Chapter XIV that even the comparatively brief warm period known as

the post-glacial climatic optimum extended to the Antarctic coast,

and this is additional argument for extending the much greater

interglacial oscillation southward beyond its known limits in Tierra

del Fuego, Australia and New Zealand, but here the matter must be

left.

BIBLIOGRAPHY

Hedley, C. “The palæographical relations of Antarctica.” _London,

Proc. Linnæan Soc._, 124, 1911-2, p. 80.

Lydekker, R. “A geographical history of mammals.” Cambridge

University Press, 1896, pp. 125 ff.

David, T. W. E. “Antarctica and some of its problems.” London,

_Geogr. J._ 43, 1914, pp. 605-30.

Nordenskjold, O. “Antarktis.” _Handbuch Regional Geologie_, Heft

15, 1913.

CHAPTER XIII

THE CLOSE OF THE ICE AGE—THE CONTINENTAL PHASE

In Chapter V we left the climatic history of northern Europe at the

point where the ice in its final readvance had once more reached

the German coast. But Scandinavia was now sinking, and the margin

of the ice soon began to retreat again. At the same time the Alpine

glaciers diminished in size, while the Irish and Scottish glaciers

disappeared. This is the critical period in the change from glacial

to temperate conditions, and, thanks to the researches of the

Swedish geologists, and especially G. de Geer, H. Munthe and Gunnar

Andersson, we are very well acquainted with it. The change was

not uniform; at first the recession was very slow, and there were

periods when for scores of years the ice-edge remained stationary

or even readvanced, but on the whole the time was one of persistent

amelioration. The following description is based chiefly on W. B.

Wright’s summary of de Geer’s work.

After leaving the coast of Germany the ice-edge appears to have

remained in the western Baltic, retreating slowly for some 8000

years. About 10,000 B.C. it lay along the southern coast of Sweden,

and during the next 2000 years it withdrew to about 59° N. This was

the Gotiglacial stage. Here came a pause, when, for 200 years, about

8000 B.C., owing presumably to a change for the worse in the climate,

the ice-edge remained in one position, forming a great moraine. Then

came another period of very rapid retreat, the Finiglacial occupying

nearly 3000 years, followed by a further halt of some duration near

Ragunda, about 5000 B.C. After this the ice-sheet split into two

portions, and the Glacial period is regarded as over.

In the Alps there were similar periods of regression and of halting

or readvance. The first, known as the Bühlstadium, corresponded to

the Baltic readvance (Chapter V). The second, the Gschnitz-stadium,

with a snow-line 2000 feet below the present (i.e. mean temperature

about 6° F. lower than now), has not been dated, but probably

occurred about 8000 B.C. This was followed by a warmer period,

probably as warm as and drier than the present, after which the

glaciers readvanced about 5000 B.C. in the third or Daun-stadium,

when the snow-line was depressed 1000 feet (temperature 3° F. lower

than now).

In the lower Nile valley the deposition of gravel ceased, and that of

mud began about 8000 B.C., indicating that at this time the climate

of north-east Africa reached its present state of dryness.

It is at present difficult to give more than a tentative explanation

of these oscillations of climate during the Retreat Phase. Northern

Europe was at the time passing through a complicated series of

geographical changes. As the ice left the Baltic basin the latter

became the site of a cold ice-lake, with narrow outlets to the

Atlantic by way of the Sound and the Belts. At this time the

recession was slow. Then the retreat of the ice opened a connexion

with the White Sea, and elevation closed the outlet to the west.

This probably made the waters still colder, and the Fennoscandian

pause occurred. Elevation now closed the connexion with the White

Sea, and an entirely closed-in ice-lake resulted. During this stage

the retreat was slow, until between 7000 and 6000 B.C., when the

ice-sheet vacated Scania, and direct communication between the Baltic

and the Atlantic was opened across Lakes Wener and Wetter, and the

climate, though still arctic at first, became appreciably warmer by

6000 B.C.

For more than 10,000 years of the retreat, or until 6000 B.C., the

ice-sheet was still sufficiently large and powerful to maintain a

border of Arctic anticyclonic conditions on its southern edge. During

the retreat the mean annual temperature of southern Sweden increased

from 17° F. to 35° F., equivalent to a change from North-east

Greenland to South Greenland. The July temperature rose to about 43°

F. On the North German Plain still lived the reindeer and the fauna

and flora of the sub-Arctic tundras; the mean annual temperature rose

to 45° F. by the close of the period. The land flora in Sweden was

entirely xerophilous, indicating a slight rainfall. There is also

geological evidence of a small annual rainfall on the south-west

coast of Norway. This period covers the transition from Palæolithic

to Neolithic culture.

It seems probable that the continental character of the climate of

the final stages of the retreat phase was slightly increased by

astronomical causes, the obliquity of the ecliptic being probably

nearly one degree greater about 7500 B.C. than it is now. In Germany

and Sweden this would have the effect of lowering the winter

temperature and raising the summer temperature by rather more than 1°

F.

While the land was still falling rapidly in the north of Scandinavia

and the Gulf of Bothnia, the coasts of Germany and Denmark began to

rise, and about 6000 B.C. again closed[5] the outlet of the Baltic,

converting it into a large fresh-water lake, the _Ancylus_ lake. A

similar lake was formed farther east in central Finland. At this time

the south-west Baltic lands stood more than 100 feet higher than at

present. The land was probably still largely under the influence of

dry easterly winds, and the shutting out of the Atlantic accentuated

the continental conditions, and this stage in the climatic history

of Europe is known as the “Continental Phase.” The winter climate

was severe; at first the summers were not especially warm (July

temperature about 54° F. in southern Sweden). This is probably the

period of formation of the Ragunda moraines, and of a readvance of

the glaciers on the Norwegian side of the divide, when the snow-line

lay 200-300 metres lower than at present; it was also the time of

the Daun readvance in the Alps. But as the land sank in the north

and rose in the south, the waters of the _Ancylus_ lake retreated

farther and farther north, and the summers became hot and dusty, with

a mean July temperature of about 60° F. Everywhere in the Baltic

regions the older _Ancylus_ beds show a monotonous pine-wood, but

in the upper _Ancylus_ these are followed closely by a number of

plants and shrubs of southern type—black alder, curled birch, linden,

etc. The temperature continued to rise, and oak, Norway maple, ash,

and finally, in the southernmost parts of Sweden, the common maple

appeared. The last-named plant has been found below the present level

of the sea in Ystad Harbour.

Under the influence of these conditions the remnant of the

Scandinavian ice-sheet again decreased in size, until it split into

two portions, the break occurring at Ragunda, and this is considered

by Scandinavian geologists to mark the end of the Ice Age in Europe.

Gunnar Andersson compares the climate of southern Sweden at this time

to the Baraba Steppes in western Siberia, with an annual rainfall

of 12 to 16 inches, but this seems an extreme estimate. The “Karst”

flora of the limestone areas of south-east Europe immigrated into

eastern Sweden during this period, and south-east Europe probably

gives a better idea of the climate of Sweden during the continental

phase. Farther east, in Finland, Kupffer describes the climate as

resembling that of central Russia. In central Germany the climate was

dry, with a mean temperature in the four summer months of 63° F.;

it resembled that of south-west Russia. This period of warm summers

began earlier in Germany than in Sweden, and throughout this phase

Scandinavia was occupied by a rich forest flora. The hazel extended

several degrees north of its present position, and to higher levels,

indicating a July temperature about 7° F. higher than the present. In

southern Norway the pine extended to much greater heights. But the

ivy and yew, whose limits depend on the winter rather than on the

summer temperature, showed no such extension, indicating that the

winters remained severe. In Denmark there was a dry climate, fairly

warm at the close, with fir forests, though western Denmark is now

too wet for this tree. On the coast of Norway the seas were still

cold, so that there is a contrast between the animal life of the sea

and the plant life of the land. The Alps also became warm and dry,

and were occupied by a xerophilous flora.

As the glacial anticyclone decreased in intensity, depressions from

the Atlantic began to take a more northerly course, but were held up

near the British Isles and materially increased the rainfall. This is

the first peat-bog period of these islands, when the birch and pine

forests which had covered the non-glaciated lands during the cold

dry period gave way to extensive growths of peat-bogs. Southern and

eastern England, however, largely escaped this damp period, sharing

in the dry climate of the Continent.

The absence of storms off the north-west coast of Norway is shown by

the forests which at this period covered all the outermost islands

of Norway as far as Ingo Island, off North Cape. These islands are

now barren, and their afforestation indicates a drier and especially

a less stormy climate than the present, with a decreased frequency

of winds from the sea. These conditions were well developed about

5000 B.C. This is the Early Neolithic period. Owing to the great

development of forests, this period is sometimes called the _Early

Forest period_.

The late-glacial history of North America was equally complicated.

Consider first the region of the St. Lawrence Estuary and the Great

Lakes. As the Wisconsin ice-sheet retreated across the present

site of the Lakes, the latter underwent a remarkable series of

fluctuations of area and outflow, which have been made the subject

of brilliant studies by several American geologists. The opening

stage began when the ice abandoned the high ground south of the

lakes, leaving depressions bounded on the south by the hills and

on the north by the ice. The earliest of these in the basins of

Lakes Erie and Huron are known as the first and second Lake Maumee.

These gradually grew in size and coalesced, forming several series

of connected lakes, to which various names have been given; thus

Lake Warren extended well outside the present limits of Lake Erie

and southern Huron, and was held up by ice over Lake Ontario and

northern Huron. At a later stage an enormous Lake Algonquin extended

beyond the combined limits of Lakes Superior, Michigan and Huron, and

communicated by broad channels with an enlarged Lake Ontario known

as Lake Iroquois, and with Lake Erie. But even before this time the

northern shores of the lakes, relieved of the major portion of their

ice-load, had begun to rise rapidly, and ultimately reduced the lakes

to their present size.

These great areas of ice-cold water, bathing the southern edges

of the ice-sheet, must have had an unfavourable influence on the

climate, keeping it cold and damp, and preventing dry continental

conditions from becoming established. They probably retarded the

ice-retreat in these regions quite considerably, so that a lobe of

ice was left here long after the edge had retreated northwards on

either side. At the same time the climate further south was dry, with

æolian deposits; but as the anticyclonic winds blew off the Atlantic

the evidence of drought is not so marked as in Europe.

After this slow retreat had been in progress for a considerable time

a submergence, known as the “_Champlain stage_” set in, reaching a

depth of at least 600 feet and opening the St. Lawrence regions

wide to the Atlantic, which penetrated into Lake Ontario. The ice

now retreated rapidly under the influence of a maritime climate

little colder than the present. In phase this period corresponds

to the second _Yoldia Sea_ stage of Scandinavia; in point of time

it was probably somewhat earlier. This was followed by elevation,

the first result of which was to cut off the warm water and cause a

sharp fall of temperature exactly analogous to that of the Ragunda

moraines, but a few thousand years earlier and probably more marked.

The continuance of elevation brought on a long continental period

of extreme aridity, when trees grew on the peat-bogs of the eastern

States, while the lakes of the Great Basin further west were almost

or wholly dried up. At the maximum of the continental conditions the

summers at least were warmer than at present, as indicated by the

northward extension of various species of plants and fresh-water

mollusca. The winters were probably more severe. Possibly the great

aridity of this period was partly due to a sub-glacial continental

anticyclone obstructing the path of depressions across America from

west to east. The drainage area of the Great Basin received hardly

any rainfall and was a hopeless desert, but the Atlantic States were

able to grow trees on the old peat-bogs, probably with rainfall

derived from the Atlantic. By reference to the cutting of Niagara

gorge, we can infer that the warm dry period began about 6000 B.C.,

so that it corresponds exactly with the continental phase (_Ancylus_

stage) of Europe. This period of aridity was finally ended by a fresh

submergence, the “_Micmac_,” which carried the land about twenty feet

below its present level.

In Yukon and Alaska, where the glaciation was not nearly so severe as

further to the south-east, the depression of the land by the ice-load

and consequently the subsequent rise on its removal were not great.

There were no complicated geographical changes, and correspondingly

there appear to have been no fluctuations of climate, but only a

gradual passage to present conditions.

Even in Iceland there are indications of a dry period following the

last glacial maximum, for tree-trunks, buried in the peat-bogs, show

that the birch formerly had a much greater extension. It is also

quite possible that there was an accentuation of desert conditions in

Asia during the retreat of the glaciers in Europe and North America,

which may have played a part in the wave of Neolithic migration that

appears to have overwhelmed the artistic Palæolithic races of western

Europe; but of this we have as yet no direct evidence. The Neolithic

invasion of Europe took place along two main routes, the Nordics

passing from the centre of Asia north of the Caspian, across Russia

to the Baltic shores, where they became the Kitchen-midden people;

and the Alpine race passing from Transbaikalia, south of the Caspian

and Black Sea, into southern Europe. The Nordics drove before them

an older race, characterized by the transitional Maglemose culture,

which passed from east of Russia to the shores of the Baltic and

ultimately to England, where harpoons of Maglemose type have been

found beneath the peat of Holderness.

In the southern hemisphere the continental phase does not appear

to have been so well developed. The uppermost part of the Pampean

loess is possibly post-glacial; more certainly so are the sand-dunes

on the coast near Buenos Aires, in which human remains have been

found in association with the bones of some extinct animals. In New

South Wales, after the retreat of the glaciers, there was a period

with land a little above its present level, so that the stools of

Eucalyptus trees are now found ten feet below sea-level; but there is

no evidence as to the climate of this stage. In New Zealand we have

no definite post-glacial beds of continental type. The occurrence of

xerophilous plants, such as _Aciphylla_, still living in a climate

which is now decidedly moist, may be a remnant of a continental phase

in New Zealand, or may date back to the steppe conditions of the

loess. As to Antarctica, we have, of course, no evidence.

BIBLIOGRAPHY

Brooks, C. E. P. “The evolution of climate in north-west Europe.”

London, _Q. J. R. Meteor. Soc._, 47, 1921, p. 173.

Wright, W. B. “The Quaternary Ice Age.” London, 1914. (Ch. 17,

Late-glacial changes of level in North America.)

_Bericht Internat. Geologenkongress_, Stockholm, 1910. “Die

Veränderungen des Klimas seit der Maximum des letzten Eiszeits.”

Numerous papers, dealing with Europe and North America.

Munthe, H. “Studies in the Late-Quaternary history of southern

Sweden.” Stockholm, _Geol. Foren. i Forh._, 22, 1910, pp. 1197-1292.

Antevs, E. On the late-glacial and post-glacial history of the

Baltic. _Geogr. Rev._, New York, 12, 1922, p. 521.

CHAPTER XIV

THE POST-GLACIAL OPTIMUM OF CLIMATE

In most of the polar and temperate regions of the world the Glacial

period seems to have been separated from the present by a short

interval of slightly more maritime climate. The existence of this

phase was the chief point brought out in the great collection of

papers communicated to the Stockholm meeting of the International

Geological Congress, which has frequently been referred to in

this volume. The pioneer work on the subject has been done by the

Scandinavian geologists, and we may commence with a discussion of

this period in the countries bordering on the Baltic.

About 4000 B.C., at the conclusion of the continental phase referred

to in the preceding chapter, a rapid movement of submergence set

in over the whole of the southern Baltic, and shortly afterwards

the land-bar which had formerly separated the fresh waters of the

_Ancylus_ lake from the Atlantic gave place to a wide strait, through

which the waters of the ocean flowed into the Baltic across southern

Sweden. Ultimately this channel became wider than the present outlet

between Sweden and Denmark, and maritime influences penetrated to

all parts of the Baltic. In recognition of this influence the period

was termed by Blytt the “Atlantic stage.” The much greater freedom

with which the waters of the Atlantic were able to enter is shown by

a comparison of the “isohalines” of this period with those of the

present day. Isohalines indicate the degree of saltness of the water;

those of to-day can, of course, be measured directly, and show that

in the Gulf of Bothnia the water becomes continually less salt as we

go northward, for which reason many species of marine mollusca are

unable to live. By studying the distribution of the mollusca in the

_Littorina_ Sea the isohalines of that period have been reconstructed

also, and show that the salt content was much greater than at the

present day, indicating a greater influx of oceanic waters.

If we take a map showing a reconstruction of the geography of

_Littorina_ time, and apply to it the formulæ given in the Appendix,

comparing our results with the inferences of Scandinavian and north

German geologists as to the temperature, we find that there is a

remarkably good agreement. Many of the palæo-botanists comment on

the prolongation of the autumn into the present winter, which is

especially characteristic of a more insular climate. The amounts of

change in each case are also in good agreement, except perhaps in

the Christiania region and in north Denmark, where the geologists

require a greater change than that calculated from the land and sea

distribution; this is probably accounted for by a higher temperature

in the waters of the Atlantic. The maximum change as calculated

is shown in south-west Finland (winter 6° F. warmer, summer 2° F.

cooler). Finland is described as having at that time the climate of

western Europe, which we may take as meaning winter 8° warmer, summer

3-4° cooler. There was thus a great change from the extreme climate

of the continental phase with its hot summers and severe winters and

little rain, to an extremely temperate climate with cool summers,

mild winters and a heavy rainfall. The warmth-loving plants which had

begun to immigrate during the later part of the continental phase

continued to spread, and probably the highest average temperatures

were reached at the time of maximum submergence, but now they were

accompanied by plants for which a large rainfall is necessary, and it

seems that the average rainfall of southern Sweden must have been

about 40 inches a year. The oak began to dominate the forests in

place of the hazel, and the peat-bogs, which during the preceding dry

period had hardened into a firm surface on which birch and pine were

able to take root, again became moist, so that the trees were choked

by growths of bog-plants. On the shores lived men of the Transition

and Early Neolithic. As the land rose again and the _Littorina_ Sea

decreased in area the climate again became drier and more rigorous.

In Denmark the forests of the _Ancylus_ period gave place to oak as

the land sank, and there are also remains of two water plants, the

water-nut (_Trapa natans_), which is no longer found in Denmark,

and _Najas marina_, still living in one isolated locality. Northern

Denmark was broken up into islands, among which marine deposits were

formed, containing the remains of southern mollusca, many of which

are found in the kitchen-middings. Most of the wood used by Neolithic

man was oak; there is little fir and no beech.

In Norway the work of C. Brögger has made us familiar with the

_Tapes_ beds, which correspond in point of time to the _Littorina_

stage of the Baltic. _Tapes decussatus_ is itself a southern species

of mollusc, and it is associated with a very rich warmth-loving

fauna. In southern Norway the geographical conditions were different

from those in Sweden, for the land reached its lowest level

relatively to the sea about the close of the Glacial period, and has

been rising throughout the post-glacial. The seas show a progressive

rise of temperature from 8° F. below present at the close of the

Glacial period to 4° F. above the present in the older _Tapes_ beds.

The littoral climate at this stage resembled that prevailing at

present on the coast of northern England. After this, as the land

approached its present level, the temperature fell again, and in the

upper _Tapes_ stage was only 2° F. above the present.

The warm period represented by the _Tapes_ beds is found at intervals

along the west coast of Norway, and we again find evidence of a

submergence of the land contemporary with the maximum temperature.

These conditions extend even as far north as Tromsö, within the

Arctic circle. In Spitzbergen there are raised beaches 30 to 80

feet above the sea, containing remains of molluscs and a species of

_Fucus_, none of which are now living so far north. On the land there

are old peat-bogs of great thickness, though peat-mosses cannot now

grow, since the ground never thaws below a depth of 6-10 inches. It

has been pointed out that a great number of the plants now living in

Spitzbergen are unable to ripen their seeds under present climatic

conditions, though they must have done so in the past. Ripe seeds

of some species, in fact, have been found in the peat-bogs, which

are contemporaneous with the raised beach. There is thus evidence

of a very well-marked warm period associated with submergence in

Spitsbergen.

In Franz Josef Land, Nansen found raised beaches with mussels 10 to

20 feet above the present level; this shell does not now live so far

north. In the White Sea and on the Murman coast there are also raised

beaches with a southern fauna. The warm period shown in the beds of

the New Siberian Islands has already been referred to (p. 79).

Returning to the British Isles we find that in the south the land

was above its present level throughout the whole of the post-glacial

period. On the other hand, a 25-foot beach is found in north-west

England (Formby and Leasowe marine beds), but without any evidence

as to climate; the same applies to the 25-foot beach of Scotland.

It is only when we come to the north-east of Ireland that we find

evidence of conditions appreciably warmer than the present, in the

section of the Alexandra Dock, Belfast, where marine clays overlie

beds of grey sand and peat. The lower estuarine clay is essentially a

littoral clay, known as the _Scrobicularia_ zone. It is brownish-blue

and sandy, and contains in abundance the roots and leaves of the

grass-wrack (_Zostera marina_), and a vast number of shells of a few

species which live between tide-marks, indicating that the land stood

10 feet or so above its present level at first, while the climate

cannot have differed greatly from that prevailing at the present day.

It must have been formed during a period of gradual depression, for

throughout its six feet or more of thickness it preserves identical

littoral characters. After a time this depression became more rapid,

and the upper estuarine clay began to form—a light blue clay, very

pure and unctuous, with a very rich and well-preserved fauna, known

as the _Thracia_ zone. The fauna has a decidedly southern aspect,

and indicates that the coasts of north-east Ireland had the present

temperature of Bantry Bay—an increase of at least 3° F. in the mean

annual temperature. The _Thracia_ zone is followed by a bed of yellow

shore sand, indicating re-elevation to about seven feet above the

present level.

Corresponding to the upper estuarine clay are raised beaches at

a height of 25 feet in north-east Ireland, falling to 15 feet at

Dublin, and to only 6 or 7 feet in western Donegal and Sligo. The

mollusca indicate a somewhat higher temperature than the present. In

the beaches have been found flint scrapers and arrowheads of early

Neolithic type.

Looking further westwards, we find that Iceland, which had undergone

a slight elevation during the continental phase, so that peat was

formed below present sea-level, again subsided, falling to 10 or 12

feet below its present level. During this subsidence the temperature

rose, the greatest warmth coinciding with the lowest level of the

land. Species from the south-west shores, where the temperature of

the water is directly influenced by the Gulf Drift, extended to the

cold northern coast. In some places the marine clays of this period

have been ploughed up by a subsequent readvance of the glaciers.

From Greenland comes abundant evidence of a post-glacial warm period

coincident with a subsidence of about 80 feet. Raised beaches all

along the west coast contain mollusca, some species of which are not

now living north of the St. Lawrence estuary. On the other hand,

some northern species which lived off the west coast during the

glacial maximum retreated northwards during this period, and have

not re-established themselves, though the climate is now suitable.

Further, K. Steenstrup describes the occurrence of “dead ice” at

several places in North Greenland—masses of ice which have become

separated from their parent glaciers owing to rapid recession,

and are now buried in morainic matter. Subsequently the ice again

advanced, and in some cases a new glacier has advanced over these

masses of “dead ice.”

Passing to the mainland of North America, we find in eastern Canada

colonies of southern mollusca, especially oysters and quohogs,

separated from their main area of distribution south of Cape Cod

by a wide area of cold seas—the Gulf of Maine and Bay of Fundy. At

the beginning of the warm phase the land lay slightly below its

present level, but subsequently rose above it. The climate became

still warmer, until its temperature resembled that of the middle New

England States. At the same time the rainfall diminished and the

peat-bogs were replaced by forests of hardwood trees. In the basin of

the Great Lakes the warm period is represented by gravel beds in the

Niagara gorge, which from their position must, according to the most

recent determinations, have been formed about 4000 to 3000 B.C. These

gravels contain shells of fresh-water mollusca, especially species of

_Unio_, which are not now living in the St. Lawrence system, but are

found in tributaries of the Mississippi further south. Further south

on the eastern coast of the United States there are marine deposits

indicating a slight submergence, with a climate somewhat warmer than

the present.

Passing to South America, we find in southern Patagonia and Tierra

del Fuego exactly similar evidence of a post-glacial subsidence with

a warmer climate than the present. Raised beaches at a height of 50

feet contain mollusca, some of which are now rare or extinct in that

locality, and in sheltered situations plants are found still living

whose nearest neighbours are some way to the north.

In the same way, in southern and eastern Australia there are beaches

a few feet above present level, containing warmth-loving species of

mollusca and indicating a post-glacial warm period. There is some

evidence in the distribution of plants and marine mollusca that this

warm period extended to New Zealand. Raised beaches at a height of

50 to 180 feet are also known from many places in Antarctica, and

these contain mollusca, some of which are not now living south of

the sub-antarctic islands. An interesting confirmation of this has

been given by E. Philippi, from the results of an examination of the

sea-floor at four points in about 63° S., 75-95° E., all within the

present limit of pack-ice. The deposit at present forming is poor

in pelagic foraminifera, and consequently contains little lime, but

this deposit is very thin, and beneath it is a much more calcareous

clay especially rich in _Globigerina_. The latter deposit is still

forming north of the limit of pack-ice, and Philippi concludes

that at no very distant date the limits of ice were further south,

indicating warmer conditions. It is interesting to note that a

similar sequence has been found in the Norwegian North Sea, the brown

foraminiferous deposit (in this case containing _Biloculina_) being

known to be underlain as well as overlain by an unfossiliferous

grey clay attributed to the Glacial period. Finally, with regard to

Cape Colony, A. W. Rodgers says: “It is possible that the presence

of marine mollusca belonging to species that are only known in the

living state from the coast north of Pondoland, in the raised beaches

of Mossel and Algoa Bays, indicates that the sea on the south coast

was formerly warmer than now.”

Thus we have evidence of a period of submergence and climates warmer

than the present from a large number of places, including the Arctic

Ocean and Greenland, the temperate coasts of North America and

Europe, the Southern Ocean and Antarctica. The stage appears to be

missing on the temperate coasts of the Pacific, on both the Asiatic

and North American sides, and from the whole of the Tropics. It is

fairly certain that the warm period occurred at the same time in

eastern North America and western Europe; in the case of the southern

hemisphere we have no direct proof of this, but in all cases the

deposits are comparatively recent, and since they obviously refer to

a similar state of affairs we may assume that they are of the same

date.

In the Baltic area we know that the great change of level was due

largely to a subsidence of the land and only to a small extent to

a rise of the sea. But in other parts of the world the amount of

submergence was remarkably uniform at places in the same latitude,

and decreased steadily from the polar regions to about latitude

40-50°, where it became zero. Now such a general change suggests that

it was the sea which rose rather than the land which sank, and points

to some general cause which piled up the waters of the oceans in the

higher latitudes. A possible cause of this nature has been adduced

by O. Pettersson, which he terms the “tide-generating force,” which

reached one of its maxima in an 1800-year cycle about 3500 B.C. This

possibility will be dealt with more fully in Chapter XVII.

BIBLIOGRAPHY

_Bericht Internat. Geologenkongress_, Stockholm, 1910. “Die

Veränderungen des Klimas seit der Maximum des letzten Eiszeits.”

Numerous papers ranging from the Arctic to the Antarctic.

Brooks, C. E. P. “The evolution of climate in north-west Europe.”

London, _Q. J. R. Meteor. Soc._, 47, 1921, p. 173.

Praeger, R. Ll. “Report on the estuarine clays of the north-east of

Ireland.” _Proc. R. Irish Acad._, ser. 3, Vol. 2, 1892, pp. 212-89.

Goldthwait, J. W. “The twenty-foot terrace and sea-cliff of the

lower St. Lawrence.” _Amer. J. Science_, ser. 4, Vol. 32, 1911, pp.

291-317.

Cowles, H. C. “A remarkable colony of northern plants along the

Apalachicola River, Florida, and its significance.” _Rep. 8

Internal. Geogr. Congress_, 1904, p. 599.

Shimer, H. W. “Post-glacial history of Boston.” _Amer. J. Science_,

ser. 4, Vol. 40, 1915, pp. 437-42.

Halle, T. G. “On Quaternary deposits and changes of level in

Patagonia and Tierra del Fuego.” _Bull. Geol. Inst._, Upsala, 9,

1908-9, pp. 93-117.

Süssmilch, C. A. “An introduction to the geology of New South

Wales,” Sydney, 1914.

Marshall, P. “New Zealand.” _Handbuch regional Geologie_, Heft 5,

1911.

CHAPTER XV

THE FOREST PERIOD OF WESTERN EUROPE

Hitherto we have been dealing with climatic changes which can be

recognized with more or less certainty over most of the polar and

temperate regions of the world, but we have now to describe a stage

which appears to have been peculiar to Europe and possibly Asia—the

Forest period. By 3000 B.C., or towards the close of the Neolithic

period, considerable elevation had again taken place over the central

latitudes of western Europe (the northern parts of Norway and Sweden

were still several hundred feet below their present level). The

southern part of the British Isles, which had remained slightly

elevated since the last Glacial period, had now emerged to a height

of nearly ninety feet above its present level; the area of Ireland

had increased appreciably and part of the North Sea was land. The

geographical changes were not great, but they were sufficient to turn

the scale in the direction of a continental climate in the British

Isles. The more or less complete closing of the Straits of Dover, and

the consequent bar to the free circulation of the Gulf Drift, must

have had an appreciable effect on the climate in the direction of

continentality. At the same time the low level of northern Norway,

and possibly the persistence of warm conditions in the Arctic basin,

more and more attracted depressions to the northernmost track, so

that the British Isles especially, and to a lesser extent Holland,

Germany, southern Scandinavia and Russia, came more persistently

under the influence of anticyclonic conditions. The rainfall of

these countries diminished, and the surface of the bogs dried

sufficiently to enable forests to grow in the western countries; in

Germany heath-plants took the place of bog-plants, while in Russia

steppe conditions supervened. The normal meteorological conditions at

this time in fact resembled those of the memorable drought of 1921,

which was characterized by low pressure and stormy conditions in

the Arctic Ocean and a belt of high pressure and persistently fine

weather across central Europe.

During this phase the winters may have been severe, but the summers

were warmer than the present, for in the peat-bogs of Ireland and

Scotland are the remains of trees larger than any now found in the

neighbourhood. The Irish bogs dried so completely that they were

extensively inhabited; corded oak roads have been found at this

horizon, while in 1883 a two-story log house, surrounded by an

enclosure, was found in Drumkelin Bog, Co. Donegal; it was twelve

feet square and nine feet in height, and a roadway led to it across

the bog. Both house and roadway were entirely constructed of oak.

With the hut were found a stone chisel and a flint arrowhead. Beneath

the floor were fourteen feet of bog, and above the floor twenty-six

feet. This time was also one of relatively little wind movement,

for stools occur even in exposed positions on the mountain slopes

of western Ireland, where trees will only grow now in sheltered

positions near sea-level.

Further evidence of the very dry climate of this phase is the

frequent occurrence of trees apparently _in situ_ beneath the surface

of fresh-water lakes, both in Ireland and Scandinavia. I was able to

examine one very good example near Lough Toome in north-west Ireland.

An unusually dry spring had lowered the surface of the water and

a large number of tree-stools were exposed; when these trees were

growing the water-surface must have been at least two feet below

the level of the present outlet. Most of the lakes in which these

stools are found are shallow upland basins with a small drainage

area, and if the present climate became drier they would more or less

completely disappear.

Mr. Fairgrieve has noted the action of blown sand on the westward

side of broken-off tree-stumps in a submerged forest on the shore in

south Wales, which, though not conclusive, suggests dry conditions.

Mr. Fairgrieve also noted the direction of fall of twenty-one trees,

and found that in the great majority of cases they were blown down by

westerly winds.

The forest phase was short; according to the late C. Reid the land

again began to subside shortly after 3000 B.C., and by 1600 B.C.,

in Britain at least, had reached its present level; this carries

us to the beginning of the Bronze Age. In connexion with Ellsworth

Huntington’s theory that the dampness of Ireland lowers the energy

of its inhabitants, it is interesting to note that this dry period

apparently corresponds to the legendary Heroic Age, when the vigour

of the Irish reached a level never since attained. Civilization in

Scandinavia also seems to have benefited by the drier conditions,

for Scandinavian technique advanced rapidly to a high level about

1800 B.C. But though there is evidence of a considerable sea-borne

commerce with Britain and Ireland, there appears to have been

comparatively little land traffic between different parts of

Scandinavia at this time. In fact, to primitive man dense forest with

thick undergrowth was almost impenetrable. But at the close of the

forest phase and the beginning of the peat-bog phase the trees were

weakening under conditions becoming unfavourable. Such dying forests

are marked by the absence of undergrowth and young trees, and afford

safe and easy land communication. Accordingly we find that by 1500

B.C. a considerable traffic had developed across Scandinavia by land.

Although we have no direct evidence, the meteorological conditions

suggest very strongly that the dry belt extended across Russia into

Siberia as a marked period of desiccation, possibly worse than any

droughts of the historic period. At present Siberia receives its

rainfall mainly from depressions which cross Russia from the Baltic

or Black Seas, and follow a well-marked track north of the central

Asiatic mountains. But during the forest period these tracks were

abandoned, and the majority of the depressions passed north-eastward

off the coast of Norway into the Arctic Ocean. The result must

have been a great diminution of rainfall over the continent. We

shall see later (Chapter XIX) that this period of drought was of

extraordinary importance in human history. For during the moist

maritime phase central and eastern Europe, and probably also Asia,

had become extensively peopled by neolithic nomads of Aryan and

Semitic races, while the great river valleys of the south were in

the possession of dense agricultural populations in a more advanced

state of civilization. As the climate became progressively drier and

the pasture diminished, the land was unable to support such a large

nomadic population, and there was a great outburst of raiding and

conquering expeditions directed southwards and westwards, resulting

in a succession of empires in the rich Mesopotamian regions and

neighbouring countries, which form the beginnings of our history. The

beginnings of history in China also, about 2500 B.C., show that at

this time the settled peoples of that country were in trouble with

the nomads of the interior.

BIBLIOGRAPHY

Reid, C. “Submerged forests.” Cambridge University Press, 1913.

Lewis, F. J. “The history of the Scottish peat-mosses and their

relation to the Glacial period.” Edinburgh, _Scot. Geogr. Mag._,

22, 1906, p. 241.

CHAPTER XVI

THE “CLASSICAL” RAINFALL MAXIMUM, 1800 B.C. TO A.D. 500

About 1800 B.C., or the beginning of the Bronze Age in Britain, the

subsiding land finally attained approximately its present level. At

the same time the climate of western Europe deteriorated, becoming

much more humid and rainy, and there set in a period of intense

peat-formation in Ireland, Scotland and northern England, Scandinavia

and North Germany, known as the Peat-Bog Period or Upper Turbarian.

The peat-beds choked and killed the forests which had developed on

the older peat-bogs, and grew up above the stools and fallen trunks,

so that we have two layers of peat separated by an old forest. The

forest level contains neolithic articles, the peat contains gold

collars, bronze swords and pins, and other objects of the Bronze

Age. This growth also went on even over high ground, which had not

previously been covered by peat, for Professor Henry informs us that

on Copped Mountain, near Enniskillen, and at other places in Ireland,

Bronze Age cairns and tumuli are found resting on rock and covered

by several feet of bog. Peat-beds on the Frisian dunes between two

layers of blown sand are dated about 100 B.C., and some bogs in

northern France were formed during the Roman period. There is also

some much-disputed contemporary Latin evidence that at the time of

the Roman occupation the climate of Britain was damp and boggy, while

Gibbon (“Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire”), referring to the

climate of central Europe at the beginning of the Christian era,

points to some evidence that the climate was colder. This is, that

the Rhine and the Danube were frequently frozen over, so that the

natives crossed them with cavalry and wagons without difficulty,

although at the present time this never happens. It is possible

that this severe climate is referred to in the Germanic legend of

the “Twilight of the Gods,” when frost and snow ruled the world

for generations. The Norse sagas point to a similar cold period in

Scandinavia. This lapse of climate occurred in the Early Iron Age,

about 650 to 400 B.C., when there was a rapid deterioration from the

high Scandinavian civilization of the Bronze Age. This deterioration

of culture was probably the direct result of the increased severity

of the climate.

This Pluvial period has been made the subject of special studies

by Ellsworth Huntington in several important books and papers; he

finds evidence of a distinctly Pluvial period in three regions—the

Mediterranean, central and south-western Asia, and an area including

the southern United States and northern Mexico. In the first of

these, the Mediterranean, Huntington considers that the Græco-Roman

civilizations grew up in a period of increased rainfall which lasted

from about 500 B.C. to A.D. 200. These states were able to develop

in comparative peace because during this time there were no great

invasions of nomadic peoples from eastern Europe or central Asia,

a fact which points to good rainfall in these comparatively dry

regions, so that their inhabitants had no need to emigrate in quest

of a living. In the Mediterranean itself the heavier rainfall allowed

a solid agricultural basis which produced a sturdy race of peasants

who made good soldiers. Owing to the greater cyclonic control of

climate and consequent changeable weather, these inhabitants were

more vigorous in mind and body, for Huntington’s researches have

demonstrated that long spells of monotonous weather, either fine

or rainy, are unfavourable for human energy. Finally the heavier

rainfall maintained a perennial flow in the rivers, giving plentiful

supplies of good drinking water. These conditions broke down earlier

in Greece than in Italy, as the latter naturally has a heavier

rainfall. Huntington considers that the decline of Greece was largely

due to malarial poisoning, the decreasing rainfall causing the

river-flow to break down in summer, leaving isolated pools forming a

breeding ground for mosquitoes.

After A.D. 200 the climate of Italy also deteriorated. The decrease

of rainfall, combined with gradual exhaustion of the soil, made

wheat-growing more and more difficult for the small agriculturalist,

and the farms came into the hands of large landowners, who worked

them by slave labour, and in place of wheat either grew vines or

olives or raised flocks and herds. The agricultural population

gravitated to Rome and a few other large cities, and had to be fed by

imported wheat. The decline was probably aided by the introduction of

malaria, as in Greece.

In north Africa and Palestine the question is more debatable. C.

Negro, who has investigated the supposed desiccation of Cyrenaica,

concludes that there has been no change of climate since Roman times,

but a careful study of his evidence suggests that his conclusions are

open to criticism. All that he has proved is that there has been no

marked _progressive_ decrease of rainfall since about A.D. 200; he

has ignored the possibility of great fluctuations before and since

that date. In north Africa it seems difficult to believe that the

great cities of antiquity could have existed under present climatic

conditions, but when we turn to Palmyra in the Syrian desert we have

practically incontrovertible proof in the great aqueducts, built to

carry from the hill-springs to the city large volumes of water which

these springs no longer deliver, so that even where they are intact

the aqueducts now carry only the merest trickle.

In Persia we find numerous ruins, which point to a much greater

population two thousand or more years ago. This population lived

by agriculture, and the remains of their irrigation works are now

found in regions where running water never comes. Even the scanty

population of to-day can hardly live on the present rainfall of the

country, and it is unbelievable that the much greater population

indicated by these ruined cities could have existed without a very

much greater supply of water. The same condition is indicated by the

ruined cities of the great deserts of central Asia. These cities were

inhabited by agriculturalists, and the remains of tilled fields,

terraces and irrigation works abound in places where the supply of

brackish water would now be barely sufficient for drinking purposes

for such a large population. Huntington has also made a careful study

of the water-level of the Caspian Sea in classical times, and finds

that there was a great period of high water extending from unknown

antiquity to about A.D. 400.

There is only one region in central Asia where the population appears

to have been less in classical times than now, and that is the high

basin of Kashmir. Huntington points out that this basin is at present

near the upward limit of agriculture, and any fall of temperature

and increase of snowfall would drive out the inhabitants. But local

legends point to such a period in the remote past, corresponding to

the period of increased habitability of the central Asian deserts; at

its close there were extensive migrations from Turkestan into Kashmir.

Passing to America, we come to interesting evidence of a very

different class—I refer to the “big trees” (_Sequoia_) of California.

Since these trees live in a semi-arid climate, the amount of rainfall

is the chief factor in their growth, which finds an expression in

the breadth of the annual rings measured on the stump of the tree

when it is cut down. The method of utilizing the data was due to

A. E. Douglass. A careful comparison was first made between the

measurements of rings and the rainfall measured at neighbouring

stations, and a formula was developed by which the rainfall of each

year could be reconstructed from the tree-growth with a high degree

of accuracy. In extrapolating to find the rainfall for earlier years

before rainfall measurements began, various corrections had to be

applied, for instance trees grow more rapidly when young than when

they are old, while trees which are likely to live to a great age

grow more slowly at first than trees which die younger. These methods

were applied to nearly two thousand “big trees,” some of which were

found to be four thousand years old, but it is pointed out that the

corrections eliminate any progressive variation of climate which may

have occurred, so that the results show only “cycles” of greater or

lesser length. Summing up, Huntington says: “Judging from what we

have seen of the rainfall of to-day and its relation to the growth

of the Sequoias, high portions of their curve (of growth) seem to

indicate periods when the winters were longer than now, when storms

began earlier in the fall and lasted later into the spring, and

when mid-winter was characterized by the great development of a

cold continental high-pressure area, which pushed the storms of the

prevailing zone of westerly winds far down into sub-tropical regions

and thus caused sub-tropical conditions to invade what is now the

zone of equatorial rains.” Neglecting later favourable periods,

which are relatively short and unimportant, it is found that these

conditions prevailed very markedly between 1200 B.C. and A.D. 200,

with maxima about 1150 B.C., 700 B.C., and from 450 B.C. to 250 B.C.

Thus over the greater part of the temperate regions of the northern

hemisphere we have evidence of an important rainy period between the

extreme limits of 1800 B.C. and A.D. 400 or 500. This period was best

developed from 1200 B.C. to A.D. 200, and reached its maximum about

400 B.C. It constitutes a remarkable wave of climatic variation,

which is hitherto without adequate explanation. A somewhat similar,

though less intense, wave which occurred about A.D. 1200-1300, and

which is described in the following chapter, was associated by Wolf

to a great outburst of sunspots which took place about A.D. 1200. It

is well known that sunspots are an index of solar activity, the sun’s

radiation being greater at times of spot maximum than at times of

spot minimum. Greater solar radiation increases the evaporation over

the oceans, so that the air becomes more humid. This moist air is

carried by atmospheric currents over the land, where the moisture is

condensed into clouds and greatly increases the rainfall. At the same

time the cloud canopy shuts off some of the direct heat of the sun,

and we have the curious paradox that at times of sunspot maximum, or

greatest solar radiation, the temperature of the earth’s surface is

lowest.

The connexion outlined above is, however, extremely problematical

for temperate regions. Since the absolute sunspot maximum at A.D.

1200 is also very doubtful, it will be realized that the evidence for

the sunspot hypothesis of the mediæval rainfall maximum is extremely

slender. Furthermore, since we know nothing whatever about the solar

activity during the classical rainfall maximum, we are still less in

a position to extend the sunspot hypothesis to that period also.

The interesting theory recently put forward by O. Pettersson, already

alluded to, provides a plausible alternative explanation of the

severe stormy climate of the Peat-bog period, which reached a maximum

near 400 B.C. Without going into details this theory is that the

strength of the tides depends on the relative positions of the sun

and moon, and the tides are greatest when these act in conjunction,

and also when they are nearest to the earth. This fluctuation of

strength passes through various cyclic variations with periods of

nine years, about ninety years and about 1800 years, though the

lengths of the periods are not constant. The latter cycle is most

important to our purposes; according to Pettersson’s calculations

the fluctuations of the “tide-generating force” were as follow:

Maxima 3500 B.C. 2100 B.C. 350 B.C. A.D. 1434

Minima 2800 B.C. 1200 B.C. A.D. 530.

Increased range of the tides means increased circulation in the

waters of the oceans, especially an increased interchange between the

warm North Atlantic and the cold Arctic waters. It also means than an

unusual amount of ice is brought down from high into low latitudes.

Wide local variations of temperature of the surface waters of the

oceans cause increased cyclonic activity, and hence we may expect a

generally increased storminess at times of maximum “tide-generating

force,” and the reverse at times of minimum.

For the last maximum (A.D. 1434) Pettersson is able to adduce a good

deal of historical evidence of increased storminess in north-west

Europe and bad ice-conditions near Iceland and Greenland, while

Huntington has found an increase of rainfall shown by the big trees

of California. The next preceding maximum, that of 360 B.C., marks

the culminating point of the Peat-bog phase. The Norse sagas and

the Germanic myths point to a severe climate about 650 B.C., which

destroyed an early civilization. This was the “Twilight of the Gods,”

when frost and snow ruled the world for generations. The period

was the Early Iron Age, when civilization deteriorated greatly in

north-west Europe.

Of the maximum of 2100 B.C. there is no trace. It is possible that

the great Atlantic submergence of the Maritime phase is connected

with the tidal maximum of 3500 B.C., but the phenomena were on a

scale so much greater than those of the more recent maxima that this

can hardly have been the sole cause.

The minima should have been characterized by periods of relatively

quiet stable climate with little ice near Iceland and Greenland.

That the last minimum, in A.D. 530, was such a period there is

considerable evidence in the high level reached by civilization at

that period in Scandinavia and by the revival in Ireland. Again,

about 1200 B.C., in the early part of the Peat-bog phase, there

is evidence of considerable traffic by sea between Scandinavia

and Ireland. The Irish Museum has lately discovered a hoard of

gold objects dated about 1000 B.C., in which the designs show a

Scandinavian origin. The minimum of 2800 B.C., which occurred in the

Forest phase, may have contributed to the dry climate of that period,

but otherwise has left no trace.

Although at first sight the effect which Pettersson sets out to

explain seems out of all proportion to the smallness of his cause,

the coincidences after 2000 B.C. are extremely interesting, and

suggest that after the land and sea distribution reached its present

form the astronomical cause adduced by Pettersson was possibly

effective, but before that date the astronomical cause, if it

existed, was masked by the much greater climatic variations due to

changes in the land and sea distribution.

The opinion has frequently been expressed that the “Classical” and

“Mediæval” rainfall maxima were phenomena similar to the Glacial

period, but less intensive. This view is often carried to its logical

conclusion, that the thirty-five-year cycle, the eleven-year,

and still smaller cycles of climate, are also part of the same

series, and that the Glacial period and, let us say, the three-year

periodicity of rainfall are therefore due to variations of the same

agent, in this case the sun. This logical extension of the theory

is, however, completely untenable. The eleven-year periodicity is

admittedly connected with variations in the solar activity, but there

are other cycles which are completely independent of such variations,

such as, for instance, the annual variation undergone by all

meteorological elements, which depends entirely on the inclination

of the earth’s axis. There is a well-marked 4.8 year period in the

amount of ice off Iceland, the half-cycle of which is exactly equal

to the distance travelled by the water taking part in the North

Atlantic circulation, divided by the velocity with which it travels.

There is, therefore, no _a priori_ reason for assuming that the cause

of the Glacial period was identical with the cause of the Classical

and Mediæval rainfall maxima. Further, in the latter case, the chief

phenomenon was the increase of rainfall; the decrease of temperature

was merely incidental, but in the Glacial period the outstanding

feature was a great lowering of temperature in the polar and

temperate regions, and in this case it was the increase of rainfall

which was incidental.

BIBLIOGRAPHY

Lewis, F. J. “The history of the Scottish peat-mosses and their

relation to the Glacial period.” Edinburgh, _Scot. Geogr. Mag._,

22, 1916, p. 241.

Brooks, C. E. P. “The correlation of the Quaternary deposits of

Great Britain with those of the Continent of Europe.” _Ann. Rep.

Smithsonian Inst._, 1917, p. 277.

Huntington, Ellsworth. “The pulse of Asia.” Boston and New York,

1907.

——. “The climatic factor as illustrated in arid America.”

Washington, _Carnegie Institution_, 1914.

——. “World power and evolution.” New Haven, 1919, pp. 186-207.

Pettersson, O. “Climatic variations in historic and prehistoric

time.” _Svenska Hydrogr.-Biol. Komm. Skrifter_, Heft 5.

CHAPTER XVII

THE CLIMATIC FLUCTUATIONS SINCE A.D. 500

The question of climatic changes during the historic period has been

the subject of much discussion, and several great meteorologists

and geographers have endeavoured to prove that at least since about

500 B.C. there has been no appreciable variation. It is admitted

that there have been shiftings of the centres of population and

civilization, first from Egypt and Mesopotamia to the Mediterranean

regions, and later to northern and western Europe, but these have

been attributed chiefly to political causes, and especially to the

rise of Islam and the rule of the “accursed Turk.” Recently, however,

there has arisen a class of evidence which cannot be explained away

on political grounds, and which appears to have decided the battle

in favour of the supporters of change; I refer to the evidence of

the trees, explained in the preceding chapter. The conclusions

derived from the big trees of California have fallen admirably into

line with archæological work in central America, in central Asia

and other regions, and have shown that the larger variations even

of comparatively recent times have been very extensive, if not

world-wide, in their development.

Let us consider first the evidence of the trees. These indicate

that after the moist period ending about A.D. 400, described in the

preceding chapter, the rainfall was generally light until about A.D.

1000, when it showed a sharp rise, probably to the level attained in

A.D. 1. (The correction for age renders an exact comparison between

periods a thousand years apart difficult.) This period of abundant

rainfall lasted some fifty years, followed by a gradual decline to a

brief minimum, shortly before A.D. 1200. About 1300 occurred another

rapid rise, reaching a maximum before 1350; the period of heavy rain

continued a short while after 1400, when a decline set in, reaching

a minimum at 1500, after which the rainfall recovered somewhat, and

subsequently maintained approximately its present level, with a

slight maximum about 1600 to 1645.

In the desert of Arizona, in regions at present too dry for

agriculture, there are abundant ruins, which are attributed by

Huntington to three periods:

(_a_) Pueblo ruins, dating back to just before the coming of the

Spaniards (i.e. about A.D. 1600), and indicating merely an increase

of population at the present centres.

(_b_) Ruins of an older civilization, termed by Huntington the

Pajaritan, during which numerous inhabitants lived in places where

at present no crops can be raised. “These people, as appears from

their pottery, their skulls and their methods of agriculture, belong

to a different civilization from that of the modern Pueblos who

inhabited Gran Quivera at the time of the coming of the Spaniards.

They had evidently disappeared long before that date, as is evident

from the present ruins of their villages, and from the absence of any

hint of their existence in the early annals of the country” (_Geogr.

Journal_, 40, 1912, p. 396).

The largest ruins of this type invariably lie near the main lines of

drainage. They consist of villages with houses of several storeys.

But digging down beneath these ruins we find (_c_) traces of an

older occupation, and ruins of a primitive type are also found on

the plateaus remote from any except small valleys. “They are usually

small, and are greatly ruined, and seem to belong to a time long

anterior to the main large ruins.” Huntington terms this type the

Hohokam; unfortunately this and the Pajaritan occupations cannot

be accurately dated, but it is reasonable to connect them with the

rainfall maxima shown by the trees, about the time of Christ, and in

A.D. 1000 to A.D. 1300.

A similar succession has been found in the neighbourhood of Mexico

City. The earliest trace of occupation is a crude “mountain pottery,”

in ordinary river sand and gravel. These deposits are succeeded by

finer sand with better pottery known as the “San Juan” type, above

which comes a culture layer with the remains of houses. This is

covered by a bed of “tepetate,” a white calcareous deposit frequently

found in dry regions where much water evaporates. The gravels suggest

the occasional heavy rains of arid countries. The San Juan pottery

extends throughout the “tepetate,” which probably corresponds to the

dry period of A.D. 400-1000 in California.

Historical records in Mexico date back to the coming of the Aztecs in

A.D. 1325. They show that in 1325 and again in 1446 the level of the

lake of Mexico was high, but towards the end of the fifteenth century

the water was much lower. In 1520 it was high again; in 1600 it was

low, but high from 1629 to 1634. From 1675 to 1755 was a long dry

period. On the whole the climate from 300 to 600 years ago seems to

have been moister than that of to-day.

Still further south in the Peninsula of Yucatan recent explorations

have yielded results of extreme interest. Yucatan lies within the

tropical rain-belt, and is covered by almost impenetrable forests.

The climate is enervating and unhealthy, and the present inhabitants

are greatly lacking in vigour. In the forest, however, have been

found the ruins of ninety-two towns, some of them of great size,

and all remarkable for the beauty as well as the solidity of their

architecture.

These ruins belong to the great Mayan civilization. Mayan history

has been briefly summarized by Huntington as follows: “First we have

a long period of active development, during which the calendar was

evolved and the arts of architecture and sculpture were gradually

developed.... This time of marked growth must have preceded the

Christian era. Then comes ... the building of the great cities of

Copan, Quirigua, Tikal and others. These first great cities were in

the southern part of the Maya area, on the borders of Honduras or in

eastern Guatemala. They lasted perhaps three or four centuries; then

quickly declined. So far as we have any evidence, civilization never

revived in this southern area, for the structures of the great period

have not been rebuilt by later inhabitants. Towards the end of the

period of greatness the centre of Mayan culture moved northward....

The great period, according to Bowditch, lasted from 100 B.C. to

A.D. 350 ... then came a time of very low civilization, lasting for

centuries.... A revival ensued about A.D. 900 or A.D. 1000, and

architecture once more reached a high pitch, but ... only in northern

Yucatan; all the rest of the country seems to have remained in

darkness. Moreover, this mediæval revival was relatively shortlived.

Since that time the condition of the Mayas has fluctuated more or

less, but on the whole there has been a decline.”

Now at the present day the densest and most progressive population in

Yucatan is found in the driest part of the country, where the forest

gives place to jungle. If the line of separation between jungle and

forest were moved southward 300 miles, the former would include

all the districts where ruins are now found. We see from the above

summary that the prosperous periods of Mayan history were just those

periods which in California were moist; in Yucatan they must have

been dry. Huntington’s explanation is the theory of the “shifting of

climatic belts”; during the rainy period in California the temperate

storm-tracks were shifted further southward. At the same time the

sub-tropical high-pressure belt, which at present lies over the

West Indies, was also shifted southwards, and this brought a dry

cool winter to Yucatan, with an increased contrast of seasons, and

consequently a more invigorating climate.

In Asia, Huntington and other explorers have found similar traces of

past variations of climate, a fascinating account of which is given

in “The Pulse of Asia.” Space will not permit of a summary in detail,

but the following general conclusions may be quoted:[6]

“If we omit the Volga and the European portions of the Caspian

drainage area, the limits (of the six basins considered) lie over

sixteen hundred miles apart from north to south and over three

thousand from east to west. All this great area seems to have been

subject to the same great waves of climatic change.

“In the ancient days when the Oxus River entered the Scythian Gulf

of the expanded Caspian Sea, and Lake Gyoljuk discharged permanently

to the Tigris, the lake of Seyistan had not been converted into dry

land by the giants. Kashmir was so cold and snowy that agriculture

was impossible.... In the Lop basin the rivers were full of water;

Lop-Nor was the “Great Salt Lake”; the desert was comparatively small

and the zone of vegetation extensive; and on all sides there was a

density of population and a degree of prosperity far beyond those of

to-day. And in the Turfan basin the same was probably true.

“A great change took place throughout the six basins during the early

centuries of the Christian era. The lakes of Gyoljuk, Seyistan, the

Caspian, Lop-Nor and presumably Turfan were greatly reduced in size.

In the case of the first three, parts of the old lake-beds were used

as sites for villages. Except in Kashmir, the change of climate

appears to have brought disaster....

“Again there came a change (about A.D. 700). The process of

desiccation gave place to a slight but important tendency toward

increased rainfall and lower temperature. Kashmir became colder and

more snowy, and hence more isolated; the rivers of Lop and Turfan

gained greater volume; and the lakes of Lop, the Caspian and Turfan

expanded once more. The habitability of the arid regions began to

increase; migrations came to an end; and central Asia was prosperous

for a time. Finally (about 1350) a latest and slightest change took

place in the other direction, and we seem to-day to be in the midst

of an epoch of comparative equilibrium, with no marked tendency

towards climatic change in either direction.” There was, however, a

period of comparatively high water in the Caspian in the early part

of the seventeenth century.

In Europe the evidence for climatic changes during historical times

is more difficult to follow, since variations of rainfall leave fewer

traces in a moist than in an arid or semi-arid country. A certain

amount of material is given by Brückner in his “Klimaschwankungen.”

He finds that there was a great advance of the Alpine glaciers from

1595 to 1610, while two Italian lakes without outlet, the Lago di

Fucina and Lake Trasimeno, attained a high level about the same

time. Other evidence for western Europe is derived from the date

of the wine-harvest and from the records of severe winters. Like

the growth-curves of the big trees, they need a secular correction

to alter the general slope of the curve, especially in the case of

severe winters, but the larger irregularities probably correspond to

real variations of climate. I have added in column 4 the numbers of

winters with sea-ice on some part of the Danish coast, as tabulated

from the records compiled by Captain C. I. H. Speerschneider. The

results are in general agreement with column 3, particularly as

showing that the period 1401-50 was relatively mild; but the first

half of the seventeenth century is less instead of greater than its

two neighbours in this column.

The figures for the wine-harvest refer to the average for the period

1816-80; - indicates that the harvest was so many days earlier than

normal, corresponding to a high summer temperature (May to August).

The table shows that cold winters were especially numerous in the

first half of the twelfth century and again in the thirteenth. The

end of the fifteenth century was marked by hot summers and mild

winters, or a warmer climate; the beginning of the seventeenth

century by cold (presumably snowy) winters and cool summers. Thus the

periods of increased rainfall in the arid regions of Asia and America

were marked by a colder climate in the rainy regions of western

Europe.

--------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------

1. | 2. | 3. | 4. | 5.

| | | |

Period,| Date of | No. |Winters with |

50 years| Wine |of Severe|Ice on Danish| Remarks.

about. | Harvest.| Winters.| coast. |

--------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------

825 | | 4 | |

875 | | 7 | |

925 | | 5 | |

975 | | 6 | |

1025 | | 6 | |

1075 | | 10 | |

1125 | | 15 | | Cold winters

1175 | | 10 | |

1225 | | 13 | } |

1275 | | 13 | } | Cold winters

1325 | | 13 | 7 } |

1375 | | 11 | 4 |

1425 | +5 | 13 | 7 |

1475 | +1 | 7 | 2 | Warm

1525 | +2.9 | 10 | 5 |

1575 | +2.2 | 14 | 14 } |

1625 | +4.1 | 17 | 11 } | Cold

1675 | +2.7 | 15 | 14 } |

1725 | +0.1 | 10 | 5 |

1775 | -0.2 | -- | 22 |

1825 | -0.9 | -- | 21 |

--------+---------+---------+-------------+-------------

The date of the break up of the River Dwina at Mitau was recorded

intermittently from 1530 to 1709, and regularly since that date, and

the figures have been discussed by Rykatchef. Recasting them in our

unit of fifty years we find the mean dates to be:

----------+----------+-----------+----------+-----------+----------

1551-1600 | 1601-50 | 1651-1700 | 1701-50 | 1751-1800 | 1801-50

March 29 | March 30 | March 5 | March 26 | March 26 | March 28

----------+----------+-----------+----------+-----------+----------

This again points to a cold period about the beginning of the

seventeenth century.

The climate of Iceland and Greenland in the Middle Ages has been

the subject of much controversy, the view that there were extensive

changes during that period being warmly upheld by one party and as

warmly combated by the other party. The case for climatic change has

been well set out by O. Pettersson[7]. The Roman authors (Pliny,

Solinus, etc.) wrote that there was a frozen sea about Thule

(Iceland), but a party of monks who visited the island about A.D.

795 during the months of February to August, in which the ice is

normally most abundant in Icelandic waters, found the coast free,

though they met with a frozen sea a day’s journey to the northward.

In the ninth century the Norsemen visited Iceland regularly, and at

times sailed round it, apparently without interference from ice.

The early settlers practised agriculture with some success. In the

thirteenth century, however, the reports of ice off Iceland became

frequent—apparently the conditions were worse than those of the

present day, and much more so than in the eighth and ninth centuries.

According to Rabot, it appears from ancient records that considerable

areas cultivated in the tenth century are now covered with ice. The

first spread of the glaciers took place in the first half of the

fourteenth century. In the fifteenth and sixteenth centuries the

climate of Iceland ameliorated somewhat, but in the seventeenth there

was a readvance, which destroyed several farms about 1640 or 1650.

Since then there has been a slight retreat.

The ice-conditions of Greenland are closely related to those of

Iceland, and the records of the Norse colonization of Greenland bear

out the conclusions drawn from the latter island. Up to the close

of the twelfth century ice is hardly ever mentioned in the accounts

of voyages, though it is now a great hindrance. Eric, the pioneer

explorer of West Greenland, spent three successive winters on the

islands in Juliaanehaab Bay (latitude 60° 45′ N.), and explored the

country during the summer; “this cannot be explained otherwise than

by assuming that the Polar ice did not reach Cape Farewell and the

west coast of Greenland in those days.” In the thirteenth century ice

is first specifically mentioned as a danger to navigation, and at

the end of the fourteenth century the old Norse sailing route was on

account of ice definitely abandoned in favour of one further south.

Shortly afterwards the Norse colonies were wiped out by a southward

migration of the Eskimos. Even in Norway itself the fourteenth

century was a time of dearth, short harvests and political troubles,

when corn had to be imported from Germany instead of being exported

to Iceland as in former years.

It should be noted that Pettersson’s conclusions are considered

invalid by H. H. Hildebrandsson[8] on the ground of the

incompleteness of the records.

For the southern hemisphere our records are naturally much rarer and

of less antiquity than for the northern hemisphere, and until the

tree-rings are investigated we cannot carry our study back beyond

the sixteenth century. From some researches into the municipal

archives of Santiago de Chile, latitude 33½° S., published by B. V.

Mackenna in 1877, we can infer, however, that the general course of

variation since 1520 was similar to that of corresponding regions in

North America. Santiago lies in a semi-arid region where a temporary

shortage of water is severely felt, the average annual rainfall

being only 364 mm. (14.3 inches). The early travellers, however,

make no specific mention of drought, and in 1540 Pedro de Valdivia

crossed the desert of Atacama with a column of troops and cattle

without inconvenience—a feat which would be difficult nowadays. In

1544 there were heavy rains and great floods in June. The next record

is for the year 1609, recording another heavy flood on the Mapocho,

which was repeated nine years later in 1618. The first recorded

drought occurred in the years 1637 to 1640; there was another flood

in 1647, after which came a series of severe droughts interrupted by

occasional floods, which lasted until the close of the eighteenth

century. The first half of the nineteenth century was again

comparatively rainy. The records thus indicate a wet period centred

about 1600, followed by a dry period during the eighteenth century,

exactly parallel to the records from the United States and Europe.

BIBLIOGRAPHY

Huntington, E. “The climatic factor as illustrated in arid

America.” Washington, Carnegie Institution, 1914.

——. “The fluctuating climate of North America.” _Geogr. J._ 40,

1912, pp. 264, 392.

——. “The pulse of Asia.” Boston and New York, 1907.

——. “World power and evolution.” New Haven, 1919.

Pettersson, O. “Climatic fluctuations in historic and prehistoric

time.” _Svenska Hydrogr.-Biol. Komm. Skrifter_, H. 5.

Rabot, Ch. “Essai de chronologie des variations glaciaires.” _Bull.

géogr. historique et descriptive_, No. 2, 1902.

Brückner, E. “Klimaschwankungen seit 1700” ... Vienna, 1890.

Hildebrandsson, H. H. “Sur le prétendu changement du climat

européen en temps historique.” Upsala, _Nova Actae Regiae Soc.

Sci._ (4), Vol. 4, No. 5, 1915.

Brooks, C. E. P. “An historical notice of the variations of climate

in Chile.” Washington, _Dept. Agric., U.S. Weather Bureau, Monthly

Weather Rev._ 47, 1919, p. 637.

CHAPTER XVIII

CLIMATIC FLUCTUATIONS AND THE EVOLUTION OF MAN

The origin of man from an ape-like ancestor[9] is generally admitted,

but owing to the incompleteness of the palæontological record we

are still in ignorance as to the circumstances, while the place is

generally put vaguely as somewhere in Asia, and the time as the late

Tertiary (Prof. Elliot Smith places it near the Siwalik hills in the

Miocene). For this early period we are reduced to speculation, in

which we may reasonably utilize the facts which we have gained about

climatic variation.

The chief problem to be explained is why man’s arboreal ancestor

left the safe shelter and easy food supply of his primæval forest

and ventured forth into the plains. An article by Professor J.

Barrell,[10] of Yale University, gives a plausible account of the

change, putting it down to necessity, and not to choice. His theory

is that the human ancestor lived in the forests spread over Asia,

then a vast well-watered plain, during the middle-Tertiary period.

Then the gradual uplifting of the Himalayas and other mountain

ranges caused a decrease in the rainfall of central Asia, so that

ultimately the forests were unable to thrive, and gradually gave

place to steppe conditions. The change was slow enough to give the

less specialized inhabitants of the forest time to change their

habits and evolve into forms suitable to a terrestrial life, and the

chief of the animals which took advantage of this period of grace

was the pre-human. Forced to live on the ground, with a diminishing

food supply, only the most progressive individuals were able to

survive, and evolution was rapid. The changing type was saved from

being submerged in the great mass of the original type in the forests

which continued to exist further south by the impassable wall of

mountains. Major Cherry[11] considers that there is sufficient

evidence to prove that a portion of this evolution took place on the

seashore, an environment which would have been much more favourable

to a small ape-like animal than the open steppe would have been. It

is quite likely that the earliest migrations, such as that which

carried _Pithecanthropus_ to Java, took place along the shore. But

after a time, when increasing brainpower and the use of primitive

stone implements enabled man to take the offensive against the

larger animals, the centre of activity changed to the steppes. A

familiar view of the early development of man was advocated by W.

D. Mathew,[12] who writes: “In view of the data obtainable from

historical record, from tradition, from the present geographical

distribution of higher and lower races of men, from the physical

and physiological adaptation of all and especially of the higher

races, it seems fair to conclude that the centre of dispersal of

mankind in prehistoric times was central Asia, north of the great

Himalayan ranges, and that when by progressive aridity that region

became desert it was transferred to the regions bordering it to the

east, south and west. We may further assume that the environment in

which man primarily evolved was not a moist tropical climate, but

a temperate and more or less arid one, progressively cold and dry

during the course of his evolution. In this region and under these

conditions, the race first attained a dominance which enabled it to

spread out in successive waves of migration to the most remote parts

of the earth.”

We do not know anything of the migrations of the Eolithic and

earlier Palæolithic races, except that they spread rapidly

over a considerable portion of the earth. Both migration and

evolution, especially mental evolution, must have been accelerated

by the great changes of climate which were taking place. In

the Mindel-Riss interglacial period we know of two types, the

Piltdown man (_Eoanthropus dawsoni_) and the Heidelberg man (_Homo

heidelbergensis_), the latter a true man, though probably not on

the direct line of evolution of _Homo sapiens_. The stress of the

succeeding second Glacial period was too great for _Eoanthropus_,

which appears to have died out, but _Homo_, probably an Asiatic or

African type similar to _H. Heidelbergensis_, survived. The next

form, associated with Mousterian implements, is Neanderthal man (_H.

neanderthalensis_), who closely resembled modern man, and all the

remains of races which lived subsequently to the last glaciation

are those of modern man (_H. sapiens_), including the magnificent

Cro-Magnards and the negroid Grimaldi race. Thus each glaciation

has been marked by a step upwards in the scale of humanity; does

this mean that the coming of the super-man is contingent on another

glacial epoch?

BIBLIOGRAPHY

Barrell, J. “Probable relations of climatic change to the origin of

the Tertiary Ape-man.” _Scientific Monthly_, New York, 4, 1917, p.

16.

Mathew, W. D. “Climate and evolution.” _Annals New York Acad.

Sci._, 24, 1915, p. 212.

London, British Museum. “A guide to the fossil remains of man....”

London, 1918.

CHAPTER XIX

CLIMATE AND HISTORY

It is a remarkable fact in human history that civilization began in

regions which are at present inhabited chiefly by backward races,

and the centres of progress have shifted from one country to another

with the passage of time. Many accidental factors—position on

trade-routes, possession of special mineral advantages, and so on,

have undoubtedly played a part in this, but it will not be difficult

to show that climatic fluctuations have also had their share.

A brilliant study of Ellsworth Huntington[13] has shown that there

are certain optimum conditions of climate which are most suitable

for efficient work. These conditions, which were determined by an

analysis of the output of work in American factories, were then

found to be just those which prevail in the most progressive regions

of the globe, which are located in the temperate storm-belts, and

it is shown in certain instances that fluctuations in the position

of this storm-belt coincided with fluctuations in the centres of

civilization. A few additional examples of this may be given.

The beginnings of civilization may reasonably be placed with the

transition from the Palæolithic to the Neolithic type, a transition

which involved much more than just the polishing of stone weapons.

It involved also the beginnings of agriculture, crude pottery, and

later, the domestication of animals. One of the earliest Neolithic

cities known is probably that of Anau, near Askabad in Transcaspia,

excavated by Pumpelly in 1904. From the thickness of the accumulated

debris the date of first settlement is placed at or before 8000

B.C., i.e. 10,000 years ago, or during the period which in Europe is

assigned to the concluding stages of the Wurm glaciation. Pumpelly’s

time-estimates are based on careful comparison with accumulations

in Merv and other cities. At present the mean annual rainfall in

that part of Turkestan is below ten inches a year, and the country

is practically desert, and is entirely unfitted for agriculture.

But with the remains of the ice-sheet still over Scandinavia and

depressions following a more southerly course along the Mediterranean

basin and into southern Asia, the rainfall was considerably heavier,

and the climate in general was more suited to a progressive race.

At the outset we find this Neolithic race living in rectangular

houses built of uniform sun-dried bricks; they were skilful potters,

cultivating cereals, but at first without domestic animals.

The beginning of Neolithic civilization in Crete is placed by Evans

at about 12000 B.C., while on the basis of excavations by de Morgan

at Susa in Persia, Montelius places the origin of Neolithic culture

in this part of Asia as early as about 18000 B.C. At Susa the

deposits are 130 feet thick, and of these the upper 40 feet cover a

period of 6000 years.

Thus we see that what may be considered as the great step from

savagery to civilization took place while the present centres of

progress in Europe and America were still in the Ice Age. At this

time the climate of southern Asia must have resembled the present

climate of north-west Europe in heavier rainfall and the day-to-day

fluctuations of weather—in fact, the districts where civilization

began probably had at that time the most stimulating climate in the

northern hemisphere.

With the vanishing of the ice-sheets and the setting in of the mild

climate of the Maritime phase the Neolithic culture spread rapidly to

Europe, and by 2000 B.C. even the Baltic regions were well inhabited,

and it is probable that the Aryan race was developing in the Russian

steppes. About this time Anau was abandoned owing to increasing

aridity.

With the coming of the Bronze Age in western Europe, about 1800

B.C., however, the climate again became colder and rainier,

corresponding to the Peat-bog phase or “Classical” rainfall maximum,

the deterioration culminating in the Early Iron Age. This period

was marked by a great southward spread of the Aryan peoples, and

ushered in the Heroic Age of Greece. The races of the Mediterranean,

as we have seen, continued to thrive throughout this rainy period,

and their power did not diminish until its close, about A.D. 400.

This downfall was accelerated if not caused by the pressure of nomad

peoples driven out of Asia by the increasing drought. These Asiatic

migrations included the great marches of the Tartar hordes and, aided

by religious enthusiasm, the conquests of the Moslems.

The early Middle Ages, after the downfall of Rome, appear to have

been characterized by a dry warm climate. This was the age of the

Vikings, when the Norse races rose to dominance in western Europe,

finally invading and occupying large areas of France and Britain,

and even extending their power to Sicily. With the increasing cold

and wet of the “Mediæval” rainfall maximum came a final burst

of Norse migration, which left the homeland poor and scantily

populated, and the centre of activity and progress lay once again

with the Mediterranean peoples, and especially with Italy and Spain.

The Tartar invasions ceased, and against the increasing power of

Europe the Moslem wave broke and receded. At the close of this

rainy period political dominance again moved north. From that time

the fluctuations of climate have been of minor importance, and

correspondingly there have been no great shiftings of political

power from latitude to latitude.

BIBLIOGRAPHY.

Tyler, J. M. “The New Stone Age in Northern Europe.” London, 1921.

Huntington, Ellsworth, “World Power and Evolution.” New Haven, 1919.

Haddon, A. C., “The wanderings of peoples.” Cambridge University

Press, 1919.

APPENDIX

THE FACTORS OF TEMPERATURE

To calculate the probable temperature of January or July at any

point, the following procedure should be adopted:

Draw a circle round the point of angular radius ten degrees (i.e. set

the compass to cover ten degrees of latitude) and divide this into

two halves by a line passing from north to south through the centre.

By means of squared tracing paper, or otherwise, measure: (_a_) the

amount of ice in the whole circle; (_b_) the amount of land in the

western half; (_c_) the amount of land in the eastern half. (_a_) is

expressed as a percentage of the area of the whole circle; (_b_) and

(_c_) as percentages of the area of a semicircle.

The term “ice” includes ice-sheets such as that of Greenland or

Antarctica, and also frozen sea or sea closely covered by pack-ice;

the latter figure may vary in different months.

The temperature in January or July is then calculated from the

following formula:

Temperature = basal temperature + ice coeff. x per cent. of ice +

land west coeff. x per cent. of land to west + land east coeff. x per

cent. of land to east.

The basal temperatures and the appropriate coefficients are given in

the following table.

In calculating the effect of a given slight change of land and sea

distribution, it is not necessary to employ the basal temperature.

Instead the equation can be treated as a differential, and the change

of temperature due to the change of land and ice calculated from the

figures in columns 3 to 5. The figures are given in degrees absolute,

273°0 = 32° F. To convert differences to Fahrenheit, multiply by 1°8.

---------+-------------+----------+-----------+-----------

Latitude.| Basal Temp. |Ice Coeff.| Land, | Land,

|(Water Zone).| |West Coeff.|East Coeff.

---------+-------------+----------+-----------+-----------

Jan. | a. | | |

70 N. | 298.8 | -0.49 | -0.43 | -0.20

60 | 277.4 | -0.07 | -0.31 | -0.01

50 | 276.8 | -0.09 | -0.29 | 0.09

40 | 282.5 | -- | -0.17 | 0.04

30 | 289.6 | -- | -0.08 | 0.03

20 | 294.2 | -- | -0.01 | -0.01

10 | 298.6 | -- | -0.01 | 0.03

0 | 299.3 | -- | 0.01 | 0.00

10 S. | 298.2 | -- | 0.04 | -0.01

20 | 296.2 | -- | 0.07 | 0.00

30 | 293.5 | -- | 0.06 | 0.03

40 | 289.3 | -- | 0.09 | -0.03

| | | |

July. | | | |

70 N. | 279.3 | -0.16 | 0.02 | 0.02

60 | 280.7 | -- | -0.01 | 0.11

50 | 285.8 | -- | 0.04 | 0.06

40 | 291.1 | -- | 0.05 | 0.07

30 | 296.8 | -- | 0.08 | -0.01

20 | 297.6 | -- | 0.07 | 0.02

10 | 298.8 | -- | 0.03 | -0.01

0 | 298.6 | -- | 0.02 | -0.01

10 S. | 296.9 | -- | 0.04 | -0.03

20 | 293.1 | -- | 0.02 | -0.02

30 | 288.2 | -- | -0.01 | -0.01

40 | 284.0 | -- | 0.00 | -0.03

---------+-------------+----------+-----------+-----------

In the case of the calculation of the effect of comparatively slight

and irregular changes in land and sea distribution in a limited area,

such as those of the _Littorina_ Sea referred to on p. 128, it may

be found that a ten-degree circle is too wide an area to employ, the

changes from land to sea at one point being nullified by changes

from sea to land at another more distant point. In such a case a

smaller unit such as a circle of five degrees radius can be employed.

As a rough approximation it may be said that the effect of the

conversion of a square mile of land into sea, or _vice versa_, on

the temperature of a neighbouring point is inversely proportional to

its distance. Since the area of a five-degree circle is one-quarter

that of a ten-degree circle, while the average distance of the

land composing it is one-half, we have to divide our regression

coefficients by two in order to fit the new data.

This method was applied to obtain the probable temperature

distribution on the shores of the _Littorina_ Sea at its maximum

extension, and gave results which agreed remarkably well with those

calculated by geologists from the animal and plant life of the time.

See London _Q. F. R. Meteor. Soc._, 43, 1917, pp. 169-171.

INDEX

A.

Acheulian, 52

_Aciphylla_, 125

Africa, 103, 133, 142

Aftonian, 87

AHLMANN, 51, 61

Alaska, 43, 124

Algonquin, Lake, 123

Alps, dry period, 122

glaciation, 29, 52, 56

retreat stadia, 119

Altai Mountains, 77

Anau, ruins, 163

_Ancylus_, 120, 127

ANDERSSON, 118, 121

Andes, 98

Antarctica, 114, 133

Anticyclonic circulation, 55

Antipodes Is., 112

Aral Sea, 83

Argentine, 100

Arizona, 94, 150

ARRHENIUS, 19

Artesian water (Australia), 110

Aryans, 164

Asia, 76, 125, 139, 143, 153

Astronomical theory, 17

Atlantic Stage, 126

Atlas Mountains, 69

Australia, 109, 125, 155

B.

Balearic Is., 70

Balkans, 69

Baltic Interstadial, 64

Banded clays, 49, 93

Baraba steppes, 121

Barkans, 65

BARRELL, 159

BEDDARD, 115

Belfast, 130

_Biloculina_, 133

BLYTT, 127

Bonneville, Lake, 93

Brazil, 101

British Isles, 57, 62, 64, 136

BRÖGGER, 129

Bronze Age, 138

BRÜCKNER, 49, 57, 154

Buenos Aires, sand-dunes, 125

Bühlstadium, 119

C.

Calabrian, 68

Cambrian, 33

Campbell Is., 102

Canada, post-glacial, 132

Cape Colony, raised beaches, 133

Carbon dioxide, 19

Carboniferous, 34

Caspian, 83, 143, 153

CHAMBERLIN, 19

Champlain Stage, 123

Chellean, 51

CHERRY, 160

Chile, rainfall fluctuations, 157

China, 81, 139

Chronology, 48, 92

CHUDEAU, 106

Classical Rainfall Maximum, 140

Climatic Record, 132

COLEMAN, 92

Colorado, 94

Continentality, 25

Continental Phase, 120

Continents, movement of, 21

Cordilleran glaciation, 87

Corsica, 69

CRAIG, 72

Cretaceous, 37

Crete, Neolithic, 163

CROLL, 18

Cro-Magnards, 161

Cyrenaica, desiccation, 142

D.

Daun-stadium, 119

DAVID, 110

Dead ice, 132

Denmark, continental phase, 122

Depressions, path of, 47, 60, 71, 122, 139

Devonian, 34

Diluvium, 48

Don Valley, 91

DOUGLASS, 143

Drakensberg Mountains, 103

Drought in Forest Period, 139

Drumkelin Bog, 137

Dunes, fossil, 65

Frisian, 140

E.

Early Iron Age, 141

Earth’s Orbit, eccentricity of, 18

Earthworms, 115

East Anglia, 47, 57

Eccentricity of Earth’s Orbit, 18

Ecuador, 99

Egypt, 72

_Eoanthropus_, 161

Eocene glaciation, 37

Etosha Pan, 107

Europe, 49, 55, 118, 127, 136, 154

EVANS, 163

Evolution of Man, 155

F.

FAIRGRIEVE, 138

Falkland Is., 97

Fennoscandian Pause, 119

Finiglacial, 118

Finland, post-glacial, 120, 128

Florida, 95

Forest bed, 47, 51

period, 122, 136

Forests, submerged, 137

Formby and Leasowe Beds, 130

Fossil ice, 59, 78

Franz Josef Land, 130

FRECH, 20

FREYDENBERG, 106

Frisian dunes, 140

Fucino, Lago di, 154

_Fucus_ in Spitzbergen, 130

G.

Gable Island, 98

_Galaxiidæ_, 115

GEER, G. DE, 49, 93, 118

GEIKIE, J., 51, 81

Geographical theory, 22

Geological formations, 31

rhythms, 38

GIBBON, 140

Gibraltar, 69, 70

Gila conglomerate, 95

Glacial anticyclone, 55

stages, 48

_Globigerina_, 133

_Glossopteris_, 35

Gondwanaland, 34, 35

Gotiglacial, 118

Graham Land, glaciation, 114

Great Basin, America, 89, 93, 124

Great Lakes, history, 123

Great Salt Lake, 93

Greece, Heroic Age, 164

Greenland, 131, 156

GREGORY, 104

Grimaldi Race, 161

Gschnitz Stadium, 119

Gunz Glaciation, 56

Gunz-Mindel Interglacial, 50, 51, 56

H.

_Haplochitonidæ_, 115

Hazel, post-glacial extension, 122

HEDLEY, 116

Heidelberg Man, 161

Height and temperature, 26

HILDEBRANDSSON, 157

Himalayas, 81

HOBLEY, 105, 107

Hohokam, 150

HUME, 72

HUMPHREYS, 20

HUNTINGTON, 141, 144, 150, 153, 162

I.

Ice on Danish coasts, 155

Iceland, 125, 156

Illinoian glaciation, 90

Ingo Is., forests, 122

Iowan Glaciation, 90

Ireland, glaciation, 57, 62, 64

Heroic Age, 138

Iroquois, Lake, 123

Isohalines, 127

J.

Japan, 81

Jurassic, 37

K.

Kalahari, 107

Kamchatka, 80

Kansan, 88

Karst flora, 121

Kashmir, 143, 153

Keewatin, 88, 91

KEIDEL, 99

Kenya, 103

Kilimanjaro, 103

Kioga, Lake, 104

Kitchen-midden, 125

Kosciusko, 109

KREICHGAUER, 20

KUPFFER, 121

L.

Labradorean Glaciation, 87, 89, 90

Lahontan, Lake, 93

Lena Valley, 78

LEVERETT, 91, 92

Limestone Agglomerate, 70

_Littorina_, 128

Loess, 52, 83, 91, 112

Lofoten Islands, 61

Lop-Nor, 83, 153

M.

MACKENNA, 157

Maglemose culture, 125

Malta, 69

Mammoths, frozen, 79

Marsupials, 115

MATHEW, 160

Maumee, Lake, 123

Maya ruins, 151

Mediæval Rainfall Maximum, 164

Medicine Bow Range, 94

Mediterranean, 68, 142

Mesopotamia, Empires, 139

Mexico, culture, 151

MEYER, 99

Micmac Stage, 124

Mindelian Glaciation, 49, 69

Mindel-Riss Interglacial, 50

Miocene, 44

Mombasa, 105

Mono Basin, 94

MONTELIUS, 163

Mousterian Man, 63

MUNTHE, 118

MURGOCI, 66

Murman coast, 130

N.

_Najas_, 129

Neanderthal Man, 161

NEGRO, 142

Neolithic, 122, 131, 136, 163

migration, 125, 163

Neudeckian, 51

NEUHAUSS, 111

Newfoundland, 87, 90

New Guinea, 111

New Siberian Islands, 78

New South Wales, 125

New Zealand, 111, 125, 133

Ngami, Lake, 107

Niagara, 93, 132

Nile, 72, 119

NORDENSKJOLD, 117

Nordic Race, 125

Norfolkian, 51

North America, 86, 122, 132, 141, 149

North Sea, 56, 61

Norway, 51, 55, 129

O.

Obliquity of Ecliptic, 16, 120

Old Red Sandstone, 34

Optimum of Climate, 127

Ordovician, 33

P.

Pajaritan, 150

Palmyra, 142

Pamirs, 77

Pampean, 100, 125

Patagonia, post-glacial, 133

Patom Highlands, 78

Peat-bog Period, 140

PENCK, 49, 51

Pendulation Theory, 20

Peorian, 91

Permian, 35

Persia, 84, 142

Peru, 99

PETTERSSON, 134, 145

Piedmont ice-sheets, 57, 109

Piltdown Man, 161

_Pithecanthropus_, 160

Pliocene, 47

Pluvial periods, 71, 140

Poles, motion of, 20, 40

Pre-Cambrian Glaciation, 33

Proterozoic Glaciation, 32

Pueblo ruins, 150

Pulse of Asia, 153

PUMPELLY, 84, 163

Pyrenees, 57

Q.

Quaternary Ice Age, 47

R.

Ragunda, Lake, 49

moraines, 121

REID, 138

Retreat of the Ice, 49

Riss Glaciation, 49, 61

Riss-Wurm Interglacial, 50, 53

Rixdorf, 62

RODGERS, 133

Romania, 66

Ruwenzori, 103

S.

Sagas, 141, 146

Sahara, 74, 105

Sangamon, 90

Scania, 49

SCHMIDT, 53

Scotland, 57, 61, 64

_Scrobicularia_ Zone, 130

Selsey, 58

_Sequoia_, 143

Shell-banks, 47, 56

Siberia, 78

Sicilian, 70

Sierra Nevada, 93, 94

SIEVERS, 99

Silurian, 33

Skærumhede, 63

Slugs, 115

SMITH, ELLIOTT, 159

Solar radiation, 15

South America, 97, 125, 132, 157

South Georgia, 97

South Orkneys, 114

SPITALER, 18

Spitzbergen, 80, 130

Stanovoi Mountains, 79

Steppe climate, 53

Stone rivers, 98

Submerged forests, 137

Suess, Lake, 104

Sunspots, 145

Susa, Neolithic, 163

SVEN HEDIN, 84

Sweden, 49, 56, 118

Syria, 72

T.

_Tapes_, 129

Tasmania, 109

Tchad, 106

Tertiary, 42, 116

_Thracia_ Zone, 131

Tian-Shan Mountains, 77

Tibet, 82

Tidal friction, 39

Tide-generating force, 134, 145

Tierra del Fuego, 97, 133

Tillite, 32

Titicaca, Lake, 101

Toronto Stage, 91

_Trapa_, 129

Trasimeno, Lake, 154

Tree-rings and rainfall, 143

Turbarian, 140

Triassic, 37

TYNDALL, 19

U.

Uinta Mountains, 94

_Unio_ in Niagara, 132

Ural Mountains, 57

V.

Venezuela, 100

Verkhoiansk Mountains, 79

Victoria Nyanza, 104

Vikings, 164

Volcanic dust, 16, 20

VOLLOSSOVITSCH, 79

W.

Wales, 57, 64

Warren, Lake, 123

Wasatch Mountains, 93, 94

WAYLAND, 104

WEGENER, 20, 34

WERNERT, 53

White Sea, 130

Wine harvest, 155

Winters, severe, 155

Wisconsin Glaciation, 91, 92

WOLF, 145

Wurm Glaciation, 48

Y.

Yarmouth Stage, 88

_Yoldia_ Sea, 50, 124

Yucatan, 151

Yukon, 124

_Printed in Great Britain by Jarrold & Sons, Ltd., Norwich._

FOOTNOTES:

[1] By this term we shall in future understand only that part of it

which is responsible for thermal effects.

[2] If the figure of the earth is adjusted to its speed of rotation

before the development of ice-sheets, the latter renders it too

prolate, and there will be a tendency for readjustment by the

transference of mass towards the equator.

[3] This has been the subject of much discussion recently. For a

summary see _Science Progress_, 17, 1922, October, p. 233.

[4] Leverett, F. (see Bibliography).

[5] See reference to Antevs in this connexion.

[6] “The pulse of Asia,” p. 356. See also a new work by E.

Huntington, entitled: “Climatic changes.”

[7] “Climatic variations in historic and prehistoric time.”

[8] “Sur le prétendu changement du climat européen en temps

historique.”

[9] Or lemur-like ancestor. There is evidence to show that man’s

ancestor was a nocturnal animal, whose food supply was governed by

the phases of the moon.

[10] “Scientific monthly,” New York, 4, 1917, pp. 16-26.

[11] “Science progress,” 15, 1920, p. 74.

[12] “Climate and evolution.”

[13] “Civilization and climate.”

TRANSCRIBER’S NOTE

Obvious typographical errors and punctuation errors have been

corrected after careful comparison with other occurrences within

the text and consultation of external sources.

Some hyphens in words have been silently removed, some added,

when a predominant preference was found in the original book.

Except for those changes noted below, all misspellings in the text,

and inconsistent or archaic usage, have been retained.

Pg 64: ‘powerful conviction’ replaced by ‘powerful convection.

Pg 97: ‘and Tierra del Fuega’ replaced by ‘and Tierra del Fuego’.

Pg 103: ‘Drakenberge Mountains’ replaced by ‘Drakensberg Mountains’.

Pg 150: ‘modern Pueblas who’ replaced by ‘modern Pueblos who’.

Pg 166: ‘coffiecients are’ replaced by ‘coefficients are’.

The evolution of climate · 第 13 / 13 章