BY JAMES BRYCE, M.P.

For half a century or more no question of English domestic politics has

excited so much interest outside England as that question of resettling

her relations with Ireland, which was fought over in the last

Parliament, and still confronts the Parliament that has lately been

elected. Apart from its dramatic interest, apart from its influence on

the fortune of parties, and its effect on the imperial position of Great

Britain, it involves so many large principles of statesmanship, and

raises so many delicate points of constitutional law, as to deserve the

study of philosophical thinkers no less than of practical politicians in

every free country.

The circumstances which led to the introduction of the Government of

Ireland Bill, in April, 1886, are familiar to Americans as well as

Englishmen. Ever since the crowns and parliaments of Great Britain and

Ireland were united, in A.D. 1800, there has been in Ireland a party

which protested against that union as fraudulently obtained and

inexpedient in itself. For many years this party, led by Daniel

O'Connell, maintained an agitation for Repeal. After his death a more

extreme section, which sought the complete independence of Ireland,

raised the insurrection of 1848, and subsequently, under the guidance of

other hands, formed the Fenian conspiracy, whose projected insurrection

was nipped in the bud in 1867, though the conspiracy continued to menace

the Government and the tranquillity of the island. In 1872 the Home Rule

party was formed, demanding, not the Repeal of the Union, but the

creation of an Irish Legislature, and the agitation, conducted in

Parliament in a more systematic and persistent way than heretofore, took

also a legitimate constitutional form. To this demand English and Scotch

opinion was at first almost unanimously opposed. At the General Election

of 1880, which, however, turned mainly on the foreign policy of Lord

Beaconsfield's Government, not more than three or four members were

returned by constituencies in Great Britain who professed to consider

Home Rule as even an open question. All through the Parliament, which

sat from 1880 till 1885, the Nationalist party, led by Mr. Parnell, and

including at first less than half, ultimately about half, of the Irish

members, was in constant and generally bitter opposition to the

Government of Mr. Gladstone. But during these five years a steady,

although silent and often unconscious, process of change was passing in

the minds of English and Scotch members, especially Liberal members, due

to their growing sense of the mistakes which Parliament committed in

handling Irish questions, and of the hopelessness of the efforts which

the Executive was making to pacify the country on the old methods. The

adoption of a Home Rule policy by one of the great English parties was,

therefore, not so sudden a change as it seemed. The process had been

going on for years, though in its earlier stages it was so gradual and

so unwelcome as to be faintly felt and reluctantly admitted by the minds

that were undergoing it. In the spring of 1886 the question could be no

longer evaded or postponed. It was necessary to choose between one of

two courses; the refusal of the demand for self-government, coupled with

the introduction of a severe Coercion Bill, or the concession of it by

the introduction of a Home Rule Bill. There were some few who suggested,

as a third course, the granting of a limited measure of local

institutions, such as county boards; but most people felt, as did Mr.

Gladstone's Ministry, that this plan would have had most of the dangers

and few of the advantages of either of the two others.

How the Government of Ireland Bill was brought into the House of Commons

on April 8th, amid circumstances of curiosity and excitement

unparalleled since 1832; how, after debates of almost unprecedented

length, it was defeated in June, by a majority of thirty; how the policy

it embodied was brought before the country at the General Election, and

failed to win approval--all this is too well known to need

recapitulation here. But the causes of the disaster have not been well

understood, for it is only now--now, when the smoke of the battle has

cleared away from the field--that these causes have begun to stand

revealed in their true proportions.

Besides some circumstances attending the production of the Bill, to

which I shall refer presently, and which told heavily against it, there

were three feelings which worked upon men's minds, disposing them to

reject it.

The first of these was dislike and fear of the Irish Nationalist

members. In the previous House of Commons this party had been uniformly

and bitterly hostile to the Liberal Government. Measures intended for

the good of Ireland, like the Land Act of 1881, had been ungraciously

received, treated as concessions extorted, for which no thanks were

due--inadequate concessions, which must be made the starting-point for

fresh demands. Obstruction had been freely practised to defeat not only

bills restraining the liberty of the subject in Ireland, but many other

measures. Some few members of the Irish party had systematically sought

to delay all English and Scotch legislation, and, in fact, to bring the

work of Parliament to a dead stop. Much violent language had been used,

even where the provocation was slight. The outbreaks of crime which had

repeatedly occurred in Ireland had been, not, indeed, defended, but so

often passed over in silence by Nationalist speakers, that English

opinion was inclined to hold them practically responsible for disorders

which, so it was thought, they had neither wished nor tried to prevent.

(I am, of course, expressing no opinion as to the justice of this view,

nor as to the excuses to be made for the Parliamentary tactics of the

Irish party, but merely stating how their conduct struck many

Englishmen.) There could be no doubt as to the hostility which they,

still less as to that which their fellow-countrymen in the United

States, had expressed toward England, for they had openly wished success

to Russia while war seemed impending with her, and the so-called Mahdi

of the Soudan was vociferously cheered at many a Nationalist meeting. At

the Election of 1885 they had done their utmost to defeat Liberal

candidates in every English and Scotch constituency where there existed

a body of Irish voters, and had thrown some twenty seats or more into

the hands of the Tories. Now, to many Englishmen, the proposal to create

an Irish Parliament seemed nothing more or less than a proposal to hand

over to these Irish members the government of Ireland, with all the

opportunities thence arising to oppress the opposite party in Ireland

and to worry England herself. It was all very well to urge that the

tactics which the Nationalists had pursued when their object was to

extort Home Rule would be dropped, because superfluous, when Home Rule

had been granted; or to point out that an Irish Parliament would contain

different men from those who had been sent to Westminster as Mr.

Parnell's nominees. Neither of these arguments could overcome the

suspicious antipathy which many Englishmen felt, nor dissolve the

association in their minds between the Nationalist leaders and the

forces of disorder. The Parnellites (thus they reasoned) are bad men;

what they seek is therefore likely to be bad, and whether bad in itself

or not, they will make a bad use of it. In such reasonings there was

more of sentiment and prejudice than of reason, but sentiment and

prejudice are proverbially harder than arguments to expel from minds

where they have made a lodgment.

The internal condition of Ireland supplied more substantial grounds for

alarm. As everybody knows, she is not, either in religion or in blood,

or in feelings and ideas, a homogeneous country. Three-fourths of the

people are Roman Catholics, one-fourth Protestants, and this Protestant

fourth subdivided into bodies not fond of one another, who have little

community of sentiment. Besides the Scottish colony in Ulster, many

English families have settled here and there through the country. They

have been regarded as intruders by the aboriginal Celtic population, and

many of them, although hundreds of years may have passed since they

came, still look on themselves as rather English than Irish. The last

fifty years, whose wonderful changes have in most parts of the world

tended to unite and weld into one compact body the inhabitants of each

part of the earth's surface, connecting them by the ties of commerce,

and of a far easier and swifter intercourse than was formerly possible,

have in Ireland worked in the opposite direction. It has become more and

more the habit of the richer class in Ireland to go to England for its

enjoyment, and to feel itself socially rather English than Irish. Thus

the chasm between the immigrants and the aborigines has grown deeper.

The upper class has not that Irish patriotism which it showed in the

days of the National Irish Parliament (1782-1800), and while there is

thus less of a common national feeling to draw rich and poor together,

the strife of landlords and tenants has continued, irritating the minds

of both parties, and gathering them into two hostile camps. As everybody

knows, the Nationalist agitation has been intimately associated with the

Land agitation--has, in fact, found a strong motive-force in the desire

of the tenants to have their rents reduced, and themselves secured

against eviction. Now, many people in England assumed that an Irish

Parliament would be under the control of the tenants and the humbler

class generally, and would therefore be hostile to the landlords. They

went farther, and made the much bolder assumption that as such a

Parliament would be chosen by electors, most of whom were Roman

Catholics, it would be under the control of the Catholic priesthood, and

hostile to Protestants. Thus they supposed that the grant of

self-government to Ireland would mean the abandonment of the upper and

wealthier class, the landlords and the Protestants, to the tender

mercies of their enemies. Such abandonment, it was proclaimed on a

thousand platforms, would be disgraceful in itself, dishonouring to

England, a betrayal of the very men who had stood by her in the past,

and were prepared to stand by her in the future, if only she would stand

by them. It was, of course, replied by the defenders of the Home Rule

Bill, that what the so-called English party in Ireland really stood by

was their own ascendency over the Irish masses--an oppressive

ascendency, which had caused most of the disorders of the country. As to

religion, there were many Protestants besides Mr. Parnell himself among

the Nationalist leaders. There was no ill-feeling (except in Ulster)

between Protestants and Roman Catholics in Ireland. There was no reason

to expect that either the Catholic hierarchy or the priesthood generally

would be supreme in an Irish Parliament, and much reason to expect the

contrary. As regards Ulster, where, no doubt, there were special

difficulties, due to the bitter antagonism of the Orangemen (not of the

Protestants generally) and Catholics, Mr. Gladstone had undertaken to

consider any special provisions which could be suggested as proper to

meet those difficulties. These replies, however, made little impression.

They were pronounced, and pronounced all the more confidently the more

ignorant of Ireland the speaker was, to be too hypothetical. To many

Englishmen the case seemed to be one of two hostile factions contending

in Ireland for the last sixty years, and that the gift of

self-government might enable one of them to tyrannize over the other.

True, that party was the majority, and, according to the principles of

democratic government, therefore entitled to prevail. But it is one

thing to admit a principle and another to consent to its application.

The minority had the sympathy of the upper classes in England, because

the minority contained the landlords. It had the sympathy of a part of

the middle class, because it contained the Protestants. And of those

Englishmen who were impartial as between the Irish factions, there were

some who held that England must in any case remain responsible for the

internal peace and the just government of Ireland, and could not grant

powers whose possession might tempt the one party to injustice, and the

other to resist injustice by violence.

There was another anticipation, another forecast of evils to follow,

which told most of all upon English opinion. This was the notion that

Home Rule was only a stage in the road to the complete separation of the

two islands. The argument was conceived as follows: "The motive passions

of the Irish agitation have all along been hatred toward England and a

desire to make Ireland a nation, holding her independent place among the

nations of the world. This design was proclaimed by the Young Irelanders

of 1848 and by the Fenian rebels of 1866; it has been avowed, in

intervals of candour, by the present Nationalists themselves. The grant

of an Irish Parliament will stimulate rather than appease this thirst

for separate national existence. The nearer complete independence seems,

the more will it be desired. Hatred to England will still be an active

force, because the amount of control which England retains will irritate

Irish pride, as well as limit Irish action; while all the misfortunes

which may befall the new Irish Government will be blamed, not on its own

imprudence, but on the English connection. And as the motives for

seeking separation will remain, so the prospect of obtaining it will

seem better. Agitation will have a better vantage-ground in an Irish

Parliament than it formerly had among the Irish members of a British

Legislature; and if actual resistance to the Queen's authority should be

attempted, it will be attempted under conditions more favourable than

the present, because the rebels will have in their hands the machinery

of Irish Government, large financial resources, and a _prima facie_

title to represent the will of the Irish people. As against a rebellious

party in Ireland, England has now two advantages--an advantage of

theory, an advantage of fact. The advantage of theory is that she does

not admit Ireland to be a distinct nation, but maintains that in the

United Kingdom there is but one nation, whereof some inhabit Great

Britain and some Ireland. The advantage of fact is that, through her

control of the constabulary, the magistrates, the courts of justice,

and, in fine, the whole administrative system of Ireland, she can easily

quell insurrectionary movements. By creating an Irish Parliament and

Government she would strip herself of both these advantages."

I need hardly say that I do not admit the fairness of this statement of

the case, because some of the premises are untrue, and because it

misrepresents the nature of the Irish Government which Mr. Gladstone's

Bill would have created. But I am trying to state the case as it was

sedulously and skilfully presented to Englishmen. And it told all the

more upon English waverers, because the considerations above mentioned

seemed, if well founded, to destroy and cut away the chief ground on

which Home Rule had been advocated, viz. that it would relieve England

from the constant pressure of Irish discontent and agitation, and bring

about a time of tranquillity, permitting good feeling to grow up between

the peoples. If Home Rule was, after all, to be nothing more than a

half-way house to independence, an Irish Parliament only a means of

extorting a more complete emancipation from imperial control, was it not

much better to keep things as they were, and go on enduring evils, the

worst of which were known already? Hence the advocates of the Bill

denied not the weight of the argument, but its applicability.

Separation, they urged, is impossible, for it is contrary to the nature

of things, which indicates that the two islands must go together. It is

not desired by the Irish people, for it would injure them far more than

it could possibly injure England, since Ireland finds in England the

only market for her produce, the only source whence capital flows to

her. A small revolutionary party has, no doubt, conspired to obtain it.

But the only sympathy they received was due to the fact that the

legitimate demand of Ireland for a recognition of her national feeling

and for the management of her own local affairs was contemptuously

ignored by England. The concession of that demand will banish the notion

even from those minds which now entertain it, whereas its continued

refusal may perpetuate that alienation of feeling which is at the bottom

of all the mischief, the one force that makes for separation.

It is no part of my present purpose to examine these arguments and

counter arguments, but only to show what were the grounds on which a

majority of the English voters refused to pronounce in favour of the

Home Rule Bill. The reader will have observed that the issues raised

were not only numerous, but full of difficulty. They were issues of

fact, involving a knowledge both of the past history of Ireland and of

her present state. They were also issues of inference, for even

supposing the broad facts to be ascertained, these facts were

susceptible of different interpretations, and men might, and did,

honestly draw opposite conclusions from them. A more obscure and

complicated problem, or rather group of problems, has seldom been

presented to a nation for its decision. But the nation did not possess

the requisite knowledge. Closely connected as Ireland seems to be with

England, long as the Irish question has been a main trouble in English

politics, the English and Scottish people know amazingly little about

Ireland. Even in the upper class, you meet with comparatively few

persons who have set foot on Irish soil, and, of course, far fewer who

have ever examined the condition of the island and the sources of her

discontent. Irish history, which is, no doubt, dismal reading, is a

blank page to the English. In January, 1886, one found scarce any

politicians who had ever heard of the Irish Parliament of 1782. And in

that year, 1886, an Englishman anxious to discover the real state of the

country did not know where to go for information. What appeared in the

English newspapers, or, rather, in the one English newspaper which keeps

a standing "own correspondent" in Dublin, was (as it still is) a grossly

and almost avowedly partisan report, in which opinions are skilfully

mixed with so-called facts, selected, consciously or unconsciously, to

support the writer's view. The Nationalist press is, of course, not less

strongly partisan on its own side, so that not merely an average

Englishman, but even the editor of an English newspaper, who desires to

ascertain the true state of matters and place it before his English

readers, has had, until within the last few months, when events in

Ireland began to be fully reported in Great Britain, no better means at

his disposal for understanding Ireland than for understanding Bulgaria.

I do not dwell upon this ignorance as an argument for Home Rule, though,

of course, it is often so used. I merely wish to explain the

bewilderment in which Englishmen found themselves when required to

settle by their votes a question of immense difficulty. Many, on both

sides, simply followed their party banners. Tories voted for Lord

Salisbury; thorough-going admirers of Mr. Gladstone voted for Mr.

Gladstone. But there was on the Liberal side a great mass who were

utterly perplexed by the position. Contradictory statements of fact, as

well as contradictory arguments, were flung at their heads in

distracting profusion. They felt themselves unable to determine what was

true and who was right. But one thing seemed clear to them. The policy

of Home Rule was a new policy. They had been accustomed to censure and

oppose it. Only nine months before, the Irish Nationalists had

emphasized their hostility to the Liberal party by doing their utmost to

defeat Liberal candidates in English constituencies. Hence, when it was

proclaimed that Home Rule was the true remedy which the Liberal party

must accept, they were startled and discomposed.

Now, the English are not a nimble-minded people. They cannot, to use a

familiar metaphor, turn round in their own length. Their momentum is

such as to carry them on for some distance in the direction wherein they

have been moving, even after the order to stop has been given. They need

time to appreciate, digest, and comprehend a new proposition. Timid they

are not, nor, perhaps, exceptionally cautious, but they do not like to

be hurried, and insist on looking at a proposition for a good while

before they come to a decision regarding it. It is one of the qualities

which make them a great people. As has been observed, this proposition

was novel, was most serious, and raised questions which they felt that

their knowledge was insufficient to determine. Accordingly, a certain

section of the Liberal party refused to accept it. A great number,

probably the majority, of these doubtful men abstained from voting.

Others voted against the Home Rule Liberal candidates, not necessarily

because they condemned the policy, but because, as they were not

satisfied that it was right, they deemed delay a less evil than the

committal of the nation to a new departure, which might prove

irrevocable.

It must not, however, be supposed that it was only hesitation which

drove many Liberals into the host arrayed against the Irish Government

Bill. I have already said that among the leaders there were some, and

those men of great influence, who condemned its principles. This was

true also of a considerable, though a relatively smaller, section of the

rank and file. And it was only what might have been expected. The

proposal to undo much of the work done in 1800, to alter fundamentally

the system which had for eighty-six years regulated the relations of the

two islands, by setting up a Parliament in Ireland, was a proposal which

not only had not formed a part of the accepted creed of the Liberal

party, but fell outside party lines altogether. It might, no doubt, be

argued, as was actually done, and as those who understand the history of

the Liberal party have more and more come to see, that Liberal

principles recommended it, since they involve faith in the people, and

faith in the curative tendency of local self-government. But this was by

no means axiomatic. Taking the whole complicated facts of the case, and

taking Liberalism as it had been practically understood in England, a

man might in July, 1886, deem himself a good Liberal and yet think that

the true interests of both peoples would be best served by maintaining

the existing Parliamentary system. Similarly, there was nothing in

Toryism or Tory principles to prevent a fair-minded and patriotic Tory

from approving the Home Rule scheme. It was a return to the older

institutions of the monarchy, and not inconsistent with any of the

doctrines which the Tory party had been accustomed to uphold. The

question, in short, was one of those which cut across ordinary party

lines, creating new divisions among politicians; and there might have

been and ought to have been Liberal Home Rulers and Tory Home Rulers,

Liberal opponents of Home Rule and Tory opponents of Home Rule.

But here comes in a feature, a natural but none the less a regrettable

feature, of the English party system. As the object of the party in

opposition is to turn out the party in power and seat itself in their

place, every Opposition regards with the strongest prejudice the

measures proposed by a ruling Ministry. Cases sometimes occur where

these measures are so obviously necessary, or so evidently approved by

the nation, that the Opposition accepts them. But in general it scans

them with a hostile eye. Human nature is human nature; and when the

defeat of Government can be secured by defeating a Government Bill, the

temptation to the Opposition to secure it is irresistible. Now, the Tory

party is far more cohesive than the Liberal party, far more obedient to

its leaders, far less disposed to break into sections, each of which

thinks and acts for itself. Accordingly, that division of opinion in the

Tory party which might have been expected, and which would have occurred

if those who composed the Tory party had been merely so many reflecting

men, and not members of a closely compacted political organization, did

not occur. Liberals were divided, as such a question would naturally

divide them. Tories were not divided; they threw their whole strength

against the Bill. I am far from suggesting that they did so against

their consciences. Whatever may be said as to two or three of the

leaders, whose previous language and conduct seemed to indicate that

they would themselves, had the election of 1885 gone differently, have

been inclined to a Home Rule policy, many of the Tory chiefs, as well

as the great mass of the party, honestly disapproved Mr. Gladstone's

measure. But their party motives and party affiliations gave it no

chance of an impartial verdict at their hands. They went into the

jury-box with an invincible prepossession against the scheme of their

opponents. When all these difficulties are duly considered, and

especially when regard is had to those which I have last enumerated, the

suddenness with which the new policy was launched, and the fact that as

coming from one party it was sure beforehand of the hostility of the

other, no surprise can be felt at its fate. Those who, in England, now

look back over the spring and summer of 1886 are rather surprised that

it should come so near succeeding. To have been rejected by a majority

of only thirty in Parliament, and of little over ten per cent. of the

total number of electors who voted at the general election, is a defeat

far less severe than any one who knew England would have predicted.

That the decision of the country is regarded by nobody as a final

decision goes without saying. It was not regarded as final, even in the

first weeks after it was given. This was not because the majority was

comparatively small, for a smaller majority the other way would have

been conclusive. It is because the country had not time enough for full

consideration and deliberate judgment. The Bill was brought in on April

14th, the elections began on July 1st; no one can say what might have

been the result of a long discussion, during which the first feelings of

alarm (for alarm there was) might have worn off. And the decision is

without finality, also, because the decision of the country was merely

against the particular plan proposed by Mr. Gladstone, and not in favour

of any alternative plan for dealing with Ireland, most certainly not for

the coercive method which has since been adopted. One particular

solution of the Irish problem was refused. The problem still stands

confronting us, and when other modes of solving it have been in turn

rejected, the country may come back to this mode.

We may now turn from the past to the future. Yet the account which has

been given of the feelings and ideas arrayed against the Bill does not

wholly belong to the past. They are the feelings to which the opponents

of any plan of self-government for Ireland still appeal, and which will

have to be removed or softened down before it can be accepted by the

English. In particular, the probability of separation, and the supposed

dangers to the Protestants and the landlords from an Irish Parliament,

will continue to form the themes of controversy so long as the question

remains unsettled.

What are the prospects of its settlement? What is the position which it

now occupies? How has it affected the current politics of England?

It broke up the Liberal party in Parliament. The vast numerical majority

of that party in the country supported, and still supports, Mr.

Gladstone and the policy of Irish self-government. But the dissentient

minority includes many men of influence, and constitutes in the House of

Commons a body of about seventy members, who hold the balance between

parties. For the present they are leagued with the Tory Ministry to

resist Home Rule, and their support insures a parliamentary majority to

that Ministry. But it is, of course, necessary for them to rally to Lord

Salisbury, not only on Irish questions, but on all questions; for, under

our English system, a Ministry defeated on any serious issue is bound to

resign, or dissolve Parliament. Now, to maintain an alliance for a

special purpose, between members of opposite parties, is a hard matter.

Agreement about Ireland does not, of itself, help men to agree about

foreign policy, or bimetallism, or free trade, or changes in land laws,

or ecclesiastical affairs. When these and other grave questions come up

in Parliament, the Tory Ministry and their Liberal allies must, on

every occasion, negotiate a species of concordat, whereby the liberty

of both is fettered. One party may wish to resist innovation, the other

to yield to it, or even to anticipate it. Each is obliged to forego

something in order to humour the other; neither has the pleasure or the

credit of taking a bold line on its own responsibility. There is, no

doubt, less difference between the respective tenets of the great

English parties than there was twenty years ago, when Mr. Disraeli had

not yet completed the education of one party, and economic laws were

still revered by the other. But, besides its tenets, each party has its

tendencies, its sympathies, its moral atmosphere; and these differ so

widely as to make the co-operation of Tories and Liberals constrained

and cumbrous. Moreover, there are the men to be considered, the leaders

on each side, whose jealousies, rivalries, suspicions, personal

incompatibilities, neither old habits of joint action nor corporate

party feeling exist to soften. On the whole, therefore, it is unlikely

that the league of these two parties, united for one question only, and

that a question which will pass into new phases, can be durable. Either

the league will dissolve, or the smaller party will be absorbed into the

larger. In England, as in America, third parties rarely last. The

attraction of the larger mass is irresistible, and when the crisis which

created a split or generated a new group has passed, or the opinion the

new group advocates has been either generally discredited or generally

adopted, the small party melts away, its older members disappearing from

public life, its younger ones finding their career in the ranks of one

of the two great standing armies of politics. If the dissentient, or

anti-Home Rule, Liberal party lives till the next general election, it

cannot live longer, for at that election it will be ground to powder

between the upper and nether millstones of the regular Liberals and the

regular Tories.

The Irish struggle of 1886 has had another momentous consequence. It

has brought the Nationalist or Parnellite party into friendly relations

with the mass of English Liberals. When the Home Rule party was founded

by Mr. Butt, some fifteen years ago, it had more in common with the

Liberal than with the Tory party. But as it demanded what both English

parties were then resolved to refuse, it was forced into antagonism to

both; and from 1877 onward (Mr. Butt being then dead) the antagonism

became bitter, and, of course, specially bitter as toward the statesmen

in power, because it was they who continued to refuse what the

Nationalists sought. Mr. Parnell has always stated, with perfect

candour, that he and his friends must fight for their own hand

unhampered by English alliances, and getting the most they could for

Ireland from the weakness of either English party. This position they

still retain. If the Tory party will give them Home Rule, they will help

the Tory party. However, as the Tory party has gained office by opposing

Home Rule, this contingency may seem not to lie within the immediate

future. On the other hand, the Gladstonian Liberals have lost office for

their advocacy of Home Rule, and now stand pledged to maintain the

policy they have proclaimed. The Nationalists have, therefore, for the

first time since the days immediately following the Union of A.D. 1800

(a measure which the Whigs of those days resisted), a great English

party admitting the justice of their claim, and inviting them to agitate

for it by purely constitutional methods. For such an alliance the

English Liberals are hotly reproached, both by the Tories and by the

dissentients who follow Lord Harrington and Mr. Chamberlain. They are

accused of disloyalty to England. The past acts and words of the

Nationalists are thrown in their teeth, and they are told that in

supporting the Irish claim they condone such acts, they adopt such

words. They reply by denying the adoption, and by pointing out that the

Tories themselves were from 1881 till 1886 in a practical, and often

very close, though unavowed, Parliamentary alliance with the

Nationalists in the House of Commons. The student of history will,

however, conceive that the Liberals have a stronger and higher defence

than any _tu quoque_. Issues that involve the welfare of peoples are far

too serious for us to apply to them the same sentiments of personal

taste and predilection which we follow in inviting a dinner party, or

selecting companions for a vacation tour. If a man has abused your

brother, or got drunk in the street, you do not ask him to go with you

to the Yellowstone Park. But his social offences do not prevent you from

siding with him in a political convention. So, in politics itself, one

must distinguish between characters and opinions. If a man has shown

himself unscrupulous or headstrong, you may properly refuse to vote him

into office, or to sit in the same Cabinet with him, because you think

these faults of his dangerous to the country. But if the cause he pleads

be a just one, you have no more right to be prejudiced against it by his

conduct than a judge has to be swayed by dislike to the counsel who

argues a case. There were moderate men in America, who, in the days of

the anti-slavery movement, cited against it the intemperate language of

many abolitionists. There were aristocrats in England, who, during the

struggle for the freedom and unity of Italy, sought to discredit the

patriotic party by accusing them of tyrannicide. But the sound sense of

both nations refused to be led away by such arguments, because it held

those two causes to be in their essence righteous. In all revolutionary

movements there are elements of excess and violence, which sober men may

regret, but which must not disturb our judgment as to the substantial

merits of an issue. The revolutionist of one generation is, like

Garibaldi or Mazzini, the hero of the next; and the verdict of posterity

applauds those who, even in his own day, were able to discern the

justice of the cause under the errors or faults of its champion. Doubly

is it the duty of a great and far-sighted statesman not to be repelled

by such errors, when he can, by espousing a revolutionary movement,

purify it of its revolutionary character, and turn it into a legitimate

constitutional struggle. This is what Mr. Gladstone has done. If his

policy be in itself dangerous and disloyal to the true interests of the

people of our islands, let it be condemned. But if it be the policy

which has the best promise for the peace, the prosperity, and the mutual

good will of those peoples, he and those who follow him would be

culpable indeed were they to be deterred by the condemnation which they

have so often expressed, and which they still express, for some of the

past acts of a particular party, from declaring that the aims of that

party were substantially right aims, and from now pressing upon the

country what their conscience approves.

However, as the Home Rule Liberals and Nationalists, taken together, are

in a minority (although a minority which obtains recruits at many

bye-elections) in the present Parliament, it is not from them that fresh

proposals are expected. They will, of course, continue to speak, write,

and agitate on behalf of the views they hold. But practical attempt to

deal with Irish troubles must for the present come from the Tory

Ministry; for in the English system of government those who command a

Parliamentary majority are responsible for legislation as well as

administration, and are censured not merely if their legislation is bad,

but if it is not forthcoming when events call for it.

Why, it may be asked, should Lord Salisbury's Government burn its

fingers over Ireland, as so many governments have burnt their fingers

before? Why not let Ireland alone, giving to foreign affairs and to

English and Scottish reforms all the attention which these too much

neglected matters need?

Well would it be for England, as well as for English Ministries, if

Ireland could be simply let alone, her maladies left to be healed by the

soft, slow hand of nature. But Irish troubles call aloud to be dealt

with, and that promptly. They stand in the way of all other reforms,

indeed of all other business. Letting alone has been tried, and it has

succeeded no better, even in times less urgent than the present, than

the usual policy of coercion followed by concession, or concession

followed by coercion.

There are three aspects of the Irish question, three channels by which

the troubles of the "distressful island" stream down upon us, forcing

whoever now rules or may come to rule in England to attempt some plan

for dealing with them. I will take them in succession.

The first is the Parliamentary difficulty. In the British House of

Commons, with its six hundred and seventy members, there are nearly

ninety Irish Nationalists. They are a well-disciplined body, voting as

one man, though capable of speaking enough for a thousand. They have no

interest in English or Scotch or colonial or Indian affairs, but only in

Irish, and look upon the vote which they have the right of giving upon

the former solely as a means of furthering their own Irish aims. They

are, therefore, in the British Parliament not merely a foreign body,

indifferent to the great British and imperial issues confided to it, but

a hostile body, opposed to its present constitution, seeking to

discredit it in its authority over Ireland, and to make more and more

palpable and incurable the incompetence for Irish business whereof they

accuse it. Several modes of doing this are open to them. They may, as

some of the more actively bitter among them did in the Parliaments of

1874 and 1880, obstruct business by long and frequent speeches, dilatory

motions, and all those devices which in America are called

filibustering. The House of Commons may, no doubt, try to check these

tactics by more stringent rules of procedure, but the attempts already

made in this direction have had but slight success, and every

restriction of debate, since it trenches on the freedom of English and

Scotch no less than of Irish members, injures Parliament as a whole.

They may disgust the British people with the House of Commons by keeping

it (as they have done in former years) so constantly occupied with Irish

business as to leave it little time for English and Scotch measures.

They may throw the weight of their collective vote into the scale of one

or other British party, according to the amount of concession it will

make to them, or, by always voting against the Ministry of the day, they

may cause frequent and sudden changes of Government. This plan also they

have followed in time past; for the moment it is not so applicable,

because the Tories and dissentient Liberals, taken together, possess a

majority in the House of Commons. But at any moment the alliance of

those two sections may vanish, or another General Election may leave

Tories and Liberals so nearly balanced that the Irish vote could turn

the scale. Whoever reflects on the nature of Parliamentary Government

will perceive that it is based on the assumption that the members of the

ruling assembly, however much they may differ on other subjects, agree

in desiring the strength, dignity, and welfare of the assembly itself,

and in caring for the main national interests which it controls. He will

therefore be prepared to expect countless and multiform difficulties in

working such a Government, where a large section of the assembly seeks

not to use, but to make useless, its forms and rules--not to preserve,

but to lower and destroy, its honour, its credit, its efficiency. In

vain are Irish members blamed for these tactics, for they answer that

the interests of their own country require them to seek first her

welfare, which can in their view be secured only by removing her from

the direct control of what they deem a foreign assembly. Now that the

demand for Irish self-government has obtained the sympathy of the bulk

of English Liberals, they are unlikely forthwith to resume the

systematic obstruction of past years. But they will be able, without

alienating their English friends, to render the conduct of Parliamentary

business so difficult that every English Ministry will be forced either

to crush them, if it can, or to appease them by a series of concessions.

The second difficulty is that of maintaining social order in Ireland.

What that difficulty is, and whence it arises, every one knows. It is

chronic, but every second or third winter, when there has been a wet

season, or the price of live stock declines, it becomes specially acute.

The tenants refuse to pay rents which they declare to be impossible. The

landlords, or the harsher among them, try to enforce rents by evictions;

evictions are resisted by outrages and boycotting. Popular sentiment

supports those who commit outrages, because it considers the tenantry to

be engaged in a species of war, a righteous war, against the landlord.

Evidence can seldom be obtained, and juries acquit in the teeth of

evidence. Thus the enforcement of the law strains all the resources of

authority, while a habit of lawlessness and discontent is transmitted

from generation to generation. Of the remedies proposed for this chronic

evil the most obvious is the strengthening of the criminal law. We have

been trying this for more than one hundred years, since Whiteboyism

appeared, and trying it in vain. Since the Union, Coercion Acts, of more

or less severity, have been almost always in force in Ireland, passed

for two or three years, then dropped for a year or two, then renewed in

a form slightly varying, but always with the same result of driving the

disease in for a time, but not curing it. Mr. Gladstone proposed to buy

out the landlords and then leave an Irish Parliament to restore social

order, with that authority which it would derive from having the will of

the people behind it; because he held that when the people felt the law

to be of their own making, and not imposed from without, their sentiment

would be enlisted on its side, and the necessity for a firm Government

recognized. This plan, has, however, been rejected, so the choice was

left of a fresh Coercion Act, or of some scheme, necessarily a costly

scheme, for getting rid of the source of trouble by transferring the

land of Ireland to the peasantry. The present Government, while guided

by Sir M. Hicks-Beach, who had some knowledge of Ireland, did its best

to persuade the landlords to accept reduced rents, while the Nationalist

leaders, on their side, sought to restrain the people from outrages. But

the armistice did not last. The Ministry yielded to the foolish counsels

of its more violent supporters, and entrusted Irish affairs to the hands

of a Chief Secretary without previous knowledge of the island. An

unusually severe Coercion Act has been brought in and passed by the aid

of the dissentient Liberals. And we now see this Act administered with a

mixture of virulence and incompetence to which even the dreary annals of

Irish misgovernment present few parallels. The feeling of the English

people is rising against the policy carried out in their name. So far

from being solved, the problem of social order becomes every day more

acute.

There remains the question of a reform of local government. For many

years past, every English Ministry has undertaken to frame a measure

creating a new system of popular rural self-government in England. It is

the first large task of domestic legislation which we ask from

Parliament. When such a scheme is proposed, can Ireland be left out of

it? Should she be left out, the argument that she is being treated

unequally and unfairly, as compared with England, would gain immense

force; because the present local government of Ireland is admittedly

less popular, less efficient, altogether less defensible, than even that

of England which we are going to reform. If, therefore, the theory that

the Imperial Parliament is both anxious and able to do its duty by

Ireland is to be maintained, Ireland, too, must have her scheme of local

government. And a scheme of local government is a large project, the

discussion of which must pass into a discussion of the government of the

island as a whole.

Since, then, we may conclude that whatever Ministry is in power will be

bound to take up the state of Ireland--since Parliament and the nation

will be occupied with the subject during the coming sessions fully as

much as they have been during those that have recently passed--the next

inquiry is, What will the tendency of opinion and legislation be? Will

the reasons and forces described above bring us to Home Rule? and if so,

when, how, and why?

There are grounds for answering these questions in the negative. A

majority of the House of Commons, including the present Ministry and

such influential Liberals as Mr. Bright, Lord Hartington, Mr.

Chamberlain, stand pledged to resist it, and seem--such is the passion

which controversy engenders--more disposed to resist it than they were

in 1885. But this ground is less strong than it may appear. We have had

too many changes of opinion--ay, and of action too--upon Irish affairs

not to be prepared for further changes. A Ministry in power learns much

which an Opposition fails to learn. Home Rule is an elastic expression,

and some of those who were loudest in denouncing Mr. Gladstone's Bill

will find it easy to explain, should they bring in a Bill of their own

for giving self-government to Ireland, that their measure is a different

thing, and free from the objections brought against his. Nor, if such a

conversion should come, need it be deemed a dishonest one, for events

are potent teachers, and governments now seek rather to follow than to

form opinion. Although a decent interval must be allowed, no one will be

astonished if the Tory leaders should move ere long in the direction

indicated. Toryism itself, as has been remarked already, contains

nothing opposed to the idea.

Far greater obstacles exist in the aversion which (as already observed)

so many Englishmen of both parties have entertained for any scheme which

should seem to leave the Protestant minority at the mercy of the peasant

and Roman Catholic majority, and to carry us some way toward the

ultimate separation of the islands. These alarms are genuine and

deep-seated. One who (like the present writer) thinks them, if not

baseless, yet immensely overstrained, is, of course, convinced that they

may be allayed. But time must first pass, and the plan that is to allay

them may have to be framed on somewhat different lines from those of Mr.

Gladstone's measure. It is even possible that a conflict more sharp and

painful than any of recent years may intervene before a settlement is

reached.

Nevertheless, great as are the obstacles in the way, bitter as are the

reproaches with which Mr. Gladstone is pursued by the richer classes in

England, there is good reason to believe that the current is setting

toward his policy. In proceeding to state the grounds for this view, I

must frankly own that I am no longer (as in most of the preceding pages)

merely setting forth facts on which impartial men in England would

agree. The forecast which I seek to give may be tinged by my own belief

that the grant of self-government is the best, if not the only method,

now open to us of establishing peace between the islands, relieving the

English Parliament of work it is ill fitted to discharge, allowing

Ireland opportunities to learn those lessons in politics which her

people so much need. The future, even the near future, is more than

usually dim. Yet, if we examine those three branches of the Irish

question which have been enumerated above, we shall see how naturally,

in each of them, the concession of self-government seems to open, I will

not say the most direct, but the least dangerous way, out of our

troubles.

The Parliamentary difficulty arises from the fact that the

representatives of Ireland have the feelings of foreigners sitting in a

foreign assembly, whose honour and usefulness they do not desire. While

these are their feelings they cannot work properly in it, and it cannot

work properly with them. The inconvenience may be endured, but the

English will grow tired of it, and be disposed to rid themselves of it,

if they see their way to do so without greater mischief. There are but

two ways out of the difficulty. One is to get rid of the Irish members

altogether; the other is to make them, by the concession of their just

demands, contented and loyal members of a truly united Parliament. The

experience of the Parliament of 1880, which was mainly occupied with

Irish business, and began, being a strongly Liberal Parliament, with a

bias toward the Irish popular party, showed how difficult it is for a

House of Commons which is ignorant of Ireland to legislate wisely for

it. In the House of Lords there is not a single Nationalist; indeed, up

till 1886, that exalted chamber contained only one peer, Lord Dalhousie

(formerly member for Liverpool), who had ever said a word in favour of

Home Rule. The more that England becomes sensible, as she must become

sensible, of the deficiencies of the present machinery for appreciating

the needs and giving effect to the wishes of Irishmen, the more disposed

will she be to grant them some machinery of their own.

As regards social order, I have shown that the choice which lies before

the opponents of Home Rule is either to continue the policy of coercing

the peasantry by severe special legislation, or to remove the source of

friction by buying out the landlords for the benefit of the tenants. The

present Ministry have chosen the former alternative, but they dangle

before the eyes of their supporters some prospect that they may

ultimately revert to the latter. Now, the only way that has yet been

pointed out of buying out the landlords, without imposing tremendous

liabilities of loss upon the British Treasury, is the creation of a

strong Home Rule Government in Dublin. Supposing, however, that some

other plan could be discovered, which would avoid the fatal objections

to which an extension of the plan of the (Salisbury) Land Purchase Act

of 1885 is open, such a plan would remove one of the chief objections to

an Irish Parliament, by leaving no estates for such a Parliament to

confiscate. As for coercion every day, I might say, every bye-election

shows us how it becomes more and more odious to the British democracy.

They dislike severity; they dislike the inequality involved in passing

harsher laws for Ireland than those that apply to England and Scotland.

They find themselves forced to sympathize with acts of violence in

Ireland which they would condemn in Great Britain, because these acts

seem the only way of resisting harsh and unjust laws. When the recoil

comes, it will be more violent than in former days. The wish to discover

some other course will be very strong, and the obvious other course will

be to leave it to an Irish authority to enforce social order in its own

way--probably a more rough-and-ready way than that of British officials.

The notion which has possessed most Englishmen, that Irish

self-government would be another name for anarchy, is curiously

erroneous. Conflicts there may be, but a vigorous rule will emerge.

Lastly, as to local government. If a popular system is established in

Ireland--one similar to that which it is proposed to establish in

England--the control of its assemblies and officials will, over

four-fifths of the island, fall into Nationalist hands. Their power will

be enormously increased, for they will then command the machinery of

administration, and the power of taxing. What with taxing landlords,

aiding recalcitrant tenants, stopping the wheels of any central

authority which may displease or oppose them, they will be in so strong

a position that the creation of an Irish Parliament may appear to be a

comparatively small further step, may even appear (as the wisest

Nationalists now think it would prove) in the light of a check upon the

abuse of local powers. These eventualities will unquestionably, when

English opinion has realized them, make such a Parliament as the present

pause before it commits rural local government to the Irish democracy.

But it could not refuse to do something; and if it tried to restrain

popular representative bodies by the veto of a bureaucracy in Dublin,

there would arise occasions for quarrel and irritation more serious than

now exist.[70] Those who once begin to repair an old and tottering

building are led on, little by little, into changes they did not at

starting contemplate. So it will be if once the task is undertaken of

reforming the confessedly bad and indefensible system of Irish

administration. We may stop at some half-way house on the way, but Home

Rule stands at the end of the road.

Supposing, then, that the Nationalist party, retaining its present

strength and unity, perseveres in its present demands, there is every

prospect that these demands will be granted. But will it persevere?

There are among the English Dissentients those who prophesy that it will

break up, as such parties have broken up before--will lose hope and

wither away. Or the support of the Irish peasantry may be withdrawn--a

result which some English politicians expect from a final settlement of

the land question in the interest of the tenants. Any of these

contingencies is possible, but at present most improbable. The moment

when long-cherished aims begin to seem attainable is not that at which

men are disposed to abandon them.

There are, however, other reasons which suggest the likelihood of a

change in English sentiment on the whole matter. The surprise with

which the Bill of last April was received has worn off. The alarm is

wearing off too. Those who set their teeth at what seemed to them a

surrender to the Parnellites and their Irish-American allies, having

relieved their temper by an emphatic No, have begun to ponder things

more calmly. The English people are listening to the arguments from

Irish history that are now addressed to them. They will be moved by the

solid grounds of policy which that history suggests; will understand

that what they have deemed insensate hatred is the natural result of

long misgovernment, and will disappear with time and the removal of its

causes. Many of the best minds of both nations will be at work to

discover some method of reconciling Irish self-government with imperial

supremacy and union free from the objections brought against the Bills

of 1886. It is reasonable to expect that they may greatly improve upon

these measures, which were prepared under pressure from a clamorous

Opposition. What Mr. Disraeli once called the historical conscience of

the country will appreciate those great underlying principles to which

Mr. Gladstone's policy appeals. It has been accused of being a policy of

despair; and may have commended itself to some who supported it as being

simply a means of ridding England of responsibility. But to others it

seemed, and more truly, a policy of faith; not, indeed, of thoughtless

optimism, but of faith according to the definition which calls it "the

substance of things hoped for, the evidence of things not seen." Faith,

by which nations as well as men must live, means nothing less than a

conviction that great principles, permanent truths of human nature, lie

at the bottom of all sound politics, and ought to be boldly and

consistently applied, even when temporary difficulties surround their

application. Such a principle is the belief in the power of freedom and

self-government to cure the faults of a nation, in the tendency of

responsibility to teach wisdom, and to make men see that justice and

order are the surest sources of prosperity. Such a principle is the

perception that national hatreds do not live on of themselves, but will

expire when oppression has ceased, as a fire burns out without fuel.

Such a principle is the recognition of the force of national sentiment,

and of the duty of allowing it all the satisfaction that is compatible

with the maintenance of imperial unity. Such, again, is the appreciation

of those natural economic laws which show that nations, when disturbing

passions have ceased, follow their own permanent interests, and that an

island which finds its chief market in England and draws its capital

from England will prefer a connection with England to the poverty and

insignificance of isolation. It is the honour of Mr. Gladstone to have

built his policy of conciliation upon principles like these, as upon a

rock; and already the good effects are seen in the new friendliness

which has arisen between the English masses and the people of Ireland,

and in the better temper with which, despite the acrimony of some

prominent politicians, the relations of the two peoples are discussed.

When one looks round the horizon it is still far from clear; nor can we

say from which quarter fair weather will arrive. But the air is fresher,

and the clouds are breaking overhead.

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