CHAPTER VI

THE TREATY OF VERSAILLES

Coming back from Germany to Great Britain one finds oneself in the

position of an explorer returned from a new world. For our Edwardian

England knows to-day as little of the real conditions in Central

Europe as Elizabethan England knew of Central Africa. And our Press

cartoonists and Propaganda caricaturists have filled the blank spaces

of our mental maps with fancy pictures of monsters whom they label

Boches and Bolsheviks, Huns and Spartacists, just as did the old

cartographers. Whereas these fancy pictures are no more like the real

wild beasts of Europe than the Unicorns and Behemoths of the old maps

were like the rhinoceroses and hippopotamuses of Africa; and anyway

are about as important an element in the problems of Central Europe

to-day as the hippopotamuses are in those of Central Africa.

The difficulty is that our natural intuitions of policy and our

natural instincts of humanity have been for five years persistently

perverted and distorted. We do not know that we are seeing everything

as in a glass darkly, and that we are being prevented from coming face

to face with real facts and forces. That is why in this summer of

1919, as in that summer of five years ago, appeals to our conscience

and common sense are useless. We are letting ourselves be hurried

hopelessly and helplessly into the worst of peaces, as we then let

ourselves be hurried into the worst of wars. But with this difference;

that five years ago the principal criminals were the Junkers and War

Lords of Germany; to-day they are the Jingoes and Peace Delegates of

the Entente. The Germans have paid, or are paying, the penalty of

trusting their War Lords; both those Germans who passively submitted

to that folly and those who actively protested against it. We, too,

shall all have to pay for putting our trust in our Princes of the

Peace. We are paying--many of my old corps have already paid with

their lives--for the mistakes of our diplomatists with the Russian

Revolution. We shall pay for their mistakes with the German Revolution

when we too come face to face with realities again.

For that is the main difference between the Germans and ourselves

to-day. They have been reduced to realities. The artificialities of

their shoddy Kaiser and their shallow Kultur have fallen in ruins

round them. The monstrous military machine they built up for their own

protection, and used for the oppression of Europe, is smashed. There

remains just the German burgher and the German worker, both

slow-witted simple souls. So slow and simple indeed, that they have

allowed a few hundred German bureaucrats to go on governing them;

thereby giving us a wrong impression of what they are thinking and

wanting. In reality the Germans to-day are like the Russians of two

years ago, a molten mass awaiting a new mould, ready to be inspired by

such new political ideas as may be instilled into them. In Germany now

a new idea will take root, flower and bear fruit in a few days. I have

watched the process myself with ideas imported from England. But

instead of throwing open the western frontier of Germany to free

commerce and communication we maintained our blockade and our boycott,

thereby forcing New Germany to turn to the East for its ideals and

institutions. And now comes this Treaty with a further development of

this same policy of blockade and boycott. Germany is for a generation

or so to be sentenced to loss of its sovereign rights, confiscation

of its whole estate and penal servitude. We have overlooked the

opportunity we had of making Germany a moral dependency, a natural

ally looking at the world from our political point of view, absorbing

our ideas and associating itself with our ideals; and we have abused

the opening given us by unlimited military power in order to attempt

the material exploitation of Germany. We might have made Germany a

racial and regional border province of Anglo-Saxondom, and a barrier

against the Asiatic irruption that is once again advancing against

Europe across the Russian plains. We have preferred to try and reduce

it to another Ireland--an Ireland of seventy millions with Russia at

its back. I am reminded of the remark of a German politician: "Give us

an open door and we shall be no worse than poor relations; build a

Chinese wall against us and you will make us into Tartars."

An adequate criticism of the Treaty that we are proposing to force on

Germany would be as long as the Treaty itself. There are two main

difficulties in such criticism; one is that, owing to the secret

preparation of the Treaty and the public indifference as to its

provisions, very few people in England have any idea even of what the

financial and economic clauses amount to. German protests are ignored,

of course, as mere "squealing." We have a general feeling that what

is bad for the Germans is good for the world; and, anyway, we don't

want to be bothered with Germany any more.

The other difficulty is the Treaty's formlessness and its want of

design. A careful comparison of the articles and their appendices

suggests that the essential policy of the whole is a compromise

between, or rather a cobbling together of, two contradictory points of

view, the French and the Anglo-Saxon; while in its externals it is an

attempt to camouflage European Imperialism with American Idealism.

In the Jehad we have just fought against Germany, the low material

object of the French was to extirpate; while that of the English was

rather to enslave. The high moral object of the French was to rescue

Alsace-Lorraine; the high moral object of the English was to protect

Belgium. Consequently, reading the Treaty is something like reading

the Koran. The mind cannot get the point of view or purpose. It loses

itself in dicta, as determinative in detail for the weal or woe of

mankind as they are disconnected in themselves and dissociated from

any general doctrine, or even from any especial dogma. One soon gives

up trying to grasp the Treaty. And one puts it aside with the

consoling thought that "the Koran or the Sword" is good enough for

those who, like the Huns, are not "people of the Law"; and that

everything depends on the "idjra," the "interpretative effort" of

future pundits.

There is something tragic about such petty killings and cruelties as

those ordained by the sinister reactionaries of the Eden Hotel in

Berlin. But there is something ludicrous about the miseries and

murders _en masse_ organised by the highly respectable reactionaries

of the Hotel Majestic. It is as though we:--

had resolved to extirpate the vipers

With twenty Balliol men and forty lady typers.

On the morning of that Thursday in May, the German reading public took

up its morning paper with a sigh of relief that the long suspense was

ended--and dropped it again with a gasp of despair. But Germany wore

its rue with a difference. The opposition to the Treaty was of two

kinds. The original split of the Independent idealists with the

Majoritarian real-politikers had been over foreign policy--first in

the prosecution of the war, then in the preparation for peace. These

Independents condemned such crimes as the U-boat war and the military

murders of Miss Cavell and Captain Fryatt, uncompromisingly. Their

main reason for leaving the Coalition Socialist Government in

December was that they could not get their liberal policy carried in

respect either of Poland and the Baltic provinces, or as to a frank

recognition of responsibility for the war and full reparation to

France and Belgium.

Their main objection to the present Government had been that it

prejudiced the German political revolution and spiritual renascence in

the eyes of the Entente. And they now, as representing the main forces

of idealism in Germany, opposed the peace terms on international not

on national grounds--as a conspiracy against the peace and prosperity

of the European worker, not as a combination against the power and

progress of the German Empire. Consequently, as the main body of the

workers, that is, the driving power of the country, were of this party

and had moreover been forced out of practical politics by the reaction

party, when the terms were published there was no spontaneous

explosion of emotion in Germany. Crushing as they were, there was no

moral force to oppose against them; either national, as a century

before in revolutionary France, or international, as a year before in

revolutionary Russia.

The whole tone of private conversations and of Press _communiques_ on

Thursday and Friday showed that the Government with individual

exceptions, would sign the terms. And further the whole tradition of

the Majority-Socialist and of the Centrum rank and file suggested that

they would in this follow the lead of the Government and give it a

parliamentary majority. Indeed, such passive acquiescence reflected

accurately enough the prevalent point of view in a disorganised and

devitalised community.

Late on that Friday night, judging from an account given me of the

proceedings in the Cabinet and from general considerations, I

telegraphed that Germany would sign even such conditions as those

published.[H]

But where all is negative and minus, a very small positive and plus

factor can make itself predominant. The Democratic party represented

politically such nationalist idealism as was left. Theodor Wolff, in

the _Berliner Tageblatt_, started a campaign for non-signature, at

first only with the compromising support of the extreme Right. Within

a few hours the feeble Government and half-famished capital came

under pressure from two points--Paris and the provinces.

The German delegation to Paris had been made very representative in

order to strengthen the Government in eventually imposing unacceptable

terms on various interests; but the effect of their week's wait in

their wired pen at Fontainebleau seems to have been to give them all

an incipient attack of "barb wire fever." As the guiding brain of the

Cabinet, Landsberg had been substituted for David on the delegation

owing to personal and political reasons, and as influential Majority

Socialists were on it also, this was serious. Opposition to signature

appeared in the Cabinet; and the leading article in Sunday's

_Vorwaerts_ by Stampfer, the editor, who had gone to Paris hoping to

meet his French _confreres_ indicated that the Majority Socialists

were also dividing on the question of signature.

Accordingly the Democratic parliamentary party having declared

unanimously against signature, the Centrum and Majority Socialists

followed suit with large majorities--only five in the latter party

voting for signature. The Government Press then began to challenge the

Independents to make good their professed policy; with the intention

of forcing them to form a Government which would take the odium of

signing. The Independent leaders were approached on these lines.

The Independents found themselves in a difficulty. At first they were

inclined to accept, but realised in time that if they did so they

would be utterly prejudiced both politically and popularly. Moreover,

their Left wing and the Communists would not join any Government on a

Parliamentary basis; while the Majority Socialists would probably help

the Right in throwing them out again on a nationalist reaction as soon

as they had signed. They accordingly decided to declare for signature,

but to refuse to relieve the Government from the responsibility for

its own policy.

The parliamentary situation accordingly developed by Monday into the

usual deadlock. But in Germany the parliamentary situation represents,

even less than elsewhere, the realities of life. The meeting of the

Assembly on Monday, which was to be a national demonstration, was a

failure both in staging and in steam. Held in the University aula,

under the great fresco of Fichte rallying the German youth to its

resurrection after the peace of Tilsit, it only served to accentuate

the difference between the nationalist idealism that rebuilt Germany

in the last century and the internationalist idealism that may

rebuild it now. For, in this Assembly of more or less compromised and

wholly commonplace elderly politicians there was nothing vital or

novel. The set speeches had mostly been written by propaganda

officials and the very applause had been planned beforehand.

On the following day were open-air meetings, which gave a better index

of public opinion. Of the two I saw, the first was a big Majority

Socialist gathering, addressed by Fischer on the Koenigsplatz in a

speech curiously like Scheidemann's. Thence a crowd that, if small,

was select, one might say "super" select, demonstrated before the

Hotel Adlon, the centre of the foreign correspondents and Missions,

until dispersed by a rather dilatory detachment. But the foreign

correspondents of course responded to these efforts for their

entertainment and enlightenment with sensational "stories" of "Scenes

in Berlin."

The conclusion I came to was that those German working men who were

still under trade unionist and party leaders, would, with the middle

class, follow the Government lead in this, as in anything else.

The other meeting, in a remote workmen's quarter, was addressed by the

Independent Breitscheidt, whose every point was punctuated by

guttural growls from half-starved workmen and women. The recital of

Germany's renunciations and restrictions under the Treaty was listened

to in silence; but the conclusion that the old _regime_, if

victorious, would have done this and worse was received with an

emphatic "sehr richtig" (quite true). The interruptions from two

middle-class youths near me, to the effect that an Englishman or

Frenchman saying what Breitscheidt had said in London or Paris would

have to run for his life--true enough too--were badly received. "Fat

cheeks," screamed a haggard woman, pointing out that the young men

were chubby. "Frei-Corps puppies," shouted a workman, giving the

explanation of their being well fed. And it would have gone hard with

them if the Independent leaders had not intervened to get them clear.

The speaker's conclusions that the peace must be signed at once, that

it must be signed by those responsible for it, and that thereafter

there would be an "Independent" Government, was received with a

diminuendo of assent. The poorer and less political German workman

wanted peace, but had no will to power.

There was indeed no fight left in Germany; though I doubt if anyone in

England realises how near the conditions imposed by Paris went to

provoking a desperate appeal to arms. When it became evident that no

mitigation of importance was to be got, every member of the Government

of any character, whether reactionary or radical, resigned; leaving

only men like Landsberg and Erzberger. While the revolutionary

opposition persisted in their refusal to take the responsibility of

signing. When it became obvious that this "Rump" was prepared to sign,

and that the Weimar Assembly would support it in doing so, a military

conspiracy was organised to prevent signature by a _coup d'etat_.

Weimar, the week before signature, filled with generals, and small

bodies of Frei-Corps threatened the complaisant Cabinet. But obviously

the coercion of Weimar into refusing signature was not enough, and

would only have resulted in a second revolution rather than a

reaction. The main operation was to have been a march south to Berlin

and Weimar, of the Army of the East in West Prussia. But, at the last

moment, these Frei-Corps refused to move. The better elements of them

had volunteered to defend the frontiers against Poles and Russians,

not to overthrow the National Assembly at the orders of reactionary

generals. The worse elements were ready to fight their own countrymen,

the revolutionaries, given a superiority of ten to one; but had no

stomach for a last ditch defence against the Entente with the odds

reversed. So Landsberg and Erzberger, the Jew and the Jesuit, by

extraordinary and characteristic exertions, secured signature by a

Cabinet of nonentities under the burly and worthy Trades Union boss,

Bauer.

I do not propose to criticise the different provisions of the Treaty

of Versailles or show in detail where they are unjust and why they are

unsound. But it may be of use to report the effect that certain of

these provisions have had in Germany and will have in Europe; and to

represent how the force on which this treaty depends for its

execution--the static force of an enormous Entente preponderance in

the Balance of Power, comes into collision with the forces at work in

Europe--the dynamic forces of the industrial revolution that are at

present more active in Germany than anywhere else.

First, then, as to its injustice and the effect this is having in

Germany. There are three main foci of public opinion in Germany as in

every country: Right, Centre and Left: Conservative, Liberal and

Radical: Upper Middle and Lower: Privilege, Property and Proletariat;

or, however else you may chose to denote the eternal political

triangle. The Treaty deals each of these two blows; one blow slashes

off its right hand and the other slaps it in the face. And it is the

insult and not the injury that will most affect the future of Europe.

Let us take the Conservative idealists first--the Prussian landowner,

the Berlin official, the Bavarian cleric, the officer, and the

student. The surrender of West Prussia and Danzig to Poland, and the

severance of East Prussia for its future inclusion in a Baltic

Federation, mean the loss of its right arm to this ruling class. An

idea of how it appears to them can be given, perhaps, by supposing

that we had lost the war, that Germany had set up Ireland and Scotland

as separate States, had annexed Wales to Ireland on racial grounds,

had included therein Shropshire and Cheshire with their ancient county

families, and had made a corridor across Wessex to Weymouth, cutting

off Somerset and Devon, while Cornwall went to a new State of

Brittany. I do not mean, of course, that this would be exactly

similar, but that the blow to the sensibilities of our patriots would

be as severe. Should we not have a halo cast about the Victorian, the

Elizabethan, the Alfredian and the Arthurian legends that would make

the lost provinces a Holy Land to be redeemed at any sacrifice?

Fortunately Germans are not like English in this and the territorial

settlement may last our time, though it will lead to unintended

results. The gloomy comment to me of a Polish conservative on the

Danzig settlement was that in two generations Poland would be

Jew-German. The even more gloomy view of a Russian radical was that,

unless Bolshevism made good, the whole middle belt of Baltic States,

with Poland, Lithuania, and the Ukraine, would fall under German

bourgeois influence. While, most pessimistic of all, a cosmopolitan

Jew considered that the result of breaking up Austria and barring off

Germany must be to Balkanise Central and Eastern Europe first, and to

Bolshevise it afterwards. All one can say, is, that where such

revolutionary forces are loosened as are now at large in Central

Europe, German nationalism offered us a stronger line to hold than

that of Lithuanian or Ukrainian or even Polish independence.

And we might have held both lines, but for that slap in the face. The

time I spent in Germany after the publication of the peace was made

painful, not by the Danzig or Saar questions, but by the menace of

penal proceedings against individual Germans. If our object was to

find something that would impress our hatred and contempt on the

Germans we succeeded. Only the most moderate of those with nationalist

opinions could speak of it at all: the majority, thereafter, closed

their doors to me as an English-man. If anything could have

rehabilitated the Kaiser, we should have done it by putting him at the

head of men, like submarine Commanders, who, in German eyes, had done

desperate deeds to break a barbarous blockade. Our prosecution in fact

outraged both the sense and sensibilities of all German gentlemen as

much as the crimes themselves had outraged ours. This may seem

fanciful, but it is a fact. If action is taken under these criminal

clauses we shall light such a candle to the memories of our dead as

will some day set Europe on fire again. Whether we could ever have

proceeded by international action to trace the responsibility for

military murders, such as those of Miss Cavell and Captain Fryatt,

without arousing a national sense of wrong in Germany, no longer

matters; we cannot do so now.

Next, as to the effect of the Treaty on the Liberals, the moderates,

the men of property. If the ideals of the Conservatives and their

interests in land made them nationalist, the ideals of the Liberals

and their interests in industry tended to make them imperialist. And

the Treaty cuts off Germany from all imperial ideals and cripples it

in industry.

The growth of German industry in late years, comparable only to

industrial growth in North America, was due, as with us, to the

combination of coal with iron and of first-rate management with

foreign markets. The Treaty has deprived Germany, in the east, of the

Silesian coalfields with their dependent industries, and, in the west,

of the Lorraine and Saar ores; which, together, may be compared to the

loss of South Wales and Northumberland. It has also deprived Germany,

not only of its colonies, but also of its commercial establishments

abroad, so closing foreign markets to it except by way of foreign

intermediaries, bankers, brokers and shippers. There is nothing left

of German foreign commerce and little left of German industry but a

mutilated torso; for it has not only lost its right hand in Lorraine

but also its left in Silesia. Yet, what German men of business feel it

hardest to forgive is not the injury done by the Treaty but the

insult. That camouflaged receivership, the Reparation Commission,

prejudges Germany as a fraudulent bankrupt. If we had in the Treaty

fixed our claims as creditors and negotiated with Germany as to how

they could be paid, the German middle class would have taken a pride

in showing itself equal to the enormous emergency even as the French

did in the far less searching trial of 1870. But this foreign

Commission has been given such powers as have never yet been proposed

for foreign financial control, even of the most wholly bankrupt and

barbarous Sovereign State. Those powers will, of course, never be

exercised, and they would defeat the object of the financial

provisions of the Treaty if they were; but the unnecessary insult they

involve has cost us the co-operation of the German middle classes in

rebuilding the economic system of Europe.

And, now for the last mistake. The one desire of the lower classes of

Germany, whether industrial or agricultural, is for peace and plenty.

In condemning them to a continuance of war conditions for nine months

after their surrender and revolution we turned them from

internationalists, ready to welcome us as representatives of democracy

and as crusaders for an international ideal, into either nationalists

who looked on us as enemies seeking the destruction of all Germans, or

into internationalists who looked on us as enemies of the revolution

seeking their destruction as we were seeking that of the Russians. The

result has been that we have lost the co-operation of the German

working class in extending our system of parliamentary Government to

Central and Eastern Europe. And it requires no profound political

knowledge of continental conditions to recognise that, without such

co-operation, British political ideas and institutions and with them

British political influence will not penetrate Europe.

To this result two actions on our part especially contributed. The

first, our opposition to the union of German-Austria with Germany; the

second, our refusal to admit Germany to the League of Nations. These

were the two meaningless, almost motiveless insults that in my opinion

have done us more lasting harm in Europe than such mistakes in practical

policy as the maintenance of the blockade. The repudiation, presumably

at French dictation, of both the principle of nationality and that of

self-determination was bad enough. It was worse to try to buttress an

artificial barrier between two sections of the German race by assigning

German populations to neighbouring States--Germans of Bohemia to

Tchecho-Slovakia--Germans of Karinthia to Yugo-Slavia--Germans of the

Tyrol to Italy. This diplomatic device failed even in a far more

thorough form in Poland over a century ago. Just as the policy of

artificial separation failed in the case of Eastern Roumelia.

But, apart from such moral considerations which must in the long run

defeat our policy of segregating Austro-Germans, that policy might

have been seen to be impolitic even in its most material and immediate

aspects.

The idea of a union of Germany and Austria presented itself to our

minds as an aggrandisement of Germany. But if the union of Germany and

Austria would have been a concession to the force of German

nationality, yet it would have been no reinforcement of German

nationalism. Union with German-Austria would indeed have been the best

guarantee against Germany's relapse into Prussianism. For the marriage

of Prussia and Austria would not be due to affection nor to ambition

nor even to advantage, but to affinity. German-Austria might indeed

consider herself fortunate in having a relation bound by family ties

to take her for better or worse, for richer or poorer, with all her

dowry of decrepitude and debt. "Tu felix Austria nube" would have

acquired a new meaning.

The phrase, "union of Germany with Austria" might suggest a great

extension eastwards of German imperialism over Eastern Europe and Asia

Minor. But a glance at the map shows that, whereas previously Germany

enjoyed by alliance with Austria political control eastwards to the

Carpathians and Balkans and economic control to the AEgean and Black

Sea, now Germany is barricaded on the east at its national frontier by

strong national States; and by union with German-Austria would receive

an extension of its own national frontier not eastward but southward.

The effect of union with Austria would be to add to Germany not

another East Prussia or Silesia, but another Baden or Bavaria.

What would be the political consequence of this geographical extension

southward? We all know the blood differences between Southerner and

Northerner in German politics. The North with a Protestant and

Prussian mentality, a bureaucratic and burgher government, an

efficient and energetic morale, a land of big business and big

battalions; and the south a Catholic and conservative mentality, an

easy-going and eclectic morale, a land of fat farms and the fine arts.

And war and revolution have only changed without lessening these

differences. The new Austrian province in the south would have acted

as ballast to steady the rollings of the Ship of State, top-heavy with

its northern profiteers and proletariat. Nor would we be right if we

assumed from the short-lived Raete-Republik of Munich that Vienna would

bring an accession of strength to the Communists. It is the clerical

Centrum, Parliamentary Government and Federalism that would have

benefited from the Union.

And, not only as a community, but as individuals, Austrians would have

a useful political _role_ in the new German democracy. Some of us may

have noticed how the Bavarians and Rheinlaenders come to the front in

Germany as liberal speakers and writers. The Austrians would have

brought a like leaven into the lump of half-baked German civilisation.

The Austrian in all the elegancies of life is as superior to the

German as he is inferior to him in all life's efficiencies. Finally,

they would have served as interpreters and intermediaries between

Germans and other races. It is as difficult to dislike an Austrian as

to like a Prussian.

As to the material effect of the Union, we find that the total

population of the German Republic after union would have been no more

than was that of the German Empire before the war. At the beginning of

the war the latter was 68 millions. Up to January, 1919, the excess of

deaths over births was 700,000, the war casualties 1.8 millions.

Losses in Alsace-Lorraine, Posen and Schleswig will reduce this, at

least, to 61 millions and probably to below 60 millions.

German-Austria cannot bring in more than 9 millions and may bring in

as little as 6 millions. So that Germany would about have regained in

the south what it has lost in the east, north and west.

Now, as to money. The public debt of Austria, without Hungary, was

83.17 milliard kronen. This has still to be apportioned among the new

national States; but even on the most favourable basis for

German-Austria, that of population, it will mean a debt of about 30

milliard kronen with an annual charge of 1.5 milliards. This will mean

a much heavier charge per head than that in Germany. The note

circulation was 37.5 milliards, of which less than 10 per cent. is

secured in gold; and a restoration of the currency will therefore be a

costly business.

Economically, German-Austria is a poor country with a few prosperous

rural districts and an imperial capital. Its agriculture produces

between half and two-thirds per acre of the average German production.

Its live stock is so depleted as to be practically destroyed. Its few

factories and inferior railways are in worse condition even than the

German, which is saying much. It has no coal supplies and no port. As

to Vienna, it is difficult to say what will happen to it. It may have

a future as the land-port of Germany on the east, as Hamburg is on the

west, and as a commercial and financial centre for the new nations;

but for the next few years it will be in industrial and financial

liquidation, as the imperial banks and businesses reorganise and

redistribute themselves among the nations. Vienna's machine, motor and

railway works and the Alpine Montant Company with large iron ore

deposits, are the most important assets that go with German-Austria.

Of course, there are wealthy industrial districts and mineral deposits

in German-Bohemia and the Sudetic country, but the question of their

union with Germany is a different one. The Bohemian Republic is making

a strong bid to the industrial "interests" of these German districts,

which fear the competition of Saxony should they enter the German

union. It will be interesting to see whether this alliance between

plutocracy and diplomacy will avail to keep these German populations

permanently in the Tchech State. But with the exception of a few

dynastic, clerical and capitalistic interests, German-Austria is

to-day German, not Austrian.

You would have a better idea of the difference between German-Austria

and the old Austrian Empire if you had visited Dr. Hartmann, the

representative of German-Austria in the old Austrian Embassy in

Berlin. There, in a palladian palace that was once a centre of the

peculiar blend of courtly brilliance and corrupt brutality with which

the Austrian Empire kept itself going, you found a modest rather

melancholy don and a young secretary; looking like lost souls of a

national democracy buried in the sarcophagus of imperialist

diplomacy. But after a few minutes' talk you also found that these

mild-mannered men represented that force that broke to fragments the

Iron Crown of the House of Habsburg, and that will break its way to

Union over the paper barricade of the Hall of Mirrors.

There is, indeed, nothing to be said for the insistence of the Supreme

Council at Paris on delaying the union of Austro-Germany with Germany.

The forcible splitting off of East Prussia and the subjection of

millions of Germans to Polish, Tchecho-Slovak and Yugo-Slav

governments, though indefensible in principle, may be defended by

practical arguments--for instance that these German ports and lands

are geographically essential to the new States, while their German

population will be a valuable element in them. The assignment of the

Tyrol to Italy may have a diplomatic defence as a design to falsify

future relations between Germans and Italians, to the advantage of

France and England. The acquisition of German Lorraine and the Saar

valley by France may be explained by the policy of making France

industrially independent of Germany and of preventing any future

economic hegemony of Germany in Europe. An insistence on

Austro-Germany entering the German Republic might have been explained

as an attempt to save Germany from Bolshevism and Prussianism, and to

keep it quiet. But an insistence on Austro-Germany remaining

independent, with its corollary in the intrigues for a separate Rhine

Republic, seem to me as diplomatically ill-considered as they are

democratically ill-conceived. We intended a material injury to German

nationalists, but we have only inflicted a mortal insult on the German

nation.

The Treaty of Versailles has then no elements either of permanence or

of peace; because it runs counter both to facts and to forces both in

the region of national and in that of international relationships.

In the national region it stultifies its own objects most effectively.

Now nationalist idealism, though existing in Germany to-day only among

the conservative gentry and a small section of upper-class

progressives, is not a negligible quantity. For nationalism has

control of the whole Coalition Government, the whole Press, with the

exception of a few opposition Labour papers, and the whole of the

Frei-Corps and the armed police. Owing to our continuation of a state

of war after the armistice, the German Government has, by a logical

process it would take too long to trace, become purely nationalist,

instead of mainly socialist and internationalist. More than that, it

has come into collision with Socialism and the German Revolution in

its efforts to maintain a _regime_ such as we would recognise. The

nationalist forces, that it relies on to maintain parliamentary party

government and the supremacy of the propertied class to the exclusion

both of Council Government and of a possible supremacy of the

proletariat, were, in the first place, the more liberal bureaucracy

and the officers, and in the second place the "Frei-Corps." But as

pointed out already the Treaty we imposed on Germany forced out of the

Government all the better elements of the bureaucratic and bourgeois

classes. While the "Frei-Corps" with which the Government now holds

all the principal towns under military rule have as moral ideals

patriotism, privilege and property, and as material inducements high

pay and quadruple rations. They embody not only the survivors of the

officer caste, but also the young burghers and students, hitherto the

Young Guard of revolution. Their formation was due partly to our

delusion that a professional army is necessarily democratic because we

have one, and that a short service militia is necessarily militarist

because Germany used that method for its recovery a century ago; and

partly to a reaction against the revolution in Germany itself. By now

they have become the foundation of the present parliamentary _regime_.

But the Treaty requires their reduction from over 400,000 to a quarter

of that number, while it utterly discredits the nationalist Government

by imposing on it humiliations such as no modern nation has ever yet

undergone. Therefore, while our policy requires the maintenance of the

present German parliamentarians and their police as the only possible

native agents for the realisation of our economic exploitation of

Germany, our procedure renders their retention of power materially and

morally impossible. As I myself think that the economic policy is as

shortsighted as it is wrongheaded, I do not regret that the

territorial and military provisions will, unless materially modified,

prevent any possibility of realising any part of it. That they will

shortly revive racial and religious frontier wars in which we shall

probably be involved is a minor matter. Better we should lose more men

and millions in expeditions to subject frontier provinces to their

racial and religious enemies, than try to subjugate all Germany to our

imperial system as we apparently aspire to do in the economic and

financial clauses.

In the international region also the Treaty has similarly stultified

itself. It depends for its execution on the acceptance by Germany not

only of its provisions but of the principles on which it is based.

These principles assume that Germany will conform Constitutionally to

the European system that we are setting up. That is that Germany will

have a parliamentary government in which the upper and middle classes

will preponderate. This Germany was quite prepared to do, and regarded

its revolution chiefly as the qualification for admission to the

Allied system on an equal footing. Parliamentary Government meant to

Germany last winter not so much liberty as equality and

fraternity--equality in the world's markets and fraternity in a League

of Nations. In other words, peace and food. When Germany found that it

was to be excluded from the League and outlawed, parliamentary

government _a l'anglaise_ was left without a leg to stand on. It lost

its right leg because nationalists reverted to militarism and its left

leg because internationalists turned towards Sovietism. It can fairly

be said that the Weimar Assembly and the National Government that

signed the Treaty of Peace represented no German force but merely

German weakness. If the Treaty is ever to be enforced it can only be

so through the Reichstag, and what it stands for, and yet the Treaty

has gone out of its way to weaken the Reichstag.

In respect of such criticisms I am continually being told by my

quondam diplomatic colleagues that they quite agree, but that they

could get nothing better; and, given the conditions under which they

worked at Paris, they think that things might have been much worse.

And this seems to be the line also of the American delegation, with

the exception of some bolder younger spirits who broke off into open

opposition. Of course, given these conditions, they could do no

better. But that's just what they ought to have provided against.

Every diplomatist knows, or ought to know, that the result of his

negotiations will depend on two things; his success in interpreting to

and impressing on his foreign surroundings the forces he represents

whether they be ironclads or ideals; and his success in selecting such

surroundings as will be most effectively impressed. It is mainly

because they have not learnt the second part of this lesson that

American diplomatists fail. It was a great discovery when we found

after years of negotiation at Washington in which either nobody got

any forrarder at all or we got altogether the worst of it, that it was

only necessary to transfer the venue to The Hague or Paris or London,

and American diplomacy collapsed. I am not going into detail,

interesting though it might be. But I used to explain it to myself by

analysing American diplomacy as an attitude of business instincts and

moral ideals which felt itself absurd in the cold, courtly, and

cynical atmosphere of diplomacy; so, instead of imposing its own rules

and standards, it either became helpless or tried hurriedly to adapt

and adjust itself. We have only to read the memoirs of American

Ambassadors to see that it takes a Benjamin Franklin to realise that

broadcloth and beaver are more effective at Court than gold lace and a

feathered hat. For it is this and nothing more that explains how an

American failed in the greatest political opportunity offered to

mortal man in modern times. And if President Wilson, with all the

trumps in his hands, could win so few tricks and left the table

politically bankrupt, it may seem perhaps absurd to have expected

anything from our liberal representatives, tied and bound abroad by

the chains of their secret treaties, tethered and burdened at home by

their dependence on a conservative clique and on an imperialist

newspaper proprietor.

Yet, those of our rulers who wanted a real peace treaty not a mere

truce for dividing the spoils, ought to have known, what the Americans

did not, that no peace could be got through a diplomatic conference

at Paris. They should, in the first place, have secured a real

representation of the popular forces of the British Empire, and in the

second place, a forum where those forces could take effect. Public

opinion had already provided the foundation of such a forum in the

demand for a League of Nations. The proper procedure, obviously, was

to stop hostilities, subject to guarantees, and to set up a League of

Nations that should make peace. It would have taken little longer to

get together than did the diplomatic delegations, and would certainly

have taken no longer in reaching a result. Both its constitution and

its conclusions would probably have been resisted to the verge of

rupture by the French and Italian Governments; but would, with the

moral sanction of the League and with the urgent pressure of the

military situation, have been easily enforced by the British and

Americans. MM. Clemenceau and Tardieu could override Messrs. Lloyd

George and Philip Kerr easily enough, for, after all, the former do

stand for forces, the latter are merely phenomena. They could even

override Messrs. Wilson and Lansing, for though these did represent

real forces, they could not reproduce them in Paris. But mixed French

and Italian delegations of all parties would have offered points of

contact to British and American Liberals and even to German and

Russian Socialists. The cleavages between the various national

interests would have been bridged and an internationalist cement

introduced to counteract the imperialist cleavages. Of course, such a

body would not have elaborated the details of peace in a plenary

debate. It would have proceeded as national Constituent Assemblies

always have done after civil war. It would have debated and approved

general principles for its own permanent constitution and the

resettlement of Europe, and referred them for elaboration to

committees controlling the diplomatic experts.

It will be objected that such a new and untried institution could

never have succeeded where the fine flower of diplomacy failed, or

would have been merely a stalking horse for diplomatic intrigue and

imperialistic interests. But an institution is strong in proportion to

the public powers it has acquired and the public acquiescence in them:

not in proportion to its degree of constitutional development, or the

perfection of its machinery. A British parish council, with its

carefully defined powers, can do little and does nothing. A German

revolutionary communal council could do anything and does a good deal.

The League of Nations would have given the Americans a means of

expressing their moral and neutral policies and of exercising the

pressure that President Wilson would not or could not apply. Even if

the League had not succeeded in imposing respect for his "fourteen

points" on the diplomats, and it might have done so, it would at least

have regulated procedure. We should not have had vital decisions

reached in a few minutes' talk one afternoon, and reversed for some

unknown reason the next, without reference to expert conclusions or

regard for principle and precedent. Also this procedure would have

made it possible to deal with our main obstacles to a permanent peace,

the secret treaties. We could not escape from these national

diplomatic obligations in a diplomatic conference of national

delegates. But we could have got a dispensation from them had they

been referred to a supreme international and super-diplomatic

authority. No doubt this procedure would have affected such questions

as the international status of Germany and Ireland or India. Germany

would have been admitted to the League in time to take part in

arranging its own penalties and we should thereby have got the best

guarantee possible for the permanence of the peace in respect to

Germany. The Peace Treaty would thus have become a compact instead of

a Coercion Act. As to Ireland, it is outside my scope: but as our

national authority avowedly finds reconciliation of the two Irish

factions insoluble, there would seem to be no great harm in trying

what an international authority could do.

On such lines as this, a League of Nations might have been

established. As things are the League is, of course, no more than an

alliance to enforce the imperialist and nationalist decisions of Paris

on conquered races, and to combat revolution. It is a combination of a

Balkan League and a Holy Alliance. The effect of this prostitution of

a public ideal to the profiteering of the Paris conclave has made the

peace as disastrous morally to Europe as was the war materially. The

Treaties have, for a time, Bolshevised Eastern Europe, Balkanised

Central Europe and Bottomleyised Western Europe.

But here we are concerned with the effect on Germany. And if it be

objected that it does not matter what Germany thinks of it, I reply

that the test of the League's utility will be the confidence that it

can inspire in the former enemy States. Unless Germans, Bulgars, and

even Bolsheviks, see in it something more than a League against

themselves, they will not accept its authority and we are back on a

basis of a balance of power.

Our relations with Germany in this respect are especially important.

We went into the war for international ideals--the defence of France

and the abolition of militarism; and, having fought it to a

conclusion, we allowed our rulers to substitute for that

internationalism the worst form of imperialism. Germany went into the

war for imperialist ideals, or, at best, for nationalist ideals; but

after defeat replaced those ideals by an internationalism involving

the acceptance of international control by a League of Nations. That

internationalist point of view is still held by the German people,

though no one would think it from the character of their present

Government, and the tone of their Press.

The internationalist point of view of the German people has so far

failed to find expression for two reasons: one was the pressure of

Allied imperialism, the other the partial failure of the German

Revolution through the innate political incapacity of the people. The

armistice, while nominally suspending hostilities, really continued the

war on national lines. This treaty, while nominally restoring peace,

really continues the war on imperial lines. Under these conditions

German internationalism could scarcely survive except among the working

class, where it was too deeply rooted in the realities of life for any

poison gas from Paris to kill it. But, except among the workmen and

their idealist leaders, the Independent Socialists, the feeling that the

world in general, and Germany in particular, was at the mercy of the

imperialist and nationalist elements among the victors caused the

abandonment of the new protestantism--internationalism, and reversion to

the old orthodoxy--nationalism. This recantation was indeed in response

to intimations from Paris that Germany was expected to renounce the

devil Bolshevism and all its works. That the realisation of the German

Revolution, whether it is the work of a devil or no, is the one and only

protection for Germany against Bolshevism is, of course, beyond the

political penetration of Paris.

The principal force of public opinion created by the sacrifices of the

war expressed itself in the movement for a League of Nations to

guarantee peace. In Germany this movement was especially strong. For

Germany was left without other protection than that which it could get

from such internationalism. Any suggestion that could strengthen the

League or Germany's claim to participate in it was eagerly grasped.

A private suggestion that the German Constitution should contain a

formal recognition of the League and be the first national

constitution to do so, was at once adopted by the very cautious and

conservative Committee. Another from a similar source that the German

proposals for the League should correct the democratic deficiencies of

the Paris project was also adopted. The German scheme for a League

was, indeed, in every respect better than that of the Allies.[I] But

the Paris project and the provisions of the Treaty hopelessly

prejudiced the whole idea of the League with German progressives.

After their publication the clause recognising the precepts of the

League and the provisions of Treaties as the supreme law of the land

disappeared[J] from Art. 4 of the Constitution. The League of Paris

and the Treaty of Versailles are now to be obeyed as "force

majeure"--they are not recognised as German law. And whereas the

League could have secured from Germany a willing acceptance of

obligations that would not only have guaranteed the peace of Europe so

far as the German race was concerned, but would also have made good to

some extent the ruin of the last war, now it is looked upon throughout

Germany as mere cynical camouflage. The German, whether nationalist or

internationalist, listens to American or English preachments about the

League with despair and disgust.

Here is one such opinion from my note book: "I can endure with

patience Germany being robbed of everything that is easily rob-able

and even its being reduced to economic servitude. But what I cannot

stand is the confidence trick of Wilson's 'points' and the camouflage

of the League of Nations. Bismarck in respect of his Emperor and

Bethmann-Hollweg in respect of Belgium both committed a breach of

trust, but they did it under necessity of war. Wilson in his Fourteen

Points and Lord Robert Cecil in the League have done the same in the

name of peace."

Already the internationalism of Germany and Central Europe is under

the pressure of Paris, taking a form almost impossible to reconcile

with the form of this League of Nations. Until the appearance of the

Paris project for the League and the peace conditions, Germany,

whether national or international, was wholeheartedly a supporter of

it. But now it is not too much to say that the League is moribund, not

only in Germany, but in continental Europe generally, as an ideal. Its

place is rapidly being taken by the ideal of an International Council

on a basis of social and industrial representation, instead of that of

a League on a basis of national or territorial representation. Just as

the leaders of the German workmen and the younger Democrats caught at

the theories of Guild Socialism, so now they are turning eagerly to a

new idea, also introduced from England, of an international Soviet

system--an organisation that will be really international because,

instead of being based as is the Wilsonian League on the nationalism

of States, it will be based on the internationalism of trades. That

will have as its sanction an international strike instead of a

national boycott, and as its authority a Central Council of delegates

instead of a Conference of diplomats. This development would have come

in due course anyway, but a successful Wilsonian League might have

delayed it even as the prestige of the House of Commons is delaying

Council government, and as the prestige of the Crown delayed

Parliamentary government itself.

To us Liberals and Labour folk here in England--relieved at getting a

League in any form and ready as we English always are to make the best

of what we've got, however bad--this international Council movement

may seem to be a waste of strength. For it would seem likely to

require the full force of all progressive continental movements to get

the League of Nations put on a democratic basis. But the attitude of

America makes it doubtful whether the League can be so developed as to

do more good than harm. And in any case the movement for an

International Council will proceed concurrently and will help rather

than harm the movement for an International Parliament. Nor will it

encounter the same difficulties. The international organisation of

labour provides a better medium in which to establish an international

institution than does the present international organisation of

governments--the Foreign Offices and Foreign Missions. Moreover, it

should prove as easy to extend a Soviet System or Council Commonwealth

into the international relationship as it is difficult and dangerous

to extend the principle of State Sovereignty and Parliamentary

supremacy there. The Council Commonwealth, with its essentially

international basis, with its democracy of superimposed councils in

constant contact with each other and with the international strike for

sanction, is as sound and safe a foundation for such a superstructure

as the Parliamentary State, with its long-term parliaments, its large

constituencies, its all-dominating national sentiment and its national

blockade or boycott, is unsound. Anyway, the International Industrial

Congress and Executive Council are bound to come, either in

substitution for or supplementary to the League of Nations, just as

the National Council Congress and Central Council are bound to come

either in substitution for or supplementary to the parliamentary

systems. The only question is whether they will come as supplementary

to or in substitution for the League.

As to the sop thrown to the workmen of the world in Section 8 of the

Treaty, with its international labour organisation, the German

workmen, at least, have no use for it. The revolutionaries with their

Independent leaders would not probably co-operate at all in the

proceedings at Washington now beginning. The Trades Unionists and

Social-Democrats have done so, but under no illusions as to results. A

criticism of their organ, _Vorwaerts_, points out that this section is

inspired by as profound a distrust of the Proletariat as the rest of

the Treaty shows of Prussia; and that the provisions as to submission

of agenda some months before, as to veto by the Governments except

when there is a two-thirds majority, while the workmen's

representation is no more than a fourth, and as to enforcing

decisions, deprive the whole section of most of its value. The

_Vorwaerts_, representing the general point of view now dominant in

Germany and the point of view which but for other influences would

have given the most sympathetic supporters to such procedure as that

proposed, now damns it as humbug.

But whatever the form of the eventual international institution may

be, one fact must be faced. We have not yet made peace with Germany.

If the Paris treaties with Germany, Austria and Bulgaria have appeased

the angry passions excited by war and finally discredited secret

diplomacy, they will have fulfilled a function and cleared the road

for peace. The armistice demands were the first stage to peace--these

diplomatic damnifications the second. What will be the third and last?

FOOTNOTES:

[H] This telegram had, I believe, a curious backlash, rather

illustrative of the times in Germany. A countess with political

ambitions, who had set up an Independent salon, had had that Friday her

usual "evening," at which I had looked in for a few minutes. On Monday

she was arrested and banished to a provincial townlet for supplying

false information to a foreign correspondent. Needless to say, one did

not need a countess to tell one that Germany would sign in its collapsed

condition.

[I] In the German project all signatories of the Hague Convention as

well as the new States arisen since the war were admitted. Instead of

all authority being assigned to an Executive Council of nine in which

the victorious Great Powers reserved themselves a majority of five, the

remaining four being elected by smaller States, the German project had

the Executive Council elected by a Congress of States, corresponding to

the Assembly of Delegates in the Paris project. It also provided a World

Parliament of parliamentary delegations. The German project is also more

drastic in its provisions for mediation, arbitration, and protection of

minorities. It approaches the functions of the League for international

social legislation in a much more liberal and constructive spirit.

[J] This article of the Constitution had been amended by the addition of

the words in italics: "The generally accepted principles of

international law _the pronouncements of the League of Nations and the

provisions of Treaties_ have binding force as German Constitutional

Law." It has now been amended back by their omission.

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