What is Promised

The flying machine will probably become the vehicle of the explorer.

If Stanley had been able to use a small high-powered dirigible in

the search for Livingstone, the journey would have been one of hours

as compared with months, the food and general comfort of the party

would have been equal in quality to those attainable at home, and the

expense in money and in human life would have been relatively trifling.

[Illustration: WELLMAN'S AMERICA

(From Wellman's _Aerial Age_)]

Most readers will remember the fate of Andrée, and the projected polar

expeditions of Wellman in 1907 and 1909. Misfortune accompanied both

attempts; but one has only to read Peary's story of the dogged tramp

over the Greenland ice blink to realize that danger and misfortune

in no less degree have accompanied other plans of Arctic pioneering.

With proper design and the right men, it does not seem unreasonable to

expect that a hundred flying machines may soar above Earth's invisible

axial points during the next dozen years.[C]

The report of Count Zeppelin's Spitzbergen expedition of last year

has just been made public. This was undertaken to ascertain the

adaptability of flying machines for Arctic navigation. Besides speed

and radius of action, the conclusive factors include that of freedom

from such breakdowns as cannot be made good on the road.

For exploration in other regions, the balloon or the aeroplane is

sure to be employed. Rapidity of progress without fatigue or danger

will replace the floundering through swamps, shivering with ague, and

bickering with hostile natives now associated with tropical and other

expeditions. The stereoscopic camera with its scientific adjuncts will

permit of almost automatic map-making, more comprehensive and accurate

than any now attempted in other than the most settled sections. It

is not too much to expect that arrangements will be perfected for

conducting complete topographical surveys without more than occasional

descents. If extremely high altitudes must be attained--over a

mile--the machines will be of special design; but as far as can now be

anticipated, there will be no insurmountable difficulties. The virgin

peaks of Ruwenzori and the Himalayas may become easily accessible--even

to women and children if they desire it. We may obtain direct evidence

as to the contested ascent of Mt. McKinley. A report has been current

that a Blériot monoplane has been purchased for use in the inspection

of construction work for an oil pipe line across the Persian desert;

the aeroplane being regarded as "more expeditious and effectual" than

an automobile.

The flying machine is the only land vehicle which requires no

"permanent way." Trains must have rails, bicycles and automobiles

must have good roads. Even the pedestrian gets along better on a

path. The ships of the air and the sea demand no improvement of the

fluids in which they float. To carry mails, parcels, persons, and even

light freight--these applications, if made commercially practicable

tomorrow,[D] would surprise no one; their possibility has already

been amply demonstrated. With the dirigible as the transatlantic

liner and the aeroplane as the naphtha launch of the air, the whole

range of applications is commanded. Hangars and landing stages--the

latter perhaps on the roofs of buildings, revolutionizing our domestic

architecture--may spring up as rapidly as garages have done. And the

aeroplane is potentially (with the exception of the motorcycle) the

cheapest of self-propelled vehicles.

Governments have already considered the possibilities of aerial

smuggling. Perhaps our custom-house officers will soon have to watch a

fence instead of a line: to barricade in two dimensions instead of one.

They will need to be provided with United States Revenue aeroplanes.

But how are aerial frontiers to be marked? And does a nation own the

air above it, or is this, like the high seas, "by natural right, common

to all"? Can a flying-machine blockade-runner above the three-mile

height claim extraterritoriality?

The flying machine is no longer the delusion of the "crank," because

it has developed a great industry. A now antiquated statement put

the capitalization of aeroplane manufactories in France at a million

dollars, and the development expenditure to date at six millions.

There are dozens of builders, in New York City alone, of monoplanes,

biplanes, gliders, and models. A permanent exhibition of air craft is

just being inaugurated. We have now even an aeronautic "trust," since

the million-dollar capitalization of the Maxim, Blériot, Grahame-White

firm.

According to the New York _Sun_, over $500,000 has been subscribed for

aviation prizes in 1911. The most valuable prizes are for new records

in cross-country flights. The Paris _Journal_ has offered $70,000 for

the best speed in a circling race from Paris to Berlin, Brussels,

London, and back to Paris--1500 miles. Supplementary prizes from other

sources have increased the total stake in this race to $100,000. A

purse of $50,000 is offered by the London _Daily Mail_ for the "Circuit

of Britain" race, from London up the east coast to Edinburgh, across

to Glasgow, and home by way of the west coast, Exeter, and the Isle of

Wight; a thousand miles, to be completed in two weeks, beginning July

22, with descents only at predetermined points. This contest will be

open (at an entrance fee of $500) to any licensee of the International

Federation. A German circuit, from Berlin to Bremen, Magdeburg,

Düsseldorf, Aix-la-Chapelle, Dresden, and back to the starting point,

is proposed by the _Zeitung am Mittag_ of Berlin, a prize of $25,000

having been offered. In this country, a comparatively small prize

has been established for a run from San Francisco to New York, _via_

Chicago. Besides a meet at Bridgeport, May 18-20, together with those

to be held by several of the colleges and the ones at Bennings and

Chicago, there will be, it is still hoped, a national tournament at

Belmont Park at the end of the same month. Here probably a dozen

aviators will contest in qualification for the international meet in

England, to which three American representatives should be sent as

competitors for the championship trophy now held by Mr. Grahame-White.

It is anticipated that the chances in the international races favor

the French aviators, some of whom--in particular, Leblanc--have been

making sensational records at Pau. Flights between aviation fields in

different cities are the leading feature in the American program for

the year. A trip is proposed from Washington to Belmont Park, _via_

Atlantic City, the New Jersey coast, and lower New York bay. The

distance is 250 miles and the time will probably be less than that of

the best passenger trains between Washington and New York. If held,

this race will probably take place late in May. It is wisely concluded

that the advancement of aviation depends upon cross-country runs under

good control and at reasonable speeds and heights rather than upon

exhibition flights in enclosures. It is to be hoped that commercial

interests will not be sufficiently powerful to hinder this development.

We shall of course have the usual international championship balloon

race, preceded by elimination contests. From present indications Omaha

is likely to be chosen as the point of departure.

The need for scientific study of aerial problems is recognized. The

sum of $350,000 has been offered the University of Paris to found an

aeronautic institute. In Germany, the university at Göttingen has for

years maintained an aerodynamic laboratory. Lord Rayleigh, in England,

is at the head of a committee of ten eminent scientists and engineers

which has, under the authority of Parliament, prepared a program of

necessary theoretical and experimental investigations in aerostatics

and aerodynamics. Our American colleges have organized student aviation

societies and in some of them systematic instruction is given in the

principles underlying the art. A permanent aeronautic laboratory, to be

located at Washington, D.C., is being promoted.

Aviation as a sport is under the control of the International

Aeronautic Federation, having its headquarters at Paris. Bodies

like the Royal Aero Club of England and the Aero Club of America

are subsidiaries to the Federation. In addition, we have in this

country other clubs, like the Aeronautic Society, the United States

Aeronautical Reserve, etc. The National Council of the Aero Clubs of

America is a sort of supreme court for all of these, having control of

meets and contests; but it has no affiliation with the International

body, which is represented here by the Aero Club of America. The

Canadian Auto and Aero Club supervises aviation in the Dominion.

Aviation has developed new legal problems: problems of liability for

accidents to others; the matter of supervision of airship operators.

Bills to license and regulate air craft have been introduced in at

least two state legislatures.

Schools for instruction in flying as an art or sport are being

promoted. It is understood that the Wright firm is prepared to organize

classes of about a dozen men, supplying an aeroplane for their

instruction. Each man pays a small fee, which is remitted should he

afterward purchase a machine. Mr. Grahame-White, at Pau, in the south

of France, conducts a school of aviation, and the arrangements are now

being duplicated in England. Instruction is given on Blériot monoplanes

and Farman biplanes, at a cost of a hundred guineas for either. The

pupil is coached until he can make a three-mile flight; meanwhile, he

is held partially responsible for damage and is required to take out a

"third-party" insurance policy.

There is no lack of aeronautic literature. Major Squier's paper in the

_Transactions_ of the American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 1908,

gave an eighteen-page list of books and magazine articles of fair

completeness up to its date; Professor Chatley's book, _Aeroplanes_,

1911, discusses some recent publications; the Brooklyn Public Library

in New York issued in 1910 (misdated 1909) a manual of fourteen pages

critically referring to the then available literature, and itself

containing a list of some dozen bibliographies.

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