Statecraft, after all, is a difficult art, and it seems unreasonable to

leave the choice of those who practise it to accident, to heredity, or

to the possession of the wholly irrelevant gifts that take the fancy

of the crowd. The result of such methods of selection is not even a

mere random choice from the whole population, but shows a steady drift

towards the establishment in power of a type in certain ways almost

characteristically unfitted for the tasks of government. The fact that

man has always shirked the heavy intellectual and moral {241} labour

of founding a scientific and truly expert statecraft may contain a

germ of hope for the future, in that it shows where effort may be

usefully expended. But it cannot but justify uneasiness as to the

immediate future of society. The essential factor in society is the

subordination of the individual will to social needs. Our statecraft is

still ignorant of how this can be made a fair and honest bargain to the

individual and to the state, and recent events have convinced a very

large proportion of mankind that accepted methods of establishing this

social cohesion have proved to them at any rate the worst of bargains.

THE INSTABILITY OF CIVILIZATION.

The foregoing considerations are enough, perhaps, to make one wonder

whether, after all, Western civilization may not be about to follow

its unnumbered predecessors into decay and dissolution. There can be

no doubt that such a suspicion is oppressing many thoughtful minds at

the present time. It is not likely to be dispelled by the contemplation

of history or by the nature of recent events. Indeed, the view can be

maintained very plausibly that all civilizations must tend ultimately

to break down, that they reach sooner or later a period when their

original vigour is worn out, and then collapse through internal

disruption or outside pressure. It is even believed by some that

Western civilization already shows the evidences of decline which in

its predecessors have been the forerunners of destruction. When we

remember that our very short period of recorded history includes the

dissolution of civilizations so elaborate as those of the Chaldeans,

the Assyrians, the Egyptians, and of the Incas, that a social structure

so complex as that but lately disclosed in Crete could leave no trace

in human {242} memory but a faint and dubious whisper of tradition,

and that the dawn of history finds civilization already old, we can

scarcely resist the conclusion that social life has, more often than

one can bear to contemplate, swung laboriously up to a meaningless

apogee and then lapsed again into darkness. We know enough of man to

be aware that each of these unnumbered upward movements must have been

infinitely painful, must have been at least as fruitful of torture,

oppression, and anguish as the ones of which we know the history, and

yet each was no more than the swing of a pendulum and a mere fruitless

oscillation landing man once more at his starting point, impoverished

and broken, with perhaps more often than not no transmissible vestige

of his greatness.

If we limit our view to the historical scale of time and the

exclusively human outlook, we seem almost forced to accept the dreadful

hypothesis that in the very structure and substance of all human

constructive social efforts there is embodied a principle of death,

that there is no progressive impulse but must become fatigued, that

the intellect can provide no permanent defence against a vigorous

barbarism, that social complexity is necessarily weaker than social

simplicity, and that fineness of moral fibre must in the long run

succumb to the primitive and coarse.

Let us consider, however, what comments may be made on this hypothesis

in view of the biological conceptions of man which have been put

forward in this book. At the same time an opportunity is afforded to

put in a more continuous form the view of society that has necessarily

been touched on so far in an interrupted and incidental way.

Whatever may be one’s view as to the larger pretensions that are

put forward as to the significance and destiny of man, there can

be no doubt {243} that it is indispensable to recognize the full

implications of his status as an animal completely indigenous in the

zoological series. The whole of his physical and mental structure is

congruous with that of other living beings, and is constantly giving

evidence of the complicated network of relationships by which he is

bound to them.

The accumulation of knowledge is steadily amplifying the range over

which this congruity with the natural order can be demonstrated, and is

showing more and more fully that practical understanding and foresight

of man’s behaviour are attained in proportion as this hypothesis of the

complete “naturalness” of man is adhered to.

The endowment of instinct that man possesses is in every detail cognate

with that of other animals, provides no element that is not fully

represented elsewhere, and above all—however little the individual

man may be inclined to admit it—is in no degree less vigorous and

intense or less important in relation to feeling and activity than it

is in related animals. This supremely important side of mental life,

then, will be capable of continuous illustration and illumination by

biological methods. It is on the intellectual side of mental life that

man’s congruity with other animals is least obvious at first sight.

The departure from type, however, is probably a matter of degree only,

and not of quality. Put in the most general terms, the work of the

intellect is to cause delay between stimulus and response, and under

circumstances to modify the direction of the latter. We may suppose

all stimulation to necessitate response, and that such response must

ultimately occur with undiminished total energy. The intellect,

however, is capable of delaying such response, and within limits of

directing its path so that it may superficially show no relation to

the stimulus of which it is the discharge. If we extend {244} the

word stimulation to include the impulses arising from instinct, and

grant that the delaying and deflecting influence of the intellect

may be indefinitely enlarged, we have an animal in which instinct

is as vigorous as in any of its primitive ancestors, but which is

superficially scarcely an instinctive animal at all. Such is the case

of man. His instinctive impulses are so greatly masked by the variety

of response that his intellect opens to him that he has been commonly

regarded until quite recent times as a practically non-instinctive

creature, capable of determining by reason his conduct and even his

desires. Such a conception made it almost impossible to gain any help

in human psychology from the study of other animals, and scarcely less

difficult to evolve a psychology which would be of the least use in

foreseeing and controlling the behaviour of man.

No understanding of the causes of stability and instability in human

society is possible until the undiminished vigour of instinct in man is

fully recognized.

The significance of this rich instinctive endowment lies in the fact

that mental health depends upon instinct finding a balanced but

vigorous expression in functional activity. The response to instinct

may be infinitely varied, and may even, under certain circumstances, be

not more than symbolic without harm to the individual as a social unit,

but there are limits beyond which the restriction of it to indirect and

symbolic modes of expression cannot be carried without serious effects

on personality. The individual in whom direct instinctive expression

is unduly limited acquires a spiritual meagreness which makes him the

worst possible social material.

All recorded history shows that society developing under the conditions

that have obtained up {245} to the present time—developing, that is

to say, spontaneously under the random influences of an uncontrolled

environment of the individual—does not permit to the average man

that balanced instinctive expression which is indispensable for the

formation of a rich, vigorous, and functionally active personality.

It has been one of my chief efforts in this book to show that the

social instinct, while in itself the very foundation of society,

takes, when its action is undirected and uncontrolled, a principal

part in restricting the completeness and efficacy of the social

impulse. This instinct is doubly responsible for the defects which

have always inhered in society through the personal impoverishment

of its individual constituents. In the first place, it is the great

agent by which the egoistic instincts are driven into dwarfed,

distorted, and symbolic modes of expression without any regard for

the objective social necessity of such oppressive regulation. In the

second place, it is an instinct which, while it embodies one of the

deepest and potentially most invigorating passions of the soul, tends

automatically to fall out of vigorous and constant activity with the

expansion of societies. It is the common character of large societies

to suffer heavily from the restrictive effect on personality of the

social instinct, and at the same time to suffer in the highest degree

from the debilitation of the common social impulse. Only in the

smallest groups, such as perhaps was early republican Rome, can the

common impulse inform and invigorate the whole society. As the group

expands and ceases to feel the constant pressure of an environment

it no longer has to fear, the common impulse droops, and the society

becomes segregated into classes, each of which a lesser herd within

the main body and under the reciprocated pressure of its fellows, now

yields to its members the social feeling which the main body {246} can

no longer provide. The passage of the small, vigorous, homogeneous

and fiercely patriotic group into the large, lax, segregated and

ultimately decadent group is a commonplace of history. In highly

segregated peoples the restrictive effect of the social instinct upon

personality has usually been to some extent relaxed, and a relatively

rich personal development has been possible. Such an amplification has

always, however, been limited to privileged classes, has always been

accompanied by a weakening of the national bond, and a tendency of

the privileged class to the sincere conviction that its interests are

identical with those of the nation. No nation has ever succeeded in

liberating the personality of its citizens from the restrictive action

of the social instinct and at the same time in maintaining national

homogeneity and common impulse. In a small community intercommunication

among its individual members is free enough to keep common feeling

intense and vigorous. As the community increases in size the general

intercommunication becomes attenuated, and with this common feeling is

correspondingly weakened. If there were no other mechanism capable of

inducing common action than the faint social stimulus coming from the

nation at large, a segregated society would be incapable of national

enterprise. There is, however, another mechanism which we may call

leadership, using the word in a certain special sense. All social

groups are more or less capable of being led, and it is manifest that

the leadership of individuals, or perhaps more usually of classes,

has been a dominant influence in the expansion and enterprise of all

civilizations of which we have any knowledge. It is only in the small

communities that we can detect evidence of a true common impulse shared

alike by all the members acting as the cause of expansion. In larger

groups, {247} autocracies and dynasties, Pharaohs and Nebuchadnezzars

have imposed the impulse of expansion upon the people, and by virtue of

human susceptibility to leadership have secured a virtual, though only

a secondary, common purpose.

Now leadership, potent as it undoubtedly is in calling forth the

energy of the social instinct, is essentially a limited and therefore

an exhaustible force. It depends for continued vigour upon successful

enterprise. While it is succeeding there are only wide limits to the

moral power it can set free and command, but in the face of misfortune

and disaster its limitations become obvious, and its power inevitably

declines. On the other hand, the moral power yielded by a true

community of feeling, and not imposed by leadership, is enormously more

resistant and even indestructible by failure and defeat. History gives

many examples of the encounters of communities of these two types—the

led society and the homogeneous society—and in spite of the invariably

greater size and physical power of the former, frequently records the

astoundingly successful resistance its greater moral vigour has given

to the latter. This is perhaps why Carthage beat in vain against little

Rome, and certainly why Austria failed to subdue Switzerland.

All large societies that have had their day and have fallen from their

zenith by internal dissolution or outward attack have been given their

impulse to expansion by leadership and have depended on it for their

moral power. If society is to continue to depend for its enterprise

and expansion upon leadership, and can find no more satisfactory

source of moral power, it is, to say the least, highly probable that

civilizations will continue to rise and fall in a dreadful sameness of

alternating aspiration and despair until perhaps some lucky accident

of {248} confusion finds for humanity in extinction the rest it could

never win for itself in life.

There is, however, reason to suppose that susceptibility to leadership

is a characteristic of relatively primitive social types, and tends

to diminish with increasing social complexity. I have already

called attention to and attempted to define the apparently specific

psychological differences between Germany and England before and

during the war. These differences I attributed to variations in the

type of reaction to herd instinct shown by the two peoples. The

aggressive social type represented by Germany and analogous with that

characteristic of the predaceous social animals I regarded as being

relatively primitive and simple. The socialized type represented by

England and presenting analogies with that characteristic of many

social insects I regarded as being, though imperfect as are all the

human examples available for study up to the present time, more

complex and less primitive, and representing at any rate a tendency

towards a satisfactory solution of the problems with which man as a

gregarious animal is surrounded. Now, it is a very obvious fact that

the susceptibility to leadership shown by Germany and by England

before the war was remarkably different. The common citizen of Germany

was strikingly open to and dependent upon discipline and leadership,

and seemed to have a positive satisfaction in leaving to his masters

the management of his social problems and accepting with alacrity

the solutions that were imposed upon him. The nation consequently

presented a close knit uniformity of purpose, a singleness of national

consciousness and effort that gave it an aspect of moral power of the

most formidable kind. In England a very different state of affairs

prevailed. The common citizen was apt to meet with indifference or

resentment all efforts to change the social {249} structure, and it

had long been a political axiom that “reform” should always await

an irresistible demand for it. Instances will be within every one’s

memory of politicians who met with crushing rebuffs through regarding

the supposed desirability of a reform as a justification for imposing

it. This almost sullen indifference to great projects and ideals,

this unwillingness to take thought in the interests of the nation

and the empire in spite of the apostolic zeal of the most eloquent

political prophets, was generally regarded as evidence of a weakness

and slackness in the body politic that could not but threaten disaster.

And yet in the trials of the war the moral stability of England showed

itself to be superior to that of Germany, which, in those rough waters,

it jostled as mercilessly and as effectually as did the brass pot the

earthen crock in the fable.

During the war itself the submission to leadership that England showed

was characteristic of the socialized type. It was to a great extent

spontaneous, voluntary, and undisciplined, and gave repeated evidence

that the passage of inspiration was essentially from the common people

to its leaders rather than from the leaders to the common people. When

the current of inspiration sets persistently in this direction, as it

unquestionably did in England, it is very plain that the primitive type

of leadership that has led so many civilizations to disaster is no

longer in unmodified action.

Germany has provided the most complete example of a culture of

leadership that has ever been recorded, and has gone through the

phases of her evolution with a precision which should make her case

an illustration classical for all history. With a people showing

strongly the characteristics of the aggressive social type, and a

social structure deeply and rigidly segregated, the nation was ideally

{250} susceptible to discipline and leadership, and a leading class

was available which possessed an almost superhuman prestige. The

opportunity given to leadership was exploited with great energy and

thoroughness and with an intelligence that by its intensity almost

made up for being nowhere really profound. With all these advantages

and the full uses of the huge resources science has made available

to intelligently concerted effort, an extremely formidable power was

created. The peoples of the socialized type towards whom from the first

its hostility was scarcely veiled were under obvious disadvantages

in rivalry with it. Their social type made it impossible for them to

combine and organize themselves against what was to them no more than

a vaguely hypothetical danger. Against peaceful conquest by Germany

in the industrial sphere England was therefore practically helpless,

and to it would probably in time have succumbed. Paradox as it may

seem, there can be no doubt that it was in war only that England could

contend with Germany on equal terms. Paradoxically again, it was war

for which England was reluctant and Germany was eager.

War brought Germany into contact with the, to her, inexplicable

ferocity of peoples of the socialized type under attack, and it was

by this disappointment that the first blow to her morale was struck.

The wastage of modern warfare must very soon have begun to impair the

isolation and prestige of the officer class through increasingly free

importation from without the pale. With this necessarily began to be

sapped the absolute and rigid segregation on which leadership of the

type we are considering so largely depends. At the same time, the

general tendency of the increasing pressure of war is to wear down

class segregation over the whole social field. This tendency which

intensified {251} and invigorated the morale of her enemies would work

steadily against the leadership morale of Germany. These factors must

no doubt be added to the moral need for aggression, the exhaustion

consequent upon forced offensives, and the specific intolerance of

failure and retreat that combined to bring down the strongest example

of the predaceous led society that history records.

SOME CHARACTERS OF A RATIONAL STATECRAFT.

If the foregoing discussion has been sound, we may attribute the

impermanence of all civilizations of which we have knowledge to the

failure of society to preserve with increasing magnitude of its

communities a true homogeneity and a progressive integration of its

elements. We have seen that there is a type of society—distinguished

here as the socialized type—in which a trace of this integrative

tendency can be detected at work. Under the threat of war this tendency

is accelerated in its action, and can attain a moderate, though very

far indeed from a complete, degree of development. In the absence of

such a powerful stimulus to homogeneity, however, segregation reasserts

itself, and the society, necessarily deprived by its type of the

advantages of leadership, becomes confused, disunited, and threatened

with disruption. It seems probable, indeed, that the integrative

tendency unaided and uncontrolled is too weak to surmount the obstacles

with which it has to contend, and to anticipate disruption by welding

the elements of society into a common life and common purpose. It has

already been repeatedly suggested that these difficulties, due as they

are to the human power of various reaction, can be met only by the

interposition of the intellect as an active factor in the problem of

the direction of society. In other words, the progressive evolution of

society has reached a point where the {252} construction and use of a

scientific statecraft will become an indispensable factor in further

development and the only means of arresting the dreary oscillations

between progress and relapse which have been so ominous a feature

in human history. We are perhaps in a position to-day to suggest

tentatively some of the principles on which such a statecraft might be

built.

It would have to be based on a full recognition of the biological

status of man, and to work out the tendencies which as an animal he

is pursuing and must pursue. If we have evidence of the only course

evolution can follow satisfactorily, then it is clear that any social

and legislative effort not in line with that course must be entirely

wasted. Moreover, since we are proceeding on the hypothesis that

direct conscious effort is now a necessary factor in the process,

we must clear our minds of the optimistic determinism which regards

man as a special pet of nature and the pessimistic determinism which

would reduce him to a mere spectator of his destiny. The trained and

conscious mind must come to be regarded as a definite factor in man’s

environment, capable of occupying there a larger and larger area.

Such a statecraft would recognize how fully man is an instinctive

being and how his mental vigour and stability depend entirely upon

instinctive expression being adequate. The tyrannous power of the

social instinct in repressing and distorting instinctive expression

would have to be controlled and directed with the purpose of enlarging

the personal and social effectiveness of the individual to the maximum

extent; the social instinct would no longer be left to operate on the

individual under the random direction of custom and habit, of fashion

and social whim, or for the satisfaction of the jealousy of age. {253}

Perhaps most important of all, a scientific statecraft would understand

that the social instinct itself is as deep and powerful as any, and

hungrily demands intense and positive gratification and expression.

The social instinct drives the individual to seek union with some

community of his fellows. The whole national body is in the present

state of society the smallest unit in which the individual can find

complete and permanent satisfaction. As long as the average man’s sense

of possession in the state is kept so low as it is at present, as long

as the sense of moral inequality between himself and his fellows is

so vigorously maintained, so long will he continue to make his class

rather than his nation the object of social passion, and so long will

society continue to breed within itself a principle of death.

Instincts of the Herd in Peace and War · 第 18 / 19 段