CHAPTER X

DOWNING STREET AND CONSTANTINOPLE

1853

Causes of the Crimean War--Nicholas seizes his opportunity--The

Secret Memorandum--Napoleon and the susceptibilities of the

Vatican--Lord Stratford de Redcliffe and the Porte--Prince

Menschikoff shows his hand--Lord Aberdeen hopes against hope--Lord

Palmerston's opinion of the crisis--The Vienna Note--Lord John

grows restive--Sinope arouses England--The deadlock in the Cabinet.

MANY causes conspired to bring about the war in the Crimea, though the

pretext for the quarrel--a dispute between the monks of the Latin and

Greek Churches concerning the custody of the Holy Places in

Palestine--presents no element of difficulty. It is, however, no easy

matter to gather up in a few pages the reasons which led to the war.

Amongst the most prominent of them were the ambitious projects of the

despotic Emperor Nicholas. The military revolt in his own capital at the

period of his accession, and the Polish insurrections of 1830 and 1850,

had rendered him harsh and imperious, and disinclined to concessions on

any adequate scale to the restless but spasmodic demands for political

reform in Russia. Gloomy and reserved though the Autocrat of All the

Russias was, he recognised that it would be a mistake to rely for the

pacification of his vast empire on the policy of masterly inactivity.

His war with Persia, his invasion of Turkey, and the army which he sent

to help Austria to settle her quarrel with Hungary, not only appealed

to the pride of Russia, but provided so many outlets for the energy and

ambition of her ruler. It was in the East that Nicholas saw his

opportunity, and his policy was a revival, under the changed conditions

of the times, of that of Peter the Great and Catherine II.

Nicholas had long secretly chafed at the exclusion of his war-ships--by

the provisions of the treaty of 1841--from access through the Black Sea

to the Mediterranean, and he dreamed dreams of Constantinople, and saw

visions of India. Linked to many lawless instincts, there was in the

Emperor's personal character much of the intolerance of the fanatic.

Religion and pride alike made the fact rankle in his breast that so many

of the Sultan's subjects were Sclavs, and professed the Russian form of

Christianity. He was, moreover, astute enough to see that a war which

could be construed by the simple and devout peasantry as an attempt to

uplift the standard of the Cross in the dominions of the Crescent would

appeal at once to the clergy and populace of Holy Russia. Nicholas had

persuaded himself that, with Lord Aberdeen at the head of affairs, and

Palmerston in a place of safety at the Home Office, England was scarcely

in a condition to give practical effect to her traditional jealousy of

Russia. In the weakness of her divided counsels he saw his opportunity.

It had become a fixed idea with the Emperor that Turkey was in a

moribund condition; and neither Orloff nor Nesselrode had been able to

disabuse his mind of the notion.

[Sidenote: NICHOLAS AND THE 'SICK MAN']

Everyone is aware that in January 1853 the Emperor told the English

Ambassador, Sir Hamilton Seymour, that Turkey was the 'sick man' of

Europe, and ever since then the phrase has passed current and become

historic. It was often on the lips of Nicholas, for he talked freely,

and sometimes showed so little discretion that Nesselrode once declared,

with fine irony, that the White Czar could not claim to be a

diplomatist. The phrase cannot have startled Lord Aberdeen. It must have

sounded, indeed, like the echo of words which the Emperor had uttered in

London in the summer of 1844. Nicholas, on the occasion of his visit to

England in that year, spoke freely about the Eastern Question, not

merely to the Duke of Wellington, whose military prowess he greatly

admired, but also to Sir Robert Peel and Lord Aberdeen, who was then

Minister for Foreign Affairs. He told the latter in so many words that

Turkey was a dying man, and did his best to impress the three English

statesmen with the necessity for preparation in view of the approaching

crisis. He stated that he foresaw that the time was coming when he would

have to put his armies in movement, and added that Austria would be

compelled to do the same. He protested that he made no claim to an inch

of Turkish soil, but was prepared to dispute the right of anyone else to

an inch of it--a palpable allusion to the French support of Mehemet Ali.

It was too soon to stipulate what should be done when the 'sick man's'

last hour had run its course. All he wanted, he maintained, was the

basis of an understanding.

In Nicholas's opinion England ought to make common cause with Russia and

Austria, and he did not disguise his jealousy of France. It was clear

that he dreaded the growth of close union between England and France,

and for Louis Philippe then, as for Louis Napoleon afterwards, his

feeling was one of coldness if not of actual disdain. The Emperor

Nicholas won golden opinions amongst all classes during his short stay

in England. Sir Theodore Martin's 'Life of the Prince Consort,' and

especially the letter which is published in its pages from the Queen to

King Leopold, showed the marked impression which was made at Windsor by

his handsome presence, his apparently unstudied confidences, the

simplicity and charm of his manners, and the adroitness of his

well-turned compliments. Whenever the Autocrat of All the Russias

appeared in public, at a military review, or the Opera, or at Ascot, he

received an ovation, and Baron Stockmar, with dry cynicism, has not

failed to record the lavish gifts of 'endless snuff-boxes and large

presents' which made his departure memorable to the Court officials. Out

of this visit grew, though the world knew nothing of it then, the Secret

Memorandum, drawn up by Peel, Wellington, and Aberdeen, and signed by

them as well as by the Emperor himself. This document, though it

actually committed England to nothing more serious than the recognition

in black and white of the desperate straits of the Porte, and the fact

that England and Russia were alike concerned in maintaining the _status

quo_ in Turkey, dwelt significantly on the fact that, in the event of a

crisis in Turkey, Russia and England were to come to an understanding

with each other as to what concerted action they should take. The

agreement already existing between Russia and Austria was significantly

emphasised in the document, and stress was laid on the fact that if

England joined the compact, France would have no alternative but to

accept the decision.

[Sidenote: A FRIEND AT COURT]

There can be no question that Nicholas attached an exaggerated

importance to this memorandum. It expressed his opinion rather than the

determination of the Peel Administration; but a half-barbaric despot not

unnaturally imagined that when the responsible advisers of the Crown

entered into a secret agreement with him, no matter how vague its terms

might appear when subjected to critical analysis, England and himself

were practically of one mind. When the Coalition Government was formed,

two of the three statesmen, whom the Emperor Nicholas regarded as his

friends at Court, were dead, but the third, in the person of Lord

Aberdeen, had succeeded, by an unexpected turn of the wheel, to the

chief place in the new Ministry. Long before the Imperial visit to

London the Emperor had honoured Lord Aberdeen with his friendship, and,

now that the Foreign Minister of 1844 was the Prime Minister of 1853,

the opportune moment for energetic action seemed to have arrived.

Nicholas, accordingly, now hinted that if the 'sick man' died England

should seize Egypt and Crete, and that the European provinces of Turkey

should be formed into independent states under Russian protection. He

met, however, with no response, for the English Cabinet by this time saw

that the impending collapse of Turkey, on which Nicholas laid such

emphatic stress, was by no means a foregone conclusion. Napoleon and

Palmerston had, moreover, drawn France and England into friendly

alliance. There was no shadow of doubt that the Christian subjects of

Turkey were grossly oppressed, and it is only fair to believe that

Nicholas, as the head of the Greek Church, was honestly anxious to rid

them of such thraldom. At the same time no one imagined that he was

exactly the ruler to expend blood and treasure, in the risks of war, in

the _role_ of a Defender of the Faith.

Count Vitzthum doubts whether the Emperor really contemplated the taking

of Constantinople, but it is plain that he meant to crush the Turkish

Empire, and England, knowing that the man had masterful instincts and

ambitious schemes--that suggest, at all events, a passing comparison

with Napoleon Bonaparte--took alarm at his restlessness, and the menace

to India, which it seemed to suggest. 'If we do not stop the Russians on

the Danube,' said Lord John Russell, 'we shall have to stop them on the

Indus.' It is now a matter of common knowledge that, when the Crimean

War began, Nicholas had General Duhamel's scheme before him for an

invasion of India through Asia. Such an advance, it was foreseen, would

cripple England's resources in Europe by compelling her to despatch an

army of defence to the East. It certainly looks, therefore, as if

Russia, when hostilities in the Crimea actually began, was preparing

herself for a sudden descent on Constantinople. Napoleon III., eager to

conciliate the religious susceptibilities of his own subjects, as well

as to gratify the Vatican, wished the Sultan to make the Latin monks the

supreme custodians of the Holy Places. Complications, the issue of which

it was impossible to forecast, appeared inevitable, and for the moment

there seemed only one man who could grapple with the situation at

Constantinople. Lord Palmerston altogether, and Lord John Russell in

part, sympathised with the clamour which arose in the Press for the

return of the Great Elchi to the Porte.

[Sidenote: LORD STRATFORD DE REDCLIFFE]

In the entire annals of British diplomacy there is scarcely a more

picturesque or virile figure than that of Lord Stratford de Redcliffe.

Capacity for public affairs ran in the blood of the Cannings, as the

three statues which to-day stand side by side in Westminster Abbey

proudly attest. Those marble memorials represent George Canning, the

great Foreign Minister, who in the famous, if grandiloquent, phrase

'called the New World into existence to redress the balance of the Old;'

his son Charles, Earl Canning, first Viceroy of India; and his cousin,

Stratford Canning, Viscount Stratford de Redcliffe, who for a long term

of years sought to quicken into newness of social and political life the

broken and demoralised forces of the Ottoman Empire, and who practically

dictated from Constantinople the policy of England in the East. He was

born in 1786 and died in 1880. He entered the public service as a

_precis_-writer at the Foreign Office, and rose swiftly in the

profession of diplomacy. His acquaintance with Eastern affairs began in

1808, when he was appointed First Secretary to Sir Robert Adair, whom he

succeeded two years later at Constantinople as Minister Plenipotentiary.

The Treaty of Bucharest, which in 1812 brought the war, then in progress

between Russia and Turkey, to an end, was the first of a brilliant

series of diplomatic triumphs, which established his reputation in all

the Councils of Europe, and made him, in Lord Tennyson's words, 'The

voice of England in the East.' After services in Switzerland, in

Washington, and at the Congress of Vienna, Canning, in 1825, returned to

Constantinople with the rank of Ambassador.

He witnessed the overthrow of the Janissaries by Sultan Mahmoud II., and

had his own experience of Turkish atrocities in the massacre which

followed. He took a prominent part in the creation of the modern kingdom

of Greece, and resigned his appointment in 1828, because of a conflict

of opinion with Lord Aberdeen in the early stages of that movement.

Afterwards, he was gazetted Ambassador to St. Petersburg; but the

Emperor Nicholas, who by this time recognised the masterful qualities of

the man, refused to receive him--a conspicuous slight, which Lord

Stratford, who was as proud and irascible as the Czar, never forgave.

Between the years 1842 and 1858 he again filled his old position as

Ambassador to Constantinople, and during those years he won a unique

ascendency--unmatched in the history of diplomacy--over men and

movements in Turkey. He brought about many reforms, and made it his

special concern to watch over the interests of the Christian subjects at

the Porte, who styled him the 'Padishah of the Shah,' and that

title--Sultan of the Sultan--exactly hit off the authority which he

wielded, not always wisely, but always with good intent. It was an

unfortunate circumstance that Lord Stratford, after his resignation in

1852, should have been summoned back for a further spell of six years'

tenure of power exactly at the moment when Nicholas, prompted by the

knowledge of the absence from Constantinople of the man who had held him

in check, and of the accession to power in Downing Street of a statesman

of mild temper and friendly disposition to Russia, was beginning once

more to push his claims in the East. Lord Stratford had many virtues,

but he had also a violent and uncertain temper. He was a man of

inflexible integrity, iron will, undeniable moral courage, and

commanding force of character. Yet, for a great Ambassador, he was at

times strangely undiplomatic, whilst the keenness of his political

judgment and forecasts sometimes suffered eclipse through the strength

of his personal antipathies.

[Sidenote: FAREWELL TO THE FOREIGN OFFICE]

Meanwhile, Lord John Russell, who had expressly stipulated when the

Cabinet was formed that he was only to hold the seals of the Foreign

Office for a few weeks, convinced already that the position was

untenable to a man of his views, insisted on being relieved of the

office. The divergent views in the Cabinet on the Eastern Question were

making themselves felt, and Lord Aberdeen's eminently charitable

interpretation of the Russian demands was little to the minds of men of

the stamp of Palmerston and Russell, neither of whom was inclined to pin

his faith so completely to the Czar's assurances. When Parliament met in

February, Lord John quitted the Foreign Office and led the House of

Commons without portfolio. His quick recognition of Mr. Gladstone's

great qualities as a responsible statesman was not the least pleasing

incident of the moment. In April, Lord Aberdeen once more made no secret

of his determination to retire at the end of the session, and this

intimation no doubt had its influence with the more restive of his

colleagues.

When Parliament rose, Lord John Russell's position in the country was

admitted on all hands to be one of renewed strength, for, set free from

an irksome position, he had thrown himself during the session with

ardour into the congenial work of leader of the House of Commons. The

resolution of the Cabinet to send Lord Stratford to Constantinople has

already been stated. He received his instructions on February 25; in

fact, he seems to have dictated them, for Lord Clarendon, who had just

succeeded to the Foreign Office, made no secret of the circumstance that

they were largely borrowed from the Ambassador's own notes. He was told

that he was to proceed first to Paris, and then to Vienna, in order that

he might know the minds of France and Austria on the issues at stake.

Napoleon III. was to be assured that England relied on his cordial

co-operation in maintaining the integrity and independence of the

Turkish Empire. The young Emperor of Austria was to be informed that her

Majesty's Government gladly recognised the fact that his attitude

towards the Porte had not been changed by recent events, and that the

policy of Austria in the East was not likely to be altered. Lord

Stratford was to warn the Sultan and his advisers that the crisis was

one which required the utmost prudence on their part if peace was to be

preserved.

The Sultan and his Ministers were practically to be told by Lord

Stratford that they were the authors of their own misfortunes, and that,

if they were to be extricated from them, they must place the 'utmost

confidence in the sincerity and soundness of the advice' that he was

commissioned to give them. He was further to lay stress on palpable

abuses, and to urge the necessity of administrative reforms. 'It

remains,' added Lord Clarendon, 'only for me to say that in the event,

which her Majesty's Government earnestly hope may not arise, of imminent

danger to the existence of the Turkish Government, your Excellency will

in such case despatch a messenger to Malta requesting the Admiral to

hold himself in readiness; but you will not direct him to approach the

Dardanelles without positive instructions from her Majesty's

Government.' The etiquette of Courts has to be respected, especially by

Ambassadors charged with a difficult mission, but Lord Stratford's

diplomatic visits to Paris and Vienna were unduly prolonged, and

occupied more time than was desirable at such a crisis. He arrived at

Constantinople on April 5, and was received, to his surprise, with a

remarkable personal ovation. In Kinglake's phrase, his return was

regarded as that 'of a king whose realm had been suffered to fall into

danger.'

The Czar's envoy, Prince Menschikoff, had already been on the scene for

five weeks. If Russia meant peace, the choice of such a representative

was unfortunate. Menschikoff was a brusque soldier, rough and impolitic

of speech, and by no means inclined to conform to accepted methods of

procedure. He refused to place himself in communication with the

Foreign Minister of the Porte; and this was interpreted at Stamboul as

an insult to the Sultan. The Grand Vizier, rushing to the conclusion

that his master was in imminent danger, induced Colonel Rose, the

British Charge d'Affaires, to order the Mediterranean Fleet, then at

Malta, to proceed to Vourla. The Admiral, however, refused to lend

himself to the panic, and sent back word that he waited instructions

from London, a course which was afterwards approved by the Cabinet. The

commotion at Stamboul was not lost upon Napoleon, though he knew that

the English Cabinet was not anxious to precipitate matters. Eager to

display his newly acquired power, he promptly sent instructions to the

French Fleet to proceed to Salamis. Meanwhile Prince Menschikoff, who

had adopted a more conciliatory attitude on the question of the Holy

Places, with the result that negotiations were proceeding

satisfactorily, assumed shortly before the arrival of Lord Stratford a

more defiant manner, and startled the Porte by the sudden announcement

of new demands. He claimed that a formal treaty should be drawn up,

recognising in the most ample, not to say abject, terms, the right of

Russia to establish a Protectorate over the Christian subjects of the

Porte. This meant, as Lord Clarendon pointed out at the time, that

fourteen millions of people would henceforth regard the Czar as their

defender, whilst their allegiance to the Sultan would become little more

than nominal, and the position of the Turkish ruler would inevitably

dwindle from independence to vassalage.

[Sidenote: TAKING THE BULL BY THE HORNS]

Lord Stratford at once took the bull by the horns. Acting on his advice,

the Porte refused even to entertain such proposals until the question of

the Holy Places was settled. Within a month, through Lord Stratford's

firmness, Russia and Turkey came to terms over the original point in

dispute; but on the following day Menschikoff placed an ultimatum

before the Porte, demanding that, within five days, his master's claim

for the acknowledgment of the Russian Protectorate over the Sultan's

Greek subjects should be accepted. The Sultan's Ministers, who

interpreted the dramatic return of Lord Stratford to mean that they had

England at their back, declined to accede, and their refusal was

immediately followed by the departure of Prince Menschikoff. Repulsed in

diplomacy, the Czar, on July 2, marched forty thousand troops across the

frontier river, the Pruth, and occupied Moldavia and Wallachia. The

Imperial manifesto stated that it was not the Czar's intention to

commence war, but only to obtain such security as would ensure the

restoration of the rights of Russia. This was, of course, high ground to

take, and a conference of the Great Powers was hastily summoned, with

the result that the French view of the situation was embodied by the

assembled diplomatists in the Vienna Note, which was despatched

simultaneously to Russia and Turkey. Lord John Russell, even before the

arrival of Lord Stratford at Constantinople, had come to the conclusion

that the Emperor of Russia was determined to pick a quarrel with Turkey;

but Lord Aberdeen and his Peelite following were of another mind, and

even Lord Clarendon seems for the moment to have been hoodwinked by the

Czar's protestations.

A month or two later the Foreign Minister saw matters in a different

light, for he used in the House of Lords, in the summer of 1853, an

expression which has become historic: 'We are drifting into war.' The

quarrel at this stage--for the susceptibilities of France and of Rome

had been appeased by the settlement of the question of the Holy

Places--lay between Russia and Turkey, and England might have compelled

the peace of Europe if she had known her own mind, and made both

parties recognise in unmistakeable terms what was her policy. Lord John

Russell had a policy, but no power to enforce it, whilst Lord Aberdeen

had no policy which ordinary mortals could fathom, and had the power to

keep the Cabinet--though scarcely Lord Stratford de Redcliffe--from

taking any decided course. The Emperor Nicholas, relying on the Protocol

which Lord Aberdeen had signed--under circumstances which, however, bore

no resemblance to existing conditions--imagined that, with such a

statesman at the head of affairs, England would not take up arms against

Russia. Lord Aberdeen, to add to the complication, seemed unable to

credit the hostile intentions of the Czar, even after the failure of the

negotiations which followed the despatch of the Vienna Note. Yet as far

back as June 19, Lord John Russell, in a memorandum to his colleagues,

made a clear statement of the position of affairs. He held that, if

Russia persisted in her demands and invaded Turkey, the interests of

England in the East would compel us to aid the Sultan in defending his

capital and his throne. On the other hand, if the Czar by a sudden

movement seized Constantinople, we must be prepared to make war on

Russia herself. In that case, he added, we ought to seek the alliance of

France and Austria. France would willingly join; and England and France

together might, if it were worth while, obtain the moral weight, if not

the material support, of Austria in their favour.

[Sidenote: CAUTION HAS ITS PERFECT WORK]

Lord Aberdeen responded with characteristic caution. He refused to

entertain warlike forecasts, and wished for liberty to meet the

emergency when it actually arose. Lord Palmerston, a week or two later,

made an ineffectual attempt to persuade the Cabinet to send the Fleet to

the Bosphorus without further delay. 'I think our position,' were his

words on July 7, 'waiting timidly and submissively at the back door,

whilst Russia is violently threatening and arrogantly forcing her way

into the house, is unwise, with a view to a peaceful settlement.' Lord

Aberdeen believed in the 'moderation' of a despot who took no pains to

disguise his sovereign contempt for 'les chiens Turcs.' Lord Palmerston,

on the other hand, made no secret of his opinion that it was the

invariable policy of Russia to push forward her encroachment 'as fast

and as far as the apathy or want of firmness' of other Governments would

allow. He held that her plan was to 'stop and retire when she was met

with decided resistance,' and then to wait until the next favourable

opportunity arose to steal once more a march on Europe. There was, in

short, a radical divergence in the Cabinet. When the compromise

suggested in the Vienna Note was rejected, the chances of a European war

were sensibly quickened, and all the more so because Lord Stratford,

with his notorious personal grudge against the Czar, was more than any

other man master of the situation. What that situation had become in the

early autumn of 1853 is pithily expressed in a letter of Sir George

Cornewall Lewis's to Sir Edmund Head: 'Everything is in a perplexed

state at Constantinople. Russia is ashamed to recede, but afraid to

strike. The Turks have collected a large army, and have blown up their

fanaticism, and, reckoning on the support of England and France, are

half inclined to try the chances of war. I think that both parties are

in the wrong--Russia in making unjust demands, Turkey in resisting a

reasonable settlement. War is quite on the cards, but I still persist in

thinking it will be averted, unless some accidental spark fires the

train.'[31]

[Sidenote: THE VIENNA NOTE]

The Vienna Note was badly worded, and it failed as a scheme of

compromise between the Porte and Russia. When it was sent in a draft

form to St. Petersburg the Czar accepted it, doubtless because he saw

that its statements were vague in a sense which might be interpreted to

his advantage. At Constantinople the document swiftly evoked protest,

and the Divan refused to sanction it without alteration. England,

France, and Austria recognised the force of the amendments of Turkey,

and united in urging Russia to adopt them. The Emperor Nicholas,

however, was too proud a man to submit to dictation, especially from the

Sultan, with Lord Stratford at his elbow, and declined to accede to the

altered proposals. Lord John deemed that Turkey had a just cause of

complaint, not in the mere fact of the rejection of her alterations to

the Vienna Note, but because they were rejected after they had been

submitted to the Czar. He told Lord Aberdeen that he hoped that Turkey

would reject the new proposals, but he added that that would not wipe

away the shame of their having been made. In a speech at Greenock, on

September 19, Lord John said: 'While we endeavour to maintain peace, I

certainly should be the last to forget that if peace cannot be

maintained with honour, it is no longer peace. It becomes then but a

truce--a precarious truce, to be denounced by others whenever they may

think fit--whenever they may think that an opportunity has occurred to

enforce by arms their unjust demands either upon us or upon our allies.'

England and France refused to press the original Vienna Note on Turkey;

but as Austria and Prussia thought that their reasons for abandoning

negotiations were scarcely of sufficient force, they in turn declined to

adopt the same policy. The concert of Europe was, in fact, broken by

the failure of the Vienna Note, and the chances of peace grew suddenly

remote. There is a saying that a man likes to believe what he wishes to

be the fact, and its truth was illustrated at this juncture by both

parties to the quarrel. The Czar persuaded himself that Austria and

Prussia would give him their aid, and that England, under Aberdeen, was

hardly likely to proceed to the extremity of war. The Sultan, on the

other hand, emboldened by the movements of the French and English

fleets, and still more by the presence and counsels of Lord Stratford,

who was, to all intents and purposes, the master spirit at

Constantinople, trusted--and with good reason as the issue proved--on

the military support of England and France. It was plain enough that

Turkey would go to the wall in a struggle with Russia, unless other

nations which dreaded the possession of Constantinople by the Czar came,

in their own interests, to her help. With the rejection by Russia of the

Turkish amendments to the Vienna Note, and the difference of opinion

which at once arose between the four mediating Powers as to the policy

which it was best under the altered circumstances to pursue, a complete

deadlock resulted.

[Sidenote: HOSTILITIES ON THE DANUBE]

Lord John's view of the situation was expressed in a memorandum which he

placed before the Cabinet, and in which he came to these conclusions:

'That if Russia will not make peace on fair terms, we must appear in the

field as the auxiliaries of Turkey; that if we are to act in conjunction

with France as principals in the war, we must act not for the Sultan,

but for the general interests of the population of European Turkey. How,

and in what way, requires much further consideration, and concert

possibly with Austria, certainly with France.' He desired not merely to

resist Russian aggression, but also to make it plain to the Porte that

we would in no case support it against its Christian subjects. The

Cabinet was not prepared to adopt such a policy, and Lord John made no

secret of his opinion that Lord Aberdeen's anxiety for peace and

generous attitude toward the Czar were, in reality, provoking war. He

believed that the Prime Minister's vacillation was disastrous in its

influence, and that he ought, therefore, to retire and make way for a

leader with a definite policy. The Danube, for the moment, was the great

barrier to war, and both Russia and Turkey were afraid to cross it. Lord

John believed that energetic measures in Downing Street at this juncture

would have forestalled, and indeed prevented, activity of a less

peaceful kind on the Danube. Meanwhile, despatches, projects, and

proposals passed rapidly between the Great Powers, for never, as was

remarked at the time by a prominent statesman, did any subject produce

so much writing. Turkey--perhaps still more than Russia--was eager for

war. Tumults in favour of it had broken out at Constantinople; and, what

was more to the purpose, the finances and internal government of the

country were in a state of confusion. Therefore, when the concert of the

four Powers had been shattered, the Turks saw a better chance of drawing

both England and France into their quarrel. At length, on October 10,

the Porte sent an ultimatum to the commander of the Russian troops which

had invaded Moldavia and Wallachia, demanding that they should fall back

beyond the Pruth within fifteen days. On October 22 the war-ships of

England and France passed the Dardanelles in order to protect and defend

Turkish territory from any Russian attack. The Czar met what was

virtually a declaration of war by asserting that he would neither retire

nor act on the aggressive. Ten days after the expiration of the

stipulated time, Omar Pacha, the Ottoman commander in Bulgaria, having

crossed the Danube, attacked and vanquished the Russians on November 4

at Oltenitza. The Czar at once accepted the challenge, and declared that

he considered his pledge not to act on the offensive was no longer

binding. The Russian fleet left Sebastopol, and, sailing into the

harbour of Sinope, on the southern coast of the Black Sea, destroyed, on

November 30, the Turkish squadron anchored in that port, and slew four

thousand men.

A significant light is thrown on the crisis in Sir Theodore Martin's

'Life of the Prince Consort,'[32] where it is stated that the Czar

addressed an autograph letter to the Queen, 'full of surprise that there

should be any misunderstanding between her Majesty's Government and his

own as to the affairs of Turkey, and appealing to her Majesty's "good

faith" and "wisdom" to decide between them.' This letter, it is added,

was at once submitted to Lord Clarendon for his and Lord Aberdeen's

opinion. The Queen replied that Russia's interpretation of her treaty

obligations in the particular instance in question was, in her Majesty's

judgment and in the judgment of those best qualified to advise her, 'not

susceptible of the extended meaning' put upon it. The Queen intimated in

explicit terms that the demand which the Czar had made was one which the

Sultan could hardly concede if he valued his own independence. The

letter ended with an admission that the Czar's intentions towards Turkey

were 'friendly and disinterested.' Sir Theodore Martin states that this

letter, dated November 14, was submitted to Lord Aberdeen and Lord

Clarendon, and was by them 'thought excellent.' Scarcely more than a

fortnight elapsed when Russia's 'friendly and disinterested' feelings

were displayed in her cruel onslaught at Sinope, and the statesmen who

had prompted her Majesty's reply received a rude awakening. It became

plain in the light of accomplished events that the wisdom which is

profitable to direct had deserted her Majesty's chief advisers.

[Sidenote: MAKING HASTE SLOWLY]

Lord Aberdeen always made haste slowly, and when other statesmen had

abandoned hope he continued to lay stress on the resources of diplomacy.

He admitted that he had long regarded the possibility of war between

England and Russia with the 'utmost incredulity;' but even before Sinope

his confidence in a peaceful solution of the difficulty was beginning to

waver. He distrusted Lord Stratford, and yet he refused to recall him;

he talked about the 'indignity' which Omar Pacha had inflicted on the

Czar by his summons to evacuate the Principalities, although nothing

could justify the presence of the Russian troops in Moldavia and

Wallachia, and they had held their ground there for the space of three

months. Even Lord Clarendon admitted that the Turks had displayed no

lack of patience under the far greater insult of invasion. The

'indignity' of notice to quit was, in fact, inevitable if the Sultan was

to preserve a vestige of self-respect. Lord Aberdeen was calmly drafting

fresh plans of pacification, requiring the Porte to abstain from

hostilities 'during the progress of the negotiations undertaken on its

behalf'[33] a fortnight after Turkey had actually sent her ultimatum to

Russia; and the battle of Oltenitza was an affair of history before the

despatch reached Constantinople. Lord Stanmore is inclined to blame Lord

John Russell for giving the Turks a loophole of escape by inserting in

the document the qualifying words 'for a reasonable time;' but his

argument falls to the ground when it is remembered that this despatch

was written on October 24, whilst the Turkish ultimatum had been sent to

Russia on October 10. Sinope was a bitter surprise to Lord Aberdeen, and

the 'furious passion' which Lord Stanmore declares it aroused in England

went far to discredit the Coalition Ministry.

Unfortunately, all through the crisis Lord Aberdeen appears to have

attached unmerited weight to the advice of the weak members of his own

Cabinet--men who, to borrow a phrase of Lord Palmerston's, were

'inconvenient entities in council,' though hardly conspicuous either in

their powers of debate or in their influence in the country. Politicians

of the stamp of the Duke of Newcastle, Mr. Sidney Herbert, and Sir James

Graham played a great part in Downing Street, whilst for the moment men

of superior ability like Palmerston and Russell found their advice

unheeded. More than any other man, Sir James Graham, now almost a

forgotten statesman, was Lord Aberdeen's trusted colleague, and the

wisdom of his advice was by no means always conspicuous; for rashness

and timidity were oddly blended in his nature. 'The defeat of the Turks

at Sinope upon our element, the sea,' wrote the Prince Consort to Baron

Stockmar, 'has made the people furious; it is ascribed to Aberdeen

having been bought over by Russia.'[34] The rumour which the Prince

mentions about Lord Aberdeen was, of course, absurd, and everyone who

knew the lofty personal character of the Prime Minister laughed it at

once to scorn. Nevertheless, the fact that the Prince Consort should

have thought such a statement worth chronicling is in itself

significant; and though no man of brains in the country held such a

view, at least two-thirds of the educated opinion of the nation

regarded the Prime Minister with increasing disfavour, as a man who had

dragged England, through humiliating negotiations, to the verge of war.

[Sidenote: ENGLAND RESENTS SINOPE]

The destruction of the Turkish squadron at Sinope under the shadow of

our fleet touched the pride of England to the quick. The nation lost all

patience--as the contemptuous cartoons of 'Punch' show--with the endless

parleyings of Aberdeen, and a loud and passionate cry for war filled the

country. Lord Stanmore thinks that too much was made in the excitement

of the 'massacre' of the Turkish sailors, and perhaps he is right.

However that may be, the fact remains that the Russians at Sinope

continued to storm with shot and shell the Turkish ships when those on

board were no longer able to act on the defensive--a naval engagement

which cannot be described as distinguished for valour. Perhaps the

indignation might not have been so deep and widespread if the English

people had not recognised that the Coalition Government had strained

concession to the breaking point in the vain attempt to propitiate the

Czar. All through the early autumn Lord Palmerston was aware that those

in the Cabinet who were jealous of Russia had to reckon with 'private

and verbal communications, given in all honesty, but tinctured by the

personal bias of the Prime Minister,' to Baron Brunnow, which were doing

'irreparable mischief' at St. Petersburg.[35] The nation did not relish

Lord Aberdeen's personal friendship with the Czar, and now that Russia

was beginning to show herself in her true colours, prejudice against a

Prime Minister who had sought to explain away difficulties was natural,

however unreasonable. The English people, moreover, had not forgotten

that Russia ruthlessly crippled Poland in 1831, and lent her aid to the

subjugation of Hungary in 1849. If the Sultan was the Lord of Misrule to

English imagination in 1853, the Czar was the embodiment of despotism,

and even less amenable to the modern ideas of liberty and toleration.

The Manchester School, on the other hand, had provoked a reaction. The

Great Exhibition had set a large section of the community dreaming, not

of the millennium, but of Waterloo. Russia was looked upon as a standing

menace to England's widening heritage in the East, and neither the logic

of Cobden nor the rhetoric of Bright was of the least avail in stemming

the torrent of national indignation.

[Sidenote: THE CONCLUSION OF THE WHOLE MATTER]

When the Vienna Note became a dead letter Lord Aberdeen ought either to

have adopted a clean-cut policy, which neither Russia nor Turkey could

mistake, or else have carried out his twice-repeated purpose of

resignation. Everyone admits that from the outset his position was one

of great difficulty, but he increased it greatly by his practical

refusal to grasp the nettle. He was not ambitious of power, but, on the

contrary, longed for his quiet retreat at Haddo. He was on the verge of

seventy and was essentially a man of few, but scholarly tastes. There

can be no doubt that considerable pressure was put upon him both by the

Court and the majority of his colleagues in the Cabinet, and this, with

the changed aspect of affairs, and the mistaken sense of duty with

regard to them, determined his course. His decision 'not to run away

from the Eastern complication,' as Prince Albert worded it, placed both

himself and Lord John Russell in somewhat of a false position. If Lord

Aberdeen had followed his own inclination there is every likelihood that

he would have carried out his arrangement to retire in favour of Lord

John. His colleagues were not in the dark in regard to this arrangement

when they joined the Ministry, and if not prepared to fall in with the

proposal, they ought to have stated their objections at the time. There

is some conflict of opinion as to the terms of the arrangement; but even

if we take it to be what Lord Aberdeen's own friends represent it--not

an absolute but a conditional pledge to retire--Lord Aberdeen was surely

bound to ascertain at the outset whether the condition was one that

could possibly be fulfilled. If the objection of his colleagues to

retain office under Lord John as Prime Minister was insurmountable, then

the qualified engagement to retire--if the Government would not be

broken up by the process--was worthless, and Lord John was being drawn

into the Cabinet by assurances given by the Prime Minister alone, but

which he was powerless to fulfil without the co-operation of his

colleagues. Lord Aberdeen was therefore determined to remain at his

post, because Lord John was unpopular with the Cabinet, and Palmerston

with the Court, and because he knew that the accession to power of

either of them would mean the adoption of a spirited foreign policy.

FOOTNOTES:

[31] _Letters of Sir George Cornewall Lewis, Bart._, edited by his

brother, Canon Frankland Lewis, p. 270.

[32] Sir Theodore Martin's _Life of the Prince Consort_, ii. 530, 531.

[33] Lord Stanmore's _Earl of Aberdeen_, p. 234.

[34] Sir Theodore Martin's _Life of the Prince Consort_, ii. 534.

[35] _Life of Lord Palmerston_, by the Hon. Evelyn Ashley, ii. 282.

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