Staghorn continued to leer at the girl. "So you know her?"

"I know her father. He owns the local variety store. She's only twenty

today, and there she is a hundred years from now, not a day older."

"Only her image, Dr. Peccary," Staghorn murmured. "Only her image. But

a very pretty one."

Peccary came to his feet, unable to control his irritation any longer.

"I won't believe it!" he said. "Somehow a piece of misinformation has

been fed into that machine. Its calculations are all wrong!"

Staghorn refused to be perturbed. "But you just said you recognize

the girl on the bench. I'd say that Humanac has to be working with

needle-point accuracy to put recognizable people into a prediction."

"Then shift the scene! For all I know this part of town was turned into

an insane asylum fifty years from now." The use of the past tense when

speaking of a future event was not ungrammatical in the presence of

Humanac. "Do you have the volume up?"

"Certainly. Can't you hear the birds twittering?"

"But I can't hear anyone talking."

"Perhaps it's a day of silence."

Staghorn took another long look at the girl on the parkbench and then

turned to the controls, using the fine adjustment on the geographical

locator. The screen flickered, blinked, and the scene changed. The two

men studied it.

"Recognize it?" said Staghorn.

Peccary gave an affirmative grunt. "That's the Jefferson grammar school

on Elm Street. I'm surprised it's still there. But, lord, as long as

they haven't built a new one, you'd think they'd at least keep the old

one repaired."

"Very shabby," Staghorn agreed.

It was. Large areas of the exterior plaster had fallen away. Windows

were shattered, and here and there the broken slats of Venetian blinds

stuck through them. The shrubbery around the building was dead; weeds

had sprung up through the cracks in the asphalt in the big play yard.

There was no sign of children.

"Where is everyone?" Peccary demanded. "You must have the time control

set for a Sunday or holiday."

"It's Tuesday," Staghorn said. Then both were silent because at that

moment a child appeared, a boy of about eleven.

* * * * *

He burst from the schoolhouse door and ran across the cracked asphalt

toward the playground, glancing back over his shoulder as though

expecting pursuit. Reaching the play apparatus he paused and looked

around desperately. The metal standards for the swings were in place

but no swings hung from them. The fulcrums for the seesaws were there

but they held no wooden planks to permit teetering. The only piece of

equipment that looked capable of affording pleasure was the slide.

It was a small one, only about six feet high, obviously designed for

toddlers and not for a boy of eleven. Nonetheless, the boy headed for

it eagerly.

But he'd hardly set foot upon the bottom step of the ladder when the

schoolhouse door burst open a second time. A young woman charged toward

him shouting, "Paul! Get down from there at once! Paul!"

She was an attractive woman, but her voice held a note of panic. She

ran so swiftly that Paul, whose ascent of the ladder was accelerated

rather than retarded by her command, hadn't quite reached the top when

she seized him around the legs and tried to drag him down.

"Please, Miss Terry!" he pleaded desperately. "Just this once let me

get to the top! Let me slide down it just once!"

"Get to the top?" Miss Terry was aghast. "You could fall and kill

yourself. Down you come this instant!"

"Just one time!" Paul wailed. "Let me do it just once!"

Miss Terry paid no heed to his anguished cries. She tugged at his legs

while Paul clung to the handrails. But he was the weaker of the two,

and in a few seconds Miss Terry had torn him loose and set him on the

ground. Then, seizing him firmly by the hand, she led him back toward

the schoolhouse.

Paul went along, sniveling miserably. They entered the building and the

play yard was once more silent and deserted.

"By God, Staghorn," Peccary thundered, "you've doctored it! You've

deliberately fed false information into Humanac's memory cells!"

Staghorn turned to glare at his guest, his eyes flaming at the

outrageous suggestion. "The only hypothetical element I've fed into

Humanac is your Y Hormone, Dr. Peccary! You saw me do it. You watched

me check the computer before we started."

"I refuse to believe that my Y Hormone will bring about the

consequences that machine is predicting!"

"It's the only new factor that was added."

"How can you say that? During the next hundred years a thousand other

factors can enter in."

"But the Y Hormone bears an essential relationship to the whole. Sit

down and stop waving your arms. I'm going to see if we can get into the

school."

Peccary sat down, seething.

* * * * *

It had been a mistake to bring his Y Hormone to Staghorn. It was simply

that he'd been thinking of himself as such a benefactor to the human

race that he couldn't wait to see a sample of the bright future he

intended to create.

"Think of it, Staghorn!" he'd said happily, earlier in the evening.

"The phrase 'art is long and time is fleeting' won't mean anything

any more! Artists will have hundreds of years to paint their pictures.

Think of the books that will be written, the music that will be

composed, the magnificent cities that will be built! Everyone will have

time enough to achieve perfection. Think of your work and mine. We'll

live long enough to unravel all the mysteries of the universe!"

Staghorn had said nothing. Instead, he'd uncorked the small bottle Dr.

Peccary had given him and sniffed at it.

The bottle contained a sample of the Y Hormone which Dr. Peccary had

spent many years developing. Its principal ingredient was a glandular

extract from insects, an organic compound that controlled the insects'

aging process. If administered artificially, it could keep insects in

the larval stage almost indefinitely.

Dr. Peccary's great contribution had been to synthesize this

extract--which affected only insects--with protein elements that

could be assimilated by mammals and humans. It had required years of

experimentation, but the result was his Y Hormone--Y for Youth.

In his laboratory he now had playful kittens that were six years old

and puppies that should have been fully grown dogs. The only human he'd

so far experimented on was himself. But because he'd started taking

the hormone only recently, he was as yet unable to say positively

that it was responsible for the splendid health he was enjoying. His

impatience to know the sociological consequences of the hormone had

made him bring a sample of it to Staghorn.

After sniffing at the bottle, Staghorn had poured its contents into

Humanac's analyzer.

The giant computer gurgled and belched a few seconds while it assessed

the nature of the formula. Then Staghorn connected the analyzer with

the machine's memory units.

As far as Humanac was concerned, the Y Hormone was now an accepted part

of human history.

But, except for this one added factor, the rest of Humanac's vast

memory was solidly based upon the complete known history of the

earth and the human race. Its principles of operation were the same

as those controlling other electronic "brains," which could be

programmed to predict tides, weather, election results or the state of

a department-store inventory at any given date in the future. Humanac

differed chiefly in the tremendously greater capacity of its memory

cells. Over the years it had digested thousands of books, codifying

and coordinating the information as fast as it was received. Its

photocells had recorded millions of visual impressions. Its auditory

units had absorbed the music and languages of the centuries. And its

methods of evaluation had been given a strictly human touch by feeding

into its resistance chambers the cephalic wave patterns produced by the

brains of Staghorn's colleagues.

* * * * *

An added feature, though by no means an original one, was the screen

upon which Humanac produced visually the events of the time and place

for which the controls were set.

This screen was simply the big end of a cathode-ray tube, similar

to those used in television sets. It was adapted from I.B.M.'s 704

electronic computer used by the Vanguard tracking center to produce

visual predictions of the orbits of artificial satellites.

Staghorn was constantly having trouble explaining to people that

Humanac was not a time machine that could look into the past or future.

Its pictures of past events were based upon information already present

in its memory cells. Its pictures of future events were predictions

calculated according to the laws of probability. But because Humanac,

unlike a human, never forgot any of the million and one variables

impinging upon any human situation, its predictions were startlingly

accurate.

Humanac had never been exposed to pictures of Dr. Peccary's home town

nor to those of a girl named Jenny Cheever. It arrived at the likeness

of both town and girl through a purely mathematical process.

Staghorn's ultimate purpose in building the machine was to use it

in developing a true science of history. Because Humanac was only a

machine, Staghorn could alter its memory at will. By removing the

tiny unit upon which the Battle of Hastings was recorded and then

"re-playing" English history without it, he could find out what actual

effect that particular battle had.

He was surprised to discover that it had very little. According to

Humanac, the Normans would have conquered England anyway a few months

later.

At another time, while reviewing the events leading up to the American

Revolution, Humanac had produced a picture of Benjamin Franklin kissing

a beautiful young woman in the office of his printing shop. On impulse

Staghorn removed this seemingly insignificant event from Humanac's

memory and then turned the time dial forward to the present to see what

effect, if any, the episode had had upon history.

To his amazement, with that single kiss missing, Humanac produced a

picture of the American continent composed of six different nations

speaking French, German, Chinese, Hindu, Arabic and Muskogean--the last

being the language of an Indian nation occupying the Mississippi Valley

and extending northward to Lake Winnepeg. It served as a buffer state

between the Hindus and Chinese in the west and the French, Germans and

Arabs to the east.

* * * * *

It was Humanac's ability to predict the future consequences of any

hypothetical event, however, that made it an instrument capable

of revolutionizing history. Once its dependability was thoroughly

established, it would be possible for a Secretary of State to submit

to Humanac the contents of a note intended for a foreign country, then

turn the time controls ahead and get Humanac's prediction of the note's

consequences.

If the consequences were good, the note would then be sent.

If they were bad, the Secretary could destroy the note and try

others--until he composed one that produced the desired result.

Humanac's flaw was that it had no way of explaining the predictions

produced on its screen. It merely showed what would happen when and

if certain things were done. It left it up to the human operator to

figure out why things happened that way.

This was what was troubling Dr. Peccary.

He could see not the remotest relationship between his Y Hormone and

the fact that a mathematical probability named Miss Terry should refuse

another mathematical probability named Paul permission to climb to the

top of a six-foot playground slide.

Meanwhile Staghorn had been using the fine adjustment on the geographic

locator and now grunted his satisfaction. "Good! We're in the building,

at least."

On the screen was a dusky corridor. On either side of it were classroom

doors, some closed, some ajar. Staghorn moved his hand from the fine

adjustment to the even more delicate vernier control which permitted

him to shift the geographic focus inches at a time. The focus drifted

slowly forward to one of the half-open doors, and then he and Dr.

Peccary were able to see into the classroom.

It was deserted. Desks were thick with dust. Books, yellow with age,

were strewn on the floor.

Staghorn's hand sought the vernier control again. The picture led them

on down the corridor to another open door.

Again it was a scene of desolation.

"This can have nothing to do with my Y Hormone!" Peccary insisted.

"Then why is your picture on the wall there?" Staghorn said with a note

of malicious pleasure.

Dr. Peccary looked and started. On the classroom wall was a faded

photograph of himself. Except that he was wearing a different suit

in the picture, he looked just as he looked at the present moment.

Staghorn got a closer focus on the photograph so that Peccary could

read the legend beneath it. _Dr. Clarence Peccary, the man who gave the

world the Y Hormone._

"All right then," said Peccary, somewhat mollified by this tribute. "If

they put my picture on school room walls a hundred years from now, it

means I'm an honored man, a man the world admires. And therefore the Y

Hormone _can't_ be the cause of all this desolation!"

"I've found that Humanac's reasoning and human reasoning differ in many

ways," said Staghorn. On the screen they were out in the corridor again

when from somewhere ahead came a woman's voice.

"You may recite now, Paul. Please stand up."

"Ah, that sounds like Miss Terry," said Staghorn. He fingered the

vernier control. The focal point slid forward along the corridor.

"Stand up and recite, Paul," Miss Terry said more sharply.

"I think they're in the room on the left," said Peccary.

The Immortals · 第 4 / 10 题