PREFACE

The Title story of this volume was written about eighteen months before

the outbreak of the war, and was intended to direct public attention to

the great danger which threatened this country. It is a matter of

history how fully this warning has been justified and how, even down to

the smallest details, the prediction has been fulfilled. The writer

must, however, most thankfully admit that what he did not foresee was the

energy and ingenuity with which the navy has found means to meet the new

conditions. The great silent battle which has been fought beneath the

waves has ended in the repulse of an armada far more dangerous than that

of Spain.

It may be objected that the writer, feeling the danger so strongly,

should have taken other means than fiction to put his views before the

authorities. The answer to this criticism is that he did indeed adopt

every possible method, that he personally approached leading naval men

and powerful editors, that he sent three separate minutes upon the danger

to various public bodies, notably to the Committee for National Defence,

and that he touched upon the matter in an article in _The Fortnightly

Review_. In some unfortunate way subjects of national welfare are in

this country continually subordinated to party politics, so that a self-

evident proposition, such as the danger of a nation being fed from

without, is waved aside and ignored, because it will not fit in with some

general political shibboleth. It is against this tendency that we have

to guard in the future, and we have to bear in mind that the danger may

recur, and that the remedies in the text (the only remedies ever

proposed) have still to be adopted. They are the sufficient

encouragement of agriculture, the making of adequate Channel tunnels, and

the provision of submarine merchantmen, which, on the estimate of Mr.

Lake, the American designer, could be made up to 7,000 ton burden at an

increased cost of about 25 per cent. It is true that in this war the

Channel tunnels would not have helped us much in the matter of food, but

were France a neutral and supplies at liberty to come via Marseilles from

the East, the difference would have been enormous.

Apart from food however, when one considers the transports we have

needed, their convoys, the double handling of cargo, the interruptions of

traffic from submarines or bad weather, the danger and suffering of the

wounded, and all else that we owe to the insane opposition to the Channel

tunnels, one questions whether there has ever been an example of national

stupidity being so rapidly and heavily punished. It is as clear as

daylight even now, that it will take years to recover all our men and

material from France, and that if the tunnel (one will suffice for the

time), were at once set in hand, it might be ready to help in this task

and so free shipping for the return of the Americans. One thing however,

is clear. It is far too big and responsible and lucrative an undertaking

for a private company, and it should be carried out and controlled by

Government, the proceeds being used towards the war debt.

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