Frowning or hopeful, every man of leadership in any line of thought

or effort must now look beyond the limits of his own country. The

student of sociology may live in Berlin or Saint Petersburg, Rome or

London, or he may live in Melbourne or San Francisco or Buenos Ayres;

but in whatever city he lives, he must pay heed to the studies of men

who live in each of the other cities. When in America we study labor

problems and attempt to deal with subjects such as life-insurance

for wage-workers, we turn to see what you do here in Germany, and

we also turn to see what the far-off commonwealth of New Zealand is

doing. When a great German scientist is warring against the most

dreaded enemies of mankind, creatures of infinitesimal size which

the microscope reveals in his blood, he may spend his holidays of

study in central Africa or in eastern Asia; and he must know what is

accomplished in the laboratories of Tokio, just as he must know the

details of that practical application of science which has changed

the Isthmus of Panama from a death-trap into what is almost a health

resort. Every progressive in China is striving to introduce Western

methods of education and administration, and hundreds of European

and American books are now translated into Chinese. The influence of

European governmental principles is strikingly illustrated by the fact

that admiration for them has broken down the iron barriers of Moslem

conservatism, so that their introduction has become a burning question

in Turkey and Persia; while the very unrest, the impatience of European

or American control, in India, Egypt, or the Philippines, takes the

form of demanding that the government be assimilated more closely to

what it is in England or the United States. The deeds and works of

any great statesman, the preachings of any great ethical, social, or

political teacher, now find echoes in both hemispheres and in every

continent. From a new discovery in science to a new method of combating

or applying socialism, there is no movement of note which can take

place in any part of the globe without powerfully affecting masses of

people in Europe, America, and Australia, in Asia and Africa. For weal

or for woe, the peoples of mankind are knit together far closer than

ever before.

So much for the geographical side of the expansion of modern

civilization. But only a few of the many and intense activities of

modern civilization have found their expression on this side. The

movement has been just as striking in its conquest over natural forces,

in its searching inquiry into and about the soul of things.

The conquest over Nature has included an extraordinary increase

in every form of knowledge of the world we live in, and also an

extraordinary increase in the power of utilizing the forces of Nature.

In both directions the advance has been very great during the past

four or five centuries, and in both directions it has gone on with

ever-increasing rapidity during the last century. After the great

age of Rome had passed, the boundaries of knowledge shrank, and in

many cases it was not until well-nigh our own times that her domain

was once again pushed beyond the ancient landmarks. About the year

150 A. D., Ptolemy, the geographer, published his map of central

Africa and the sources of the Nile, and this map was more accurate

than any which we had as late as 1850 A. D. More was known of physical

science, and more of the truth about the physical world was guessed

at, in the days of Pliny, than was known or guessed until the modern

movement began. The case was the same as regards military science. At

the close of the Middle Ages the weapons were what they had always

been--sword, shield, bow, spear; and any improvement in them was more

than offset by the loss in knowledge of military organization, in the

science of war, and in military leadership since the days of Hannibal

and Cæsar. A hundred years ago, when this university was founded,

the methods of transportation did not differ in the essentials from

what they had been among the highly civilized nations of antiquity.

Travellers and merchandise went by land in wheeled vehicles or on

beasts of burden, and by sea in boats propelled by sails or by oars;

and news was conveyed as it always had been conveyed. What improvements

there had been had been in degree only and not in kind; and in some

respects there had been retrogression rather than advance. There

were many parts of Europe where the roads were certainly worse than

the old Roman post-roads; and the Mediterranean Sea, for instance,

was by no means as well policed as in the days of Trajan. Now steam

and electricity have worked a complete revolution; and the resulting

immensely increased ease of communication has in its turn completely

changed all the physical questions of human life. A voyage from Egypt

to England was nearly as serious an affair in the eighteenth century as

in the second; and the news communications between the two lands were

not materially improved. A graduate of your university to-day can go

to mid-Asia or mid-Africa with far less consciousness of performing a

feat of note than would have been the case a hundred years ago with a

student who visited Sicily and Andalusia. Moreover, the invention and

use of machinery run by steam or electricity have worked a revolution

in industry as great as the revolution in transportation; so that here

again the difference between ancient and modern civilization is one not

merely of degree but of kind. In many vital respects the huge modern

city differs more from all preceding cities than any of these differed

one from the other; and the giant factory town is of and by itself one

of the most formidable problems of modern life.

Steam and electricity have given the race dominion over land and

water such as it never had before; and now the conquest of the air

is directly impending. As books preserve thought through time, so

the telegraph and the telephone transmit it through the space they

annihilate, and therefore minds are swayed one by another without

regard to the limitations of space and time which formerly forced

each community to work in comparative isolation. It is the same with

the body as with the brain. The machinery of the factory and the

farm enormously multiplies bodily skill and vigor. Countless trained

intelligences are at work to teach us how to avoid or counteract the

effects of waste. Of course some of the agents in the modern scientific

development of natural resources deal with resources of such a kind

that their development means their destruction, so that exploitation

on a grand scale means an intense rapidity of development purchased at

the cost of a speedy exhaustion. The enormous and constantly increasing

output of coal and iron necessarily means the approach of the day when

our children’s children, or their children’s children, shall dwell in

an ironless age--and, later on, in an age without coal--and will have

to try to invent or develop new sources for the production of heat and

use of energy. But as regards many another natural resource, scientific

civilization teaches us how to preserve it through use. The best use of

field and forest will leave them decade by decade, century by century,

more fruitful; and we have barely begun to use the indestructible power

that comes from harnessed water. The conquests of surgery, of medicine,

the conquests in the entire field of hygiene and sanitation, have been

literally marvellous; the advances in the past century or two have been

over more ground than was covered during the entire previous history of

the human race.

The advances in the realm of pure intellect have been of equal note,

and they have been both intensive and extensive. Great virgin fields of

learning and wisdom have been discovered by the few, and at the same

time knowledge has spread among the many to a degree never dreamed of

before. Old men among us have seen in their own generation the rise of

the first rational science of the evolution of life. The astronomer and

the chemist, the psychologist and the historian, and all their brethren

in many different fields of wide endeavor, work with a training and

knowledge and method which are in effect instruments of precision,

differentiating their labors from the labors of their predecessors as

the rifle is differentiated from the bow.

The play of new forces is as evident in the moral and spiritual world

as in the world of the mind and the body. Forces for good and forces

for evil are everywhere evident, each acting with a hundred- or a

thousandfold the intensity with which it acted in former ages. Over the

whole earth the swing of the pendulum grows more and more rapid, the

mainspring coils and spreads at a rate constantly quickening, the whole

world movement is of constantly accelerating velocity.

In this movement there are signs of much that bodes ill. The machinery

is so highly geared, the tension and strain are so great, the effort

and the output have alike so increased, that there is cause to dread

the ruin that would come from any great accident, from any breakdown,

and also the ruin that may come from the mere wearing out of the

machine itself. The only previous civilization with which our modern

civilization can be in any way compared is that period of Greco-Roman

civilization extending, say, from the Athens of Themistocles to the

Rome of Marcus Aurelius. Many of the forces and tendencies which were

then at work are at work now. Knowledge, luxury, and refinement,

wide material conquests, territorial administration on a vast

scale, an increase in the mastery of mechanical appliances and in

applied science--all these mark our civilization as they marked the

wonderful civilization that flourished in the Mediterranean lands

twenty centuries ago; and they preceded the downfall of the older

civilization. Yet the differences are many, and some of them are

quite as striking as the similarities. The single fact that the old

civilization was based upon slavery shows the chasm that separates the

two. Let me point out one further and very significant difference in

the development of the two civilizations, a difference so obvious that

it is astonishing that it has not been dwelt upon by men of letters.

One of the prime dangers of civilization has always been its tendency

to cause the loss of virile fighting virtues, of the fighting edge.

When men get too comfortable and lead too luxurious lives, there is

always danger lest the softness eat like an acid into their manliness

of fibre. The barbarian, because of the very conditions of his life,

is forced to keep and develop certain hardy qualities which the man

of civilization tends to lose, whether he be clerk, factory hand,

merchant, or even a certain type of farmer. Now, I will not assert that

in modern civilized society these tendencies have been wholly overcome;

but there has been a much more successful effort to overcome them than

was the case in the early civilizations. This is curiously shown by the

military history of the Greco-Roman period as compared with the history

of the last four or five centuries here in Europe and among nations of

European descent. In the Grecian and Roman military history the change

was steadily from a citizen army to an army of mercenaries. In the days

of the early greatness of Athens, Thebes, and Sparta, in the days when

the Roman republic conquered what world it knew, the armies were filled

with citizen soldiers. But gradually the citizens refused to serve in

the armies, or became unable to render good service. The Greek states

described by Polybius, with but few exceptions, hired others to do

their fighting for them. The Romans of the days of Augustus had utterly

ceased to furnish any cavalry, and were rapidly ceasing to furnish any

infantry, to the legions and cohorts. When the civilization came to

an end, there were no longer citizens in the ranks of the soldiers.

The change from the citizen army to the army of mercenaries had been

completed.

Now the exact reverse has been the case with us in modern times. A few

centuries ago the mercenary soldier was the principal figure in most

armies, and in great numbers of cases the mercenary soldier was an

alien. In the wars of religion in France, in the Thirty Years’ War in

Germany, in the wars that immediately thereafter marked the beginning

of the break-up of the great Polish kingdom, the regiments and brigades

of foreign soldiers formed a striking and leading feature in every

army. Too often the men of the country in which the fighting took place

played merely the ignoble part of victims, the burghers and peasants

appearing in but limited numbers in the mercenary armies by which they

were plundered. Gradually this has all changed, until now practically

every army is a citizen army, and the mercenary has almost disappeared,

while the army exists on a vaster scale than ever before in history.

This is so among the military monarchies of Europe. In our own Civil

War of the United States the same thing occurred, peaceful people as

we are. At that time more than two generations had passed since the

war of independence. During the whole of that period the people had

been engaged in no life-and-death struggle; and yet, when the Civil War

broke out, and after some costly and bitter lessons at the beginning,

the fighting spirit of the people was shown to better advantage than

ever before. The war was peculiarly a war for a principle, a war

waged by each side for an ideal, and while faults and shortcomings

were plentiful among the combatants, there was comparatively little

sordidness of motive or conduct. In such a giant struggle, where across

the warp of so many interests is shot the woof of so many purposes,

dark strands and bright, strands sombre and brilliant, are always

intertwined; inevitably there was corruption here and there in the

Civil War; but all the leaders on both sides and the great majority of

the enormous masses of fighting men wholly disregarded, and were wholly

uninfluenced by, pecuniary considerations. There were, of course,

foreigners who came over to serve as soldiers of fortune for money or

for love of adventure; but the foreign-born citizens served in much

the same proportion, and from the same motives, as the native-born.

Taken as a whole, it was, even more than the Revolutionary War, a true

citizens’ fight, and the armies of Grant and Lee were as emphatically

citizen armies as the Athenian, Theban, or Spartan armies in the great

age of Greece, or as a Roman army in the days of the republic.

Another striking contrast in the course of modern civilization

as compared with the later stages of the Greco-Roman or classic

civilization is to be found in the relations of wealth and politics.

In classic times, as the civilization advanced toward its zenith,

politics became a recognized means of accumulating great wealth. Cæsar

was again and again on the verge of bankruptcy; he spent an enormous

fortune; and he recouped himself by the money which he made out of his

political-military career. Augustus established imperial Rome on firm

foundations by the use he made of the huge fortune he had acquired

by plunder. What a contrast is offered by the careers of Washington

and Lincoln! There were a few exceptions in ancient days; but the

immense majority of the Greeks and the Romans, as their civilizations

culminated, accepted money-making on a large scale as one of the

incidents of a successful public career. Now all of this is in sharp

contrast to what has happened within the last two or three centuries.

During this time there has been a steady growth away from the theory

that money-making is permissible in an honorable public career. In this

respect the standard has been constantly elevated, and things which

statesmen had no hesitation in doing three centuries or two centuries

ago, and which did not seriously hurt a public career even a century

ago, are now utterly impossible. Wealthy men still exercise a large,

and sometimes an improper, influence in politics, but it is apt to be

an indirect influence; and in the advanced states the mere suspicion

that the wealth of public men is obtained or added to as an incident

of their public careers will bar them from public life. Speaking

generally, wealth may very greatly influence modern political life,

but it is not acquired in political life. The colonial administrators,

German or American, French or English, of this generation lead careers

which, as compared with the careers of other men of like ability,

show too little rather than too much regard for money-making; and

literally a world scandal would be caused by conduct which a Roman

proconsul would have regarded as moderate, and which would not have

been especially uncommon even in the administration of England a

century and a half ago. On the whole, the great statesmen of the last

few generations have been either men of moderate means or, if men of

wealth, men whose wealth was diminished rather than increased by their

public services.

I have dwelt on these points merely because it is well to emphasize

in the most emphatic fashion the fact that in many respects there is

a complete lack of analogy between the civilization of to-day and

the only other civilization in any way comparable to it, that of the

ancient Greco-Roman lands. There are, of course, many points in which

the analogy is close, and in some of these points the resemblances

are as ominous as they are striking. But most striking of all is the

fact that in point of physical extent, of wide diversity of interest,

and of extreme velocity of movement, the present civilization can be

compared to nothing that has ever gone before. It is now literally a

world movement, and the movement is growing ever more rapid and is

ever reaching into new fields. Any considerable influence exerted at

one point is certain to be felt with greater or less effect at almost

every other point. Every path of activity open to the human intellect

is followed with an eagerness and success never hitherto dreamed of. We

have established complete liberty of conscience, and, in consequence,

a complete liberty for mental activity. All free and daring souls have

before them a well-nigh limitless opening for endeavor of any kind.

Hitherto every civilization that has arisen has been able to develop

only a comparatively few activities; that is, its field of endeavor has

been limited in kind as well as in locality. There have, of course,

been great movements, but they were of practically only one form of

activity; and, although usually this set in motion other kinds of

activities, such was not always the case. The great religious movements

have been the preeminent examples of this type. But they are not the

only ones. Such peoples as the Mongols and the Phœnicians, at almost

opposite poles of cultivation, have represented movements in which one

element, military or commercial, so overshadowed all other elements

that the movement died out chiefly because it was one-sided. The

extraordinary outburst of activity among the Mongols of the thirteenth

century was almost purely a military movement, without even any great

administrative side; and it was therefore well-nigh purely a movement

of destruction. The individual prowess and hardihood of the Mongols,

and the perfection of their military organization rendered their

armies incomparably superior to those of any European, or any other

Asiatic, power of that day. They conquered from the Yellow Sea to the

Persian Gulf and the Adriatic; they seized the imperial throne of

China; they slew the Caliph in Bagdad; they founded dynasties in India.

The fanaticism of Christianity and the fanaticism of Mohammedanism

were alike powerless against them. The valor of the bravest fighting

men in Europe was impotent to check them. They trampled Russia into

bloody mire beneath the hoofs of their horses; they drew red furrows

of destruction across Poland and Hungary; they overthrew with ease

any force from western Europe that dared encounter them. Yet they

had no root of permanence; their work was mere evil while it lasted,

and it did not last long; and when they vanished they left hardly a

trace behind them. So the extraordinary Phœnician civilization was

almost purely a mercantile, a business civilization, and though it

left an impress on the life that came after, this impress was faint

indeed compared to that left, for instance, by the Greeks with their

many-sided development. Yet the Greek civilization itself fell because

this many-sided development became too exclusively one of intellect, at

the expense of character, at the expense of the fundamental qualities

which fit men to govern both themselves and others. When the Greek lost

the sterner virtues, when his soldiers lost the fighting edge, and his

statesmen grew corrupt, while the people became a faction-torn and

pleasure-loving rabble, then the doom of Greece was at hand, and not

all their cultivation, their intellectual brilliancy, their artistic

development, their adroitness in speculative science, could save the

Hellenic peoples as they bowed before the sword of the iron Roman.

What is the lesson to us to-day? Are we to go the way of the older

civilizations? The immense increase in the area of civilized activity

to-day, so that it is nearly coterminous with the world’s surface;

the immense increase in the multitudinous variety of its activities;

the immense increase in the velocity of the world movement--are all

these to mean merely that the crash will be all the more complete and

terrible when it comes? We can not be certain that the answer will be

in the negative; but of this we can be certain, that we shall not go

down in ruin unless we deserve and earn our end. There is no necessity

for us to fall; we can hew out our destiny for ourselves, if only we

have the wit and the courage and the honesty.

Personally, I do not believe that our civilization will fall. I think

that on the whole we have grown better and not worse. I think that on

the whole the future holds more for us than even the great past has

held. But, assuredly, the dreams of golden glory in the future will not

come true unless, high of heart and strong of hand, by our own mighty

deeds we make them come true. We can not afford to develop any one set

of qualities, any one set of activities, at the cost of seeing others,

equally necessary, atrophied. Neither the military efficiency of the

Mongol, the extraordinary business ability of the Phœnician, nor the

subtle and polished intellect of the Greek availed to avert destruction.

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