HAMILTON TO DUANE.

West Point, Sept. 14, 1779.

My Dear Sir:

I do not recollect whether I said any thing in my last about the

strength of the reinforcement with Arbuthnot. All the accounts agree

that it does not exceed 3000, mostly recruits, and in very bad health;

it is said more than a thousand died on the passage, and the greater

part of the remainder are journeying fast to the other world. Disease

prevails also in the other parts of the army and among the inhabitants,

more than has been known at any time, since the enemy has been in

possession of the city. They have been of late making extensive

preparations for embarking troops, and we have just received advice,

that two German and one British regiment sailed from New-York on the

11th, under convoy of a Sixty-four. The rumors about the destination

are various. The West Indies, Georgia, Canada, are all talked of, but

the first with most confidence, and is no doubt most probable; our

intelligence announces a continuance of the embarkation.

A vessel lately arrived at Boston from the Cape, reports that

she sailed from that place in company with Count D’Estaing, with

twenty-five sail of the line, and some transports, containing 6000

troops taken in at the Cape, and bound first for Georgia and afterward

farther Northward. She parted with the fleet in latitude 25, longitude

74. Two other vessels, arrived at some place in Connecticut,

pretend that they parted with a French fleet of men of war, and

transports, in the latitude of Bermuda, steering for this coast. These

concurrent accounts are not entirely unworthy of attention, though I am

not disposed to give them entire credit.

The reduction of the enemy’s fleets and armies in this country, would

be the surest method to effect the complete conquest of the Islands;

and it would be one of the most fatal strokes Great Britain could

receive. The stamina of their Military Establishment are in this

country. The ruin of this, and the capture of their seamen and ships,

would be an irrecoverable loss. The West Indies would scarcely have

any further prospect of succor, and would be obliged to submit to the

power of France almost without resistance; which might then operate at

leisure, aided by ample supplies from this continent, which I believe

are the principal thing wanting.

These reasons may have induced the Count to make us a visit, during

the season of inactivity in the West Indies; or if he does not come

himself, if by forming a junction with the Spanish fleet, he can make

a detachment this way, and still maintain a superiority for operation

in that quarter, this perhaps will make the event more probable, than

on the former supposition. I have now given you all the intelligence

we have, and have mixed certainties, rumors, and conjectures. You will

extract and believe as much as you think proper. I shall only add, that

I am with the most perfect esteem and attachment,

Dear Sir,

Your most obed’t serv’t,

A. Hamilton.

The General and family charge me to present their most affectionate

respects. We are to receive the new Minister to-morrow morning.

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