PART II

THE PHANTOM PUBLIC

BY

WALTER LIPPMANN

NEW YORK

HARCOURT, BRACE AND COMPANY

COPYRIGHT, 1925, BY

HARCOURT, BRACE AND COMPANY, INC.

Printed in the U. S. A.

TO

LEARNED HAND

“_The Voice of the People has been said to be the voice of God:

and however generally this maxim has been quoted and believed, it

is not true in fact._”—Alexander Hamilton, June 18, 1787, at the

Federal Convention (Yates’s notes, cited _Sources and Documents

Illustrating the American Revolution_, edited by S. G. Morison).

“... _consider ‘Government by Public Opinion’ as a formula.... It

is an admirable formula: but it presupposes, not only that public

opinion exists, but that on any particular question there is a

public opinion ready to decide the issue. Indeed, it presupposes

that the supreme statesman in democratic government is public

opinion. Many of the shortcomings of democratic government are

due to the fact that public opinion is not necessarily a great

statesman at all._”—From “Some Thoughts on Public Life,” a lecture

by Viscount Grey of Fallodon, February 3, 1923.

Contents

PART I

Chapter Page

I. The Disenchanted Man 13

II. The Unattainable Ideal 22

III. Agents and Bystanders 40

IV. What the Public Does 54

V. The Neutralization of Arbitrary Force 63

PART II

VI. The Question Aristotle Asked 77

VII. The Nature of a Problem 81

VIII. Social Contracts 95

IX. The Two Questions Before the Public 107

X. The Main Value of Public Debate 110

XI. The Defective Rule 115

XII. The Criteria of Reform 125

XIII. The Principles of Public Opinion 143

PART III

XIV. Society in Its Place 155

XV. Absentee Rulers 173

XVI. The Realms of Disorder 187

Index 201

PART I

Chapter I

THE DISENCHANTED MAN

1

The private citizen today has come to feel rather like a deaf spectator

in the back row, who ought to keep his mind on the mystery off there,

but cannot quite manage to keep awake. He knows he is somehow affected

by what is going on. Rules and regulations continually, taxes annually

and wars occasionally remind him that he is being swept along by great

drifts of circumstance.

Yet these public affairs are in no convincing way his affairs. They

are for the most part invisible. They are managed, if they are managed

at all, at distant centers, from behind the scenes, by unnamed powers.

As a private person he does not know for certain what is going on, or

who is doing it, or where he is being carried. No newspaper reports

his environment so that he can grasp it; no school has taught him how

to imagine it; his ideals, often, do not fit with it; listening to

speeches, uttering opinions and voting do not, he finds, enable him to

govern it. He lives in a world which he cannot see, does not understand

and is unable to direct.

In the cold light of experience he knows that his sovereignty is

a fiction. He reigns in theory, but in fact he does not govern.

Contemplating himself and his actual accomplishments in public affairs,

contrasting the influence he exerts with the influence he is supposed

according to democratic theory to exert, he must say of his sovereignty

what Bismarck said of Napoleon III.: “At a distance it is something,

but close to it is nothing at all.”[1] When, during an agitation of

some sort, say a political campaign, he hears himself and some thirty

million others described as the source of all wisdom and power and

righteousness, the prime mover and the ultimate goal, the remnants of

sanity in him protest. He cannot all the time play Chanticleer who was

so dazzled and delighted because he himself had caused the sun to rise.

For when the private man has lived through the romantic age in politics

and is no longer moved by the stale echoes of its hot cries, when he is

sober and unimpressed, his own part in public affairs appears to him a

pretentious thing, a second rate, an inconsequential. You cannot move

him then with a good straight talk about service and civic duty, nor

by waving a flag in his face, nor by sending a boy scout after him to

make him vote. He is a man back home from a crusade to make the world

something or other it did not become; he has been tantalized too often

by the foam of events, has seen the gas go out of it, and, with sour

derision for the stuff, he is saying with the author of _Trivia_:[2]

“‘Self-determination,’ one of them insisted.

“‘Arbitration,’ cried another.

“‘Coöperation,’ suggested the mildest of the party.

“‘Confiscation,’ answered an uncompromising female.

“I, too, became intoxicated with the sound of these vocables. And were

they not the cure for all our ills?

“‘Inoculation!’ I chimed in. ‘Transubstantiation, alliteration,

inundation, flagellation, and afforestation!’”

2

It is well known that nothing like the whole people takes part in

public affairs. Of the eligible voters in the United States less

than half go to the polls even in a presidential year.[3] During the

campaign of 1924 a special effort was made to bring out more voters.

They did not come out. The Constitution, the nation, the party system,

the presidential succession, private property, all were supposed to be

in danger. One party prophesied red ruin, another black corruption, a

third tyranny and imperialism if the voters did not go to the polls in

greater numbers. Half the citizenship was unmoved.

The students used to write books about voting. They are now beginning

to write books about nonvoting. At the University of Chicago Professor

Merriam and Mr. Gosnell have made an elaborate inquiry[4] into the

reason why, at the typical Chicago mayoral election of 1923, there

were, out of 1,400,000 eligible electors, only 900,000 who registered,

and out of those who registered there were only 723,000 who finally

managed to vote. Thousands of persons were interviewed. About 30 per

cent of the abstainers had, or at least claimed to have had, an

insuperable difficulty about going to the polls. They were ill, they

were absent from the city, they were women detained at home by a child

or an invalid, they had had insufficient legal residence. The other 70

per cent, representing about half a million free and sovereign citizens

of this Republic, did not even pretend to have a reason for not voting,

which, in effect, was not an admission that they did not care about

voting. They were needed at their work, the polls were crowded, the

polls were inconveniently located, they were afraid to tell their age,

they did not believe in woman suffrage, the husband objected, politics

is rotten, elections are rotten, they were afraid to vote, they did

not know there was an election. About a quarter of those who were

interviewed had the honesty to say they were wholly uninterested.

Yet Bryce is authority for the statement that “the will of the

sovereign people is expressed ... in the United States ... by as large

a proportion of the registered voters as in any other country.”[5]

And certainly Mr. Lowell’s tables on the use of the initiative and

referendum in Switzerland in the main support the view that the

indifference of the American voter is not unique.[6] In fact, realistic

political thinkers in Europe long ago abandoned the notion that the

collective mass of the people direct the course of public affairs.

Robert Michels, himself a Socialist, says flatly that “the majority is

permanently incapable of self-government,”[7] and quotes approvingly

the remark of a Swedish Socialist Deputy, Gustaf F. Steffen, that

“even after the victory there will always remain in political life the

leaders and the led.” Michels, who is a political thinker of great

penetration, unburdens himself finally on the subject by printing a

remark of Hertzen’s that the victory of an opposition party amounts to

“passing from the sphere of envy to the sphere of avarice.”

There is then nothing particularly new in the disenchantment which the

private citizen expresses by not voting at all, by voting only for the

head of the ticket, by staying away from the primaries, by not reading

speeches and documents, by the whole list of sins of omission for which

he is denounced. I shall not denounce him further. My sympathies are

with him, for I believe that he has been saddled with an impossible

task and that he is asked to practice an unattainable ideal. I find

it so myself for, although public business is my main interest and I

give most of my time to watching it, I cannot find time to do what is

expected of me in the theory of democracy; that is, to know what is

going on and to have an opinion worth expressing on every question

which confronts a self-governing community. And I have not happened to

meet anybody, from a President of the United States to a professor of

political science, who came anywhere near to embodying the accepted

ideal of the sovereign and omnicompetent citizen.

FOOTNOTES:

[1] Cited Philip Guedalla, _The Second Empire_.

[2] Logan Pearsall Smith, _More Trivia_, p. 41.

[3] _Cf._ Simon Michelet, _Stay-at-Home Vote and Absentee Voters_,

pamphlet of the National Get Out the Vote Club; also A. M. Schlesinger

and E. M. Erickson, “The Vanishing Voter,” _New Republic_, Oct. 15,

1924. The percentage of the popular to the eligible vote from 1865 to

1920 declined from 83.51 per cent to 52.36 per cent.

[4] Charles Edward Merriam and Harvey Foote Gosnell, _Non-Voting:

Causes and Methods of Control_.

[5] James Bryce, _Modern Democracies_, Vol. II, p. 52.

[6] A. Lawrence Lowell, _Public Opinion and Popular Government_. _Cf._

Appendices.

[7] Robert Michels, _Political Parties_, p. 390.

Chapter II

THE UNATTAINABLE IDEAL

I have tried to imagine how the perfect citizen could be produced.

Some say he will have to be born of the conjunction of the right germ

plasms, and, in the pages of books written by Madison Grant, Lothrop

Stoddard and other revivalists, I have seen prescriptions as to just

who ought to marry whom to produce a great citizenry. Not being a

biologist I keep an open but hopeful mind on this point, tempered,

however, with the knowledge that certainty about how to breed ability

in human beings is on the whole in inverse proportion to the writer’s

scientific reputation.

It is then to education that logically one turns next, for education

has furnished the thesis of the last chapter of every optimistic book

on democracy written for one hundred and fifty years. Even Robert

Michels, stern and unbending antisentimentalist that he is, says

in his “final considerations” that “it is the great task of social

education to raise the intellectual level of the masses, so that they

may be enabled, within the limits of what is possible, to counteract

the oligarchical tendencies” of all collective action.

So I have been reading some of the new standard textbooks used to teach

citizenship in schools and colleges. After reading them I do not see

how any one can escape the conclusion that man must have the appetite

of an encyclopædist and infinite time ahead of him. To be sure he no

longer is expected to remember the exact salary of the county clerk

and the length of the coroner’s term. In the new civics he studies the

problems of government, and not the structural detail. He is told, in

one textbook of five hundred concise, contentious pages, which I have

been reading, about city problems, state problems, national problems,

international problems, trust problems, labor problems, transportation

problems, banking problems, rural problems, agricultural problems, and

so on _ad infinitum_. In the eleven pages devoted to problems of the

city there are described twelve sub-problems.

But nowhere in this well-meant book is the sovereign citizen of the

future given a hint as to how, while he is earning a living, rearing

children and enjoying his life, he is to keep himself informed about

the progress of this swarming confusion of problems. He is exhorted to

conserve the natural resources of the country because they are limited

in quantity. He is advised to watch public expenditures because the

taxpayers cannot pay out indefinitely increasing amounts. But he, the

voter, the citizen, the sovereign, is apparently expected to yield an

unlimited quantity of public spirit, interest, curiosity and effort.

The author of the textbook, touching on everything, as he thinks, from

city sewers to Indian opium, misses a decisive fact: the citizen gives

but a little of his time to public affairs, has but a casual interest

in facts and but a poor appetite for theory.

It never occurs to this preceptor of civic duty to provide the student

with a rule by which he can know whether on Thursday it is his duty

to consider subways in Brooklyn or the Manchurian Railway, nor how,

if he determines on Thursday to express his sovereign will on the

subway question, he is to repair those gaps in his knowledge of that

question which are due to his having been preoccupied the day before in

expressing his sovereign will about rural credits in Montana and the

rights of Britain in the Sudan. Yet he cannot know all about everything

all the time, and while he is watching one thing a thousand others

undergo great changes. Unless he can discover some rational ground for

fixing his attention where it will do the most good, and in a way that

suits his inherently amateurish equipment, he will be as bewildered as

a puppy trying to lick three bones at once.

I do not wish to say that it does the student no good to be taken on

a sightseeing tour of the problems of the world. It may teach him

that the world is complicated, even if he comes out of the adventure

“laden with germs, breathing creeds and convictions on you whenever

he opens his mouth.”[8] He may learn humility, but most certainly his

acquaintance with what a high-minded author thought were American

problems in 1925 will not equip him to master American problems ten

years later. Unless out of the study of transient issues he acquires an

intellectual attitude no education has occurred.

That is why the usual appeal to education as the remedy for the

incompetence of democracy is so barren. It is, in effect, a proposal

that school teachers shall by some magic of their own fit men to govern

after the makers of laws and the preachers of civic ideals have had a

free hand in writing the specifications. The reformers do not ask what

men can be taught. They say they should be taught whatever may be

necessary to fit them to govern the modern world.

The usual appeal to education can bring only disappointment. For the

problems of the modern world appear and change faster than any set

of teachers can grasp them, much faster than they can convey their

substance to a population of children. If the schools attempt to teach

children how to solve the problems of the day, they are bound always to

be in arrears. The most they can conceivably attempt is the teaching

of a pattern of thought and feeling which will enable the citizen to

approach a new problem in some useful fashion. But that pattern cannot

be invented by the pedagogue. It is the political theorist’s business

to trace out that pattern. In that task he must not assume that the

mass has political genius, but that men, even if they had genius, would

give only a little time and attention to public affairs.

The moralist, I am afraid, will agree all too readily with the idea

that social education must deal primarily not with the elements and

solutions of particular phases of transient problems but with the

principles that constitute an attitude toward all problems. I warn

him off. It will require more than a good conscience to govern modern

society, for conscience is no guide in situations where the essence of

the difficulty is to find a guide for the conscience.

When I am tempted to think that men can be fitted out to deal with the

modern world simply by teaching morals, manners and patriotism, I try

to remember the fable of the pensive professor walking in the woods at

twilight. He stumbled into a tree. This experience compelled him to

act. Being a man of honor and breeding, he raised his hat, bowed deeply

to the tree, and exclaimed with sincere regret: “Excuse me, sir, I

thought you were a tree.”

Is it fair, I ask, as a matter of morality, to chide him for his

conduct? If he had encountered a tree, can any one deny his right to

collide with it? If he had stumbled into a man, was his apology not

sufficient? Here was a moral code in perfect working order, and the

only questionable aspect of his conduct turned not on the goodness of

his heart or the firmness of his principles but on a point of fact.

You may retort that he had a moral obligation to know the difference

between a man and a tree. Perhaps so. But suppose that instead of

walking in the woods he had been casting a ballot; suppose that instead

of a tree he had encountered the Fordney-McCumber tariff. How much more

obligation to know the truth would you have imposed on him then? After

all, this walker in the woods at twilight with his mind on other things

was facing, as all of us think we are, the facts he imagined were

there, and was doing his duty as he had learned it.

In some degree the whole animate world seems to share the inexpertness

of the thoughtful professor. Pawlow showed by his experiments on dogs

that an animal with a false stomach can experience all the pleasures

of eating, and the number of mice and monkeys known to have been

deceived in laboratories is surpassed only by the hopeful citizens of a

democracy. Man’s reflexes are, as the psychologists say, conditioned.

And, therefore, he responds quite readily to a glass egg, a decoy duck,

a stuffed shirt or a political platform. No moral code, as such, will

enable him to know whether he is exercising his moral faculties on a

real and an important event. For effective virtue, as Socrates pointed

out long ago, is knowledge; and a code of the right and the wrong must

wait upon a perception of the true and the false.

But even the successful practice of a moral code would not emancipate

democracy. There are too many moral codes. In our immediate lives,

within the boundaries of our own society, there may be commonly

accepted standards. But a political theorist who asks that a local

standard be universally applied is merely begging one of the questions

he ought to be trying to solve. For, while possibly it may be an aim

of political organization to arrive at a common standard of judgment,

one of the conditions which engenders politics and makes political

organization necessary is the conflict of standards.

Darwin’s story of the cats and clover[9] may be recommended to any

one who finds it difficult to free his mind of the assumption that

his notions of good and bad are universal. The purple clover is

cross-fertilized by the bumblebee, and, therefore, the more bumblebees

the better next year’s crop of clover. But the nests of bumblebees are

rifled by field mice which are fond of the white grubs. Therefore, the

more field mice the fewer bumblebees and the poorer the crop. But in

the neighborhood of villages the cats hunt down the field mice. And so

the more cats the fewer mice, the more bumblebees the better the crop.

And the more kindly old ladies there are in the village the more cats

there will be.

If you happen not to be a Hindu or a vegetarian and are a beef-eating

Occidental you will commend the old ladies who keep the cats who hunt

the mice who destroy the bumblebees who make the pasture of clover

for the cattle. If you are a cat you also will be in favor of the old

ladies. But if you are a field mouse, how different the rights and

wrongs of that section of the universe! The old ladies who keep cats

will seem about as kindly as witches with pet tigers, and the Old Lady

Peril will be debated hysterically by the Field Mouse Security League.

For what could a patriotic mouse think of a world in which bumblebees

did not exist for the sole purpose of producing white grubs for field

mice? There would seem to be no law and order in such a world; and

only a highly philosophical mouse would admit with Bergson that “the

idea of disorder objectifies for the convenience of language, the

disappointment of a mind that finds before it an order different from

what it wants.”[10] For the order which we recognize as good is an

order suited to our needs and hopes and habits.

There is nothing universal or eternal or unchangeable about our

expectations. For rhetorical effect we often say there is. But in

concrete cases it is not easy to explain why the thing we desire is so

righteous. If the farmers are able to buy less than their accustomed

amount of manufactured foods there is disorder and a problem. But what

absolute standard is there which determines whether a bushel of wheat

in 1925 should, as compared with 1913, exchange for more, as many,

or less manufactures? Can any one define a principle which shall say

whether the standard of living of the farmers or of any other class

should rise or fall, and how fast and how much? There may be more jobs

than workingmen at the wage offered: the employers will complain and

will call it a problem, but who knows any rule which tells how large a

surplus of labor there ought to be and at what price? There may be more

workingmen than jobs of the kind and at the places and for the wages

they will or can take. But, although the problem will be acute, there

is no principle which determines how many machinists, clerks, coal

miners, bankers, or salesmen it is the duty of society to provide work

for.

It requires intense partisanship and much self-deception to argue that

some sort of peculiar righteousness adheres to the farmers’ claims as

against the manufacturers’, the employers’ against the wage-earners’,

the creditors’ against the debtors’, or the other way around. These

conflicts of interest are problems. They require solution. But there

is no moral pattern available from which the precise nature of the

solution can be deduced.

If then eugenics cannot produce the ideal democratic citizen,

omnicompetent and sovereign, because biology knows neither how to breed

political excellence nor what that excellence is; if education cannot

equip the citizen, because the school teacher cannot anticipate the

issues of the future; if morality cannot direct him, first, because

right or wrong in specific cases depends upon the perception of true

or false, and, second, on the assumption that there is a universal

moral code, which, in fact, does not exist, where else shall we look

for the method of making the competent citizen? Democratic theorists

in the nineteenth century had several other prescriptions which still

influence the thinking of many hopeful persons.

One school based their reforms on the aphorism that the cure for the

evils of democracy is more democracy. It was assumed that the popular

will was wise and good if only you could get at it. They proposed

extensions of the suffrage, and as much voting as possible by means of

the initiative, referendum and recall, direct election of Senators,

direct primaries, an elected judiciary, and the like. They begged the

question, for it has never been proved that there exists the kind of

public opinion which they presupposed. Since the Bryan campaign of

1896 this school of thought has made great conquests in most of the

states, and has profoundly influenced the federal government. The

eligible vote has trebled since 1896; the direct action of the voter

has been enormously extended. Yet that same period has seen a decline

in the percentage of the popular vote cast at presidential elections

from 80.75 per cent in 1896 to 52.36 per cent in 1920. Apparently there

is a fallacy in the first assumption of this school that “the whole

people” desires to participate actively in government. Nor is there any

evidence to show that the persons who do participate are in any real

sense directing the course of affairs. The party machines have survived

every attack. And why should they not? If the voter cannot grasp the

details of the problems of the day because he has not the time, the

interest or the knowledge, he will not have a better public opinion

because he is asked to express his opinion more often. He will simply

be more bewildered, more bored and more ready to follow along.

Another school, calling themselves revolutionary, have ascribed the

disenchantment of democracy to the capitalistic system. They have

argued that property is power, and that until there is as wide a

distribution of economic power as there is of the right to vote the

suffrage cannot be more effective. No serious student, I think,

would dispute that socialist premise which asserts that the weight

of influence on society exercised by an individual is more nearly

related to the character of his property than to his abstract legal

citizenship. But the socialist conclusion that economic power can be

distributed by concentrating the ownership of great utilities in the

state, the conclusion that the pervasion of industrial life by voting

and referenda will yield competent popular decisions, seems to me again

to beg the question. For what reason is there to think that subjecting

so many more affairs to the method of the vote will reveal hitherto

undiscovered wisdom and technical competence and reservoirs of public

interest in men? The socialist scheme has at its root the mystical

fallacy of democracy, that the people, all of them, are competent; at

its top it suffers from the homeopathic fallacy that adding new tasks

to a burden the people will not and cannot carry now will make the

burden of citizenship easily borne. The socialist theory presupposes an

unceasing, untiring round of civic duties, an enormous complication of

the political interests that are already much too complicated.

These various remedies, eugenic, educational, ethical, populist and

socialist, all assume that either the voters are inherently competent

to direct the course of affairs or that they are making progress

toward such an ideal. I think it is a false ideal. I do not mean an

undesirable ideal. I mean an unattainable ideal, bad only in the sense

that it is bad for a fat man to try to be a ballet dancer. An ideal

should express the true possibilities of its subject. When it does not

it perverts the true possibilities. The ideal of the omnicompetent,

sovereign citizen is, in my opinion, such a false ideal. It is

unattainable. The pursuit of it is misleading. The failure to achieve

it has produced the current disenchantment.

The individual man does not have opinions on all public affairs. He

does not know how to direct public affairs. He does not know what is

happening, why it is happening, what ought to happen. I cannot imagine

how he could know, and there is not the least reason for thinking, as

mystical democrats have thought, that the compounding of individual

ignorances in masses of people can produce a continuous directing force

in public affairs.

FOOTNOTES:

[8] Logan Pearsall Smith.

[9] As told by J. Arthur Thomson, _The Outline of Science_, Vol. III,

p. 646.

[10] _Creative Evolution_, Ch. III.

Chapter III

AGENTS AND BYSTANDERS

1

When a citizen has qualified as a voter he finds himself one of the

theoretical rulers of a great going concern. He has not made the

complicated machine with its five hundred thousand federal officers

and its uncounted local offices. He has not seen much of it. He is

bound by contracts, by debts, by treaties, by laws, made before he

was aware of them. He does not from day to day decide who shall do

what in the business of government. Only some small fraction of it

comes intermittently to his notice. And in those episodic moments

when he stands in the polling booth he is a highly intelligent and

public-spirited voter indeed who can discover two real alternatives

and enlist his influence for a party which promises something he can

understand.

The actual governing is made up of a multitude of arrangements on

specific questions by particular individuals. These rarely become

visible to the private citizen. Government, in the long intervals

between elections, is carried on by politicians, officeholders

and influential men who make settlements with other politicians,

officeholders and influential men. The mass of people see these

settlements, judge them, and affect them only now and then. They are

altogether too numerous, too complicated, too obscure in their effects

to become the subject of any continuing exercise of public opinion.

Nor in any exact and literal sense are those who conduct the daily

business of government accountable after the fact to the great mass of

the voters. They are accountable only, except in spectacular cases,

to the other politicians, officeholders and influential men directly

interested in the particular act. Modern society is not visible to

anybody, nor intelligible continuously and as a whole. One section is

visible to another section, one series of acts is intelligible to this

group and another to that.

Even this degree of responsible understanding is attainable only by the

development of fact-finding agencies of great scope and complexity.[11]

These agencies give only a remote and incidental assistance to the

general public. Their findings are too intricate for the casual reader.

They are also almost always much too uninteresting. Indeed the popular

boredom and contempt for the expert and for statistical measurement are

such that the organization of intelligence to administer modern affairs

would probably be entirely neglected were it not that departments of

government, corporations, trade unions and trade associations are being

compelled by their own internal necessities of administration, and

by compulsion of other corporate groups, to record their own acts,

measure them, publish them and stand accountable for them.

The need in the Great Society not only for publicity but for

uninterrupted publicity is indisputable. But we shall misunderstand

the need seriously if we imagine that the purpose of the publication

can possibly be the informing of every voter. We live at the mere

beginnings of public accounting. Yet the facts far exceed our

curiosity. The railroads, for example, make an accounting. Do we read

the results? Hardly. A few executives here and there, some bankers,

some regulating officials, some representatives of shippers and the

like read them. The rest of us ignore them for the good and sufficient

reason that we have other things to do.

For the man does not live who can read all the reports that drift

across his doorstep or all the dispatches in his newspaper. And if

by some development of the radio every man could see and hear all

that was happening everywhere, if publicity, in other words, became

absolute, how much time could or would he spend watching the Sinking

Fund Commission and the Geological Survey? He would probably tune in

on the Prince of Wales, or, in desperation, throw off the switch and

seek peace in ignorance. It is bad enough today—with morning newspapers

published in the evening and evening newspapers in the morning, with

October magazines in September, with the movies and the radio—to be

condemned to live under a barrage of eclectic information, to have

one’s mind made the receptacle for a hullabaloo of speeches, arguments

and unrelated episodes. General information for the informing of public

opinion is altogether too general for intellectual decency. And life is

too short for the pursuit of omniscience by the counting in a state of

nervous excitement of all the leaves on all the trees.

2

If all men had to conceive the whole process of government all the time

the world’s work would obviously never be carried on. Men make no

attempt to consider society as a whole. The farmer decides whether to

plant wheat or corn, the mechanic whether to take the job offered at

the Pennsylvania or the Erie shops, whether to buy a Ford or a piano,

and, if a Ford, whether to buy it from the garage on Elm Street or from

the dealer who sent him a circular. These decisions are among fairly

narrow choices offered to him; he can no more choose among all the jobs

in the world than he can consider marrying any woman in the world.

These choices in detail are in their cumulative mass the government

of society. They may rest on ignorant or enlightened opinions, but,

whether he comes to them by accident or scientific instruction, they

are specific and particular among at best a few concrete alternatives

and they lead to a definite, visible result.

But men are supposed also to hold public opinions about the general

conduct of society. The mechanic is supposed not only to choose

between working for the Pennsylvania or the Erie but to decide how

in the interests of the nation all the railroads of the country shall

be regulated. The two kinds of opinion merge insensibly one into the

other; men have general notions which influence their individual

decisions and their direct experiences unconsciously govern their

general notions. Yet it is useful to distinguish between the two kinds

of opinion, the specific and direct, the general and the indirect.

Specific opinions give rise to immediate executive acts; to take a job,

to do a particular piece of work, to hire or fire, to buy or sell,

to stay here or go there, to accept or refuse, to command or obey.

General opinions give rise to delegated, indirect, symbolic, intangible

results: to a vote, to a resolution, to applause, to criticism,

to praise or dispraise, to audiences, circulations, followings,

contentment or discontent. The specific opinion may lead to a decision

to act within the area where a man has personal jurisdiction; that

is, within the limits set by law and custom, his personal power and

his personal desire. But general opinions lead only to some sort of

expression, such as voting, and do not result in executive acts except

in coöperation with the general opinions of large numbers of other

persons.

Since the general opinions of large numbers of persons are almost

certain to be a vague and confusing medley, action cannot be taken

until these opinions have been factored down, canalized, compressed

and made uniform. The making of one general will out of a multitude

of general wishes is not an Hegelian mystery, as so many social

philosophers have imagined, but an art well known to leaders,

politicians and steering committees.[12] It consists essentially in the

use of symbols which assemble emotions after they have been detached

from their ideas. Because feelings are much less specific than ideas,

and yet more poignant, the leader is able to make a homogeneous

will out of a heterogeneous mass of desires. The process, therefore,

by which general opinions are brought to coöperation consists of an

intensification of feeling and a degradation of significance. Before a

mass of general opinions can eventuate in executive action, the choice

is narrowed down to a few alternatives. The victorious alternative is

executed not by the mass but by individuals in control of its energy.

A private opinion may be quite complicated, and may issue in quite

complicated actions, in a whole train of subsidiary opinions, as when

a man decides to build a house and then makes a hundred judgments as

to how it shall be built. But a public opinion has no such immediate

responsibility or continuous result. It leads in politics to the making

of a pencil mark on a piece of paper, and then to a period of waiting

and watching as to whether one or two years hence the mark shall be

made in the same column or in the adjoining one. The decision to make

the mark may be for reasons _a_^1, _a_^2, _a_^3 ... _a_^n: the result,

whether an idiot or genius has voted, is A.

For great masses of people, though each of them may have more or less

distinct views, must when they act converge to an identical result. And

the more complex the collection of men the more ambiguous must be the

unity and the simpler the common ideas.

3

In English-speaking countries during the last century the contrast

between the action of men individually and in the mass has been much

emphasized, and yet greatly misunderstood. Macaulay, for example,

speaking on the Reform Bill of 1832, drew the conventional distinction

between private enterprise and public action:

“In all those things which depend on the intelligence, the knowledge,

the industry, the energy of individuals, this country stands preëminent

among all countries of the world ancient and modern. But in those

things which it belongs to the state to direct we have no such claim to

superiority ... can there be a stronger contrast than that which exists

between the beauty, the completeness, the speed, the precision with

which every process is performed in our factories, and the awkwardness,

the crudeness, the slowness, the uncertainty of the apparatus by which

offenses are punished and rights vindicated?... Surely we see the

barbarism of the Thirteenth Century and the highest civilization of the

Nineteenth Century side by side, and we see that the barbarism belongs

to the government, and the civilization to the people.”[13]

Macaulay was, of course, thinking of the contrast between factory

production and government as it existed in England under Queen

Victoria’s uncles and the hard-drinking, hard-riding squirearchy. But

the Prussian bureaucracy amply demonstrated that there is no such

necessary contrast between governmental and private action. There is

a contrast between action by and through great masses of people and

action that moves without them.

The fundamental contrast is not between public and private enterprises,

between “crowd” psychology and individual, but between men doing

specific things and men attempting to command general results. The

work of the world is carried on by men in their executive capacity,

by an infinite number of concrete acts, plowing and planting and

reaping, building and destroying, fitting this to that, going from

here to there, transforming A into B and moving B from X to Y. The

relationships between the individuals doing these specific things are

balanced by a most intricate mechanism of exchange, of contract, of

custom and of implied promises. Where men are performing their work

they must learn to understand the process and the substance of these

obligations if they are to do it at all. But in governing the work of

other men by votes or by the expression of opinion they can only reward

or punish a result, accept or reject alternatives presented to them.

They can say yes or no to something which has been done, yes or no to

a proposal, but they cannot create, administer and actually perform

the act they have in mind. Persons uttering public opinions may now

and then be able to define the acts of men, but their opinions do not

execute these acts.

4

To the realm of executive acts, each of us, as a member of the public,

remains always external. Our public opinions are always and forever,

by their very nature, an attempt to control the actions of others from

the outside. If we can grasp the full significance of that conclusion

we shall, I think, have found a way of fixing the rôle of public

opinion in its true perspective; we shall know how to account for the

disenchantment of democracy, and we shall begin to see the outline of

an ideal of public opinion which, unlike that accepted in the dogma of

democracy, may be really attainable.

FOOTNOTES:

[11] _Cf._ my _Public Opinion_, Chapters XXV and XXVI.

[12] _Cf._ my _Public Opinion_, Chapters XIII and XIV.

[13] Speech on the Reform Bill of 1832, quoted in the _Times_

(London), July 12, 1923.

Chapter IV

WHAT THE PUBLIC DOES

1

I do not mean to say that there is no other attainable ideal of public

opinion but that severely practical one which this essay is meant

to disclose. One might aim to enrich the minds of men with charming

fantasies, animate nature and society with spirits, set up an Olympus

in the skies and an Atlantis at the end of the world. And one might

then assert that, so the quality of ideas be fine or give peace, it

does not matter how or whether they eventuate in the government of

affairs.

Utopia and Nirvana are by definition their own sufficient reason, and

it may be that to contemplate them is well worth the abandonment of

feeble attempts to control the action of events. Renunciation, however,

is a luxury in which all men cannot indulge. They will somehow seek to

control the behavior of others, if not by positive law then at least

by persuasion. When men are in that posture toward events they are a

public, as I am here defining the term; their opinions as to how others

ought to behave are public opinions. The more clearly it is understood

what the public can do and what it cannot, the more effectively it will

do what lies within its power to do well and the less it will interfere

with the liberties of men.

The rôle of public opinion is determined by the fact that its relation

to a problem is external. The opinion affects an opinion, but does not

itself control the executive act. A public opinion is expressed by a

vote, a demonstration of praise or blame, a following or a boycotting.

But these manifestations are in themselves nothing. They count only

if they influence the course of affairs. They influence it, however,

only if they influence an actor in the affair. And it is, I believe,

precisely in this secondary, indirect relationship between public

opinion and public affairs that we have the clue to the limits and the

possibilities of public opinion.

2

It may be objected at once that an election which turns one set of

men out of office and installs another is an expression of public

opinion which is neither secondary nor indirect. But what in fact is an

election? We call it an expression of the popular will. But is it? We

go into a polling booth and mark a cross on a piece of paper for one of

two, or perhaps three or four names. Have we expressed our thoughts on

the public policy of the United States? Presumably we have a number of

thoughts on this and that with many buts and ifs and ors. Surely the

cross on a piece of paper does not express them. It would take us hours

to express our thoughts, and calling a vote the expression of our mind

is an empty fiction.

A vote is a promise of support. It is a way of saying: I am lined up

with these men, on this side. I enlist with them. I will follow. I will

buy. I will boycott. I will strike. I applaud. I jeer. The force I can

exert is placed here, not there.

The public does not select the candidate, write the platform, outline

the policy any more than it builds the automobile or acts the play. It

aligns itself for or against somebody who has offered himself, has made

a promise, has produced a play, is selling an automobile. The action of

a group as a group is the mobilization of the force it possesses.

The attempt has been made to ascribe some intrinsic moral and

intellectual virtue to majority rule. It was said often in the

nineteenth century that there was a deep wisdom in majorities which

was the voice of God. Sometimes this flattery was a sincere mysticism,

sometimes it was the self-deception which always accompanies the

idealization of power. In substance it was nothing but a transfer to

the new sovereign of the divine attributes of kings. Yet the inherent

absurdity of making virtue and wisdom dependent on 51 per cent of any

collection of men has always been apparent. The practical realization

that the claim was absurd has resulted in a whole code of civil

rights to protect minorities and in all sorts of elaborate methods of

subsidizing the arts and sciences and other human interests so they

might be independent of the operation of majority rule.

The justification of majority rule in politics is not to be found in

its ethical superiority. It is to be found in the sheer necessity of

finding a place in civilized society for the force which resides in

the weight of numbers. I have called voting an act of enlistment, an

alignment for or against, a mobilization. These are military metaphors,

and rightly so, I think, for an election based on the principle

of majority rule is historically and practically a sublimated and

denatured civil war, a paper mobilization without physical violence.

Constitutional democrats, in the intervals when they were not

idealizing the majority, have acknowledged that a ballot was a

civilized substitute for a bullet. “The French Revolution,” says

Bernard Shaw, “overthrew one set of rulers and substituted another

with different interests and different views. That is what a general

election enables the people to do in England every seven years if they

choose. Revolution is therefore a national institution in England;

and its advocacy by an Englishman needs no apology.”[14] It makes an

enormous difference, of course, whether the people fight or vote,

but we shall understand the nature of voting better if we recognize

it to be a substitute for fighting. “There grew up in the 17th and

18th Centuries in England,” says Dwight Morrow in his introduction to

Professor Morse’s book, “and there has been carried from England to

almost every civilized government in the world, a procedure through

which party government becomes in large measure a substitute for

revolution.”[15] Hans Delbrück puts the matter simply when he says that

the principle of majority rule is “a purely practical principle. If one

wants to avoid a civil war, one lets those rule who in any case would

obtain the upper hand if there should be a struggle; and they are the

superior numbers.”[16]

But, while an election is in essence sublimated warfare, we must take

care not to miss the importance of the sublimation. There have been

pedantic theorists who wished to disqualify all who could not bear

arms, and woman suffrage has been deplored as a falsification of the

value of an election in uncovering the alignment of martial force in

the community. One can safely ignore such theorizing. For, while the

institution of an election is in its historical origins an alignment

of the physical force, it has come to be an alignment of all kinds of

force. It remains an alignment, though in advanced democracies it has

lost most of its primitive association with military combat. It has

not lost it in the South where the Negro population is disfranchised

by force, and not permitted to make its weight felt in an election. It

has not lost it in the unstable Latin American republics where every

election is in some measure still an armed revolution. In fact, the

United States has officially recognized this truth by proclaiming that

the substitution of election for revolution in Central America is the

test of political progress.

I do not wish to labor the argument any further than may be necessary

to establish the theory that what the public does is not to express its

opinions but to align itself for or against a proposal. If that theory

is accepted, we must abandon the notion that democratic government can

be the direct expression of the will of the people. We must abandon

the notion that the people govern. Instead we must adopt the theory

that, by their occasional mobilizations as a majority, people support

or oppose the individuals who actually govern. We must say that the

popular will does not direct continuously but that it intervenes

occasionally.

FOOTNOTES:

[14] Preface to _The Revolutionist’s Handbook_, p. 179.

[15] _Parties and Party Leaders_, p. xvi.

[16] H. Delbrück, _Government and the Will of the People_, p. 15.

Translated by Roy S. MacElwee.

Chapter V

THE NEUTRALIZATION OF ARBITRARY FORCE

1

If this is the nature of public action, what ideal can be formulated

which shall conform to it?

We are bound, I think, to express the ideal in its lowest terms,

to state it not as an ideal which might conceivably be realized by

exceptional groups now and then or in some distant future but as an

ideal which normally might be taught and attained. In estimating the

burden which a public can carry, a sound political theory must insist

upon the largest factor of safety. It must understate the possibilities

of public action.

The action of a public, we had concluded, is principally confined

to an occasional intervention in affairs by means of an alignment

of the force which a dominant section of that public can wield. We

must assume, then, that the members of a public will not possess an

insider’s knowledge of events or share his point of view. They cannot,

therefore, construe intent, or appraise the exact circumstances, enter

intimately into the minds of the actors or into the details of the

argument. They can watch only for coarse signs indicating where their

sympathies ought to turn.

We must assume that the members of a public will not anticipate a

problem much before its crisis has become obvious, nor stay with

the problem long after its crisis is past. They will not know the

antecedent events, will not have seen the issue as it developed, will

not have thought out or willed a program, and will not be able to

predict the consequences of acting on that program. We must assume as a

theoretically fixed premise of popular government that normally men as

members of a public will not be well informed, continuously interested,

nonpartisan, creative or executive. We must assume that a public is

inexpert in its curiosity, intermittent, that it discerns only gross

distinctions, is slow to be aroused and quickly diverted; that, since

it acts by aligning itself, it personalizes whatever it considers, and

is interested only when events have been melodramatized as a conflict.

The public will arrive in the middle of the third act and will leave

before the last curtain, having stayed just long enough perhaps to

decide who is the hero and who the villain of the piece. Yet usually

that judgment will necessarily be made apart from the intrinsic merits,

on the basis of a sample of behavior, an aspect of a situation, by very

rough external evidence.

We cannot, then, think of public opinion as a conserving or creating

force directing society to clearly conceived ends, making deliberately

toward socialism or away from it, toward nationalism, an empire, a

league of nations or any other doctrinal goal. For men do not agree as

to their aims, and it is precisely the lack of agreement which creates

the problems that excite public attention. It is idle, then, to argue

that though men evidently have conflicting purposes, mankind has some

all-embracing purpose of which you or I happen to be the authorized

spokesman. We merely should have moved in a circle were we to conclude

that the public is in some deep way a messianic force.

2

The work of the world goes on continually without conscious direction

from public opinion. At certain junctures problems arise. It is only

with the crises of some of these problems that public opinion is

concerned. And its object in dealing with a crisis is to help allay

that crisis.

I think this conclusion is unescapable. For though we may prefer to

believe that the aim of popular action should be to do justice or

promote the true, the beautiful and the good, the belief will not

maintain itself in the face of plain experience. The public does not

know in most crises what specifically is the truth or the justice of

the case, and men are not agreed on what is beautiful and good. Nor

does the public rouse itself normally at the existence of evil. It is

aroused at evil made manifest by the interruption of a habitual process

of life. And finally, a problem ceases to occupy attention not when

justice, as we happen to define it, has been done but when a workable

adjustment that overcomes the crisis has been made. If all this were

not the necessary manner of public opinion, if it had seriously to

crusade for justice in every issue it touches, the public would have to

be dealing with all situations all the time. That is impossible. It is

also undesirable. For did justice, truth, goodness and beauty depend on

the spasmodic and crude interventions of public opinion there would be

little hope for them in this world.

Thus we strip public opinion of any implied duty to deal with the

substance of a problem, to make technical decisions, to attempt justice

or impose a moral precept. And instead we say that the ideal of public

opinion is to align men during the crisis of a problem in such a way

as to favor the action of those individuals who may be able to compose

the crisis. The power to discern those individuals is the end of the

effort to educate public opinion. The aim of research designed to

facilitate public action is the discovery of clear signs by which these

individuals may be discerned.

The signs are relevant when they reveal by coarse, simple and objective

tests which side in a controversy upholds a workable social rule, or

which is attacking an unworkable rule, or which proposes a promising

new rule. By following such signs the public might know where to

align itself. In such an alignment it does not, let us remember,

pass judgment on the intrinsic merits. It merely places its force at

the disposal of the side which, according to objective signs, seems

to be standing for human adjustments according to a clear rule of

behavior and against the side which appears to stand for settlement in

accordance with its own unaccountable will.

Public opinion, in this theory, is a reserve of force brought into

action during a crisis in public affairs. Though it is itself an

irrational force, under favorable institutions, sound leadership

and decent training the power of public opinion might be placed at

the disposal of those who stood for workable law as against brute

assertion. In this theory, public opinion does not make the law. But by

canceling lawless power it may establish the condition under which law

can be made. It does not reason, investigate, invent, persuade, bargain

or settle. But, by holding the aggressive party in check, it may

liberate intelligence. Public opinion in its highest ideal will defend

those who are prepared to act on their reason against the interrupting

force of those who merely assert their will.

The action of public opinion at its best would not, let it be noted,

be a continual crusade on behalf of reason. When power, however

absolute and unaccountable, reigns without provoking a crisis, public

opinion does not challenge it. Somebody must challenge arbitrary power

first. The public can only come to his assistance.

3

That, I think, is the utmost that public opinion can effectively do.

With the substance of the problem it can do nothing usually but meddle

ignorantly or tyrannically. It has no need to meddle with it. Men in

their active relation to affairs have to deal with the substance, but

in that indirect relationship when they can act only through uttering

praise or blame, making black crosses on white paper, they have done

enough, they have done all they can do if they help to make it possible

for the reason of other men to assert itself.

For when public opinion attempts to govern directly it is either

a failure or a tyranny. It is not able to master the problem

intellectually, nor to deal with it except by wholesale impact. The

theory of democracy has not recognized this truth because it has

identified the functioning of government with the will of the people.

This is a fiction. The intricate business of framing laws and of

administering them through several hundred thousand public officials is

in no sense the act of the voters nor a translation of their will.

But although the acts of government are not a translation of public

opinion, the principal function of government is to do specifically, in

greater detail, and more continually what public opinion does crudely,

by wholesale, and spasmodically. It enforces some of the working rules

of society. It interprets them. It detects and punishes certain kinds

of aggression. It presides over the framing of new rules. It has

organized force which is used to counteract irregular force.

It is also subject to the same corruption as public opinion. For when

government attempts to impose the will of its officials, instead of

intervening so as to steady adjustments by consent among the parties

directly interested, it becomes heavy-handed, stupid, imperious, even

predatory. For the public official, though he is better placed to

understand the problem than a reader of newspapers, and though he is

much better able to act, is still fundamentally external to the real

problems in which he intervenes. Being external, his point of view is

indirect, and so his action is most appropriate when it is confined to

rendering indirect assistance to those who are directly responsible.

Therefore, instead of describing government as an expression of the

people’s will, it would seem better to say that government consists

of a body of officials, some elected, some appointed, who handle

professionally, and in the first instance, problems which come to

public opinion spasmodically and on appeal. Where the parties directly

responsible do not work out an adjustment, public officials intervene.

When the officials fail, public opinion is brought to bear on the issue.

4

This, then, is the ideal of public action which our inquiry suggests.

Those who happen in any question to constitute the public should

attempt only to create an equilibrium in which settlements can be

reached directly and by consent. The burden of carrying on the work of

the world, of inventing, creating, executing, of attempting justice,

formulating laws and moral codes, of dealing with the technic and the

substance, lies not upon public opinion and not upon government but

on those who are responsibly concerned as agents in the affair. Where

problems arise, the ideal is a settlement by the particular interests

involved. They alone know what the trouble really is. No decision by

public officials or by commuters reading headlines in the train can

usually and in the long run be so good as settlement by consent among

the parties at interest. No moral code, no political theory can usually

and in the long run be imposed from the heights of public opinion,

which will fit a case so well as direct agreement reached where

arbitrary power has been disarmed.

It is the function of public opinion to check the use of force in a

crisis, so that men, driven to make terms, may live and let live.

PART II

The phantom public · 第 1 / 9 章