The ordinary commercial method of valuing mineral deposits recognizes

the two main elements of value above discussed. This method is sometimes

called the _rational_ or _ad valorem_ method. The profit per ton (or per

other unit) of the product is established, on the basis either of past

performance of the property or of experience with other similar

properties. This profit is multiplied by the total tonnage estimated in

the deposit, the estimate including known reserves, probable reserves,

and in some cases possible and prospective reserves. The product of the

profit per ton and the total tonnage gives the total net amount which

will be received; it does not, however, give the present value, because

the commodity cannot all be taken out and sold at once, but must be

mined and absorbed by the market through a considerable period of years.

The returns receivable some years in the future have obviously a lower

proportionate present worth than amounts to be received at once. The

interest rate comes into play, making it necessary to discount each

annual payment for the number of years which will elapse before it is

received. It is evident, therefore, that an estimate of the _life_ of

the property is necessary, involving not only knowledge of the reserves,

but also a forecast of the annual extraction or _rate of depletion_.

As a simple case of _ad valorem_ valuation for illustrative purposes, a

deposit containing 1,000,000 tons in reserve has an estimated output of

100,000 tons a year for ten years, on which the profit per ton has in

the past averaged $1 and is expected to average $1 in the future. Ten

annual instalments or dividends of $100,000 are to be received. The

present value of the total of these instalments is figured by an annuity

method. It is the value upon which the series of dividends will pay

interest at a predetermined rate, in addition to paying to a sinking

fund annual instalments which, safely invested each year at a low rate

of interest (usually 4%), will repay the present value at the end of the

ten years. In our hypothetical case, if an interest rate of 8% be taken,

the present value of $1,000,000, to be received through ten years in ten

equal instalments, is $612,000. In other words, the sum of $612,000 will

be replaced by the sinking fund at the end of ten years, and will pay 8%

interest during this period,--this requiring total receipts of

$1,000,000 in ten equal annual instalments. If the deposit here cited as

an illustration were to be worked out in three years, thus yielding

three annual instalments of $333,000, its value would be $833,000.

Each of the factors entering into this method of valuation covers a wide

range of variables, any one of which may be difficult to determine.

The profit per ton for a given deposit may have been extremely variable

in the past, making it difficult to determine whether the highest or

lowest figure should be projected into the future or whether some

average should be taken; and if an average, whether the time covered by

the average should be long or short. For a small, short-lived deposit

obviously the most recent conditions would be taken into account in

estimating future profits. For a long-lived property there would be more

tendency to consider the long-time average vicissitudes, as reflected in

the average profits of the past. For some mineral commodities there are

cycles of prices, costs, and profits, of more or less definite length,

established during the long past history of the industry; and in such

cases it is desirable in calculating averages to use a period covering

one or more of these cycles, rather than some shorter or longer period.

For many minerals, however, these cycles have been too irregular to

afford a sound basis for future estimates. If the experience of the

property itself is too short to afford a sufficient foundation for

forecasting profits, or if there has been no previous work on the

property, then it is necessary to use averages based on other

properties or other districts; or if there are none strictly

comparable, to build up a hypothetical figure from various estimated

costs of labor, supplies, and transportation, selling prices, etc. In

the estimate of the profit factor, the geologist is not primarily

concerned.

In estimating the total reserves in a mine, geological considerations

nearly always play a large part. An ore body may in some few cases be

completely blocked out by underground work or drilling, eliminating the

necessity for inferring conditions beyond those actually seen; but in

the huge majority of mineral deposits the reserves are not so definitely

known, and it becomes necessary for the geologist, through knowledge of

similar occurrences, through study of the structural features of the

deposit, its origin, and its history, to arrive at some sort of an

estimate of reserves.

In estimating the life of a mineral deposit it is necessary to start

with the figure of total reserves, and from a study of conditions of

mining and of markets to estimate the number of years necessary to

exhaust the deposit. This is a more nearly commercial phase of the

problem, in which the geologist takes only part of the responsibility.

Perhaps more estimates of value have gone wrong because of misjudgment

of this factor than for any other cause. If the physical conditions are

satisfactory, it is easy to assume a rate of extraction and life based

on hope, which experience will not substantiate.

The choice of the interest rate to be used in discounting future

receipts to present worth likewise is a financial and not a geologic

matter. Again, however, the geologist must give consideration to this

factor, in view of the fact that the interest rate must be varied to

cover the different degrees of hazard and doubt in the geologic factors.

For instance, to the extent to which the estimate of ore reserves is

doubtful, it is necessary to use a high rate of interest to allow for

this hazard. In a large, well-developed mineral deposit, with the

geological factors all well known and the demand and market well

established, it is reasonable to use a lower rate of interest. In

general, the mineral industry is regarded in financial circles as being

more hazardous than many other industrial lines; and money is put into

the industry with the expectation of a high rate of interest, no matter

how safe the investment may be. In actual practice interest rates used

in making valuations vary from 6 to 15 or 20 per cent.

It is clear that, where a property has long life, the interest will very

materially reduce the present value of the ores to be mined far in the

future. Reserves to be mined more than thirty years hence have

relatively little or no present value. Beyond a certain point,

therefore, the acquirement and holding of reserves for future use by

private companies has little commercial justification. This is a matter

which is too often not sufficiently well considered. Man's natural

acquisitiveness often leads him into investments which, because of the

time and interest factor, have little chance of successful outcome. Of

course a large corporation, anticipating an indefinitely long life, or

perhaps aiming at monopoly, may afford to hold reserves as a matter of

general insurance longer than a small company,--even though, because of

the interest rate, these reserves have no present value on their books.

It is likewise true that governments, looking forward to the future of

the nation, and without the necessity of paying so much attention to

interest and taxes, are not so limited by this consideration.

An illustration of the limiting effect of the interest rate on the

acquirement of long-lived coal deposits by private interests is

discussed in Chapter XVII on Conservation. Investments made many years

ago have so augmented, even at low interest rates, as to make it

practically impossible to count on a return of capital and interest; or

if the return were to be exacted from the public it would mean excessive

charges, which are not possible in competition with other mines not so

burdened.

In the commercial valuation of oil wells and pools, much the same method

is used as has been described for mineral resources in the solid form,

but the estimate of reserves or life is based on consideration of curves

of production of the sort mentioned on pages 134-136.

The essence of the _ad valorem_ method of valuation above described is

income-producing capacity. This method recognizes the fact that the

value of the mineral deposit depends, not only on its physical

constitution, but also on what performance can be expected from it.

Stock quotations on mineral properties in the standard markets are based

substantially on estimates of income capacity, more or less on the _ad

valorem_ basis. However, the quotations also reflect the hopes and fears

of the public, often resulting in valuations quite different from those

based on studies of the objective conditions.

The war introduced new considerations into the problems of _ad valorem_

valuation. Under peace conditions there is a tendency toward the

establishment of normal costs, selling prices, and markets, which can be

taken more or less for granted by anyone attempting to value mineral

deposits. Under war and post-war conditions, few of these elements can

be taken for granted; it becomes necessary to consider the entire world

situation in regard to a mineral commodity, the effects of the Peace

Treaty (which greatly concerns minerals), future international

relations, tariffs, and other matters of a similar sort. If a person

were today valuing a manganese deposit according to the method above

outlined, and were to confine himself solely to a narrow consideration

of past markets and profits on individual properties, he would be very

likely to go wrong,--for the world manganese situation has an immediate

and practical bearing on each local problem (see pp. 173-176).

OTHER METHODS OF MINERAL VALUATION AND TAXATION

We have discussed the _ad valorem_ method of valuation at some length

because it is the one in widest commercial use, and also because the

principles involved underlie practically all other methods of mineral

valuation. The _ad valorem_ method is used in appraisals for taxation in

some districts and for some commodities, as, for instance, the iron

mines of Michigan and Wisconsin. Its application, however, requires

skill and judgment if equitable results are to be secured. For taxation

purposes, therefore, it is not uncommon to adopt purely arbitrary or

empirical methods which eliminate the element of judgment, and which

often result in valuations quite different from those used commercially.

The state of Minnesota divides its iron ore deposits into a series of

classes, on each of which a more or less arbitrary flat value per ton is

placed, based on the spread between cost and selling price. The

adjustments of flat values on the several classes through a series of

years, however, as well as the assigning of specific ores to the

different classes, have been based on the same factors as are used in

_ad valorem_ valuations.

The state of Wisconsin uses a so-called "equated income" method of

valuation and taxation for the lead and zinc deposits of the

southwestern part of the state. Under this method the state puts such a

tax on the mine incomes for the preceding year as will yield

approximately the same total return as under the _ad valorem_

method,--the whole being based on the assumption that each deposit has

about the average life figured for the mines of the entire district. So

far as individual ore deposits vary from this average life, the value

fixed departs from the true or _ad valorem_ value.

Several states impose specific taxes based on the operations of the

mines for the preceding year or for some combination of preceding years,

as expressed in tonnage output or net profits or net proceeds,

regardless of life or reserves. So far as output or net proceeds for a

year are proportional to the real value of the property, a rough

approximation to equitable taxation as between mines is accomplished.

Often, however, the valuation thus obtained has little relation to the

true value, because it does not take into account the great differences

between properties in reserves, in life, and in capacity for future

profit.

Income taxes, national and state, are of course based on the profits of

the preceding year; but in the collection of these taxes from mineral

operations, it is recognized that mineral deposits are wasting assets,

and therefore a considerable part of the income may under the law be

regarded as a distribution of capital assets, and be deducted from

taxable income. The amount to be deducted obviously depends on the size

of the reserves and the life,--with the result that progressive

adjustment of income tax valuations tends to take into consideration

exactly the same factors as are used in the _ad valorem_ method. It is

obviously unjust, for instance, to collect the same proportion of tax

from the annual income of a mine which has a life of only two years as

from a mine which has a life of fifty years. Under the federal income

tax a capital value is placed on the mineral deposit as of March 1,

1913, which total capital value may be increased with subsequent

discoveries. As the ore is taken out of the ground and sold, income tax

is paid only on the difference between the assigned capital value per

unit and the selling profit. If, for instance, the capital value as of

March 1, 1913, is placed at 50c. per ton of mineral in the ground, and

ten years later a ton is sold for a profit of $1, income tax is paid on

50c. The figure of 50c. per ton as value in the ground is actually

obtained by estimating a profit, when the ore is ultimately mined and

sold, of $1 per ton, and discounting this dollar to present worth as of

March 1, 1913. Therefore the total amounts on which taxes are paid

during the life of the mine should represent approximately the total

accruals of interest from March 1, 1913. In this manner the proportion

of annual income to be taxed becomes larger with the length of the life

period. With a deposit having a life of thirty years the net result is

that about half of the aggregate income is taxed, though this figure of

course varies somewhat with the interest rate used.

In the collection of income taxes from coal mines in England, and in the

collection of certain state income taxes in the United States, a

considerably smaller allowance is made for the retirement of capital

value (or for _depletion_, as this is commonly called). In these cases

the deduction allowed is a small fixed percentage of the capital value,

regardless of the actual life of the property.

The treatment of mineral resources as wasting assets in the United

States income tax law meets one considerable practical difficulty--namely,

that the law really requires physical or _ad valorem_ valuation of

every mineral property by the government, as a check on the claims for

depletion allowance. This immense and expensive task is too much for the

tax collection agencies as now organized, and it may be questionable

whether it will ever be desirable to expand these agencies to the extent

required for such a purpose. This is the principal argument for the use

of arbitrary depletion factors such as those sometimes used abroad.

There are many advocates of the straight tonnage tax on mineral

deposits, on the ground that it is simple, definite, and easily applied.

The present tendency is to extend the application of this form of tax.

It is clear, however, that to assume the same value per ton for taxing

purposes on a property making a large profit, and on another property

which, because of physical conditions, is barely able to operate at a

profit, imposes a relative injustice. To meet this difficulty, it is

sometimes proposed that the tonnage tax should be graded in such a

manner as to allow for differences in physical conditions and in profit

at different mines. When one attempts to apply a graded tonnage tax,

however, it soon becomes apparent that, in order to make such a

valuation equitable as between properties, it is necessary to use all

of the factors of the _ad valorem_ method for each of the properties.

The wide appeal of arguments for a flat tonnage tax is based partly on

popular misconception of the complexity of elements entering into

mineral valuations.

There are many forms of more or less indirect tax which are substituted

in different parts of the world for direct taxes. For instance, certain

states in South America do not tax ores in the ground, but collect the

revenue in the form of mining licenses or export taxes.

GENERAL COMMENTS ON TAXATION OF MINERAL RESOURCES

There has been a noticeable tendency in recent years to regard mineral

resources as a heritage of the people, to be held in trust, rather than

as property to be acquired and managed solely for private interest. This

tendency has been indicated by the adoption in various parts of the

world of laws affecting rights to explore and acquire minerals on the

public domain; laws relating to the right of eminent domain over

minerals already alienated from the government; laws regulating the

exploitation of minerals in the interests of conservation; laws relating

to tariffs and other restrictions on the export of mineral commodities;

and laws relating to taxation.

The feeling that mineral resources really do not belong in private hands

has undoubtedly been an underlying factor in the imposition of heavy

taxes. Contributing to this action also are the popular belief in the

intrinsic bonanza values in mineral resources, the failure to recognize

the large element of value which is put into such resources by human

efforts, and the failure to realize that the social surplus in the

aggregate is small. To some tax officials an ore is an ore, more or less

regardless of situation, of conditions of mining, of the demand for the

product, and of the time when the demand will allow the ore to be

mined,--in short, more or less regardless of what the ore may be made to

yield as a going business. In this way heavy taxes are sometimes imposed

on mineral reserves, which are based on unwarrantably high appraisals of

future possibilities, and which cannot be paid out of earnings.

Ultimately, a tax must be adjusted to the capacity of the mine to pay

out of its earnings, and this capacity in turn is determined both by the

physical characters of the ore and by the success with which it may be

made available for consumption. This view of valuation for taxing

purposes is sometimes opposed by mining men on the grounds that it taxes

brains, skill, and initiative, and that it puts a premium on shiftless

management. The same argument might be applied to the valuing of any

business or profession. To the writer the argument is not sound, in that

it fails to recognize the element of human energy in resource values. If

value were to be confined solely to the intrinsic character of the ore

itself, there would be required an almost impossible degree of

discrimination on the part of taxing officials to dissociate this value

from other considerations; and there would be required further the

differentiation between efficient and inefficient management, which

involves so many considerations that the conclusion would be worthless.

In the application of income taxes to mining operations, there is

sometimes another tendency toward over-taxation in that the income is

regarded as more or less permanent, and insufficient allowance is made

for exhaustion of the mineral deposit. Under the United States income

tax, mineral deposits are definitely recognized as wasting assets and

this factor is allowed for; but in state income taxes and in England and

other parts of the world, allowances for this purpose are small.

There is wide belief that heavy taxation of mineral resources,

particularly on the _ad valorem_ basis, retards exploration and prevents

the development of the reserves which are necessary to stabilize the

mineral industry. High taxes have undoubtedly had this effect in some

cases, especially where taxes have been imposed on resources long prior

to development; but, in the writer's view, this tendency in general has

not yet passed the danger point, and is not likely to do so until taxes

become positively confiscatory of the industry. To argue that increase

of taxes may even have certain beneficial results on the mineral

industry may lead to suspicion of one's mental soundness; but it is hard

to escape the conclusion that the incidence of high taxes has led to a

much more careful study of the question of reserves, has eliminated in

some cases the expenditure of money for development of excessive

reserves to be used far in the future, and has tended to prevent

over-production.

Where mineral reserves are developed too far ahead of demand, the

interest on the investment piles up an economic loss to be charged

against the industry. It may be assumed that the urge for exploration

will continue as long as there is demand for mineral resources; and

that, to keep the industry on a sound basis, a certain amount should be

set aside and charged to cost for the purpose of keeping up reserves in

a proper ratio to production. Much remains to be learned about the most

desirable ratio between reserves and production. In many camps, before

the incidence of high taxes, this ratio was not properly determined; and

there was a tendency, due to natural acquisitiveness and in the absence

of anything to hinder it, to build up reserves indefinitely. The first

effect of high taxes in such camps has frequently been the curtailment

of exploration and development. Later, as production has begun to

approach the end of the reserves, exploration has been resumed, but only

on a scale necessary to insure production for a limited period in

advance.

The argument that high taxes inhibit exploration is good only beyond the

point where the industry itself becomes no longer profitable. If there

is sufficient demand for the resource, it is obvious that such a

condition cannot long continue; for, as production and the development

of reserves fall off, the resulting increase in the price received for

the product is likely to offset any effect of taxes, and to restimulate

production and exploration.

Nevertheless, in this period of high taxes following the war, there is

much discouragement in the matter of exploration, suggesting that the

danger point is being approached. Some relief has been afforded by

recent special provisions of the federal income tax law, recognizing

mineral resources as wasting assets, allowing recent discoveries to be

included with total assets for depletion purposes, and recognizing

special and peculiar circumstances with reference to each mine. Also a

certain amount of exploration goes on through the momentum gained from

past conditions, without sufficiently full recognition of the effect of

present high taxes. This is not surprising when it is remembered that

the people actively engaged in field exploration often do not think

sufficiently fully of the tax situation, until after a discovery or

development has brought them face to face with it.

Because of the vital importance of the reserve factor in mineral

valuation, geologic aid and advice are extensively sought by both public

and private organizations. Mining geologists are playing an important

part in the application of the national income tax. A larger number are

acting for private companies in appraisals required by this tax. Many

geologists are used in making valuations for state taxes, and in two

cases the state geological surveys have complete charge of appraisals.

These appraisals include not only examinations of specific properties,

but general surveys of large regions, to ascertain possible values of

undeveloped lands and to establish broad principles of valuation based

on a consideration of all the physical factors in the situation.

CHAPTER XVI

LAWS RELATING TO MINERAL RESOURCES

This heading is likely to suggest mining law and the vast literature

devoted to it. Mining law has mainly to do with questions of the

ownership and leasing of mineral deposits. In addition, there are laws

relating to the extraction of mineral products, including those having

to do with methods of mining and with safety and welfare measures. There

are laws affecting the distribution of mineral products, such as those

relating to tariffs, duties, international trade agreements, and many

other matters. There are laws relating to underground water, to shore

lines, and to various geologic engineering fields.

In the formulation of these laws, as well as in the litigation growing

out of their infraction, basic geologic principles are involved; and

thus it is that the geologist finds much practice in the application of

his science to legal questions. It will be convenient to consider some

of the laws relating to mineral resources under three headings: first,

ownership and control; second, extraction; and third, distribution.

I

LAWS RELATING TO OWNERSHIP AND CONTROL OF MINERAL RESOURCES

Large use of mineral resources is of comparatively recent date. Some of

the mineral industries are not more than a decade or two old and the

greater number of them are scarcely a century old. In the United States

the mineral industry dates mainly from the gold rush to California in

1849. The formulation of laws relating to the ownership of minerals has

on the whole followed rather than preceded the development of the

mineral industries; and hence mining laws relating to ownership are not

of great age, although historical precedent may be traced far back.

ON ALIENATED LANDS

Where lands came into private ownership, or were "alienated" from the

governments before the formulation of mining laws, varied procedures

have been followed in different countries.

In England and the United States, under the old regime in Russia, and to

a slight extent in other parts of the world, mineral titles remain with

the owner of the land and the government does not exercise the right of

eminent domain. But even in England, where private property rights have

been held peculiarly sacred, the discovery of oil during the later years

of the war led to an attempt to expropriate the oil rights for the

government. Because of the objection of landowners this attempt has not

reached the statute books, but the movement is today an extremely live

political question in England. A somewhat similar question is involved

also in the movement to nationalize the coal resources of England, now

being so vigorously urged by the labor party. In the United States, no

serious attempt has yet been made to take over mineral resources from

private ownership.

Other countries have gone farther in retroactive measures in regard to

alienated lands. Under the leadership of France, most of the countries

of western Europe have appropriated to their governments the

undiscovered mineral resources on private ground, particularly those

beneath the surface, except where previously they had been specifically

conveyed to the private owners, or with the exception of certain

designated areas and minerals which had been conveyed to private

ownership prior to certain dates. Some minerals occurring at the

surface, variously specified and defined in different countries, are

allowed to remain with the private owners, although often subject to

government regulation in regard to their development and use.

In varying degree this treatment of mineral resources on alienated lands

is followed in the British colonial laws--in South Africa, Australia,

New Zealand, and Canada--and in the Latin-American laws. The laws are

usually based on specified classifications of minerals. Those occurring

at or near the surface, and called "quarries," "placer deposits,"

"non-mines," or "surface deposits," usually remain with the surface

owners. Those beneath the surface, called "sub-surface deposits" or

"mines," in general belong to the government. In some of the countries

of South America the state exercises eminent domain even over the

surface deposits; and in others even sub-surface minerals remain in

private ownership, where specifically granted, or where the transfer of

property took place prior to certain dates.

Where the government has acquired mineral ownership of lands previously

alienated, the resources are open for development either by the owners

of the surface or by others, on a rental, lease, specific tax, labor, or

concession basis. The government holds the title, exacts tribute, and

more or less directs and controls the operation. Exceptionally, as in

Ontario, British Columbia, Quebec, and Newfoundland, the government

grants patents, that is, it disposes of its rights to purchasers.

ON THE PUBLIC DOMAIN

Where the development of mineral resources began before the lands had

passed from governmental ownership, special mining laws were enacted.

Looked at broadly, these laws may be regarded as based on two partly

conflicting considerations.

(1) The assumption that mineral resources, which are wasting assets,

accumulated through long geologic periods, are peculiarly public

property,--not to be allowed to go into private ownership, but to be

treated as a heritage for the people as a whole and to be transferred to

posterity in the best possible condition. Some of the early minerals to

be developed were used either for money or for war purposes, leading

naturally to the acceptance of the idea that these belonged to the

government or to the sovereign.

(2) The assumption that the discovery and development of mineral

resources requires a free field for individual initiative, and that the

fewest possible obstacles are to be put in the way of private ownership.

Governments have not as a rule been greatly interested nor particularly

successful in exploration. Therefore, in framing laws of ownership,

concessions have been made to encourage private initiative in

exploration and development. In the case of the United States this idea

was coupled with the broad doctrine that the government held public

lands only in the interest of the people, and that its people were

entitled to secure these lands for private ownership with the least

possible restriction.

A survey of the mining laws affecting the public domain or

non-alienated lands of different parts of the world, as well as the

history of changes in the mining laws, indicates a wide range of

relative emphasis on these two underlying considerations. In the United

States, at one extreme, the laws have been such as to give the maximum

possible freedom to private initiative, and to allow easy acquirement of

mineral resources from the government. At the other extreme, in South

Africa, Australia, and South America, it is impossible for the

individual to secure title in fee simple from the government; he must

develop the mineral resources on what amounts to a lease or rental

basis, the ownership remaining in the government.

The trend of events in mineral laws is toward the latter procedure. This

is evidenced in the United States by the withdrawal of large areas of

public lands from entry, and by the recent enactment substituting

leasing privileges for specified minerals for the outright ownership

which was allowed under the federal law before the lands were withdrawn

from entry. The withdrawal of oil lands from public entry in other parts

of the world is another illustration (see pp. 131-132).

NATIONALIZATION OF MINERAL RESOURCES

Nationalization, as this term is popularly understood, means financial

control and management of mineral resources by the government, either

through actual ownership or through measures of public control designed

to eliminate private interest from the active direction of the

resources. In a broader sense, it may be used to include a considerable

variety of restrictive and coercive measures adopted by the government

in the proposed interests of public welfare,--as illustrated by the

war-time measures instituted by the United States and other governments

relating to the mining and distribution of coal, and to coal prices. In

this broader sense various aspects of nationalization are indicated

under other headings in this and other chapters.

It is clear that other countries of the world have gone farther in the

direction of nationalization of mineral resources than the United

States. The tendency was manifest before the war, and has been strongly

emphasized during and since the war. In the United States,

notwithstanding war-time measures, the subject has not yet come

prominently forward, at least by name. On the other hand, there has been

growing recognition of the dependence of public welfare on the proper

handling of mineral resources--particularly of the energy resources,

coal and oil,--as evidenced by a variety of proposals and measures under

consideration in legislative and administrative branches of our national

and state governments. Even taxation, both local and national, has in

effect reached a stage where private interest has become considerably

minimized by the increasing burdens laid on the industry by government

requirements. The immediate purpose of taxation is to raise money for

the needs of the government; but in the formulation of tax measures

there is clearly to be discerned a growth of underlying sentiment that

natural resources belong in some fashion to the public, and that private

control is to be regarded not as a sacred property right but as a trust

held on sufferance of the public.

In view of the obvious trend toward nationalization in other parts of

the world and the significant tendencies in the United States, it seems

likely that the subject of nationalization of mineral resources will

come prominently to the front in this country in the comparatively near

future. If so, it is time that students of mineral resources should

recognize the comprehensiveness of this problem, and should attempt to

develop basic principles to serve as a guide in the direction and

formulation of the numerous and complex measures which are sure to be

proposed. At present there is no government or technical organization

related to the industry which is studying the problem in its broader

aspects and is in a position to advise wisely with public officials

interested in this problem.

It is beyond the scope of this book to discuss the pro and con of an

economic question of this magnitude. The writer would, however, record

his belief, which is implied also in discussions in other chapters, that

the discovery and intelligent management of mineral resources by their

very nature and infinite variety require private initiative, and that

the history of government efforts in this field in this and other

countries does not promise that nationalization can supply sufficient

advantages to counterbalance the loss of this element. With this view

the problem of nationalization becomes one of determining what steps, if

any, can be taken by a government to the advantage of public welfare,

which will at the same time preserve and foster private initiative,

exercised with the hope of reward, which seems alone to be capable of

meeting the variable, elastic, and complex problems inherent in the

development of a natural resource.

A first step toward a broad scientific attack on this problem would be

the recognition of the fact that tariffs, taxes, conservation,

international mineral questions, leasing laws, and various technical

investigations of minerals are but parts of a great unit problem. With

this recognition there should follow naturally an attempt to correlate

and direct the many government agencies, legislative and administrative,

now concerned with different aspects of the problem. Under present

conditions, the various elements of the problem are considered by

different groups of persons, without sufficient contacts or correlation

to promise the development of a broad, underlying policy.

EFFECT OF OWNERSHIP LAWS ON EXPLORATION

The nature and the progress of exploration (and development) in

different countries have been more or less related to the character of

the mining laws.

Where the mineral resource has passed from government control into

private ownership, exploration is a matter of commercial arrangement

between the explorer and the owner. There is often some lag in

exploration, especially where the lands are held in considerable blocks.

The owner is often not inclined, or unable, to institute effective

exploration himself; and even though he is willing to offer favorable

exploration terms to others, the inducement is often less attractive

than on government lands. For instance, it is stated that in England,

due to the many requirements of law and custom, it takes on an average

eight years, and in some cases even longer, to close a coal lease after

the terms have been agreed upon. The slowness of exploration and

development on the great land grants in the United States, and on the

tracts of the large timber companies, also illustrates the retarding

effect of private ownership. It is partly this situation that is making

governments increasingly careful about parting with mineral ownership,

and that is leading to the introduction of more or less coercive

measures, either to regain control or to make it easier for the public

to explore and develop minerals on privately owned lands. Under the

great land grants to railroads in the United States it is becoming

increasingly difficult to secure mineral patents from the government;

and there has been litigation between government and grantees, as in the

case of certain oil lands of the Southern Pacific Railway. The taxation

in some states of mineral rights which have been reserved by large

owners is indirectly resulting in appraisal of these rights by the

owners and in efforts to utilize them. As long as mineral rights were

not taxed independently of surface rights, they were often reserved in

selling surface rights on the mere chance that mineral might be found in

the future, and thereby general exploration and development were held

back.

In the United States, minerals on the public domain have been open to

exploration and acquirement with minimum restrictions, except for the

considerable areas later withdrawn from entry. After long delay a part

of these withdrawn lands are again open to private exploration, but not

to fee ownership. Specified minerals--coal, oil, phosphates, and

potash--may be explored for, and may be leased under certain

restrictions as to amount and time of development. The effect of this

act on exploration is yet to be proved; but since many of the lands have

now been shown to be favorable for minerals which are in great demand,

there is little doubt that exploration will be resumed on a large scale.

On the whole, under the federal mining laws of the United States the

individual prospector has maximum leeway,--and from the standpoint of

development of resources this procedure probably has been justified.

In other countries where the mineral resources are owned by the

government, there is in most cases considerable restriction, through

licenses and other regulative measures, upon the activities of

prospectors. This restriction, together with the fact that it is usually

not possible to secure title to the land, but only to secure rights

through rental or leasing, is to some extent a deterring influence on

the penniless prospector. It does not follow that under these conditions

exploration and development are absent. The charges imposed are light,

and in the early stages require comparatively small contributions as

evidence of good faith. It is to be remembered that exploration has

become concentrated more and more into the hands of persons financially

able to meet such conditions. Exploration is passing from the highly

hazardous stage of individual effort into a systematic business with

calculable returns.

USE OF GEOLOGY IN RELATION TO OWNERSHIP LAWS

The contacts between geology and laws relating to mineral ownership are

many and varied; a few illustrative examples are offered.

Many difficulties arise from the loose use of mineral names in these

laws. The laws governing location of mineral deposits in Cuba are so

framed that iron ores may be located and claimed from the government

either as "iron ores" or as "bog ores and yellow ochers." Some of the

important ores of eastern Cuba, now being extensively used in the United

States, came into litigation because rival claimants had overlapping

claims under the two classifications. The wording of the law is of

course ambiguous, and suggests that geologists did not have a hand in

its framing. To establish title to these claims it was necessary to show

whether these ores had been rightfully located as iron ores, or whether

they should have been located as bog ores and yellow ochers. This

involved an analysis of the geological conditions, to show that the ores

are the result of normal weathering and concentration in place of the

underlying rocks--an origin common to many iron ore deposits,--and that

they do not have the characteristic origin of bog ores. In short, the

question was settled on the scientific principles of origin of ores and

of metamorphic geology.

The efforts of our federal government to frame and apply mining laws to

public lands have involved extensive geological and mining surveys by

the United States Geological Survey and the Bureau of Mines. The land

classification work for this purpose by the Geological Survey has been

of wide scope. The recently enacted leasing law, which opens up

government lands for exploration of coal, oil, potash, and phosphate,

requires carefully prepared geologic data for its proper administration.

State governments also have initiated surveys of an exploring nature for

taxing and other public purposes (see pp. 306, 311).

In the United States there is a wide use of geologists as witnesses in

litigation affecting "extralateral rights." The federal mining law gives

the owner of the claim containing the "apex" or top of a mineral vein

or lode the right to follow the vein down the dip, with certain

limitations, even though this takes him on to adjacent properties under

other ownership. Where two branches of a vein are followed down from

separate claims, the owner of the oldest claim is entitled to the vein

below the point of junction. The law was framed to validate a procedure

more or less established by mining custom. It was obviously framed with

a very simple and precise conception in mind--namely, a simple vein

definitely and easily followed, without much interruption or contortion.

In nature, however, veins or lodes have a most astonishing variety of

form and occurrence, making it difficult to frame a definition that is

comprehensive and at the same time sufficiently precise for all cases. A

commonly used definition of a vein or lode is a mineralized mass of rock

which is followed for purposes of finding ore. The mineral matter may be

continuous or discontinuous. There may be one definite wall, or two

walls, or none at all. There may be associated gouges and altered or

mineralized rock. The vein may consist of almost any combination of the

elements of mineral matter, walls, gouges, and mineralized rock. Instead

of being a simple tabular sheet, a vein may have almost any conceivable

shape; it may consist of multiple strands of most complex relations; it

may have branches and cross-over connections. It may be a more or less

mineralized sedimentary formation with limits determined by original

deposition. It is very often bent or folded, and even more often

faulted; the faulting may be of great complexity, making it extremely

difficult to follow the vein. The vein may be cut by other veins of

different ages, which in places may be hard to distinguish one from

another. Erosion working down on a complex vein displaced by faulting

and folding may bring several parts of the same vein to the surface,

developing what seem to be separate vein apices. Where there are many

veins close together, it may be difficult to determine whether the

entire mass should be considered a unit vein or lode (a "broad lode"),

or whether each vein should be considered independently under the law.

The geologic aspects of these problems are obvious. There are few mining

districts where the vein conditions are so simple that no geological

problems are left to be solved with relation to extralateral rights. In

the early stages of the mining, separate operations may be carried on

for a considerable time in a district without mutual interference; but

as mining is carried down the dip, what seemed to be separate veins may

be found to be parts of the same vein or parts of a complex vein system,

and separate mining organizations are thus brought into conflict. It

then becomes necessary either to consolidate the ownerships or to go to

the courts to see which claim has the extralateral rights. In either

case, the geologist is called on to play a large part,--in the valuation

of rights for the purpose of combination, or in litigation to settle

apex rights. A geologic survey of the conditions is a prerequisite. In

order to get the needed information for the courtroom, it may be

necessary to go further, and to conduct extensive underground

exploration under geologic direction. Some of the most intensive and

complete geological surveys of mineral resources in existence have been

done for litigation purposes. The study in these cases is not empirical,

but goes into every conceivable scientific aspect of the situation which

may throw any light on the underground conditions--the source of the

ores, the nature and source of the solutions which deposited them, their

paths of travel, the structural and metamorphic conditions, the

mineralogical and chemical character of the ores and rocks, and even

broader questions of geologic age. The many volumes of testimony which

have accumulated during famous apex trials cover almost every phase of

geology, and are important primary sources for the student of economic

geology.

It is often argued that strictly scientific, impartial geologic work is

impossible in connection with one of these trials, because the viewpoint

is warped by the desire to win. The sharp contrast in the views of

experts on the two sides is cited in evidence.

There is no denying the fact that the conditions of a trial tend toward

a certain warp in scientific perspective. On the other hand, the very

existence of competitive and opposing interests leads to the most

intensive detailed study, and to complete disclosure of the facts. In

most cases there are no substantial differences in the statements of

scientific fact by reputable experts on the two sides, although there

may be wide differences in the inferences drawn from these facts. The

failure to note a fact, or any distortion or misstatement of a fact, is

followed so quickly by correction or criticism from the other side, that

the professional witness usually takes the utmost pains to make his

statement of fact scientific and precise as far as his ability goes. Few

scientific treatises in geology contain any more accurate accounts of

mineral deposits than testimony in cases of this sort. If every student

of geology, early in his career, could have a day on the witness stand

on a geologic problem, under both direct and cross examination, he would

learn once and for all the necessity for close and accurate thinking,

the difference between a fact and an inference, and the difference

between inductive study of facts and the subjective approach to a

problem.

It is a common assumption that a witness called to testify on scientific

matters is on a somewhat different basis from the eye-witness to an

event or transaction. We are not sure that this assumption is justified.

Seldom is it possible in mining operations to disclose the facts in

three dimensions so completely that they may be empirically observed and

platted by the layman. The grouping and presentation of the facts in

adequate perspective require an analysis of the origin of the ores and

rocks, the rock alterations, the structural systems, and other facts. No

one ever saw the vein or lode in the process of formation. The true

nature of the event and of its physical results must be inferred

inductively from circumstantial evidence. If it be conceded that it is

necessary and right to call an eye-witness to an event involved in

litigation, it is equally necessary where there are no eye-witnesses to

call the persons best qualified to interpret the circumstantial

evidence.

It is to be remembered that apex cases are only one kind of a vast

variety of cases affecting mineral resources. At one time or another,

and in some connection or another, practically every geologist of

considerable experience has found it necessary to testify on geologic

matters in court. The wide interest attaching to certain spectacular

apex cases has led in some quarters to hasty criticism of the

participation of geologists therein, without apparent recognition of the

fact that the criticism applies in principle to many other kinds of

litigation and to practically all economic geologists. This criticism

also fails to take cognizance of the fact that, for every case tried,

there are many settled out of court through the advice and cooperation

of geologists. While there may be in the geologic profession, as in

others, a very few men whose testimony can be bought outright, in

general it must be assumed that geologists will appear on the witness

stand only when, after careful examination, they are satisfied that

there is a legitimate point of view to be presented.

Geologists and engineers understand more clearly than almost any other

group the extent to which the complexities of nature vary from the

conditions indicated in the simple wording of the law of extralateral

rights. Almost to a man, they favor either modification or repeal of the

law. On the other hand, the law has been in force since 1872, it has

been repeatedly interpreted and confirmed by the courts, and a vast body

of property rights has been established under it. Lawyers see great

legal difficulties in the way of its repeal or serious modification.

Mining men for the most part are not primarily interested one way or

another, unless there is potential application of the extralateral-rights

provision to their particular properties. Of those who are thus interested,

some hope to gain and some fear they may lose in the application of the

law. The general public naturally has little direct interest in the

problem. There is thus no effective public sentiment favoring the repeal

or modification of the law. It seems likely that for some time to come the

law, in spite of its recognized defects, must be applied, and the best

geological effort must be directed toward reaching interpretations which

come most near to meeting its intent. To refuse to lend geologic science

to the aid of justice because the law was improperly framed is hardly a

defensible position. Presumably it will never be possible to frame laws

with such full knowledge of nature's facts as to eliminate the necessity

for scientific advice in their interpretation.

It has been suggested that the courts, and not the litigants, should

employ the geologists. The practical objection to this proposition lies

in the difficulty encountered by the judge in the proper selection of

geologists. On the assumption that the judge would select only men in

whom he had confidence, it is not likely that he would override their

conclusions. The outcome of the case, therefore, would be largely

predetermined at the moment the selection of experts was made. It is to

be doubted whether courts can have the knowledge of the scientific field

and of the requirements of the situation necessary to make the wisest

selection of men to interpret the given condition. The competitive

element would be eliminated. From a judicial standpoint, there seems to

be an equally good chance of getting at the best interpretation of the

facts by listening to presentations from different standpoints, with the

accompanying interplay of criticism and questioning.

Another practical objection to appointment of experts by the court is

the limitation of court costs, which would make it impossible to secure

the highest grade men. So far as these men are public employees, such as

members of the federal or state geological surveys, this might be

arranged. For others, it might be suggested that they should be willing

to sacrifice their energy and time in the interests of justice; but as

long as human nature and conditions are what they are, it is perhaps

futile to argue this question.

If it is right to apply science to practical affairs, in other words, if

the profession of economic geology is a legitimate one, it seems

inevitable that the application must be in some part directed by the

geologist himself, in order to avoid mistakes and confusion. The

contention that the scientist must isolate himself in a rarified

atmosphere to avoid contamination from a non-scientific, commercial, or

legal atmosphere, seems to the writer practically untenable, if we

recognize any obligation on the part of science to the practical conduct

of human affairs. The fact that the geologist in making these

applications may occasionally find himself in a non-scientific

atmosphere may be deplored from the standpoint of maximum creativeness

in science, and from this standpoint there may be reason for limitation

of time given to this kind of work,--but to stay out entirely on this

ground is to deny his obligation to make his science helpful to his

fellows. The problem cannot be solved by staying out. It calls rather

for an especial effort on the part of the scientist to establish and

maintain his standards of science and ethics in the applied fields. Some

doubtless fail in this effort. Others are strengthened scientifically

and ethically, and contribute important aid in raising general

standards. The principle of non-participation in such activities for

fear of lowering scientific standards may make the geologist's problem

easier, but at the expense of non-fulfillment of duties. Such a course

has for its logical consequence an abandonment of the application of his

science to untrained men without the ethical anchorage of scientific

achievement. In short, there may be legitimate criticism of individual

geologists for their methods and ethics in the applied field, and this

is desirable as an aid to maintaining and improving standards; but it

is not a logical step from this to the conclusion that, to avoid

unfortunate incidents, economic geologists must cloister themselves and

thus deny the very implication of their title.

II

LAWS RELATING TO EXTRACTION OF MINERAL RESOURCES

Under this heading come a wide variety of laws and

regulations,--national, state, and local,--affecting the manner in which

mineral resources shall be mined or quarried. Such laws may specify the

number of shafts or outlets, the use of safety and prevention devices,

miners' compensation and insurance, and many other features. Most of

these laws are framed for the purpose of conserving human life and

energy, but they directly affect the mining or extraction of the mineral

resources themselves. Geology plays but little part in relation to such

laws.

Where the government retains ownership and leases or rents the

resources, there are often provisions regarding the manner of mining and

the quality and quantity of the material to be mined, in the interests

of efficient operation and conservation. The geologist is often called

into consultation both in framing and in dealing with the infraction of

such provisions. It may be noted that the control thus exercised on the

operator by government ownership is very much the same as that often

exercised by the private fee owner. It is not unusual for fee owners of

mineral rights to maintain a geological staff in order to follow

intelligently underground developments, to see that the best methods of

exploration and mining are followed, and that ores are either extracted

or left in accordance with the best conservational practice.

III

LAWS RELATING TO DISTRIBUTION AND TRANSPORTATION OF MINERAL RESOURCES

Under this heading come governmental regulations affecting directly or

indirectly the transportation and the destination of mineral products.

Transportation rates, tariffs, zoning, duties, and international trade

agreements of all sorts have vital effects on distribution. In framing

any of these measures for a mineral resource, it is desirable to know

all about the character of the raw material, its physical occurrence and

distribution, and the possibilities for future development. In adjusting

the scientific naming and classification of mineral materials with the

crude names and classifications used commercially--as in tariffs, in

import and export laws, in reports of revenue collectors, in railway and

ship rates, etc.--the geologic information is likewise necessary.

Heretofore, the formulation of measures concerning mineral distribution

has often not been done on a scientific and impartial basis; but in

recent years geologists have been called on more frequently for aid and

advice, as a means of checking or verifying the special pleadings of the

different industries. The rude disturbance of trade routes during the

war brought home the necessity of basing control of distribution of

mineral products on fundamental facts of geology and geography; thus it

was that geologists had a considerable voice in the vast number of

special measures taken for war purposes by such organizations as the

Shipping Board, the War Trade Board, the War Industries Board, and other

public organizations. The same was true in relation to the mineral

resource questions at the Peace Conference. In the reconstructive

measures of the future, a still larger use of scientific considerations

may be looked for. Further suggestions as to the relation of geology to

laws affecting distribution appear in the chapter on International

Aspects (Chapter XVIII).

IV

OTHER RELATIONS OF GEOLOGY TO LAW

It is often assumed that the economic geologist is exclusively

interested in mineral resources. However, there are varied applications

of geology outside of the mineral resource field,--to many kinds of

engineering and construction operations, to soils, to water resources,

and to transportation,--any of which may develop legal problems

requiring geologic service. A few illustrative cases follow.

The classification of mineral materials in contracts presents many

difficulties. A contract for a railway cut, for a canal, or for any

other kind of excavation may specify different prices for removing

different mineral materials. Too often these are stated in extremely

crude and arbitrary terms, such as _rock_, _hard rock_, _hardpan_,

_earth_, _dirt_, etc., without regard to the actual variety of materials

to be dealt with. When, therefore, in the case of the Chicago drainage

canal, the contractor encountered a soft shale and claimed compensation

for rock excavation, geologists played a considerable part in the

extensive litigation that followed in the attempt to define the facts of

nature in terms of a contract which did not recognize them. In a railway

cut through glacial drift or till, a contractor came suddenly upon a

mass of till which had been so thoroughly cemented in place as to have

all the resistance of rock. Litigation was then necessary to decide

whether this should be classified as dirt or rock.

Rock and dirt slides of all kinds, met with in open-pit mining, canals,

and other excavations, present engineering problems with a geologic

basis. The kinds of rocks, their strength, porosity, and moisture

content, the effects of weathering, and the structural conditions must

be determined in order to ascertain the cause of the slides, and are

features which figure largely in litigation arising from troubles of

this sort.

Both federal and state laws give the right to lateral and vertical

support. When, therefore, adjacent or underlying excavations cause earth

movements in a neighbor's property, litigation is likely to ensue and

the geologist is likely to be called in. The long-wall method of coal

mining, extensively practiced in certain parts of the United States, is

slowly withdrawing support from the ground overlying the coal seams,

resulting in damages to surface structures and in some cases to

overlying mineral deposits. Extensive litigation has been the result,

and the future seems to promise more of it. In certain metal-mining

camps, where considerable amounts of materials have been mined to great

depths, caves and cracking in the surface are reaching over unexpectedly

wide areas, again threatening litigation.

The laws relating to the use of surface and underground waters touch the

geologic conditions in many ways. The permanent lowering or raising of a

water level through mining or damming may require a careful geological

analysis of the underground conditions affecting the movements of

ground-water. The use of streams for placer mining, as in California,

has resulted in formulation of laws and in extensive litigation, again

requiring analysis of geologic conditions.

In fact geologists, perhaps more than any other group, have come to

realize how many and how varied are the ways in which people get into

conflict in using the earth on which they live.

CHAPTER XVII

CONSERVATION OF MINERAL RESOURCES

THE PROBLEM

Conservation of mineral resources may be defined as an effort to strike

a proper balance between the present and the future in the use of

mineral raw materials.

Mineral resources have been used to some extent as far back as evidences

of man go, but great drafts on our resources have come in comparatively

recent years. The use of many minerals has started within only a few

years, and for others the acceleration of production within the past two

or three decades has been rapid (see pp. 63-64). In general, the use of

mineral resources on a large scale may be said to have started within

the lifetime of men still active in business. The wide use of power

necessary to an industrial age, the development of metallurgy, the

increasing size and complexity of demands for raw material, mean that

the intensive development and use of our mineral resources is in its

infancy, and is in many respects in an experimental stage.

As nations have awakened to their need of mineral raw materials and to

the recent rapid depletion of these materials, they have been naturally

led to inquire how long the reserves may last, and to consider

prevention of waste and the more efficient use of materials, with a view

to planning more prudently for future national supplies. The first

inquiries seemed to reveal such shortage of mineral supplies as to call

for immediate and almost drastic steps to prevent waste, and possibly

even to limit the use of certain minerals in the interests of posterity.

More careful study of the problem, as might be expected, revealed new

factors and greater complexity. The conservational idea has a wide

sentimental appeal, but the formulation and application of specific

plans meet many difficulties. In its practical aspects the problem is

now a live one, the solution of which is requiring the attention of

mining men, engineers, geologists, economists, and public officials. It

is a question which is coming more and more into the field of actual

professional practice of the economic geologist.

It is our purpose to indicate the general nature of the conservation

problem. We may assume agreement to the desirability of preventing

waste, of making a wise present use of mineral products, and of striking

a proper balance between the present and future in their use. Nature has

taken many long geologic periods to build up these reserves. We, of the

present generation, in a sense hold them in trust; they are entailed to

our successors. With this general thought in mind, how shall we proceed

to formulate definite plans for conservation?

An initial step is obviously a careful taking of stock. With increasing

knowledge of mineral resources, it is becoming apparent that early

estimates of supplies were too low. Many of these estimates failed to

take into account mining to great depths, and wide use of low-grade

ores, rendered possible by improved methods; and especially they failed

to put sufficient emphasis on the probabilities of new discoveries to

replace exhausted supplies. Early predictions have already been upset in

regard to a number of mineral resources. The recognition of the general

fact that the world is far from explored in two dimensions, to say

nothing of three, of the fact that known geologic conditions do not yet

indicate definite limits to the possibilities of exploration for most

mineral resources, and of the consequent fact that for a long time in

the future, as in the past, discoveries of new mineral deposits will be

roughly proportional to the effort and money spent in finding

them,--which means, also, proportional to the demand,--makes it

impossible, for most of the mineral resources, to set any definite

limits on reserves. It is comparatively easy to measure known reserves;

but a quantitative appraisal of the probable and possible reserves for

the future is extremely difficult. Successive revisions of estimates

have, with but few exceptions, progressively increased the total mineral

supplies available. The result is that the time of exhaustion has been

pushed far into the future for most of the important minerals, thus

minimizing the urge for immediate and drastic conservational action,

which followed naturally from early estimates of very limited supplies.

For both coal and iron, supplies are now known for hundreds or even

thousands of years. For oil and lead, on the other hand, the reserves

now known have a life of comparatively few years, but the possibilities

for successful exploration make it probable that their life will be

greatly extended. Notwithstanding this tendency to lengthen the

exhaustion period, the limits of mineral resource life are still small

as compared with the life of the nation or of civilization,--and the

fundamental desirability of conservation is not materially affected.

It is not easy to predict the rate of production for the future. At the

present rate of coal production in the United States, the supplies to a

depth of 6,000 feet might last 6,000 years; but if it be assumed that

the recent _acceleration_ of production will be continued indefinitely

into the future, the result would be exhaustion of these supplies in

less than 200 years. It is generally agreed that exhaustion will come

sooner than 6,000 years, but will require more time than 200 years. The

range between these figures offers wide opportunity for guessing. It is

supposed that per capita consumption may not increase as fast in the

future as in the past, that possibly an absorption point will be

reached, and that there will be limits to transportation and

distribution; but how to evaluate these factors no one knows. In the

case of some of the metallic resources, such as iron, the fact that the

world's stock on hand is constantly increasing--losses due to rusting,

ship-wrecks, etc., being only a small fraction of the annual

output--suggests that a point will be reached where new production will

cease to accelerate at the present rate and may even decline. But again,

the factors are so complex and many of them so little known, that no one

can say how soon this point will be reached.

For the immediate future, there is little to be feared from shortage of

mineral supplies in the ground. The difficulties are more likely to

arise from the failure of means to extract and distribute these supplies

fast enough to keep up with the startling acceleration in future demand

indicated by the figures of recent years. The speed and magnitude of

recent material developments in many lines cannot but raise question as

to whether we have the ability to understand and coodinate the many

huge, variable, and accelerating factors we have to deal with, or

whether some of the lines of development may not get so far ahead of

others as to cause serious disturbance of the whole material structure

of civilization. Coal alone, which now constitutes a third of our

railway tonnage, may with increased rate of production require

two-thirds of present railway capacity. Will railway development keep

up? It may be noted that national crises and failures in the past

history of the world have seldom, if ever, been due to shortage of raw

materials, or in fact to any failure of the material environment.

In its early stages the conservation movement in this country concerned

itself principally with the raw material. Later there came the

recognition of the fact that conservation of raw materials is closely

bound up with the question of conservation of human energy. The two

elements in the problem are much like the two major elements in mineral

resource valuation (see pages 329-330). If in saving a dollar's worth of

raw material, we spend two dollars worth of energy, it naturally raises

question as to the wisdom of our procedure. It might be wiser in some

cases to waste a certain amount of raw material because of the saving of

time and effort. It might be better for posterity to have the product of

our energy multiplied into raw material than to have the raw material

itself. The valuation of these two major elements of conservation is

again almost impossible of quantitative solution. We do not know what is

the best result to be aimed for. We cannot foresee the requirements of

the future nor the end toward which civilization is moving--or should

move. The extravagance of the United States is often contrasted

unfavorably with the thriftiness of Europe. When considered in relation

to raw materials alone, there seems to be basis for this charge. When

considered in relation to the product of human energy into raw

materials, the conclusion may be far different; for the output per man

in the industries related to mineral resources is far greater in the

United States than in Europe. In the case of iron, it has been estimated

that the output per man in the United States is two and one-half times

as great as in the rest of the world. Which is best in the true

interests of conservation, we are not yet able to see.

Our view of what is desirable in the way of conservation depends

somewhat on the limitations imposed by self-interest or location. By

devoting ourselves exclusively to one mineral resource, we might work

out a conservation program very disadvantageous to the best use of some

other mineral commodity. We might take steps to conserve chromite in the

United States which would have a disastrous effect on the iron and

steel industry. We might conserve coal by the substitution of oil, when

the procedure is hardly warranted by the supplies of oil available. We

might work out a program for the United States which would not be the

best conservational plan for the world as a whole, and which would

ultimately react to the disadvantage of the United States. The wisest

and most intelligent use of mineral resources seems to call

unquestionably for their consideration in their world relations, rather

than for a narrow interpretation of local requirements.

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN PRIVATE AND PUBLIC EFFORTS IN CONSERVATION

It appears that a wide range of effective conservational practices has

resulted solely from the effort to make more money through more

efficient operations, and this is likely to be true in the future. Many

improvements in mining, grading, sorting, concentration, and metallurgy

of minerals, to yield larger financial returns, are coming naturally

through private initiative, under the driving power of self-interest.

Another considerable group of conservational practices is possible only

to governments or other public agencies. This group of practices on the

whole requires some sacrifice of the immediate financial interest of the

individual, in the interests of the community as a whole, or in the

interests of posterity. In this group may be mentioned the compulsory

use of methods of mining, sorting, and metallurgy which tend to conserve

supplies but result in higher prices; the control of prices; the

elimination or lowering of the so-called resource or royalty value (p.

375); and the removal of restrictions on private combination or

cooperation, leading to more efficient methods, lessening of cost, and

better distribution of the product; or, what might amount to the same

thing, the acquirement by the government of the resources to be operated

on this larger scale.

The most effective conservation measures yet in effect are the ones

dictated by self-interest and instituted by private initiative.

Governmental measures are not yet in effective operation. Illustrations

of these two types of conservational effort are cited in relation to

coal on later pages.

THE INTEREST RATE AS A GUIDE IN CONSERVATION

In striking a balance between the present and the future, economists

have emphasized the importance of recognizing the interest rate as a

guiding, if not a controlling consideration. It is obviously difficult

for private capital to make investments of effort and money for the

purpose of conservation which will not be returned with interest some

time in the future. For the present, at least, this consideration

furnishes the best guide to procedure in the field of private endeavor.

So far as conservational measures, such as investment in an improved

process of concentrating low-grade ores, promise return of capital and

an adequate interest rate in the future, they are likely to be

undertaken.

It is clear that governments are not so closely bound by this economic

limitation. They can afford to carry their investments in raw materials

and processes at a lower interest rate than the private investor. Their

credit is better. Taxes do not figure so directly. They can balance

losses in one field against gains in another. As a matter of insurance

for the future of the nation, a government may feel justified in

inaugurating conservational measures for a particular resource without

hope of the interest return which would be necessary to the private

investor. In appraising the iron ores of Lorraine taken over by France

from Germany at the close of the war, the actual commercial value of

these ores, as figured by the ordinary _ad valorem_ method, was only

ninety millions of dollars. It is clear, however, that to France as a

nation the reserves were worth more. They could afford to pay more for

them, and could afford to spend more money on conservational practice

than under ordinary commercial limitations, because of the larger

intangible and more or less sentimental interest.

The valuation of this larger interest, as a means of determining the

limit to which conservational investments may be made, lies in the

political field. It may be suggested, however, that a desirable first

step in any governmental program of conservation is to ascertain the

cost and the possibility of an adequate return of capital and interest.

These determinations at least afford a definite point of departure, and

a means for measuring the cost to the people of measures which are not

directly self-supporting.

ANTI-CONSERVATIONAL EFFECTS OF WAR

Experience during the recent past indicates that the exploitation of

mineral resources for war purposes is on the whole anti-conservational.

It is true that the vast amount of war-time exploration and development,

as well as the thoroughgoing investigations of the utilization of

various minerals, have led to better knowledge of the mineral resources

and their possibilities. It is also true that the war required a much

more exhaustive census of mineral possibilities than ever before

attempted. The immediate and direct effect of the war, however, was the

intensive use of mineral resources without careful regard to cost,

grade, or many other factors which determine their use in peace times.

For instance, in ordinary times considerable quantities of

high-phosphorus iron ores are mined; but, because of the fact that such

ores require more time for conversion into steel, war-time practice

concentrated on the higher-grade, low-phosphorus ores, resulting in an

unbalanced production which in some cases amounted almost to robbing of

ore deposits. In the case of coal, quantity was almost the only

consideration; it was impossible to grade and distribute the coal to

meet the specialized demands of industry. The results were a general

lowering of the standards of metallurgical and other industrial

practices, and increased cost. High-grade coals were used where

lower-grade coals were desirable for the best results. In the making of

steel, it is the custom to select the coal and coke with great care in

regard to their content of phosphorus, sulphur, ash, and other

constituents which affect the composition of the steel product; but

during the war it became necessary to accept almost any kind of coal,

with a resulting net loss in quantity and in grade of output.

For a considerable number of mineral resources, such as the

ferro-alloys, foreign sources of supply were cut off during the war,

requiring the development and use, at high cost, of low-grade scattered

supplies in the United States. It was found possible to produce enough

chromite in the United States for domestic requirements, but at two or

three times the normal price of imported chromite. The grade was low and

the loss in efficiency to the consuming interests was a high one. The

extremely limited natural supplies were raided almost to the point of

exhaustion.

With the post-war resumption of importation of minerals of this kind,

producers naturally began a fight for a protective tariff, and the

question is yet unsettled. The tariff, if enacted, would in most cases

have to be a high one in order to permit the use of domestic supplies.

The results would be a large increase in cost to other industries,

decreased efficiency, and the early exhaustion of limited supplies in

this country. Most of the mineral resources have been concentrated by

nature in a comparatively few places in the world; and when the two

elements of conservation are considered--the materials themselves and

the human energy expended in obtaining and using them--it is clear that

any measure which interferes with the natural distribution of the

favored ores is anti-conservational from the world standpoint.

CONSERVATION OF COAL

In the sections on mineral resources, there are many casual references

to conservation of specific minerals. Here we shall not go further than

to introduce a brief discussion of the conservation of coal as

illustrative of the general problem of conservation of mineral

resources.

It has been estimated that the United States possesses, to a depth of

3,000 feet, in beds 14 inches or over, 3,538,554,000,000 tons of coal,

and an additional reserve between 3,000 and 6,000 feet of

666,600,000,000 tons.[42] If all the unmined coal to a depth of 3,000

feet could be placed in one great cubic pile, the pile would be 18 miles

long, 18 miles wide, and 18 miles high. Of the original amount of coal

to this depth only about 0.4 of 1 per cent has been mined or wasted in

mining. The wastage is estimated at about 50 per cent. If the annual

production of coal were to remain the same as in recent years, the total

life of the coal reserves (to a depth of 3,000 feet) would be between

4,000 and 6,000 years; but if the acceleration of production of recent

years were to be maintained in the future, the life would be but little

over 100 years, and the life of the highest-grade coal now being mined

might not be over 50 years. All agree that the acceleration of

production is not likely to continue indefinitely, which will mean that

the life of coal reserves to 3,000 feet will be somewhere between the

two extremes named. It seems clear that actual shortage of coal will not

be felt for some hundreds of years; but this period of years is short as

compared with the probable life of the race.

MEASURES INTRODUCED OR PROPOSED TO CONSERVE COAL

The following list of measures for conservation of coal is taken from

several sources. The exhaustive report of the British Coal

Commission,[43] published in 1905, contains a considerable number of

specific recommendations for conservation of the coal of Great Britain.

The reports of the National Conservation Commission[44] of the United

States, published in 1909, treat of the conservation of the coal of the

United States and naturally follow some of the recommendations of the

British report. The coal section of the National Conservation report was

prepared by M. R. Campbell and E. W. Parker of the U. S. Geological

Survey, and is contained in U. S. Geological Survey Bulletin 394. The

recommendations there given are amplified and developed by Van Hise[45]

in his book on Conservation, published in 1910. Since that time the

subject has been discussed by Smith, Chance, Burrows, Haas,[46] and

others, and certain additional conservational methods have been

proposed. A considerable number of men have also discussed the

sociologic and economic aspects of the question. The report of the

Conservation Commission of Canada,[47] published in 1915, treats rather

fully of the conservation of mineral resources.

It will suit our purpose, and avoid some repetition, if we group most

of these recommendations without regard to authorship. In general, these

recommendations can be grouped under the heads: (A) Methods of mining

and preparation of coal; (B) Improvement of labor and living conditions

at the mines; (C) Introduction or modification of laws to regulate or to

remove certain restrictions on the coal industry; (D) Distribution and

transportation of coal; (E) Utilization of coal; (F) Substitutes for

coal as a source of power.

=(A) Mining and preparation of coal.= Under this heading may be included

a large number of proposals which concern primarily the engineering

treatment of the coal underground and in the mine plants. Some of the

more important measures are:

1. Introduction of the long-wall system of mining in places where the

conditions allow it, in order to minimize the waste underground.

2. Modification of the room-and-pillar system of mining, by which larger

pillars are left while the mine advances, and are recovered in the

retreat,--thereby recovering a larger percentage of coal than under the

old system, where small, thin pillars were left, which failed and were

permanently lost.

It has been argued that the great loss of coal by leaving it in pillars

could be saved by using other material to support the roof; but an

elementary calculation of the cost of this procedure shows that it is

cheaper to use the coal. Chance[48] says:

The coal left as pillars to support the roof is thus utilized

and performs a necessary and useful function, yet the

principal part (perhaps two-thirds) of the 200,000,000 tons

our friends the conservationists claim is wilfully and

avoidably wasted every year is this coal that is left in

pillars to support the roof. I think we can safely claim that

this is not waste, but, on the contrary, is engineering

efficiency of the highest type, in that it utilizes the

cheapest and least valuable material available to support the

roof and saves the whole labor cost of building supports of

other materials. Investigation as to what becomes of that part

of the 200,000,000 tons claimed as wasted, which is not

utilized as pillars to support the roof, will disclose the

fact that a very large portion is coal that is left in mine

workings that are abandoned because the roof is unsafe and

because a continuance of operation would result in injuries or

loss of life. Coal left in the mines in order to conserve

human lives cannot be classed as avoidable waste. A small part

of the 200,000,000 tons is lost because it is intimately mixed

with refuse and because the labor cost of recovering it and

separating it from the refuse would be greater than its value.

3. Mining of shallow bituminous beds by means of the steam shovel.

Progress has been made along this line in the last few years, and

valuable deposits are thus mined which can be mined profitably by no

other method.

4. New methods of filling mined-out spaces with sand, and new methods of

mine survey and design. According to Haas[49]

the greatest advance in the question of method was the system

of mine survey and design perfected in both the anthracite and

bituminous fields. The relatively new method of filling old

spaces with sand, etc., has also achieved success.

5. Use of methods by which coal is not left in the roof for the support

where the roof is weak, and by which coal of inferior quality is not

left in the roof.

6. Wider use of coal-cutting machines by which the wasting of thinner

beds may be avoided.

7. Where conditions allow it, the working of the upper beds before the

lower, in order not to destroy the upper ones by caving. The mining of a

lower coal seam has often so broken up the overlying strata as to render

it impossible to recover the upper coal seams contained therein. There

are certain difficulties, however, in the way of this conservational

measure. In some localities the seams are under separate ownership, and

there is a resulting conflict of interests. Also, if the better coal

seam happens to be below and the poorer seams above, market conditions

may require that the lower seam be mined regardless of the destruction

of the upper ones.

8. Elimination of coal barriers to mark the limits between properties.

This involves more cooperation.

9. Improvement of mining machinery, power drills, etc.

10. Centralization of power stations, rather than the use of many small

units.

11. Elimination of the wasting of slack or fine coal, through more

careful methods of mining, through limitations on the excessive use of

powder and larger use of wedges, through the abolition of laws for the

payment of miners on a run-of-mine basis, and in the case of anthracite

through recovery of the "silt" or dust caused by mining and sorting. It

has been argued that the excessive use of powder ("shooting from the

solid") means loss of coal, owing to the fact that it shatters the coal

and makes a relatively large amount of slack, besides being accompanied

by increased danger from fire and explosion and from weakening of the

roof. Although the excessive use of powder makes a large amount of

slack, it does not necessarily result in waste, for this fine coal is

carefully saved and for certain purposes is as valuable as the lump

coal. So far as the procedure endangers life, it is of course

objectionable.

12. Better use of fine coal. It has been recommended that infirm and

finely broken coal be washed and compressed, thus avoiding the wasting

of slack coal, which was formerly thrown away or burned. However, in

recent years there has been comparatively little waste of this kind, for

slack coal in general finds nearly as ready a market as lump coal and

the use of slack is increasing. There has been much discussion also of

the possibilities of using the coal waste on the ground to make power

for electric transmission.

13. More careful attention to sorting and sizing of all grades of coal

coming from the mine and to preparation of coals for special uses. On

the other hand, some operators say that the ends of conservation will be

best met by limiting the sorting and sizing now practiced. The large

number of sizes now put on the market greatly increases the cost of

production.

14. Wider use of the lower-grade fuels of the west, particularly with

the aid of briquetting.

=Progress in above methods.= Methods of mining and preparation of coal

have been improved. Campbell and Parker state:[50]

A much greater proportion of the product hoisted is now being

sent to market in merchantable condition. Part of this is due

to better and more systematic methods of handling, and part to

the saving of small sizes which formerly went to the culm

banks. The higher prices of coal and the development of

methods for using these small sizes have also made it

possible, through washing processes, to rework the small coal

formerly thrown on the culm banks, and these are now

furnishing several millions of tons of marketable coal

annually.

In general there is increase in the percentage of recovery of coal.

Whereas in the past the loss in mining was said by Campbell and

Parker[51] to average 50 per cent, now an extraction of 70 to 90 per

cent may be looked for.

Quoting from Smith and Lesher:[52]

Observation of the advances made in mining methods in the last

decade or two affords slight warrant for belief in any charge

of wasteful operation. As consumers of coal we might do well

to imitate the economy now enforced by the producers in their

engineering practice. In the northern anthracite field machine

mining in extracting coal from 22- and 24-inch beds, and

throughout the anthracite region the average recovery of coal

in mining is 65 per cent., as against 40 per cent. only twenty

years ago. Nor are the bituminous operators any less

progressive in their conservation of the coal they mine.

In anthracite mining, powdered coal or "silt" has accumulated in

stockpiles and in stream channels to many tens of millions of tons. It

is estimated that this constitutes nearly 6 per cent of the coal mined.

Significant progress has been made recently in the recovery and use of

this silt as powdered fuel for local power purposes.

However, physical and commercial conditions do not in all cases allow of

the full application of these new methods. Once a mine has been opened

up on a certain plan, it is difficult to change it. As a whole the

longer and better organized companies are better able to change than the

smaller companies.

Conservation measures of the above kinds, as so far applied, have come

mainly from private initiative based on self-interest,--though the

cooperation of the government has been effective, particularly along

educational and publicity lines.

=(B) Improvement of labor and living conditions at the mines.= Under

this heading should be mentioned the improvement of housing, sanitation,

and living conditions; improvements in the efficiency of labor, through

making living conditions such as to attract a higher-grade labor supply

and through educational means; the introduction of safety methods; the

introduction of workmen's compensation and insurance; and other measures

of a similar nature. All these measures as a class are sometimes grouped

under the name of "welfare work."

Much thought and discussion have been devoted to the possibilities of

improvement of labor and living conditions from the standpoint of

conservation of human energy. In some quarters this subject has been

treated as being independent of the physical conservation of mineral

resources, and it has been the tendency to assume that conservation of

human energy might be more or less inimical to conservation of mineral

resources. Certain of the changes already introduced have undoubtedly

increased the cost of mining; and, until there was a general increase in

selling price, this increased cost may have had the effect of

eliminating certain practices of mineral conservation which might

otherwise have been possible. For instance, according to Smith and

Lesher:[53]

The increased safety in the coal mines that has come through

the combined efforts of the coal companies, the state

inspectors, and the Federal Bureau of Mines necessarily

involves some increase in cost of operation, but the few cents

per ton thus added to the cost is a small price to pay for the

satisfaction of having the stain of blood removed from the

coal we buy. That form of social insurance which is now

enforced through the workmen's compensation laws alone adds

from 2 to 5 cents a ton to the cost of coal.

On the other hand, there can be no doubt that large advances have been

made in welfare movements which were introduced for the purpose of

insuring a steadier, better, and larger supply of labor, and that the

general gain in efficiency of operation thereby obtained has absorbed a

large part of the increased cost.

In general, conservation measures of this class have been developed

cooperatively by private and public efforts, without important

sacrifice of private interest. There is obviously room for much wider

application of such measures, especially in some of the bituminous

fields where conditions are still far from satisfactory.

=(C) Introduction or modification of laws to regulate or to remove

certain restrictions on the coal industry.= It has been proposed:

1. To modify the laws so as to take care of situations where vertically

superposed beds are owned by different parties, preventing the proper

mining of the coal by either party.

2. To modify the laws so as to eliminate conflict in mining practice in

cases where the coal is associated with oil and gas pools.

3. To allow larger ownership by companies utilizing the coal (now only 3

per cent owned by such companies).

4. To place restrictions on over-capitalization, which leads to wasteful

mining in order to secure quick and large returns on large capital.

5. To remove restrictions on concentration of control. This means, as a

corollary proposition, virtual restriction of competition. Concentration

of control into comparatively few hands has undoubtedly favored

conservation. It is easy to see that the stronger financial condition of

the large companies makes it possible for them to take fuller advantage

of modern methods of extraction, distribution, and marketing.

This proposal was especially urged for the bituminous coal industry

before the war in order to avoid over-production and over-development.

The very wide distribution of the bituminous coals, their enormous

quantity, and their exceedingly diversified ownership had led to

over-development of coal properties. Quoting from Smith and Lesher:[54]

In estimating the aggregate losses incurred by society by

reason of the large number of mines not working at full

capacity, the facts to be considered are that the capital

invested in mine equipment asks a wage based on a year of 365

days of 24 hours, while labor's year averaged last year only

230 days in the anthracite mines and only 203 days in the

bituminous mines, with only five to eight hours to the day.

These conditions prevented in some cases even the most modest

introduction of better methods, or of changes that would enhance the

average profits through a relatively short period of ten or fifteen

years at the expense of the present year. It was necessary to get at the

best of the coal available in the cheapest possible way, regardless of

the losses of coal left in the ground.

To some extent the force of this argument was minimized by war and

post-war conditions, but even yet development of coal mines is ahead of

transportation and distribution.

6. To allow cooperation in the limitation of output, in the avoidance of

cross freights, in gauging the market in advance, and in division of

territory, all of which would allow cheaper mining and thus give larger

leeway to conservational measures. This necessarily would be accompanied

by government regulation. According to Van Hise,[55] who was active

before the war in advocating this conservational measure, such a

procedure

is neither regulated competition, nor regulated monopoly; but

the retention of competition, the prohibition of monopoly,

permission for cooperation and regulation of the latter. In

Chicago there cannot be one selling agency for the different

coal companies which operate in Illinois, but there must be

many selling agencies, and the coal of Pittsburgh must come

into Illinois and the Illinois coal go toward Pittsburgh;

every one of which things makes unnecessary costs, but all of

which are inevitable under the extreme competitive system.

Because of these facts it is necessary to waste the coal. If

at the very same prices the different mines could cooperate in

the limitation of the output, avoidance of cross freights,

gauging the market in advance, and division of territory, they

could mine their coal more cheaply, have a greater profit for

themselves and conserve our resources.

To some extent the plan here advocated was put into effect during the

war by the United States Coal Administration; but the conditions of this

trial were so complicated by special war requirements, that the

conservational advantages of unified control were not demonstrated.

7. To reduce the excessive royalties paid to fee owners. Smith and

Lesher[56] have recently called attention to the relatively high

resource cost in some of the coal fields, represented by the payment of

royalties to fee owners. In the case of anthracite the payment averages

32 to 35 cents per ton, and exceptionally runs as high as a dollar per

ton. For the bituminous coal the average resource cost is probably not

much over five cents a ton. They suggest the possibility of lowering

this cost by governmental regulation; and make an especially strong

argument for not allowing the government-owned coal lands to go to

private owners, who in the future, with the accumulation of interest on

the investment, will feel justified in asking for a large "resource"

return in the way of royalty.

If the resource cost could be lowered, further introduction of

conservational methods by the operators would be possible without

greatly increasing the cost to the public.

8. To require or allow, by government regulation, a raising of the price

of coal to the consumer, thereby allowing wider application of

conservational practices. Some of the increased recoveries of coal above

noted have been made possible only by increase in the market price. If

cooperation were permitted in the manner described in paragraph 6, the

same results might be accomplished without increasing the price. Recent

high prices caused by the war situation are reflected in the

introduction of many conservational changes which were not before

possible. However, in some cases the demand for quick results under

present conditions has an opposite effect, because of the desire to

realize quick profits regardless of conservation.

9. The local conservation of coal at the expense of heavier drafts on

coal of other parts of the world, by imposition of export taxes and

preferential duties, has been discussed. While the effect of such a

measure would doubtless be conservational from the standpoint of the

United States, it is doubtful if it could be so regarded from the

broader standpoint of world civilization. Under present world conditions

such a step would be disastrous.

10. Government ownership has been proposed as a means of facilitating

the introduction of conservation measures. In the United States there is

yet no major movement in this direction. In England the question of

nationalization of coal mines is an extremely live political problem

(see pp. 343, 345-347).

Little progress has been made in conservation measures which involve

legal enactments of the kinds above listed.

=(D) Distribution, and transportation of coal.= It has been argued that

conservational results would ensue from:

1. Cheaper transportation.

2. Larger use of waterways.

3. Improvement in distribution of the product by partition of the market

and by larger use of local coals. For effectiveness this proposition

would have to include control of the agencies of distribution, in order

to minimize excessive profits of middlemen.

4. Purchasing and storage of coal by consumers during the spring and

summer months in anticipation of the winter requirements, in order to

equalize the present highly fluctuating seasonal demands on the mines

and railroads, and to eliminate the recurring shortages of coal in the

winter months. This was particularly recommended by the United States

Bituminous Coal Commission in a recent report.[57]

5. Where conditions allow it, conversion of coal into power at the mine

and delivery of power rather than coal to consuming centers. This type

of conservation is being put into practice on a large scale above

Wheeling, on the Ohio River, where there has recently been built a two

hundred thousand kilowatt installation for steam-generated electric

power. Some of the power will be delivered to Canton, Ohio, over fifty

miles away. This plant uses local coal and the cost of coal is figured

at two mills per kilowatt-hour.

Under this heading of distribution and transportation of coal, might be

considered certain international relations. The international movements

of coal are summarized in another place (pp. 115-117). Anything in the

way of tariffs or trade agreements which would tend to interfere with or

to limit the great natural international movements of coal--which in a

free field are based on suitability of grade, cost, location,

transportation, etc.--would be anti-conservational from the world's

standpoint, although they might be of local and temporary advantage. For

instance, the coal exported from England, which has heretofore

dominated the international trade of the world, is of a high grade.

American coal available for export is on the whole of considerably lower

grade, being higher in volatile matter. Unless this coal is beneficiated

at home, it can replace the English coal in the export field only at

increased cost of transportation and lower efficiency in use. The time

may come when it will be desirable to ship lower-grade coals long

distances; but when the two factors of conservation are considered--the

intrinsic qualities of the coal, and the efforts necessary to utilize

it--it would seem to be conservational at this stage to ship to long

distances only the coal which nature seems specially to have prepared

for this purpose.

=(E) Utilization of coal.= Conservational proposals of this kind are:

1. Substitution of retort coke-ovens for beehive ovens, to save not only

a larger quantity of coke but also valuable by-products (see pp.

118-119). Additional improvements in coking ovens may make possible the

manufacture of some sort of coke from a much wider range of bituminous

coals than can be used at present.

2. Larger use of smoke consumers and mechanical stokers.

3. Larger use of central heating plants, with higher efficiency than

many local plants.

4. Substitution of gas engines for steam engines, and improvement of the

steam engine.

5. Improvement in methods of smelting, leading to larger output of metal

per ton of coke used. Also the development of electric smelting for

certain metals.

6. More careful study and classification of the qualities of coals, in

order to avoid use of higher-grade coals where inferior coals would

serve the purpose.

7. More consumption at the collieries.

8. Larger use of powdered coal as fuel.

9. Improvement of force-draft furnaces.

10. Larger use of gas, a by-product of coal mining, and extraction of

other by-products.

11. More efficient transformation of peat and coal into power and light.

12. The possible use of oil flotation to eliminate foreign mineral

matter.

Most of the conservation measures above proposed have already been

applied with good results, and with promise of large results for the

future. The stimulus has come largely from self-interest. War conditions

in some ways aided and in others hindered these developments. One of the

conspicuous gains was the building of many by-product coke plants, under

the necessity of securing the nitrates and hydrocarbons for munition and

other purposes.

=(F) Substitutes for coal as a source of power.= Some of the more

prominent measures along this line which have been discussed are:

1. Larger use of water power. This has sometimes been popularly assumed

to be, at least potentially, a complete solution of the problem; but

nevertheless it has its distinct limitations.

Water power has the advantages that its sources are not exhausted by

use, and that the relatively greater initial cost of a hydro-electric

plant is frequently more than compensated for by the saving in man power

required and by the lower operating expense. However, the total amount

of water power which can be developed on a commercial basis is rather

closely limited, and much of the available power is so distributed

geographically that it cannot be economically supplied to the industries

which need it. Of the total water-power resources of the United States

which have been estimated by the Geological Survey to be available for

ultimate development, over 70 per cent is west of the Mississippi,--whereas

over 70 per cent of the horse-power now installed in prime movers is east

of the Mississippi. Electric power cannot at present be economically

transmitted more than a few hundred miles. Furthermore, for many uses of

coal, as in metallurgical and chemical processes which require the heat

or reducing action of burning coal, and in its use as fuel for ships,

hydro-electric power cannot be substituted. It seems clear that while

the use of water power will increase, particularly as rising prices of

coal make possible the development of new sites, it can never take the

place of the mineral fuels in any large proportion.

For the immediate future, measures which have been suggested to extend

the use of water power include: the more complete utilization of water

powers already in use through more efficient machinery and methods; a

certain degree of redistribution of industries, so that those requiring

large amounts of power may be located in areas where water power is

cheap and abundant; and the interconnection of hydro-electric plants so

that their full capacity may be used. Some water powers which have been

developed are not being fully utilized because the plants are not

connected with distribution systems large enough to use all the power.

During the war the United States Geological Survey, in cooperation with

the Fuel Administration and the War Industries Board, collected the

information required to prepare maps showing the locations and relations

of power stations and transmission lines throughout the country. This

survey of the situation showed many possibilities, which had before been

but vaguely realized, of interconnections which would increase the

efficiency of the plants.

2. Substitution of lower-grade coals--of bituminous for anthracite, and

of low-grade bituminous for high-grade bituminous coals. Larger use of

low-grade western coals. War and post-war conditions have shown Germany

the way to a wide and effective use of its lignites. This has been

accomplished by cooperation of the government and private interests.

This vast improvement in methods of treatment and recovery of heating

elements and by-products will doubtless have a widespread effect on

utilization of lignites in other parts of the world.

3. Substitution of alcohol and natural gas, oil, oil shales, peats,

etc., as a source of power. This merely concentrates the conservation

problem more largely on these minerals, in some of which, at least, it

is already considerably more acute than in the case of coal; it is not a

solution of the problem, but merely a shifting of emphasis.

Business conditions have limited private enterprise in this class of

measures, but some progress has been made. More rapid introduction of

these measures would require sacrifice of private interest and probably

may be accomplished only by application of public power.

DIVISION OF RESPONSIBILITY BETWEEN GOVERNMENT AND PRIVATE INTERESTS

IN THE CONSERVATION OF COAL

A review of the conservation measures above listed indicates that many

of them are already in operation, and that the initiative for such

measures has been largely supplied by private ownership endeavoring to

advance its own interest. In this category are to be included most of

the improvements in physical methods of mining, preparation, and

utilization of coal, the use of substitutes for coal, the concentration

of control into larger groups better able to introduce new methods, and

the improvement of labor and living conditions; also, under recent

conditions, the increase in selling price, allowing for a wider

application of these measures. Another group of conservation proposals,

which have not yet been put into substantial effect, are obviously

beyond the power of private interests; and must be introduced, if at

all, by the application of government power. These include the

elimination of resource or royalty costs, the control of

over-capitalization, the removal of restrictions on concentration of

control, the granting of permission for cooperation among competitive

units, the regulation of selling price minimums in order to insure

during normal times the use of better physical practices, and the

control of distribution. In short, it appears that there are two great

spheres of conservational activity--one within the field of private

endeavor, and the other possible only by collective action through the

government. The principal advances thus far made have been in the field

of private endeavor.

The government has aided greatly in the advancement of conservation

measures arising within the field of private endeavor. One need only

refer to many governmental investigations, to the spreading of

information as to best methods, and to local compulsory requirements

that the best practices be made uniform and that backward interests

thereby be brought into line.

Recognition of the fact that there is a large body of sound

conservational practice in the coal industry which falls within the

range of self-interest seems essential in planning further changes in

the direction of conservation. Conservational measures do not all

require sacrifice of the individual to the public, nor of the present to

the future generations. An exercise of public power is not in all cases

essential to the advancement of conservation. The respective limits of

the fields of public and private endeavor are not sharply defined, and

vary from place to place and time to time, depending upon local

conditions and special requirements.

In general, the sphere of private interest includes measures which will

bring adequate commercial return. The interest rate is the limiting and

controlling factor. When it is possible--by improvement of methods of

mining, better planning, better preparation of coal, better

transportation and distribution, or better utilization--to secure a

larger average return on the investment, or to insure return through a

longer period of years, self-interest naturally requires the

introduction of such methods as rapidly as financial conditions allow.

Even some of the improvements in labor and welfare conditions have been

introduced in this way, with a view to securing a more permanent and

more efficient labor supply, and thereby aiding the enterprise from the

commercial standpoint.

Within the sphere of government activity lie the removal of unnecessary

restrictions on private initiative, and such conservation measures as

involve some sacrifice of individual returns--in other words, a

reduction of the normal interest rate. Exercise of government power may

be directly helpful within the field of private endeavor without

materially sacrificing private interests; but beyond this point there

are additional large possibilities of conservational activity which are

clearly beyond the control of private interests. The introduction of any

of these latter changes would evidently be so far-reaching in effect,

and would require such broad readjustments not only within but without

the mineral industry, that the necessity or desirability is not in all

cases so clear as in the case of measures already introduced for private

interest.

The most obviously helpful step possible to the government in the

immediate future is to permit cooperative arrangements under private

ownership,--which would make it possible to use common selling agencies,

thereby reducing the cost of selling; to divide the territory to be

served, thereby avoiding excessive cross freights; and to allot the

output in proportion to the demand from various territories, thus

eliminating excessive competition and over-production. All of these

measures could be accomplished without detriment to the public if

properly regulated by the government. The very large saving possible by

this means would allow the introduction of conservational methods at the

mines without raising the cost to the public.

War conditions required even more immediate and sweeping application of

government power than above indicated, but conservational purposes were

quite overshadowed by other considerations.

Where the mineral resources are already owned by the government, or can

be acquired by the government, some of the troublesome factors in the

problem are removed. In such cases it is possible to work out an

intelligent plan for government control without the difficulties which

arise in dealing with private ownership,--although, of course, new

difficulties are introduced (see also pp. 345-347.)

The fact that there are conservational measures possible only to

governments has been widely used as an argument for introducing

government ownership or control. Recent vigorous demands for the

nationalization of natural resources in Europe, and the increasing

discussion of the subject in this country, may be regarded as phases of

the conservation problem. It is not the purpose here to argue either for

or against the drastic exercise of government power in the conservation

of natural resources, but merely to call attention to the measures which

are being discussed.

CONSERVATION OF MINERALS OTHER THAN COAL

The discussion of conservation as applied to specific minerals might be

extended almost indefinitely; but perhaps enough has been said to

indicate the general nature of the field. Before the war careful

estimates of world supplies had been made for comparatively few

minerals, although these included some of the most important, such as

coal, oil, and iron. War conditions required a hasty estimate of world

reserves of most of the mineral products. The reader interested in the

problem will find an extremely interesting body of literature issued by

the various governments on this subject. Of especial interest to the

American reader will be the reports of the U. S. Geological Survey and

of the Bureau of Mines.

In recent years there has been increasing recognition of the

possibilities of conservational saving by concentration, refinement, and

even manufacture of mineral commodities at or near the point of

origin,--thus lessening the tonnage involved in transportation of the

crude products. Limitations of fuel and other conditions often make this

procedure difficult; but considerable progress is being made both

through private initiative and, especially in international trade,

through governmental regulations of great variety.

FOOTNOTES:

[42] Campbell, M. R., The coal fields of the United States: _Prof. Paper

100-A_, _U. S. Geol. Survey_, 1917, p. 24.

[43] Final report of the Royal Commission on coal supplies: House of

Commons, London, vol. 16, 1905.

[44] Report of the National Conservation Commission: Senate Document No.

676, 60th Congress, 2d session, Govt. Printing Office, Washington, 1909.

[45] Van Hise, C. R., _The conservation of natural resources in the

United States_: Macmillan Co., New York, 1910.

[46] Haas, Frank, The conservation of coal through the employment of

better methods of mining: Abstract of paper presented to Pan-American

Scientific Congress, Washington, Dec., 1915-Jan., 1916.

[47] Adams, Frank D., Our mineral resources and the problem of their

proper conservation: _6th Ann. Rept., Commission of Conservation_,

_Canada_, 1915, pp. 52-69.

[48] Chance, H. M., Address before the mine engineering class of the

Pennsylvania State College, Quoted by F. W. Gray, The conservation of

coal: _Bull. 47_, _Can. Mining Inst._, 1916, p. 201.

[49] _Loc. cit._

[50] Campbell, M. R., and Parker, E. W., Coal fields of the United

States, Papers on the conservation of mineral resources: _Bull. 394, U.

S. Geol. Survey_, 1909, p. 12.

[51] _Loc. cit._ p. 12.

[52] Smith, George Otis, and Lesher, C. E., The cost of coal: _Science_,

vol. 44, 1916, p. 768.

[53] _Loc cit._, pp. 768-769.

[54] _Loc. cit._, p. 771.

[55] Van Hise, Charles R., _Cooperation in industry_, pp. 7-8, Address

given before annual meeting of the National Lumber Manufacturers'

Association, Chicago, Illinois, May 31, 1916.

[56] _Loc. cit._, p. 767.

[57] Stabilization of the bituminous coal industry, Extracts from the

award and recommendations of the United States Bituminous Coal

Commission, Government Printing Office, Washington, 1920.

CHAPTER XVIII

INTERNATIONAL ASPECTS OF MINERAL RESOURCES

WORLD MOVEMENT OF MINERALS

Of the annual world production of minerals about two-thirds are used

within the countries where the minerals are produced and one-third is

shipped to other countries. In this chapter we are concerned primarily

with the part which moves between countries. It may be assumed that the

consumption within the countries of origin is a matter of national

rather than international concern.

In pre-war times minerals constituted about 33 per cent[58] of the value

of the total foreign trade of the United States, and 28 per cent of the

foreign trade of Germany. Figures are not available to show the

proportion of mineral tonnage to that of other commodities.

One of the several interesting facts in this world movement of minerals

is that the movement of most of them shows a rather remarkable

concentration. For instance, manganese moves from three principal

sources to four or five consuming centers. Chromite moves from two

principal sources; tungsten also from two. Even for certain commodities

which are widely distributed and move in large amounts, the

concentration of movement is rather marked; for instance, the world

movement of coal is controlled by England, the United States, and

Germany. In other words, although the world movement of mineral

commodities is widespread and exhibits many complex features, most of

the individual minerals follow two or three salient lines of movement.

This means in general that for each mineral there are certain sources of

limited geographic extent, which, because of location, grade, relation

to transportation, cost--in short, all the factors that enter into

availability--are drawn upon heavily for the world's chief demands. The

convergence of these materials toward a few consuming centers indicates

generally concentration of coal production necessary to smelting, high

development of manufacturing, large per capita use, concentration of

facilities, strong financial control, and, not least, a large element of

enterprise which has taken advantage of more or less favorable

conditions.

If a nation were fully supplied with mineral resources, without excess,

the mineral problem might be almost exclusively domestic in its nature.

But no country is so situated. For most of the mineral products the

dominant supply is likely to be controlled by one or two nations, the

other nations being correspondingly deficient and dependent. Even the

United States, which is more nearly self-sustaining in mineral resources

than any other country, is almost wholly dependent on other countries

for certain mineral supplies; and in the case of minerals of which it

has an excess it is dependent on other countries for markets. The view

that the mineral resource problem is solely a local and national one, of

no concern to outsiders, ignores this fundamental fact of distribution

of raw materials.

Control of smelting facilities makes it possible for certain countries

to exercise considerable influence over the production and distribution

of minerals in other countries, and thus presents many difficult

international questions. Even more difficult are the international

problems created by the commercial ownership and control of minerals in

the ground by nationals of other countries.

The national and international aspects of mineral resources are

difficult to separate, so intimately do they react on each other. To

some extent there may be conflict of interest between the two, but in

the main the international questions may be logically approached from

the standpoint of national self-interest; for, in the conduct of the

national industry along broad and enlightened lines, world conditions

must necessarily be considered. A clearer comprehension of the world

mineral relations, and an understanding of our own opportunities and

limitations in comparison with those of our neighbors, cannot but

eliminate some of the unnecessary handicaps to the best use of the world

mineral resources, and result in a lessening of causes of international

discord.

A brief survey of the mineral conditions preceding, during, and

following the war may serve as a convenient means of approach to a study

of the present international aspects of the mineral problem.

MOVEMENT OF MINERALS UNDER PRE-WAR CONDITIONS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE

If the world pre-war movement of minerals is considered broadly, it may

be regarded as conforming essentially to normal trade conditions of

supply and demand. There have been barriers to overcome, such as tariffs

and trade controls and monopolies of various kinds, but these barriers

have not prevented the major movements between the best sources of

supply and the principal consuming centers. These movements may be

regarded as a more or less spontaneous internationalization of mineral

resources by private enterprise. The aim of free trade or unrestricted

commerce was equality of trade opportunities; but such conditions of

unrestricted competition tended to concentrate trade in the hands of the

strongest interests and to prevent equality of opportunity.

The efforts made to promote or hinder international mineral movements by

tariffs, bonuses, embargoes, subsidies, transport control, patents,

government management, financial pressure, and other means have been

incited mainly by national or imperial self-interest, and have thus been

to some extent inimical to an internationalization based on the

principle of the greatest good to the greatest number. It may be

supposed that, in any effort to attain supernational or international

control, motives and measures based on national self-interest of the

sort here mentioned will continue to play an important part.

CHANGES DURING THE WAR

The war wrought fundamental changes in the world movement of minerals.

The character and distribution of the demands changed. Customary sources

of supply were cut off. Financial disturbances and ship shortage

profoundly modified the nature, distribution, and extent of the world

movement. Our domestic mineral industry was abruptly brought to a

realization of its vital relations with international trade. To

illustrate, the large movement of manganese from India and Russia to the

United States was abruptly stopped, and we had to develop a source of

supply in Brazil. The stoppage of pyrite importations from Spain as a

means of saving ships required the development of pyrite and sulphur

supplies in the United States. The export of oil from the United States

to European countries was greatly stimulated, and the export to other

countries was correspondingly decreased. The world movements of coal

were vitally affected, principally by the limitation of the coal

shipments from England and the United States to South America and the

concentration of shipments to European countries. The closing of German

coal supplies to nearby countries also had far-reaching consequences.

The cutting off of the German potash left the world for the time being

almost unsupplied with this vital fertilizing ingredient. The Chilean

nitrates, on which the world had relied for fertilizer purposes, were

diverted almost exclusively to the manufacture of powder. The total

annual imports of mineral commodities into the United States were

reduced by 1,200,000 tons. Our exports, though they continued in large

volume, were mainly concentrated in Europe. The story of these

disturbances in the world movement of minerals, though highly

interesting, is too long to be told here.

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