethical views which could find a metaphysical basis in the

sensationalism of Locke. A moral system which might be built on

sensation, as the primary mental fact, was worked out by Helvetius. But

the principle that the supreme law of conduct is to obey nature had

come down as a practical philosophy from Rabelais and Montaigne through

Moliere to the eighteenth century. It was reinforced by the theory of

the natural goodness of man. Jansenism had struggled against it and was

defeated. After theology it was the turn of metaphysics. Kant's moral

imperative marked the next stage in the conflict of the two opposite

tendencies which seek natural and ultra-natural sanctions for morality.

Hence the idea of progress had a different significance for Kant and for

its French exponents, though his particular view of the future possibly

in store for the human species coincided in some essential points with

theirs. But his theory of life gives a different atmosphere to the idea.

In France the atmosphere is emphatically eudaemonic; happiness is the

goal. Kant is an uncompromising opponent of eudaemonism. "If we take

enjoyment or happiness as the measure, it is easy," he says, "to

evaluate life. Its value is less than nothing. For who would begin one's

life again in the same conditions, or even in new natural conditions, if

one could choose them oneself, but of which enjoyment would be the sole

end?"

There was, in fact, a strongly-marked vein of pessimism in Kant. One

of the ablest men of the younger generation who were brought up on his

system founded the philosophical pessimism--very different in range and

depth from the sentimental pessimism of Rousseau--which was to play a

remarkable part in German thought in the nineteenth century. [Footnote:

Kant's pessimism has been studied at length by von Hartmann, in Zur

Geschichte und Begrundung des Pessimismus (1880).] Schopenhauer's

unpleasant conclusion that of all conceivable worlds this is the

worst, is one of the speculations for which Kant may be held ultimately

responsible. [Footnote: Schopenhauer recognised progress social,

economic, and political, but as a fact that contains no guarantee

of happiness; on the contrary, the development of the intelligence

increases suffering. He ridiculed the optimistic ideals of comfortable,

well-regulated states. His views on historical development have been

collected by G. Sparlinsky, Schopenhauers Verhaltnis zur Geschichte, in

Berner Studien s. Philosophie, Bd. lxxii. (1910).]

4.

Kant's considerations on historical development are an appendix to his

philosophy; they are not a necessary part, wrought into the woof of his

system. It was otherwise with his successors the Idealists, for whom his

system was the point of departure, though they rejected its essential

feature, the limitation of human thought. With Fichte and Hegel

progressive development was directly deduced from their principles. If

their particular interpretations of history have no permanent value, it

is significant that, in their ambitious attempts to explain the universe

a priori, history was conceived as progressive, and their philosophies

did much to reinforce a conception which on very different principles

was making its way in the world. But the progress which their systems

involved was not bound up with the interest of human happiness, but

stood out as a fact which, whether agreeable or not, is a consequence of

the nature of thought.

The process of the universe, as it appeared to Fichte, [Footnote:

Fichte's philosophy of history will be found in Die Grundzuge des

gegenwartigen Zeitalters (1806), lectures which he delivered at Berlin

in 1804-5.] tends to a full realisation of "freedom"; that is its end

and goal, but a goal that always recedes. It can never be reached; for

its full attainment would mean the complete suppression of Nature. The

process of the world, therefore, consists in an indefinite approximation

to an unattainable ideal: freedom is being perpetually realised more and

more; and the world, as it ascends in this direction, becomes more and

more a realm of reason.

What Fichte means by freedom may be best explained by its opposition to

instinct. A man acting instinctively may be acting quite reasonably,

in a way which any one fully conscious of all the implications and

consequences of the action would judge to be reasonable. But in order

that his actions should be free he must himself be fully conscious of

all those implications and consequences.

It follows that the end of mankind upon earth is to reach a state in

which all the relations of life shall be ordered according to reason,

not instinctively but with full consciousness and deliberate purpose.

This end should govern the ethical rules of conduct, and it determines

the necessary stages of history.

It gives us at once two main periods, the earliest and the latest: the

earliest, in which men act reasonably by instinct, and the latest, in

which they are conscious of reason and try to realise it fully. But

before reaching this final stage they must pass through an epoch in

which reason is conscious of itself, but not regnant. And to reach this

they must have emancipated themselves from instinct, and this process

of emancipation means a fourth epoch. But they could not have wanted

to emancipate themselves unless they had felt instinct as a servitude

imposed by an external authority, and therefore we have to distinguish

yet another epoch wherein reason is expressed in authoritarian

institutions to which men blindly submit. In this way Fichte deduces

five historical epochs: two in which progress is blind, two in which it

is free, and an intermediate in which it is struggling to consciousness.

[Footnote: First Epoch: that of instinctive reason; the age of

innocence. Second: that of authoritarian reason. Third: that of

enfranchisement; the age of scepticism and unregulated liberty. Fourth:

that of conscious reason, as science. Fifth: that of regnant reason, as

art.] But there are no locked gates between these periods; they overlap

and mingle; each may have some of the characteristics of another; and in

each there is a vanguard leading the way and a rearguard lagging behind.

At present (1804) we are in the third age; we have broken with

authority, but do not yet possess a clear and disciplined knowledge of

reason. [Footnote: Three years later, however, Fichte maintained in his

patriotic Discourses to the German Nation (1807) that in 1804 man had

crossed the threshold of the fourth epoch. He asserted that the progress

of "culture" and science will depend henceforward chiefly on Germany.]

Fichte has deduced this scheme purely a priori without any reference

to actual experience. "The philosopher," he says, "follows the a priori

thread of the world-plan which is clear to him without any history;

and if he makes use of history, it is not to prove anything, since his

theses are already proved independently of all history."

Historical development is thus presented as a necessary progress towards

a goal which is known but cannot be reached. And this fact as to the

destiny of the race constitutes the basis of morality, of which

the fundamental law is to act in such a way as to promote the free

realisation of reason upon earth. It has been claimed by a recent critic

that Fichte was the first modern philosopher to humanise morals. He

completely rejected the individualistic conception which underlay

Kantian as well as Christian ethics. He asserted that the true motive of

morality is not the salvation of the individual man but the Progress of

humanity. In fact, with Fichte Progress is the principle of ethics. That

the Christian ideal of ascetic saintliness detached from society has

no moral value is a plain corollary from the idea of earthly Progress.

[Footnote: X. Leon, La Philosophie de Fichte (1902), pp. 477-9.]

One other point in Fichte's survey of history deserves notice--the

social role of the savant. It is the function of the savant to discover

the truths which are a condition of moral progress; he may be said

to incarnate reason in the world. We shall see how this idea played

a prominent part in the social schemes of Saint-Simon and Comte.

[Footnote: Fichte, Ueber die Bestimmung des Gelehrten (1794).]

5.

Hegel's philosophy of history is better known than Fichte's. Like

Fichte, he deduced the phases a priori from his metaphysical principles,

but he condescended to review in some detail the actual phenomena. He

conceived the final cause of the world as Spirit's consciousness of its

own freedom. The ambiguous term "freedom" is virtually equivalent

to self-consciousness, and Hegel defines Universal History as the

description of the process by which Spirit or God comes to the

consciousness of its own meaning. This freedom does not mean that Spirit

could choose at any moment to develop in a different way; its actual

development is necessary and is the embodiment of reason. Freedom

consists in fully recognising the fact.

Of the particular features which distinguish Hegel's treatment, the

first is that he identifies "history" with political history, the

development of the state. Art, religion, philosophy, the creations

of social man, belong to a different and higher stage of Spirit's

self-revelation. [Footnote: The three phases of Spirit are (1)

subjective; (2) objective; (3) absolute. Psychology, e.g., is included

in (1), law and history in (2), religion in (3).] In the second place,

Hegel ignores the primitive prehistoric ages of man, and sets the

beginning of his development in the fully-grown civilisation of China.

He conceives the Spirit as continually moving from one nation to another

in order to realise the successive stages of its self-consciousness:

from China to India, from India to the kingdoms of Western Asia; then

from the Orient to Greece, then to Rome, and finally to the Germanic

world. In the East men knew only that ONE is free, the political

characteristic was despotism; in Greece and Rome they knew that SOME

are free, and the political forms were aristocracy and democracy; in

the modern world they know that ALL are free, and the political form

is monarchy. The first period, he compared to childhood, the second to

youth (Greece) and manhood (Rome), the third to old age, old but not

feeble. The third, which includes the medieval and modern history of

Europe, designated by Hegel as the Germanic world--for "the German

spirit is the spirit of the modern world"--is also the final period. In

it God realises his freedom completely in history, just as in Hegel's

own absolute philosophy, which is final, God has completely understood

his own nature.

And here is the most striking difference between the theories of Fichte

and Hegel. Both saw the goal of human development in the realisation of

"freedom," but, while with Fichte the development never ends as the goal

is unattainable, with Hegel the development is already complete, the

goal is not only attainable but has now been attained. Thus Hegel's is

what we may call a closed system. History has been progressive, but no

path is left open for further advance. Hegel views this conclusion

of development with perfect complacency. To most minds that are not

intoxicated with the Absolute it will seem that, if the present is the

final state to which the evolution of Spirit has conducted, the result

is singularly inadequate to the gigantic process. But his system is

eminently inhuman. The happiness or misery of individuals is a matter of

supreme indifference to the Absolute, which, in order to realise itself

in time, ruthlessly sacrifices sentient beings.

The spirit of Hegel's philosophy, in its bearing on social life, was

thus antagonistic to Progress as a practical doctrine. Progress there

had been, but Progress had done its work; the Prussian monarchical state

was the last word in history. Kant's cosmopolitical plan, the liberalism

and individualism which were implicit in his thought, the democracies

which he contemplated in the future, are all cast aside as a

misconception. Once the needs of the Absolute Spirit have been

satisfied, when it has seen its full power and splendour revealed in

the Hegelian philosophy, the world is as good as it can be. Social

amelioration does not matter, nor the moral improvement of men, nor the

increase of their control over physical forces.

6.

The other great representative of German idealism, who took his

departure from Kant, also saw in history a progressive revelation of

divine reason. But it was the processes of nature, not the career

of humanity, that absorbed the best energies of Schelling, and the

elaboration of a philosophical idea of organic evolution was the

prominent feature of his speculation. His influence--and it was wide,

reaching even scientific biologists--lay chiefly in diffusing this

idea, and he thus contributed to the formation of a theory which was

afterwards to place the idea of Progress on a more imposing base.

[Footnote: Schelling's views notoriously varied at various stages of his

career. In his System of Transcendental Idealism (1800) he distinguished

three historical periods, in the first of which the Absolute reveals

itself as Fate, in the second as Nature, in the third as Providence, and

asserted that we are still living in the second, which began with the

expansion of Rome (Werke, i. 3, p. 603). In this context he says

that the conception of an infinite "progressivity" is included in the

conception of "history," but adds that the perfectibility of the race

cannot be directly inferred. For it may be said that man has no

proper history but turns round on a wheel of Ixion. The difficulty of

establishing the fact of Progress from the course of events lies in

discovering a criterion. Schelling rejects the criterion of moral

improvement and that of advance in science and arts as unpractical

or misleading. But if we see the sole object of history in a gradual

realisation of the ideal state, we have a measure of Progress which can

be applied; though it cannot be proved either by theory or by experience

that the goal will be attained. This must remain an article of faith

(ib. 592 sqq.).]

Schelling influenced, among others, his contemporary Krause, a less

familiar name, who worked out a philosophy of history in which this idea

is fundamental. Krause conceived history, which is the expression of the

Absolute, as the development of life; society as an organism; and

social growth as a process which can be deduced from abstract biological

principles.

[Footnote: Krause divided man's earthly career into three Ages--infancy,

growth, and maturity. The second of these falls into three periods

characterised by (1) polytheism, (2) monotheism (Middle Ages), (3)

scepticism and liberty, and we are now in the third of these periods.

The third Age will witness the union of humanity in a single social

organism, and the universal acceptance of "panentheism" (the doctrine of

the unity of all in God), which is the principle of Krause's philosophy

and religion. But though this will be the final stage on the earth,

Krause contemplates an ulterior career of humanity in other solar

systems.

Krause never attracted attention in England, but he exerted

some influence in France and Spain, and especially in Belgium,

notwithstanding the grotesque jargon in which he obscured his thoughts.

See Flint, Philosophy of History, pp. 474-5. Flint's account of his

speculations is indulgent. The main ideas of his philosophy of history

will be found in the Introduction a la philosophie (ed. 2, 1880) of G.

Tiberghien, a Belgian disciple.]

All these transcendent speculations had this in common that they

pretended to discover the necessary course of human history on

metaphysical principles, independent of experience. But it has been

rightly doubted whether this alleged independence was genuine. We may

question whether any of them would have produced the same sequence of

periods of history, if the actual facts of history had been to them a

sealed book. Indeed we may be sure that they were surreptitiously and

subconsciously using experience as a guide, while they imagined that

abstract principles were entirely responsible for their conclusions. And

this is equivalent to saying that their ideas of progressive movement

were really derived from that idea of Progress which the French thinkers

of the eighteenth century had attempted to base on experience.

The influence, direct and indirect, of these German philosophers reached

far beyond the narrow circle of the bacchants or even the wandbearers

of idealism. They did much to establish the notion of progressive

development as a category of thought, almost as familiar and

indispensable as that of cause and effect. They helped to diffuse the

idea of "an increasing purpose" in history. Augustine or Bossuet might

indeed have spoken of an increasing purpose, but the "purpose" of their

speculations was subsidiary to a future life. The purpose of the German

idealists could be fulfilled in earthly conditions and required no

theory of personal immortality.

This atmosphere of thought affected even intelligent reactionaries who

wrote in the interest of orthodox Christianity and the Catholic Church.

Progressive development is admitted in the lectures on the Philosophy of

History of Friedrich von Schlegel. [Footnote: Translated into English

in 2 vols., 1835.] He denounced Condorcet, and opposed to perfectibility

the corruptible nature of man. But he asserted that the philosophy

of history is to be found in "the principles of social progress."

[Footnote: Op. cit. ii, p. 194, sqq.] These principles are three: the

hidden ways of Providence emancipating the human race; the freewill of

man; and the power which God permits to the agents of evil,--principles

which Bossuet could endorse, but the novelty is that here they are

arrayed as forces of Progress. In fact, the point of von Schlegel's

pretentious, unilluminating book is to rehabilitate Christianity by

making it the key to that new conception of life which had taken shape

among the enemies of the Church.

7.

As biological development was one of the constant preoccupations of

Goethe, whose doctrine of metamorphosis and "types" helped to prepare

the way for the evolutionary hypothesis, we might have expected to find

him interested in theories of social progress, in which theories

of biological development find a logical extension. But the French

speculations on Progress did not touch his imagination; they left him

cool and sceptical. Towards the end of his life, in conversation with

Eckermann, he made some remarks which indicate his attitude. [Footnote:

Gesprache mit Goethe, 23 Oktober 1828.] "'The world will not reach its

goal so quickly as we think and wish. The retarding demons are always

there, intervening and resisting at every point, so that, though there

is an advance on the whole, it is very slow. Live longer and you will

find that I am right.'

"'The development of humanity,' said Eckermann, 'appears to be a matter

of thousands of years.'

"'Who knows?' Goethe replied, 'perhaps of millions. But let humanity

last as long as it will, there will always be hindrances in its way, and

all kinds of distress, to make it develop its powers. Men will become

more clever and discerning, but not better nor happier nor more

energetic, at least except for limited periods. I see the time coming

when God will take no more pleasure in the race, and must again proceed

to a rejuvenated creation. I am sure that this will happen and that the

time and hour in the distant future are already fixed for the beginning

of this epoch of rejuvenation. But that time is certainly a long

way off, and we can still for thousands and thousands of years enjoy

ourselves on this dear old playing-ground, just as it is.'"

That is at once a plain rejection of perfectibility, and an opinion that

intellectual development is no highroad to the gates of a golden city.

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