IV

Education will perhaps be one of the most interesting fields of

future scientific management. At present we know a few bits of a few

sciences, and a handful of historical facts. We fill the picture out

with theories and blunderingly try to make other people memorize these

things. We call the process Education. We have invented a few devices

for discovering what they forget, and call them Examinations. Recently

we have invented a few tricks of exposing what they cannot do, and

we call them Mental Tests. We wrap it all up in a tangle of loose

philosophy, and we call it The Science of Education. We profess, it is

true, some loftier pursuits. We are trying, we say, to teach our pupils

to think. We try to mould their characters, and we try to produce good

citizens.

But what does it all amount to in the end? The most successful way

yet discovered of teaching people to think is for the teacher himself

to think aloud, and hope that his pupils will catch the knack. How

do we set about moulding the character of a child? By moral precept,

good example, healthy sport, uplifting atmosphere, and an unprincipled

application of punishment and reward. Our children are bored by

precepts. They yawn in our presence and make fun of our precepts in

our absence; they break out at the first opportunity and “sow their

wild oats”, and then rediscover our old morality for themselves. The

more adventurous invent a new one of their own, probably a finer thing

than that we tried to teach. Our good examples produce two alternative

effects. If the child happens to like us, he will imitate our actions,

and morality becomes an empty mimicry. Perhaps, on the other hand,

we have an unfortunate mannerism or some innocent resemblance to a

forgotten terror, and the child dislikes us. The good example is taken

as a pattern of the thing to be avoided. By counter-suggestion he takes

the opposite course so far as in him lies. The sons of clergymen might

provide us with material for a theory of moral education.

Our healthy sports――but why go on? It is not my intention to ridicule

the best things that the wisdom of the ages has produced. My only

contention is that our methods of education are hopelessly tentative,

uncertain in their effects, justifiable only on the ground that we

cannot yet see clearly anything else to do. But things will change.

Already there _is_ a science of education, because people with

scientific minds are thinking about the problems it presents. They

are experimenting, and they are at least disclosing our ignorance.

Experiments similar to those of Scientific Management are producing

similar results. We are beginning to know important things about

the mind, its natural development, and the method by which it works.

Already we know a good deal about the conditions of remembering, enough

at least to condemn, if we dared to think out the implications of our

knowledge, many venerable educational practices. Some of the most

important of our discoveries fall readily into line with the results of

Industrial Psychology. There seems, for example, to be a natural rate

of working appropriate in learning, appropriate rhythms of impression,

rest and recall, by the operation of which knowledge becomes firmly

embedded in the mind. When these rhythms are ignored, the evil effects

of cramming are produced. Our educational methods in the school and in

the university break and crush all these rhythms, and students pass

out into the world with mutilated minds.

The rhythms of life, however, present in every field possibilities of

extensive modification. That many needs demand a rhythmic satisfaction

is well known, but there is scope for detailed investigation and

experiment here. None of these natural periods seem to be absolutely

fixed beyond all power of alteration. The rhythms of digestion probably

vary with the fashions of the age and class, according as high teas

or late dinners are in fashion. They might under certain conditions

have depended upon the tides; and changes in our habits of taking

nourishment would probably produce most interesting variations.

Why should we sleep throughout the night, and work throughout the day?

Our habits in this respect were formed in the days before fire was

stolen from the gods――and they are wasteful habits, too. Artificial

light one day may easily come to be as cheap as water, and man will

change his ways of taking rest. Some experimenters urge that the most

valuable part of sleep is in the first few minutes. The remainder of

the night we spend in dreams and in gradually waking up. Let us apply

the principle of rest-pauses in a thorough-going way. Distributed

periods of sleep might prove a great economy. People will be taught to

recline say once in every two hours, and sleep for twenty minutes. Thus

will be inaugurated the twenty-four hour day, and a race of energetic

Napoleons will emerge.

But to return to general education. Why should the period of learning

be concentrated wholly in the early years of life? Distributed periods

of study will undoubtedly prove more effective, say two hours every

day, or two days every week, or, if you like, two continuous months in

the year throughout the whole of life. Thus might come the solution to

a variety of problems. We have, first of all, the problems of education

itself. At present we arrange the life of a child so that a period of

intensive cramming is followed by the abrupt cessation of intellectual

life at the time when the intellect is just beginning to mature. There

is the problem of industrial fatigue, due more often to monotony than

to arduous labour. Recent researches afford scientific support to

the adage that a change of work is as good as a holiday. Educational

pursuits will provide the necessary change. Already many working men

spend their evenings at classes and their only holiday at a summer

school.

Lastly there is the ever-growing problem of the prolongation of

infancy. Under simpler conditions a child was adequately equipped

for practical purposes by the age of ten or even younger. Now-a-days

fourteen years is considered necessary, whilst the professional man is

almost thirty before he is fit to earn a living――and still there is

more to learn.

Given successful scientific research in this direction, back we go

to the methods of the early days of the Industrial Revolution with

children employed in every factory. Under rational supervision it may

prove a great advance. The moral education which practical life alone

can give will commence at the proper time. Children will be protected

from the dangers of neglectful or over-solicitous parents. They will

acquire at an early age the much-required sense of responsibility and

independence, and their parallel work at school will acquire some

semblance of significance and interest.

In addition to new rhythms and periods of study, new methods will be

employed. Probably the curriculum itself will be the first thing to

be revised. In spite of a good deal of relevant knowledge, no one has

yet consistently thought out an answer to the question: What should a

child be taught? Freed from the assumptions of faculty-psychology and

from its present entanglements with external systems of examination,

the course of studies prescribed for the ordinary child would omit much

that is now included and include much that is now ignored. Moreover,

the order of presentation both of subjects and of the material in each

subject will undergo extensive alteration. Changes in this respect

have already well begun, and changes blindly initiated move towards

enlightenment.

Things are moving towards a triple control of the individual life,

one that roughly corresponds to the old control of the Church and

State, with the added partnership of organized industry. To the modern

representative of the Church――whatever ultimate form this institution

may take――belongs the function of guiding the individual for his own

personal good. It is a service which the Church might easily have

continued to perform, but for its insistence upon doctrinal terms.

What was in effect a kind of strike of the religious ministry, met by

boycott on the side of the general public, has led to the development

of black leg service on the part of psychoanalysis and disinterested

teachers. At present the organization manifests all the muddle of an

emergency supply. Children in over-crowded schools cannot obtain

adequate individual guidance, and the work of the psychoanalyst

is curative only in exceptional cases, and not, as it should be,

universally preventive. Nevertheless, feeling moves in the direction of

agreement that something more must be done, though as yet nothing like

a constructive policy of personal guidance has emerged.

The activities of the State in this connection are likely to increase.

In earlier days a man could be born, could live and die in comparative

privacy. Now, official notice is taken at least of his birth, his

marriage, his income, most of his crimes, some at least of his

diseases; and his death, too, is registered. The registration of

particulars about the individual will extend to educational records,

abilities and disabilities, and of all that is relevant to his social

life. Much of this will be done by institutions of the kind which our

present “vocational bureaus” dimly and crudely foreshadow. Ultimately

a public service more or less State-controlled will be developed to

mediate between Education and Industry. When life becomes more fully

organized into a system of interlacing rhythms, the unit of the

secondary Educational System will be an institution embracing factory,

school, and clinic under a single board of control with its industrial,

educational and medical representatives; and the threefold plan will

no doubt be adopted in both the higher and lower grades.

Early in life some of the main tendencies and abilities of the child

will be diagnosed and he will be sent to the appropriate school and

industry. Doubtful and obscure cases will, with the “allround” types,

be sent for a “general education”, in the course of which, however,

they will come under more careful examination. By the age of ten

or twelve the child’s future course should in outline and general

character be fairly clearly known, and by sixteen he will have become

more or less specialized to a certain type of course. Not, however,

completely specialized. To meet the problem of trade-fluctuations and

consequent unemployment, and as a preventive of industrial monotony,

each person will probably be taught a variety of pursuits, achieving

a balance appropriate to each case of mental and manual work. The

system of multiple vocations would probably be operated in conjunction

with some form of industrial conscription; for increased wisdom in

government should by this time have undermined popular prejudice on

this score.

At the prospect of such extensive changes in our educational

institutions one wonders what is going to happen to our ancient and

venerable universities. They might, consistently with all that has

been said, preserve their functions as specialized seats of learning;

but it is more likely that long before a rational system of education

has been evolved they will have changed their character beyond all

recognition. In optimistic, but perhaps short-sighted, moments, it is

commonly supposed that with the increasing demand for education their

future is assured, and that they will assume ever-increasing importance

and enjoy ever-growing popularity and respect.

Let us, however, for a moment consider the instructive parallel of the

Holy Catholic Church, the unfortunate history of which is a byword at

the present day. The causes of its decline do not, I think, include

one that is frequently suggested. Men are not to-day less religious

or less in need of its holy offices. The change has come about not

by decreased demands but by competition and an augmented supply. Men

still need the things of which the Church once held an almost complete

monopoly. They need some sort of philosophy, some personal guidance in

the difficult art of the moral life, and many other things which once

the Church alone could give.

The invention of the Press made possible the novelist. The novelist

found himself adopted as guide, philosopher, and friend. The younger

generation now-a-days acquires its general outlook from the novelists

and playwrights, who exercise an almost sacerdotal influence. Personal

guidance is offered by the psychoanalyst. He exercises the priestly

functions of the confessional and of exorcizing demons; whilst Coué

and his disciples offer a new technique of prayer. The validity of

these practices is not here my subject, but the fact that people

are getting what they want. Such new ways of meeting old demands

are continually being found, and may not the Universities soon find

themselves in the position of the Church? Several things would make the

suggestion plausible.

In the first place, education is already being purveyed as a commercial

product. Quite apart from the self-educators produced fortnightly

by the Press, there are Mind-training Institutes and Correspondence

Colleges. Universities at the present time can afford to ignore this

competition. They have, they think, the pull in traditional prestige,

the advantages of the tutorial system, the general atmosphere of

culture, and they have, we trust, at present the most distinguished

scholars. But traditional prestige is a slippery foundation for any

institution now-a-days. The test that is being applied is that of

practical efficiency. Already happy-go-lucky methods in University

finance are being examined by Royal Commissions and by financial

experts. The next thing will be that they will start to scrutinize

the educational methods being employed. Already, moreover, the newer

institutions are being forced to mould themselves upon the model of

an up-to-date business office. Soon they will adopt those well-proven

adjuncts of commercial progress――modern methods of advertisement, for

instance.

When the printing press arose, priests, no doubt, preserved their

self-assurance by reliance upon the peculiar efficiency of the

spoken word. They clung to the sermon and scorned the weapon of the

pamphleteers. When comparing themselves with the Correspondence

Colleges, the Universities resort to a similar argument. One day,

however, the Correspondence Colleges will realize the possibilities in

wireless as an adjunct to their methods.

When with the assistance of its influential board of directors some

national broadcasting company finally secures its charter, the

following situation will arise. Phenomenal salaries will attract

the most distinguished exponents of the various arts and sciences

to the central broadcasting stations. District Colleges staffed by

automatic invigilators will call the roll of students at the various

lectures. These will be delivered by a loud speaker synchronized with

a televisual cinema projecting the lecturer’s blackboard and other

illustrative material.

The economy effected by conducting classes of say half a million or

equally easily ten million students will enable anyone to follow

courses by all the most distinguished exponents of his subject.

European students in psychology, for example, will attend say at 9 a.m.

for Professor Stout, followed at 10 by Dr Sigmund Freud, and at 11 by

Professor G. E. Moore. Nor need these distinguished men repeat their

lectures until they have something new to say, for dictaphones will be

included among the listeners-in, and another relay of undergraduates

will acquire their wisdom from the broadcast-phonograph.

Such a soulless business organization, it will be objected, could

never replace our present establishments of culture. But here, again,

I feel the objection is of purely transitory force. Progressive

differentiation which I have mentioned as an important aspect of

evolution has produced the antithesis of commerce and cultured life.

Differentiation, however, is to a great extent counterbalanced by

processes of integration; and such integration we can see in progress

in the business world.

The commercial applications of art besides influencing the dividends of

our railway companies must be exercising a cultural effect upon their

boards of directors; and culture filters through in many ways. The

justly renowned polish of the Oxford graduate is finding a lucrative

field of expression in modern salesmanship. An up-to-date salesman

now-a-days speaks considerably better English than his customer, and

the average waiter is better mannered than the proprietor of the

hôtel. It is inconceivable that the employer will continue to be quite

uninfluenced by his cultured and refined subordinates. Perhaps this

is the secret of the growth of those Learned Societies the purport of

which we understand is to supply that liberal education demanded now

by busy business men. When the captains of industry have mastered this

business of being cultured and have seen its possibilities in practical

affairs their own peculiar talents will be applied in ever wider

spheres; of which education will probably be the first.

V

Dr Schiller is of the opinion[8] that the evolutionary impetus is

spent, and biologically at least we have seen the end of change. I

wonder. And supposing he were right? The process might begin again;

this time with the men of science at the helm.

[8] _Tantalus._

The vast and powerful machinery developed to meet the needs of

Scientific Management in industry, government, and education may

make it possible to initiate and control the operation of the

natural laws of change. Side by side with the direct control of

character, belief, and action, large-scale experiments in eugenics

may proceed. Such experiments would not demand the clumsy expedient

of the Act of Parliament. The triple control will provide adequate

means for eliminating the intractable factors in the situation.

Perhaps the constitution of the United States of America provides the

most promising machinery at present for large-scale sociological

experiment. These States, moreover, are fortunate in the character of

their population. But whether by education or by eugenic control man

himself will change. Physically, by a process of atrophy (at which Dr

Schiller will not, I trust, demur), he may consist chiefly in a head

from which will depend a mass of atrophied limbs. He will presumably be

more or less permanently mounted upon a compact automobile, travelling

by road or by air. No doubt a submarine attachment will be available to

facilitate his morning bath.[9] But it is not with his appearance that

we are here concerned. What is the future of his mind?

[9] But on all questions relating to our mechanical future I must

refer the reader to Professor A. M. Low, to whose works _The

Future_ and _Wireless Possibilities_ I myself am chiefly

indebted in this respect.

There are interesting possibilities in the sphere of sense alone.

Some of our present senses, such as taste or smell, may disappear

altogether. More and more we seem to depend upon purely visual cues. On

the other hand, vision and hearing may be considerably augmented. Even

though they be supplemented by microphones and microscopes, we always

strive to see and hear a little more than the best of instruments

allows. If, after all, the biological vitalists are right, so long

as we are interested in the constitution of matter there is a motive

for further variation. But, as Professor Low points out, our æsthetic

susceptibilities will have to be modified on the way. When we first

begin to perceive the fauna in the cheese and the microbes on our

walls, and when, like the birds, we go into the country to listen to

the worms, we shall have to revise our values. Our poets, too, will

find new themes to sing.

Memory, even more than sense, suggests many possibilities of

development. By hypnotism, or by the natural working of the unconscious

mind, it is said that we can recall even the earliest events of life.

Soon, perhaps, this power will be under conscious control, and the

autobiographers will have their millennium too. But, quite apart from

this, new methods of education and a little Scientific Management would

enable us, even now, to do much more with our memories through the

powers we already possess.

The developments of intellectual life are the most difficult to

foresee. But there are a few clues which enable us to guess at their

possible nature. What purely intellectual achievements have been

made in the past seem to depend upon the development of language and

the elaboration of symbolism convenient to thought. Philosophers and

scientists have continually expressed dissatisfaction at the modes

of expression at their disposal in a language primarily devised to

express our emotional and practical demands. Scientists have invented

a technical terminology in their nouns. Mathematicians go somewhat

further, and have invented more thorough-going systems of symbolism.

Philosophers have always found it necessary to invent peculiar

manners of speech, and now are seriously beginning to follow the

mathematicians. It is possible that quite a new language will arise,

probably a variety of purely technical languages――useful for different

purposes of thought. The process of differentiation manifests itself

here as in other ways. Already people following different pursuits find

it almost impossible to converse, at least with anything approaching

mutual understanding. And this process of specialization which

education and increasing knowledge forces upon us points to another

obstacle in the way of the Esperantists and other propagandists for

a universal language. By the time this language is adopted, we shall

have lost all common interests for the discussion of which it might

have been employed. Perhaps our newer universities will inaugurate

professorships in small-talk to keep alive an obsolescent art and to

correct this serious menace of specialism.

More rapid than changes in the intellectual life will be those of

character and of temperament. There are two significant facts in the

trend of man’s emotional development, one of special and the other of

general interest.

Firstly, there is the curious decay of cruelty and the increased desire

to avoid inflicting pain. No one, surely, would deny an enormous

change in this respect even in recent centuries. And we are beginning

to discover the lengths to which development may go. Even now it often

causes a moral man to attribute base motives to himself in doing a

kindly act to spare his friend the subtle pain or sense of obligation

which occurs in the feeling of gratitude. Modest forms of generosity

often have this motive in their modesty.

There is not much further to go before we reach the social life of

Henry James’s novels――where the principal characters have exquisite

consciences, where good souls are tortured by the regret that they had

not expressed their reproaches a shade or so less directly so as more

to convey the impression that they had really said nothing at all.

Now-a-days you are afraid to forgive your enemies, lest the pain of

remorse you thrust upon them should exceed the discomfort inflicted by

a direct retaliation. The finer spirits of the age cannot live up to

their own ideals because of the sense of inferiority it would impose

upon their less advanced companions. Society in the thirtieth century

will assuredly be even more refined.

The second significant fact of the moral history of our age to some

extent ameliorates the prospect. We are gradually growing out of our

emotions. We are acquiring self-consciousness and becoming habitually

introspective, and, as the psychologists tell us, you cannot observe

an emotion without decreasing its intensity.

This partly explains what is curious in what is called “modern love”,

as practised and expounded by our younger novelists. It is essentially

introspective. Every schoolboy knows what is going to happen when he

falls in love. He knows about the illusions arising from emotion. The

undergraduate cannot make love extravagantly like the Elizabethan

poets, or sentimentally like the Victorians. When he feels the passion

rising, he informs the provoking cause of it, that he knows quite well

that, in spite of it, she is a perfectly ordinary little person with

nothing very much to recommend her. They both agree that they are

victims of an obsolescent mechanism designed for biological purposes, a

mechanism primarily intended for the brutes, but annoyingly persistent

in its control over civilized man. They agree, however, to act the

performance through, because a rational way of making love is difficult

to devise. They agree to make senseless and meaningless remarks. He is

prepared to rave about her perfectly beautiful eyes whilst rationally

convinced that they show a distinct suspicion of squint. She in her

turn will admire his manly form whilst fully conscious that he is

rather undersized and remembering that he signally failed to get his

Blue. The kind of objective attitude that we are being taught to adopt

towards criminals, which the psycho-analysts tell us to adopt towards

the libertine, sooner or later we shall have to adopt towards ourselves.

In any attempt to picture to ourselves the life of future man one of

the chief of the things which we have to take into account is the

entirely remodelled constitution of society. There will be a small

upper class――very small because, as all the prophets agree, the

decrease of the birthrate in the upper strata will assume for sometime

quite alarming proportions. It will be regenerated for a while by

the bolder, more adventurous, and more capable of the working-class,

who use their wits to escape from the situation into which they were

born. Later, of course, this escape will be facilitated by reliable

mental, moral, and vocational tests. The working-classes proper will

then consist only of those less capable of administrative, organizing,

and managemental functions. There will be relatively little unrest

because the ruling classes will have learnt the wisdom of making the

workers comfortable and happy; and potential agitators by the system

of vocational selection will find themselves more lucratively employed

in voicing the opinions of the ruling classes at the broadcasting

stations. Plato will have come into his own. His criticism of

democracy will have become accepted and the philosopher kings――with a

difference――will have become established in the seats of power.

Whilst the masses enjoy their innocent pleasures, the ruling caste will

live a life of its own. Judged by the present, one might expect it to

be a life of sport, gambling, and house-parties, and there may be a

transition-period of this kind. In this no doubt some curious forms

of sport will be devised. If the theory is well founded which asserts

that our present modes of sport are debased survivals of ancient

occupations, the craze of the fortieth century may be the fascinating

game of mining. It will be played in specially constructed coal-mines,

filled with ingenious traps, blind alleys, and water-hazards. Messrs

Pope and Bradley in those days will circularize their clients by

provocative letters pointing out that last year’s mining suit is

hopelessly out of date, or that the time has now come for replenishing

the aerial wardrobe for the forthcoming polar sports. Chemical

warfare, conducted with novel forms of laughing-gas, will be a popular

institution at Christmas parties.

Various considerations combine, however, to suggest that sport is but a

transitory phenomenon in human life.

Firstly, the applications of scientific method to its pursuit is

tending to remove its distinctive character. And this tendency for

economic reasons is likely to prove irresistible. The old-fashioned

sportsman will protest against the newer methods. He may refuse to

bring to the golf course wind gauge and slide rule; he may refuse

to attend to the lessons of motion study, but in consequence of his

stubbornness he will find himself too ridiculously outclassed to appear

on the course at all. His will be the fate of the older militarists who

protest on similar grounds against chemical warfare.

To those who play the newer game, sport will become a rigorous

discipline and a scientific pursuit.

The general public, moreover, will increasingly enjoy its sport by

proxy. The televisual cinema, which will then be stereoscopic, will

provide a substitute for the football match; and the sporting spectacle

will naturally form only an incident in the variety show. Again, the

sporting interest will be merged, this time in the interests of

general entertainment.

Another important change already far advanced which will radically

alter the character of sporting life is man’s recent discovery of his

mind. The punch ball and gloves now hang limply on the wall whilst

the one time early riser lies comfortably in bed cherishing the

formula by which he grows sturdier and more Spartan in every way.

Instead of Sandow we have Pelman, and this will spread to the schools.

Enterprising teachers graphically plot the progress of their pupils

upon the wall. Small boys will exhibit their I.Q.s and scorn a display

of biceps. If Alec Waugh continues to write about it, the change may

reach the Public Schools. Again, it is the work of the printing press

which is at last beginning to tell. Anagrams and intellectual puzzles

of all kinds have existed for the few from ages immemorial, but in the

cross-word puzzle the principle is finding a wider appeal.

Lastly, the final blow to sport and to our British system of thought

built up upon it will come from the industrial field. Industrial

psychology will undermine it by eliminating its fundamental function.

The forms of sport with which we are most familiar arise chiefly

as a reaction against sedentary and ill-planned occupations.

Scientifically organized labour of the future will exhibit more

variety and give fuller expression to the many-sidedness of man.

Excessive specialization of the individual in his work has produced an

artificial differentiation in the arrangement of his life, of which the

distinction of work and play is the most glaring example.

With the outgrowing of sport, or, more strictly, with the blending

of work and play man will apply himself to tasks commensurate with

his powers. Dimly we begin to see what these tasks will be. The task

of government, complex as it may be, will be less difficult in many

respects than it is to-day. The danger of revolution should be only

a remote contingency. The stability of a society ultimately depends

inversely upon the prevalence of nepotism. A government of the

efficient and the talented equipped with scientific knowledge would be

impregnable. It matters not that men are mostly irrational so long

as the rational have the power to rule. The irrationality of the rest

is subject to uniform law, which, understood, can be brought within

control. But the temptation to the ruler to hand on the reins of power

to the inefficient with whom he has emotional ties of paternity or

friendship is almost irresistible. The difficulty, however, is not

insuperable. Some form of “Socialism”, which started all at equality

and promoted to power according to ability, gauged quasi-mechanically

by mental and vocational tests, would be a partial safeguard. Moreover,

in a compact ruling class a kind of family moral tradition might

emerge. This would be reinforced by the common-sense recognition of

the dangers of promoting the inefficient on a large scale over the

heads of the competent. The obvious effect of such promotion is, in the

long run, revolution; and revolutions will probably be recurrent until

the lesson has been learnt.

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