FRANK B. LORD and OPEN COVENANTS

[Illustration: (C) _James Wm. Bryan_

March 5, 1916: Portrait of Mr. Wilson drawn in charcoal

by Miss Hattie E. Burdett, and considered by many as the

President's best likeness at the entrance of America

into the World War]

_Woodrow Wilson's Administration_

_Eight Years of the World's Greatest History_

Woodrow Wilson took the oath of office as President on March 4, 1913,

after one of the most sweeping triumphs ever known in Presidential

elections. Factional war in the Republican Party had given him 435

electoral votes in the preceding November, to Roosevelt's 88 and Taft's

8; and though he was a "minority President," he had had a popular

plurality of more than 2,000,000 over Roosevelt and nearly 3,000,000

over Taft.

Moreover, the party which was coming back into control of the

Government after sixteen years of wandering in the wilderness had a

majority of five in the Senate and held more than two-thirds of the

seats in the lower house. With the opposition divided into two wings,

which hated each other at the moment more than they hated the

Democrats, the party seemed to have a fairly clear field for the

enactment of those sweeping reforms which large elements of the public

had been demanding for more than a decade.

With this liberalism, which was not disturbed at being called

radicalism, Mr. Wilson in his public career had been consistently

identified. During his long service as a university professor and

President he had been brought to the attention of a steadily growing

public by his books and speeches on American political problems, in

which he had spoken the thoughts which in those years were in the minds

of millions of Americans on the need for reforms to lessen those

contacts between great business interests and the Government which had

existed, now weaker and now stronger, ever since the days of Mark

Hanna.

The ideas of Mr. Wilson as to governmental reform, to be sure, went

further than those of many of his followers, and took a different

direction from the equally radical notions of others. An avowed admirer

of the system of government which gives to the Cabinet the direction of

legislation and makes it responsible to the Legislature and the people

for its policies, he had been writing for years on the desirability of

introducing some of the elements of that system into the somewhat rigid

framework of the American Government, and in his brief experience in

politics had put into practice his theory that the Executive, even

under American constitutional forms, not only could but should be the

active director of the policy of the dominant party in legislation as

well. But a public addicted to hero worship, little concerned with

questions of governmental machinery, and inclined to believe that

certain parts of the work of the Constitutional Convention of 1787 had

been accomplished under divine inspiration, had comparatively little

interest in the Wilson concepts of reform in political methods. They

regarded him, in the language of those days, as a champion of the

"plain people" against "the interests." They had seen in his long

struggle with antagonistic influences in Princeton University--a

struggle from which he retired defeated, but made famous and prepared

for wider fields by the publicity which he had won by the conflict--a

sort of miniature representation of this antithesis between the people

and big business and they had learned to regard Mr. Wilson as a fighter

for democratic principles against aristocratic tendencies and the money

power.

This reputation he had vastly expanded during his two years as Governor

of New Jersey. His term had been distinguished not only by the passage

of a number of reform measures consonant with the liberal ideas of the

period, but by a spectacular struggle between the Governor and an

old-time machine of his own party--the very machine which had nominated

him. In this fight, as in his conflict at Princeton, he had been for a

time defeated, but here again the fight itself had made him famous and

won him a hundred supporters outside of his own State for every one he

lost at home.

At the very outset of his term, he had entered, against all precedent,

into the fight in the Legislature over a Senatorial election. Demanding

that the Legislature keep faith with the people, who in a preferential

primary had designated a candidate for United States Senator who did

not command the support of the organization, he had won his fight on

this particular issue and set himself before the public as a sort of

tribune of the people who conceived it his duty to interpose his

influence wherever other officials showed a tendency to disregard the

popular will.

In the legislative fight for the enactment of reform legislation, too,

the Governor had continually intervened in the character of "lobbyist

for the people," and while the opposition of the old political

organization, which he had aroused in the fight for the Senatorship,

had partially halted the progress of this program, the great triumph in

November, 1912, had returned a Legislature so strong in support of the

Governor that before he left Trenton for Washington practically all of

the measures included in his scheme had become laws. Mr. Wilson, then,

was known to the country not only as a reformer but as a successful

reformer; and his victories over the professional politicians of the

old school had removed most of the latent fear of the ineffectuality of

a scholar in politics. In point of fact, the chief interest of this

particular scholar had always lain in politics, and it was partly

chance and partly economic determinism that had diverted him in early

life from the practice of politics to the teaching of its principles

and history.

Abroad, where his election was received with general satisfaction, he

was still regarded as the scholar in politics, for a Europe always

inclined to exaggerate the turpitude of professional politicians in

America liked to see in him the first fruits of them that slept, the

pioneer of the better classes of American society coming at last into

politics to clean up the wreckage made by ward bosses and financial

interests. Scarcely any American President ever took office amid so

much approbation from the leading organs of European opinion.

His radicalism caused no great concern abroad and was regarded with

apprehension only in limited circles at home--and even here the

apprehension was more over the return to power of the Democratic Party

than on account of specific fears based on the character of the

President-elect. The business depression of 1913 and 1914 would

probably have been inevitable upon the inauguration of any Democratic

President, particularly one pledged to the carrying out of extensive

alterations in the commercial system of the country. For in 1912 Wilson

had been in effect the middle-of-the-road candidate, the conservative

liberal. Most of the wild men had followed Roosevelt, and the most

conservative business circles felt at least some relief that there had

been no re-entry into the White House of the Rough Rider, with a gift

for stinging phrases and a cohort of followers in which the lunatic

fringe was disproportionately large and unusually ragged.

So Woodrow Wilson entered the Presidential office under conditions

which in some respects were exceptionally favorable. His situation was

in reality, however, considerably less satisfactory than it seemed. To

begin with, he was, in spite of everything, a minority President and

the representative of a minority party. He had even, during a good part

of the Baltimore Convention, been a minority candidate for the

nomination. If the two wings of the Republicans should during the

ensuing Administration succeed in burying their differences and coming

together once more, the odds were in favor of their success in 1916.

Moreover, the Democrats were definitely expected to do something.

Dissatisfaction with the general influence of financial interests in

public life, a dissatisfaction which had gradually concentrated on the

protective tariff as the chief weapon of those interests, had been

growing for years past. In 1908 a public aroused by Roosevelt but

afraid of Bryan had decided to trust the Republican Party to undo its

own work, and the answer of the party had been the Payne-Aldrich

tariff. That tariff broke the Republican Party in two and paved the way

for the return of Roosevelt; it had also, in 1910, given the Democrats

the control of the House of Representatives.

Now, at last the Democrats had full control of both Legislature and

Executive, and the country expected them to do something: unreasonably,

it was at the same time rather afraid that they would do something. To

do something but not too much, to meet the popular demands without

destroying the economic well-being which the Republican ascendency had

undoubtedly promoted, to insure a better distribution of wealth without

crippling the production of wealth--this was the problem of a President

who had had only two years in public life, and most of whose assistants

would have to be chosen from men almost without executive experience.

The chief peculiarity of President Wilson's political position lay in a

theory of American Government which had first come to him in his

undergraduate days at Princeton and which had been steadily developing

ever since. That theory, briefly, was that the American Constitution

permitted, and the practical development of American politics should

have compelled, the President to act not only as Chief of State but as

Premier--as the active head of the majority party, personally

responsible to the people for the execution of the program of

legislation laid down in that party's platform. Fanciful as it had

seemed when first put forward by him many years before, that concept of

the Presidency was now, perhaps for the first time, within the reach of

practical realization.

Dissatisfaction with the general secrecy and irresponsibility of

Congressional committees which had charge of the direction of

legislation, in so far as there was any direction, had been growing for

years; and an incident of the revolt against the Payne-Aldrich tariff

and the break in the Republican Party had been the internal revolution

in the House of Representatives, taking away from the Speaker the power

of controlling legislation which he had for some time enjoyed, and

which would have been a serious obstacle to Presidential leadership

such as Wilson had in mind. Moreover, the activity of Cleveland and

Roosevelt had shown the public that even in time of peace an energetic

President had a much wider field of action than most Presidents had

attempted to cover, and the more recent example of Taft had increased

the demand for a President who would act, would not leave action to

those men around him who "knew exactly what they wanted."

_Early Accomplishments of Administration_

_Underwood-Simmons tariff, establishing the lowest average of

duties in seventy-five years, enacted October 3, 1913._

_Federal Reserve act, organizing the banking system and stabilizing

the currency, December 23, 1913._

_Clayton Anti-Trust law._

_Creation of Federal Trade Commission._

_Repeal of Panama Canal tolls exemption._

_End of dollar diplomacy._

_Negotiation of a treaty (never ratified) with Colombia to satisfy

the Colombian claim in Panama._

There were, however, two great obstacles to the operation of Mr.

Wilson's theory. The first was constitutional. In Europe the Premier

who directs the legislative policy of the Government is answerable not

only in Parliament but to the people whenever his policy has ceased, or

seems to have ceased, to command public confidence. The President of

the United States finishes out his term, no matter how bad his

relations with Congress or how general his unpopularity among the

people. The check upon his leadership, as Mr. Wilson presently

realized, could come only at the end of his term, when the President as

a candidate for re-election came before the public for approval or

rejection. So, even before his first inauguration, Mr. Wilson had

written to A. Mitchell Palmer, then a Congressman, expressing

disapproval, quite aside from any personal connection with the issue,

of the proposal to restrict the President to a single term. That had

been a plank in the Democratic platform of the year before; already it

was apparent that this phase of the party's program would have to be

sacrificed in order to make the party leader responsible in the true

sense for the program as a whole. But that plank had not been seriously

intended, and by 1916 the march of events had made it a dead letter.

A more serious difficulty, in March, 1913, lay in the fact that the

President was not the party leader. There was an enormous amount of

Wilson sentiment over the country, and there were many enthusiastic

Wilson men; but a good many of these were of the old mugwump type, or

men who had hitherto held aloof from politics. In 1912, as later in

1917 and 1918, there was seen the anomaly of a leader who was himself

an orthodox and often narrow partisan, yet drew most of his support

from independent elements or even from the less firmly organized

portions of the opposition. And not only were most of the Wilson men

independents or political amateurs; a still greater stumbling block lay

in the fact that very few of them had been elected to office. In the

great Democratic landslide of 1912 the Democrats who had got on the

payroll were mostly the old party wheel-horses who had been lingering

in the outer darkness of opposition for sixteen years past, or more or

less permanent representatives of the Solid South.

In so far as the party had a leader at that time, it was Bryan. Bryan

had played the leading part in the Baltimore Convention. If he had not

exactly nominated Wilson, he had at least done more than anybody else

to destroy Wilson's chief competitors. There were not enough Bryan men

in the country to elect Bryan, not even enough Bryan men in the party

to nominate Bryan a fourth time; but there were enough Bryan Democrats

to ruin the policy of the incoming President if he did not conciliate

Bryan with extreme care.

So the first efforts of the new Administration had to be a compromise

between what Wilson wanted and what Bryan would permit. This was seen

first of all in the composition of the Cabinet, which Bryan himself

headed as Secretary of State. Josephus Daniels, who as Secretary of the

Navy was to be one of the principal targets of criticism for the next

eight years, was also a Bryan man. Of the "Wilson men" of the campaign,

William G. McAdoo was chosen as Secretary of the Treasury, not without

some grave misgivings as to his ability, which were not subsequently

justified by his conduct of the office. The rest of the Cabinet was

notable chiefly for the presence of three men from Texas, a State whose

prominence reflected not only its growing importance and its fidelity

to the party but also the influence of Colonel Edward Mandell House, a

private citizen who had risen from making Governors at Austin to take a

prominent part in the making of a President in 1912. At the beginning

of the Administration and throughout almost all of President Wilson's

tenure of office he was the President's most influential adviser, a

sort of super-Minister and Ambassador in general; and his position from

the first caused a certain amount of heartburning among the politicians

who resented this prominence of an outsider who had never held office.

Perhaps because many of his official aids and assistants were more or

less imposed upon him, the President showed from the first a tendency

to rely on personal agents and unofficial advisers. And this was to

become more prominent as the years passed, as new issues arose of which

no one would have dreamed in the Spring of 1913, issues for which the

ordinary machinery and practice of American Government were but little

prepared.

For the eight years which began on March 4, 1913, were to be wholly

unlike any previous period in American history. An Administration

chosen wholly in view of domestic problems was to find itself chiefly

engaged with foreign relations of unexampled complexity and importance.

The passionate issues of 1912 were soon to be forgotten. Generally

speaking, the dominant questions before the American people in 1912 and

1913 were about the same as in 1908, or 1904, or even earlier. But from

1914 on every year brought a changed situation in which the issues of

the previous year had already been crowded out of attention by new and

more pressing problems.

No American President except Lincoln had ever been concerned with

matters of such vital importance to the nation; and not even Lincoln

had had to deal with a world so complex and so closely interrelated

with the United States. Washington, Jefferson and Madison had to guide

the country through the complications caused by a great world war; but

the nation which they led was small and obscure, concerned only in

keeping out of trouble as long as it could. The nation which Wilson

ruled was a powerful State whose attitude from the very first was of

supreme importance to both sides. And the issues raised by the war

pushed into the background questions which had seemed important in

1913--and which, when the war was over, became important once more.

None of this, of course, could have been predicted on March 4, 1913. A

new man with a new method had been elected President and intrusted with

the meeting of certain pressing domestic problems. At the moment the

public was more interested in the man than in his method; and not till

the crisis had been successfully passed did popular attention

concentrate on the manner of accomplishment rather than on the things

accomplished.

_Problems at Home, 1913-1914_

One of the passages of President Wilson's inaugural address contained a

list of "the things that ought to be altered," which included:

A tariff which cuts us off from our proper part in the commerce of

the world, violates the just principles of taxation, and makes the

Government a facile instrument in the hands of private interests; a

banking and currency system based upon the necessity of the

Government to sell its bonds fifty years ago and perfectly adapted

to concentrating cash and restricting credits; an industrial system

which, take it on all sides, financial as well as administrative,

holds capital in leading strings, restricts the liberties and

limits the opportunities of labor, and exploits without renewing or

conserving the natural resources of the country; a body of

agricultural activities never yet given the efficiency of great

business undertakings or served as it should be through the

instrumentality of science taken directly to the farm, or afforded

the facilities of credit best suited to its practical needs.

The items had been set down in the order of their immediate importance.

First came the tariff, for the tariff had come to be in the minds of

many Americans a symbol of the struggle between the "plain people" and

"the interests." The Payne-Aldrich tariff, enacted by a party pledged

to tariff revision, had been not only an injury but an insult, and if

any American Presidential election could ever be interpreted as a

popular referendum on any specific policy the election of 1912 meant

that the Payne-Aldrich tariff must be revised. At the time of the

enactment of that bill Mr. Wilson had written a critical article in

_The North American Review_ which expressed a widespread popular

sentiment in its criticism of "the policy of silence and secrecy"

prevalent in the committee rooms when this and other tariffs had been

drawn up and a demand for procedure in the open where the public could

find out exactly who wanted what and why. Joined with this objection to

the methods of tariff making were some observations by Mr. Wilson on

the principles of tariff revision. He saw and said that a complete

return to a purely revenue tariff was not then possible even if

desirable, and that the immediate objective of tariff reform should be

the adjustment of rates so as to permit competition and thereby

necessitate efficiency of operation.

The ideas which in March, 1909, were merely the criticism of a college

professor had become in March, 1913, the program of the President of

the United States, the leader of the majority party, determined to get

his program enacted into law. Congress was convened in special session

on April 7, and the President delivered a message on the one topic of

the tariff. Going back to the precedent of Washington and Adams, broken

by Jefferson and never resumed again, he read his message in person to

the Congress as if to emphasize the intimate connection between the

Executive and legislation which was to be a feature of the new

Administration. The principle of tariff reform laid down in that bill

was a practical and not a theoretical consideration, the need of ending

an industrial situation fostered by high tariffs wherein "nothing is

obliged to stand the tests of efficiency and economy in our world of

big business, but everything thrives by concerted agreement.... The

object of the tariff duties henceforth laid must be effective

competition, the whetting of American wits by contest with the wits of

the world."

The measure which Democratic leaders had already prepared for that

purpose and which eventually became known as the Underwood-Simmons Act

was intended to accomplish its end only gradually. Notoriously

outrageous schedules of the Payne-Aldrich Act, such as that dealing

with wool, were heavily reduced, and the general purport of the bill is

perhaps expressed in the phrase of Professor Taussig, that it was "the

beginning of a policy of much moderated protection." It went through

the House without much difficulty, passing on May 8, and then it struck

the Senate committee rooms, from which no tariff bill had ever emerged

quite as innocent as it entered. The usual expeditionary forces of

lobbyists concentrated in Washington and the Senate talked it over,

while Summer came on and Washington grew hotter and hotter. In course

of time Senators began to come to the President and tell him that it

was hopeless to get the bill through at that session and that

Washington was getting pretty hot. The President replied that he knew

it was hot, but that Congress would have to stay there till that bill

was passed. Already he had given the lower house something to keep it

busy while the Senate wrestled with the tariff.

As for the lobby, the President had his own method of dealing with

that. On May 26 he issued a public statement calling attention to the

"extraordinary exertions" of lobbyists in connection with the tariff.

"The newspapers are being filled," he said, "with paid advertisements

calculated to mislead not only the judgment of the public men, but also

the public opinion of the country itself. There is every evidence that

money without limit is being spent to maintain this lobby.... It is of

serious interest to the country that the people at large should have no

lobby and be voiceless in these matters, while the great bodies of

astute men seek to create an artificial opinion and to overcome the

interests of the public for their private profit." The outraged dignity

of Senators and Representatives, not to mention lobbyists, rose to

protest against this declaration. A Republican Senator even declared

that the President, who had been actively urging his views on

legislators just as he had done in New Jersey, was himself the chief

lobbyist in connection with the Tariff Bill. A Senate Committee was

appointed to find out if there had been any lobbying, and discovered

that there had. Meanwhile the bill was being argued out in the Senate,

and the President stood firm against any substantial modification. It

was finally passed on Oct. 3.

It was a vindication of the platform promise and a fulfillment of the

duty with which the party had been charged in the last election, and it

was a notable triumph for the personal policy of the President-Premier,

who more than anybody else had literally forced the bill through

Congress. The tariff had taken such a prominent place in the fight

against business influence in the Government that the passage of a bill

which made a material reduction in rates was a moral victory for

progressivism at large, and for President Wilson in particular.

The actual effect of the tariff, or rather the actual effect that it

might have had, is something impossible to estimate at this time.

Before it had been in operation a year, before the country had had a

chance to study the new conditions brought in by the legislation of the

first year of the Wilson Administration, the war broke out in Europe.

The conditions which had prevailed through half a century of tariff

making had ceased to exist. They have not yet returned. A subsidiary

feature of the Underwood-Simmons Act, however, was to attain enormous

importance in the course of the Wilson Administrations. To supply the

deficiency in revenue which the lowered duties might be expected to

produce there was added an income tax law, which had recently been

permitted by constitutional amendment. Even the light duties of the

first year, with their $3,000 exemption, were denounced by

conservatives as a rich man's tax; but within four years more the

exemption was to be lowered to $1,000, and the peak of the tax raised

to tenfold its original height.

So long as the Wilson Administration was reducing the tariff, it was

carrying out the traditional policy of the Democratic Party; but the

next task which the President laid before Congress was much more

delicate and much more important. As the event showed, the result was

to be of infinitely greater benefit to the nation. Reform of the

currency had long been an evident necessity, and the panic of 1907 had

recently called attention to the dangers of the system based on

emergency measures of the Civil War period. Mr. Wilson himself had said

much of the necessity of freeing business from unnatural restrictions,

among which the makeshift currency system was included. During the

previous Administration Senator Aldrich's plan for a centralized

reserve bank had been widely discussed, and innumerable modifications

had been suggested. Democratic leaders were already working on plans

for currency reform when the new Administration came in, and on June 26

a bill was introduced in the House by Carter Glass and in the Senate by

Robert L. Owen.

It took six months of hard work to get this adopted, but it was a

marvelous achievement to get it adopted at all. For a large faction of

the Democratic Party, including its most influential leader, still

represented the old hostility to the "money power," which regarded the

overthrow of the United States Bank as the great triumph of the

American Democracy. The Glass-Owen bill differed from Senator Aldrich's

scheme largely in the direction of decentralization and giving more

control to the Government and less to the banks, but, even so, it was a

suspicious document to those numerous Democrats whose economic ideas

were obtained from the Greenback and Populist Parties of former years.

And it was not satisfactory to the majority of the articulate bankers

of the country, who wanted a central bank instead of the regional

division of the reserve functions, and who thought that the banks

should have a good deal to say about appointments to the Federal

Reserve Board.

As late as the beginning of December there were still three separate

bills before Congress, but the party organization under the

President-Premier held together, and on December 23 the Glass-Owen

Bill, with some modifications acquired en route, was signed by the

President. The pressure on the White House during that struggle was

perhaps the hardest which President Wilson encountered during his

entire eight years. Many an honest Democrat thought the fundamental

principles of the party were being betrayed, and many a Senator or

Representative who regarded the reserve banks with profound alarm felt,

nevertheless, that if the iniquitous things were going to be

established there ought to be one in his home town. When Paul M.

Warburg, a Wall Street banker, was appointed as one of the members of

the Federal Reserve Board, there were more protests from politicians

who professed to believe that the nation was being delivered over to

the money power, while the complaints of bankers who thought that the

banks were being given over to politicians had not yet died down. But

when the act once went into operation criticism almost disappeared; and

in the course of a few months the unprecedented financial strain

attendant on the outbreak of the European war made it plain to almost

anybody that without this timely reform of the banking system 1914

would have seen a disaster far worse than that of 1907.

The work of "striking the shackles off business" was continued in 1914

by the introduction of bills to carry out the President's

recommendations for prohibiting interlocking directorates, clarifying

the anti-trust laws, establishing an Interstate Trade Commission, and

supervising the issue of railroad securities. The chief results of this

discussion were the creation of the Trade Commission, a body of which

much more was expected at the time than it has accomplished, and the

passage of the Clayton Anti-Trust Act, which exempted farmers'

combinations and labor unions from the anti-trust laws, and wrote into

the statutes the declaration that labor is not a commodity. The La

Follette Seamen's Bill, drawn by Andrew Furuseth of the Seamen's Union,

was introduced in 1913 and not enacted until much later. Its friends

declared that it would at least establish decent living conditions for

sailors, and its opponents, including nearly all the shipping

interests, asserted that, so long as foreign ship owners were not under

similar restrictions, the bill would ruin the American Merchant Marine.

Of the actual workings of this law there has really been no fair test,

as conditions which arose during the war unsettled the entire shipping

situation.

The domestic program of the first year and a half of the Wilson

Administration comprised, then a long-needed and immeasurably valuable

reform of the banking and currency system, a revised tariff, which was

at least a technical victory for Democratic principles, and a number of

minor measures which seem less important in retrospect than they did at

the time. The program neither completely unshackled business nor opened

the door to a new era of cooperation and human brotherhood, but it was

a large and on the whole decidedly creditable accomplishment, and it

was above all the work of President Wilson, who had led the fight that

carried the Administration measures through Congress, quite as any

Prime Minister might have done. He had not done it without exposing

himself to severe criticism. Ex-Senator Winthrop Murray Crane, for

example, declared that he had "virtually obliterated Congress." But he

had got most of what he wanted, and by the end of his first year in

office Mr. Bryan was no longer the most powerful individual in the

Democratic Party.

_Foreign Policies, 1913-1914_

In _The North American Review_ for March, 1913, edited by Colonel

George Harvey, the original Wilson man, who had mentioned Wilson as a

Presidential possibility back in 1904, when such a suggestion was

regarded as only a playful eccentricity, who had begun to work hard for

him in 1911, and who had finally been asked by Wilson himself to give

up his activity because the connection of one of Harvey's magazines

with J. P. Morgan & Co. was hurting Wilson in the West--there appeared

an article entitled "Jefferson--Wilson: A Record and a Forecast." It

consisted of eight pages of quotations from Wilson's "History of the

American People," dealing with the beginning of Jefferson's

Administration. The reader's attention was arrested by the startling

parallel between the division in the Federalist Party and the quarrel

between Hamilton and Adams that facilitated Jefferson's election, and

the situation which led to Wilson's victory in November, 1912. Wilson,

writing a dozen years before the fight between Taft and Roosevelt, had

unconsciously drawn a parallel closer perhaps than the facts warranted;

and the reader who had been attracted by this similarity read on into

Wilson's characterization of Jefferson an introduction to the

achievements of his Administration with a growing hope--if he happened

to be a Wilson man--that after as before election Wilson's record would

duplicate Jefferson's.

Colonel Harvey was as good a prophet in 1913 as in 1904. Wilson's

achievement in domestic affairs in the first year of his Administration

was not likely to suffer much by comparison with Jefferson's. But it

could not have crossed anybody's mind in March, 1913, that

complications of international politics such as had almost ruined the

country under Jefferson would in the latter part of Wilson's first term

expose him to as much criticism as Jefferson, and for the same reasons.

America was still new as a world power, but was beginning to feel more

at home. In Taft's Administration, with Philander C. Knox as Secretary

of State, there had been for the first time the beginnings of what

might fairly be called a consistent foreign policy. True, it was not a

very lofty policy, nor was it by any means generally approved in

America. It was called by its friends "dollar diplomacy," meaning the

promotion of American commercial interests by diplomatic agencies. It

had been exemplified principally in Central America, where its

operations had not always commanded admiration, and in China, where

Knox had made a well-intentioned but not very skillful effort to

prevent the absorption of Manchuria by Russia and Japan.

_Landmarks in Wilson's Mexican Policy_

_Program for armistice and elections to end civil war, August,

1913._

_"Watchful waiting," 1913-14._

_Capture of Vera Cruz, April 21, 1914._

_A B C mediation, April 25, 1914._

_Flight of Huerta, July, 1914._

_Recognition of Carranza, September, 1915._

_Villa's raid on Columbus and Pershing's expedition into Mexico,

March, 1916._

_Flight and death of Carranza, May, 1920._

However primitive this organization of foreign policy, none the less

Taft and Knox had taken a great step forward in the improvement of

American diplomatic machinery. The diplomatic service and the State

Department were beginning to be regarded as two parts of the same

agency, and for the first time diplomacy had begun to be a career with

possibilities. The practice of promoting able young secretaries to

chiefs of legation, begun by Roosevelt, had been widely extended by

Taft; and though the highest posts were still filled by wealthy

amateurs it seemed that at last the American diplomatic service offered

some attraction to an ambitious man. It was the general expectation in

Europe and still more in America that President Wilson, who by training

and inclination might be expected to approve of the elevation of

standards in the diplomatic service, would continue and extend this

work. Instead of that, he undid it, or rather permitted it to be

undone.

Mr. Bryan had of necessity been made Secretary of State, and it may be

supposed that there was equal necessity for opening up the diplomatic

service as a happy hunting ground for the Bryan men--"deserving

Democrats," as Mr. Bryan called them in a famous letter. The chief

European posts, to which the Taft Administration had not begun to apply

the merit system, were filled chiefly by Mr. Wilson's own nominees.

These included several well-known men of letters, and with one or

two exceptions the amateur diplomats serving as the heads of the

missions in Europe did satisfactory and even brilliant service

under the unprecedented strain which the war brought on them. The

service in Latin America, however, which Knox had almost entirely

professionalized, was given over bodily to personal followers of Bryan.

In what was in 1913 perhaps the most important of our diplomatic posts,

the embassy to Mexico, Mr. Wilson was compelled to rely provisionally

on Henry Lane Wilson, a holdover appointee from the previous

Administration.

It was soon made clear that there was to be no more dollar diplomacy.

The Knox policies in Central America were dropped--although American

troops continued to dominate Nicaragua--and in 1914 the Administration

successfully discouraged American participation in a six-power loan to

China. The Russo-Japanese absorption of Manchuria was to be treated as

the accomplished fact that it was; and in general the policy of the new

Administration was anything but aggressive. It would not use diplomacy

to advance American commercial interests, nor was it prepared to accept

the assistance of American financiers in promoting the policies of

diplomacy.

But it was evident from the outset that the most quiescent foreign

policy could not prevent foreign complications. Growing anti-Japanese

sentiment in California led to the passage of a State law against

Japanese land holdings. There was much resentment in Japan, and protest

was made to the Federal Government. Mr. Bryan, as Secretary of State,

had to make a personal trip to Sacramento to intercede with the

Californians; and at one time (May, 1913) military men appeared to feel

that the situation was extremely delicate. But the crisis passed over,

the Californians modified the law, and though in its amended form it

suited neither the Californians nor the Japanese, the issue remained in

the background during the more urgent years of the war. Toward the very

end of the Wilson Administration it was to come back into prominence.

Another question which caused much disturbance to the new

Administration was the question of Panama Canal tolls. An act passed in

1912 had exempted American coastwise shipping passing through the canal

from the tolls assessed on other vessels, and the British Government

had protested against this on the ground that it violated the

Hay-Pauncefote treaty of 1901, which had stipulated that the canal

should be open to the vessels of all nations "on terms of entire

equality." Other nations than England had an interest in this question,

and there was a suspicion that some of them were even more keenly if

not more heavily interested; but England took the initiative and the

struggle to save the exemption was turned, in the United States, into a

demonstration by the Irish, Germans and other anti-British elements.

Innate hostility to England, the coastwise shipping interests, formed

the backbone of the opposition to any repeal of this exemption, but the

Taft Administration had held that the exemption did not conflict with

the treaty (on the ground that the words "all nations" meant all

nations except the United States), and British opposition to the

fortification of the canal, as well as the attitude of a section of the

British press during the Canadian elections of 1911, had created a

distrust of British motives which was heightened by the conviction of

many that the Hay-Pauncefote treaty had been a bad bargain.

It was understood early in President Wilson's Administration that he

believed the exemption was in violation of the treaty, but not until

October did he make formal announcement that he intended to ask

Congress to repeal it. The question did not come into the foreground,

however, until March 5, 1914, when the President addressed this request

to Congress in ominous language, which to this day remains unexplained.

"No communication I addressed to Congress," he said, "has carried with

it more grave and far-reaching implications to the interests of the

country." After expressing his belief that the law as it stood violated

the treaty and should be repealed as a point of honor, he continued: "I

ask this of you in support of the foreign policy of the Administration.

I shall not know how to deal with other matters of even greater

delicacy and nearer consequence if you do not grant it to me in

ungrudging measure."

It has been most plausibly suggested that this obscure language had

reference to the Mexican situation, which a few weeks later was to lead

to the occupation of Vera Cruz. The European powers were known to be

much displeased at the continuing disturbances in Mexico and the

American policy of "watchful waiting," and the belief has been

expressed that repeal of the exemption was a step to get British

support for continued forbearance with Mexico. Other critics have seen

a reference to the unsettled issues with Japan and a fear that England

might give more aggressive support to her ally if the tolls question

were left unsettled. The attempt of a writer of biography to maintain

that even in March, 1914, the President and Colonel House foresaw the

European war and wanted to arrange our own international relations by

way of precaution has been generally received with polite skepticism.

At any rate, the President's intervention in the question, against the

advice of his most trusted political counselors, brought down on him a

shower of personal abuse from Irish organs and from the group of

newspapers which presently were to appear as the chief supporters of

Germany. The arguments against the repeal were unusually bitter, and

even though Elihu Root took his stand beside the President and against

the recent Republican Administration, partisan criticism seized upon

the opening. Nevertheless the tolls exemption was repealed in June, and

events of July and August gave a certain satisfaction to those who had

stood for the sanctity of treaties.

As a part of what might be called the general deflation of overseas

entanglements, the new Administration brought about a material change

in the treatment of the Philippines. From the beginning great changes

were made in the personnel of the Philippines Commission and of the

Administration of the country. Many American officials were replaced by

Filipinos, but the separatist agitation in the islands was not much

allayed by the extension of self-government. In October, 1914, the

Jones Bill, which practically promised independence "as soon as a

stable government shall have been established," was passed by the House

of Representatives, but Republican opposition was strengthened by those

who remembered Bryan's anti-imperialism in 1900 and by the supporters

of a strong policy in the Pacific. This issue, like others of the early

period, came back into greater prominence in the last years of the

second Wilson Administration, when war issues were temporarily disposed

of.

A specially conciliatory policy toward Latin America was one of the

chief characteristics of the early period of the Administration. At the

Southern Commercial Congress in Mobile, on October 27, 1913, the

President declared that "the United States will never seek one

additional foot of territory by conquest;" a statement which was

understood in direct relation to the demand for intervention in Mexico,

and which had a very considerable effect on public sentiment in Central

and South America. The passing of "dollar diplomacy," too, was

generally satisfactory to Latin America, and, though Mr. Bryan's

inexperienced diplomats made a good many blunders and could not help,

as a rule, being compared unfavorably with the professionals who had

held the Latin-American posts in the previous Administration, the

general policy of Wilson created much more confidence in the other two

Americas than did the spasmodic aggressiveness of Roosevelt or the

commercialized diplomacy of Taft.

One specific attempt was made to heal a sore spot left by Roosevelt in

relations with Latin America by the new Administration. Negotiations

with Colombia to clear up the strained situation left by the revolution

in Panama had been under way in the Taft Administration, but had come

to nothing. Under Wilson they were resumed, and on April 7, 1914, a

treaty was signed by which the United States was to pay to Colombia a

compensation of $25,000,000 for Colombian interests in the Isthmus. The

treaty further contained a declaration that the Government of the

United States expressed its "sincere regret for anything that may have

happened to disturb the relations" between the two countries, and this

suggestion of an apology for Roosevelt's action in 1903 roused the

violent hostility of Republicans and Progressives. The opposition was

so strong that in spite of repeated efforts the Administration could

never get the treaty ratified by the Senate; but the undoubtedly

sincere efforts of the Executive had of themselves a considerable

effect in mollifying the suspicions of Latin America.

But all problems south of the Isthmus were insignificant compared with

the difficulties in Mexico which had begun with the Madero Revolution

against Diaz in 1910. Just at the close of the Taft Administration

Madero had been overthrown and killed by Huerta, who then ruled in

Mexico City and was recognized by England and Germany in the Spring of

1913. Villa and Carranza were in arms against Huerta in the north,

calling themselves the champions of the Constitution; Orozoco and

Zapata were in arms against everybody in the south; foreign life and

property were unsafe everywhere except in the largest cities. The

demand for intervention, which had been strong ever since the troubles

began, was increasing in 1913. Huerta professed to be holding office

only until a peaceful election could determine the will of the nation,

but the date of that peaceful election had to be constantly put off.

The embargo on shipments of arms from the United States still existed,

preventing Huerta from supplying his troops; but there was a good deal

of smuggling to the revolutionary armies in the north. Of the

interventionists some wanted intervention against Huerta and some

wanted intervention for Huerta; and the pressure of economic interests

in Mexico was complicating all phases of the situation.

From the first President Wilson had expressed his disapproval of the

methods by which Huerta had attained office. Ambassador Wilson, on the

other hand, thought that Huerta ought to be supported, and when his

policy did not commend itself to the President he resigned in August,

1913. But already the President had been getting information about

Mexico from extra-official sources. His first envoy was William Bayard

Hale, author of one of his campaign biographies. Ambassador Wilson was

virtually replaced in August by another special representative, John

Lind, who carried to Huerta the proposals of President Wilson for

solution of the Mexican problem. They included a definite armistice, a

general election in which Huerta should not be a candidate, and the

agreement of all parties to obey the Government chosen by this

election, which would be recognized by the United States. Huerta

refused and presently dissolved Congress. When the elections were

finally held on October 2 Huerta won, and there was no doubt that he

would have won no matter how the voting had happened to go.

The President's program for Mexican reform, it may be said, was not as

evidently impracticable in 1913 as it seems in retrospect. It was

widely criticised at the time, and the phrase "watchful waiting" which

he invented as a description of his Mexican Policy was made the object

of much ridicule. Throughout the first winter of the new Administration

the American Government was apparently waiting for something to happen

to Huerta or for Huerta to reform, and President Wilson several times

sharply criticised the actions of the Mexican dictator. But Huerta did

not reform and nothing sufficient happened to him; it began to look as

if watchful waiting might continue indefinitely when a trivial incident

furnished the last straw.

A boatload of American sailors from the warships anchored off Tampico

to protect American citizens had been arrested by the Mexican military

authorities. They were released, with apologies, but Admiral Mayo

demanded a salute to the American flag by way of additional amends, and

when Huerta showed a disposition to argue the matter the Atlantic Fleet

was (April 14, 1914) ordered to Mexican waters. A week later, as

negotiations had failed to produce the salute, the President asked

Congress to give him authority to use the armed forces of the United

States "against Victoriano Huerta." There was much criticism of the

policy which had endured serious material injuries for more than a year

to threaten force at last because of a technical point of honor, and

besides those who did not want war at all the President found himself

opposed by many Congressmen who thought that the personal attack on

Huerta was rather undignified, and that the President should have asked

for a downright declaration of war.

While Congress was debating the resolution the American naval forces

(on April 21) seized the Vera Cruz Custom House to prevent the landing

of a munition cargo from a German ship. This led to sharp fighting and

the occupation of the entire city. General Funston with a division of

regulars was sent to relieve the naval landing parties; and war seemed

inevitable. Even the Mexican revolutionaries showed a tendency to

prefer Huerta to the intervention of the United States. But on April 25

the Governments of Argentina, Brazil and Chile proposed mediation,

which Wilson and Huerta promptly accepted. A conference met at Niagara

Falls, Ontario, and through May and June endeavored to reach a

settlement not only between the United States and Mexico, but between

the various Mexican factions. The President was still attempting to

carry out his policy of August, 1913, and the chief obstacle was not

Huerta, but Carranza, who had refused to consent to an armistice and

for a long time would not send delegates to Niagara Falls. Meanwhile

Huerta made one concession after another. Watchful waiting had indeed

ruined him; for President Wilson's opposition had made it impossible

for him to get any money in Europe--and in the early part of 1914 some

European nations would still have considered Mexico a good risk.

Moreover, from February to April the embargo on arms had been lifted,

and the Constitutionalists armies in the north, munitioned from the

United States, were steadily conquering the country. On July 15 Huerta

resigned, and soon afterward sailed for Spain; and on August 20

Carranza entered Mexico City.

Despite the criticism that had been heaped on the President's handling

of the Tampico-Vera Cruz affair, he had got rid of Huerta without

getting into war. A still more important consequence, the full effect

of which was not immediately apparent, was the enormous increase in the

confidence felt by Latin America in the good intentions of the Wilson

Administration. The acceptance of A-B-C mediation in 1914 made possible

the entry of most of the Latin-American powers into the European War in

1917 as allies of the United States. And for a time it was to appear as

if this had been about the only tangible profit of the episode; for

Carranza presently proved almost as troublesome as Huerta. The Fall of

1914 saw the outbreak of a new civil war between Villa and Carranza, in

which Zapata, Villa's ally, for a long time held Mexico City. Obregon's

victories in 1915 drove Villa back to his old hunting grounds.

By this time the European war was occupying most of the attention of

the American people, but Mexico was a constant irritant. Carranza

carried the Presidential art of biting the hand that fed him to an

undreamed-of height. Wilson, Villa and Obregon had enabled him to

displace Huerta, and Obregon had saved him from Villa. Yet he had

quarreled with Villa, he was eventually to quarrel with Obregon; and

though the United States and the chief Latin-American powers had given

him formal recognition in September, 1915, his policy toward Wilson

continued to be blended of insult and obstruction. Henry Prather

Fletcher, the ablest of the diplomats accredited to Latin-American

capitals, had been called back from Santiago de Chile to represent the

United States in Mexico; but despite his skill, despite the infinite

forbearance of the Administration, Mexico sank deeper and deeper into

misery, foreign lives and property were unsafe throughout most of the

country, and there was a continuing succession of incidents on the

border.

These were the fault of bandits, chiefly of Villa, whose repeated

murders of American citizens led to futile attempts to get satisfaction

out of Carranza. The culmination of these outrages came on March 9,

1916, when Villa raided across the border, surprised the garrison of

Columbus, N.M., and killed some twenty Americans. A punitive expedition

of regulars under General Pershing was promptly organized. It pushed

about 200 miles into Mexico, destroyed several small parties of

Villistas, and wounded Villa himself. But it did not catch him nor any

of his principal leaders, and in April outlying parties of Americans

came into skirmishing with Carranza forces at Parral and Carrizal. It

was evident that further advance meant war with Carranza; and indeed

much American sentiment aroused by the capture of American soldiers by

Carranzistas, demanded war already. But relations with Germany were

very acute at the moment, so Pershing dug in and held his position

throughout the Summer and Fall. In May the National Guard was ordered

out to protect the border, and remained in position for months without

taking active steps.

_President Wilson's Appeals for Mediation_

_Formal offer of mediation to all belligerents, August 5, 1914._

_German proposal of peace conference, December 12, 1916._

_President's appeal to the belligerents to state their terms,

December 18, 1916._

_German refusal to state terms, December 26, 1916._

_Allied statement of war aims, January 11, 1917._

_President's "peace without victory" speech, January 22, 1917._

_Notification of unrestricted submarine war, January 31, 1917._

_Diplomatic relations with Germany broken, February 3, 1917._

_Declaration of war, April 6, 1917._

The Mexican policy of the Administration was one of the chief points of

attack during the campaign of 1916, but the re-election of President

Wilson and the progress of events in Europe presently threw the issue

into the background. In February and March, 1917, when war with Germany

seemed inevitable, the expeditionary force under Pershing was recalled.

Carranza's pro-Germanism, or rather anti-Americanism, was hardly

disguised during the war, and the confiscatory policy of his

Administration in dealing with foreign oil and mineral properties

threatened to do much damage to American interests. When the war in

Europe had ended, the question of Mexico once more came back to the

foreground of attention. Carranza's Administration had not been stained

by so much guilt as Huerta's, and the opposition to it was on the scale

of banditry rather than revolution; but Mexico was far worse off after

years of the war than it had been in 1913, and disregard of American

rights was still the cardinal policy of the Government. Carranza's

security, however, was illusory. In the Spring of 1920 Presidential

elections were announced at last, and Carranza's attempt to force

Ygnacio Bonillas, his Ambassador in Washington, into the Presidential

chair led to a revolt which eventually attracted the leadership of

Obregon. Carranza fled from Mexico City and was murdered on May 22,

1920, and, after the interim Presidency of Adolfo de la Huerta, Obregon

came into office in the Fall.

_The European War, 1914-1916_

When in the last week of July, 1914, a war of unparalleled intensity

and magnitude suddenly fell upon a world which for forty years had been

enjoying unprecedented well-being and security, the practically

unanimous sentiment of Americans was gratitude that we were not

involved. The President's first steps, a formal proclamation of

neutrality and equally formal tender of mediation to the belligerents,

"either now or at any other time that might be thought more suitable,"

had general approval.

[Illustration: _Federal Reserve_

We must have a currency, not rigid as now, but readily,

elastically responsive to sound credit, the expanding

and contracting credits of everyday transactions, the

normal ebb and flow of personal and corporate dealings.

Our banking laws must mobilize reserves; must not permit

the concentration anywhere in a few hands of the

monetary resources of the country or their use for

speculative purposes in such volume as to hinder or

impede or stand in the way of other more legitimate,

more fruitful uses.--_From the President's Address to

Congress, April 23, 1913._]

[Illustration: _Courtesy New York Times_

July 3, 1912: Governor Wilson receiving congratulations

from newspaper correspondents on his nomination for the

Presidency]

But a sharp division of sentiment showed itself when, on August 18, he

issued an address to the American people warning against partisan

sympathies and asking that Americans be "impartial in thought as well

as in action," in order that the country might be "neutral in fact as

well as in name." The great majority of the American people, or of such

part of it as held opinions on public questions, had already made up

their minds about the war, and most of the others were in process of

being convinced. Some of them had made up their minds from racial

sympathies, but others had thought things out. And among these last,

particularly, there was a revolt against the assumption that in the

presence of such issues any impartiality of thought was possible.

Moreover, the world-wide extent of the war, and the closer

inter-relations of nations which had grown up in recent years, made

almost from the first a series of conflicts between the interests of

the United States and those of one or the other set of belligerents.

Preservation of neutrality against continual petty infractions was

hard, and was rendered harder by the active sympathy felt for the

different belligerents by many Americans. A further complication came

from the growing feeling that America's military and naval forces were

far from adequate for protection in a world where war was after all

possible. The Autumn of 1914 saw the beginning for better national

preparedness, and counter to that the rise of organized

peace-at-any-price sentiment which from the first drew much support

from pro-German circles.

The President appeared to incline toward the pacifists. He called the

discussion of preparedness "good mental exercise," and referred to some

of its advocates as "nervous and excitable," and in the message to

Congress in December, 1914, he took the position that American

armaments were quite sufficient for American needs. In this it was

apparent that he was opposed by a large part of the American people;

how large no one could yet say. But the Congressional elections of 1914

had conveyed a warning to the Democrats. They were left with a majority

in both houses, but the huge preponderance obtained in 1912 had

disappeared. And the reason was even more alarming than the fact; the

Progressive Party almost faded off the map in the election of 1914.

Most of the voters who had been Republicans before the Chicago

Convention of 1912 were Republicans once again. Of the Progressive

Party, there was nothing much left but the leaders, and many of these

were obviously thinking of going back to the old home.

The Government had already had occasion to protest against British

interference with allied commerce when, on February 4, 1915, the

Germans proclaimed the waters about the British Isles a war zone open

to submarine activities. The President promptly warned the German

Government that it would be held to "strict accountability" if American

ships were sunk or American lives lost in the submarine campaign. Along

with this a message was sent to the British Government protesting

against British restriction of neutral commerce. There was good ground

for objection to the practices of both Governments, and the

simultaneous protests emphasized the neutral attitude of the United

States. Not until later was it evident that to the Germans this policy

seemed to indicate the possibility of putting pressure on England

through America.

"Strict accountability" seemed to be a popular watchword, except among

pacifists and German sympathizers, but Americans soon began to be

killed by the submarines without provoking the Government to action.

When the Lusitania was sunk on May 7, 1915, and more than a hundred of

the 1,200 victims were Americans a great part of the nation which had

been growing steadily more exasperated felt that now the issue must be

faced. The President was the personal conductor of the foreign policy

of the Administration; Mr. Bryan's sole interest in foreign affairs

seemed to be the conclusion of a large number of polite and valueless

treaties of arbitration, and it was certain that with Germany, as with

Mexico, the President would deal in person. In the few days after the

sinking of the Lusitania the nation waited confidently for the

President's leadership, and public sentiment was perhaps more nearly

unanimous than it had been for eight months past, or was to be again

for two years more.

The President's note on May 13 met with general approval. It denied any

justification for such acts as the sinking of the Lusitania, and warned

the Germans that the Government of the United States would not "omit

any word or act" to defend the rights of its citizens. But some of the

effect of that declaration had already been destroyed by a speech the

President had made two days before, in which he had said that "there is

such a thing as a man being too proud to fight," and the Germans, it

was learned presently, had been still further reassured by a

declaration of Mr. Bryan (entirely on his own authority) to the

Austrian Ambassador that the note was intended only for home

consumption.

At any rate, the note was not followed by action. Throughout the whole

Summer the President maintained a correspondence with the Germans,

distinguished by patient reasoning on his part and continual shiftings

and equivocations on theirs. Meanwhile nothing was done; the public

sentiment of the first days after the Lusitania had been sunk had

slackened; division and dissension had returned and redoubled. Pacifism

was more active than ever and German agents were spreading propaganda

and setting fire and explosives to munition plants. Mr. Bryan, who

apparently alone in the country was fearful that the President might

needlessly involve the nation in war, resigned as Secretary of State on

June 8. Aside from a certain relief, the public almost ignored his

passing; the man who had been the strongest leader of the party in

March, 1913, had in the last two years sunk almost into obscurity.

Attention was now concentrated on the policy which the President, whose

new Secretary of State, Robert Lansing, was hardly more than a

figurehead, was pursuing toward Germany.

In August two more American passengers were drowned in the sinking of

the liner Arabic, and in other submarine exploits of the Summer a

number of American seamen lost their lives. The President's persistence

at last had the effect of getting from the Germans, on September 1, a

promise to sink no more passenger boats, and on October 5 they made a

formal expression of regret for the Arabic incident. Meanwhile some of

the acts of sabotage against American industries had been traced back

to the Austro-Hungarian Embassy, and the Ambassador, Dr. Dumba, was

sent home in September. A few months later Papen and Boy-Ed, the

Military and Naval Attaches of the German Embassy, followed him for a

similar reason.

But the German outrages continued, and so did the submarine sinkings,

though these were now transferred to the Mediterranean and Austria was

put forward as the guilty power. Also, nothing had been done about the

Lusitania. The country had apparently been divided by internal

discords. The condition which the President had hoped to prevent by his

appeal for "impartiality in thought as well as in action" had come

about. Also, the danger of war had revealed the inadequacy of America's

military establishment, and a private organization, whose moving spirit

was General Leonard Wood, had undertaken to supply the deficiencies of

the Government by establishing officers' training camps. Toward Wood

and his enterprise the Government seemed cold, and he was reprimanded

by the Secretary of War for permitting Colonel Roosevelt to make an

indiscreet speech at the training camp at Plattsburg. But when Congress

assembled in December the President deplored and denounced that new

appearance in American public life, the hyphenate, and urged upon

Congress that military preparation which he had derided a year before.

Congress, it was soon evident, was far less convinced than the

President that anything had happened during 1915. In December, 1915,

and in January, 1916, Mr. Wilson made a speaking tour through the East

and Middle West in support of his new policy. His demand for a navy

"incomparably the most adequate in the world," which Mr. Daniels

translated into the biggest navy in the world, aroused some doubts in

the minds of the public as to where the Administration thought the

chief danger lay, and German influences did their best during the

Winter to stir up anti-British sentiment in Congress--the more easily

since the controversy over British interference with American commerce

was still unsettled.

Eventually, and largely as a result of the President's speaking tour,

Congress adopted a huge naval program, which was destined to remain on

paper for some years. Military reform, however, had a different fate.

The President had supported the policy favored by the Secretary of War,

Lindley M. Garrison, of supplementing the regular line by a federalized

"Continental army" of 400,000 men. The House Committee on Military

Affairs, led by James Hay, would not hear of this and insisted on

Federal aid to the National Guard. The President, declaring that he

could not tell a Congressional committee that it must take his plan or

none, appeared to be ready to give in to Hay, and Garrison resigned in

protest. Hay had his way, and Garrison was succeeded by Newton D.

Baker, previously regarded as inclined to the pacifist side of the

controversy.

_Senator Glass on Woodrow Wilson_

_It is my considered judgment that Woodrow Wilson will take a place

in history among the very foremost of the great men who have given

direction to the fortunes of the nation. No President of the United

States, from the beginning of the Republic, ever excelled him in

essential preparation for the tasks of the office. By a thorough

acquisition of abstract knowledge, by clear and convincing precept

and by a firm and diligent practical application of the outstanding

principles of statecraft, no occupant of the Executive chair up to

his advent was better furnished for a notable administration of

public affairs. And Wilson's Administration has been notable. Its

achievements, in enumeration and importance, have never been

surpassed; and it may accurately be said that most of the things

accomplished were of the President's own initiative._

_Of the President's personal traits and characteristics I cannot as

confidently speak as those persons whose constant and intimate

association with him has given them observation of his moods and

habits. To me he always has been the soul of courtesy and

frankness. Dignified, but reasonably familiar; tenacious when sure

of his position, but not hard to persuade or to convince in a cause

having merit, I have good reason to be incredulous when I hear

persons gabble about the unwillingness of President Wilson to seek

counsel or accept advice. For a really great man who must be

measurably conscious of his own intellectual power, he has

repeatedly done both things in an astonishing degree during his

Administration; and when certain of a man's downright honesty, I

have never known anybody who could be readier to confide serious

matters implicitly to a coadjutor in the public service._

_CARTER GLASS_

_Written for The New York Times,_

_February 18, 1921._

Meanwhile the submarine issue was still an issue. Little satisfaction

had been obtained for events in the Mediterranean, and in March the

Sussex, a cross-Channel passenger boat, was torpedoed in plain

violation of the German promise of September 1. There followed another

interchange of notes, but the usual German efforts to deny and evade

were somewhat more clumsy than usual. On April 19 the President came

before Congress and announced that "unless the Imperial Government

should now immediately declare and effect an abandonment of its present

methods of submarine warfare against passenger and freight carrying

vessels" diplomatic relations would be broken off. The threat had its

effect; the Germans yielded, grudgingly and in language that aroused

much irritation, but on the main question they yielded none the less,

and promised to sink no more merchantmen without warning.

During this crisis the President had had to contend with a serious

revolt in Congress, which took the form of the Gore Resolution in the

Senate and the McLemore resolution in the House, warning American

citizens off armed merchantmen. The President took the position that

this was a surrender of American rights, and upon his insistence both

resolutions were brought to a vote and defeated. The Lusitania question

was still unsettled, but on the general issue of submarine war the

Germans had at last given way to the President's demand, and through

most of 1916 the submarine issue was in the background.

During the year there was a continuation of diplomatic action against

the British Government's interference with neutral commerce and with

neutral mails. But, aside from the comparative unimportance of these

issues beside the submarine assassinations, the Lusitania and similar

episodes had stirred up so much indignation that not many Americans

were seriously interested in action against England which could only

work to the advantage of Germany. The year saw the institution of the

Shipping Board, which was to look after the interests of the American

merchant marine brought into being by the war, and also some efforts to

extend American commerce in South America. Of more eventual importance

for Latin-American relations was the necessity for virtually

superseding the Government of the Dominican Republic, which had become

involved in civil war and financial difficulties, by an American Naval

Administration, as had been done in Haiti the year before.

The principal domestic event of the year was the threatened railroad

strike, which came at the end of the Summer. The President summoned the

heads of the four railroad brotherhoods and the executives of the

railroad lines to Washington for a conference in August, and attempted

without success to bring them to an agreement. A program to which he

eventually gave his approval provided for the concession by the

employers of the basic eight-hour day, with other issues left over

until the working of this proposal could be studied. The railroad

executives refused this, and while the negotiations were thus at a

deadlock it became known that the brotherhoods had secretly ordered a

strike beginning September 4. To avert this crisis the President asked

Congress to pass a series of laws accepting the basic eight-hour day,

providing for a commission of investigation, and forbidding further

strikes pending Government inquiry.

None of these proposals except the eight-hour day, the center of the

whole dispute, met the approval of the brotherhoods, and none of them

except the eight-hour day and the commission of investigation was

adopted. But, with A. B. Garreston, of the Brotherhood of Conductors,

holding a stopwatch in the gallery, Congress hastily passed these laws

and the strike was called off.

The eight-hour issue was the last item on the record on which President

Wilson came up for re-election in the Fall of 1916. Despite the

single-term plank in the Democratic platform of 1912, it had been

evident long before the end of Mr. Wilson's first term that he was the

only possible candidate. In March, 1913, he had seemed almost like an

outside expert called in for temporary service in readjusting some of

the problems of public life; he was by no means the leader of the

party. But long before Bryan resigned in alarm at the tendencies of a

foreign policy over which the Secretary of State had no control the

President had become the leader of the party, and by 1916 he was almost

the only leader of prominence.

In the record on which the electorate was to express its judgment only

a minor place was taken by the issues which had seemed of such

importance in 1913. The Federal Reserve Act had already proved its

value so well that it was being taken as a matter of course, and people

were forgetting that they had ever had to depend on a currency which

ran for cover in every crisis and on a banking system where each bank

was a source of weakness to its neighbors instead of strength. What

effect the Underwood-Simmons Tariff and other measures of the first

year might have had on American business no man could say, for

conditions created by the war had left America the only great producer

in a world of impatient consumers whose wants had to be met at any

price.

Mexico, which had provided the most pressing problem in foreign affairs

during the Taft Administration, was still an unsolved problem in 1916,

and more disturbing than ever. The President had indeed avoided war

with Mexico, but had become involved in two invasions of the country

and in an expensive mobilization. During the 1916 election the nation

had in Mexico most of the drawbacks of war without any of the possible

benefits. In forcing out Huerta the President had indeed won a notable

diplomatic triumph, but he had not succeeded either in winning greater

security for American life and property or in getting a Mexican

Government more disposed to good relations with the United States; and

the Republicans maintained that war had been avoided only at the

sacrifice of both American prestige and American interests.

_Personal Messages to Congress_

I am very glad, indeed, to have this opportunity to address the two

Houses directly and to verify for myself the impression that the

President of the United States is a person, not a mere department

of the Government hailing Congress from some isolated island of

jealous power, sending messages, not speaking naturally and with

his own voice--that he is a human being trying to cooperate with

other human beings in a common service. After this pleasant

experience I shall feel quite normal in all our dealings with one

another.--_From the President's First Address to Congress, April

8, 1913_

[Illustration: (C) _Harris & Ewing_

April 8, 1913: Mr. Wilson reading his first message to

Congress]

But Mexico, despite the emphasis placed upon it by the Republicans, was

a secondary issue in the campaign of 1916. The great issue was the

conduct of American relations with Germany, and the ultimate Republican

failure in the election may be laid primarily to the inability of the

Republican Party to decide just where it stood on the main issue.

The President had in this field also won a diplomatic victory. Like his

victory over Huerta, it was more apparent than real, for the submarines

were still active, and even during the campaign several incidents

occurred which looked very much like violations of the German promise

made in May. The most serious incident, that of the Lusitania, was

still unsettled and the opponents of the President charged him with

having bought peace with Germany, like peace with Mexico, at the cost

of national interest and honor. Still the technical victory in the

submarine negotiations had remained with the President, and he had

succeeded in winning at least a nominal recognition of American rights

without going into a war which, as every one realized, would be a much

more serious enterprise than an invasion of Mexico. German propaganda

and terrorist outrages, which had been so serious in 1915, fell off

materially in 1916 largely on account of the energetic work of the

Department of Justice, which had sent some of the most prominent

conspirators to jail and driven others out of the country. But a

considerable section of the population had made up its mind that

Germany was already an enemy and was dissatisfied with the President's

continual efforts to preserve impartiality of thought as well as of

action.

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